Sunday 6/25/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Administrator
    • Nov 2012
    • 347720

    Sunday 6/25/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Administrator
    • Nov 2012
    • 347720

    #2
    What You Need to Know - Sunday, June 25, 2023


    June 25, 2023
    Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
    Sunday, June 25, 2023
    (Selections listed in chronological order)


    Gulfstream Park – 2nd race: 3-Gentle Breeze (9/5). Post time: 1:21 ET

    Trainer Ralph Nicks boasts a superior record with first time starters (23%, powerful ROI) and appears set to add to his totals in this maiden $25,000 claiming sprint over five furlongs on the main track. The son of Cajun Breeze has looked like a win-early type in a series of morning team drills when showing good speed without really being asked for his best, and in a race in which the known element doesn’t impress and the other debut runners apparently haven’t shown much, this juvenile colt looks cranked up to wire the field. At 9/5 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

    *

    Woodbine – 7th race: 3-Up and Down (5/2). Post time: 4:28 ET

    We’ve always been partial to the route-to-sprint angle and this lightly raced sophomore filly contains the classic pattern in this year’s edition of the Alywow Stakes. A closing fourth in a maiden turf dash at Saratoga in her only previous one turn event, the daughter of Creative Cause most recently loomed a strong threat but lost her punch late when fourth in the Hilltop Stakes over a distance of ground at Pimlico last month. Today, she faces an easier group while turning back to an extended sprint. The Chad Brown-trained filly projects to settle in mid-pack and then blast home under the meeting’s far-and-away leading jockey Kazushi Kimora, and at 5/2 on the morning line she’ll offer good wagering value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

    *

    Ellis Park – 9th race: 7-Sassy Walker (5-1). Post time: 3:55 CT

    She has burned money in her first two starts as a beaten favorite, so this daughter of Munnings may be a hard one to trust, but we suspect the talent is there, and in her first try on grass we’re willing to give her one more chance at what should be a decent price. The Phil D’Amato-trained sophomore continues to train like a filly with plenty of speed and ability, and with a bullet main track breeze at Churchill Downs just seven days ago (5f, 1:00.2b, fastest of 26) we’re hoping she can put it all together in this abbreviated maiden sprint that came up softer than expected. At 5-1 on the morning line, she offers a strong win gamble and an enticing single in rolling exotic play.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Administrator
      • Nov 2012
      • 347720

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      June 25, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
      Northfield Park has a 15-race card ready to go with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout, and it will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)

      2-Elliot Moose (4-1)-Not going to knock the drive by Merriman in the last start but it's fair to say he may rethink the game plan. Was parked past the quarter, forced his way into the pocket and then needed to go 3 wide down the lane and lost by a nose. Doesn't have big gate speed to get the top and will probably come off cover in a race with a few fast starters.
      3-Caviart Eden (3-1)-Makes its Nfld debut, is fast and knows how to win. Was claimed for $55k by Holton who trains. So, would think the turns aren't going to be an issue and may have landed in a spot to capture a win.
      5-Bettor Than Spring (5-1)-Gets some post relief and has been in sharp form. Has enough gate speed to get the jump on others and can be 1st or 2nd around the opening turn.
      6-Camouflage Money (12-1)-Won last coming off cover versus this kind, and the same thing could happen again as the fractions should be quick. Willing to use at this price instead of #7 the 9/5 program chalk, and will hope Lems provides the right trip.

      Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)

      1-Disclosure (6/5)-Wrenn should get away with a close-up seat and make an early move to get the top. Hasn't raced since 6-10, is coming off a sick scratch and makes its Northfield debut. Trixton mare has faced some tough foes and should relish the company.
      6-Manofmanymuscles (3-1)-Raced well in the first 2 starts since joining the Rhoades barn and Merriman sticks. Should be forwardly placed and with a sharp steer it could be picture time.

      Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)

      1-Tick's A Yankin (7/2)-Loses Meriman to #8 but Myers has the speed to protect the rail and try to wire the field. Looks like a main player.
      3-Slater (7-1)-This is 2nd time Lasix, and my guess is the 5-year-old could land in the pocket. Should offer a solid price and looks like a trip-out candidate.
      8-Speedy Dominic A (4-1)-Here's my take, Dominic drops to a good spot to compete but probably can't wire this field. This veteran came off cover to win on 5-14 and the fractions should be lively here. The best plan might be to duck early and rally late.

      Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)

      1-Elver Hanover (2-1)-Might not be as fast off the gate as the one below but has enough speed to be no worse than in the pocket. This looks like a 2-horse race between these 2 veterans and this one has more back class. Could be an opportunity to post the 1st win this year.
      2-Lyons Friends (5/2)-Drew off by >6 lengths versus easier in the 2nd race for the Holzman barn. It should be an interesting start and Davis Jr could look to land on the point when the wings fold. If that is the case the 6-year-old could be difficult to catch.

      $1.00 Late Pick 4

      2,3,5,6/1,6/1,3,8/1,2
      Total Bet=$24
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Administrator
        • Nov 2012
        • 347720

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Hawthorne - Race #3
        #7 Madelyn Belle She rallied just a touch too late in the debut when sent to post at even money, and anything like that one would probably make her tough to handle with that experience under her belt. Probably a handful today.
        #3 Napabit She might end up being just a pace player while trying the local company for the first time, but she might offer a decent price while bringing downstate form with her. For a piece?
        #1 Loveyoulikecrazy She has run a few races that would keep her in the mix for a piece, and she might be able to tuck in just behind the early pace players to avoid having to hustle too much from the fence.
        Race Summary Madelyn Belle will likely get bet here, but I think she's a pretty logical one to work around in the early multi-race plays. She handled Loveyoulikecrazy in that last one and has more upside in just this second start.
        Hawthorne - Race #5
        #6 Out of Deductions He absolutely drilled a field to graduate in his local debut last time out, and the no-threat runner-up that day was back to win a few weeks later. He's not meeting the deepest stakes field we're ever going to see, and the runners from this female family can turn out to be pretty nice.
        #5 Act a Fool He looks like the one to beat with some pace to put to use while making his turf debut, as his local form this year has been very impressive, and he's going to be tough here if he handles the new footing.
        #1 Really Good He has to be considered at least on class, as he is a Grade II-placed runner who tried the Breeders' Cup last season, but his two race so far this year have both been very forgettable. Tough call, but I'm not overly inspired.
        Race Summary Out of Deductions still feels like he has some upside with just two starts under his belt, and he hammered a maiden bunch in his first trip over the turf course. He obviously likes it here, so let's see if he can elevate his game enough to land this modest stakes spot. Don't think the honest #2 Wolf Hunter is in over his head for a piece despite being winless.
        Hawthorne - Race #8
        #7 Black Russian Think he has a little claim on this at a mid-range price, as he's lining up against a few potential pace players and showed some improved form when finishing well late at this level earlier this month. Over the top today?
        #2 Mad Dragon Wouldn't be any surprise to see him roll this group while dropping at second asking, and he turned in a pretty solid effort with some pace in the debut run for more than twice this price. Obvious player and the one to beat.
        #1 Uncaptured Dream He's starting to get a little short on excuses with a bunch of underneath shares on his page with similar, but he's a pretty reliable type who probably runs his race again today. Not impossible, but a likely underlay.
        Race Summary Black Russian has a little appeal from off the pace, as he woke up with an improved running line last out when trying this level, and I think the race shape might be just fair enough to give him a chance to rally past these late.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Administrator
          • Nov 2012
          • 347720

