Saturday 11/11/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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[ConleyPicks]

1168

Thank you to all of those who have served for the United States and Canada.

God bless all of you for your victory and sacrifice you have brought to both nations.

I'm truly blessed and thankful!

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=cmr1111zf.pdf&exp=11/13/2023&pds=CMR_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=CMR&SAP=FREEPICS)


Camarero - Race 4

Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta /Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5


Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. BOWSTRING BOY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOWSTRING BOY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. THAT'S MY BOI TOY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

BOWSTRING BOY

10/1


3/1




5

THAT'S MY BOI TOY

4/1


6/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

PARMENIDES

4


3/1

Front-runner

64


64


65.2


54.0


47.0




7

JIMMYS LUCKIE MANN

7


2/1

Front-runner

65


66


48.2


42.8


32.8




6

KNIEVEL

6


10/1

Alternator/Front-runner

77


66


59.0


54.2


46.7




3

BOWSTRING BOY

3


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

75


68


68.8


60.6


54.1




5

THAT'S MY BOI TOY

5


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

86


72


65.8


57.6


54.6




1

UNDERTAKER BLACK

1


10/1

Alternator/Trailer

61


56


54.2


47.6


37.6




2

WICKED WEDNESDAY

2


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

61


53


58.0


48.0


37.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50289&pfn=ded1111zf.pdf&exp=11/13/2023&pds=DED_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=DED&SAP=FREEPICS)


Delta Downs - Race 9

Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:59P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * E R'S MIREYA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. DAT DARES RIGHT: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. CHACHA TO CATALINA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class R ating of its last race. JENNYSBIGBABY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHESTHEBIGGAME: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race.



3

E R'S MIREYA

5/1


6/1




2

DAT DARES RIGHT

6/1


7/1




6

CHACHA TO CATALINA

4/1


7/1




11

JENNYSBIGBABY

6/1


8/1




4

SHESTHEBIGGAME

20/1


8/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




11

JENNYSBIGBABY

11


6/1

Front-runner

54


36


63.8


28.6


21.1




3

E R'S MIREYA

3


5/1

Front-runner

46


35


50.2


36.6


27.6




10

FLYING I

10


8/1

Front-runner

48


43


48.2


32.2


19.2




4

SHESTHEBIGGAME

4


20/1

Alternator/Front-runner

47


36


42.5


28.8


18.3




2

DAT DARES RIGHT

2


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


43.6


37.0


30.0




6

CHACHA TO CATALINA

6


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


40.4


44.7


38.2




9

SHE'SAGAMECHANGER

9


6/1

Trailer

0


0


14.9


33.6


22.6




12

GRACE'S VISION

12


15/1

Trailer

37


38


0.2


27.4


12.4




7

TALKABOUT

7


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


52.9


20.7


6.7




8

SHE'S THE SHERIFF

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


14.2


17.1


0.0




5

LIL PARTY CRASHER

5


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


3.4


17.8


0.8































Unknown Running Style: TENSAS LU LU (3/1) [Jockey: Thornton Timothy - Trainer: Broberg Karl].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star ParkPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=ls1111zz.htm&exp=11/13/2023&pds=LS_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=LS&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 BIG WHISKEY TIME 9/5




# 7 IM JESS TORIFIC 4/1




# 5 PEPSI GREY 6/1




BIG WHISKEY TIME is my choice. Put up a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. This filly has a strong winning percentage in short races. Strong jock with conditioner numbers make this horse a strong wagering choice. IM JESS TORIFIC - Shows reliable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. With Rivera uptop him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early for this event. PEPSI GREY - Looks very good versus this group and should be one of the early speedsters. Has to be considered based on the very good speed figure put up in the last contest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=gg1111zm.htm&exp=11/13/2023&pds=GG_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=GG&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 SILENT SUNDAY (ML=6/1)
#1 SLEW'S JOY (ML=4/1)
#2 HOGMANAY (IRE) (ML=10/1)


SILENT SUNDAY - If this gelding gets out of the gate cleanly, he'll be tough to catch. I like to see fast morning activity. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive. SLEW'S JOY - Nice return on investment for this rider and conditioner duo. Moger drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to figure that this horse is in a good spot at this level. HOGMANAY (IRE) - This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Mathis.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ATKINS (ML=2/1), #3 IN HONOR OF AUTISM (ML=3/1), #5 CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY (ML=5/1),

ATKINS - I think this probable favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last race out at Ellis Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's event. Will probably be far back with much too much to do down the stretch. IN HONOR OF AUTISM - This questionable contender didn't go to the lead and didn't close down the lane last time he ran. Doubtful that the speed fig he registered on Oct 28th will hold up in this affair. CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY - This stretch-runner will probably be rolling down the lane much too late to make an impression in this race. Tough to play at 5/1 odds after the two most recent efforts.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #6 SILENT SUNDAY to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,3,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,3,6] with [1,2,3,5,6,7] with [1,2,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=wo1111zm.htm&exp=11/13/2023&pds=WO_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=WO&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $111,600 Class Rating: 81

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 MRS. C (ML=4/1)
#8 TAG TEAM (ML=7/2)
#10 MONEY BEETS (ML=15/1)


MRS. C - Each one of this filly's recent finish positions has been progressively better. You'll be making money right and left by turning your betting money onto this jock/handler combination. This filly is in fine condition, having run a strong race on October 21st, finishing second. This filly's last speed rating is lofty enough to win here, I'll bet on her right back in today's event. TAG TEAM - Got some betting action in first race on Oct 21st at Woodbine, but finished fourth. Has a shot in today's race. Kimura rode this racer for the first time last out and comes right back in today's contest. Filly will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. MONEY BEETS - Strong return on investment for this rider and conditioner duo.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MAIDENS BLUSH (ML=3/1), #9 PRINCESSONAMISSION (ML=6/1), #2 TURBO PROP (ML=8/1),

MAIDENS BLUSH - Would have to get much more than the morning line of 3/1 to wager on this mount. PRINCESSONAMISSION - Hard to put your money on this speedy one. Too much early zip in the affair. TURBO PROP - Difficult to wager on this racer this time around. Make her show you something in a short distance contest before you wager on her in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better speed figure than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #7 MRS. C to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,8,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [7,8,10] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[7,8,10] with [7,8,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] with [2,6,7,8,10] Total Cost: $36

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at AqueductPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50267&pfn=aqu1111zz.htm&exp=11/13/2023&pds=AQU_-_11/11/2023&var=RACE_DATE=11/11/2023;TRACK_CODE=AQU&SAP=FREEPICS)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $85000 Class Rating: 85

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BURTON WAY 5/1




# 6 RINGSIDE 7/2




# 7 MODERN ERA 15/1




My selection in here is BURTON WAY. Jacobson has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Could best this group of horses based on the speed fig - 78 - of his last affair. A solid 88 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of animals. RINGSIDE - Boasts formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses in this race. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of competitive win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. MODERN ERA - Competitive try today on Lasix. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (61 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 9

Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:59P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * E R'S MIREYA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. DAT DARES RIGHT: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. CHACHA TO CATALINA: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class R ating of its last race. JENNYSBIGBABY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHESTHEBIGGAME: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race.



3

E R'S MIREYA

5/1


6/1




2

DAT DARES RIGHT

6/1


7/1




6

CHACHA TO CATALINA

4/1


7/1




11

JENNYSBIGBABY

6/1


8/1




4

SHESTHEBIGGAME

20/1


8/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




11

JENNYSBIGBABY

11


6/1

Front-runner

54


36


63.8


28.6


21.1




3

E R'S MIREYA

3


5/1

Front-runner

46


35


50.2


36.6


27.6




10

FLYING I

10


8/1

Front-runner

48


43


48.2


32.2


19.2




4

SHESTHEBIGGAME

4


20/1

Alternator/Front-runner

47


36


42.5


28.8


18.3




2

DAT DARES RIGHT

2


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


43.6


37.0


30.0




6

CHACHA TO CATALINA

6


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


40.4


44.7


38.2




9

SHE'SAGAMECHANGER

9


6/1

Trailer

0


0


14.9


33.6


22.6




12

GRACE'S VISION

12


15/1

Trailer

37


38


0.2


27.4


12.4




7

TALKABOUT

7


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


52.9


20.7


6.7




8

SHE'S THE SHERIFF

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


14.2


17.1


0.0




5

LIL PARTY CRASHER

5


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


3.4


17.8


0.8































Unknown Running Style: TENSAS LU LU (3/1) [Jockey: Thornton Timothy - Trainer: Broberg Karl].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Stakes - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 92

JUVENILE SPRINT S. - FLORIDA-BRED TWO YEAR OLDS. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, OCTOBER 29. $600 TO ENTER. A $100 SUPPLEMENTAL FEE MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 60% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. *(NOT PART OF THE ANNOUNCED




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 GENERAL LEDGER 9/5




# 4 SAINT NO MORE 6/1




# 1 BIG EFFECT 4/1




My choice here is GENERAL LEDGER. Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 83 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the best in this group of horses in this race. Is a solid contender - given the 89 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Decent selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. SAINT NO MORE - Looks like a solid candidate for the exotics. Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. BIG EFFECT - Conditioner boasts solid win figs at this distance and surface. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in his last contest.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Remington Park - Race #3 - Post: 8:03pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 64

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#10 SERENDIPITY COCO (ML=10/1)
#4 GRACE THE LADY (ML=6/1)
#2 TWO HANDS FULL (ML=5/1)


SERENDIPITY COCO - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Padilla. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This animal wins a lot of dough per race around the track. Uppermost in this race. Ran a lackluster race at Remington Park last out. Racing without the slop puts this filly at the top of my contenders list. GRACE THE LADY - Using this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart choice. Coming off a fourth place finish at Remington Park, some may pass this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good morning line odds today. TWO HANDS FULL - Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 GREEN LIGHT GIRL (ML=3/1), #6 CAT TALE SKY (ML=4/1), #1 TOM'S GIRL (ML=8/1),

GREEN LIGHT GIRL - A pattern of decreasing speed ratings 67/64/55 for this mount. The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the nice performance in the last race. CAT TALE SKY - If you keep selecting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be frustrated often. This filly earned a speed figure in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. TOM'S GIRL - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to back her.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#10 SERENDIPITY COCO to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,10] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,4,10] with [2,4,10] with [2,3,4,6,10] with [2,3,4,6,10] Total Cost: $36

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse RacingAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BACKSHOT 3/1




# 4 MY LITTLE TIPSY 5/2




# 6 FULL MAGAZINE 9/2




BACKSHOT has a quite good shot to take this race. With Arrieta getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Ran a solid last race. Shows signs of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 69 speed fig which is one of the strongest in this group. MY LITTLE TIPSY - Will almost certainly go to the front end and may never look back. Earned a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. FULL MAGAZINE - Looks very strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races recently. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 89, and has to be given consideration for this event.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 8

Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)


Claiming $15,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 9:21P


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.





