Saturday 1/14/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Rocket Picks ��: Oaklawn Park, Gulfstream Park, and Aqueduct for January 14, 2023
By: Aaron Halterman

Let’s get another big Saturday of racing kicked off today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Aqueduct for the Late Pick 4 on the card. We will also have full card selections for Gulfstream Park and Oaklawn Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s GO!

Below is our free late Pick 4 for Aqueduct:

Aqueduct January 14, 2023

Race 6: Maiden Special Weight

#3 Weekend Rags has run second at this level in back to back starts to start his career. She should be competitive in this spot once again today. #8 Debbie Darling debuts in this spot for a trainer who is sharp with first time starters. She fired a bullet workout leading up to this start.

Race 7: Starter Allowance
freestar

#6 Ikigai was a neck away from defeating similar horses last time out over this track. He also runs first off of the claim for a solid trainer. #7 Jake Rocks goes for two in a row today after defeating weaker horses last time out, while running first off of the claim for Atras.

Race 8: Busanda Stakes

#3 Affirmative Lady nearly won at this distance against tougher runners last time out. She gets Manny Franco aboard in this spot, which is a very good sign. #2 Occult picked up a sharp maiden win over this track last time out and should be ready to take on stakes company today.

Race 9: Allowance

#5 Patient Capital was close to victory last time out over this track and at this class level. He seems to run best at this one-mile distance. #8 Three Jokers should get a prefect pace set up today, which makes him dangerous at a big price. This is a logical spot for him.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 3,6,8,9 / 1,4,6,7 / 2,3 / 3,5,8 – $48

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Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Saturday, January 14
Posted on January 13, 2023 by David Aragona

RACE 3: DANGEROUS EDGE (#5)

I expect Awesome Native (#7) to be a heavy favorite in this N1X allowance after winning his debut convincingly in December. He’s obviously the horse to beat, but the Jorge Abreu barn usually has its first time starters ready to fire their best shots on debut. His numbers are decent, but not quite as potent with second time starters, especially on dirt. He also was sitting right on top of a slow pace first time out and he could find himself chasing a much quicker early tempo this time. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, with 6 horses shown ahead of Awesome Native in the early going. I won’t be surprised when he wins again, but I didn’t want to settle for a short price on him. Some may consider the Rudy Rodriguez entry as an alternative, but these types of couplings are often bad value. Between the two, I slightly prefer Major Spin (#2), who didn’t run that badly after blowing the start last time. He has some prior races that give him a chance, but this is a step up in class. My top pick is Dangerous Edge (#5). This horse has been pretty consistent ever since getting claimed by Rob Atras last year. He hasn’t visited the winner’s circle since winning two in a row against weaker company last summer, but he’s run well in his recent starts at this level. While his recent form might not suggest that shorter is betting, I actually like him getting the slight turnback to sprint distances. The last time he tried 7 furlongs he had little chance to close into a slow pace. Now he’s returning from a freshening at a time when the Atras barn has been hot, and he’s supposed to get a favorable pace setup.

RACE 7: LIAM’S FIRE (#3)

There is no shortage of early speed in this starter allowance affair, and the quickest of them all in the early going may be Ikigai (#6). This runner put in a big effort last time, as he set an honest pace and nearly hung on after taking a big lead into the stretch. However, now he could face early pressure from the likes of Upper Level (#4), who is always contesting the pace, and Fast N Fearious (#1), who has the speed to be involved when he breaks cleanly. I do think Ikigai is most dangerous of those who will be vying for the front end, but I prefer some rivals who can come from off the pace. The most logical of those is Blinding Light (#2). He’s not a deep closer, but he can be effective from mid-pack. I didn’t love his last effort when he was no match for Digital Future as the odds-on favorite, but that race did feature a slow pace that may have worked against him. My top pick is Liam’s Fire (#3). This horse was seemingly being given a race for fitness off the layoff when he was competing in that $12,500 claimer for the waiver, so I don’t want to hold that performance against him. He showed significant improvement last time on the cutback in distance, and I do think he’s generally shown himself to be a better sprinter. He put in a strong rally from off the pace last time, and he figures to get a similar setup once again. Some may dismiss him due to connections, but Amira Chichackly won a race yesterday and jockey Katie Davis has been riding well with limited opportunities.

