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Arizona +1.5
Arizona +1.5
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Re: 9-28-08
Brian Gabrielle
Camping World RV 400 at Kansas Speedway
Last Week: Greg Biffle won his second straight Chase race, at Dover, and we had him at +800 in a straight-up bet. That made it a mighty fine week, indeed. We won one unit on 0.5 units wagered, a return of 200% for the week, and for the season we're now up to a profit of 6.19 units on 35 units wagered, a return of 17.7%. We've also given you a winning week in 20 of 27 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have lost won six units on three units wagered, a return of 200%; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 18.73 units on 102 units wagered, a return of 18.4%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)
Take Jimmie Johnson (+450), 1/6th unit. This week, the Chase heads to Kansas, a cookie-cutter mile-and-a-half track with banking a bit more shallow than Atlanta, Charlotte and Texas. The closest equivalent may in fact be Fontana, which is a half-mile longer and with slightly less banking; it just so happens that Johnson absolutely pole-axed the field at Fontana last month. While J.J. hasn't won a race at this track, he's been the cookie-cutter king for years. I give him a great shot to take the points lead Sunday.
Take Carl Edwards (+400), 1/6th unit. And if it's not Johnson, it'll probably be King Carl. Edwards had the field completely covered in the first four cookie-cutter events this year: he won three of them, and should've won an Atlanta race where he blew an engine late with a big lead. Edwards's advantage on this track style hasn't been nearly as pronounced since then, though he did win at Michigan in that venue's second event this season, and I expect him to challenge for the win on Sunday.
Take Matt Kenseth (+1200), 1/6th unit. The chic third pick will be to take Greg Biffle (+500), who won each of the first two Chase races. And Biffle was mighty good to us last week. But those who point to Biffle's win at this track in this event last year might not remember that was a fuel-mileage race where the event was stopped for a couple hours because of a huge wreck, and they basically ran out of daylight, giving Biffle the "still-standing" win when he didn't stop for fuel. Kenseth still hasn't won a race in 2008, and actually has a litany of crummy finishes at this joint, but he has two top-fives this year at both Fontana and Michigan, and top-10s at Atlanta, Charlotte and Texas. Consistency like that is hard to duplicate, and the No. 17 bunch will be motivated to get a win before the season ends. I know Kyle Busch (+450) has a chance to bounce back, too, and he's been the best driver on this track style all year. But I think he'll push too hard and fall again, while Milwaukee Matt may just sneak into Victory Lane.Comment
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Re: 9-28-08
docs sports web sight
6-Unit Game of the Month. #201 Take Arizona +1 over New York (1 pm)
After New York’s season opening win in Miami, they have taken several steps back, especially against the Chargers. Their offense looks very shaky, while the defense could be without 3-4 anchor in the middle Kris Jenkins. If that is the case, the Cardinals running game will be even more dominant. I look for Kurt Warner and his top wide outs Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin to continue to overpower opposing secondaries. They have really attacked smaller defensive backs and created mismatches in each of their first three games. Also, Arizona has chosen to stay on the east coast all week after their game at Washington, a move never done before. I really like this from them, showing the focus to stay on the road and take the necessary steps to prepare for another win. They earn that victory over the Jets in week four.Comment
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Re: 9-28-08
2 2008-09-26 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL UPSET SPECIAL PICK! (S)
Pick # 1 Atlanta Falcons (7.0)
1 2008-09-26 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL BEST BET WINNER $0.00
Pick # 1 Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.0)
2008-09-26 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE MONTH
Pick # 1 San Diego Chargers / Oakland Raiders Under 45 -110Comment
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Re: 9-28-08
Complimentary Play from Doc’s Sports. #218 Take Chicago over Philadelphia (Sunday 8:15 pm NBC) The Eagles are coming off an impressive victory against their in-state rivals, the Pittsburgh Steelers but really got banged up in that affair. QB McNabb will play but had to leave the game in the third quarter with a chest injury and RB Westbrook is questionable for this one with an ankle injury. The Bears should be 3-0 but blew two leads against the NFC South and now are in a must win situation when the take the field on Sunday. They won in Philly in 2007, 19-16 and have owned this series victorious 25 of the 33 match-ups (1 tie). The Bears will not beat themselves as we collect in a big way on yet another Sunday night.Comment
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