Contenders



Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * IM JESS TORIFIC: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. TELLEM IM HIGH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designa tion or an "L" designation. BIG WHISKEY TIME: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. C OF A HEARTBREAK: Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



7

IM JESS TORIFIC

4/1


9/2




10

TELLEM IM HIGH

12/1


7/1




4

BIG WHISKEY TIME

9/5


8/1




1

CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC

15/1


8/1




3

C OF A HEARTBREAK

7/2


9/1






























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

CJ CLASSY SASSY CHIC

1


15/1

Slow

74


77


6.5


0.0


0.0




2

MAKIN IT BIG

2


20/1

Average

71


69


4.9


0.0


0.0




3

C OF A HEARTBREAK

3


7/2

Average

67


77


4.1


0.0


0.0




4

BIG WHISKEY TIME

4


9/5

Slow

72


77


8.0


0.0


0.0




5

PEPSI GREY

5


6/1

Fast

74


68


3.4


0.0


0.0




6

SHEZA REAL ZOOMER

6


30/1

Slow

69


60


6.8


0.0


0.0




7

IM JESS TORIFIC

7


4/1

Fast

75


81


2.3


0.0


0.0




8

SG SHEZA JET TOO

8


12/1

Slow

72


69


6.2


0.0


0.0




9

SPECIAL LIL CRICKET

9


10/1

Slow

75


69


6.3


0.0


0.0




10

TELLEM IM HIGH

10


12/1

Average

83


70


5.1


0.0


0.0




11

BO TRAIN

11


10/1

Fast

74


67


3.4


0.0


0.0




12

THE RUNAWAY CARTEL

12


20/1

Average

68


63


4.2


0.0


0.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 3:01pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#14 BARAYE (ML=4/1)
#4 TWO SIP SALLY (ML=9/2)


BARAYE - Filly had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. If this filly gets out of the gate cleanly, she'll be tough to catch. Ward is solid in turf sprints. This horse should have no rationalizations if she doesn't win. Registered a nice turf figure on September 2nd at Saratoga. A repeat in this race, and this one has a great shot to win. TWO SIP SALLY - Jockey hops back on after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding last time around the track. That's always a good thing. Entered a Maiden Special race at Keeneland last time out and raced on the soft turf finishing fourth. I'd expect a better race in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TAMMY LYNN (ML=7/2), #12 TWIRL AROUND (ML=4/1), #10 SHORE WAR (ML=5/1),

TAMMY LYNN - This stretch-runner will probably be closing much too late to make an impression in this contest. Earned a most unsatisfactory rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on October 6th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. TWIRL AROUND - No accomplishments for this vulnerable equine in a sprint event over the last couple months tells me that this filly is in a tough spot SHORE WAR - Doubtful that the speed rating she registered on October 19th will be enough in this race.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#14 BARAYE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,14]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

14 with 4 with [9,11,16] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:

[4,14] with [4,14] with [9,11,12,16] with [9,11,12,16] with [9,11,12,16] Total Cost: $48

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 12


1
1
COPACABANA HANOVER
7/2
Noble, Dan - 16
459.52


2
2
SHEEZ SMOKIN HOT
8/1
Melloy, Pat Jr - 11
424.32


9
9
SCIUTO
12/1
Smith, Jeremy - 24
415.12


3
3
RETRO HANOVER
6/1
Noble, Koltin - 7
397.70


6
6
BC SWEETHEART
5/2
Smith, Trevor - 6
396.19


4
4
HAILMARYFULLOGRACE
12/1
Cisco, Scott - 9
386.80


8
8
WIGGLE TOWN
8/1
Smith, Tyler - 12
368.78


5
5
BEGGINTOBEFRISKY
9/2
Kauffman, Kayne - 7
359.25


7
7
TOWNLINE TILLY
12/1
Miller, Brett - 13
276.37

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Century Mile

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 10


7
7
HANDSOME DAN
4/1
Campbell, J Brandon - 24
404.06


1
1
THOUGHTS OF A FOOL
2/1
Gagne, Jean Francois - 16
398.54


3
3
STAYTHIRSTY DE VIE
10/1
Sobey, Nathan K - 17
385.11


2
2
UP YER KILT
5/2
Hennessy, Michael R - 17
376.25


4
4
PONDER NO LONGER
10/1
Kelly, David A - 19
370.16


5
5
THE DICKENS
6/1
Giesbrecht, Philip - 11
365.09


8
8
JUS CHED
8/1
Gillis, Logan - 7
341.78


6
6
OUTLAW WITFIT
12/1
Gray, Jamie D - 7
325.49

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga HarnessAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 9 - Post: 7:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$10500 - NON-WINNERS $6,000 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 AE: NON-WINNERS 7 EXT. P-M RACES OR $70,000 LIFE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 2 AMERICAN REBEL 7/2




# 4 OCEAN COLONY 10/1




# 1 LETSGOTOBRAZIL A 8/1





Look no further than AMERICAN REBEL as the bet here. Overall figures appear good. Can't throw out at this point. Is a very promising choice given the 82 speed rating from his most recent gathering. Tough to pass on this gelding with experienced Devaux in the cart. Major player for the top prize. OCEAN COLONY - Might be there at a nice price tag. Most definitely one to keep in your exotics. LETSGOTOBRAZIL A - Can't overlook based on TrackMaster SRs which have been terrific (84 avg) these days. The 1 hole is on fire here at Saratoga Harness. More wins than you would expect.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 5 - Post: 8:52 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$18000 - NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $19,850 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: N/A $2,025 P/S IN 2022-23.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 7 WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH 2/1




# 5 RESPECT OUR FLAG 5/1




# 10 UNCLE SHANK A 6/1





WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH gets the edge as our best wagering option in this outing. This solid standardbred looks strong. Check out the 93 average speed rating. Seems to have a great class advantage based on the standardbreds he has faced. Deserves a shot given the positive win percentage he sports. RESPECT OUR FLAG - When starting from the 5 hole, a much better than average win percentage has resulted. Is a substantial choice given the 90 TrackMaster speed fig from his most recent contest. UNCLE SHANK A - Deserves a shot given the successful win clip he sports. The wagering panel gives this contender a nice chance to win this one, class numbers are tops in the field of starters.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Hoosier Park

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 11


5
5
FLAGMAN
3/1
Plano, Rick - 14
648.65


6
6
BROOKVIEW BOLT
5/2
Tetrick, Trace - 21
618.80


1
1
DOVER IN MOTION
8/1
Macomber, Ricky Jr - 10
612.98


3
3
LATE NITE HAWK
12/1
Wilfong, Kyle - 11
605.37


2
2
JUSMAKINYALOOK
4/1
Ross, Jordan - 10
599.31


4
4
TOY'S FOR YOU
5/1
Putnam, Joey - 10
575.02


7
7
RENEGADE GYPSY
9/2
Oosting, Michael - 12
518.38

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#

PP

HORSE NAME

M/L

DRIVER - WIN%

POINTS



RACE 6


2
2
TALKING TOM
3/1
Long, Chris - 10
519.47


4
4
CENTURY ENDEAVOR
7/2
Beckwith, Brett - 16
517.69


7
7
SEVENTH SECRET
8/1
Devaux, Jim - 19
512.20


1
1
SIX DEGREES
10/1
Cushing, Mitchell - 10
510.52


3
3
ADDISON HANOVER
5/2
Dobson, Billy - 14
509.05


5
5
UNCLE JORD A
12/1
Gray, Shawn T - 20
503.20


6
6
AHI SUNSHINE
5/1
Athearn, Matthew - 10
491.81

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century MileAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.Race 3 - Post: 6:59 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 45 - Purse:$5200 - FILLIES & MARES NW 2 RACES OR 10,000 LIFETIME


CONSORTIUM CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/chats.gif
# 1 CENALTA TOKEN 6/1




# 3 WESTWARD ANGELS 12/1




# 6 SWEET CAROLINEEMMA 5/2





CENALTA TOKEN will have you running to the cashier's window in here. Good for a win bet just off the outstanding prior class statistics. Have to like this solid standardbred. With this driver/trainer hooking up, players often make some green stuff. ROI is great with this team. Recent figures for the driver - 26 percent win - make this filly a top pick in the race. WESTWARD ANGELS - When the trainer Chappell puts Campbell up for the drive very nice things happen. All you need to do is look at the 25 win percent. Campbell is racking up the wins of late. Outstanding win stat makes this horse our contender. SWEET CAROLINEEMMA - Could be considered today if only for the formidable speed figure achieved in the last race. Filly and trainer go together like a hand in a glove. They finish in the money 60 percent of their races.

[ConleyPicks]

BRIAN W. SPENCER'S DAILY PICKSDel Mar - Race #3


PICKS
NOTES


#8 Pink Whitney
She has room to bounce back while dropping out of Grade II company, and her previous turf form was serviceable enough to think it might be enough with this modest group.


#9 Ennereilly
She tracked the pace but came up empty when the serious finishing got underway, but she is probably capable of something better than that here. Not impossible.


#5 Ellie Moore
She was way overbet in her only local try, but she makes a bit of sense against an underwhelming bunch if she has any upside around two turns.


Race Summary
Pink Whitney might offer a midrange price while dropping and getting back to the turf, and her mild finishing efforts here earlier this year might keep her in the frame.


Del Mar - Race #7


PICKS
NOTES


#2 Nadette
She has the occasional sharp finishing race that would be competitive with these, and there are a couple of pretty tough customers scattered about her company lines.


#1 Linda's Gift
She's another who might offer an OK price with some running lines that fit here, but she's a bit of a question on class while meeting a handful of players who have been pretty nice Grade III or borderline Grade II types.


#5 Zolce Del
She's back off the long break after last trying Grade I company, and while her baseline effort makes her a player in here, I'm not totally sold that her price is going to be equal to the risk today.


Race Summary
Nadette wasn't too far off a couple of decent groups in her running lines from last year, and I'm hoping she'll be able to fire fresh, even if the stretch goal is probably something a bit bigger over the winter at Santa Anita.


Del Mar - Race #8


PICKS
NOTES


#6 Oviatt Class
There are several horses in here whose running lines typically have them tracking the pace before giving away ground in the lane, and that might set things up nicely for a finisher. This guy can stay on the screen while relaxing off the splits.


#8 Mucino
Think he might be one of the more likely winners here with a perfect trip likely waiting for him, and his ability to keep plugging away might get him past the leaders late.


#2 Will Be
He's a really high-ceiling threat while getting around two turns -- if he transfers something like the two-back run to this route trip, he might handle these without a problem. What kind of price to find out?


Race Summary
Oviatt Class has remained fairly ordinary for a horse at this level after briefly becoming a known name for anyone who handicapped the 2021 Breeders' Cup, but his last showed some tiny signs of life, and I wonder if he can move forward today to take advantage of a favorable race flow?

[ConleyPicks]

FRANK CARULLI'S DAILY PICKSLaurel Park - Race #3


PICKS
NOTES


#8 DR. DOYLE (9-2)
Classy 6-year-old ran into traffic jam in shorter sprint, good value play.


#2 HORN OF PLENTY (5-2)
Out of town numbers translate well in this spot.


#1 ROYAL SPY (4-1)
Finished second in his last three short sprints on the main track.


Race Summary
DR. DOYLE was shut off at the eighth pole while rallying between rivals, at the same time the winning favorite was beginning to edge clear. He goes an extra half-furlong from the outside post in his second start after six months away. Bet to win and place.


Laurel Park - Race #6


PICKS
NOTES


#8 ROANAN GODDESS (5-1)
Appears rounding to another big race in her stakes debut.


#1 CAP CLASSIQUE (3-1)
Sat good trip and romped against ‘Roanan’ in first try on main track.


#9 DEBOISBLANC (9-5)
#9 DEBOISBLANC (9-5) – Cox shipper bounced back from dull stakes try with allowance romp.


Race Summary
ROANAN GODDESS awaited room at the quarter pole, found it on the rail and powered away from the co-favorite in a manner that suggests she is ready for her first stakes try. She recovered well from a stumbled start in her debut but was no match for favored CAP CLASSIQUE, who draws the rail for the rematch. Bet to win and place.


Laurel Park - Race #9


PICKS
NOTES


#2 PAYNTER’S PRODIGY (3-
Hoping to follow the lead of his sire, a first-out winner and millionaire.


#6 DATS DATS DATS (12-1)
No fire as first-time gelding, never count this barn out with 2-year-olds.


#3 SUGAR HOOF (8-5)
Blew clear stretch lead at 1M, ran second as lone entrant to run well in route.


Race Summary
PAYNTER’S PRODIGY, the son of Grade 1-winning router and Belmont Stakes runner-up Paynter, shows a 10-week workout gap leading up to a one-mile breeze at Laurel last Saturday. Trainer Gary Capuano excels with 2-year-olds so give Paynter’s Prodigy the nod with a win and place bet.

