11-8-08

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 97495

    11-8-08

    Matt F@rgo
    Louisville Cardinals v/s Pittsburgh Panthers 11/8/2008 12:05:00 pm Predicted Winner: Pittsburgh Panthers
    Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh Panthers 12:00 PM ET
    Pittsburgh Panthers -6 -110

    **9** Big East Conference Game of the Year Louisville could not have had a worse loss than the one last week in Syracuse. It was the second straight season that the Orange defeated the Cardinals and while a loss like that can normally fire up a team the following week, it will be the opposite this week against the Panthers. This is not a very good team and its 5-3 record is skewed because of a soft schedule played thus far. The best team it has played thus far is between Connecticut and Kentucky and both of those games resulted in home losses.

    The Panthers are coming off a hard fought four-overtime victory over Notre Dame but they are not going to lay down here. That out of conference win was nice but Pittsburgh is more concerned about the Big East Conference right now and sitting a game behind West Virginia means this is a must win to keep pace. The Panthers have two week after this to get ready for their game at Cincinnati so there is no chance for a lookahead, only for a full out effort.

    The loss in Syracuse last weekend should have been the fifth straight road loss for the Cardinals dating back to last season. A win in Memphis should never have happened as they were outgained by 182 yards. Louisville has now been outgained in three of its last four games and was outrushed for just the second time this season. That was against a team that cannot rush the ball nor stop the run and it now faces a team that can do both, something it has not seen much of this season.

    Pittsburgh is 48th in the nation in rushing offense and 43rd in rushing defense. Those rankings are nothing special but they show balance and that is the key here. The Cardinals allowed 126 rushing yards combined in their first three games but they have given up 121.2 ypg over their last five games and that includes allowing just eight yards against South Florida. Pittsburgh has rushed for at least 138 yards in each of its last five games, putting up 189.4 ypg over that stretch. 9*Pittsburgh Panthers
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 97495

    #2
    Re: 11-8-08

    vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
    160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas
    Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***

    Guys, I wanted to let my Subscribers in on the Pod-Cast Play which I will be passing along this evening, when we do this week's show...
    This is a 3* BEST BET and with the "Outfits" already taking a position on Nebraska and "steaming" them as soon as the number was posted...we may see followers push this number to where we can possibly set up a middle, like the last time (KENT ST)...But we will cross that bridge when we get to it...but for know, let's go ahead and make a 3 Unit bet on Nebraska...
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    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 97495

      #3
      Re: 11-8-08

      Colin Cowherd (29-17-2 YTD)

      California +22 (Projected score USC 33, Cal 21)
      Alabama -3.5 (Projected score Bama 37, LSU 27)
      Penn St. -7.5 (Projected score Penn St. 36, Iowa 21)
      Oklahoma St. +3.5 (Projected score Okie St. 36, Texas Tech 26)
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 97495

        #4
        Re: 11-8-08

        BOB AKMENS

        10* louisville +6 vs pitt

        10* minnesota -8 vs michigan

        10* rice -9.5 vs army

        10* airforce -10 vs colorado st

        20* san jose st -7 vs louisiana tech
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        Comment

        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 97495

          #5
          Re: 11-8-08

          FRANK PATRON

          30000 UNIT MUST WIN LOCK #25

          ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -3

          This is a blowout. Alabama went to Georgia and was up 31-0 in the first half. Georgia went to LSU and crucified the Tigers. Do not buy into all the Saban hype for the LSU players. Alabama nearly beat this team last year when LSU was great. They will murder them this year. Blowout winner boys. Take the Crimson Tide.
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          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 97495

            #6
            Re: 11-8-08

            Law Plays
            4% Purdue +10
            3% Utah State =35
            2% La Tech +7.5
            2% UCF +3
            2% Colorado State +10
            2% Western Kentucky +16.5
            2% Vanderbilt +24
            1% Purdue +$325
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            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 97495

              #7
              Re: 11-8-08

              ASA

              College Football Picks
              11/8/2008
              11:00:00 AM Ohio State Buckeyes (-11)
              over NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS
              ASA 4-Star #119 Ohio State (-11) over @ Northwestern - 11:00 am CST