RACE 9: WATASHA (#11)

I’m playing against likely favorite Patient Capital (#5). I don’t quite buy the sudden improvement that he showed last time at this level. He had a lot working in his favor that day, as he got to enjoy an uncontested early lead in a race where the pace completely held together. I think he’s better judged off his prior form, and those races hardly make him a standout here. There appears to be more speed for him to deal with this time, as longshots Mauritius (#1) and Chowda (#6) both figure to get aggressive rides. The other horse who figures to take money is Money Supply (#3), but I’m also skeptical of his chances. He got a great trip when sent off as the 9-5 favorite in the other division of that Dec. 18 allowance race, but he failed to produce a late kick in the stretch. I think he’s better at shorter distances than this, and he figures to be an underlay for popular connections. My top pick is Watasha (#11). He competed in that same race as Patient Capital last time, and finished 7 lengths behind that foe. Yet Watasha didn’t get the best ride that day, as he was rated off that slow pace, and only asked for his best once the leaders had gotten away from the pack. He’s better when he’s ridden more aggressively, and I would imagine that the connections will be looking for him to get into a better position from this far outside post. It’s only his second attempt at a mile, but he’s bred to go this far and actually finished well last time considering the situation. I also want to use some closers at bigger prices who could get in the mix from off the pace. Complete Agenda (#2) is returning just 7 days after winning a starter allowance race going this distance. Yet Linda Rice is 6 for 20 (30%, $2.97 ROI) with last-out winners returning in 5 to 10 days in Aqueduct dirt races over the past 5 years. He has plenty of prior efforts that make him competitive against this field. I would even use longshot Royal Tryst (#7), who was actually closing best of all in the other division of that Dec. 18 allowance race. He didn’t run as well in the slop last time, but he should appreciate the turnback in distance to a one-turn mile.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Turfway Park Tip Sheet - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 62% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 LINK TO DESTINY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	1	Link to Destiny	G Corrales
PLACE	9-5	10	Fed Money	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	6-1	7	Barstow	T Canuto
WILD CARD	20-1	11	Farzin	R Betancourt
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	9	Mighty Craic	J Gilligan
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	Good First	J E Felix
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/10 BOX, 7/10/11 BOX
RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	6	Artemus Eagle	J D Ramos
PLACE	3-1	2	Gray Hope	W A Rodriguez
SHOW	5-1	11	Tallestofthetall	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Estilo Peligroso	R Chirinos
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	1	Texas Gano	A Achard
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	8	Stewards Rules	S E Bermudez
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/11 BOX, 2/4/11 BOX
RACE #3 $23,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 ENJOY THE MUSIC
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	7	Enjoy the Music	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	2	Big Sport	C A Emigh
SHOW	5-2	9	Silver Moon Road	S E Bermudez
WILD CARD	10-1	10	Joyful Heart	V Lebron
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Kitchen Fire	T Heard
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Ellesbigseacret	D J Haldar
* EXACTA: 7-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/9 BOX, 2/9/10 BOX
RACE #4 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Carom	G Corrales
PLACE	9-2	10	Happy Camper	R M Hernandez
SHOW	10-1	5	P H Factor	F De La Cruz
WILD CARD	10-1	12	Little Alex	I Ayala
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	11	Sacred Rider	W A Rodriguez
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	9	Bugle Barry	G McEntee
* EXACTA: 7-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/10 BOX, 5/10/12 BOX
RACE #5 $7,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 SAFE TRAVELS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Safe Travels	E Esquivel
PLACE	8-1	9	Moonlight Rain	L Machado
SHOW	12-1	4	Singsong Bird	R Chirinos
WILD CARD	12-1	2	I Likem	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	7	Taperinea	G McEntee
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Clever Tale	R Aragon
* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/9/10 BOX, 2/4/9 BOX
RACE #6 $76,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Purple Dream	J D Ramos
PLACE	7-2	8	Willtorun	L Machado
SHOW	5-2	3	Lucci	G Corrales
WILD CARD	15-1	6	Holiday House	A Burgos
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Unpredictable Bay	S Sanjur
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	2	Gallant Guy	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
RACE #7 $125,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 EXCHANGE STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	6	Kates Kingdom	J Gilligan
PLACE	8-1	10	Fair Game	D Cannon
SHOW	5-1	3	Maybe Later	G Corrales
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Temper Time	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	5	Grand Ave Girl	L Machado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Shoshoni Moon	C Landeros
* EXACTA: 6-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/10 BOX, 1/3/10 BOX
COMMENTS: KATES KINGDOM is a head away from winning three in a row and four of five. FAIR GAME won her lone race on Turfways all weather with one of her best performances. MAYBE LATER should be close to peak form in her third race off the bench. TEMPER TIME is another that should improve in the classic third race following a layoff.
