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Heisman Trophy Club:
10* Eagles
10* Eagles
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Re: 9-15-08
JB's Computer Plays
Monday, September 15, 2008
Time Game Selections
7:10 p.m. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Daisuke Matsuzaka (16-2) vs. (L) Scott Kazmir (11-6) Boston Red Sox -115
7:10 p.m. New York Mets at Washington Nationals
(R) Pedro Martinez (5-4) vs. (L) John Lannan (8-13) New York Mets -170
9:40 p.m. San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
(R) Brad Hennessey (1-1) vs. (L) Doug Davis (6-8) Arizona Diamondbacks -170Comment
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Re: 9-15-08
Al DeMarco
Monday's Pick
30 Dime - Eagles
I had both the Eagles and Cowboys as free pick winners in Week One. True, it can be said Philadelphia had the much easier time of it, playing at home against an overmatched foe in St. Louis while Dallas visited the Browns, who did win 10 games a year ago. But the thing that struck me the most was how effortlessly the Eagles rolled over the Rams.
This is a different Philadelphia team than we've seen the past couple of years. First, Dononvan McNabb is the healthiest he's been in three seasons. Second, he's finally got a game-breaking receiver with speed - his first since T.O. left town - in rookie DeSean Jackson, who had 6 catches for 106 yards versus St. Louis in addition to a 60-yard punt return. Throw in a healthy Brian Westbrook, who has always been tough on the Cowboys, and you've got an offense that has quick-strike potential, and a unit that amassed 522 yards versus the Rams.
Defensively, the Birds are better as well as they've added depth to their line plus gotten younger and more athletic at linebacker, a position that was a sore spot just two seasons ago. Plus, the signing of free agent Asante Samuel only bolsters one of the league's best secondaries. His arrival means Lito Sheppard, who held T.O. to two catches in Philadelphia's upset win at Dallas last season, is now the team's nickel back and a dangerous cover man off the bench.
Not to discount the Cowboys at all as they're a talented offensive team with Romo (24-for-32, 320 yards) coming off a big game against a pathetic Cleveland secondary, but now he will be facing a stiff challenge with Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Johnson's variety of blitz packages from all angles. And Romo has shown that if he's hit, he is turnover prone and his production can be affected.
The Eagles have covered three of the last four in the series overall plus picked up the cash in three of their last four visits to Dallas. The Monday night lights have not bothered them either as they're 11-6 SU and ATS in such prime-time outings under Andy Reid, including 6-2 when getting points. On the other hand, Dallas has covered just once in seven Monday night outings since Wade Phillips took over and the Cowboys are 5-10 ATS as a MNF home chalk since 1980.
From the moment the first line was posted on this game I thought the Cowboys were overpriced; I was stunned to see them laying a touchdown in what I thought was going to be a three-or-four point game. Who wins is inconsequential; this line is too big and I'm grabbing the Eagles with the points. It was my favorite game on the board this week and thus my biggest play in terms of a rating and wager as well.Comment
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Re: 9-15-08
Indian Cowboy Comp Play- only release today
Eagles/Cowboys Under 47
Cowboys play their nemesis in the Eagles today. The spread opened up at -7 and has remained relatively steady as it has gone down slightly as the public are favoring the Cowboys to a tune of 55% today. The Cowboys and Eagles split the season series last year at 1:1 but the most recent game featured Dallas getting beat home by the Eagles in what was a defensive 6-10 battle. The Cowboys were dominant easily covering the 6 point road chalk against Cleveland and give Philly some credit for pounding the Rams by 35 points at home easily covering the 9 point chalk. Frankly, this game could go either way, but note I love the Eagles defense this year as I do the Cowboys. However, I think the Eagles are still more physical, but of course, when it comes to offense the Cowboys have given Romo far more weapons and frankly, the Cowboys running game is much better than it was last year and you will see that throughout this game. In essence, you will see a balanced running and passing attack. However, in an NFC East battle such as this 7 points is quite a lot and I know I normally favor the dog and the over here, but not in this game. McNabb has a QB rating of 130+ here and Romo with over a 106 rating. I actually lean on the Eagles and the Under here but do note that I do not have a play on this game, and will have wnba selections, college and nfl to come later this week. However, in such a rivalry, with the total being 46.5 and the public favoring the over by a 2:1 margin, don't be surprised to see an under shape up here. No play for me, but my free play will be on the under here as the under is 12-2 for the Eagles after scoring 30 points in their previous game and the under is 4-0 for the Cowboys when playing the tough defenses that the NFC East featuresComment
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Re: 9-15-08
ProCappersNetwork
Dallas -6 1/2 -1.02 (3 Unit Play) - The public seems to like Philadelphia here and to be honest this game will likely be tight but I think Dallas will emerge with at least a 7 point victory here tonight. Philadelphia in Week 1 manhandled a hapless St. Louis Rams team but a close inspection of that game shows a big advantage but the troubling aspect for me was that the Eagles rushed 32 times and were only able to gain 108 yards on the ground for a 3.4 YPC average. They had a very impressive passing game but that was against the Rams who are pretty bad this year. Dallas meanwhile was very impressive in beating down a Cleveland team that was expecting big things this year on the road as the Cowboys rushed for 167 yards on 31 carries for a very impressive 5.4 YPC and also were solid in the air going 24-32 for 320 yards and 10 YPA. The Cowboys weakness on defense was on the ground but with Philadelphia struggling to run in Week 1 I don't think that will be a problem here tonight. To show how good that Dallas running game was in Week 1 all one has to do is look at last night's contest where the Browns held the Steelers who are a very good running team to 117 yards on 31 carries or a 3.8 YPC average. I think Dallas will be able to control the clock this evening and get enough stops on defense to win this game from 7-10 points and will cover tonight.
Best of luck to everyone tonight!
Oscarxena SportsComment
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Re: 9-15-08
Greg Shaker
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys - Under 46.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
This line has dropped from an opening of 48. Needless to say, this is a big game for both of these teams and the winner will come away with a good start in winning this very tough division. Both teams have very good offensive squads but we have to remember that they both also play sound defense. That is especially true verses the run. The Eagles run defense, looked very good last week as it held three time 1,000 yard rusher Steven Jackson to 40 yards on 14 attempts. Philadelphia was seventh in the league against the run last season, allowing an average of 95.8 yards per game, while Dallas ranked sixth at 94.6. Overall, St. Louis ran for a net 36 years. The Cowboys did not fair as well verses Cleveland as the Browns netted 91 on the ground, but a couple of those runs were of the large variety and overall, they were held in check. The Eagles had their way last week but it will be tougher going this time around. The Dallas secondary is expected to welcome back Pro Bowl cornerback Terence Newman, who sat out the opener with a groin injury. With Jones replacing Newman in the starting lineup last week, the Cowboys limited the Browns passing game - featuring 2007 Pro Bowlers Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow, to just 114 yards. We will have a lot of hardhitting on the turf tonight with this early season rivalry. The last 5 of 7 the Eagles/Cowboys have played, have gone UNDER this posted total. One of those that did top the total was last year in a game that saw Dallas score 38 against a Philly squad that was banged up late in the season. The Eagles are not that way right now, and I expect them to give Romo a lot of preasure tonight. This team had 4 sacks last week, a ton of hurries and they were in the backfield all game. They do have quick LB's and 2 very good bookends. Picking the winner tonight between these two is not an easy task in my best opinion. If you held me down on the floor and tickled me, I would buy the 1/2 point and play the Eagles. That does seem to always work. Luckily, there is nobody willing to do that. But barring some D scores tonight, I think we have us an UNDER in the offing.Comment
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