Friday 6/9/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 06:45 AM

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 6/9/23

June 9, 2023
“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Single Track Mind; 6-Admiral Halsey
Backups/savers: 4-Belmont Bill.

Forecast: The opener is a grass grab bag for $62,500 maiden claimers that requires some coverage in rolling exotic play. We’ll go three deep and hope that’s enough. Single Track Mind makes the pivotal class drop from maiden to maiden claiming and may have finally found his friends in his ninth career start. Relatively strong in the speed figure department, the Irish-bred colt was a beaten choice in his last start but faces a much softer group today and probably deserves his 2-1 morning line status. Admiral Halsey makes a trainer switch to Librado Barocio and has back numbers that make him a major player with this group. He’ll be doing his best work late. Belmont Bill has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and could stick better at this shorter distance. The switch to leading jockey Juan Hernandez is another plus, so we’ll include him on our ticket.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: C
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 7-The Fence; 4-It’s Saul Good
Backups/savers: 2-Kitzkaty.

Forecast: Here’s an inscrutable maiden juvenile sprint for state-bred fillies. Those that have already run apparently can’t, and there is nothing to indicate the first timers are better than ordinary. The only thing we do know is that one of these is going to win. The Fence brought $40,000 as a yearling, so we’ll assume that at least she’s a good-looking individual. The workouts at San Luis Rey Downs aren’t special but the pattern is healthy, so this daughter of I’ll Have Another more than likely is ready for a good effort. It’s Saul Good was bought for a ham sandwich at auction but the works indicate some ability, so in a soft affair she’s a contender by default. Kitzkaty has a work tab that doesn’t inspire but leading jockey Juan Hernandez takes the call and on that angle alone she’s worth tossing in.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 2-Natural Power; 1-Exultation
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: The two main contenters is this starter allowance extended turf sprint are favorably drawn inside and both should be used in rolling exotic play. Natural Power won a similar affair in desperate fashion over this course last month and if he can turn in two alike – and it should be noted that he rarely does – the veteran Irish import will be the one to beat again. Always most effective when held up early and allowed to run late, the Vladimir Cerin-trained gelding retains the barn’s “go-to” jockey Kent Desormeaux and with good racing luck and some help up front should be heard from close home. Exultation has been away for more than a year but returns protected in a sign of confidence and has finished first or second in six of 12 starts over the Santa Anita turf course. A versatile sort who can be dangerous on the lead or from off the pace, the son of Paynter shows a solid series of recent works that should have him tight enough while landing leading rider Juan Hernandez. He shows the signals of being a live and well-meant runner.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Riverside; 6-Looks Rare
Backups/Savers: 5-Excel Calculator.

Forecast: Riverside earned a career top speed figure when finishing a strong third in a highly rated race over this track and distance last month and may finally be ready to graduate in this maiden optional claimer for older horses. The son of Bernardini is favorably drawn inside and should draft into a ground-saving, second flight trip and have every chance from the quarter pole home. Looks Rare, second in the same race our top pick exits, likely will vie for the lead from his outside draw, and if he can clear with undue pressure the Doug O’Neill-trained son of Hoppertunity may take some catching. He’s had four outings and in each case has speed figure has produced an upward move. Excel Calculator was fourth in that common race with our top two picks on May 19 with a less than ideal trip. He’s always been a one-paced grinder but with only slight improvement could be a factor with a comfortable second flight journey.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Flatterwithjewels
Backups/savers: 7-Lucy L.

Forecast: Flaqtterwithjewels was quite convincing when beating a similar $12,500 field over this track and distance last month and anything close that that effort today should produce a repeat score. The veteran Milton Pineda-trained mare has a good stalking style that likely will result in a trouble-free trip, so at 2-1 on the morning line and likely to go lower she’s a logical candidate to be a rolling exotic single. Lucy L can be tossed in somewhere as a backup or a saver. In the frame in her last three starts, and a winner for this $12,500 price in a restricted (nw-2) affair two races back, the daughter of Informed is shy of where she needs to be on speed figures but if our top pick regresses she probably has as good of a shot as any of the others.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:49 PT Grade: X
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Pushiness
Backups/savers: none.