RACE #8 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	10	Loma Vista	G Corrales
PLACE	3-1	14	Decree of Love	R M Hernandez
SHOW	20-1	11	Knelcock	R Aragon
WILD CARD	3-1	9	Amazon Queen	D Cannon
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	7	Only Time	J D Ramos
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	8	Trick Hat	L Machado
* EXACTA: 10-14 BOX, 14-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 10/11/14 BOX, 9/11/14 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	12-1	5	Bourbon On Fire	R Bowen
PLACE	9-2	8	Still On the Books	K J Asmussen
SHOW	4-1	3	Asset Basis	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Fast Lane	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Kentucky Bourbon	D Cabrera
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	6	El Gemar	J Hiraldo
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
RACE #2 $7,500 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:59 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	6	Ipsum Gratus	F Arrieta
PLACE	3-1	9	Undecoded	G Saez
SHOW	7-2	2	First Empress	C A Torres
WILD CARD	15-1	5	Close to Me	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Silent Scarlet	S Camacho-Benitez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	4	Duchess Bubbles	E Medellin
* EXACTA: 6-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/9 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX
RACE #3 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	12-1	3	Sisaway Now	E Gonzalez
PLACE	7-2	1	Midnight Majesty	C A Torres
SHOW	9-2	8	Hanks	W De La Cruz
WILD CARD	5-2	6	Carbonite	D Cabrera
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Papa Rocket	K J Asmussen
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	5	Happy Boy Rocket	O Mojica
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #4 $104,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:57 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 TWO EAGLES RIVER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Two Eagles River	N Juarez
PLACE	12-1	3	Winters Lion	F Arrieta
SHOW	15-1	1	Gun Pilot	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	6-5	5	Verifying	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	4	Gunflash	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Judo	J Talamo
* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #5 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:26 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 STELLAR LILY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	6	Stellar Lily	R Bejarano
PLACE	9-5	4	Vow	I Castillo
SHOW	12-1	2	Church Service	K Harr
WILD CARD	15-1	3	Tyrona	R Bowen
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	7	Tales of Home	D Cabrera
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Candy Caramel	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
RACE #6 $25,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 ASH FLAT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Ash Flat	D Cabrera
PLACE	5-1	7	Slam Dunk Sermon	I Castillo
SHOW	6-1	4	Full Impact	K R Jordan
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Impressed	C A Torres
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Gozilla	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Shadow Matter	F Arrieta
* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #7 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:24 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	9	Sassy Lass	C Bailey
PLACE	8-1	5	Finishwhatustarted	C A Torres
SHOW	20-1	4	Sophies Star	K R Jordan
WILD CARD	4-1	12	Betty Jo	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1	2-1	7	Bradley Pink	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Quarantined	E Medellin
* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/9 BOX, 4/5/12 BOX
RACE #8 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:53 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	4	Hazy Command	R Bejarano
PLACE	6-1	7	Rock Star Parking	W De La Cruz
SHOW	2-1	1	Lovemesomeme	J Talamo
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Headland	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	3	Tizplenty	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	5-2	2	Portilla	R Santana Jr.
* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
RACE #9 $150,000 STAKES 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:22 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 FIFTH SEASON STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	8	Ginobili	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	12-1	3	Heart Rhythm	R Bejarano
SHOW	9-2	1	Soy Tapatio	C A Torres
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Rated R Superstar	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	7	Seize the Night	M Michel
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Runnin Ray	M Garcia
* EXACTA: 8-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/8 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
COMMENTS: GINOBLI ran the highest last race speed figure and has some robust workouts since. HEART RHYTHM is a very consistent performer. SOY TAPATIO is a neck away from winning three in a row and four of five. RATED R SUPERSTAR is an old man who always tries hard and will be rolling late.
RACE #10 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:51 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	6	Rocket and Roll	J Talamo
PLACE	2-1	3	Shoppers Revenge	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	4-1	10	Escapologist	N Juarez
WILD CARD	12-1	2	Pappy Wolfe	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Citizen	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Bougie Joe	I Castillo
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/10 BOX, 2/3/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds Tip Sheet - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023


Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	5	Honeysuckledelight	R Gutierrez
PLACE	5-1	2	Anslies Gumdrop	C J Hernandez
SHOW	9-2	1	B B Gun Bullseye	E Nieves
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Easy Aces	G Melancon
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	7	Sadies Port	B Culp
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	8	My Royal Princess	E M Murray
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
RACE #2 $15,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SWEET SLEW
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Sweet Slew	C J Lanerie
PLACE	7-5	5	Electric Sense	A Beschizza
SHOW	7-2	3	Arklahoma Soul	A Castillo
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Copper Moon	E Nieves
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	2	Sweet Crystal	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #3 $7,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	6	Sweet Vidalia	A Castillo
PLACE	3-1	4	Sunshine Star	R Gutierrez
SHOW	8-1	5	Ruby Begonia	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Just Another Win	J Graham
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	3	Realitos	F Geroux
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	1	Why Wait	E Nieves
* EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
RACE #4 $51,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 Z RESURRECTION
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	3	Z Resurrection	B Culp
PLACE	9-2	1	My Lil Dude	E Nieves
SHOW	3-1	6	The Boss Soss	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Stiff Drink	A Castillo
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Mangum	C J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Gobot	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #5 $52,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Donya Know It	E Morales
PLACE	4-1	1	Misty Day	R Gutierrez
SHOW	7-2	3	Ready for Change	A Beschizza
WILD CARD	5-2	6	Onamargaritaday	A Castillo
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Quick Munny	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	OBabe	G Melancon
* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
RACE #6 $35,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	8	Blame Day	R Gutierrez
PLACE	5-2	4	Charriere	A Beschizza
SHOW	5-1	2	Lady Dreamer	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	7-2	7	Margoinabubblebath	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Wait On Me	B Culp
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Roll Gypsy Roll	S Barandela
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/8 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #7 $52,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Nelson Avenue	F Geroux
PLACE	2-1	6	Treasury	D L Parker
SHOW	7-2	2	Big Blue Line	C J Lanerie
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Nepotism	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	1A	Captivating Moon	J Loveberry
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	5	Beaver Hat	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 NELSON MENARD MEMORIAL STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	3	Astute	F Geroux
PLACE	8-1	1	New Boss	D Cohen
SHOW	2-1	7	Oeuvre	J Loveberry
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Touch of Class	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	10	Charlies Penny	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	9	Tizplenty	J Graham
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
COMMENTS: ASTUTE won three of her four races. She is lightly raced for a five year old. NEW BOSS has two wins and a second in three at Fair Grounds. OEUVRE has six wins and two seconds in eight on fast dirt. TOUCH OF CLASS has plenty of back speed and this looks like the right distance for her as it is where she collected all of her three wins.
RACE #9 $50,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 OVERANALYTICAL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	3	Overanalytical	J L Rodriguez
PLACE	8-5	6	Boss Dialin In	E Nieves
SHOW	9-2	1	Cloud Without Rein	J Graham
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Trumptastic	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	2	Gs Million	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	4	War Room	S Barandela
* EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:32 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 SHOO SHINE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	10	Shoo Shine	J C Ferrer
PLACE	8-1	8	Hot and Heavy	C E Rojas
SHOW	3-1	3	Ask for Bode	H R Diaz Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	9	Rookie Salsa	M Jimenez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	6	Stay Home	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Gold Wing	R Feliciano
* EXACTA: 10-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/10 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX
RACE #2 $17,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Ghost Stalker	A Quinonez
PLACE	4-1	2	Exchequer	P Morales
SHOW	3-1	1	Trappezoid	R Feliciano
WILD CARD	5-1	3	Exacting	A S Arroyo
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	7	Hard Lighting	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	8	Indian Buzz	M Jimenez
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #3 $32,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	7	Notah	S Camacho
PLACE	7-2	5	Three Fold	M Meneses
SHOW	5-1	3	Falk	P Morales
WILD CARD	6-1	6	All Our Munny	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	8	Estilo Magico	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	9	City Humor	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 7-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #4 $28,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 NIGHT CAP
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	4	Night Cap	A S Arroyo
PLACE	6-1	7	Pink Shoelaces	D Centeno
SHOW	5-2	2	Olivia Darling	E Jaramillo
WILD CARD	6-1	8	Lil Miss Camille	S Camacho
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Platinum Gem	R D Allen Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	1	Jims Bronze Star	A Suarez
* EXACTA: 4-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
RACE #5 $28,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Justintimeforwine	S Camacho
PLACE	3-1	7	Raising Moon	C E Rojas
SHOW	5-1	9	Great Britain	J C Ferrer
WILD CARD	8-1	10	Mr Matuschek	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	3	Rock the Stars	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	8	Almanzo	M Meneses
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX
RACE #6 $125,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:03 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 PASCO STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Handsome Playboy	P Morales
PLACE	6-5	4	Champions Dream	S Camacho
SHOW	6-1	5	Armstrong	A A Gallardo
WILD CARD	3-1	2	Loco Abarrio	J C Ferrer
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	1	Shaq Diesel	M Meneses
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Zydeceaux	S Marin
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
COMMENTS: HANDSOME PLAYBOY has a win and second in two at Tampa along with a bullet work between races. CHAMPIONS DREAM won a Grade III at Aqueduct in his last. ARMSTRONG won two in a row at Woodbine and should be involved from the start. LOCO ABARRIO tied for the top last race speed figure at Gulfstream.
RACE #7 $50,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	6	Tap Dance Fever	J C Ferrer
PLACE	9-2	3	Mollys Angel	A Quinonez
SHOW	6-5	1	Beths Dream	E Jaramillo
WILD CARD	3-1	7	Pass the Champagne	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	2	Bow Draw	C E Rojas
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Beachfront Bid	J A Batista
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #8 $27,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	2	Aspray	S Camacho
PLACE	20-1	10	Royal Dame	A S Arroyo
SHOW	5-2	8	Financial Advice	H R Diaz Jr.
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Roman Flame	M Meneses
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	4	Breton Girl	P Morales
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	6	Domo Arigatou	J C Ferrer
* EXACTA: 2-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/10 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX
RACE #9 $125,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $125,000 GASPARILLA STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-2	4	Dorth Vader	M Meneses
PLACE	9-2	3	Dreaming of Snow	S Camacho
SHOW	12-1	8	Opus Forty Two	D Centeno
WILD CARD	9-2	8	Awesome Pic	S Camacho Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	2	Personal Pursuit	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Charlies Wish	E Jaramillo
* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/8/8 BOX
COMMENTS: DORTH VADER has three wins in five races and she tends to win by big margins. DREAMING OF SNOW won her last by more than 8 lengths and a big race is usually followed by another. OPUS FORTY TWO got the maiden win in the third try with a huge mid move. AWESOME PIC has three wins with a second and third in six races on a fast track.
RACE #10 $27,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:03 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 GALILEOS JEWEL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Galileos Jewel	A Suarez
PLACE	9-2	7	Heiress	A A Gallardo
SHOW	6-1	4	Modern Love	S Camacho
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Lady Bee	P Morales
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	10	Englished	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	3	Seawitch	J A Batista
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Hotlist - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023