              Talk about line value. Ohio State is an 11-point favorite in this game when they basically have the same team from a year ago when they were favored by 24 at home. Yes, Ohio State isn’t as good offensively as they were a year ago but the defense is again outstanding. On defense, Northwestern is without standouts defensive end Vince Browne and linebacker Malcolm Arrington, who is out for the season. Both have knee injuries. Offensively the Wildcats are now without running back Omar Conteh after suffering a knee injury in a non-contact drill at Wednesday's practice. Conteh became the starter after Tyrell Sutton suffered a regular-season ending wrist injury against Indiana a few weeks back. The Wildcats will now turn to their 3rd and 4th string backs that have a combined 10 career carries for 20 yards. That makes Northwestern one-dimensional on offense against a Buckeye defense which ranks 7th in the nation in total yards allowed. Ohio State’s stop unit held a potent Penn State offense that averages 459.8 ypg, 41.8 ppg to just 281 total yards and just 13-points two weeks ago. OSU has held 7 of their nine foes this season to 17-points or less with their only really bad showing coming at USC. With a week off you can bet the OSU coaching staff will have the Buckeye’s defense ready to play here against the Wildcats gimmick offense. Last year Ohio State beat Northwestern 58-7 and lead 45-0 at halftime. In fact the last 3 years the Buckeyes have won this series by a combined score of 160-24 which also saw OSU favored by 20+ points in all three games. With a week to put the PSU loss behind them the Buckeyes will be anxious to get back on the football field and pound someone. Northwestern is off a fortunate win over Minnesota as they picked off a pass with just 12 seconds left in the game and returned it for the game winning TD. Statistically, Minnesota outplayed them but that late INT was the difference. NU has not played a very tough schedule and is over-rated by the oddsmakers in our opinion. Northwestern did beat Minnesota and Iowa but those teams are middle of the pack Big 10 teams. The one good team they played was Michigan State and they got beat 20-37. Ohio State on the other hand has faced a much better schedule and just won at Michigan State 45-7. Ohio State is a solid 9-4-1 ATS on the road when coming off a straight up home loss and they have covered 13 of their last 17 away. Northwestern on the other hand is just 4-10 ATS at home when coming off a SU road underdog win and just 1-5 ATS as a double digit dog in that same setting. We have gotten some great reports out of the Ohio State camp this week that it’s been a great two weeks of practice and Tressel has the team really focused for this Saturday’s game. A highly motivated OSU team that is anxious to get back on the field will pound the Wildcats this weekend. Lay the small number with Ohio State.
              11/8/2008
              1:30:00 PM NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS (-1)
              over Kansas Jayhawks
              ASA 4-Star # 160 @Nebraska (-1) over Kansas - 1:30 pm CST

              The Huskers have been waiting for this rematch for nearly a year now. KU was clicking on all cylinders during last year’s game and the Huskers were reeling coming into the contest having last four straight games. The Jayhawks put up 76 points on the Huskers and most have called it the worst defensive performance in Nebraska history. It was the highest point total a Nebraska defense has ever allowed. The players and coaches were thoroughly embarrassed after the last which was to be expected. Wide receiver Todd Peterson said he was so distraught that he couldn’t even look his parents in the eye after the loss. Now they get KU in Lincoln where the Jayhawks have not won since 1968! Look for an absolute supreme effort from Husker Nation. While Kansas was one of the best teams in the country last year record wise (12-1), much of that was due to the fact that they benefited from a huge discrepancy in turnovers leading the nation at +21. Many times team “come back to earth” after a season like that. This season they rank just 57th in turnover margin which has been enough to give them two more losses already this year (5-3 record) than they had all of last season. We felt they would be an over rated team this year and they are just that. On the road, “Rock Chalk Jayhawk” has not been impressive this year. They have played just three road games all season a come in at 1-2 SU. Their only win was at anemic Iowa State 35-33. In that game they trailed 20-0 at half to the winless in the Big 12 Cyclones. That close win by Kansas tells us a lot as ISU has been blown out in every other Big 12 game this year. In fact, minus their 2-point loss to Kansas, the Cyclones have lost by an average of 28 PPG in Big 12 play. KU’s other road games were both losses at Oklahoma and South Florida. Before beating a down trodden KSU team last week, this team gave up 108 total points in just two weeks vs. Texas Tech and Oklahoma. Granted those teams are very good on offense, however it showed us some serious kinks in their defensive armor. Nebraska needs this win to be bowl eligible and they have played very well in three of their last four games. Last week’s 62-28 loss to Oklahoma was VERY deceiving as the Huskers turned the ball over three times in their first five offensive PLAYS which got them down 28-0 very quickly. After that they actually played well racking up 418 total yards on the road and getting outgained by just 90 total yards. Before that the Huskers whipped Baylor and Iowa State getting back to back wins. They also took Texas Tech to the wire in Lubbock losing in overtime 37-31 and are the ONLY TEAM to out gain the Red Raiders this season. These two teams have nearly identical numbers as they are within just 6 yards or fewer of each other in offensive yard per game and defensive yards per game. With some huge motivation for Nebraska and great home field advantage (remember KU has not won here since 1968), this is a great play. We’ll take Nebraska at home here.
              11/8/2008
              2:30:00 PM Virginia Cavaliers (+3.5)
              over WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
              ASA 3-Star #127 Virginia (+3.5) @ Wake Forest - 2:30 pm CST