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Saturday November 11, 2023
AQUEDUCT

Acacia Clement
Race 1 1-6-8-4
Race 2 3-2-8-5
Race 3 2-4-1-6
Race 4 1-9-4-2
Race 5 9-8-6-2
Race 6 8-2-6-5
Race 7 1-4-6-9
Race 8 6-1A-7-4
Race 9 5-8-4-7
Race 10 8-7-9-6

Andy Serling
Race 1 5 - 1 - 6 - 7
Race 2 2 - 3 - 8 - 5
Race 3 4 - 2 - 6 - 5
Race 4 1 - 2 - 9 - 4
Race 5 6 - 5 - 8 - 9
Race 6 8 - 6 - 7 - 1
Race 7 1 - 8 - 4 - 9
Race 8 6 - 1/1A - 7 - 4
Race 9 7 - 8 - 13 - 5
Race 10 8 - 5 - 7 - 9

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Saturday, November 11 AQUEDUCTby David Aragona
PICKS

Race 1: 4 - 1 - 6 - 8
Race 2: 2 - 5 - 8 - 3
Race 3: 2 - 4 - 5 - 6
Race 4: 9 - 4 - 2 - 5
Race 5: 9 - 5 - 8 - 6
Race 6: 8 - 2 - 7 - 6
Race 7: 4 - 8 - 1 - 9
Race 8: 6 - 4 - 1 - 2
Race 9: 7 - 13 - 8 - 12
Race 10: 9 - 7 - 8 - 2
FAIR VALUE PLAYS(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)

RACE 5
Everyone horse in the main body of this field will be trying the turf for the first time. Enlighten (#2) figures to garner the most support off his dirt form, and he does have some pedigree for grass. However, horses like this tend to get bet for the wrong reasons, and you can find better value elsewhere. Among those switching surfaces, Unique Insight (#6) offers some appeal. Despite being a son of Gun Runner, who isn’t really known as a turf sire, his dam was a stakes winner on grass. He seems like one who might have needed his debut race going a mile on dirt, and I expect a better effort this time. I just wonder if he’ll be much of a price with Irad Ortiz riding. Perhaps the most interesting of the first time turfers is Hamilton’s Way (#5), who has caught some tough fields in his three prior dirt attempts. He wasn’t competitive in any of those races, but has at least earned speed figures that show he has some ability. He really has more of a turf pedigree, being by solid influence Constitution out of a dam who was a 2-time turf winner and was multiple stakes-placed on that surface. Ray Handal doesn’t have the greatest stats with this move, but the horse figures to be a fair price and picks up Joel Rosario. There are also some first time starters to consider. Cugino (#8) has one of the most convincing turf pedigrees in the field, being by versatile sire Twirling Candy out of a dam who raced exclusively on turf and was a multiple stakes winner. She’s produced two foals, both of which are turf specialists, topped by G3-placed turfer Battle of Normandy. My top pick is another firster who might get somewhat overlooked. Urge to Merge (#9) was acquired for $115k at Tattersalls. His sire Mehmas is best known in the U.S. for producing G1-winning miler Chez Pierre and multiple graded turf stakes winner Going Global. The dam never won on turf, but she’s produced 8 winners from as many foals to race, mostly overseas, 7 of which are turf winners. The best of those is multiple British handicap-winning turf sprinter Capote’s Dream. Horacio De Paz is 1 for 2 with first time starters in turf routes, the winner being future stakes winner Be Your Best at 8-1.
Fair Value:
#9 URGE TO MERGE, at 6-1 or greater
#5 HAMILTON'S WAY, at 9-1 or greater

RACE 6
I’m not trying to beat Rhiannon (#8) as she makes her stakes debut in this Pebbles. She was highly touted prior to her debut on dirt at Saratoga, but failed to handle the muddy surface that day. She has much more of a turf pedigree on the dam’s side, and she clearly took that surface last time when switched over. She showed improved tactical speed and always traveled like the winner, easily blowing past the pacemaker at the quarter pole before opening up late with impressive strides. She earned a 112 TimeformUS Speed Figure, which makes her one of the fastest horses in this field. That number stands up to scrutiny, as the third-place finisher from that race returned to finish second last week, improving her number by 6 points. She has the tactical speed and versatility to work out the right trip, and she might be a better price than she otherwise would be for this barn with Kendrick Carmouche retaining the mount. Her main rival from a class standpoint is Sacred Wish (#6), who won the Winter Memories over this course and distance in her turf debut two back. She got a perfect trip to win that day, but wasn’t as fortunate last time when getting squeezed back in the early stages before making a belated rally at Keeneland. She makes some sense, but I think others have a bit more upside. Another Chad Brown runner also exits a maiden victory. Startup Mentality (#7) was pretty impressive winning her debut at Monmouth back in July. She did get pace to close into, but still made an eye-catching move from last to first in the final three-eighths of a mile. She’s supposed to get some pace to close into here, and she should be charging late if she’s ready for the class hike off a layoff. Plentitude (#2) also returns from a layoff with something to prove. She’s never gone this far, having sprinted in her three prior starts. I thought she was game to earn the victory over a solid allowance field two back, and last time she just got run off her feet in the Blue Sparkler after chasing wide on the turn. She’s bred to go longer as a half-sister to Pilgrim winner Agate Road and dirt router Gasoline. This is a tough spot, but she could potentially work her way into the exotics at a price.
Fair Value:
#8 RHIANNON, at 8-5 or greater

RACE 8
I’ll be interested to see how short a price My Harbors Dream (#6) turns out to be. He just seems like a logical fit in this optional claimer as he makes his first start off the claim for Rick Dutrow. This horse proved to be a great $10k claim for David Jacobson, improving to win three allowance or starter races for the new barn. He was an impressive winner at Delaware two back before running a game race at this level upon his return to New York last time. He had to be hard-used early to chase the leader, ultimately setting it up for winner Spun and Won to pick them both up in the late stages. That 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure makes him the horse to beat. He’s also drawn well outside in a race that doesn’t feature an abundance of early speed. I just think he makes a lot of sense and is clearly the most likely winner. David Jacobson sends out a coupled entry, which figures to vie for favoritism. I’m not a fan of Colonel Bowman (#1A), who could attract more support. He’s put together an admirable record this season, but his form has been tailing off recently. It wasn’t a great sign when Jacobson entered him for $40k last week, and I don’t see him rebounding here. Divine Armor (#1) is the more interesting half of the entry, since he’s run a few races in Southern California that put him in the mix. However, his lack of early speed is a minor concern. The wild card is American Monarch (#4), who returns from a 560-day layoff. He had run some strong dirt races early in his 4-year-old season, but much time has passed since then and Bill Mott doesn’t have the best stats off these extended breaks.
Fair Value:
#6 MY HARBORS DREAM, at 8-5 or greater

RACE 9
This Red Smith is easily the most interesting race on the card, drawing a full field, including some also eligible entrants. Soldier Rising (#8) is clearly the horse to beat as he gets some class relief, dropping out of a steady diet of Grade 1 races. While he’s run well in all of those attempts at the highest level this season, he’s finishing second in each of them. Despite being beaten by some good horses along the way, he’s generally just picking up pieces each time. He looked similarly formidable on the way into last year’s Red Smith before failing to deliver, though that race featured a slow pace that worked against him. He’s supposed to get a much better setup this time with plenty of speed signed on. A contested pace would benefit several horses in this race, including Master Piece (#12), who found himself racing too close to a pace that fell apart in the Arlington Million last time. He’s better when he can take back and launch one late run, though timing his move has been an issue at times. I still don’t think we’ve seen the best he might have to offer since the switch to Rick Dutrow, and he figures to be a square price. I’m also intrigued by the horse drawn just outside of him, who is supposed to draw into this field with the expected scratch of Red Run. Classic Catch (#13) has been entered for turf twice but rained off the grass each time. He didn’t seem to mind two back when winning that race on dirt with a career-best 119 TimeformUS Speed Figure. Yet despite apparently waking up on the dirt, Todd Pletcher continues to harbor a desire to get this horse on grass. Watching his turf workouts from the summer at Saratoga, it's easy to understand why. He really appeared to take to that surface in the mornings, and it has to be taken as a good sign that he’s gotten back into top form recently. Distance isn’t supposed to be an issue for him, but he does have to work out a trip from this wide draw. My top pick is Marwad (#7). This lightly raced 4-year-old really seemed to come to hand once stretched out to marathon distances at Gulfstream last winter. He was a dominant winner going this distance on Jan. 28, overcoming a wide trip to win going away. He then might have run the best race of all in the Mac Diarmida, since he was again hung wide around the turns and still battled on for second. He was off for a long time after that, and it feels like his return on synthetic was just a prep. He chased some fast interior fractions that day before tiring. He should be fitter for this second start back, and he’s dangerous if he can build on that form from last winter.
Fair Value:
#7 MARWAD, at 7-1 or greater
#13 CLASSIC CATCH, at 9-1 or greater

RACE 10
I don’t want to invest too heavily in trying to beat likely favorite Icy Flavor (#7) in this finale. He just makes a ton of sense, especially once you closely examine the pace scenario. There just isn’t much speed signed on here, with he and Russi appearing to be the only horses who can attain forward position. And that rival is ridden by a jockey who is rarely aggressive, so Icy Flavor figures to control this race on the front end. He also ran a lot better than it appears in his lone turf start in New York. Returning from a lengthy layoff, he was competing above his eligible condition against tougher N2X foes. Furthermore, the trip didn’t work out, as he was stymied inside behind rivals in the stretch during a time when you didn’t want to be inside on the Mellon turf course at Saratoga. He’s supposed to be more effective against this group, but it’s not as if he projects to be some great price. The only horse that I can build a reasonable case for as an alternative is Veterans Beach (#9). This 7-year-old isn’t exactly a winning type with 13 slices to go along with his 4 career victories. However, he is much more of a turf sprinter, and he’s spent far too much time trying to transform into a router over the past two seasons. I like him turning back after trying a ridiculous spot on dirt last time. It’s also a positive that he moves into the Mike Maker barn and picks up Kendrick Carmouche, who is savvy enough to realize that you want to attain some forward position with this horse. They’re the main two for me, but I could also throw Image of Quality (#8) into the exotics. It’s unclear if he’s good enough, but the connections have been adamant about getting him on turf, scratching him in a number of off the turf races in recent months. He had a significant trip on debut, and he does have pedigree for this surface.
Fair Value:
#9 VETERANS BEACH, at 9-2 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

Del mar
By Brad FreeBEST BET: Habeas (6th race)
First Race1. Dark Vintage 2. Hedwig 3. Invincible

DARK VINTAGE and HEDWIG are stakes-placed 2yo turf sprinters who pre-entered last week in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile TurfSprint. The race oversubscribed and neither made the cut. They meet in this N1X, the call is locally based DARK VINTAGE. Winner of amaiden turf sprint at Del Mar in summer, he subsequently ran well finishing second in a $100k turf-sprint stakes at Santa Anita. Hepressed, made the lead, then was outrun by the odds-on favorite while finishing two+ lengths clear of third. Good try. He has a versatilepressing style, and is proven at DMR. But his main rival is good. HEDWIG faced better than these when second in a $487k turf sprintstakes last out at Kentucky Downs. The winner returned to finish third in a G2, the third-place finisher won a stakes race two starts later.HEDWIG is dropping significantly in class. Close call between the top pair. INVINCIBLE added blinkers and wired maidens last out.Perhaps he found his niche as a turf sprinter, but this really looks like a two-horse race.

Second Race1. Pilot Commander 2. Imagination 3. E J Won the Cup

First-time starter PILOT COMMANDER, a Justify sibling to stakes winner Freedom Flyer, looked strong working five furlongs incompany Nov. 5 (viewed online). Juvenile progeny of Justify have won at an above-average 22 percent rate first time out. His stable alsostarts $1 million yearling IMAGINATION, a full brother to G3 winner Occult. Sharp works suggest IMAGINATION is well-meant. Closecall between two well-bred stablemates. Bob Baffert trains. E J WON THE CUP removes blinkers after he chased a blazing pace andcracked. His runner-up finish two starts back over the DMR surface might be fast enough. BRITISH ISLES raced greenly and misfired farback in his disappointing debut. Stablemate of the top pair, he should improve second time out.

Third Race1. Respect the Crown 2. Auratium 3. Ellie Moore
Maiden 2yo RESPECT THE CROWN stretches out with two sprints under his belt and a running style that suggests two turns is what hewants. He took an awkward step on the turn last time and flattened out to finish fourth. But he worked twice since and should like this onemile distance. AURATIUM is racing into condition; his third last out in a similar turf mile was his best yet. Trainer Michael McCarthy haswon 15 races this year with 10 different 2yos. ELLIE MOORE goes long after a troubled sprint comeback. Her first two starts in the U.S.were off-slowly off-the-board finishes in sprints. She might prefer this two-turn trip.

Fourth Race1. Sheza Girly Girl 2. Spoiled Rotten 3. Equilove

SHEZA GIRLY GIRL scored the ninth win of her career last out in a low-level claiming race on synthetic; she moves up slightly to $10kclaiming while returning to the DMR surface on which she has won 3 of 6. The veteran can mow them down late. SPOILED ROTTENdrops to the lowest level of her career, and shortens to her preferred one-turn distance after fading in a route. Her recent figures are higherthan the top choice; 'ROTTEN also has more early speed. No knocks on an obvious contender. EQUILOVE has more speed than the toppair, and benefits by the shorter distance of this five and one-half furlong race after tiring at six. She drops one class level, and is expectedto the pace. Seven of the eight dirt sprints at this short distance last fall were won by the pacesetter.

