Sunday 4/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351087

    Sunday 4/23/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351087

    #2
    Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Sunday, April 23, 2023


    April 23, 2023
    “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
    by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
    *
    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

    *
    Grade Descriptions:
    Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
    Grade B=Solid Play.
    Grade C=Least preferred or pass
    Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
    RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): Southern Horse
    Backups/savers: 3-Jetovator

    Forecast: The deep closing Southern Horse returns to the flat course, which he much prefers over the Hillside layout, and seems capable of regaining his winning form despite having to overcome a lack of pace in a race that projects to have soft early splits. We’re expecting the Argentine-bred veteran to pick up leaders close home with anything close to his best effort, the projected race flow notwithstanding. For protection, Jetovator should be included somewhere on your ticket. The Grazen gelding is a four-time winner over the Santa Anita lawn and is likely to enjoy a soft pace-pressing/stalking trip. He finished second under these conditions to our top pick when they met in mid-February and a repeat of that effort today makes him the one to fear most.

    *

    RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B+
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Ruby Nell
    Backups/savers: none

    Forecast: Ruby Nell has been a beaten favorite in both of her starts to date but she’s run very well in defeat and seems to have found a proper spot to break through with a maiden score. The daughter of Bolt d’Oro prefers to settle early and produce a late kick, and after finishing more than four lengths clear of the third place finisher when a strong runner-up last time out the Richard Mandella-trained sophomore really won’t have to improve much to graduate. With three nice breezes to tick her over since her last outing, today should be her day as a preferred win play and rolling exotic single.

    *

    RACE 3: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): Air Force Red
    Backups/savers: 2-Whatmakessammyrun

    Forecast:Back at his preferred trip, Air Force Red looks likely to regain his winning form in this year’s edition of the Siren Lure Stakes for older grass sprinters. The Leonard Powell-trained horse won impressively under these conditions earlier this season when capturing the Joe Hernandez Stakes-G2 with a career top speed figure but then failed to stay the trip in a couple of subsequent graded events at a mile. Though he’s most effective on the lead, the son of Air Forbes Blue can stalk and pounce if the situation dictates, so regularly rider Juan Hernandez can play it by ear. As a backup, we’ll toss in Whatmakessammyrun. He’s a three time winner over the local lawn, so if our top picks gets caught up in a speed duel with Sunrise Journey, this Mark Glatt-trained gelding could be well situated to pick up the pieces.

    *

    RACE 4: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Mor Tequila
    Backups/Savers: 6-Ever a Rebel

    Forecast: Mor Tequila finished third in his only start last year but encountered severe early trouble that no doubt cost him the race. The Bob Baffert-trained colt returns protected in this restricted maiden special weight affair and has been impressive in the morning in his recent drills, so we’re expecting the son of Mor Spirit to show his true form in a moderate race for the level. There’s plenty of value at or near his morning linen of 5/2 if you can get it. Ever a Rebel is worth including on a ticket or two as a saver. The son of Bolt d’Oro adds blinkers, exits a much tougher maiden sprint in which he finished a distant but respectable third, and lands the cozy outside post. He’ll be part of the pace throughout and if he can shake loose early under good speed jockey Edwin Maldonado the Phil D’Amato-trained sophomore may prove had to catch.

    *

    RACE 5: Post: 3:02 PT Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Lasting Love; 6-Silent Beauty
    Backups/savers: 1-Kiss My Kat

    Forecast: Here’s a wide open restricted (nw-2) $12,500 abbreviated sprint for fillies and mares that requires a plenty of coverage in rolling exotic play. We’ll use three, but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead. Lasting Love plummets in class and may have found her friends. The lightly raced filly, originally purchased for $440,00 at the OBS April sale two years ago, obviously is being culled from the stable but is reunited with “win” rider Juan Hernandez while shortening up and returning to the main track. Against this group she should be hard to beat with anything close to her debut maiden win at Los Alamitos last December. However, class droppers such as this are often shaky propositions. Silent Beauty is winless in five starts over the local main track but her recent form is solid and consistent and puts her right in the hunt once again. In the frame in her last four starts with competitive speed figures, the Peter Eurton-trained filly projects to be part of the pace throughout. Kiss My Kat broke her maiden for $20,000 last time out, was claimed by Steve Knapp, and resurfaces on the drop, not usually a healthy sign, though on pure numbers this is where she really belongs. With a bullet :46 1/5 workout just four days ago, she’s obviously doing well and with a trouble-free trip from the rail the daughter of Curlin to Mischief should at least be able to hit the board.