          #5
          Los Alamitos Tip Sheet - June 25

          Jun. 24, 2023


          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
          RACE #1 $12,500 CLAIMING
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
          BEST BET: #5 STORM DORO
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 8-5 5 Storm dOro M Gutierrez
          PLACE 2-1 4 Parco J Valdivia Jr.
          SHOW 5-2 2 Roman Empress K Frey
          WILD CARD 5-1 1 Moonlite in Heaven A Espinoza
          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Dallas Alice E Hernandez
          * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
          RACE #2 $33,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:32 PM ET
          BEST BET: #2 MANGO MOON
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 9-5 2 Mango Moon A Cedillo
          PLACE 2-1 5 Soul of a Warrior M Gutierrez
          SHOW 3-1 3 Precious Baby M E Smith
          WILD CARD 4-1 1 Quicklikeabunny R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Modera D A Herrera
          * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
          RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
          5 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:05 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 2-1 3 Hot Memories E Payeras
          PLACE 5-1 5 Worth Looking C Ortega
          SHOW 4-5 2 American Cat R A Vazquez
          WILD CARD 6-1 6 Medina Man T J Pereira
          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Aberdeens Knight E K Rojas Fernandez
          * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
          RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 2-1 4 Tigers Wish C Figueroa
          PLACE 7-5 5 California Bling E K Rojas Fernandez
          SHOW 15-1 1 Round in Circles B Harvey
          WILD CARD 6-1 3 Amazing Flyer C Ortega
          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Lady Hussar A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Oak Creek Gal H R Lopez
          * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
          RACE #5 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:05 PM ET
          BEST BET: #2 WARRENS SHOW BIZZ
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 7-2 2 Warrens Show Bizz D A Herrera
          PLACE 2-1 6 Assuredly G Franco
          SHOW 5-2 3 Princess Magic A Alsagoor
          WILD CARD 10-1 1 Midnight Susi T J Pereira
          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Mensa On Tap D Van Dyke
          ALTERNATE 2 9-2 4 Artemis Star E Payeras
          * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
          RACE #6 $22,500 CLAIMING
          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:35 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 2-1 4 Square Cat A Cedillo
          PLACE 10-1 2 Wegonahavagoodtime G Franco
          SHOW 12-1 3 Curly Esa D A Herrera
          WILD CARD 5-2 5 Jam Session T J Pereira
          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Spiritist A Alsagoor
          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Big Swede A Fresu
          * EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
          RACE #7 $45,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 2-1 5 Uncle Reg T J Pereira
          PLACE 8-5 7 Wickline J J Hernandez
          SHOW 15-1 4 Confucius A Fresu
          WILD CARD 5-1 3 Central Dispatch H I Berrios
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Levon R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 1 Will Be G Franco
          * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX
          RACE #8 $47,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:35 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 3-1 4 Shortman H I Berrios
          PLACE 5-2 7 Finneus A Cedillo
          SHOW 2-1 5 Redline T J Pereira
          WILD CARD 5-1 3 Hembree A Fresu
          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Tidal Forces R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 Muhammad Ali E Payeras
          * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Administrator
            • Nov 2012
            • 347720

