Friday 9/8/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351013

    Friday 9/8/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 12584

    #2
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:05pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,700 Class Rating: 54

    Rating:

    #2 TWISTED JUSTICE (ML=5/2)


    TWISTED JUSTICE - Finished runner-up, but easily second over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out. I think this filly is very fit right now. I like the fact that Smith brings her back to a race so quickly. Another way to assign class is earnings per race. This horse has the highest in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PRIDE AND ATTITUDE (ML=7/2), #1 OFFICE CHATTER (ML=4/1), #3 LATE BLOOMBOPPER (ML=9/2),

    PRIDE AND ATTITUDE - No picnic to wager on any horse in a short distance event if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. OFFICE CHATTER - Can't bet on this horse in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance affair lately. LATE BLOOMBOPPER - I foretell a letdown for this animal in this affair.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TWISTED JUSTICE - I love to bet on horses which always finished in the money. Couldn't ask for much more out of this one. Let's bet on her.




    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #2 TWISTED JUSTICE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
    EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [1,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 12584

      #3
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 58

      FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 10 ROCKET SOCKS 5/1
      # 3 C B'S FLAT OUT 4/1
      # 9 FLAT HANBY 9/2
      My pick in here is ROCKET SOCKS. Likely to see this animal to be close up at the finish versus these mounts. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very good win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. Davidson has shown excellent profits (+3 ROI ) with horses in dirt sprint events. C B'S FLAT OUT - Has to be given consideration as he drops to compete against this easier lot. Gladd has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. FLAT HANBY - The Equibase class rating of today's race is much lower than his last contest.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 12584

        #4
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 8 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $51000 Class Rating: 87

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 1 MIDWAY MISCHIEF 6/1
        # 7 MIGHTY SEA 2/1
        # 6 SIR SAMUEL 4/1
        My selection for this event is MIDWAY MISCHIEF. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (77 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Recent figs for the jockey - 23 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. Ought to go to the front end and might never look back. MIGHTY SEA - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Should be considered based on the very good speed figure posted in the last contest. SIR SAMUEL - Has been running solidly lately and should be up near the front end early on. Has performed strongly recently in route races, posting a nifty 76 avg speed rating.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 12584

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

          Charles Town - Race 5
          Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
          Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 CR: 55 • Purse: $26,500 • Post: 9:02P
          FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Lone Stalker. DON'T GET CAUGHTUP is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * KARMA BUS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with a n inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EL PACHO: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GREY BOUQUET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          2
          KARMA BUS
          9/5
          3/1
          3
          EL PACHO
          6/1
          5/1
          6
          GREY BOUQUET
          3/1
          7/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          3
          EL PACHO
          3
          6/1
          Front-runner
          64
          48
          58.7
          37.3
          32.3
          2
          KARMA BUS
          2
          9/5
          Front-runner
          61
          53
          56.8
          50.8
          47.8
          7
          DON'T GET CAUGHTUP
          7
          30/1
          Alternator/Stalker
          0
          0
          33.2
          19.6
          11.6
          6
          GREY BOUQUET
          6
          3/1
          Trailer
          68
          48
          7.2
          46.6
          42.6
          Unknown Running Style: ARYA CHARMING (15/1) [Jockey: Esquilin Juan J - Trainer: Wilhelm Tabitha M], ESPRESSO (9/2) [Jockey: Mendez Marshall - Trainer: Brown Keith A], DIMELO PAPI (12/1) [Jockey: Santiago Wilfredo - Trainer: Ramos Agosto Miguel], LORD