    *

    RACE 6: Post: 3:33 PT Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Never Not Once; 7-Stay In Line
    Backups/savers: 1-Shambala Girl

    Forecast:The known element doesn’t inspire so let’s take a shot with a newcomer in this state-bred maiden $50,000 claimer for fillies and mares. Never Not Once hails from a low profile but capable outfit and has shown enough in her morning drills to be at least competitive against this modest bunch. The daughter of Mr. Big finally makes it to the races at age four, so she’s clearly had her issues, but at 6-1 on the morning line she offers a reasonable gamble. Stay in Line shows the dangerous maiden to maiden claiming class drop while removing blinkers, switching to the main track, and picking up Hector Berrios. She displayed good early speed in both of her outings and could get brave at this level if she can clear early without having to be sent hard. Shambala Girl walked out of the gate in her debut but then closed a gap to wind up a fairly respectable but distant third. She broke slowly again in a subsequent gate drill, so we’re not getting our hopes too high that she will leave clearly from the rail, but if she does, the daughter of Mr. Big may have a bit of a look in a weak affair.

    *

    RACE 7: Post: 4:05 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 1-Granada Flavor; 7-Settecento
    Backups/savers: 6-Papale

    Forecast: This restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claiming main track miler for older horses looks familiar, as four of the eight entrants exit the same race. Granada Flavor was one over his conditions when winning at this level last month over this track and distance and remains eligible back to try to beat essentially the same group again. From his inside draw, the Sean McCarthy-trained gelding is assured a comfortable ground-saving trip, so if he can turn in two alike he can win again. Settecento had some self-caused early trouble when third behind our top pick in that common race March 18 and probably has enough improvement in him to make a run for it. The Steve Knapp-trained gelding has hit the board in six of 11 career starts including a prior win over the local main track and projects to enjoy a good stalking trip outside. Papale, fifth as the favorite when beaten by Granada Flavor last time out, has been disappointing in his last two starts but off his best day warrants a look, especially if he can secure a pace prompting early position.

    *

    RACE 8: Post: 4:36 PT Grade: B-
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Idessia
    Backups/savers: 6-Timely Luck

    Forecast: Idessia shows the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern for a barn that has solid stats (18%) with this angle and looks well-placed to produce a significant forward move in this one mile grass miler for California-bred fillies and mares. The Phil D’Amato-trained daughter of Smiling Tiger has encountered trouble – most of it self-caused – in her first two starts and probably has more natural talent than the lines will show. With a clean break today she should find herself close up throughout and with every chance to graduate from a lackluster field. Timely Luck, third in her last pair (both on turf) with rising speed figures, is a one-paced, grinding type also trying a distance of ground for the first time. Like our top pick, she has every right to step forward, and her sire could route, so maybe she can, too.

    *

    RACE 9: Post: 5:07 PT Grade: C+
    Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Chicknfingerfriday ; 2-Economical; 8-Missewd Call
    Backups/Savers: 1-Big Swede

    Forecast: Chicknfingerfriday easily dispatched a soft maiden claiming field last month in his ninth career outing, and while he had little behind him the son of Ill Have Another did so with a career top speed figure. He should enjoy a similar pace stalking trip and based on numbers looks quite capable of scoring right back in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 affair. The cut in claiming price from $30,000 to $16,000 isn’t a concern because based on numbers this is where he belongs. Economical has a look off his solid third place effort that produced a career top number two races back over this track and distance. Overmatched last time out in a hot sprint vs. first-level allowance state-bred runners, the son of Tiz a Minister should go much better at this distance facing this company. Missed Call has back numbers that fit nicely in this league, so after being freshened since mid-February, adding blinkers, and dropping significantly in class, the son of Dialed In has every right to be a factor. Big Swede has enough early speed to put his rail post position to good use and that combined with the always dangerous blinkers off angle makes him usable. He’s a second-off-the-claim play for trainer Vladmir Cerin and seems likely to improve following am inexplicable fourth place trouncing (beaten 12 lengths) when favored at this level last time out.

    *

    RACE 10: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B
    Main ticket: (in order of preference): 5-Cryptoholic
    Backups/savers: none.

    Forecast: Cryptoholic, a first-time gelding in his first start since being claimed for $50,000 out of a quickish sprint as a maiden by Jeff Mullins, returns for that same price while stretching out in this nine furlong turf event and seems highly likely to improve for his new barn. The son of Creative Cause projects to draft into an ideal pace stalking/prompting trip and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on from the quarter pole home. Switching to good grass rider Hector Berrios, he’s 5-1 on the morning line and offers reasonable value at anywhere near that price. In a grass grab bag in which nothing would surprise, let’s take a stand and use this sophomore gelding as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351087

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis


      April 23, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
      Cal Expo has a 9-race card scheduled and the 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 6

      1-Nebble Hanover (2-1)-Faded in a quick mile last week and lands in a soft spot here. Obviously not the same horse that banked over $87k last year but should be a major player tonight.
      2-Bunkerhill (3-1)-Has been trying since being scratched injured 2 starts back. Last time wasn't able to compete with the 2 that finished ahead, and they aren't in this field. But still went the back half in 56.2 and could take a picture versus this bunch.