            #6
            Belmont Park Tip Sheet - June 25

            Jun. 24, 2023


            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track
            RACE #1 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
            BEST BET: #5 FOXY CARA
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-5 5 Foxy Cara J Castellano
            PLACE 8-5 1 Short Shift F Prat
            SHOW 7-2 2 Jessicas Ride J Lezcano
            WILD CARD 6-1 3 Big Hazel D Davis
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 4 Ichiban J L Ortiz
            * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
            RACE #2 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
            1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET
            BEST BET: #5 RHEAUME
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 Rheaume T McCarthy
            PLACE 8-5 1 Collaboration D Davis
            SHOW 4-1 2 Sals Dream Girl J Rosario
            WILD CARD 8-1 3 Snowy Evening J L Ortiz
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Red Hot Chick M Franco
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 7 Lady Jasmine F Prat
            * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
            RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING
            7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:07 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-5 7 Warman Road K Carmouche
            PLACE 6-1 1 Swaysinmydna A Castillo
            SHOW 2-1 6 Central Pride D Davis
            WILD CARD 4-1 4 Juggler T McCarthy
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Reunion Tour J A Torres
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Sorpreso J R Martinez
            * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
            RACE #4 $95,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:38 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 4 Lachaise J L Ortiz
            PLACE 7-5 7 Program Trading F Prat
            SHOW 4-1 2 Operation Torch J Alvarado
            WILD CARD 4-1 5 Scramble J Castellano
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Classic Creation E Cancel
            ALTERNATE 2 2-1 8 Winters Lion D Davis
            * EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
            RACE #5 $32,000 CLAIMING
            1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:10 PM ET
            BEST BET: #4 GLORY ROAD
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 4 Glory Road J Lezcano
            PLACE 3-1 8 Lastchanceatglory J L Ortiz
            SHOW 10-1 1 Two Thirty Five J A Torres
            WILD CARD 15-1 6 Pit Boss E Cancel
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Dust Devil F Prat
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Little Demon M Franco
            * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
            RACE #6 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 3:42 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 4 Laurel Valley K Carmouche
            PLACE 3-1 5 Factually Correct J Lezcano
            SHOW 3-1 1 Scherzando J Castellano
            WILD CARD 5-2 3 Forward Move J L Ortiz
            ALTERNATE 1 2-1 8 Nobilis D Davis
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Mission Hill J Alvarado
            * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
            RACE #7 $85,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:16 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 8 Moonage Daydream F Prat
            PLACE 8-1 6 Masterof the Tunes J Castellano
            SHOW 9-5 9 Fancy Joke T McCarthy
            WILD CARD 3-1 3 New Ginya D Davis
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 7 Silken Dollar M Franco
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Dream Central J Lezcano
            * EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 6/8/9 BOX, 3/6/9 BOX
            RACE #8 $125,000 STAKES
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:48 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 6 Betsy Blue J Lezcano
            PLACE 3-1 4 Sterling Silver J Castellano
            SHOW 2-1 2 Rossa Veloce M Franco
            WILD CARD 3-1 5 Grannys Connection E Cancel
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Kant Hurry Love T McCarthy
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Bank On Anna D Davis
            * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
            RACE #9 $50,000 CLAIMING
            1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 1 Mauritius J Castellano
            PLACE 4-1 9 Legendary Lore J Lezcano
            SHOW 9-2 3 Born a Gambler M Franco
            WILD CARD 7-2 12 Lucky Lucky Luke M Franco
            ALTERNATE 1 3-1 11 Achilles Heel Rider TBA
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Watasha D Davis
            * EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 3/9/12 BOX
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Administrator
              • Nov 2012
              • 347720

              #7
              Ellis Park Tip Sheet - June 25

              Jun. 24, 2023


              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
              RACE #1 $75,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 6 Macho Villa C A Torres
              PLACE 4-1 2 Bourbon Fever L Saez
              SHOW 5-2 7 Elite Forces F Geroux
              WILD CARD 12-1 4 Auto Dial D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 5 Study Committee J Rocco Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 3 Stormin Army M Murrill
              * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
              RACE #2 $92,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
              5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
              BEST BET: #1 LUXURIATE
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 1 Luxuriate F Arrieta
              PLACE 7-2 2 Liams Message C A Torres
              SHOW 10-1 12 Shimmering Allure B J Hernandez Jr.
              WILD CARD 4-1 3 Tambarella T Gaffalione
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Twirling Queen L Saez
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Boomin Belle F Geroux
              * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/12 BOX, 2/3/12 BOX
              RACE #3 $141,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:43 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 1 Field Day T Gaffalione
              PLACE 5-2 4 Mischievous Rogue L Machado
              SHOW 15-1 5 Purple Dream J Talamo
              WILD CARD 5-1 6 Tulane Tryst B J Hernandez Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 9-5 2 Let My People Go R Bejarano
              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Friar Laurence G Corrales
              * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
              RACE #4 $68,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
              1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 3 Allege T Gaffalione
              PLACE 7-2 8 Dont Forget C A Torres
              SHOW 4-1 5 Fifty Cent Dollars M Murrill
              WILD CARD 5-2 7 Flokis Flight M Garcia
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 1 Just Call Ray C J Lanerie
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 American Pure L Saez
              * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
              RACE #5 $20,000 CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 8 Back to Normal Y Navas
              PLACE 3-1 1 Lemon Drop Shot R Bejarano
              SHOW 5-1 7 Tropic Storm E Morales
              WILD CARD 9-2 4 Camp Daddy T Gaffalione
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Nitroman L Saez
              ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Classy Socks C J Lanerie
              * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
              RACE #6 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
              1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 8-1 14 Stand Proud C A Torres
              PLACE 7-2 3 Mr. Keating T Gaffalione
              SHOW 4-1 11 Harbour Bridge L Saez
              WILD CARD 6-1 5 Mount Craig J R Leparoux
              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 9 Unload F Geroux
              ALTERNATE 2 9-2 8 Quality Chic B J Hernandez Jr.
              * EXACTA: 14-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/11/14 BOX, 3/5/11 BOX
              RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
              BEST BET: #9 GLORIAS PRINCESS
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 9 Glorias Princess L Saez
              PLACE 5-1 3 Misread B J Hernandez Jr.
              SHOW 15-1 10 Fiddle L Machado
              WILD CARD 3-1 12 Opening Night L Saez
              ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 Mo Shiro T Gaffalione
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Howboutdemapples F Geroux
              * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 3/10/12 BOX
              RACE #8 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 6-5 7 Sweet Cherry Pie L Saez
              PLACE 5-2 5 Zambezi T Gaffalione
              SHOW 8-1 1 Bohemian Bo C A Torres
              WILD CARD 8-1 3 Blue Light F Geroux
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Eddie M B J Hernandez Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Gold Luck G Corrales
              * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
              RACE #9 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
              5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
              BEST BET: #14 MY LILY MAE
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 14 My Lily Mae J Talamo
              PLACE 3-1 3 Baby Got Backspin M Garcia
              SHOW 7-2 1 Royal Flower T Gaffalione
              WILD CARD 8-1 11 Going the Distance R Santana Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 9 Pelican Lane B J Hernandez Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 7 Sassy Walker L Saez
              * EXACTA: 14-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-11 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/14 BOX, 1/3/11 BOX
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Administrator
                • Nov 2012
                • 347720