Fifth Race1. Kissed by Fire 2. Runninwiththeboyz 3. New CollectionSpeedster

KISSED BY FIRE has her work cut out in this N2X turf sprint, facing at least two rivals with the same up-front style. Despitethe challenging pace scenario, 'FIRE gets the call while seeking her fourth straight win. She dominated both recent starts; she is quick fromthe gate. The challenge is coping with fast pace rivals to her outside. Tepid choice, regardless. RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ has the perfectsprint style for this speed-laden turf race. In sprints, she rallies from slightly off. That style could be ideal if the pacesetters go nuts outfront. 'BOYZ makes her first start in three months; she won twice this year returning from three-month layoffs. Obvious contender. LasixDate: November 11th, 2023 Track: Del Mar11/10/23, 11:52 AM about:blankabout:blank 2/2on NEW COLLECTION makes her U.S. debut with creditable European form including a pair of stakes wins in Italy. Although importsfrom this stable generally race into condition rather than fire first start back, 'COLLECTION is third preference. RUFA RED KNOT andQUEEN MOLOTOV are the aforementioned speedsters the top choice must cope with.

Sixth Race1. Habeas 2. Memes 3. Diamonds Preferred

This maiden-20 is the softest chance yet for HABEAS, who finished in the money his last four starts including runner-up finishes bothrecent at SA and Los Alamitos. Either of those starts would be fast enough to win this bottom-level sprint. On paper, the 10-start maiden isa low-odds standout. His trainer Keith Craigmyle runs primarily at Los Alamitos, where his maiden favorites are 13-for-16 the past fiveyears. MEMES shortens to a sprint after he pressed and faded in his comeback following a layoff of nearly a year. He posted typically fastworks following his return, and he sprinted fairly well as a 3yo early last year. DIAMONDS PREFERRED tailed off in summer, but mayhave benefitted from a short recent layoff. The truth is, quality drops significantly after the top pair.

Seventh Race1. Dolce Zel 2. Turnerloose 3. Yerwanthere

A pair of graded winners trained by Phil D'Amato top this restricted filly-mare turf stakes, a race that has not been kind to chalk. Favoritesare 0-for-7; winning payoffs include $36.60, $28, $39.40 and $67.80. While it seems anything goes in the Kathryn Crosby Stakes, DOLCEZEL is a logical choice over stablemate TURNERLOOSE. 'ZEL has not raced in nearly a year, but she runs well fresh, recent worksappears decent, and the presence of jockey Flavien Prat hints positive intent. 'ZEL won graded races vs. 3yos last year while making herfirst start back from layoffs; she should be ready to fire first start since changing trainers. TURNERLOOSE has a recency edge over herstablemate, dropping from graded races in summer and fall including a G2 runner-up the last time she ran on the DMR turf. She has aforwardly placed running style; her stablemate rallies from behind. The D'Amato pair are the field's only graded winners.YERWANTHERE scored a visually impressive N1X win two weeks ago, and must have come out of the race in top shape because shewas supplemented to this stakes. It is a big jump from N1X to restricted stakes, but YERWANTHERE won last out with plenty in the tank.She is sharp.

Eighth Race1. Will Be 2. Devil Be Me 3. Oviatt Class

WILL BE returns to the DMR surface on which he scored a highly rated sprint win in summer; this will be his first route. Bred top andbottom to route, working well following a recent misfire in a fast-pace sprint, WILL BE might be the speed of the field. He is trained byD'Amato, who also entered DEVIL BE ME. The latter won three straight in spring and summer, then broke poorly and was eased his mostrecent start two months ago. The Cal-bred gelding is proven at two turns, and his versatile style could lead to a comfortable trip rightbehind the pace likely to be set by his stablemate. OVIATT CLASS, a late-runner, makes his first start since being compromised by anAug. 12. speed bias over this track. 'CLASS is a better horse than either summer start suggests; he should be rolling late. HARD TOFIGURE stretches out with speed to press the pace.

Ninth Race1. Park City 2. Birth of Cool 3. Never Seen Before

In a wide-open N3L claiming turf route, PARK CITY just might post an upset. His N2L claiming win on dirt two back was relatively fast,he was compromised by traffic last out when fourth in a N3L claiming route on dirt. He was a turf horse early in his career, running wellhis first two starts on the surface. This is his first turf route in more than a year, facing a modest field. He can upset with a clean trip.BIRTH OF COOL should be one of the favorites, returning to the DMR turf on which he ran a career-best race in summer when second ina starter allowance. He goes first off the claim by Craig Dollase, and drops from open $25k claiming to N3L. The challenge is distance; hemight want farther than one mile. NEVER SEEN BEFORE is reunited with Juan Hernandez, who rode him to victory in spring. Off sincelate August, 'BEFORE drops into a restricted claiming race and will be running late. COMRADERY was good enough in spring, and has aright to improve stretching back out following a dirt-sprint comeback.

[ConleyPicks]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | November 11, 2023
Nov. 10, 2023










Race 10 at Churchill Downs | Saturday November 11 | Post Time 5:35 PM EasternRiver City Stakes – Grade 3 | Purse $300,000 | One Mile and One Eighth on Turf | Three Year Olds and UpwardWith a full field of 12 likely given there are three also-eligibles which can run if any in the main body of the field should withdraw, we have a wide open race full of profit potential. The contenders are determined by the pace of the race and normally that would entail finding two or three “need the lead” types and looking at the best of the stalkers and closers. However, in this case with the makeup of the field, I think in spite of the fact Cellist (1), F Five (2), Stitched (9), Injunction (10) and one of the also-eligibles, Accredit (13), the fact is none of them have had to run fats on the lead.
That means Dominican Pioneer (7) is by far the fastest of any of the horses which may go for the lead, and therefore he could have an easy lead all to himself from the start and particularly with the longer run to the first turn in this mile and one-eighth race. That’s exactly what happened two months ago on September 13 at Kentucky Downs in a classified allowance field, where Dominican Pioneer established the lead from the start and never gave any of the other seven runners a chance to catch him. Winning when leading from start to finish at Kentucky Downs is nearly impossible given the right turn on the backstretch, sweeping final bend, uphill climb to the finish and one of the longest stretches in North America. That effort earned Dominican Pioneer a career-best and more important, field high 115 Equibase Speed Figure, better than the figures of the eight entrants with previous stakes wins. Although John Velazquez gets off to ride Smokin T (6), Gerardo Corrales getting on for trainer Wesley Ward is just fine and they have teamed up to win 25 races from 75 starters going back to the beginning of 2022. A lightly raced four year old with a three for six record on grass, and having missed by a head on the wire the only time he’s run over the Churchill Downs turf, Dominican Pioneer has a strong chance to successfully play “come catch me” and win this year’s River City takes.
Harlan Estate (12) won’t have a problem with his outside post, not only because of the long run to the first turn but also because he can run as far back as last if need be. One before lasts, Harlan Estate won the Tapit Stakes, also at Kentucky Downs, rallying from eighth of 11 after a half-mile had been run and widening on the field in the final yards. The reason for that big effort was the addition of blinkers not worn for since this past February, and that really got him to focus and run well. He was overmatched in the Grade 1 Turf Mile at Keeneland last month but the drop in class, and the fact he missed by a nose on the Churchill Downs turf at this distance in May, gives him a big shot of getting up in time if I am wrong about the pace scenario and a number horses all try for the early lead.
Cellist (1) gets the ground saving rail and just ran the best race of his career when leading late and settling for second, gamely so by a neck over the third horse, in the Sycamore Stakes last month at Keeneland. Cutting back from 12 furlongs to nine is fine as he’s won at the trip, and he’s two for four on the Churchill Turf. Garcia has ridden him fine in three straight and with a stalking style and the rail allowing the jockey and trainer to sit second behind Dominican Pioneer from the start and take over if that one falters, Cellist rounds out a trio of win contenders in this race.
There are number of horses (in addition to the win contenders) which might complete the exacta, most notably Red Run (3), Stitched (9), Injunction (10) and Seige of Boston (11). In addition, if Accredit (13), Beatbox (14) or Street Ready (15) draw into the race they might be considered in the second and third positions on exacta and trifecta tickets.
Bets:
Win:
Dominican Pioneer (7) can be considered for a win bet at 3 to 1 or more.
Cellist (1) and Harlan Estate (12) can be considered for win bets at 4 to 1 or more.
Exactas:
Box Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7) and Harlan Estate (12)
Optionally, consider Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7) and Harlan Estate (12) over Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7), Harlan Estate (12). Red Run (3), Stitched (9), Injunction (10) and Siege of Boston (11).
Trifectas:
Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7) and Harlan Estate (12) Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7) and Harlan Estate (12) over ALL over Cellist (1), Dominican Pioneer (7) and Harlan Estate (12).
If all 12 run the cost of this bet at the $0.50 minimum level is $30. If we play a $5 exacta box of the three main contenders the cost is also $30, for a total of $60, and we win if any two of the three finish first and second OR first and third. We win both the exacta and trifecta if all three finish in the top 3. In a full field of 12 with no strong favorite there appears to be a lot of reward for the risk in making both bets.

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 11
Nov. 10, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:50 AM ET



BEST BET: #6 MAD BANKER









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
6
Mad Banker
K Davis


PLACE
6-1
4
Running Lucky
M Martin


SHOW
9-2
8
A Knights Courage
L R Rivera Jr.


WILD CARD
3-1
7
Star Sequence
J A Gomez





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
5
The Delaware Boyz
K Carmouche


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
2
Braca
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/7/8 BOX









RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
1-2
2
Iron Works
J A Gomez


PLACE
8-1
5
Inspeightoftrainer
J Lezcano


SHOW
10-1
8
Devils Cay
D Davis


WILD CARD
10-1
6
Achilles Heel
R Silvera





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
3
Gut Feeling
J L Ortiz


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Strong Light
R R Maragh








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX









RACE #3 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 LUCENCY









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Lucency
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-1
1
Burton Way
M Franco


SHOW
7-2
6
Ringside
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
4-1
4
Escalation Clause
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Billy Price
E Cancel


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
7
Modern Era
D Haddock








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:19 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Prince James
M Franco


PLACE
4-1
4
Never Early
J A Gomez


SHOW
6-1
3
Lohengrin Two
M Olver


WILD CARD
5-1
9
F F Rocket
R R Maragh





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
5
Winning Drive
R Silvera


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
Striking Speed
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX









RACE #5 $85,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 1:48 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
11
Triple Espresso
J L Ortiz


PLACE
5-2
2
Enlighten
J L Ortiz


SHOW
15-1
7
Pet Mat
J A Gomez


WILD CARD
4-1
14
Bold Ambition
M Franco





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
8
Cugino
J Castellano


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
9
Urge to Merge
K Carmouche








* EXACTA: 11-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-14 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/7/11 BOX, 2/7/14 BOX









RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:17 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 PEBBLES STAKES GRADE III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
6
Sacred Wish
J Castellano


PLACE
5-1
5
Silver Skillet
J Rosario


SHOW
4-1
7
Startup Mentality
I Ortiz Jr.


WILD CARD
5-2
10
Just Katherine
J Castellano





ALTERNATE 1
30-1
3
On the Shortlist
T Conner


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
1
Implicated
M Franco








* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 5/7/10 BOX



COMMENTS: SACRED WISHs last race was better than the finish as she cut her final time by almost a second. SILVER SKILLET is a highly consistent performer and just ran the top last race speed figure. STARTUP MENTALITY could win with just a little improvement from her debut. JUST KATHERINE is a top contender if the race is taken off the grass.