      Race 7

      3-Brooklyn Moonshine (8/5)-Was used hard at the beginning of the mile versus better and couldn't cash a check. Won versus similar 2 back at 7/5 and the same could happen here.
      6-Outlawburntpopcorn (6-1)-Slow fractions didn't help last time, and this race may have more early speed. If that is the case the veteran's chances of winning go up and should be a solid price.

      Race 8

      1-Brooklyn Wind Up (6-1)-Willing to toss last, started poorly and Plano wasn't steering, but he returns to drive his own here. Should race close to the leaders, could get sucked around and finish fastest of all.
      6-Biggiessecondshot (2-1)-Comes off a game win, was used a couple of times and battled down the lane. Has been off since 4-7 and did beat #5 that night. Not liking the short price but will respect chances.

      Race 9

      1-Helen's Girl (9/2)-Looking for a decent price and the arrow lands here. This 8-year-old is the only horse in the field that shows a win this year. Kennedy could get a nice cozy trip and if the leaders have a bumpy journey this gal could roll by.
      3-Anotherblazinwoman (7/5)-This mare has had a rough year, 0-7 and losses that haven't been close but should relish the company. Has improved in the last 2 starts and might be ready for an overdue win. Hoping the upswing continues and goes off at a better price than the morning line.

      0.20 Pick 4

      1,2/3,6/1,6/1,3
      Total Bet=$3.20
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351087

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Keeneland - Race #5
        #10 Tequileria I have a mild worry about the fact that she does her best work on the front end and does meet another pace player drawn further inside, but there don't appear to be a ton of pressing types lined up, so a forward trip might be the place to land this.
        #8 Breaker of Chains The cutback might work in her favor here, and she has been in the mix with some pretty tough customers over the last couple years. Wouldn't shock.
        #2 For the Flag She's another with good pace in here, and she's likely to be right up on the splits with the top choice into the first turn. Her form fits, but she's meeting some decent company in this first start with winners.
        Race Summary This is the first leg of the $3 all-turf Pick-3 on today's card covering races 5, 7, and 9. Pretty solid lean for me here with Tequileria, as I think she's going to be right up prompting the pace with For the Flag, and she should be in line to try to put this away into the far turn.
        Keeneland - Race #7
        #2 Encourage Think he might be the right one to handle the likely chalk, as he got some time off after a couple dull tries to end his 3-year-old season, but he was 5/2 in the Hawthorne Derby and seemed to be heading for better things late last year before the form soured. Think he'll show up here.
        #6 Limited Liability Finisher gets some serious class relief after four consecutive graded stakes tries to close out the campaign last year, and he's a late threat for it all in this spot. Mild concern about the race shape.
        #1 Buy Me Candy He has occasionally shown a touch of tactical pace, and that might serve him well in a spot without much pace signed on. Capable with the right trip.
        Race Summary Encourage gets the call while likely landing a good tactical trip on what might be a modest kind of pace, and I'm interested to see him kick off his 4-year-old season -- hopefully with a little upside.
        Keeneland - Race #9
        #12 Rosy Tomorrows Wide draw is a bit of a concern, but the debut run was decent enough at 30/1, and now he gets the best local turf route rider in the irons for this second trip to post. Any move forward puts him right there.
        #9 Boltoro She's a pretty honest finisher who keeps running into just one or two that are a bit too good for her in recent starts, but she's a good fit in here and seem to have as big a claim on the top spot as just about any.
        #2 After Eight Think she's worth considering in the second start, as she chased early in a dirt sprint debut last fall and now stretches out for solid connections on the turf. Interesting enough.
        Race Summary Rosy Tomorrows makes a lot of sense while going second out and getting a significant rider upgrade for this one. Check scratches, as some of the also-eligibles are interesting if they get in.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351087

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

          PURCHASE
          Camarero - Race 8
          Exacta / Trifecta
          Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 59 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 6:00P
          FOR NATIVE FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 8 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 23 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ESTUPENDO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ESTUPENDO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FABIAN GUILLERMO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
          2
          ESTUPENDO
          8/5
          5/2
          1
          FABIAN GUILLERMO
          10/1
          9/2

