Saturday 10/21/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2023, 09:32 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 10/21/23

October 21, 2023
“What You Need to Know” – Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, & Wagering Strategies identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Havoc; 5-Going Mobile.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Let’s go with a bit of a gamble in the Saturday opener. Based on speed figures (not very fast), Havoc shouldn’t be any lower than 8-1 on the morning line but we have a suspicion that, as a son of Sir Prancealot, the Kristin Mulhall-trained gelding will step forward considerably in his first start on grass. Clearly most effective as a late-running sprinter and fresh from a nice state-bred maiden $50,000 off-the-pace score at Del Mar, the California-bred juvenile should find enough pace in this race to complement his style, so let’s give him a chance to pull off a surprise in a race that came up rather shallow. Going Mobile should be included on your ticket as well. Freshened since June after being pitched too high when a distant fourth in the Fasig-Tipton Futurity, the son of Stay Thirsty shows a healthy series of workouts to have him fit and ready for his return and could easily be a better type this time around. On numbers, he’s right there with the rest of them.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 6-Mike Operator; 2-Mendez Mile.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: There’s not much to work with in this $10,000 main track miler, so we suggest you tread lightly or maybe even pass the race altogether. Mike Operator is the logical top pick- he’s won four races from eight starts over the Santa Anita main track – but he’s the need-the-lead type with some speed types drawn inside, so there is no guarantee he’ll get his preferred trip. Mendez Mile has a prior win over this main track and is a closing type with a projected race shape that should complement his style. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:03 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Pens Street; 2-Hennys Crazy Train.
Backups/savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Recent five length $8,000 claiming winner Pens Street is boosted all the way up to the $20,000 level by new trainer Mark Glatt (20% with the first-off-the-claim angle) and the daughter of Street Sense may be capable of handling this stronger assignment if she can repeat her Los Alamitos success on the big track. A winner of five races during her career, she has a good stalking style that projects to secure a comfortable trip and a recent speed figure that is par for this class. Hennys Crazy Train won a starter’s allowance affair at Los Alamitos last month, her seventh score from just 19 starts. However, she’s never run particularly well over the deeper Santa Anita dirt strip, so we’ll include her but not with a whole lot of confidence.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Big Buzz; 1-Settecento.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 6-Good Juju.

Forecast: Big Buzz doesn’t always turn in two alike, but when he’s on his game he can win at this level. The son of Mr. Big is double jumped in class following a sharp score for $12,500 at Del Mar in mid-August and has won a pair of races over this main track in the past, so we’re expecting the veteran gelding to fire another big shot despite picking up eight lbs. off that victory (we’re not entirely sure why he doesn’t get to claim the apprentice allowance). Settecento, away since July, was claimed for $16,000 by Steve Knapp and finally makes it back after three months of R&R. We’ll assume he’s okay since he’s returning on the raise, and from his rail draw he should be prominent throughout.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:07 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 9-Glorious Life; 4-Man O Rose; 2-Antibes.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: As this is penned, Glorious Life finds himself on the also eligible list and will need the scratches to smile in order to make his racing debut, but if he manages to sneak in the son of Vronsky should be extremely live and well-meant. The Carla Gaines-trained colt has trained like a very nice sort and seems fit and ready for a major effort first crack out of the box. He’s certainly bred for grass. If ‘Life is forced to sit it out, we’ll double the racing using Man O Rose and Antibes, the two-three finishers in a similar state-bred maiden turf sprint last month. The former pressed hot splits and paid the price late; he’ll most likely face softer fractions today and should stick around a long time, the extra sixteenth of a mile notwithstanding. The latter flew home with the help of the race shape in a promising debut and seems certain to produce a forward move with that bit of experience behind him.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Elevado
Backups/Savers/Underneath: 5-Afjan.