RACE #7 $16,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #9 HAPPY BOB









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
9
Happy Bob
I Castillo


PLACE
5-1
4
Kingdom
O Hernandez Moreno


SHOW
9-2
6
Utamaro
J L Ortiz


WILD CARD
6-1
3
South Street
D Davis





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Uncle Water Flow
S Uske


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
5
Break the Ice
J A Gomez








* EXACTA: 9-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/9 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $92,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-2
7
Victorious Wave
J L Ortiz


PLACE
7-2
4
American Monarch
J Alvarado


SHOW
5-2
1A
Colonel Bowman
M Franco


WILD CARD
2-1
6
My Harbors Dream
I Ortiz Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
3
Jemography
J Lezcano


ALTERNATE 2
5-2
1
Divine Armor
I Castillo








* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX









RACE #9 $300,000 STAKES
1 3/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 RED SMITH STAKES GRADE II









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
8
Soldier Rising
J L Ortiz


PLACE
6-1
5
Limited Liability
K Carmouche


SHOW
15-1
3
Main Event
E Cancel


WILD CARD
8-1
10
Verstappen
D Cannon





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
13
Classic Catch
I Ortiz Jr.


ALTERNATE 2
7-2
16
Costa Terra
J L Ortiz








* EXACTA: 8-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/5/10 BOX



COMMENTS: SOLDIER RISING definitely has some of the most class in the field and appears to be on the upswing. LIMITED LIABILITY could improve in his second start after a layoff. MAIN EVENT should be on the lead and wins wire to wire when he wins. VERSTAPPEN ran the highest last race speed figure.










RACE #10 $75,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 4:10 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
7
Icy Flavor
M Franco


PLACE
9-2
15
Dr. Settles Dream
J Alvarado


SHOW
2-1
13
Ortus
D Davis


WILD CARD
7-2
6
Russi
J Alvarado





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
10
Dreampoint
H K Harkie


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
3
Thank You Jon
D Davis








* EXACTA: 7-15 BOX, 15-13 BOX, 13-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/13/15 BOX, 6/13/15 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 11
Nov. 10, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track

RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
8
Absolute Courage
T Gaffalione


PLACE
12-1
11
Colonel Barton
M Michel


SHOW
20-1
14
Left Pocket Money
M Burnham


WILD CARD
9-2
4
Dario
B J Hernandez Jr.





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
10
Go Cats
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
9
Valuable Cargo
J K Court








* EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-14 BOX, 14-4 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 8/11/14 BOX, 4/11/14 BOX









RACE #2 $66,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 ENCHANTED NILE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Enchanted Nile
M Murrill


PLACE
5-2
7
Charge Account
T Gaffalione


SHOW
8-1
3
Shaniah
E Esquivel


WILD CARD
3-1
2
Coexist
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
1
Caumsett
A Burgos


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
6
A Lot of Spunk
J McKee








* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX









RACE #3 $62,500 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Derby Date
E Esquivel


PLACE
7-2
2
Camp David
T Gaffalione


SHOW
5-1
6
Cold as Hell
K J Asmussen


WILD CARD
3-1
1
Howbeit
L Saez





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
7
Friar Laurence
E Morales


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
8
Swing Shift
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #4 $300,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:30 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 DREAM SUPREME STAKES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
5
Wicked Halo
T Gaffalione


PLACE
9-5
4
Little Prankster
J R Velazquez


SHOW
5-1
1
Your So Sillea
C J Lanerie


WILD CARD
8-1
3
Fire On Time
M Garcia





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
2
Last Leaf
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
6
Royal County
C Oliveros








* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX



COMMENTS: WICKED HALO hit the board in six of six at Churchill and seven of eight at the distance. LITTLE PRANKSTER won her last three and tends to make aggressive mid moves. YOUR SO SILLEA could be close to peak form in her third start after a layoff. FIRE ON TIME has four wins with two seconds and a third in seven at Churchill.










RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET



BEST BET: #7 TAMMY LYNN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-2
7
Tammy Lynn
L Saez


PLACE
4-1
14
Baraye
J R Velazquez


SHOW
9-2
4
Two Sip Sally
T Gaffalione


WILD CARD
5-1
9
Destiny Star
G Corrales





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
10
Shore War
M Garcia


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
12
Twirl Around
J R Velazquez








* EXACTA: 7-14 BOX, 14-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/7/14 BOX, 4/9/14 BOX









RACE #6 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:31 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
3
Googol Joke
V Cheminaud


PLACE
8-1
13
One Red Cent
W A Rodriguez


SHOW
7-2
12
Augustine Red
L Saez


WILD CARD
12-1
14
Midnight Ambition
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
10
Latta
M Murrill


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
7
Superhero
T Gaffalione








* EXACTA: 3-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX, 12-14 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/12/13 BOX, 12/13/14 BOX









RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:01 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 TUNISIAN SPRING









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
2
Tunisian Spring
J R Velazquez


PLACE
2-1
5
Easy Action
R Santana Jr.


SHOW
12-1
3
Underhills Tab
L Saez


WILD CARD
6-1
7
Zambezi
K J Asmussen





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
1
Pensacola
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
4
Wheres Randy
J R Leparoux








* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX









RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
6
Sistina Chapel
J R Leparoux


PLACE
9-2
10
Plumeria
C A Torres


SHOW
15-1
4
Cheyenne Moon
M Murrill


WILD CARD
5-1
11
Calle Reina
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
10-1
8
Amy Z
M Garcia


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
9
Montclair Road
L Machado








* EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX, 4-11 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/6/10 BOX, 4/10/11 BOX









RACE #9 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
7-5
7
Magic Tap
T Gaffalione


PLACE
7-2
10
Creative Minister
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
5-1
8
Cooke Creek
J R Velazquez


WILD CARD
12-1
1
Tiwanaku
E Morales





ALTERNATE 1
9-2
9
Commandperformance
L Saez


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Roman Centurian
F Arrieta








* EXACTA: 7-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 7/8/10 BOX, 1/8/10 BOX









RACE #10 $300,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET



** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 RIVER CITY STAKES GRADE III









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
1
Cellist
M Garcia


PLACE
9-2
11
Siege of Boston
J Ruiz


SHOW
12-1
3
Red Run
R Santana Jr.


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Smokin T
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
4
Rockemperor
T Gaffalione


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
13
Accredit
L Machado








* EXACTA: 1-11 BOX, 11-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/3/11 BOX, 3/6/11 BOX



COMMENTS: CELLIST ran the top last race speed figure and makes his third start after a layoff. SIEGE OF BOSTON usually runs well off the bench like today and has a bullet work in his last. RED RUN usually comes hard at the end and could put a big mid move in too. SMOKIN T could set the tone early and could be in contention from start to finish.










RACE #11 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
1
Loveland
R Santana Jr.


PLACE
9-2
10
Cararra
B J Hernandez Jr.


SHOW
8-1
7
Class Act
L Saez


WILD CARD
7-2
9
Genetics
J R Velazquez





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
5
Americas Vow
G Corrales


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
6
Im a Mess
J R Leparoux








* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/7/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - November 11
Nov. 10, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
8-5
2
Dark Vintage
J J Hernandez


PLACE
4-1
3
Invincible
E A Maldonado


SHOW
9-5
1
Hedwig
U Rispoli


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Des Doigts
E Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Always On Cay
M E Smith


ALTERNATE 2
20-1
5
Lawless World
A Aguilar








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX









RACE #2 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
E J Won the Cup
A Fresu


PLACE
5-2
3
Pilot Commander
J J Hernandez


SHOW
2-1
5
Imagination
F Prat


WILD CARD
15-1
1
Shot of Courage
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Deal Em
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
4
Classic Alphie
M Gutierrez








* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #3 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 RESPECT THE CROWN









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
2
Respect the Crown
H I Berrios


PLACE
4-1
1
Auratium
J J Hernandez


SHOW
4-1
3
Mocha Grande
U Rispoli


WILD CARD
7-2
5
Ellie Moore
F Prat





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
8
Pink Whitney
T J Pereira


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
6
Flight to Quality
G Franco








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #4 $9,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:00 PM ET



BEST BET: #8 SHEZA GIRLY GIRL









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
8
Sheza Girly Girl
J Torrealba


PLACE
6-1
1
Tropicana Girl
A Aguilar


SHOW
4-1
7
Equilove
T J Pereira


WILD CARD
8-1
9
Flatterwithjewels
G Franco





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Never Sway
K Frey


ALTERNATE 2
3-1
3
Spoiled Rotten
F Prat








* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/7/9 BOX









RACE #5 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
4
Kissed by Fire
M E Smith


PLACE
5-1
5
Shes Got a Way
A Fresu


SHOW
6-1
7
M Is for Magic
J J Hernandez


WILD CARD
15-1
8
Queen Molotov
J Torrealba





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
9
Runninwiththeboyz
E A Maldonado


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
1
Alternate Rock
F Prat








* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX









RACE #6 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
6-5
7
Habeas
D A Herrera


PLACE
2-1
5
Memes
K Frey


SHOW
12-1
8
My Brother Mike
A Aguilar


WILD CARD
6-1
2
Donttestyourluck
E Payeras





ALTERNATE 1
20-1
6
Chasing Alchemy
A Cedillo


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Diamonds Preferred
E A Maldonado








* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 5/7/8 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX









RACE #7 $75,000 STAKES
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:30 PM ET



BEST BET: #1 LINDAS GIFT









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
1
Lindas Gift
T J Pereira


PLACE
5-2
5
Dolce Zel
F Prat


SHOW
12-1
7
Free and Humble
M E Smith


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Ganadora
J J Hernandez





ALTERNATE 1
7-2
4
Turnerloose
A Fresu


ALTERNATE 2
12-1
8
Lucky for You
K Frey








* EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 5/6/7 BOX









RACE #8 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:00 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-2
2
Will Be
F Prat


PLACE
6-1
1
Cowboy Mike
K Frey


SHOW
4-1
8
Mucino
R A Vazquez


WILD CARD
8-1
6
Oviatt Class
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
4-1
7
Hard to Figure
J J Hernandez


ALTERNATE 2
15-1
5
Clouseau
K J Desormeaux








* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX









RACE #9 $20,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:30 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
6
Park City
R A Vazquez


PLACE
4-1
2
Never Seen Before
J J Hernandez


SHOW
10-1
9
Egomania
E Hernandez


WILD CARD
3-1
7
Birth of Cool
U Rispoli





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
5
Relaxed Artist
D A Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
3
Mastermind
K Frey








* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Golden Gate Tip Sheet - November 11
Nov. 10, 2023










Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 70% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $12,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
3
Old Triangle
H Herrera


PLACE
6-1
2
Dads Jubilee
L M Jimenez Aburto


SHOW
4-1
7
Crazy Storm
S Rivera


WILD CARD
4-1
5
Its Happy Hour
S R Amador





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
1
Thickey Boy
K Radke


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Autism Special
A Castellanos








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX









RACE #2 $4,000 CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
5-1
3
Luvahappyending
S R Amador


PLACE
8-5
2
Harbor Abbey
A Chavez


SHOW
4-1
5
Lucy L
L M Jimenez Aburto


WILD CARD
5-2
1
Lyinatthebar
E Garcia





ALTERNATE 1
6-1
6
Alesha
W Antongeorgi III


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
4
La Popis
K E Orozco








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX









RACE #3 $30,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #2 RUNNING ON FIRE









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
2
Running On Fire
F T Alvarado


PLACE
9-5
4
Collect Dis Money
A Chavez


SHOW
8-1
1
Blazing Peme
F Monroy


WILD CARD
6-1
3
Tiger Too
K Radke





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
Chelsiesdanziglite
H Herrera


ALTERNATE 2
6-1
6
Danzing Alydar
F Duran








* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX









RACE #4 $4,000 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET



BEST BET: #4 BOLD MISTRESS









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
9-5
4
Bold Mistress
L M Jimenez Aburto


PLACE
6-1
3
Lady in a Hurry
A Chavez


SHOW
4-1
5
Jasmine Chieftain
A M Cruz


WILD CARD
2-1
1
Shemakescents
S R Amador





ALTERNATE 1
12-1
6
Miss Ski
A Castellanos


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
2
ONeills Legacy
A Espinoza








* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX









RACE #5 $22,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET



BEST BET: #3 PETER FLIES









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
Peter Flies
A Chavez


PLACE
9-5
2
Gianola
E A Roman


SHOW
6-1
6
As Luck Happens
B Pena


WILD CARD
8-1
1
Gonna Getcha Good
A Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
5
Atta Boy Lloyd
S Rivera


ALTERNATE 2
5-1
4
Defensor Fortis
S R Amador








* EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX









RACE #6 $18,000 CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
3-1
3
In Honor of Autism
C Martinez