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          2
          ESTUPENDO
          2
          8/5
          Front-runner
          59
          59
          59.6
          53.8
          51.3
          1
          FABIAN GUILLERMO
          1
          10/1
          Front-runner
          60
          49
          57.0
          45.6
          39.6
          3
          CARTILLERO
          3
          3/1
          Trailer
          59
          53
          52.6
          51.3
          46.8
          4
          DON LUIS S
          4
          5/2
          Trailer
          60
          56
          41.4
          45.0
          37.0
          5
          QUEQUE
          5
          10/1
          Trailer
          50
          49
          36.0
          36.5
          28.0
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351087

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)PURCHASE


            Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 10
            $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta Superfecta (.10 cent minumum wager)
            Trial • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 75 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 10:07
            QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. 126 LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE). HORSES WHICH QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KR STINGRAY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. MIDNIGHT RYDE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. EDDING TON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Sire's win percentage is at least 25 in two year old races. VAL PARRAS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            2
            KR STINGRAY
            6/1
            5/1
            6
            MIDNIGHT RYDE
            2/1
            5/1
            4
            EDDINGTON
            6/1
            7/1
            7
            VAL PARRAS
            12/1
            9/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            1
            JAMAICA LIGHTS
            1
            9/2
            Average
            0
            0
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            2
            KR STINGRAY
            2
            6/1
            Fast
            72
            72
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            3
            GAMBLING LADY
            3
            5/1
            Average
            0
            0
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            4
            EDDINGTON
            4
            6/1
            Average
            72
            68
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            5
            WARRIOR SOUL
            5
            10/1
            Slow
            0
            0
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            6
            MIDNIGHT RYDE
            6
            2/1
            Fast
            76
            65
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            7
            VAL PARRAS
            7
            12/1
            Slow/Trouble-prone
            72
            68
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            8
            FANCY POLLITICS
            8
            5/1
            Fast/Trouble-prone
            73
            56
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351087

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sun Ray Park

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 77

              QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 9 SW GLORIOUS SONG 7/2
              # 2 BOURYE 911 12/1
              # 10 ROYALTY BLOOD 5/2
              SW GLORIOUS SONG looks to be a solid contender. Should best this field here, showing decent figures of late. Martinez should be able to get this filly to break out quickly for this event. Must be considered - I like the figs from the last race. BOURYE 911 - He has been running solidly and the Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group of horses in this race. With a +87 ROI, this jockey and conditioner duo has produced very good gains recently for bettors. ROYALTY BLOOD - Is a solid choice - given the 61 speed figure from her most recent race. Has to be given consideration against this group displaying competitive figs recently and an average speed rating of 63 under similar conditions.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351087

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE


                Aqueduct - Race #9 - Post: 5:42pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $43,000 Class Rating: 74

                Rating:

                #8 BLUE PLATE SPECIAL (ML=5/2)
                #3 FORTY ONE TALES (ML=6/1)


                BLUE PLATE SPECIAL - Taking a class drop in class rating points from his April 1st race at Aqueduct. Based on that data, I will give this horse the advantage. Don't throw this thoroughbred out due to his last event at Aqueduct where he ended up sixth in the mud. Should improve this time around. FORTY ONE TALES - Looking at today's class figure, this racer is encountering an easier field than last time out at Aqueduct. The way this event sets up this colt will be in the catbird's seat when they start the running for real. This horse ran out of the money at Aqueduct last out on the mud. He should improve right here in this race on a fast track.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #5 EIGHT AND SAND (ML=3/1), #7 MESSI THE MAGICIAN (ML=4/1), #4 WATCH HILL (ML=6/1),

                EIGHT AND SAND - Don't think this steed will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class rating. MESSI THE MAGICIAN - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient situation this time out. WATCH HILL - Trying to beat this thoroughbred this time out at the price of 6/1.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #8 BLUE PLATE SPECIAL on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,8]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                None
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351087

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park

                  PURCHASE
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 79

                  FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 9 REELED IN 9/2
                  # 3 RUN POPPY 6/1
                  # 8 BRIARTOWN 4/1
                  REELED IN is the most respectable wager in this race. Has posted strong speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. RUN POPPY - Should be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Should best this field here, showing solid figures of late. BRIARTOWN - Should be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. This jock and handler team has produced some solid return on investment numbers at this track.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351087

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    PURCHASE


                    Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:11pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 75

                    Rating:

                    #3 TAPPLE CIDER (ML=5/2)
                    #7 TRUE BLUE PEARL (ML=9/2)
                    #5 ZEN (IRE) (ML=5/1)
                    #6 BELLA MIURA (ML=6/1)