Forecast: Elevado removes blinkers (love that angle) in his first start following a $20,000 Steve Miyadi claim and is raised to the $35,000 (nw-3) level in his first try around two turns (love that angle, too). Back in two weeks after finishing an even fourth in a quick dash for the level, the Street Boss gelding projects to settle into an ideal pace-stalking/pressing position and have every chance against this group based on his sprint speed figures. The weight break from bug boy Aguilar won’t hurt, either. Co-second choice at 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and strong push in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:11 ET Grade: A-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Just a Guess
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Just a Guess was given an easy run in his debut sprinting on dirt from the rail at Del Mar in late July when he wound up fourth before galloping out willingly in a promising performance. The California-bred son of Nyquist was entered back twice under these conditions (mile, grass) since that race (August 24, September 29) but both times got stuck on the also-eligible list. Lazy in the morning but with plenty of talent when he chooses to show it, the Paul Reddam homebred finds ideal conditions and below average field for the level, so at 6-1 on the morning line he’ll offer excellent wagering value in the win pool and as a confident single in the various rolling exotics.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:41 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Dua; 5-Becky’s Dream
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: Dua is wheeled back in two weeks (an unusual move for trainer Bob Baffert) after an admirable third place finish in the Chandelier Stakes-G2 over a distance of ground. This overnight stakes dash looks well within her capabilities based on that race and her game maiden win sprinting at Del Mar in her debut last summer, but at 6/5 on the morning line, there’s no real value to be found in a race that also includes the returning Becky’s Dream, whose form last spring makes her competitive. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that probably is best left alone.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:11 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-British Isles ; 3-Nyros; 1-Urban Legend; 10-E J Won the Cup.
Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

Forecast: The finale appears to be a hot maiden juvenile offering several fast working and expensive prospects, including no less than three from the Bob Baffert barn. British Isles is a Justify colt from the dam of Grade-1 winner Eight Rings with a :58 1/5 gate work on his resume and Mike Smith in the saddle. You have to think he’s the one to beat based if nothing else on the jockey assignments. Another Baffert, Nysos, has looked good on video while preparing for his debut, as has Urban Legend, purchased for $1.3 million at the OBS April Sale, where he smoked a furlong in 9 3/5 seconds, the fastest move among those that previewed at that distance in the entire auction. E J Won the Cup is the best of the known element, having finishing a strong second to subsequent stakes winner Slider in a highly rated heat at Del Mar last month. He’ll take some beating with anything close that to effort today.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2023, 09:32 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 21, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has a 15-race card and features the conclusion of Breeders Crown Elimination Races. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 12. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12 Open Trot Breeders Crown Elimination-Top 8 qualify (10:06 PM EST)

2-Southwind Tyrion (9/5)-Solid trotter who should be in the mix. Raced well at Lex without Lasix and will be back on the medication tonight. Will respect the connections but not ready to go all in on this short priced morning line chalk.
6-It's Academic (2-1)-Was far back early in the Allerage at the Red Mile. Never got into the race after a .55 opening half. Should get back in the groove as its HoP record is (5-2-3-0) and should be forwardly placed off the gate.
7-Take All Comers (6-1)-Tim Tetrick gets the call and he knows well. Has hit the board in the 3 of 4 starts at HoP and this could be the night for its first picture.
8-Logan Park (9/2)-Mohawk invader is no slouch, has the gate speed to land in a closet-up seat. Looks like a player at a square price and Doug McNair knows how to handle the Fellows trainee.

Race 13 Breeders Crown Elimination-Three-year-old colts and gelding pacers-Top 3 qualify (10:27 PM EST)

6-It's My Show (6/5)-Will toss the last race at Lex that included Confederate. Has been consistently right there at the wire all year. This will be its Hoosier debut and has raced well on other larger ovals.
7-Command (5/2)-Got the pocket and benefitted from that trip to score in 1.47.4 at Lex. The post helps the price and has shown the ability to rally off cover. Will lean toward the long stretch not being a hinderance. Will respect connections as the Brett Pelling barn has posted 31% winners over the last 30 days.

