UFC 161

[SPX]

Poopoo, why in gods name would you bet so much on Shawn Jordan? Barry is only a sprawl or two from ko'ing that guy with ease.

And if you say wrestler vs striker I swear I'll neg you so hard sideloaded will feel it

Agreed. Jordan could outwrestle him but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Barry blast him all the way to Mars. Seems like a risky decision to hitch almost all of your horses to him.

[Luke]

I'm surprises it was a punch and not GnP that beat Barry. Nelson, you blow.

[edman5555]

Nelson is a fat ass. If he wasn't such a fat ass he might have had a shot. Though he did beat Cro cop in round three.

[edman5555]

Two things I learned last night.

The plus 3.5 points option 5dimes offers is really good. I was reluctant to use it for a while but now I am starting to appreciate it. I used it twice last night on Dan henderson (-195 and as low as -160 at times) and Jake shields. Both were great options because they were just as good as their opponents. Jake was able to win his fight without the points. Both had great chins and good submission defense. I am hoping to find more bets like this on future cards.

Live betting: There were more than a few great opportunities last night. I made most of my money on it. Jake shields was at +200 at the end of round two on 5dimes. Tyron was getting tired from all the clinching and typically gasses in the third round. Great opportunity. I won close to 5 units on it.

Rosi Sexton plus 6.5 points during round three. This would have cashed had I bet it. Wish I had. Another great bet I missed.

Both options have a lot of available opportunity. I am going to try hard to find more options like this in the future. Good luck everyone.

[Svino]

Yeah, last night was really good live. I made about 10u, there. You mentioned a couple good lines. Another was the fact that Miocic was available at great odds pretty much the whole fight. He was +100 and then only -130 *well* past the point it became clear he was dominating the fight. (I also lost a chunk of money on another line I still think was actually good: Hendo at +140 at the end of round 1).

Really the live-betting situation lives or dies on the number of decisions, especially main-card decisions. Last card with all the submissions, I was really lucky to only lose about 2u. But overall, it's very good, and the bet limits are almost a non-factor now. It used to be you were capped at bets to win 1k, but now it will usually let you bet 1k or 2k no matter the odds, so I think it will let you bet, say, $2,000 to win $180,000 on the draw at +9000. I keep thinking that someday there is going to be an early point deduction and they are going to fuck up bad.

Question: Would anyone be interested in having something like a live-betting teamspeak channel? I sometimes find it hard to type in chat and bet at the same time.

[edman5555]

Yeah, last night was really good live. I made about 10u, there. You mentioned a couple good lines. Another was the fact that Miocic was available at great odds pretty much the whole fight. He was +100 and then only -130 *well* past the point it became clear he was dominating the fight. (I also lost a chunk of money on another line I still think was actually good: Hendo at +140 at the end of round 1).

Really the live-betting situation lives or dies on the number of decisions, especially main-card decisions. Last card with all the submissions, I was really lucky to only lose about 2u. But overall, it's very good, and the bet limits are almost a non-factor now. It used to be you were capped at bets to win 1k, but now it will usually let you bet 1k or 2k no matter the odds, so I think it will let you bet, say, $2,000 to win $180,000 on the draw at +9000. I keep thinking that someday there is going to be an early point deduction and they are going to fuck up bad.

Question: Would anyone be interested in having something like a live-betting teamspeak channel? I sometimes find it hard to type in chat and bet at the same time.

That would be awesome. I thought about it before but I have no idea how to do it.

[Svino]

That would be awesome. I thought about it before but I have no idea how to do it.

I don't actually know how to do it either, but I could look into it.

[edman5555]

I don't actually know how to do it either, but I could look into it.

That would be awesome. I like your idea of a draw on the point deduction. I could see them missing that.

[mike]

I don't actually know how to do it either, but I could look into it.

that would be great altho my accent sucks (im vietnamese and never really learned to pronounce words the right way even though ive been living here for a long time). lol i have no problem writing tho.
also bmaker was gay last night. they used +2.5 on point instead of +3.5.

[edman5555]

That point deduction idea is a really good one. I am curious how often it happens. It is something to really be ready for.

[edman5555]

Well I found some stats for 2012. There were two draws. Neither of them came by way of point deduction. It's still a good idea in my book. Can't beat 90 to 1 odds.

[Svino]

Well I found some stats for 2012. There were two draws. Neither of them came by way of point deduction. It's still a good idea in my book. Can't beat 90 to 1 odds.

There aren't really that many point deductions. The last draw like that I can think of was Kongo / Browne. 10-8 Rounds can be considered, too, especially if the loser of that round doesn't look totally finished, or the winner looks gassed. Of course, there's the added risk that the judges will call it 10-9. (I bet the draw live on Edgar / Maynard 3 after the first round, but obviously it didn't work out.)

[edman5555]

It's going to be tough to remember to bet draw next time i see a point deduction.

[Luke]

I hit a draw on a boxing match a couple years ago, but its was only 33 to 1

[edman5555]

I hit a draw on a boxing match a couple years ago, but its was only 33 to 1

how much?