                    TAPPLE CIDER - Such a dominant closer. She'll try her best to catch the pace and pass them on the way to the winner's circle. Clearly didn't like the surface of the last race as much as two starts back on the equitrack. Watch out today for a return to a sharp race. You have to like that recent race speed fig, 70, which is the highest last race speed fig of this group. TRUE BLUE PEARL - This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Gonzalez. A repeat of that recent race on Mar 29th where she recorded a speed rating of 70 looks lofty enough to triumph in this affair. ZEN (IRE) - This jock and conditioner's animals have been generating a beneficial return on investment. That 70 fig this filly earned in her last race tells me she's a major player today. BELLA MIURA - I just may give this one a good chance. Should rebound off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within 5 lengths at the finish line.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HOLY BERRIES (ML=7/2), #1 SHEA D SECRET (ML=6/1), #4 KUKARO (ML=8/1),

                    HOLY BERRIES - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable competitor. SHEA D SECRET - I'd like to see more conducive recent efforts with oddsmaker's morning line of 6/1. Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. KUKARO - A bit of a lackluster effort when this filly finished fourth.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #3 TAPPLE CIDER to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [5,6,7]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    3 with [5,6,7] with [5,6,7] Total Cost: $6
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 3 with [5,6,7] with [5,6,7] with [5,6,7] Total Cost: $6

                    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                    [3,7] with [3,5,6,7] with [3,5,6,7] with [2,3,4,5,6,7] with [2,3,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $72
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351087

                      #11
                      Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - April 23

                      Apr. 22, 2023


                      Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
                      RACE #1 $50,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #6 SOUTHERN HORSE
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 9-5 6 Southern Horse J J Hernandez
                      PLACE 5-2 3 Jetovator E A Maldonado
                      SHOW 5-1 1 Redline R A Vazquez
                      WILD CARD 4-1 4 Took Charge T J Pereira
                      ALTERNATE 1 3-1 2 Commander V Espinoza
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Crew Dragon A Aguilar
                      * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                      RACE #2 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 8-5 1 Conquistar J J Hernandez
                      PLACE 9-5 3 Ruby Nell R A Vazquez
                      SHOW 3-1 4 Apple Fest A Cedillo
                      WILD CARD 15-1 6 Duchessofbayridge H I Berrios
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Collectmythoughts U Rispoli
                      ALTERNATE 2 30-1 2 Roses n Chrome V Espinoza
                      * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
                      RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
                      6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 4:59 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 6-5 1 Air Force Red J J Hernandez
                      PLACE 5-2 2 Whatmakessammyrun J Bravo
                      SHOW 4-1 4 Sunrise Journey E A Maldonado
                      WILD CARD 5-1 5 Burnin Turf U Rispoli
                      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Indian Peak R A Vazquez
                      * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                      RACE #4 $40,000 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                      6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:29 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 2-1 6 Ever a Rebel E A Maldonado
                      PLACE 3-1 4 Princip A Aguilar
                      SHOW 4-1 5 Motorcade D A Herrera
                      WILD CARD 5-2 3 Mor Tequila J J Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Brazen Bull R A Vazquez
                      ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 American Livin J Bravo
                      * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
                      RACE #5 $12,500 CLAIMING
                      5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:02 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 1 Kiss My Kat T J Pereira
                      PLACE 5-2 3 Lasting Love J J Hernandez
                      SHOW 3-1 5 Silent Beauty D Van Dyke
                      WILD CARD 8-1 6 Cal D A Herrera
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Its Saul Right A Castellanos
                      ALTERNATE 2 4-1 4 Jordan R A Vazquez
                      * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #6 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:33 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #7 STAY IN LINE
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 7-2 7 Stay in Line H I Berrios
                      PLACE 5-1 3 Chevy Girl A Alsagoor
                      SHOW 4-1 1 Shambala Girl T J Pereira
                      WILD CARD 6-1 4 Turquoise Bikini A Cedillo
                      ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Boginskaya E K Rojas Fernandez
                      ALTERNATE 2 20-1 11 Sheza Lucky Charm A Aguilar
                      * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                      RACE #7 $20,000 CLAIMING
                      1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 12-1 5 Chickasaw K Frey
                      PLACE 4-1 7 Settecento T J Pereira
                      SHOW 4-1 6 Papale J Bravo
                      WILD CARD 5-2 1 Granada Flavor A Cedillo
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 8 Mongolian Ford A Aguilar
                      ALTERNATE 2 6-1 2 Warrens Candy Man E A Maldonado
                      * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
                      RACE #8 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                      1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:36 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 4 Candy On Top J J Hernandez
                      PLACE 5-2 5 Idessia R Gonzalez
                      SHOW 3-1 2 Rosie Forecast M Gutierrez
                      WILD CARD 4-1 6 Timely Luck K Frey
                      ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 Ela Calimera Mou A Cedillo
                      ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Yvetts Surprise T J Pereira
                      * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                      RACE #9 $16,000 CLAIMING
                      1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:07 PM ET
                      BEST BET: #5 CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 3-1 5 Chicknfingerfriday E A Maldonado
                      PLACE 5-1 7 Littlebrotherjoey A Aguilar
                      SHOW 10-1 9 Crypto Munny G Franco
                      WILD CARD 6-1 6 Careless Kitten R A Vazquez
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Economical A Cedillo
                      ALTERNATE 2 7-2 8 Missed Call U Rispoli
                      * EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX
                      RACE #10 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                      1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:38 PM ET
                      PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                      WIN 7-2 11 Belmont Bill A Aguilar
                      PLACE 6-1 1 The Key Is Unity R A Vazquez
                      SHOW 4-1 2 Keen to Go E A Maldonado
                      WILD CARD 6-1 8 Russells Hustle J J Hernandez
                      ALTERNATE 1 6-1 9 Storm the Night M Gutierrez
                      ALTERNATE 2 5-1 5 Cryptoholic H I Berrios
                      * EXACTA: 11-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
                      * TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351087

