2012 Parlay

[MMA_scientist]

wtf, poopoo is a mod now? This place is going straight in the shitter.

Thanks though.

[MMA_scientist]

I thought you were bailing out of this?

[poopoo333]

Not Condit, Nelson, Pierce...

They may all get put in the 2012 parlay this weekend.

Are you going to parlay them for the 2012 parlay?

[MMA_scientist]

yeah maybe, it will depend on the lines. None of them are happening.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, the one most likely to happen is Condit...and that is VERY unlikely.

[MMA_scientist]

Yeah, I agree, because Condit actually has some pretty strong submission skills. He has submitted BJJ blackebelts before, but would have to break something off or choke him unconscious... Diaz won't tap. I love putting guys like that in these parlays, because it is that much less likely, not only do you have to catch them, you also have to finish it off. Condit is a pretty good grappler in his own right, but he hasn't subitted anyone since he started fighting better comp in the UFC. Still, we'll see what the line is. They are all 2012-worthy IMO at the right price.

[sbjj]

Yeah, I agree, because Condit actually has some pretty strong submission skills. He has submitted BJJ blackebelts before, but would have to break something off or choke him unconscious... Diaz won't tap. I love putting guys like that in these parlays, because it is that much less likely, not only do you have to catch them, you also have to finish it off. Condit is a pretty good grappler in his own right, but he hasn't subitted anyone since he started fighting better comp in the UFC. Still, we'll see what the line is. They are all 2012-worthy IMO at the right price.

2 fighter parlay nominees...Poitier, Barao(this one scares me a bit), Brown, Herman.

[sbjj]

Have no idea why I quoted you Scientist...my bad.

[MMA_scientist]

2 fighter parlay nominees...Poitier, Barao(this one scares me a bit), Brown, Herman.

Don't know much about Poirier's opponent, but it looks like a squash match. The guy is 4-0 with 3 decisions, including a split. He would have to have to be something pretty damn special to come in and have a chance with Poirier...

I already said I think Starks is a good deal against Herman- a better wrestler anyway. Maybe he can't get him down, I don't know.

I think Jorg is live.

Brown should win that, but it is probably going to play out standing... Cope has no power, but he does score some. Brown should win.

Of those choices, I like Poirier and Brown.

Then again, I lost all 3 of my bets last weekend... so I clearly don't know what the hell I am talking about. Just fade me on straight plays if you want to win money.

[sbjj]

Don't know much about Poirier's opponent, but it looks like a squash match. The guy is 4-0 with 3 decisions, including a split. He would have to have to be something pretty damn special to come in and have a chance with Poirier...

I already said I think Starks is a good deal against Herman- a better wrestler anyway. Maybe he can't get him down, I don't know.

I think Jorg is live.

Brown should win that, but it is probably going to play out standing... Cope has no power, but he does score some. Brown should win.

Of those choices, I like Poirier and Brown.

Then again, I lost all 3 of my bets last weekend... so I clearly don't know what the hell I am talking about. Just fade me on straight plays if you want to win money.

Pretty much agrre with you that Dustin and Matt are the 2 best options. I can see liking Starks because of the price, but I think Herman is just going to outwork him.

[edman5555]

Herman seems pretty crafty. I fear betting against anyone that can pull off a heel hook.

[poopoo333]

What makes you think Brown should be so favored over Cope? Brown is very unreliable, I would never bet him as a decent favorite

[sbjj]

What makes you think Brown should be so favored over Cope? Brown is very unreliable, I would never bet him as a decent favorite

Brown loses to good fighters.

[MMA_scientist]

Submission prop out for main event

Not Diaz -875

Not Condit -1275


I took "Not Condit by sub" for $1000. I am going to have to borrow from my bankroll to cover the "not Pierce" and and "not nelson" bets. I didn't want to miss the cheap line though by waiting for the other two to come out. I will probably drop another $500 on all 3, and then maybe another $1000 on a parlay of the other 2, assuming favorable lines.

[MMA_scientist]

Line already moved to -1750. You better wake up Jordan