By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3^rd race [NY, Alw 72000 N1X, 7F] – (2) Major Spin (B) lost all chance at the start of his last race when he lunged out of the gate and was last as a horse that does his best pressing the pace. (5) Dangerous Edge (C) was bet down from 7-1 to 9-2 and finished third at this level for the second race in a row. (7) Awesome Native was an impressive debut winner for Jorge Abreu at odds of 2-1 by more than five lengths. (4) Forty Two Ace is a bit of an in and outer meaning that he runs well every other race and is due for a good performance here.
7^th race [Alw 50000s, 6F] – (6) Ikigai set the pace, got caught at the wire, and was claimed for $35,000 by Michelle Gianguilio and is projected to get loose on the lead. (7) Jake Rocks was a front-end winner of a $25,000 claimer and was taken by Rob Atras who has a very hot barn and has been improving horses new to his barn. (3) Liam’s Fire moved up to a starter allowance and ran a big race rallying for second while earning one of the best speed figures of his career. (2) Blinding Light has been off since November when he ran second twice at this starter allowance level.
8^th race [Busanda, 1 1/8 mi] – (1) Gambling Girl finished third in the Demoiselle (G2) beaten by just a length after rallying a bit wide on a muddy track. She is the only stakes winner in the field having won a NY-bred stake in September. (3) Affirmative Lady was second in the Demoiselle as a maiden. She had the lead in the stretch and lost by a neck in the end. The top two choices lost to the promising Julia Shining who is a full sister the Malathaat and hold a significant class advantage. (2) Occult broke her maiden in her second start by more than four lengths last month for Chad Brown at odds of 9-2 and may be able to get loose on the lead. (5) Aniston was also an easy maiden winner in her second try by almost five lengths for Todd Pletcher at 3-1.
9^th race [Alw 82000 N1X, 1 mi] – (5) Patient Capital (C) is in excellent form with three seconds and a win two races back in a starter allowance. Last time she was bet down from 8-1 to 9-2. (2) Complete Agenda was a winner of a starter allowance in his first start after a claim by Linda Rice. (3) Money Supply gets blinkers on after a third and a second at this allowance level. (1) Mauritius will make his first start for the Rob Atras barn and that means improvement is expected.
Best bets: Major Spin (3^rd); Patient Capital (9^th). Best value: Ikigai (7^th); Gambling Girl (8^th).
Saturday Pick 3 Special --
The Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 7-9 and includes the Busanda