Race 14 Breeders Crown Elimination-Three-year-old colts and geldings pacers-Top 3 qualify (10:48 PM EST)-

2-El Rey (7/2)-Makes the 1st start for new connections after being purchased for $525,000. Raced from the back at Lex and just missed tackling Cannibal in the previous start before the sale. Dexter Dunn takes the lines tonight for Andrew Harris and could be sitting on a big try.
7-Cannibal (8/5)-Likes to race near the top of the stack and Gingras could land there off the gate or soon after most likely. Takter pupil will be a short price and is in fine form.

Race 15 (11:09 PM ET)

1-Keep Score (8-1)-Doesn't like to win but the same could be said about most of this field and should fit with this crew. Has been improving and drawing the rail should keep the 4-year-old in play. Has one move, could get sucked around and surprise at a juicy price.
2-Straightsierrablue (6-1)-Went the back-half in 53.4 last time to win and now Jordan Stratton takes the lines, and he is one of the best stretch drivers in the game. Using a few prices in a race that is difficult to read.
3-Always Floating (6-1)-This 3-year-old needs a trip and has been battling better. Has hit the board in 10 of 24 at HoP with 4 wins. Should relish the company and could be there at the wire with a sharp steer.
4-Town Gossip (5-1)-Appears to fit with this group and will overlook the last start at Haw in the slop. Beaten 3/5 chalk should be better on a fast track and the change to Scott Zeron can help too.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,6,7,8/6,7/2,7/1,2,3,4
Total Bet=$32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2023, 09:33 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Keeneland - Race #6

#5 Dr. Venkman	Nothing wrong at all with his form through two starts, both easy scores at Del Mar this summer. He's fast enough to sit close in a race with a surprising lack of pace, and I think he'll be able to prompt the rail chalk and land this.
#1 Verifying	He has a right to be tough after the long string of graded stakes tries, but I'm not sure what to do with his last when he was on his way to being no threat at all before the runaway leader went wrong. The one to beat.
#3 Post Time	His Pimlico comeback was sharp enough for the connections to bring him here for a shot, and I would have seriously considered him on top if I had confidence he'd get a setup of any kind from off the pace. Class riser probably needs more help up front.
Race Summary	Dr. Venkman and Verifying look likely to do the early work in a paceless race, and I'm hoping the Grade I running line for the rail horse will help keep the price playable while we find out what 'Venkman is made of today.

Keeneland - Race #7

#2 Single Dot Yaht	He has a fair enough set of finishing lines to think he might be able to plug past some of these, as he'll get something of a true two-turn try for the first time in his career.
#8 Mount Craig	This field might help keep the price a little playable after proving no threat at 8/5 last out, and he has a little versatility in running style that might help him find a decent spot without leaving too much to do.
#6 Ben Franklin	He ran on well in a short field in the debut try, and he can probably build on that run while getting around two turns today. Might want something a bit more attractive than the 9/2 ML offering.
Race Summary	Single Dot Yaht has a little midrange price appeal in here, as he hasn't been a serious threat in recent races, but maybe the two-turn trip today will move him up just a bit.

Keeneland - Race #8

#10 Walkathon	The only two bad tries on her page are the two times she ran fresh -- the debut and the try off the bench last time around. She's got the kind of tactical speed that should give her the jump on any finishing threats, and I think we'll see something much better today.
#5 Poca Mucha	She chased a pretty decent winner last out and has held some of her better recent form through those last few starts. Think she has a price claim on a piece of this if she can hold it again today.
#9 Haughty	She wouldn't be any surprise for a tough team, but her recent lines aren't all that imposing. Think you can go back to that July Belmont run for a good company line and effort that might stack up well here.
Race Summary	Walkathon needs to bounce back off the dud last out, but I think she will bring an improved try today after shaking the rust off last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2023, 09:33 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #2