                        #12
                        Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - April 23

                        Apr. 22, 2023


                        Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track
                        RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:38 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 2 Boliver F Arrieta
                        PLACE 4-1 8 Hallow Point I Castillo
                        SHOW 7-2 4 Hard to Come By T Baze
                        WILD CARD 9-2 3 Mr Works G Saez
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Born On Fire M Pedroza Jr.
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 9 Offshore Tithe C A Torres
                        * EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX
                        RACE #2 $10,000 CLAIMING
                        1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-1 2 Press Snooze D Cabrera
                        PLACE 5-1 5 Words of Wisdom W De La Cruz
                        SHOW 9-2 7 Moliere K J Asmussen
                        WILD CARD 2-1 1 Jingle C A Torres
                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Trivista M Murrill
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Eisenstaedt A Pusac
                        * EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 1/5/7 BOX
                        RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:44 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #5 THORN CROWN
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-5 5 Thorn Crown K J Asmussen
                        PLACE 12-1 2 Unbearable G Saez
                        SHOW 2-1 3 Courageous Cappen K Harr
                        WILD CARD 4-1 6 Essential Bella E Fuentes
                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 9 Go Go Go I Castillo
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Graydawn Day K R Jordan
                        * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
                        RACE #4 $8,000 CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:18 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 4-5 9 Peace Dog C A Torres
                        PLACE 3-1 2 Atta Party M Garcia
                        SHOW 15-1 6 J. E.s Handmedown K J Asmussen
                        WILD CARD 12-1 7 Obviously Too C Bailey
                        ALTERNATE 1 30-1 4 Ojitos E Fuentes
                        ALTERNATE 2 8-1 10 Stomping Hotrod I Castillo
                        * EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
                        RACE #5 $6,250 CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:50 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 3-1 5 Town Champ D Cabrera
                        PLACE 9-2 1 Released C A Torres
                        SHOW 2-1 9 Therideofalifetime F Arrieta
                        WILD CARD 6-1 6 Dial in for Lute I Castillo
                        ALTERNATE 1 12-1 7 Carl G C Bailey
                        ALTERNATE 2 30-1 3 Believeinholidays W De La Cruz
                        * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX
                        RACE #6 $35,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:22 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #9 CHALECO
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 8-5 9 Chaleco T Wales
                        PLACE 3-1 7 Paid Double W De La Cruz
                        SHOW 9-2 10 Kissofthenile D Cabrera
                        WILD CARD 10-1 8 Sir Peel K J Asmussen
                        ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Hit Scene L S Quinonez
                        ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Rockets Afleet E Gallardo
                        * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 7/9/10 BOX, 7/8/10 BOX
                        RACE #7 $65,000 CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:54 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 10-1 8 Sinners Sin C A Torres
                        PLACE 8-1 1 Alpha Whiskey F Arrieta
                        SHOW 3-1 3 Boat Song E Gallardo
                        WILD CARD 2-1 4 Efficiency N Juarez
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Bettys Cash L S Quinonez
                        ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Ignitis G Saez
                        * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                        RACE #8 $55,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET
                        BEST BET: #4 JACKMAN
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 2-1 4 Jackman C A Torres
                        PLACE 12-1 6 Basic Chance A Pusac
                        SHOW 15-1 2 Mystery Mo F Arrieta
                        WILD CARD 3-1 5 Mrs. Beans I Castillo
                        ALTERNATE 1 4-1 3 Cold as Hell D Cabrera
                        ALTERNATE 2 5-1 8 Ultimate R Zimmerman
                        * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
                        RACE #9 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                        6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:58 PM ET
                        PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                        WIN 6-1 3 Run Poppy R Zimmerman
                        PLACE 9-2 9 Reeled In M Garcia
                        SHOW 7-2 10 Tap That Dial W De La Cruz
                        WILD CARD 4-1 8 Briartown D Cabrera
                        ALTERNATE 1 5-1 14 Bread Winner C A Torres
                        ALTERNATE 2 10-1 12 Bolt From Heaven M Murrill
                        * EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
                        * TRIFECTA: 3/9/10 BOX, 8/9/10 BOX
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351087