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 12584

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sweetwater County Fair

            Sweetwater County Fair - Race 6
            $2 WPS / $2 $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $2 Quinella
            Claiming $5,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $7,600 • Post: 6:05P
            QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DOCS FOLLIES: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. CD ROCKIN FOR MIA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). PAGE PRO: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. BDR PRINCE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VVR COUNTRY KID: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast.
            1
            DOCS FOLLIES
            5/1
            5/1
            8
            CD ROCKIN FOR MIA
            9/2
            8/1
            2
            PAGE PRO
            6/1
            8/1
            6
            BDR PRINCE
            7/2
            8/1
            4
            VVR COUNTRY KID
            4/1
            8/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            1
            DOCS FOLLIES
            1
            5/1
            Average
            74
            72
            4.4
            0.0
            0.0
            2
            PAGE PRO
            2
            6/1
            Average
            70
            67
            4.6
            0.0
            0.0
            3
            SECRETS HS JESS
            3
            8/1
            Slow
            67
            64
            6.1
            0.0
            0.0
            4
            VVR COUNTRY KID
            4
            4/1
            Fast
            64
            67
            3.0
            0.0
            0.0
            5
            SECRETLY EYE ON
            5
            8/1
            Slow/Trouble-prone
            57
            56
            7.9
            0.0
            0.0
            6
            BDR PRINCE
            6
            7/2
            Average
            69
            64
            5.1
            0.0
            0.0
            7
            TAKE NOTE
            7
            6/1
            Slow
            69
            65
            6.5
            0.0
            0.0
            8
            CD ROCKIN FOR MIA
            8
            9/2
            Slow
            72
            68
            8.0
            0.0
            0.0

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 12584

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Delaware Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - Maiden Special - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 71

              Rating:

              #2 HOYA (ML=8/1)
              #8 FAVORITE HAUNT (ML=3/1)
              #6 BEYOND REPROACH (ML=10/1)


              HOYA - You'll be making money right and left by turning your cash onto this rider/trainer combination. This mount could be tough in today's contest, especially since Arroyo rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. Look for this one to go all the way home at some decent odds right here. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish line. This thoroughbred ran out of the money at Delaware Park last race out on the soft turf. He should improve right here without the off-track conditions. FAVORITE HAUNT - A winning percent like 30 is tremendous for any jock/trainer duo. BEYOND REPROACH - Atop this horse on August 24th and Marin is right back in the irons in this race.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DRILLING FOR GOLD (ML=2/1), #5 DEVINE FLAMEAWAY (ML=5/1), #1 DERBYNESS (ML=8/1),

              DRILLING FOR GOLD - Tough to wager on any racer in a short distance race at 2/1 when he hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last couple of months. Tough to go with this mount at 7 1/2 furlongs after showcasing no speed at 1 mile. DEVINE FLAMEAWAY - Unlikely for this participant to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint clash. DERBYNESS - Doesn't appear to be in a satisfactory situation this time out.


              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #2 HOYA to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,8]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Skip
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 12584

                #8
                Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Freehold Raceway


                CompuBet Free Pick!


                CompuBet 09/08 FREEHOLD
                Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                Race#: 2- - PACE 09/08 FREEHOLD
                1 Roma Amor 7/5 485.69 100 66.7 76.7 1:58.7 Siegelman, Austin 21
                8 Laz-a-faire 7/2 430.18 80 38.3 78.0 1:58.7 Beyer, Troy 14
                2 Chillax De Vie 4/1 423.74 80 21.7 73.9 1:58.9 Andersen, Bryan 12
                3 Back To Hicksville 5/1 365.66 80 18.3 83.7 2:01.3 Beckwith, Brett 21
                4 Spiral Gone Viral 12/1 322.80 70 Q 20.0 68.7 2:02.5 Herschberger, Mark 12

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 12584

                  #9
                  Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Hoosier Park


                  CompuBet Free Pick!


                  CompuBet 09/08 HOOSIER PARK
                  Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points
                  Race#: 11- - PACE 09/08 HOOSIER PARK
                  3 Ultra Image 4/1 735.66 100 106.7 94.0 1:49.7 Wilfong, Kyle 18
                  5 General Dolan 7/2 702.94 90 56.7 96.0 1:49.7 Tetrick, Trace 29
                  8 Crooked Smile 10/1 702.74 90 75.0 96.0 1:50.0 Ross, Jordan 18
                  6 Jk Victory 3/1 701.73 90 95.0 96.0 1:49.8 Macomber, Ricky Jr 13
                  1 Im Sir Blake A 5/1 699.34 80 43.3 IM 100.7 1:49.9 Bender, Atlee 18