                #8
                Monmouth Park Tip Sheet - June 25

                Jun. 24, 2023


                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
                RACE #1 $14,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET
                BEST BET: #6 EAST SIDE
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 6 East Side N Juarez
                PLACE 5-2 1 Level Up J A Batista
                SHOW 4-1 8 Runnin Block I Castillo
                WILD CARD 12-1 4 Saratoga Sky D Brown
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Stormandy R R Maragh
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Dads On a Roll S Camacho
                * EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
                RACE #2 $36,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:08 PM ET
                BEST BET: #5 ATHENAS WISDOM
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 5 Athenas Wisdom S Camacho
                PLACE 5-2 2 Turn On the Charm C E Rojas
                SHOW 9-2 3 Proud Mule N Juarez
                WILD CARD 3-1 4 Sistren L R Rivera Jr.
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Sweet Fury S Gonzalez
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Oscar Gaze S Marin
                * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                RACE #3 $10,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:36 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 7 London Lady J Rendon
                PLACE 7-2 4 Bet On Drama P Lopez
                SHOW 20-1 6 Rowdy Cackalacky L J Luzzi
                WILD CARD 4-1 3 Holy Skull S Camacho
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Sassy Annie L Sosa
                ALTERNATE 2 5-2 2 Stephanie My Love J Torres
                * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
                RACE #4 $7,000 CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-1 1 Lemon Creek Louie A Hernandez
                PLACE 5-2 4 Haig Point P Lopez
                SHOW 7-2 5 Tap First S Camacho
                WILD CARD 20-1 2 Pearls and Heels N Juarez
                ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 Rainbow Trout P L Cotto Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 4-1 6 Box of Chocolates I Castillo
                * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                RACE #5 $100,000 STAKES
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:32 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 6-1 4 Playground Legend I Castillo
                PLACE 6-5 5 Ocean City P Lopez
                SHOW 2-1 3 Swan Lake J Rendon
                WILD CARD 8-1 2 Dreaming of Toga J A Gomez
                ALTERNATE 1 9-2 8 Its Viper
                ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Heathguard N Juarez
                * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
                RACE #6 $60,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:00 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 6-1 1 Catch the Smoke C E Rojas
                PLACE 3-1 5 Great King J A Batista
                SHOW 12-1 4 Commanding General J L Gonzalez
                WILD CARD 9-2 3 Trash Talker J A Gomez
                ALTERNATE 1 5-2 6 Judge Davis P Lopez
                ALTERNATE 2 3-1 7 My Harbors Dream I Castillo
                * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
                RACE #7 $68,750 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:28 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 3 Go to the Kingdom A S Arroyo
                PLACE 3-1 6 Vesparo I Castillo
                SHOW 5-1 9 Grouch J A Vargas Jr.
                WILD CARD 9-2 4 Social D P Lopez
                ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Changing the Karma S Golibrzuch
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Word for Word M Olver
                * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/6/9 BOX, 4/6/9 BOX
                RACE #8 $62,500 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:56 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 7 King of Hollywood P Lopez
                PLACE 7-2 3 Kobe B N Juarez
                SHOW 5-2 1 Systemic Change S Camacho
                WILD CARD 15-1 4 Irish Meadow C E Rojas
                ALTERNATE 1 9-2 2 Greatheart A A Rodriguez
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Logico I Castillo
                * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                RACE #9 $50,000 STARTER HANDICAP
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:24 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 4-1 6 Rough Sea S Marin
                PLACE 8-1 11 Bodes Maker R Silvera
                SHOW 7-2 5 Uncle Curly P Lopez
                WILD CARD 5-1 13 Lookin At Roses P Lopez
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 12 Caramel Chip S Camacho
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 2 Wicked Finn A S Arroyo
                * EXACTA: 6-11 BOX, 11-5 BOX, 5-13 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 5/6/11 BOX, 5/11/13 BOX
                RACE #10 $10,500 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET
                BEST BET: #1 AUNT BERRA
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 2-1 1 Aunt Berra J A Gomez
                PLACE 6-1 4 Nanasquan M Iorio
                SHOW 5-2 5 Mo Town Annie J C Ferrer
                WILD CARD 4-1 6 Shaymyname M Olver
                ALTERNATE 1 7-2 3 Hurry Up Dear M Rowland
                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Dusted J L Gonzalez
                * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Administrator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 347720