                          #13
                          Keeneland Tip Sheet - April 23

                          Apr. 22, 2023


                          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track
                          RACE #1 $30,000 CLAIMING
                          1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 1-1 5 Kings Ovation J Talamo
                          PLACE 7-2 1 Fieldstone C J Lanerie
                          SHOW 3-1 4 Hes Got This T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 20-1 6 Mr. Peterkin R Bejarano
                          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 Rogue Element R Gutierrez
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 7 Drop Anchor L Machado
                          * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
                          RACE #2 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 8-5 5 Cowichan J R Velazquez
                          PLACE 7-2 12 Secret Money I Ortiz Jr.
                          SHOW 9-2 11 Snow Princess J Rosario
                          WILD CARD 8-1 15 Annas Arabesque T Gaffalione
                          ALTERNATE 1 20-1 7 Little Hot Mess J Rocco Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Glamour Anna D Cannon
                          * EXACTA: 5-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX, 11-15 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 5/11/12 BOX, 11/12/15 BOX
                          RACE #3 $50,000 CLAIMING
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 4-1 8 Honorifique L Saez
                          PLACE 7-2 6 Keen Lady C J Hernandez
                          SHOW 9-2 5 Klimts Muse L Machado
                          WILD CARD 5-2 4 Treasure of War T Gaffalione
                          ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Dooit G Corrales
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 3 Lucys Cakes Fly J R Leparoux
                          * EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 5/6/8 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                          RACE #4 $62,500 CLAIMING
                          1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 4-1 6 Mobster Gun R Bejarano
                          PLACE 9-5 2 Order and Law T Gaffalione
                          SHOW 7-2 5 Bear Oak E Morales
                          WILD CARD 6-1 4 Uninvited Guest J Graham
                          ALTERNATE 1 9-2 1 Background J R Leparoux
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Olliemyboy C J Lanerie
                          * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                          RACE #5 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
                          1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 4-1 2 For the Flag J Ruiz
                          PLACE 8-1 13 Sake V Cheminaud
                          SHOW 3-1 10 Tequilera J Rosario
                          WILD CARD 6-1 8 Breaker of Chains J R Velazquez
                          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 6 Lilac Girl L Saez
                          ALTERNATE 2 10-1 11 Pioneers Edge F Prat
                          * EXACTA: 2-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/10/13 BOX, 8/10/13 BOX
                          RACE #6 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #5 TESHIMA
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 5-2 5 Teshima Y Navas
                          PLACE 7-2 9 Allinthecall J Elliott
                          SHOW 6-1 1 Jubilant Joanie R Gutierrez
                          WILD CARD 15-1 2 Save Your Tears R Bejarano
                          ALTERNATE 1 20-1 6 Speightsy Hot S Sanjur
                          ALTERNATE 2 4-1 3 Little Dixie T Gaffalione
                          * EXACTA: 5-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
                          RACE #7 $120,000 ALLOWANCE
                          1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #6 LIMITED LIABILITY
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 2-1 6 Limited Liability I Ortiz Jr.
                          PLACE 3-1 3 Alex Joon J R Leparoux
                          SHOW 4-1 1 Buy Me Candy V Cheminaud
                          WILD CARD 15-1 7 Bakwena T Gaffalione
                          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Encourage D Cohen
                          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Highestdistinction J Talamo
                          * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
                          RACE #8 $110,000 ALLOWANCE
                          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-5 5 Scotland I Ortiz Jr.
                          PLACE 8-5 2 Kings Glory J Rosario
                          SHOW 6-1 3 Tumbarumba L Saez
                          WILD CARD 10-1 4 B Minor B J Hernandez Jr.
                          ALTERNATE 1 50-1 1 Spurs Up J Loveberry
                          * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                          RACE #9 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                          1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
                          BEST BET: #13 TACTICAL JOKE
                          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                          WIN 3-1 13 Tactical Joke I Ortiz Jr.
                          PLACE 4-1 9 Boltoro A Beschizza
                          SHOW 5-1 12 Rosy Tomorrows T Gaffalione
                          WILD CARD 8-1 7 Royal Blood R Bejarano
                          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Golden Runner D Cannon
                          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Summertime Rose I Ortiz Jr.
                          * EXACTA: 13-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX, 12-7 BOX
                          * TRIFECTA: 9/12/13 BOX, 7/9/12 BOX
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351087