PLACE
8-1
7
Jerry Jeff Walker
A Castellanos


SHOW
6-1
6
Silent Sunday
E A Roman


WILD CARD
10-1
2
Hogmanay
A Chavez





ALTERNATE 1
2-1
4
Atkins
B Pena


ALTERNATE 2
4-1
1
Slews Joy
L M Jimenez Aburto








* EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX









RACE #7 $31,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
4-1
5
Golden Prayer
L M Jimenez Aburto


PLACE
3-1
2
Smiling Molly
W Antongeorgi III


SHOW
9-5
4
Blue Wildcat
E A Roman


WILD CARD
6-1
6
Morning Addiction
A Espinoza





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Dulce Emma
F T Alvarado


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
7
Canam Gal
S Rivera








* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX









RACE #8 $50,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:15 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
4
Wild Jewels
C Martinez


PLACE
9-5
2
Good Lovin
F T Alvarado


SHOW
5-1
6
Spinnin Pistols
A Chavez


WILD CARD
6-1
5
Capo Luigi
F Duran





ALTERNATE 1
8-1
3
Tougherthantherest
A M Cruz


ALTERNATE 2
8-1
7
Melanies Tiger
A Gomez








* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX









RACE #9 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 7:45 PM ET









PICK ORDER
M/L
P#
HORSE NAME
JOCKEY









WIN
2-1
9
Rhondas Cookin
S R Amador


PLACE
7-2
7
Prestigious
A Chavez


SHOW
10-1
6
Violet Crown
C Herrera


WILD CARD
9-2
2
Dorines Wild Cat
E A Roman





ALTERNATE 1
5-1
4
Allocate
L M Jimenez Aburto


ALTERNATE 2
10-1
1
Glorious Divinity
S Rivera








* EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX


* TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/aqu_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/aqu_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/aqu_pace.htm)
ML









1
Maiden Claiming $30,000; 6 Furlongs; 8 runners; purse $38000




1
1

Swept

Maragh

Chapman
R
5


7
7

Star Sequence

Gomez

Serpe
-
3


5
5

The Delaware Boyz

Carmouche

Duggan
-
9/2









2
Claiming $25,000; 1 Mile; 8 runners; purse $37000




2
2
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Iron Works

Gomez

Pletcher
M
1/2


8
8
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Devil's Cay

Davis

Miceli
E
10


6
6

Achilles Heel

Silvera

Rodriguez
M
10









3
Maiden Special; 1 Mile; 7 runners; purse $85000




1
1

Burton Way

Franco

Jacobson
M
5


6
6

Ringside

Ortiz

Camejo
F
7/2


2
2

Lucency

Ortiz

Pletcher
M
5/2









4
Claiming $10,000; 6 Furlongs; 9 runners; purse $28000




9
9

F F Rocket

Maragh

Shivmangal
E
5


4
4

Never Early

Gomez

Walder
M
4


1
1

Handsome Cat

Davis

Englehart
M
6









5
Maiden Special; 1 1/16 Miles; turf; 16 runners; purse $85000




11
11

Triple Espresso

Ortiz

Pletcher
R
2


2
2

Enlighten

Ortiz

Pletcher
E
5/2


14
14

Bold Ambition

Franco

Brown
-
4









6
Pebbles Stakes; 1 Mile; turf; filles; 10 runners; purse $200000




6
6
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Sacred Wish

Castellano

Weaver
R
5/2


5
5

Silver Skillet

Rosario

Clement
E
5


10
10

Just Katherine

Castellano

Jimenez
M
5/2









7
Claiming $16,000; 1 Mile; 9 runners; purse $28000




3
3

South Street

Davis

Noda
R
6


4
4

Kingdom

Hernandez

Jacobson
M
5


9
9

Happy Bob

Castillo

Schettino
M
2









8
Optional Claiming $62,500; 6 Furlongs; 8 runners; purse $92000




1A
6

Colonel Bowman

Franco

Jacobson
M
5/2


3
3
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Jemography

Lezcano

Rodriguez
E
10


1
1

Divine Armor

Castillo

Jacobson
R
5/2









9
Red Smith Stakes; 1 3/8 Miles; turf; 16 runners; purse $300000




5
5

Limited Liability

Carmouche

McGaughey
R
6


10
10

Verstappen

Cannon

Walsh
M
8


4
4

Cross Border

Franco

Maker
M
5









10
Allowance; 6 Furlongs; turf; 15 runners; purse $75000




13
13

Ortus

Davis

Clement
M
2


7
7

Icy Flavor

Franco

Kimmel
F
9/5


3
3
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Thank You Jon

Davis

Summers
M
10

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/chu_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/chu_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/chu_pace.htm)
ML









1
Maiden Claiming $20,000; 1 Mile; 14 runners; purse $42000




8
8

Absolute Courage

Gaffalione

Asmussen
E
7/5


10
10

Go Cats

Saez

Davis
R
4


11
11
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Colonel Barton

Michel

Puhich
M
12









2
Starter Allowance $20,000; 6 1/2 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 7 runners; purse $66000




1
1

Caumsett

Burgos

Egbert
E
8


7
7

Charge Account

Gaffalione

Foster
R
5/2


4
4

Enchanted Nile

Murrill

Hartman
E
2









3
Claiming $62,500; 6 1/2 Furlongs; 8 runners; purse $78000




5
5

Derby Date

Esquivel

Contreras
M
4


6
6

Cold As Hell

Asmussen

Lukas
E
5


1
1

Howbeit

Saez

Morey
M
3









4
Dream Supreme Stakes; 6 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 6 runners; purse $300000




5
5

Wicked Halo

Gaffalione

Asmussen
M
6/5


4
4

Little Prankster

Velazquez

Bauer
E
9/5


3
3

Fire On Time

Garcia

Romans
E
8









5
Maiden Special; 5 1/2 Furlongs; turf; filles; 16 runners; purse $120000




7
7

Tammy Lynn

Saez

Stall
M
7/2


12
12

Twirl Around

Velazquez

Foley
M
4


9
9

Destiny Star

Corrales

Hamm
R
5









6
Maiden Claiming $50,000; 6 Furlongs; 14 runners; purse $58000




3
3

Googol Joke

Cheminaud

Correas
R
4


12
12

Augustine Red

Saez

Kenneally
R
7/2


13
13

One Red Cent

Rodriguez

Jazdzewski
M
8









7
Allowance; 6 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $127000




5
5

Easy Action

Santana

Casse
E
2


1
1

Pensacola

Gaffalione

Brisset
E
5


3
3
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Underhill's Tab

Saez

Medina
M
12









8
Maiden Special; 1 1/16 Miles; filles; 11 runners; purse $120000




8
8
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Amy Z

Garcia

Von
E
10


10
10

Plumeria

Torres

Asmussen
M
9/2


6
6

Sistina Chapel

Leparoux

McPeek
R
9/5









9
Optional Claiming $80,000; 1 1/8 Miles; 10 runners; purse $134000




7
7

Magic Tap

Gaffalione

Asmussen
E
7/5


10
10

Creative Minister

Hernandez

McPeek
R
7/2


8
8

Cooke Creek

Velazquez

O'dwyer
M
5









10
River City Stakes; 1 1/8 Miles; turf; 15 runners; purse $300000




1
1

Cellist

Garcia

Arnold
E
5


4
4

Rockemperor

Gaffalione

Brown
R
4


7
7
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Dominican Pioneer

Corrales

Ward
F
10









11
Maiden Special; 1 1/16 Miles; filles; 11 runners; purse $120000




10
10

Cararra

Hernandez

McPeek
F
9/2


1
1

Loveland

Santana

Casse
F
4


9
9

Genetics

Velazquez

Mott
M
7/2

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/del_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/del_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/del_pace.htm)
ML









1
Optional Claiming $80,000; 5 Furlongs; turf; 6 runners; purse $63000




2
2

Dark Vintage

Hernandez

Eurton
E
8/5


3
3

Invincible

Maldonado

O'neill
F
4


6
6

Des Doigts

Hernandez

Deleon
M
6









2
Maiden Special; 6 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $61000




2
2

E J Won The Cup

Fresu

O'neill
F
3


7
7

British Isles

Smith

Baffert
R
5


5
5

Imagination

Prat

Baffert
-
2









3
Maiden Special; 1 Mile; turf; filles; 9 runners; purse $61000




2
2

Respect The Crown

Berrios

Mullins
R
3


5
5

Ellie Moore

Prat

D'amato
M
7/2


1
1

Auratium

Hernandez

McCarthy
M
4









4
Claiming $10,000; 5 1/2 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $22000




6
6

Never Sway

Frey

Campuzano
M
6


7
7

Equilove

Pereira

Knapp
F
4


8
8

Sheza Girly Girl

Torrealba

Ellis
R
5/2









5
Optional Claiming $80,000; 5 Furlongs; turf; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $65000




5
5

She's Got A Way

Fresu

Eurton
M
5


4
4

Kissed By Fire

Smith

Eurton
F
5/2


7
7

M Is For Magic

Hernandez

Drysdale
M
6









6
Maiden Claiming $20,000; 5 1/2 Furlongs; 8 runners; purse $22000




4
4

Bolts Destiny

Ayuso

Garcia
R
8


7
7

Habeas

Herrera

Craigmyle
E
6/5


5
5

Memes

Frey

D'amato
E
2









7
Kathryn Crosby Stakes; 1 Mile; turf; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $75000




5
5
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Dolce Zel

Prat

D'amato
E
5/2


4
4

Turnerloose

Fresu

D'amato
E
7/2


1
1

Linda's Gift

Pereira

Mandella
M
5









8
Optional Claiming $40,000; 1 Mile; 8 runners; purse $63000




8
7

Mucino

Vazquez

O'neill
M
4


6
5

Oviatt Class

Rispoli

Cerin
M
8


7
6

Hard To Figure

Hernandez

Baffert
E
4









9
Claiming $20,000; 1 Mile; turf; 10 runners; purse $25000




7
7

Birth Of Cool

Rispoli

Dollase
M
3


2
2

Never Seen Before

Hernandez

Harty
M
4


9
9
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Egomania

Hernandez

Deleon
M
10

[ConleyPicks]

Golden Gate Fields
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gol_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gol_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gol_pace.htm)
ML









1
Maiden Claiming $12,500; 5 1/2 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $14000




3
3

Old Triangle

Herrera

Bellasis
M
5


7
7

Crazy Storm

Rivera

Trujillo
M
4


2
2

Dad's Jubilee

Jimenez

Moger
E
6









2
Claiming $4,000; 1 Mile; fillies and mares; 6 runners; purse $14000




2
2

Harbor Abbey

Chavez

Franko
M
8/5


5
5

Lucy L

Jimenez

Thomas
M
4


3
3

Luvahappyending

Amador

Perez
R
5









3
Maiden Special; 6 Furlongs; 6 runners; purse $30000




2
2

Running On Fire

Alvarado

Specht
E
2


4
4

Collect Dis Money

Chavez

O'neill
E
9/5


3
3

Tiger Too

Radke

Essex
M
6









4
Claiming $4,000; 5 1/2 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 7 runners; purse $14000




4
4

Bold Mistress

Jimenez

Moger
E
9/5


5
5

Jasmine Chieftain

Cruz

McCanna
R
4


2
2

O'neill's Legacy

Espinoza

Perez
M
8









5
Maiden Claiming $25,000; 5 1/2 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $17000




3
3

Peter Flies

Chavez

Steiner
F
3


5
5

Atta Boy Lloyd

Rivera

Taylor
F
5


6
6

As Luck Happens

Pena

Paldanius
E
6









6
Claiming $20,000; 6 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $23000




6
6

Silent Sunday

Roman

Mathis
F
6


2
2
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Hogmanay

Chavez

Mathis
M
10


1
1

Slew's Joy

Jimenez

Moger
M
4









7
Optional Claiming $32,000; 5 Furlongs; turf; fillies and mares; 7 runners; purse $31000




5
5

Golden Prayer

Jimenez

Moger
E
4


2
2

Smiling Molly

Antongeorgi

Baker
E
3


4
4

Blue Wildcat

Roman

Tamayo
E
9/5









8
Golden Nugget Stakes; 6 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $50000




4
4
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Wild Jewels

Martinez

Specht
E
2


2
2

Good Lovin

Alvarado

Sherman
F
9/5


6
6

Spinnin Pistols

Chavez

Wright
R
5









9
Maiden Claiming $8,000; 1 Mile; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $13500




6
6
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Violet Crown

Herrera

Jauregui
R
10


9
9

Rhonda's Cookin

Amador

Ruvalcaba
M
2


7
7

Prestigious

Chavez

Mathis
R
7/2

[ConleyPicks]