Forecast: Pushiness was a late scratch last month when she spooked and slammed into a fence on her way from the saddling paddock to the walking ring, but assuming she remains focused during today’s preliminaries the highly regarded daughter of Kantharos should have no trouble outrunning this modest group of juvenile fillies. Listed at 4/5 on the morning line (and close to a bargain at that price if you can get it), the Michael McCarthy-trained 2-year-old lands the outside post and should load last, break first, and then take it from there. She’s a logical short-priced rolling exotic single.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:20 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Irish Patsy; 6-Miss Lizzy
Backups/savers: 1-Aventapp

Forecast: This is a fairly competitive starter optional claiming turf sprint for older fillies and mares that offers a few legitimate contenders, topped by the progressive Street Boss filly Irish Patsy. A clever maiden claiming winner over the local lawn two races back, the Michael McCarthy-trained sophomore raised her game a few notches when a fast-finishing second (beaten a neck) at this condition in her most recent outing, and with another forward move today looks capable of producing a winning late kick. She’s the logical 2-1 morning line favorite, but there are others that deserve consideration as well. Miss Lizzy, fourth in the same race our top pick exits and running equally as well after slow start and traffic trouble on the turn, is another that seems set to step forward again, especially with two nice workouts since raced that includes a bullet training track drill (:47 1/5, fastest of 29) that especially catches the eye. Aventapp lands the good rail and should be prominent throughout. She’s just 1-for-14 and perhaps not one to trust, but she should at least land in the frame and therefore is worth using as a saver.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:51 PT Grade: B-
Main ticket (in order of preference): 7-Port Royal
Backups/savers: 5-Take Charge Curly

Forecast: Port Royal drops to the bottom for the first time in this maiden $20,000 miler and with the return to the main track looks to have found his winning level for the Desormeaux brothers. He’s solid on speed figures and projects to secure an ideal pace stalking trip. Take Charge Curly, in the money in his last three starts, should fire a good shot again and will be dangerous if ‘Royal fails to produce his best effort. The Shackleford gelding is a one-paced grinder but seems likely to be forwardly placed and have every chance. Preference on top goes to Port Royal but both should be included in rolling exotic play.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 06:46 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

June 9, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 14-race card ready to begin the weekend. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM EST)

5-Distance Learning (9/5)-Put in a flat line in last on an even try and should be a main contender with this bunch if minds manners. Andy Miller will be back for his 2nd straight steer and when right this 4-year-old knows how to win.
6-Epic Dreamer (3-1)-This will be the 1st race at M1 and comes off a nice win on 5-13 in the last start at Hoosier. Has missed time but willing to use after an improved effort in what was the 3rd start on Lasix.

Race 7 (8:50 PM EST)

7-Trevor's Hunt (3-1)-Stayed inside in the 1st race here, Tetrick takes the lines tonight and did close nicely to finish 3rd. There isn't much form to read in this field and comes off 2 improved efforts. Will look for the upswing to continue.

Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)

2-Albert A' Scootin (5-1)-This 10-year-old has 3 wins in 19 starts here and might benefit from the post draw. Should enjoy the company and could be forwardly placed for a suck-around trip at a square price.
7-St Lads Beat It (9/2)-Takes a meaningful drop in class and at this level should be able to finish off the mile. The speed appears to be there and Tetrick certainly knows how to put a horse in a position to win.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

3-Betabcool N (7/2)-The 0-18 record this year is cause for pause and 1-38 at M1 is also a sticking point. But this 13-year-old did get rolling on 6-2 with a 55.4 back half to finish 2nd by a length. Gets some post relief and can beat these if in striking range turning for the wire.
9-Rockabilly Charm (9/2)-Won from the 8-hole here on 5-19 in gate to wire fashion with a .27 last quarter. Then on 6-2 tried to work the same plan from post 9 but the trip was bumpy and faded. It's a different amateur driver but not much gate speed inside except for #6 who has been camera shy. Shows some vigor and has posted a recent win unlike the others.