#5 INDEPENDENT (7-2)	Salzman barn on 7-25 run with 2yos in the last month with a positive R.O.I.
#7 G’S FIREBALL (2-1)	Content to track 4-to-5 winner, angled out at the 3/8ths pole but was no match.
#3 HARMONIZING (3-1)	Has some speed, takes class drop, adds blinkers in third start.
Race Summary	INDEPENDENT need not be much to contend in her first start. She arrives off a solid September work tab for a high-percentage barn with 2-year-olds. Her dam was 4-20 and a $68k earner at lower-profile tracks. Play a 5-ALL exacta.

Laurel Park - Race #4

#6 COCKTAIL DREAMING (5-2)	Good fit at this level, leads field with five wins – all at Laurel Park.
#8 JOYA DEL SUR (7-5)	Disappointed in latest but can’t be discounted after first win on dirt two back.
#7 BLAME CATALAYA (7-2)	Finished behind ‘Cocktail’ at 6F, projects ideal trip at better price.
Race Summary	COCKTAIL DREAMING ranged up 3- and 4-wide but ‘failed to quicken’ with the longshot winner in mid-stretch, settling for second in a shorter sprint than this. But the five-time winning 3-year-old meets mostly nw/3 older rivals. Give her the nod for a win and place bet.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#3 BRASSTOWN (5-1)	Could pay off quickly on claim, stands 21/6-5-4 with $119k bankroll at one mile.
#4 CHARGE TO VICTORY (7-2)	Earned keep in starter allowances during four-race winning streak.
#2 BAHAMA CHANNEL (10-1)	Runs for Cruz, chased Brasstown and held second on a sloppy track.
Race Summary	BRASSTOWN dueled from mid-turn to mid-stretch with the winner and held second as the odds-on favorite. He can make good use of his speed in this field on the cutback from a two-turn route to a one-turn mile off the claim. Bet to win and place.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:21 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race 1	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 $.50 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $35,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 68 • Purse: $32,000 • Post: 12:50
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000 (FBIF PENDING AVAILABILITY OF PURSE SUPPLEMENT FUNDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SANPIRODU is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CHEER COACH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	SANPIRODU	3/1	5/2
9	CHEER COACH	7/2	5/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	SANPIRODU	6	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	62	61.2	61.2	57.2
9	CHEER COACH	9	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	58	53	56.9	50.2	44.7
3	ATOMICO	3	5/1	Trailer	58	52	54.0	49.3	42.8
8	SUMMER STORM STRIC	8	4/1	Trailer	58	54	47.6	42.3	36.3
5	MACUTO	5	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	44.2	31.7	23.7
2	WE GOT THIS	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	34.1	34.1	22.6

Unknown Running Style: HYDROLOGIST (20/1) [Jockey: Morales Angel - Trainer: Laurin Roger], INSPIRING HONOR (10/1) [Jockey: Diaz Jr Hector Rafael - Trainer: O'Connell Kathleen], CROSS EXAM (9/2) [Jockey: Gonzalez Edwin - Trainer: Fawkes David].

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:21 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star ParkPURCHASE