              We really like the way the Cavs have been playing. Head coach Al Groh has turned this team around after a terrible start and they continue to be extremely under rated by the odds makers. UVA had won 4 straight games straight up (all as an underdog) before finally losing in overtime last week to Miami (FL). The Cavs were actually staring their fifth straight win in the face with a 17-10 and less than 1:00 minute remaining in the game. The Canes scored late to tie the game and then won in overtime when UVA RB Cedric Pearman lost a fumble. A tough way to lose, however Virginia showed no signs of slowing up as they played another solid game vs. Miami but came up just short. While Virginia is playing very well, Wake is headed in the opposite direction. The Demon Deacons have now lost 3 of their last 5 games with their only wins coming against a Clemson team with big time internal problems and an overtime win vs. Duke. Those two wins came by a total of just 8 points. Wake Forest is simply vastly over rated this year. Their offense has struggled big time ranking 101st in total offense, 103rd in rush offense and 101st in scoring offense. Before last week’s 33-30 overtime win over Duke, the Deacs offense had put up 12, 17, 12, 0 & 10 points in their previous 5 games. That won’t cut it against a great improved Virginia defense that has allowed an average of just 13 PPG (in regulation) in their last five games. WF is definitely not playing like they should be favored here and they probably shouldn’t be. Wake head coach Jim Grobe and his team thrive on the underdog role. They are outstanding when getting points. However when they are “supposed to” win, they seem to fall flat with regularity. This team is just 1-3 ATS this year as a favorite and only 12-25 in the role going all the way back to 2000. Virginia, on the other hand, has actually won their last four games out right as a dog and they are 14-7 ATS in that role. Expect Virginia to bounce back after last week’s tough loss and continue to play well. Wake has been out gained in 4 of their last 5 games and continues to falter. UVA showed two weeks ago that the road doesn’t intimidate them as they went to Georgia Tech and won 24-17 out gaining a very good Yellow Jacket team by 137 yards. They do it again on Saturday and get the out right win at Wake Forest.
              11/8/2008
              7:00:00 PM 3.5,OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
              -vs-Texas Tech Red Raiders
              ASA 3-Star #131 Oklahoma State (+3.5) @ Texas Tech - 7:00 pm CST

              What a great spot to side with a fantastic team as an underdog. The Cowboys have been great all season long and they have shown that they are not fazed on the road in big games. This team beat Missouri on the road and their only loss was @ Texas 28-24. As good as OSU is, Texas Tech will have an awfully hard time focusing on this opponent after last week’s thriller. Most in Lubbock tabbed it as the biggest game EVER for Tech and they had to score on a 28-yard TD pass with just one second left to get the win. The fans and players were whipped into a frenzy over their win against the #1 ranked in-state big boy Longhorns. A tough task to turn around and play that well again the following Saturday. We don’t think they’ll do it.

              OSU has an offense that is extremely tough to defend. They run the ball as well as anyone in the nation at 273 yards per game. QB Zac Robinson is no slouch himself completing 69% of his passes and he has thrown 20 TD passes on the year. They have put up 50 or more points in five games this year so one thing we know, they will be able to score with Tech in this one. The Raiders will not run away and hide here. And in fact, if Oklahoma State can take advantage of a Tech letdown and get a lead here, they will be able to lean heavily in their dominant running game and eat clock. That keeps Tech’s offense off the field which is what the Cowboys are looking to do here. Okie State definitely has that ability as they ripped apart the Raider defense last year for 366 yards rushing in their 49-45 win.

              The OSU defense has also improved greatly as the year has gone on. They have played very well in their big games holding Chase Daniel and Missouri to just 23 points in Columbia and Colt McCoy and Texas to only 28 points in Texas. Those were both season lows for each of those offensive juggernauts. If they do the same here, which we believe they can, they will win this game because we do not see Tech slowing down the Cowboy offense.

              Oklahoma State has covered EVERY game this year and 10 of their last 11. The roll continues and Okie State wins this game out right and takes Tech out of the National Championship race.
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 97495

                #8
                Re: 11-8-08

                Teddy Covers
                T.Covers 20 Southern Miss
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                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 97495

                  #9
                  Re: 11-8-08

                  DOC

                  4 Unit Play. #25 Take Wisconsin Badgers -9 ½ over Indiana Hoosiers (Saturday 12:00 pm Big 10 Network) Except for last week, I have made good money going against the Badgers in 2008. Now it seems like the right opportunity to side with Bucky. They are a veteran team that now finds themselves in a soft portion of their schedule and will be favored in all of them. They need to win all of them to keep their hopes alive. The offensive line is once again in tact and they will provide holes for Hill and Clay. The Hoosier defense is beaten up and this will be their ninth game in nine weeks. Injuries have also taken their toll on IU and unlike Wisconsin they have not returned into the line-up. The Hoosiers bowl hopes are gone and look for a small crowd, as the Badgers are finally back on track for success. Wisconsin 34, Indiana 14.