Gulfstream Park
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gul_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gul_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/gul_pace.htm)
ML









1
Maiden Claiming $25,000; 5 1/2 Furlongs; filles; 14 runners; purse $28000




9
9

Last Glory

Zayas

Sano
R
9/2


2
2

Crown Jak

Camacho

Sano
F
8


4
4

Alexandra's Song

Lopez

Ward
F
3









2
Claiming $8,000; 1 1/16 Miles; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $20000




1
1

Golden Haven

Morelos

Ciamei
M
6


2
2

Harlan's Legacy

Jaramillo

D'angelo
R
9/5


3
3

Katz That Gal

Zayas

D'angelo
R
2









3
Maiden Claiming $25,000; 1 Mile 70 Yards; 8 runners; purse $29000




2
2

Wideright

Jaramillo

Mott
M
9/5


8
8
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Curlin's Kitten

Zayas

Alter
-
10


4
4

Motown Punk

Perez

O'connell
M
12









4
Juvenile Fillies Sprint Stakes; 6 1/2 Furlongs; filles; 7 runners; purse $60000




1
1
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Chi Chi

Gonzalez

Wilensky
E
7/5


5
5

Epona's Hope

Lopez

Plesa
M
6


6
6

Hepburn

Jaramillo

Alvarado
R
7/2









5
Maiden Special; 7 Furlongs; 10 runners; purse $40000




4
4

Roar Ready

Reyes

Sierra
R
9/5


9
9

Secret Lover

Zayas

Sano
R
5/2


2
2

Fort Charles

Gonzalez

Crichton
-
6









6
Claiming $12,500; 1 1/16 Miles; 8 runners; purse $22000




1
1

Dial Him Up

Camacho

Mendieta
R
10


8
8

Racket

Gil

McKanas
E
3


4
4

Nowitzki

Morales

Pompay
M
7/2









7
Maiden Special; 5 1/2 Furlongs; 13 runners; purse $50000




6
6

Simsoum

Perez

Moubarak
E
6


2
2
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Roan

Camacho

Orseno
M
12


5
5

Echo Lane

Zayas

Lightner
M
8









8
Juvenile Sprint Stakes; 6 1/2 Furlongs; 7 runners; purse $60000




4
4

Saint No More

Jaramillo

Pita
E
6


6
6

General Ledger

Zayas

Joseph
M
9/5


1
1

Big Effect

Lopez

Plesa
E
4









9
Starter Optional Claiming $20,00Hq; 1 Mile 70 Yards; fillies and mares; 8 runners; purse $29000




3
3

Don't Get Pickled

Zayas

Biancone
R
5/2


8
8

Khosea

Reyes

Mongeon
E
6


4
4

Golden Voice

Diaz

Pinchin
E
5









10
Handicap; 7 Furlongs; 10 runners; purse $60000




7
7

Khozeiress

Reyes

Pompay
M
8


10
10

West Coast Cowboy

Vasquez

Joseph
E
3


5
5

Bouncer

Jaramillo

Casse
E
9/2









11
Maiden Claiming $12,500; 1 Mile 70 Yards; fillies and mares; 12 runners; purse $19000




5
5

One Smokin' Rita

Reyes

Nicks
M
7/2


7
7

Calming Sea

Gonzalez

Wilensky
M
9/2


8
8
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
British Empress

Pimentel

Robson
M
12

[ConleyPicks]

Woodbine
Saturday, November 11, 2023





PG
PP

Horse
WP
Jockey (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/woo_jockey.htm)
WP
Trainer (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/woo_trainer.htm)
Pace (https://www.ribbitracing.com/selections/woo_pace.htm)
ML









1
Claiming $15,000; 7 Furlongs; 10 runners; purse $40200




8
8

Graceful Fighter

Civaci

Biamonte
R
4


2
2
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Just Start Me Up

Campos

Cotey
E
12


3
3

Rookie Radar

Vives

Katryan
M
5/2









2
Starter Optional Claiming $15,00( ; 7 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 11 runners; purse $41000




1
1
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Cefalo

Aebly

Siddo
M
10


10
10

Umneyaat

Hoyte

McDonald
M
8


6
6

Lois Len

Stein

Mattine
E
9/2









3
Optional Claiming $50,000; 6 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 7 runners; purse $114000




7
7

A Game

Kimura

Carroll
E
2


2
2

Trading Bay

Flores

Glennon
M
6


4
4

Pleasure's Gold

Hernandez

Attard
M
7/2









4
Optional Claiming $40,000; 7 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 10 runners; purse $61800




4
4
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/star.gif
Talk To Ya Later

Munger

Black
R
5/2


10
10

Grace On The Green

Stein

Bell
M
6


7
7

Society's Kat

Flores

Mattine
M
8









5
Maiden Special; 6 1/2 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 10 runners; purse $111600




7
7

Mrs. C

Civaci

De
M
4


9
9

Princessonamission

Campos

Attfield
E
6


8
8

Tag Team

Kimura

Carroll
R
7/2









6
Maiden Special; 6 Furlongs; filles; 11 runners; purse $111600




8
8

Kin's Concerto

Vives

Carroll
-
4


9
9

Princess Mayfair

Munger

Chircop
-
9/2


6
6
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Holiday In Jail

Nicholls

Tiller
-
10









7
Maple Leaf Stakes; 1 1/4 Miles; fillies and mares; 13 runners; purse $150000




11
11

Millie Girl

Hernandez

Day
R
3


4
4

Il Malocchio

Kimura

Drexler
E
5


8
8

Angelou

Contreras

Attard
F
8









8
Optional Claiming $32,000; 6 1/2 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 10 runners; purse $111000




4
4

Gizmo's B F F

Flores

Mattine
M
9/2


1
1

My Sunny Valentine

Civaci

Drexler
M
3


7
7
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Secretaryofthenile

Campos

Attfield
E
12









9
Bessarabian Stakes; 7 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 14 runners; purse $175000




13
13

Midnight Stroll

McCarthy

Terranova
R
3


1
1
https://www.ribbitracing.com/images/dollar.jpg
Spun Glass

Contreras

Trombetta
R
10


7
7

Loyalty

Kimura

Carroll
E
7/2









10
Optional Claiming $50,000; 6 Furlongs; fillies and mares; 9 runners; purse $111000




9
9

Princessofthenorth

Husbands

Casse
R
5/2


3
3

Botta Swing

Hernandez

Minshall
R
3


4
4

Happy Valentine

Civaci

Carroll
E
4









11
Maiden Optional Claiming $40,000l

; 6 1/2 Furlongs; filles; 13 runners; purse $65900




7
7

Royal Ribbon

Civaci

Doyle
R
7/2


5
5

Fedorova

Salles

Leblanc
E
3


2
2

Kikitsa

Campos

De
M
12

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn
Free Pick: CFB NC State -2 over Wake Forest

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4UEarly Saturday Free Selection: NC State/Wake Forest over 42 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from #1 SportsEarly Saturday's Free Play: Memphis Tigers - 10 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Easy Money Sports
Free Early Saturday College Football Selection From Lee
ILLINOIS -6.5

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hawkeye SportsEarly Saturday's Free Pick: Colorado Buffaloes + 10 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from High Stakes SyndicateFree Selection for Early Saturday: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - 4

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony SaccoTony Sacco's Free Play for Saturday
WESTERN KENTUCKY (NCAAF)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Jim FeistJim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, November 11, 2023
11/11 07:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET
CF (185) USC VS (186) OREGON
Take: OVER
Reason: USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. This one looks to be another game that could approach 90 points with these two offenses. Your free play is on the OVER.

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Platinum Plays


Your Free Pick: the Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 over Indiana

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday :Take MINNESOTA (CFB) +1 over Purdue

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play
Missouri +2' CFB

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Kenny Towers





Your Free Pick for Saturday - NC State (CFB) -2


Played & Documented!
2023-24 Freeplay Record - 18-18-1

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Hollywood AnthonyYour Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take CBB Texas St -2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor SharpYOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY:KANSAS (CFB) -3.5 over Texas Tech

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic SportsEarly Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Utah State Aggies - 16 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Arthur RalphFree play 1295-866 run Sat: CFB Alabama - 10

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line
Your FREE WINNER for Saturday: AUBURN +2.5 over Arkansas (CFB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from John Anthony SportsJohn Anthony Free Selection for Saturday: Take the North Texas Mean Green (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Chris TudorSPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SATURDAY!
CFB Alabama/Kentucky OVER the total of 47 pts.!

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on AC Wolfsberger-135 (Soccer)

[ConleyPicks]

Scott Rickenbach

Rotation #206842: Romania Liga 1: Saturday Free Pick UNDER 2.5 -130 in Poli Iasi vs CFR Cluj @ 11:45 AM ET - Poli Iasi has seen a total of only 5 goals in their last 4 matches! That said, with none of those topping the 2 goal mark, we have excellent value with this under. Also, CFR Cluj has allowed a total of only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Iasi also will be stingy on their home pitch like they usually are in terms of chances for the opposition. That said, look for just 1 goal in this one or 2 goals at the most. Free Pick UNDER 2.5 -130 in Poli Iasi

[ConleyPicks]

Dave Price

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Virginia Tech -1.5

The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies sit at 4-5 this season and will be desperate for a win to try and inch closer to bowl eligibility. They were just blowing out by Louisville, but they were playing well prior to that going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their previous 4 games with their lone loss to Florida State. They beat Pitt by 17, Wake by 17 and Syracuse by 28. They should get back in the win column here against a Boston College team that is primed for a letdown. The Eagles just won their 5th consecutive game to get to 6-3 on the season and bowl eligible. Teams that just clinch bowl eligibility are always primed for a letdown, especially teams like BC that don't make a bowl every year. They have feasted on a weak schedule and been fortunate in close games with 4 of those 5 wins coming by 7 points or fewer. The Hokies need to be able to run the ball to be effective, and they will be able to run on this soft Boston College defense. BC allows 169 rushing yards per game and 4.9 YPC. The Hokies have rushed for at least 184 yards in 4 of their last 6 games. That matchup advantage, plus having the better defense and the motivational edge will be the keys to them getting the win and cover today. Take Virginia Tech.

[ConleyPicks]

Freddy Wills

Alabama -10.5 1.1% Free Play

Alabama has a top 25 defense against the run and pass. Kentucky has had some nice games, but against top 50 ypp defenses they are 0-3 with two losses at home and an average loss of 20.3 points per game, and 0-3 ATS. Alabama is surging at the right time in my opinion, and gaining confidence in their QB Milroe. I think they will continue to gain that momentum and impress the playoff committee here going up against a Kentucky offense that ranks 84th in success rate and outside the top 60 in both rushing and passing success rate. They rank 95th in third down offense, and I expect they’ll have some issues in this game against Alabama whether it’s Leary or whoever at QB. Leary really is not the type of QB that gives Alabama trouble.

[ConleyPicks]

Kenny Walker

Free Pick on Charlotte+10.5

[ConleyPicks]

ASA

#156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET - Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall. App State is 1-3 SU on the road with only win over UL Monroe by 1 point which was far from an impressive road win. ULM is just 1-7 on the season vs FBS teams with their only win coming over Army by 4 points. Geogia State has played the much tougher Sun Belt schedule so far having faced JMU, Troy, Ga Southern, and ULL (all of the top teams in the league). App State has yet to play either of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt, JMU and Troy. Georgia State should control ground game in this one which is key. They have a very good running team averaging 187 YPG and App State is 123rd defensively vs the run allowing 195 YPG. The Mountaineers remain overvalued having covered just once in their last 5 games. We like Georgia State as a small home favorite.

[ConleyPicks]

Doc's Sports

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #173 Nevada Wolf Pack+16.5 -108 over Utah State Aggies (3p.m., Saturday, November 11 MWC) Nevada fizzled out last Saturday as a favorite against Hawaii and thus ending their 2 game winning streak. Now they are back to familiar territory, being a big underdog on the road. Utah State is not good enough this year to be laying this many points this season against conference opponents. The Aggies give up 33 points per game and that should allow the Wolf Pack to keep this deficit around 10 points, well below the posted number. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card, highlighted by a top play winner from the Big 10. Jump on board now and let Doc and his 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.