Lone Star Park - Race 7	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 6 (Races 7-8-9-10-11-12)
Stakes • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 114 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 9:05P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, COX RANCH DISTANCE CHALLENGE CHAMPIONSHIP S. - GRADE 1 FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHTS: THREE YEAR OLDS - 124 LBS.; OLDER - 126 LBS. FOR HORSES THAT QUALIFIED THROUGH A REGIONAL RACING CHALLENGE FINAL IN 2023 AS DETERMINED BY THE RACING CHALLENGE CHAMPIONSHIP PREFERENCES.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * O DONOVAN ROSSA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. THE GRAND LEGEND: Hors e's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. JESS RITE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface.
2	O DONOVAN ROSSA	9/5	9/2
3	THE GRAND LEGEND	8/5	9/2
8	JESS RITE	5/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	VOLCOMS FAVORITE	1	20/1	Average	86	70	4.0	0.0	0.0
2	O DONOVAN ROSSA	2	9/5	Average	114	101	3.9	0.0	0.0
3	THE GRAND LEGEND	3	8/5	Average	106	107	3.8	0.0	0.0
4	THE DREAM	4	15/1	Average	93	83	4.4	0.0	0.0
5	STOLIN TRAIN	5	20/1	Fast	84	74	2.7	0.0	0.0
6	DAK	6	6/1	Average	111	87	5.1	0.0	0.0
7	DANCE THE DUST OFF	7	10/1	Slow	102	86	6.2	0.0	0.0
8	JESS RITE	8	5/1	Average	106	101	4.9	0.0	0.0

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:21 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 92

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 HOUSE OF MAGIC 9/5
# 3 DOLCE GHOST 12/1
# 11 ZAZEN 8/1

HOUSE OF MAGIC is my choice. Recent figures for the jockey - 21 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group. Will almost certainly compete soundly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. Is a definite contender - given the 91 speed figure from her most recent race. DOLCE GHOST - Is tough not to look at based on speed figures which have been solid - 88 avg - of late. This filly has been constatntly racing well in her latest outings. ZAZEN - Chavez has very strong numbers that point to this filly to be a sharp contender.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:03pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#10 MINEOLA MIKE (ML=10/1)
#3 I RUN (ML=10/1)
#5 FEDERAL OFFENSE (ML=6/1)
#7 VOTETHEMALLOUT (ML=6/1)

MINEOLA MIKE - Gelding looks like the lone speed here. He may turn the race into a procession. I RUN - This mount should be motoring in the stretch. FEDERAL OFFENSE - A big drop in class figure points from his October 1st race at Laurel. Based on that info, I will give this horse the edge. This gelding looks like a natural router, based on efforts in last 2 sprint races. VOTETHEMALLOUT - This gelding should give a strong showing of himself in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ALOTTACENTS (ML=8/5), #8 IMPROPER (ML=9/2), #4 LONG LIVE NOW (ML=8/1),

ALOTTACENTS - Tough to bet on at 8/5 odds after the most recent outings. September 16th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. IMPROPER - This gelding finished out of the money on September 1st and wasn't close to winning last time out either. LONG LIVE NOW - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable contender.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #10 MINEOLA MIKE on the win end if we get at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Delaware Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - SO - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#4 CHALK HILL (ML=6/1)
#2 OUR FANTASY (ML=7/2)

CHALK HILL - Ramirez brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this live filly. OUR FANTASY - This mare is in good condition. Ended up third on Sep 25th. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the recent PP lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle at different tracks.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TIZ HERSELF (ML=6/5), #1 CHLOE ROSE (ML=9/2), #3 ONE LAS OLAS (ML=8/1),

TIZ HERSELF - Hasn't been on the Delaware Park oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. CHLOE ROSE - This mare is always in the money, but just doesn't finish on top. Hard to bet on her on the front end. Ran a great speed fig last race out, but the battle will probably take too much out of her. ONE LAS OLAS - Nice race on September 1st at Timonium, but the fact that there are no workouts since has to make one a little worried. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #4 CHALK HILL on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Handicap Stakes - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 100

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, AZURE THREE S. - THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARDS, WEIGHT 126LBS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $200 ADDITIONAL TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. ACCEPTANCE THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. NOMINATIONS CLOSE AT 12:00 P.M.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 SHOTT GUN 9/5
# 6 DASHA DYNASTY 8/1
# 8 CATTAIL COVE 3/1

I like SHOTT GUN here. Shows formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Garnered a solid speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. A solid 101 avg class fig may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field.DASHA DYNASTY - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Ayala should have this colt in excellent position to win the competition.CATTAIL COVE - Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Profitable rider and conditioner team, with a +30 return on investment.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont at the Big A