                  4 Unit Play. #28 Take Iowa Hawkeyes +7 ½ over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Big Three Game. This Hawkeye team continues to improve each week and despite a tough loss last week to Illinois their defense stepped up and controlled the rushing attack. Penn State is coming off a bye and a win here would almost guarantee a spot in the national championship; however, winning will not be as easy as it sounds.. The Hawks defense will give this Lion offense problems and Iowa has one of the top running backs in the country in Shonn Greene. The big key for Iowa will be QB Stanzi and if he can avoid major mistakes expect this to be a low scoring game. With that in minds and rain mix a possibility the points look very attractive. In fact I will call the upset as the homer plays their best game of the year. Iowa 20, Penn State 17.



                  5 Unit Play. #35 Take Ohio State Buckeyes -11 over Northwestern Wildcats (Saturday 12:00 pm ESPN 2) Big Three Game. The Cats pulled a big upset last week but reality will set back in on Saturday. A win last week kept the line in order and this is very manageable for a strong Ohio State team. The Buckeyes are coming off of a bye and look for them to play power football in the remaining three games. True Ohio State has been inconsistent all year and did not score an offensive touchdown against Purdue, which still amazes me. But like it or not, the talent gap between these two is huge and Ohio State lead 45-0 at halftime in their meeting last year. Injuries have hit the Cats hard this season and sneaking up on teams like they did last week will not work here. Ryan Field is not much of a home field advantage and with 25,000 Ohioans expected to make the trip, the may outnumber the home faithful. The Buckeyes defense will dominate and the offense will show their stuff. Ohio State 42, Northwestern 10.



                  4 Unit Play. #54 Take Western Michigan Broncos +7 over Illinois Fightin Illini (Saturday 12:00 pm Big 10 Network) The Illini find themselves in a real flat spot, as they step outside the conference after beating Iowa last week and have Ohio State on deck. This is the type of situation that Big 10 opponents find themselves getting beat. As for the Broncos, they bring one of the best pass offenses in the country. As good as that sounds, they also have one of the worst defense in the country. A big key for their success will be whether or not they can stop QB Juice Williams. The Illinois rushing attack has been suspect which could help them defense the pass. Illinois has struggled to rush the football and that could help the Broncos stay in this game. In what should be a huge scoring affair, the points look attractive and remember this game is played in Detroit, giving the home state team another advantage.. Illinois 35, Western Michigan 31.


                  4 Unit Play. #58 Take Colorado Buffaloes -10 over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 1:30 pm Versus) Big Three Game. This may be Colorado’s last chance to win as they finish with Oklahoma State and Nebraska with both of them on the road. Neither team is playing very well at the moment but Colorado did outgain two of their last three opponents despite failing to cover any of their last three games. Coach Hawkins knows the importance of this home game. If they lose here, recruiting will suffer. They will also have revenge on their minds, as they lead 21-0 in the 2007 meetings, but lost 31-28. The Cyclones have too many problems to make a game of this, as the homer gets the call. Colorado 35, Iowa State 10.


                  4 Unit Play. #68 Take Tennessee Volunteers -26 over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 1:00 pm ESPN Gameplan) Not only a step down in class, but a complete staircase is what separates these two institutions. Granted Coach Fulmer is on the way out; however, his players like playing for him. For a struggling team, playing Wyoming would be the way to get healthy. The Cowboys got a win last week in Laramie, but the celebration will end here. Tennessee has next week off so I see no reason why they will hold back, as a rout looks obvious. Tennessee 42, Wyoming 3.
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                  Comment

                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 97495

                    #10
                    Re: 11-8-08

                    vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
                    160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas
                    Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***

                    Guys, I wanted to let my Subscribers in on the Pod-Cast Play which I will be passing along this evening, when we do this week's show...
                    This is a 3* BEST BET and with the "Outfits" already taking a position on Nebraska and "steaming" them as soon as the number was posted...we may see followers push this number to where we can possibly set up a middle, like the last time (KENT ST)...But we will cross that bridge when we get to it...but for know, let's go ahead and make a 3 Unit bet on Nebraska...
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 97495

                      #11
                      Re: 11-8-08

                      Spylock
                      all 1 unit
                      Minny
                      Penn St.
                      Duke
                      Nevada
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                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 97495

                        #12
                        Re: 11-8-08

                        Coach Ron Meyer

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Sec And Big 12 Parlay- Lsu And Oklahoma St
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                        Comment

                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 97495

                          #13
                          Re: 11-8-08

                          Dave Cokin Tv Parlay Of Year

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Alabama And New Mexico
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                          Comment

                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 97495

                            #14
                            Re: 11-8-08

                            Chip Chirimbes

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Double Play Goy Iowa
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                            Comment

                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 97495

                              #15
                              Re: 11-8-08

                              Greg Robert GOM: Alabama -3
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