                  #9
                  Ellis Park Hotlist - June 25

                  Jun. 24, 2023


                  By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
                  Hot List Key:
                  A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                  *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
                  *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                  * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                  1st race – (7) Elite Forces makes his debut for Cox and seems ready for a big effort. (6) Macho Villa should respond to running in a claimer. (2) Bourbon Fever could contend off the claim by Davis. (4) Auto Dial is a firster worthy of attention. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-4-6-7. Doubles: 2-4-6-7 with 1-2-3-12. Pick 3: 2-4-6-7 with 1-2-3-12 with 1-2-4.
                  2nd race – (1) Luxuriate (A) missed by a head in her debut and should make amends here. (2) Liam’s Message adds blinkers and looks like the one to fear. (12) Shimmering Allure may benefit from her debut and be a factor here. (3) Tambarella seems ready for a solid effort at first asking. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-12. Doubles: 1-2-3-12 with 1-2-4.
                  3rd race – (4) Mischievous Rogue seeks a third straight win and is nicely placed here. (2) Let My People Go will be charging strongly in the final furlong. (1) Field Day returns from an 11-month break and will be dangerous if there’s no rust. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4.
                  6th race – (8) Quality Chic should appreciate the return to dirt and post a maiden win. (9) Unload took a nice step forward in his second start and should be the main rival. (3) Mr. Keating has been no worse than third in two career starts and belongs in the exotics. (5) Mount Craig may welcome the shorter distance. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-8-9.
                  8th race – (5) Zambezi was a game second in his first try against winners and looks best in this field. (7) Sweet Cherry Pie grabbed second time and looks like the one to fear. (3) Blue Light put in a nice work for this and merits attention. (1) Bohemian Bo has speed and will benefit from a rail trip. Betting strategy: 5 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-3-5-7.
                  No. Letter/Last race Today’s race Comment
                  (1) Luxuriate A, 5/27 2 EP Missed by a head in debut
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Administrator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 347720