0.50 Early Pick 4

5,6/7/2,7/3,9
Total Bet=$4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 06:48 AM

Belmont Park Pick 5 Ticket | Friday, June 9

June 9, 2023 | By Frank Carulli
BELMONT PARK PICK 5
Friday, June 9

It’s as easy as 1-2-3. Well, not really. But if you solve the Grade I New York and Acorn stakes, G-II Belmont Gold Cup and G-III Intercontinental this Friday, June 9, you could be headed for a lucrative Pick 5 payout at Belmont Park. Four races in the sequence are scheduled for the turf with an average field size of nine. It only costs 50 cents to play. Here’s a closer look:

BEL 7th race (4:08 EST) -- CONMAN wore down a stubborn BE OF COURAGE to lead in deep stretch but settled for second best when the 5-2 second choice passed by both of them. BE OF COURAGE continued to outrun his odds. Stretch traffic cost him a 70-1 debut shocker, a performance that was validated when he became one of three MSW winners to exit that race. BE THE BOSS edged away from a suspect field last out, but he is a stumbled start from a perfect record in three starts with Jose Ortiz aboard.

BEL 8th race (4:41 EST) -- Trainer Chad Brown has four graded stakes-winning entrants as he seeks his fifth victory in the G-I New York in the last eight years. But Hall of Famer Bill Mott holds the trump card with favorite WAR LIKE GODDESS, who beat the boys on firm and soft footing for a pair of G-I victories last year, including the Breeders’ Cup Turf. She laid closer to the pace – a tactic that could serve her well in this field – to win her seasonal debut in the G-III Bewitch at Keeneland, improving to 4-for-5 at 1-1/2 miles, a quarter mile and one turn longer than today’s race. I like MARKETSEGMENTATION the most of the Brown stablemates. She raced closer to the pace in the G-III Beaugay under minimal urging, then spurted clear in the stretch when asked for run. She can control the pace in her first try at 1-1/4 miles at a tempting price. FLIRTING BRIDGE is longshot to consider in the $600,000 marathon. She was unhurried to the far turn but surged past the loose leader in the stretch to prevail in a comeback allowance, her first start since a near miss in the G-I E.P. Taylor at this distance last fall. She dueled 3-wide in the stretch in the E.P. Taylor and forged a short lead before the rallying top pair arrived. Now she draws the rail for the first time.

BEL 9th race (5:14 EST) -- RANDOMIZED returned from an eight-month layoff and broke her maiden in wire-to-wire fashion, running 2-3/5 seconds faster than the boys in a same-day, $50,000 optional claiming race. MUNNYS GOLD won her first three starts on the front end by a combined 38 lengths before a photo-finish setback in the G-II Eight Belles, leaving today’s G-I Acorn distance as the only question. ACCEDE launched a 4-wide bid entering the stretch but “hung” and finished 1-3/4 lengths behind MUNNYS GOLD at 7F.

BEL 10th race (5:47 EST) – Only two of the 13 entrants in the G-2 Belmont Gold Cup have graded stakes wins in the last 12 months. The two millionaires – Channel Maker and Cross Border – are 8-1 and 12-1 on the morning line. Nearly half the field raced over hurdles in their most recent start. Go 6-deep in the Pick 5.

BEL 11th race (6:19 EST) -- BAY STORM awaited room in the stretch, but finished well in the 3-path when she found it. She gets an extra half-furlong today and won’t have Breeders Cup Turf Sprint champ Caravel (14-22, $1.6 million) to catch. CLITHEROE won her U.S. debut off an eight-month layoff – and she did it the hard way. She raced 4-wide through the turn, out-gamed the 5-to-2 pace setter and held off the favorite to prevail. The shorter sprint distance suits her well for a barn whose runners improved in their second start off a long layoff.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket
BEL 7th Race: 2, 4, 5
BEK 8th Race: 1, 4, 7
BEL 9th Race: 2, 8
BEL 10th Race: 2, 3, 7, 11, 12, 13
BEL 11th Race: 3, 5
Cost for 50-Cent Ticket: $108

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 06:49 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#1 Cairo Breeze	He looks like he'll probably be a defined second choice on the board, and and he might be capable of something just a bit better than that last one.
#2 Napa Valley	His last two tries haven't been bad, but he's coming off the layoff again while trying the locals for the first time. Obvious player.
#8 Take Aim	He's probably a bit too cheap to land this, but he has a few deceptively good running lines on his page, and a few of them stack up nicely here for a piece. Underneath consideration.
Race Summary	Cairo Breeze and Napa Valley seem likely to sort this one out, but the former has a recency edge and probably offers a better number on the board.