[ConleyPicks]

Rocky Atkinson

Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Saturday 11-11-23

Dallas @ Winnipeg (3:05 PM EST)
Play On: Dallas -115

The Dallas Stars travel to Winnipeg to take on the Jets on Saturday afternoon. Dallas is 8-4 overall this year while Winnipeg comes in with a 7-6 overall record on the season. Dallas is a solid 5-2 on the road this year allowing only 2.3 goals per game. Winnipeg is allowing 3.7 goals per game at home this season. Dallas is 5-1 last 6 road games. Dallas is 9-2 last 11 games when their opponent scored 5 goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is 17-5 last 22 games against the Central. Winnipeg is 6-22 last 28 games against a team with a winning percentage higher than .600. The favorite is 7-3 last 10 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Dallas today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[ConleyPicks]

Ricky Tran

Ricky's 1* play on Utah+9.5

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Utah are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

- Washington are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the South Division.

- Utah are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Washington.

Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.

[ConleyPicks]

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Rutgers +1

The Iowa Hawkeyes have gotten to 7-2 this season in spite of an offense that ranked dead last (133rd) in the country in total offense at 225.3 yards per game and 133rd at 4.0 yards per play. They haven't sniffed 300 total yards in Big Ten play this season. They are averaging just 13.5 points per game, 188.3 yards per game and 3.5 yards per play in conference play. Backup QB Deacon Hill is 47-of-113 (41.6%) passing for 492 yards with a 3-to-4 TD/INT ratio while averaging 4.4 yards per attempt.

Rutgers comes in at 6-3 this season and just gave Ohio State one of their toughest tests of the season coming out of the bye. The Scarlet Knights actually outgained the Buckeyes 361 to 328, or by 31 total yards. The problem was settling for field goals in the red zone while the Buckeyes converted their opportunities into touchdowns. They Scarlet Knights kicked three field goals of 20, 21 and 22 yards and also had their next trip inside the 10 result in a 93-yard INT return TD for Ohio State.

Rutgers does have the better offense and a reliable ground game that produces 190 rushing yards per game and 4.8 per carry this season. They rushed for 232 yards on Ohio State and 276 yards on Indiana the game prior. They are going to be the team that gets more consistent offense in this one, and that's going to be the difference in a game that is pretty evenly-matched defensively. Rutgers allows 284 yards per game while Iowa allows 298 yards per game.

Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Iowa) - after gaining an average of 250 or fewer yards per game in their last three games are 77-38 (67%) ATS since 1992. Greg Schiano is 33-16 ATS as a road underdog as a head coach. Schiano is 26-11 ATS in road games off a conference loss as well. Bet Rutgers Saturday.

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Sean Murphy

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' 51 -107 between Miami and Florida State at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

Both of these teams were lulled into low-scoring affairs last Saturday, albeit with much different results. Miami lost in blowout fashion on the road against N.C. State while Florida State eventually pulled away from Pittsburgh. I expect a much higher-scoring contest as the two in-state rivals match up on Saturday afternoon. The Seminoles offense is elite. It got bogged down on the grass against a punchy Panthers squad last Saturday but I expect it to face no such resistance this week. Meanwhile, Miami is a much better football team than it showed in Raleigh last Saturday. Expect a strong bounce-back performance from the Hurricanes offense here. Last year, Florida State routed Miami 45-3 but we're just one year removed from a shootout that totalled 59 points between these two teams. Take the over.

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Ray Monohan

Washington -8.5

Saturday in Seattle, WA we get another NICE Pac 12 matchup between the Utah Utes (7-2, 5-3-1 ATS) and the #5 Washington Huskies (9-0, 4-4-1 ATS). H2H Washington is 7-2 in these two teams' L9. Last week the Utes took down ASU 55-3, and the UW Huskies were simply put, AMAZING in their dismantling of USC. The final score was 52-42. Washington can obviously come at you in so many ways. Penix Jr. a future Sunday football QB has been one of the best QB's in the Nation (understatement), and now Utah has to worry about Dillon Johnson stealing the show? It's almost unfair. All he did was run for 256 yards last week, oh, and he chipped in with 4 TD's. According to PFF he had 129 yards BEFORE contact. Sure the Utes bounced back last week after their home blowout loss to Oregon, but covering in Seattle is a whole nother headache altogether. The Washington O-Line will be creating RED SEA sized holes on Saturday and I think UW cruises to an easy cover. Utah are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. UW. On the other side Washington are 10-0 SU in their L10, are 12-0 SU in their L12 at Husky Stadium, are also 12-0 SU in their L12 vs. Pac 12 teams. 61% of the public money is coming in on Washington. Back the Huskies. Purple Reign! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 5* FREE CFB ATS Play

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Brandon Lee

7* NCAAF Oklahoma St/UCF Free Pick

PLAY ON OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS -2.5

I'll take my chances with the Cowboys as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against UCF. I don't see Oklahoma State suffering that big of a letdown (off win over Oklahoma) here against the Knights. The Cowboys have won and covered each of their last 5 games. They are in prime position to make the Big 12 title game, tied with Texas for the best record in league play at 5-1 and owning the tie-breaker against 4 of the 5 teams (KU, Oklahoma, WV and K-State) who are tied for third at 4-2.

I just don't think UCF is the team to stop this train. The Knights are coming off a win at Cincinnati, but failed to cover again. UCF is a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games (also 1-5 SU). Knights defense has been atrocious in Big 12 play, giving up 38.2 ppg, 481.3 ypg and 6.5 yards/play. Give me Oklahoma State -2.5!

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee -1.5

The Missouri Tigers just played their 'all in' game against the Georgia Bulldogs last week. That game was for 1st place in the SEC East and they gave a valiant effort in a 30-21 loss. But now that they know their SEC East title hopes have been crushed, I don't expect them to respond very well this week. The Tigers are dealing with a ton of injuries on defense stemming from that defeat and they could be without their best receivers in Luther Burden III, who means everything to their offense. Tennessee had a cupcake last week and crushed UConn 59-3. They will still be fresh for this showdown with Missouri, a team they have owned in recent meetings. Tennessee is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Missouri winning 66-24 in 2022, 62-24 in 2021 and 35-12 in 2020. These games haven't even been close. Give me Tennessee.

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Montana State+12.5 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Canadiens+192

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Kyle Hunter

*3 Star Free Play: UTSA-13.5* The Rice Owls are likely without J.T. Daniels. Daniels is the key to their offense. Rice has very little running game, and Daniels has been doing the heavy lifting for the offense throughout the course of the season. The Owls defense is very weak against the pass. UTSA is led by Frank Harris. He was injured earlier this year, but he is healthy now and this team is rolling. UTSA is first in the AAC in yards per play margin inside conference play. I'll lay the points here with the healthier team and the better defense. Take UTSA.

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Rice vs UTSA under 57

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Sabres/Penguins over 6.5 -140

No analysis provided.

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AAA Sports

1* FREE PLAY Penguins-165

Buffalo is 7-6-1-0 after last night's 3-2 home win over Minnesota. Fatigue now plays a factor though in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Pens have turned the corner, back to .500 at 6-6 after three straight road wins, most recently a 4-3 OT victory at LA two nights ago. The Sabres return home after this for a game vs. the Bruins, so they could also get caught "looking ahead" here; either way, consider Pittsburgh here on Saturday night!

AAA Sports

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Rob Vinciletti

Saturday the release of the highest Rated 7* College Football 2023 Game Of the Year headlines and is backed with a 100% Long term system. There is a Powerful 4 game Football card up and we also have an Executive Level TIER 1 Headlining the hoops card along with NBA and NHL. Comp Play below.

The NBA Comp play is on the Under 224 in the Cleveland at Golden St game at 8:30 eastern. Golden St has been much better defensively this season and went under against the Cavs a few games ago in Cleveland. The Game fits a nice 75% totals system that plays under for teams off a road favored loss that shot at least 50% or higher which the Cavs did in their loss to OKC. The Warriors are on a 20-3 under run off a non division road loss by 4 or less. The Warrior are likely to lay much better on defense than they did in the loss to Cleveland. Look for this game to stay under tonight. On Saturday we have our 2023 7* one and only College Football Game of the Year headlining a big 4 game football card. There is a huge NCAAB TIER 1 NBA and NHL. Jump on now as there are plays going from noon to midnight. For the Comp play we will go with Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

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Info Plays

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Arizona State +17.5 -115

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on San Diego+4.5

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Jesse Schule

This is a free play on BYU+8

The Cougars have been downright terrible the last two weeks, losing by a combined 59 points to Texas and West Virginia. Both those were road games, and perhaps even more significantly those were day games. The Cougars are undefeated at home this season, but they are also an incredible 21-0 straight up in night games since 2020. They won those 21 games by an average margin 19 points. How significant is that.... I don't know but I sure do find it fun and interesting to point it out. The Cyclones are laying more than a TD here on the road, and even with a backup QB I think BYU has a chance to win this game outright.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS-2.5 -105 for our Saturday Free Play. Fresno St. won for us last week and it was a pretty fortunate cover. Boise St. got to within 13-10 at the end of the first half or so it thought until the Bulldogs returned the ensuing kickoff 95 yards for a touchdown to end the half. Late in the second half, Fresno St. ripped off a 52-yard touchdown run to turn a three-point lead into 10 points to put it away. The Bulldogs were outgained but had a +1 turnover margin and obviously benefitted from that kickoff return to improve to 8-1. The last two wins against Boise St. and UNLV are the only two that have been against teams that are currently bowl eligible and both of those were at home. They are 3-1 on the road but two of those wins were by four and five points while the win over Arizona St. may have been a blowout but they has an absurd +8 turnover margin. San Jose St. is back in bowl consideration as it opened the season 1-5 with four of those losses coming against USC, Oregon St., Toledo and Air Force, all of which have a higher power ranking than the Bulldogs. The Spartans has since won three straight games with the offense exploding for an average of 43 ppg with the running game leading the way with games of 268, 254 and 217 yards. They have also picked it up on defense with just 45 points allowed and an average of 284.3. The Spartans have to win two of their last three games to become bowl eligible with the next two games taking place at home. Play (228) San Jose St. Spartans

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Brad Powers

NCAAF
Virginia Tech+1
Temple+7.5
San Jose State+1
Arkansas-2.5
UCF+2.5
Penn State+4.5
Utah+9.5
Tennessee+1.5

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Teddy Covers

Free Play: USC+15

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Las Vegas Chris

Free Play: Texas State-1 (-108)

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Northcoast Sports

CFB Comp Picks

Early Bird play of the week: Oregon State-21
Early Bird College total play of the week: Troy/UL Monroe under 45.5
Power Play Newsletter 4*: Troy-21.5
Underdog play of the week: Utah+9.5
#2 Economy Club play of the week: Alabama-10.5
Big Dog play of the week: Florida+13.5
Big 12 play of the week: Kansas State-21

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Johnny K/Online Sports Bet

CFB
Arizona/Colorado Over 54.5
Washington-9.5
Oregon-15

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Tony George

Free Play: Minnesota+1.5

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Strike Point Sports

Free Play: Nets/Celtics Under 227

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Scott Spreitzer

Free Play: UNLV-3.5

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Insider Sports Report

Free Play: San Jose State-2.5 (NCAAF)

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National Sports Service

Free Play: South Alabama-13.5

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Primetime Sports Picks

Free Play: Oregon-15.5

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Top Rank Sports Picks

Free Play: Charlotte+9

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Doc's Picks

Free Play: North Carolina-13

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Elite Sports Consensus

Free Play: Coastal Carolina+2.5

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The Sports Consensus

Free Play: Texas A&m-18

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The Gold Sheet

Free Play: Texas State/Coastal Carolina Under 57

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Kevin Dolan

4% FSV Mainz 05-SV Darmstadt 98 over 2.75 (-115)

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Power Play Of the Day

Laurel Park R8
#7 Intrepid Daydream 2-1

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Covers Free Picks

CFB
Virginia Tech+100
Michigan/Penn State u46 (-110)
Texas Tech Kansas Prop: Behren morton o220.5 passing yards (-114)

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Covers Free Picks

CFL

Montreal +11 (-110)
Winnipeg Blue Bombers TT o27.5 (-115)