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Park Hotlist - January 14

Jan. 13, 2023


By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
3rd race – (2) Expand the Map was second three times in four career starts and seems overdue for a maiden win. (5) War Princess was fourth in her debut and can move forward off that effort. (7) Lute Player may perk up on turf. (6) Chiromante missed by a head and should be a major contender. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-5-6-7.
5th race – (8) Sgt. Pepper can be a smash hit as he makes his career debut for Pletcher. (10) Al Atlasi made a middle move and tired in his debut. Expect a better try today. (6) Cuvier is another Pletcher firster who merits attention here. (7) Armstrong could also be a contender in this field while making his debut. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 6-7-8-10. Doubles: 6-7-8-10 with 1-6-8-9.
6th race – (8) Sendero (B) was hurt by a wide trip in a stakes and should make amends here. (7) Moon Landing might appreciate a switch to turf. (9) Ok Boomer was a game debut winner for Pletcher and can make it two in a row here. (1) Harry Time should be a factor in his U.S. debut. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-8-9.
8th race – (1) Sara’s Shaman has been training quickly for his debut and should be hard to deny at first asking. (9) Game Warden adds Lasix and could wake up here. (2) Kingsbarns is another firster who is showing promise. (10) Equal Protection seems capable of a better effort than the one he turned in during his debut. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-9-10.
10th race – (4) Legends Can’t Die (A) was a strong second in an improved effort last time and looks best in this field. (3) Unsociable seeks a fourth straight win and should handle the switch to dirt. (1) Lightening Larry has speed and the rail and could be tough to catch. (2) Gatsby is in great form and cannot be overlooked. Betting strategy: 4 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-4.

No.		Letter/Last race	Today’s race	Comment
(8)	Sendero	B, 12/10	6 GP	Was hurt by a wide trip in a stakes
(4)	Legends Can’t Die	A, 12/22	10 GP	Was an improved second last time

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | January 14, 2023

Jan. 13, 2023


Race 9 at Oaklawn Park | Saturday, January 14 | Post Time 5:22 PM Eastern
Fifth Season Stakes | Purse $150,000 | One Mile | Four Year Olds and Upward
Overview:
The early pace in this one mile race could be hotly contested, and hot, because Runnin’ Ray (2) has been first or second after a half-mile has been run in 10 of his last 12 races, because Hello Hot Rod (4) led from start to finish in two of his last three races and led from the start before tiring to fourth in the other, because Dreamer’s Disease (5) has led from start to finish in his last two races, both wins around two-turns and because Seize the Night (7) earned his ONLY win, in his most recent race, leading from start to finish. That makes the race tough for morning line favorite Ginobili (8) to win, not only because he’s drawn outside all the other “early” speed types but also because he has been first or second after a half-mile in each of his last five races, all since adding blinkers.
Top contenders:
With the fast and contested early pace in mind, three horses appear to have good shots to succeed. Among that trio, Silver Prospector (10) has to be talked about first as he opens at double digit odds. Silver Prospector has run nine times at Oaklawn in his 24 race career, winning once and placing once so you might think he prefers other tracks as the majority of his $1.2 million in earnings has come elsewhere. That is not the case, as he earned the biggest win in his career over this track. That win came three years ago in the Southwest Stakes with a then career-best 107 Equibase Speed Figure. One year later he finished second in the Oaklawn Handicap here in a huge effort when second to a six length winner, also earning a 107 figure. Silver Prospector then lost six more races in a row but showed his top form one more time last May when victorious at this mile trip in the Steve Sexton Mile, earning a new career-best 112 which is the best figure earned by any horse in this field. Rested since a poor effort last October, the reason I believe Silver Prospector can return to form good enough to win is the fact that he puts on blinkers for the very first time, and that change resulted in a very fast half-mile workout six days ago which was the second best of 87 on the day. Additionally, Silver Prospector won the Steve Sexton from the outside post in a field of nine, similar to the outside post he gets in this race, and he closed into a fast pace in that race, similar to the one he will get courtesy of need-the-lead types Hello Hot Rod, Dreamer’s Disease and Seize the Night. If the assessment is correct the equipment change as well as returning to Oaklawn means Silver Prospector may be able to rebound to top form, and he could post the upset and win this year’s Fifth Season Stakes.
Soy Tapatio (1) really came into his own after changing trainers to Robertino Diodoro last summer. His first race for Diodoro was a six and one-half length win in the Manitoba Mile Stakes, earning a career-best 107 figure. Since then Soy Tapatio has won two of four while losing by a neck on the wire in another. All four were stakes races and he earned 104 and 105 figures in the two wins. Since shipping into Oaklawn, Soy Tapatio has worked three times, with his most recent similar to Silver Prospector seven days ago where his half-mile workout was the second best of 47 on the day. Also similar to Silver Prospector, Soy Tapatio will appreciate the hot and contested early pace by at least three, perhaps four (including Ginobili) other horses, enabling him to potentially win for the fourth time in his last six races.
Rated R Superstar (6) is now a nine year old but considering he won four of nine last year at the age of eight, earning $600K in the process, that’s not a concern. Five of his 13 wins have come at Oaklawn and if he wins this race his earnings at this track alone will exceed $1 million. Last year Rated R Superstar won this race after returning from four months off and a runner-up finish. This year he enters the Fifth Season in even better form, as he won the Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial Stakes one month ago following a three month rest. Jockey Castillo was aboard for the first time in that race and rides back. Even though Rated R Superstar only earned a 100 figure for his win last month and a 102 figure for his win before that last summer in the Governor’s Cup Stakes, the 111 figure effort earned winning last year’s Fifth Season would put him right there at the finish with Silver Prospector if that one ran his best race, leading to a very exciting finish.
Win bets:
We must absolutely consider a win bet on Silver Prospector (10) at odds of 4 to 1 or more.
We can also consider win bets on Soy Tapatio (1) and on Rated R Superstar (6) at odds of 4 to 1 or higher.
Exactas:

First, considering Silver Prospector (10) is going to go to post at high odds, an exacta putting him in second position is likely to pay much better than a place bet and is well worth the risk:
ALL over Silver Prospector (10)
Also, box Soy Tapatio (1), Rated R Superstar (6) and Silver Prospector (10)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

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January 14, 2023 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 14-race program scheduled for tonight. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Ario Hanover (3-1)-Got the point from post 10 last week and made every call a winning one. Really no reason the plan will change here and the outcome could very well be the same.
7-Unsung Hero (9/2)-Mohawk invader has hit the board in 2 of 5 starts at the Big M with 1 picture. This 4-year-old has won 7 of 21 and if the one above falters down the lane the Daniels trainee can roll by off cover at a square price.

Race 7

6-Dontlikeitleave (3-1)-Went off at 8/5 versus this kind and made it look easy in last. This will be the 3rd start in sequence since taking a few weeks off and looks like a main player again.
7-Boiler Maker (7/2)-Stratton worked a nice trip and the post time chalk didn't disappoint. Has hit the board in 3 of 5 at M1 and took 2 pictures. Has been in good form since the beginning of November and deserves respect here.

Race 8

1-Pick A Genre (6-1)-Was claimed from Jenn B on 11-19 and hasn't accomplished much for Engblom since. This will be the 4th start for the new barn and the only time coming back in sequence. Will take a swing for a price and look for better, did beat similar here on 11-19.
3-Stonebridge Reef (3-1)-Gets post relief, 2nd time Lasix, comes right back and doesn't bump heads with Ario Hanover who was a well-meant winner. Has been no worse than 3rd in 4 of the last 5 and finished 2nd in 3 races. May have met a beatable field.

Race 9

2-Hestherightstuff (6-1)-Bumps up after running the field down with a .56 last half to just get up in time. Seems to have a nose for the wire winning 14 of 33 lifetime and has posted 3 victories in 19 starts at M1. Comes back in sequence after being off a month before winning on 1-7.
3-Revolver N (9/2)-Raced well to finish a close 3rd after being off 3-weeks between starts. Comes back to face the same kind, and should be a threat if Beckwith does his job.
6-Chaser Hanover (8-1)-Mark Mac had the pedal down leaving from post 9 in a needed start and finished a close 5th at 45-1. Has the gate speed to race near the top of the stack and then look for one nice move down the lane to take a picture at a price.


0.50 Late Pick 4

1,7/6,7/1,3/2,3,6
Total Bet=$12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Fair Grounds - Race #6

#4 Charriere	Hoping she stays at a price that's just playable, as she ran a good one from close range in the debut and has room to come forward with that race under her belt. Think she's a handful here.
#8 Blame Day	She's a good fit here after a couple nice efforts to open her career, but the barn is typically a bit overbet in these types of spots. That said, they're on a tear to open the season -- winning 34% and hitting the exacta in 34 of 61 starts.
#2 Lady Dreamer	Most of these have been pretty content to settle a touch off the pace so far, and she might try to have a go of it from the inside with enough pace to maybe find the front.
Race Summary	Charriere tracked and stayed on at one pace late in her debut run, but she should be in line for another good trip near the splits, and any move forward off that run should make her very tough. I'll single here.

Fair Grounds - Race #8

#8 Aboukir Bay	Late runner should offer a decent price on the rise, and this barn has been going well with all kinds right now -- debuters, long layoff types, etc -- so I wouldn't be shocked to see her run a peak race here.
#7 Oeuvre	She has landed seven of her last eight, and she's a really logical player at another modest price this time around. Wonder if she's just the slightest touch better on the main right now?
#3 Astute	She has a pretty high ceiling, having already turned in a couple big tries in a four-race career that has seen her suffer her only career loss in Grade I company. She debuted going short on the turf, so the cutback to this trip isn't much of a concern. Probably an underlay?
Race Summary	Aboukir Bay has to prove herself on class here in a big way, but she's better than ever right now after landing a Keeneland allowance right back off her maiden win. Let's see if she can swing out late and outfinish these.