Charles Town - Race #7

#6 Jungle Beast	Think he's going to get a decent enough setup with a handful of pace and pressing types signed on, and the class drop might allow him to get back to his competitive baseline.
#5 Overly Critical	He's got reliable form and might offer a playable price on the tote, and he doesn't seem overmatched while stepping up again off that score last out. Some appeal as an alternative.
#2 Alpha Chi Rio	He has historically been pretty good here, but I worry he's going to be overbet while meeting a couple other potential forward players who could be problematic for a guy who does his best work up close.
Race Summary	Jungle Beast and Overly Critical may offer playable prices as potential alternatives to Alpha Chi Rio, as I worry that guy might take a bit too much cash with a slightly negative race flow maybe waiting for him.

Charles Town - Race #8

#2 Reverend Jack	He's not going to be much of a price in here off the recent races, but there is really not much in here to be afraid of on paper, and a repeat of his last should handle these. Think he lands the finale if he holds form.
#4 Aldarighttricks	He went evenly at that short one-turn trip in the debut, but that might transfer well around two turns with a more leisurely tempo to work with today.
#5 Comeonturnmeloose	Finisher has had his share of chances already, but he's a honest enough type to think maybe he can get past a few of these to land a piece. Not sure he's getting the setup to land this.
Race Summary	Reverend Jack's last two races both stack up well in what feels like a bad race for the level, and he has a bit of pace that should serve him well when he lines up against a group without much pace.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 06:49 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Delaware Park - Race #1

#6 FREESTANDING (4-1)	Blew 3-length lead in stretch after 10 months away, gets second-time Lasix.
#5 APRIL FOOLS ANDY (7-5)	Solid numbers at Oaklawn, faced next-out $100k runner-up in latest.
#4 RUN POPPY (4-1)	Rallied for two seconds as three-time beaten fave in four starts, tries blinkers.
Race Summary	FREESTANDING blew a commanding lead in his first start as a gelding, but he can make good use of his speed from a favorable post in his second start as a 3-year-old. He will have some in-form rivals to hold off, but he’s worth a win and place bet.

Delaware Park - Race #6

#5 I AM THAT I AM (6-1)	Good spot in weak field, runs well fresh, price attached.
#6 TINY TIN (8-1)	Rallied 8-wide to win going away the last time he ran a mile at Delaware.
#1 MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU (2-1)	Faded under soft fractions in five-horse field at Pimlico.
Race Summary	I AM THAT I AM steps up in class, but he ran well the last two times off a similar freshening and should sit an ideal stalking trip as he looks to enhance a 17/3-1-3 main-track record. Bet to win and place.

Delaware Park - Race #8

#4 HONEYCAMP (9-5)	Held own against better at Oaklawn, can maximize speed, today’s Best Bet.
#3 JOB’S NOT FINISHED (3	Even effort in return for $25k, gets in light with second-time Lasix.
#1 LEMONSANDDIAMONDS (5-1)	Bumped, dueled in stretch with fave before 55-1 winner passed by.
Race Summary	HONEYCAMP chased the winning favorite and next-out runner-up two starts back at Oaklawn Park for $20,000, then dueled and held second in a 12-horse field. She holds a decided tactical advantage with Cedeno getting the call for a high-percentage barn with maiden claimers. She is today’s Best Bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:42 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, June 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:42 AM

TEXAS are 25-6 SU (20.5 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

DETROIT is 46-25 Under (18.5 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 Over (10.5 Units) revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game since 1996.

NY METS are 6-20 SU (-16 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 6-22 SU (-18.2 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 90-124 SU (-46.4 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 82-82 SU (-8.2 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 13-3 Under (9.7 Units) in home games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

ATLANTA is 47-71 SU (-31.1 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 699-743 SU (-118.3 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 43-71 SU (-35.1 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

ST LOUIS are 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.

COLORADO is 44-20 SU (22 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 73-99 SU (-35.9 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 6-13 SU (-11.2 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:42 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, June 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:43 AM

MLB

Friday, June 9

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Trend Report
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:43 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, June 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:43 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, June 9

National League
Los Angeles (36-27) @ Philadelphia (30-32)
— Grove is 0-2, 7.89 in five starts.
— Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He allowed 4 unearned runs in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Philadelphia.