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 81

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 ASHBURN ALLEY 8/1
# 4 MYSARIA 15/1
# 5 MY KINDA MISCHIEF 12/1

I've got to go with ASHBURN ALLEY and is a respectable value wager given the line. Sire has produced formidable profits with his offspring in their first askings.MYSARIA - Davis has an excellent ROI over the past month (+38) which should probably help risk takers with this pick. MY KINDA MISCHIEF - Looks solid against this group and will most likely be one of the early speedsters.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:23 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 AN AMERICA EAGLE 6/1
# 9 APOLLITICALADY 15/1
# 5 KEEP WORKING 12/1

AN AMERICA EAGLE looks to be a solid contender. Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. Has to be given consideration as she drops to compete against this easier group. This filly has some longshot handicapping angles I like to wager on. APOLLITICALADY - Looks respectable versus this group and will most likely be one of the front-runners. Likely to see a reliable attempt with the class drop. KEEP WORKING - Is a solid contender based on figs recorded as of late under today's conditions.

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:23 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Equibase Special

Equibase Special - Race 2	Leg 2 of the Santa Anita All Turf Pick 3
Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3-5 • CR: 90 •Purse: $61,000 • Post: 3:07P
SA - R5 - (RAIL AT 30 FEET). FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MAN O ROSE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MAN O ROSE: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ANTIBES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest averag e Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	MAN O ROSE	5/2	2/1
2	ANTIBES	3/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	MORE TRY	5	6/1	Front-runner	78	75	94.8	71.1	61.1
4	MAN O ROSE	4	5/2	Stalker	92	90	105.2	85.3	82.3
7	CITY OF ANGELS	7	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	81	85.5	69.7	64.2
2	ANTIBES	2	3/1	Trailer	92	90	52.1	85.3	81.8
8	SEABOARD	8	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	54.0	38.9	29.9
1	SMILING RULER	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	37.9	53.1	44.1

Unknown Running Style: ON THE WHIM (4/1) [Jockey: Vazquez Ramon A - Trainer: Pederson Dean], HILL SIXTEEN (6/1) [Jockey: Fresu Antonio - Trainer: Miller Peter], GLORIOUS LIFE (6/1) [Jockey: Rispoli Umberto - Trainer: Gaines Carla].

**ConleyPicks** · 10-21-2023, 10:23 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Keeneland - Race #10 - Post: 5:48pm - Allowance - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 107

Rating:

#9 SAMBURU (GB) (ML=20/1)
#8 COUNTERSTRIKE (ML=5/1)
#10 GREGORY'S PRIDE (ML=10/1)
#5 AXTHELM (ML=7/2)
#1 WILLTORUN (ML=8/1)

SAMBURU (GB) - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. Great average class rating on this horse. Should have the capability to run well on the turf. COUNTERSTRIKE - Trainer Ennis gave this gelding a good stiff blow out. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. Don't often see a favorable ROI like +44. This jockey/conditioner tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. Going on Lasix for the 1st time. While a general handicapping angle, it's still quite useful when analyzing a race. GREGORY'S PRIDE - Every now and then I take some time off, when I come back to the track I feel refreshed. I think it's the same with this gelding as he always seems to run well after a layoff. AXTHELM - Ran a less than stellar race at Kentucky Downs last time around the track. Racing under normal track conditions puts this colt at the top of my contenders list.WILLTORUN - I'm expecting this horse to run a big race this time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 FAUCI (ML=2/1), #7 B D VALESKI (ML=8/1),

FAUCI - Difficult to put your money on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this participant does. B D VALESKI - You always think this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he falters regularly. This gelding probably needs a better pace configuration to make his closing move.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #9 SAMBURU (GB) on the nose if you can get odds of 6/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [8,9,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[8,9] with [8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	[8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] with [1,5,8,9,10] Total Cost: $72