Fair Grounds - Race #9

#2 G's Million	His debut produced a rare maiden misfire for this barn when stopping badly, but I think he's capable of something better and should offer an appealing price to find out.
#6 Boss' Dialin In	He has run into a handful of decent winners throughout his career, but I'm not sure he has a whole lot of upside right now and could be vulnerable to finding another one or two who are a bit too good today.
#1 Cloud Without Rein	He kind of has to try to go from the fence again like he did last time out, but there isn't a ton of serious speed signed on in here, so I suppose he has a chance to pop this group on the front end in his 11th career start.
Race Summary	G's Million has a long way to come if he's going to land this one, but I think he's probably got something better up his sleeve in this second lifetime start. Price should be right.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kristpicks

aqueduct racetrack - saturday, january 14, 2023 // post time - 12:20 p.m. Est


- daily selections for january 14 -

race 1: 4 - follow the fed 7-2
3 - never personal 5-2
6 - caribbean breeze 6-5

race 2: 2 - mullingar 3-1
1 - outlaw country 5-1
5 - playingwithmatches 2-1

race 3: 2 - major spin 5-2
7 - awesome native 6-5
5 - dangerous edge 9-2

race 4: 6 - jade's dream 7-2
7 - jay'stalker 5-2
4 - dontbelate 3-1

race 5: 5 - venge 5-2
2 - power in numbers 8-5
1 - ride up 8-1

race 6: 2 - sperss 15-1 - longshot
8 - debbie darling 9-2
5 - downtown mischief 6-1

race 7: 2 - blinding light 5-2 - best bet
8 - lord gatling 8-1
7 - jake rocks 3-1

race 8: 2 - occult 7-5
3 - affirmative lady 9-5
1 - gambling girl 3-1

race 9: 5 - patient capital 5-2
2 - complete agenda 8-1
9 - prince of pharoahs 10-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Delta Downs - Race #4

#8 BAYOU BEAUX (7-2)	Led between calls, just missed, draws favorable post, good value play.
#7 JUSTIN SPEIGHT (5-2)	Good first gear, gets class relief, strictly the one to beat.
#4 FULL POWER (8-1)	Steady check-getter is 10/2-2-3 at Delta, mostly at 5F.
Race Summary	BAYOU BEAUX bid 3-wide on the turn to a brief lead and got caught by a deep closer near the wire in the same spot. He was ‘fractious’ in his prior start and chased $111k earner Lucky Promise. He draws a favorable post to strike from just off the pace. Bet to win and place.

Delta Downs - Race #7

#3 GIMME CANDY (3-1)	Reversed form, beat weak field at Churchill, but win here in 2022 encouraging.
#5 CYBER SNEAKER (6-1)	Four wins tops in field, just missed in three-peat attempt on class hike.
#9 BROKEN PROPOSAL (6-1)	Canada shipper arrives in good form, winning pair of routes recently.
Race Summary	GIMME CANDY showed improved speed and stamina in an upset victory at Churchill Downs, but she also has a winning rally at Delta Downs to summon for her prior win a year ago. She resumes her light schedule after a pair of workouts out of town. Play a 3-5-9 exacta box.

Delta Downs - Race #8

#3 BUILDING HOME (7-2)	Good speed, good record, sheds 8 pounds at unproven distance.
#1-1A ENTRY (5-2)	A Wish for Madelyn needs alert start, Rebecca G needs to improve off claim.
#4 MEAN AMERICAN (9-2)	Piles up the checks but remains winless at Delta in 12 starts.
Race Summary	BUILDING HOME pressed the pace to the eighth pole before tiring, but she knows how to win and could take some catching if she can get the added distance. She gets in as the co-light weight with a new jockey. Bet to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

PURCHASE

Louisiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Maiden • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 82 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 3:11P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RAISE ANOTHER PINT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MY CORONA BLUES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BLUE ZOOM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6	RAISE ANOTHER PINT	7/2	7/2
4	MY CORONA BLUES	2/1	4/1
5	BLUE ZOOM	5/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	ENERGY PAINT	2	12/1	Slow	0	0	7.1	0.0	0.0
3	TM SHINING EAGLE	3	12/1	Slow	0	0	8.0	0.0	0.0
4	MY CORONA BLUES	4	2/1	Average	81	74	5.0	0.0	0.0
5	BLUE ZOOM	5	5/2	Average	75	62	5.4	0.0	0.0
6	RAISE ANOTHER PINT	6	7/2	Average	89	72	4.7	0.0	0.0
7	MIXED BLOOD	7	6/1	Slow	69	64	6.4	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: INDESTRUCTABLE (6/1) [Jockey: Segura Cesar - Trainer: Martinez Guillermo].

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