                            #14
                            Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - April 23

                            Apr. 22, 2023


                            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track
                            RACE #1 $28,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                            1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:48 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #3 ROYAL DAME
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 8-5 3 Royal Dame A A Gallardo
                            PLACE 3-1 4 Love Foreverafter J A Batista
                            SHOW 7-2 1 Ninety Nine S Camacho
                            WILD CARD 5-2 2 Always Royal J L Castanon
                            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 6 Happy Union S Marin
                            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Susies Saver H R Diaz Jr.
                            * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
                            RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:18 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 4-1 4 Chicago River A Quinonez
                            PLACE 3-5 6 Divine Connection S Camacho
                            SHOW 8-1 3 Peeps Day J Alicea
                            WILD CARD 6-1 5 Barbara J C Ferrer
                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Luscious A Santos
                            ALTERNATE 2 30-1 1 Quality too Spare L Sosa
                            * EXACTA: 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
                            RACE #3 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                            1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:48 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 3-1 1 Angelic Storm J R Herrera
                            PLACE 9-2 4 Powerful Native S Marin
                            SHOW 8-5 5 Grand Arrow J A Batista
                            WILD CARD 6-1 2 Wine With a Rose R D Allen Jr.
                            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 3 Song and Tap M Meneses
                            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Political Astray A S Arroyo
                            * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
                            RACE #4 $16,000 CLAIMING
                            5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:18 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 4-5 2 Faction Cat A A Gallardo
                            PLACE 3-1 6 Thatsafactjack R D Allen Jr.
                            SHOW 15-1 5 Bam Bam Blu S Marin
                            WILD CARD 20-1 4 Henrys World P L Cotto Jr.
                            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 8 Joyful Heart H Villa-Gomez
                            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Commodore Barry A S Arroyo
                            * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
                            RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:49 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #1 PLANE JANE
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 8-5 1 Plane Jane J C Ferrer
                            PLACE 9-2 5 Ucaptured Aero S Marin
                            SHOW 2-1 8 Dudesfirstdarling M Meneses
                            WILD CARD 12-1 6 My Baton Rouge R A Bracho
                            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 2 She Is Royalty R R Ordonez
                            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Lively Remark L Sosa
                            * EXACTA: 1-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
                            RACE #6 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET
                            BEST BET: #7 PRALINES CAT
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 3-1 7 Pralines Cat L Sosa
                            PLACE 7-2 5 O Romeo J C Ferrer
                            SHOW 12-1 3 Tureskis J L Castanon
                            WILD CARD 10-1 8 Dads On a Roll S Camacho
                            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Awesome Honor M Meneses
                            ALTERNATE 2 5-2 4 Somnus J A Batista
                            * EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
                            RACE #7 $8,000 CLAIMING
                            1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 7-5 2 Kingstown S Camacho
                            PLACE 10-1 4 Black Limo J A Batista
                            SHOW 7-2 6 Bam Bam Warrior S Marin
                            WILD CARD 3-1 3 Tapintoyourbeer R D Allen Jr.
                            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Cedar Beach J C Ferrer
                            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 8 Wild Irishman A S Arroyo
                            * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
                            RACE #8 $28,000 ALLOWANCE
                            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET
                            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                            WIN 9-2 8 Thunder Buggy S Camacho
                            PLACE 5-2 6 Saturday Nite Girl A A Gallardo
                            SHOW 4-1 1 Sweet Dutchess J L Castanon
                            WILD CARD 6-1 7 Lea Ro H R Diaz Jr.
                            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 10 Singalong Kayla R E Mena
                            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Asters dOro M Meneses
                            * EXACTA: 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                            * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351087

                              #15
                              Aqueduct Hotlist - April 23

                              Apr. 22, 2023


                              By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                              Hot List Key:
                              A:
                              A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
                              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                              5th race [Clm 32000, 7F] – (2) Inspeightoftrainer was a winner for Linda Rice last time in a starter allowance and now cuts back from a mile making his first start in an open claimer. (4) Valenzan Day was claimed for $25,000 from a victory and moves to the barn of a trainer who has good stats with a limited number of newly claimed horses. (7) Bad Water gets blinkers on for his second start for the Atras barn which is still hot as the Aqueduct meetings continue. (1) Outlaw Country already has a recent victory at this claiming level.
                              6th race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 6
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