                    #10
                    Belmont Park Hotlist - June 25

                    Jun. 24, 2023


                    By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                    Hot List Key:
                    A:
                    A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                    1st race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 mi] – (5) Foxy Cara was bet down from 7-1 to 4-1, had to check at the 3/8ths pole, and was able to finish third. (1) Short Shift debuted on the dirt and finished third and then tried the turf where she went a furlong farther but ran well beaten a length and a half. (3) Big Hazel was second in her first start in February at Aqueduct and then tried the turf twice with poor results. Start four was back on the dirt but the track was muddy. She is projected to be on the lead in this field. (4) Ichiban tried the grass in her most recent race in April and did no running. Her two starts on the dirt were better.
                    2nd race [NY, Alw 80000, 1/8 mi TURF] – (1) Collaboration (B/C) took late money from 8-1 to 6-1, crossed the finish line in first, but was disqualified after bumping at the 1/8th pole. (5) Rheaume won her debut last year and then had four second-place finishes in a row. She will cut back in distance from her first start of 2023 and gets blinkers on. (4) La Conquistadora got a maiden win in her third start on the grass. (2) Sals Dream Girl won in March on the Tapeta at Gulfstream Park and then came back to the turf at Belmont Park to finish fourth after an uncharacteristically bad break from the gate.
                    4th race [OC 62k/N1X, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (2) Operation Torch (A) began his career with two fast maiden starts and won the second one at Keeneland. Facing winners for the first time he was very rank, had to check hard, and rushed up the inside to finish fourth. (7) Program Trading was an easy winner of his debut race at Monmouth Park at 3-1 when he sat off the pace. (4) Lachaise won his first start as a juvenile at Saratoga against NY-breds and then was third in the Pilgrim (G3). He was fourth in the Pennine Ridge (G2) after pressing the pace and now changes to the barn of Mike Maker. (5) Scramble finished in the top three in all six starts with three of them last year. He broke his maiden at Gulfstream Park and then was second in a similar spot at Belmont last month.
                    7th race [NY, OC 45k/N2X, 7F TURF] – (5) Shinfull (D) was bet down from 8-1 to 5-1 last time in a similar allowance where he was able to improve his position. (8) Moonage Daydream was stakes winner against open company last year in the Steward Manor at the Big A. Last time she was beaten by less than a length in the allowance condition. (3) New Ginya finished in the top three in 8 of her 9 career starts including an allowance win and then a third in her only two races this year. (6) Masterof the Tunes won the first-level allowance last time but last year was second in today’s condition.
                    Best bets: Foxy Cara (1st); Collaboration (2nd). Best value: Operation Torch (4th); Shinfull (7th).
                    No. Name Letter/
                    last race
                    Today's Race Comments
                    (5) Foxy Cara C on 5/21 1 Checked at the 3/8 pole and finished third.
                    (1) Collaboration B on 5/29 2 Disqualified from first to second.
                    (2) Operation Torch A on 5/7 4 Rank early, checked hard, and rushed up the inside.
                    (5) Shinfull D on 5/29 7 Improved position and was well bet.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Administrator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 347720

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

                      PURCHASE
                      Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 7
                      $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Double
                      Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 4:05P
                      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CAL-BRED OR CAL-SIRED HORSES ALLOWED A THREE (3) POUND WEIGHT ALLOWANCE.
                      Contenders
                      Race Analysis
                      P#
                      Horse
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds

                      Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. UNCLE REG is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UNCLE REG: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating.
                      5
                      UNCLE REG
                      2/1
                      7/5

                      P#
                      Horse (In Running Style Order)
                      Post
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style
                      Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure
                      Finish Figure
                      Platinum
                      Figure
                      5
                      UNCLE REG
                      5
                      2/1
                      Front-runner
                      88
                      81
                      93.2
                      77.4
                      74.4
                      8
                      STAVROS
                      8
                      5/1
                      Alternator/Stalker
                      0
                      0
                      64.5
                      60.7
                      57.2
                      6
                      BENELLI
                      6
                      30/1
                      Alternator/Trailer
                      0
                      0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      0.0
                      Unknown Running Style: WILL BE (20/1) [Jockey: Franco Geovanni - Trainer: D'Amato Philip], LEVON (8/1) [Jockey: Vazquez Ramon A - Trainer: Sadler John W], CENTRAL DISPATCH (5/1) [Jockey: Berrios Hector Isaac - Trainer: Sadler John W], CONFUCIUS (15/1
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Administrator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 347720

                        #12
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE


                        Camarero - Race 7
                        Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
                        Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 41 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:30P
                        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. KEKERE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KEKERE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest averag e Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
                        10
                        KEKERE
                        5/1
                        6/5