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 12584

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 13 - Post: 10:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$9900 - NON WINNERS $7500 L5 STARTS
                    CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                    # 4 SWEET BOY BEN 8/5
                    # 3 SENNA 7/2
                    # 1 BLUE BAYOU DEO 7/2
                    SWEET BOY BEN looks like our best wagering option in this race. This contest could be controlled by this gelding. A single look at the avgerage speed rating will prove that. The 91 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the grouping. Worth considering in this contest if only for the really strong speed rating recorded in the most recent contest. SENNA - Could very well be the most respectable in the field of horses here, showing formidable numbers of late. Average speed is a solid 85. A competitive class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class figure of 87 all signs point to yes. BLUE BAYOU DEO - Looks like a strong selection in this field of starters and her better than average winning percentage says she has the determination to score in this contest. Battling competently, achieved a very compelling TrackMaster speed fig in her last race (84).

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 12584

                      #11
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Grand River Raceway

                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 8
                      3 3 MAJOR LEAGUE N 10/1 Hensley, Ed F - 12 523.61
                      6 6 VOELZ DELIGHT 3/1 Ryan, Jason D - 12 517.92
                      7 7 GIAS SURREAL 8/5 Moore, Tyler - 11 510.69
                      2 2 IN THE MOOD 2/1 Harris, J Bradley - 18 500.03
                      1 1 SAULSBROOK JESSIE 6/1 Macdonald, Brett A - 12 484.86
                      4 4 SHOOT THE WHISKEY 4/1 Desroche, Ryan P - 5 471.24
                      5 5 DARKRSHADEOFPALE N 8/1 Kelly, Colin - 19 466.50

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 12584

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.



                        Race 2 - Post: 6:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$14500 - 2 & 3 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS N/W 2
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 7 LIFE ON THE BLUF 4/1
                        # 5 EDVARD PALEMA S 5/2
                        # 3 SMART SCHOONER 9/5
                        After thorough analysis by the number crunching team, LIFE ON THE BLUF comes out as the top play. Could surprise us at a decent price. Don't leave out. Earned a 72 speed figure last time out. A duplicate performance here should get the victory in here. EDVARD PALEMA S - That 75 speed figure clocked in the most recent affair puts this harness racer in the mix for this one. Svanstedt has been en fuego over the last 30 days, winning at a formidable 39 percent. SMART SCHOONER - The group can't help but lean toward this race horse because the internal pace figures fit well here at Meadowlands. Can't pass over the connections here, a 35 winning pct, one of the most competitive at getting into the winners circle.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 12584

                          #13
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 11
                          10 10 TWO PISTOL ANNIE 10/1 Waxman, Isaac S - 38 578.73
                          6 6 MIA CULPA 15/1 Roy, Louis-Philippe - 17 554.59
                          5 5 TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY 15/1 Borth, Tyler J - 8 537.60
                          2 2 COZ IM SPECIAL 5/1 Hudon, Phillippe - 7 515.88
                          3 3 MY MOTHER PEARL 8/1 Jamieson, Jody C - 10 510.68
                          8 8 GOODNIGHT IRENE 7/2 Macdonald, James A - 21 494.70
                          4 4 BLUEMEA KISS 6/1 Boyd, Nicholas R - 0 487.94
                          9 9 GIRL SCOUT COOKIE 10/1 Jones, Tyler S - 7 482.70
                          7 7 MY ONLY SUNSHINE 3/1 Sorrie, Austin - 7 470.62
                          1 1 HILLBILLY JET 4/1 Mcclure, Bob - 14 420.72

                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351013

                            #14
                            Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Del Mar - Friday, 9/8/23


                            September 8, 2023
                            “What You Need to Know” – Del Mar
                            by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst


                            Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                            *
                            For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
                            *
                            Grade Descriptions:
                            Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
                            Grade B=Solid Play.
                            Grade C=Least preferred or pass
                            Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

                            __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                            RACE 1: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B-
                            Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Top Gun Tommy; 1-Doo Wop Don
                            Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

                            Forecast: Top Gun Tommy arrives from the East seeking ship-and-win bonus purse money in this modest $10,000 claiming sprint for older horses and will outclass this field if he has at least one good one left. The big class dropper now in the Jeff Mullins barn has mostly been a middle distance performer throughout his career but against this group he should be just fine at this six furlong trip. The local workouts aren’t flashy, but the pattern is steady and should have him fit enough in his first start since early June. For protection, you may want to include Doo Wop Don on your ticket. He’s back at his winning level in his second start off a layoff and always has been a fairly consistent sort (first or second in 12 of 26 career starts). If he can secure a good trip form his rail post, the Dialed In gelding should make some noise late.

