UFC 156

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    yeah, Natal is a fucking idiot, poopoo was right about that part. But I just thought hat even if he is stupid, he should still win easy. If it wasn't for Natal, I would have had a horrible night, I only ended up losing 1u... couldve been much worse. I decided I need to look at this card a little more closely to avoid disaster. It helps that I know all the fighters except that facebook prelim guys.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • edman5555
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2010
      • 6628

      Natal has a tendency to fight like that a lot. I think he wants to prove he can stand.
      1 unit = 300 $

      Comment

      • Ludo
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2010
        • 4931

        This could be a great year for all of us. I seem to have found a groove in the last 6-7 months about going big enough to make it count on fights I feel really good about. It burned Me once or twice but I think that's the way to go. The books are getting smarter but so are bettors.
        2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
        Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
        Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
        Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

        2012: +20.311u

        Comment

        • SPX
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2009
          • 23875

          I've kind of been having the same ideas lately. Instead of making 5+ bets per card, find 2 or 3 that I feel strongly about and load up.
          I heart cock

          Comment

          • SPX
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 23875

            What do y'all think of Edgar/Aldo goes the distance at -145?
            I heart cock

            Comment

            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              Originally posted by SPX
              What do y'all think of Edgar/Aldo goes the distance at -145?
              I like it...if it hits + #s I will bet it. I have noticed distance lines get way better fight day.

              Comment

              • SPX
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2009
                • 23875

                Frankie's never been stopped. Aldo was only stopped once early in his career via sub.

                I'm not sure we even need + odds for this one.
                I heart cock

                Comment

                • edman5555
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 6628

                  I think aldo wins. Frankie is no sub machine and Aldo is a black belt. Frankie is no ko arist and he isnt knocking out aldo. Frankies best bet is to win a decision. I think he gets knocket out.
                  1 unit = 300 $

                  Comment

                  • poopoo333
                    MMA *********
                    • Jan 2010
                    • 18302

                    Frankie.

                    Edgar.


                    That is all.

                    Comment

                    • MMA_scientist
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2009
                      • 9857

                      Aldo is very good pure grappler. He has a win over Rubens Charles in bjj (Charles aka cobrinha is a world champ). Frankie ain't going to sub him. He may get him with takedowns though (although probably not early as Mendes couldn't do it), as we saw in the Penn fight, Edgar isn't scared to grapple and he can hold his own.

                      That said, I think Aldo will find the button at some point. I am still going to bet Edgar though @ 2:1.
                      2012: +19.33
                      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                      Comment

                      • poopoo333
                        MMA *********
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 18302

                        I hope I can get a decent line on:

                        Not Aldo by sub, Not Fitch by sub, Not Lil Nog by sub, Not McCall by sub parlay. I really think these types of parlays have value and are good for betting..especially if you throw an actual fighter in there..like Volkmann.

                        Comment

                        • Thewisemann
                          Senior Member
                          • Feb 2010
                          • 1989

                          I think Edgar has a decent chance of a stoppage late in the fight.

                          Comment

                          • Thewisemann
                            Senior Member
                            • Feb 2010
                            • 1989

                            And Aldo has a chance early in the fight.

                            Comment

                            • Vandelay
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2010
                              • 1934

                              Originally posted by poopoo333
                              I hope I can get a decent line on:

                              Not Aldo by sub, Not Fitch by sub, Not Lil Nog by sub, Not McCall by sub parlay. I really think these types of parlays have value and are good for betting..especially if you throw an actual fighter in there..like Volkmann.
                              Not Edgar by sub, not evans by sub can be switched in as well depending on which gets better odds.

                              Comment

                              • trotterz
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2011
                                • 450

                                Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                                Aldo is very good pure grappler. He has a win over Rubens Charles in bjj (Charles aka cobrinha is a world champ). Frankie ain't going to sub him. He may get him with takedowns though (although probably not early as Mendes couldn't do it), as we saw in the Penn fight, Edgar isn't scared to grapple and he can hold his own.

                                That said, I think Aldo will find the button at some point. I am still going to bet Edgar though @ 2:1.

                                Mendes was bringing him to the ground, but Aldo held the fence, badly.
                                I think that if Edgfar want to drag aldo to the ground, he will be able to. My question is if Aldo will be able to pop back up in seconds.

                                Comment

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