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        10
                        KEKERE
                        10
                        5/1
                        Front-runner
                        70
                        62
                        57.4
                        46.6
                        44.6
                        9
                        BARRIO SAN JOSE
                        9
                        3/1
                        Front-runner
                        45
                        37
                        43.2
                        29.4
                        16.9
                        8
                        UNBRIDLED SHARP
                        8
                        15/1
                        Front-runner
                        37
                        30
                        37.8
                        21.8
                        2.8
                        11
                        COQUETON
                        11
                        7/2
                        Stalker
                        45
                        39
                        38.6
                        36.2
                        28.7
                        4
                        CLAUDIO BOY
                        4
                        10/1
                        Stalker
                        38
                        35
                        35.5
                        33.4
                        23.9
                        2
                        UNDERTAKER BLACK
                        2
                        10/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        38
                        39
                        38.3
                        30.5
                        15.5
                        12
                        SLEW FANTASY
                        12
                        4/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        44
                        39
                        35.0
                        30.0
                        17.0
                        7
                        BLACK N SOUR
                        7
                        2/1
                        Alternator/Stalker
                        42
                        41
                        30.4
                        29.1
                        22.1
                        6
                        GIAN KALEB
                        6
                        9/2
                        Trailer
                        38
                        25
                        32.8
                        27.4
                        12.4
                        3
                        BOLD ARROW
                        3
                        3/1
                        Alternator/Trailer
                        46
                        37
                        33.0
                        20.6
                        6.6
                        1
                        ZENITSU
                        1
                        10/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        49
                        25
                        40.2
                        23.6
                        9.6
                        5
                        PRESENTADOR
                        5
                        15/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        34
                        11
                        30.6
                        9.8
                        0.0
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Administrator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 347720

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

                          PURCHASE
                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 6 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 87

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 2 STAY FANTASTIC 2/1
                          # 6 FAMILY BIZ 5/1
                          # 1 SHOTGUN RIDER 4/1
                          I think STAY FANTASTIC is a formidable choice. Strong average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this horse a definite contender. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Reyes will almost certainly have this gelding in excellent position to win the contest. Looks very strong to be on or close to the lead at the first call. FAMILY BIZ - He has been running very well and the Equibase speed figs are among the most competitive in this group. Grieve has a formidable 25 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. SHOTGUN RIDER - Is a key contender - given the 77 speed rating from his most recent race.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Administrator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 347720

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                            PURCHASE


                            Belmont Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $62,000 Class Rating: 96

                            Rating:

                            #7 LITTLE DEMON (ML=12/1)
                            #2 CUPID'S CLAWS (ML=4/1)
                            #5 DUST DEVIL (ML=5/1)
                            #3 MY FRIENDS BEER (ML=6/1)
                            #4 GLORY ROAD (ML=7/2)


                            LITTLE DEMON - Franco and Arriaga perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +66 ROI for a jock and trainer. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. CUPID'S CLAWS - You always have to be on the watch for profit making jock/conditioner duos; we have one right here. I just may give this one a good shot. Should improve off last race where he did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the finish. DUST DEVIL - I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a solid effort within the last thirty days. MY FRIENDS BEER - Strong return on investment for this jock and handler duo. May have to bet on this race horse in this race. He has been claimed in each of his last two starts. GLORY ROAD - I like a racer that manages to be on the board as often as this gelding. Almost always in the money so don't leave him out of your exotic bets.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #8 LASTCHANCEATGLORY (ML=3/1),

                            LASTCHANCEATGLORY - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended layoff and no drop in level of competition.



                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #7 LITTLE DEMON on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7] Box [5,7] Box [3,7]

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            [2,5,7] with [2,3,4,5,7] with [2,3,4,5,7] Total Cost: $36
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Administrator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 347720

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

                              PURCHASE
                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.




                              Race 8 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7900 Class Rating: 65

                              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 25, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

                              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                              # 3 ROMANTIC JEWEL 7/2
                              # 4 J P'S GLADYS 2/1
                              # 7 BAD KARMA 5/2
                              ROMANTIC JEWEL looks strong to best this field. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. Ran a solid last race. Has posted sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. J P'S GLADYS - Her earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone makes you take a look at her. The extreme drop in competition can only help this horse today. BAD KARMA - Can't overlook the connections here, a 30 winning percentage, one of the most competitive at getting into the winner's circle. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (59 average) at today's distance and surface recently.
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