— Dodgers are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 15-18 on road.
— over 14-5-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-63
— record in first 5 innings: 30-25-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-2

— Suarez is 1-1, 1.98 in his last two starts.
— Phillies are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 3-2, 4.08 in six games (3 starts) vs Los Angeles

— Phillies won their last four games.
— Phillies are 17-10 at home.
— under 4-2-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 17-62
— record in first 5 innings: 22-33-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-1.2

NY Mets (30-33) @ Pittsburgh (32-29)
— Megill is 0-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6
— He is 0-0, 0.93 in two starts vs Pittsburgh (9.2 IP).

— Mets lost their last six games.
— Mets led by 3+ runs in each of last three games.
— Mets are 15-21 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 10-63
— record in first 5 innings: 28-32-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-6.2

— Hill is 2-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 6-6 in his starts
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-2
— He is 2-2, 6.69 in seven starts vs New York.

— Pirates won six of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 16-15 at home.
— over 2-0-1 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 17-61
— record in first 5 innings: 27-23-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-8.2-x

Washington (25-36) @ Atlanta (37-24)
— Gray is 2-0, 3.38 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7
— He is 1-2, 3.33 in five starts vs Atlanta.

— Nationals lost seven of last nine games.
— Washington is 13-15 on road.
— over 7-4 last eleven home games
— scored run in first inning: 18-61
— record in first 5 innings: 24-31-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

— 20-year old Smith-Shawver is making his first MLB start.
— He threw 2.1 scoreless IP in his MLB debut.
— He was 0-1, 3.00 in two AAA starts this year.
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Atlanta is 6-1 in its last seven games.
— Braves are 18-14 at home.
— over 6-3-1 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-62
— record in first 5 innings: 35-21-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-6

Cincinnati (29-34) @ St Louis (26-37)
— Lively is 2-2, 3.33 in four starts.
— Reds are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Reds won three of last four games.
— Cincinnati is 12-16 on road.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-63
— record in first 5 innings: 22-28-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3.1-6.1

— Montgomery is 0-3, 6.84 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals lost his ten starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4
— He is 1-1, 4.50 in three starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 5-11 in their last 16 games.
— St Louis is 7-14 in one-run games.
— Cardinals are 12-16 at home.
— under 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 25-63
— record in first 5 innings: 21-29-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-3

San Diego (29-33) @ Colorado (26-38)
— Darvish is 2-2, 6.00 in five road starts.
— Padres are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 6-3-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He is 3-4, 5.37 in 11 starts vs Colorado.

— Padres are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 14-15 on road.
— under 29-10-2 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-62
— record in first 5 innings: 26-29-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Gomber is 1-0, 7.33 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He is 2-2, 2.41 in six starts vs San Diego

— Rockies lost eight of their last ten games.
— Colorado is 15-17 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 18-64
— record in first 5 innings: 21-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3.2

Cubs (26-36) @ San Francisco (32-30)
— Stroman is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-4
— He is 1-2, 3.52 in four starts vs San Francisco.

— Cubs are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 3-11 in last 14 road games.
— under 9-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-62
— record in first 5 innings: 25-26-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.2-2

— DeSclafani is 1-3, 7.46 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his home starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5
— He is 5-3, 3.84 in 13 starts vs Chicago.

— Giants won four of last five games.
— San Francisco is 17-15 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-62
— record in first 5 innings: 28-22-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3.2-4

American League
Texas (40-21) @ Tampa Bay (46-19)
— Heaney is 2-0, 2.45 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 7-4 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-1
— He is 0-3, 3.67 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Texas is 26-10 in its last 36 games.
— Rangers are 19-12 on road.
— under 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-61
— record in first 5 innings: 41-14-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-x

— Glasnow is 0-0, 3.72 in two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13.2 IP) vs Texas.

— Tampa Bay won seven of its last eight games.
— Rays are 29-6 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-65
— record in first 5 innings: 43-16-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-7-3.1

Boston (31-32)@ New York (36-26)
— Whitlock is 2-2, 5.61 in five starts.
— Red Sox are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 3-1, 2.00 in 12 relief stints (18 IP, no starts) vs New York.

— Red Sox lost 12 of their last 17 games.
— Boston is 14-15 on road.
— under 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-63
— record in first 5 innings: 22-34-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-4

— Cole is 2-0, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— New York is 11-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-4
— He is 7-3, 4.40 in 15 starts vs Boston.