                            *

                            RACE 2: Post: 3:33 PT Grade: B+
                            Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-Soho; 9-Avoir
                            Backups/savers: none.

                            Forecast: Soho is a first timer from the John Sadler showing a string of strong works that should make her fit and ready for a winning performance first crack out of the box. The $625,000 yearling purchase by City of Light is bred to like grass on the dam’s side, and if she runs to her main track drills in this five furlong dash she should be hard to deny. She is listed at 5-1 on the morning line but we suspect she’ll go lower. Avoir finished second in a fast, highly rated dash over this course and distance in her debut last month and on paper clearly looks the best of those that have run. The barn has strong stats with the second times starter angle and picks up leading rider Juan Hernandez. Preference on top goes to Soho but both should be used in rolling exotic play.

                            *

                            RACE 3: Post: 4:04 PT Grade: B+
                            Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Havoc
                            Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

                            Forecast: Havoc is a first-off-the-claim play for Kristin Mulhall after finishing a strong third in a similar maiden $50,000 seller last month, and not much improvement will be required to handle this soft task. Although failing at 3/5 after pressing the pace and then losing his steam close home, the son of Sir Prancealot removes blinkers (love this angle), has worked nicely since raced, and should appreciate this shortening in trip to five furlongs. In an empty affair, let’s make him a win play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 5/2.

                            *

                            RACE 4: Post: 4:35 PT Grade: B-
                            Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Mystic Flyer; 6-Stamp My Passport; 8-Dont Fight the Fed
                            Backups/savers: 1-Nauvoo.

                            Forecast: Here’s a challenging race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Mystic Flyer represents a reasonable gamble at 6-1 on the morning line in this state-bred allowance optional claiming main track miler for older horses. This will be his first try around two turns, and we’ve always believed that the first time is always the best time for a stretch out play for a gelding bred to run long and adding blinkers for the first time. The Michael McCarthy barn has solid stats with this angle, and it would not be surprising to see this son of Danzing Candy inherit an ideal pace stalking trip. On pure numbers, he’s right there with these. Stamp My Passport has solid form at this level and should be in the fray throughout. He finished three lengths clear of the rest when second over this track and distance last month and is lightly raced with further improvement possible. Dont Fight the Fed graduated in gate-to-wire style last month while earning a good number, but likely will be relegated to a stalking role with other speed types drawn inside. He’s shown he can do that, and with speed figures rising with each outing the Nyquist colt is a major player and a “must use.”

                            *

                            RACE 5: Post: 5:06 PT Grade: B
                            Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Bajan Bashert; 1-Sand to Sea
                            Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

                            Forecast: Bajan Bashert stretches out to a mile following a pair of solid sprint efforts over the local lawn in this state-bred maiden special weight affair for older fillies and mares. She projects to have a strong pace presence from the start under top rider Juan Hernandez for a trainer that has superior stats with this angle (27%, powerful ROI) and seems set for a career top performance. The Mark Glatt-trained filly offers good value at 4-1 on the morning line if you can get it. Sand to Sea missed by a head sprinting on dirt in a sharp performance last month and today tries two new things (two turns, grass) in just her second career outing. She’s guaranteed a good ground-saving trip from the rail and perhaps a role as the controlling speed as well. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with the main push going to Bajan Bashert.

                            *

                            RACE 6: Post: 5:37 PT Grade: C+
                            Main ticket: (in order of preference): 2-Lord Prancealot; 5-Last Call London; 6-Mici’s Express.
                            Backups/savers: none.

                            Forecast: This year’s edition of the I’m Smokin Stakes is basically a replay of the recent Graduation Stakes for California-bred juveniles as it features the first three finishers of that race that hit the wire within a length of each. So, which one will improve the most? Lord Prancealot is undefeated in two outings and is the quickest of the group, but today must navigate an extra half furlong after barely surviving at five and one-half furlongs last time out. Last Call London didn’t get the best of trips, finished strongly, but simply ran out of room when falling a head short. Mici’s Express, third but closing fastest of all, seems to have found his niche as a late-running sprinter and could easily wear down the leaders late. In a race that we’ll otherwise pass, all three should be included in rolling exotic play.

                            *

                            RACE 7: Post: 6:08 PT Grade: B-
                            Main ticket (in order of preference): Impec; 4-Roscoe Village; 2-Zona Verde
                            Backups/Savers/Underneath: none.

                            Forecast: This grass grab bag for maiden juvenile fillies offers several possibilities, some at very good prices. Impec is a nicely bred daughter of Siyouni with a useful series of workouts that should have her fit enough for a strong effort in her debut. She was visually pleasing in a solid gate work Sept. 3 while displaying pretty good speed, so at 12-1 on the morning line the John Sadler-trained Irish-bred may be worth a flyer. Roscoe Village, third over this course and distance in a similar affair in late July, has a steadily improving pattern and should produce another forward move. She’s likely to draft into comfortable second flight early position and have every chance from there. Willa T has trained reasonably well for Tim Yakteen and certainly has the pedigree (Oscar Performance) to move up a ton on turf. We have a feeling she’s a bit better than her morning line of 8-1 would suggest.

                            *

                            RACE 8: Post: 6:39 PT Grade: B-
                            Main ticket: (in order of preference): Danzing Cat; 1-Big Novel; Diamonds Danzing.
                            Backups/savers: none.

                            Forecast: Danzing Cat lost a heartbreaker to stable mate She’s Bulletproof in a similar state-bred first level allowance main track sprint last month in a race that produced a career top speed figure and with another forward move today at this extended sprint she should be able to regain her winning form. The Peter Miller-trained sophomore has a good stalking style and looks the best of the lost at 7/2 on the morning line. Big Novel has been a money burner of late and may be inconvenienced by the rail, but on her best day she’s right there with these and shows the always dangerous route-to-sprint angle while switching to top rider Juan Hernandez for the first time. We’ll give her one more chance. Diamonds Danzing graduated sprinting on grass last time out but her career top number was earned when second two runs back on dirt at Santa Anita, and a repeat of that race today makes her a contender.

                            *
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351013

                              #15
                              Al Cimaglia: The Meadows Late Pick 4 Analysis


                              September 8, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
                              The Meadows has a 13-race card set to start at 5:10 PM EST. The headliners are two-and three-year-olds competing in the Pennsylvania Stallion Series Finals. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 rolls in Race 10, and it will be my focus.

                              Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                              Race 10 (8:19 PM EST)

                              3-Idiosyncratic (4-1)-Hasn't taken a picture since May but has posted a win at The Meadows and the program chalk hasn't. Raced evenly in last but could get the pocket tonight. Has enough gate speed to get a cozy trip right behind Flash Move.
                              4-Flash Move (8/5)-Has 5 wins but has only raced here once and finished 3rd. Seems to do better racing near the top of the stack and will be a short price. Dave Palone takes the lines, he should be able to muscle his way to the lead when the wings fold and could be tough to catch.

                              Race 11 (8:40 PM EST)

                              2-Rose Run Whitney (8/5)-Had been cashing checks versus better, dropped, then broke at the start last time and lost all chance. This is a logical choice that will be a short price and has won 13 of 51 at The Meadows.
                              6-Warrawee Whisper (6-1)-Has cashed checks versus better and has the gate speed to get an up-close seat. Did miss a start but could surprise if dialed on high and gets a sharp steer.

                              Race 12 (9:01 PM EST)

                              2-Mis Imprint (5/2)-Won her last start against this kind and had the rail. Draws inside again but doesn't usually leave hard but has the ability to come off cover. Comes right back and should be a main player.
                              4-Now Wish Me Luck (3-1)-Beaten 7/5 chalk returns to face the same class and may get the jump on the one above. Gets a new set of hands in Drew Monti and should be forwardly placed throughout.

                              Race 13 (9:22 PM EST)

                              4-Easter Lily (3/2)-This mare is not having a great year but drops to a spot to shine. Faces a soft group and should cash the top check with a clean trip.

                              0.50 Late Pick 4

                              3,4/2,6/2,4/4
                              Total Bet=$4
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