— New York is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Bronx is 20-15 at home
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 17-64
— record in first 5 innings: 31-19-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-7.1

Kansas City (18-44) @ Baltimore (38-24)
— Lynch is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts.
— Royals are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-2, 6.00 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Royals are 6-17 in their last 23 games.
— Royals are 9-21 on the road.
— under 8-2 last 10 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-62
— record in first 5 innings: 18-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-1-x

— Wells is 2-1, 3.49 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 7-4 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-3
— He is 3-0, 3.54 in six games (3 starts) vs Kansas City

— Orioles are 5-7 in their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 17-12 at home.
— over 4-2-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 12-62
— record in first 5 innings: 27-24-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-4

Minnesota (31-32) @ Toronto (36-28)
— Gray is 0-1, 3.94 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-1
— He is 4-4, 2.99 in 13 starts vs Toronto.

— Twins lost their last five games.
— Minnesota is 13-18 on road.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 16-63
— record in first 5 innings: 26-26-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-1-2.2

— Kikuchi is 1-2, 5.49 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 9-3 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4
— He is 1-1, 3.32 in four starts vs Minnesota.

— Toronto is 9-2 in its last eleven games.
— Blue Jays are 18-11 at home.
— under 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 15-64
— record in first 5 innings: 26-27-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-1-3

Houston (36-27) @ Cleveland (28-33)
— Javier is 5-0, 1.86 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 10-2 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4
— He is 1-1, 0.63 in four games (2 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Astros lost their last three games.
— Houston is 18-13 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-63
— record in first 5 innings: 33-20-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

— Allen is 2-1, 2.55 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Guardians are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— Cleveland is 14-16 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-62
— record in first 5 innings: 25-24-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3.1

Seattle (30-31) @ LA Angels (33-30)
— Castillo is 2-1, 0.47 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 0-4 in his road starts, scoring 8 runs.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-4
— He is 2-0, 1.93 in three starts vs Anaheim.

— Seattle is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Mariners are 13-16 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 18-61
— record in first 5 innings: 26-25-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4.1

— Ohtani is 0-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 5-0, 1.64 in seven starts vs Seattle.

— Angels won their last four games.
— Angels are 17-13 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 18-64
— record in first 5 innings: 29-26-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3.1

Interleague games
Arizona (37-25) @ Detroit (26-34)
— Kelly is 6-0, 2.84 in his last seven starts.
— Arizona is 8-4 in his starts.
— under 8-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-5
— He allowed 4 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Arizona won 12 of its last 17 games.
— Arizona is 17-11 on the road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 23-62
— record in first 5 innings: 29-22-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2.1-x

— Lorenzen is 1-0, 2.92 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 4-0 in his home starts.
— over 3-1 in his home starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He is 2-0, 0.71 in 8 relief stints (12.2 IP, no starts) vs Arizona.

— Detroit is 1-8 in its last nine games.
— Tigers are 14-13 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 16-60
— record in first 5 innings: 17-30-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-3.2

Miami (35-28) @ White Sox (28-36)
— Perez is 3-1, 2.63 in five starts.
— Marlins are 3-2 in his starts
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— This is his first start vs Chicago

— Miami is 11-3 in its last fourteen games.
— Marlins are 14-15 on road
— under 10-6 last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-63
— record in first 5 innings: 28-23-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Cease is 1-0, 4.11 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Chicago is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— White Sox are 16-15 at home
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 15-64
— record in first 5 innings: 24-32-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-6.1

Oakland (14-50) @ Milwaukee (34-29)
— Medina is 0-4, 8.51 in five starts.
— A’s are 0-5 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— A’s are 4-4 in their last eight games.
— Oakland is 7-26 on the road.
— over 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 19-64
— you’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 13-40-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-x

— Houser is 2-1, 3.18 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Oakland.

— Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 18-13 at home.
— under 10-4-2 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-63
— record in first 5 innings: 28-26-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1-4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:46 AM

MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:46 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, June 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2023, 09:46 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, June 9

DENVER (67 - 33) at MIAMI (58 - 47) - 6/9/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 53-44 ATS (+4.6 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 45-58 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons