Saturday 9/24/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 07:17 AM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, SEPTEMBER 24, 2022
9/24 12:30 PM PT / 3:30 PM ET

CF (347) FLORIDA VS (348) TENNESSEE

Take: (347) FLORIDA +10.5

Reason: SEC action here on Saturday has No 20 Florida taking on No 11 Tennessee from Knoxville. Florida has started the season 2-1 while Tennessee is a perfect 3-0. The Gators one loss coming at the hands of SEC opponent Kentucky, 16-26. The Gators then just defeated a tough South Florida team, 31-28. The Gators will rely on a great rushing attack here Saturday. So far they have more than 200 yards rushing in two of their three games and are second in the SEC. Tennessee has the overall 3rd ranked offense in the FBS football. That means Florida will needs its ground game to keep the ball out of the Vols hands. While Florida has dominated this series, they will need to control the ball on Saturday if they hope to win. If they can effectively rush the ball, then they have a good chance to upset Tennessee. Your free play is on Florida.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 07:18 AM

Saturday’s games

National League
Atlanta (93-58) @ Philadelphia (83-67)
— Wright is 6-0, 3.05 in his last seven starts.
— Braves are 17-2 in his last 19 starts
— under 14-7 last 21
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 20-5-3
— He is 1-3, 3.95 in five games (4 starts) vs Philadelphia.

— Braves are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Atlanta is 41-32 on road.
— under 10-3 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-151
— record in first 5 innings: 83-50-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

— Falter is 5-0, 2.38 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 10-3 in his starts.
— under 10-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He is 0-0, 1.93 in one start vs Atlanta.

— Phillies won their last three games.
— Philly is 47-32 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 38-150
— record in first 5 innings: 62-63-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-3

Chicago (66-85) @ Pittsburgh (55-96)
— Miley is 0-1, 3.75 in three starts this month.
— Chicago is 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-4
— He is 5-4, 3.32 in 14 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Cubs are 35-41 on road.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-151
— record in first 5 innings: 61-66-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-5

— Oviedo is 1-1, 3.39 in four starts (13.2 IP).
— Pittsburgh is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 0-2, 4.91 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 28-45 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine
— scored run in first inning: 27-151
— record in first 5 innings: 47-77-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

Milwaukee (81-70) @ Cincinnati (59-92)
— Burnes is 0-2, 5.68 on his last two starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-6 in his last 18 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6
— He is 1-1, 2.48 in 13 games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers are 10-5 in last 15 games.
— Milwaukee is 39-40 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 49-151
— record in first 5 innings: 66-56-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-6.1

— Ashcroft is 0-1, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— His last start was August 19.
— Cincinnati is 10-6 in his starts.
— under 8-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts vs Milwaukee TY.

— Reds are 8-15 in last 23 games.
— Cincinnati is 30-46 at home.
— under 10-3-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-151
— record in first 5 innings: 50-77-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-4.1

Washington (52-98) @ Miami (62-89)
— Fedde is 1-1, 5.27 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— under 3-1 last four road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-2
— He is 0-1, 4.30 in three starts vs Miami TY.

— Washington is 4-11 in its last 15 games.
— Nationals are 28-48 on road.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-150
— record in first 5 innings: 39-89-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2

— Alcantara is 3-1, 0.84 in his last four home starts.
— Miami is 18-12 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-11
— He is 3-0, 0.84 in four starts vs Washington TY.

— Miami is 21-50 in its last 71 games.
— Marlins are 31-45 at home.
— over 8-5-2 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-150
— record in first 5 innings: 55-66-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-x-3

San Diego (83-68) @ Colorado (65-86)
— Darvish is 5-0, 1.59 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 21-3-4
— He is 2-4, 5.64 in ten starts vs Colorado.

— Padres won five of last seven games.
— San Diego is 43-36 on road.
— under 8-2 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-151
— record in first 5 innings: 69-52-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5.2

— Kuhl is 0-2, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 11-25
— record in first 5 innings: 5-14-6
— He is 0-2, 11.19 in three starts vs San Diego TY.

— Colorado is 8-7 in its last 15 games.
— Rockies are 41-38 at home.
— under 18-7-1 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-148
— record in first 5 innings: 41-82-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-5

San Francisco (74-77) @ Arizona (70-81)
— Cobb is 2-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.
— San Francisco is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— under 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-25
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-9
— He is 1-1, 4.00 in three starts vs Arizona TY.

— Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— San Francisco is 35-41 on road.
— under 13-3 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-151
— record in first 5 innings: 59-65-27
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-8-4.1

— Kelly is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 3-7 in his last ten starts.
— under 9-4 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-6
— He is 2-0, 1.26 in four starts vs San Francisco TY.

— Diamondbacks are 5-13 in last 18 games.
— Arizona is 39-40 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13
— scored run in first inning: 42-152
— record in first 5 innings: 65-51-36
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-4.1

St Louis (89-63) @ Los Angeles (104-47)
— Montgomery is 0-2, 5.29 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 7-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Cardinals lost three of last five games.
— St Louis is 38-36 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 48-152
— record in first 5 innings: 66-60-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3

— Kershaw is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 7-2 in his last nine starts
— under 5-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-3-4
— He is 8-5, 2.97 in 18 starts vs St Louis.

— Dodgers are 14-6 in last 20 games.
— Los Angeles is 52-21 at home.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 50-151
— record in first 5 innings: 86-34-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-5.1

American League
Boston (72-78) @ Bronx (92-58)
— Pivetta is 1-1, 2.35 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 3-7 in his last ten starts.
— over 13-3-1 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-5
— He is 0-2, 9.64 in four starts vs New York TY.

— Red Sox are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Boston is 35-41 on road.
— over 3-1-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-150
— record in first 5 innings: 60-60-30
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— German is 1-1, 2.60 in his last five starts.
— New York is 5-6 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-1
— He is 2-2, 3.72 in nine starts vs Boston.

— New York is 13-4 in its last 17 games.
— New York is 54-22 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 50-150
— record in first 5 innings: 74-47-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3

Houston (99-53) @ Baltimore (79-71)
— Valdez is 7-1, 2.20 in his last eight starts.
— Astros are 11-4 in his last 15 starts.
— under 3-1-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 16-7-6
— He is 0-0, 1.93 in two games (1 start) vs Baltimore.

— Astros got shut out the last two games.
— Houston is 50-29 on road.
— under 19-7-3 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 54-152
— record in first 5 innings: 91-39-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-2.2

— Orioles haven’t named a starter yet.

— Orioles won their last three games.
— Baltimore is 44-32 at home.
— under 24-12-1 last 37 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-150
— record in first 5 innings: 58-70-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0-0.1-0

Toronto (84-67) @ Tampa Bay (84-67)
— Manoah is 2-0, 1.27 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 6-9 in his last 15 starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 14-9-2
— He is 0-1, 3.55 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Blue Jays are 16-9 in their last 25 games.
— Toronto is 41-35 on road.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 48-150
— record in first 5 innings: 60-57-35
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-6-4

— Rasmussen is 0-2, 7.20 in his last two starts.
— Rays are 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— under 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-26
— record in first 5 innings: 17-7-2
— He is 1-2, 2.51 in six starts vs Toronto

— Tampa Bay is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— Rays are 51-28 at home.
— under 12-8-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-151
— record in first 5 innings: 72-54-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-8-4

Cleveland (84-67) @ Texas (65-85)
— Quantrill is 4-0, 3.24 in his last six starts.
— Guardians are 13-1 in his last 14 starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-5
— He is 1-0, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs Texas.

— Guardians are 16-3 in their last 19 games.
— Cleveland is 44-35 on road.
— under 27-15-2 last 44 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-151
— record in first 5 innings: 63-60-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-1.1-4

— Otto is 0-1, 5.79 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Rangers lost 16 of last 23 games.
— Texas is 32-43 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 42-150
— record in first 5 innings: 54-67-29
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

LA Angels (66-85) @ Minnesota (73-78)
— Detmers is 1-1, 5.28 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-12 in his last 17 starts.
— over 5-1 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-6
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in one start vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Angels are 32-44 on road.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 44-151
— record in first 5 innings: 69-59-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Ryan is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14.2 IP) .
— Twins are 15-10 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Minnesota is 4-11 in its last 15 games.
— Twins are 43-33 at home.
— under 9-3-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 47-151
— record in first 5 innings: 74-56-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.1

Detroit (58-92) @ White Sox (76-75)
— Hutchison is 0-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 6-10 in his starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— He is 0-2, 6.14 in three starts vs Chicago TY.

— Tigers are 8-14 in their last 22 games.
— Detroit is 27-47 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-150
— record in first 5 innings: 50-80-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-3

— Martin is 1-4, 4.65 in six starts.
— White Sox are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 1-0, 0.79 in two games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— White Sox lost their last four games.
— Chicago is 35-41 at home.
— over 9-2 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 38-151
— record in first 5 innings: 60-74-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

Seattle (82-68) @ Kansas City (62-89)
— Gilbert is 3-1, 0.78 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 4-1 in his last five starts
— under 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 16-11-3
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— Mariners are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Seattle is 43-36 on road.
— under 19-8-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-150
— record in first 5 innings: 63-65-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.2-3

— Bubic is 0-7, 11.03 in his last seven starts.
— Royals are 3-13 in his last 16 starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-6
— He is 1-0, 7.82 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Kansas City is 5-1 in its last six games.
— Royals are 38-41 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 40-151
— record in first 5 innings: 57-72-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2

Interleague games
NY Mets (96-56) @ A’s (55-96)
— deGrom is 3-1, 2.32 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 6-3 in his starts
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
— He is 0-0, 1.50 in one start vs Oakland.

— Mets won seven of last eight games.
— Mets are 46-30 on road.
— over 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 51-152
— record in first 5 innings: 82-42-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-1

— Waldichuk is 0-2, 7.13 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

— A’s are 10-19 in last 29 games.
— Oakland is 25-50 at home.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-151
— record in first 5 innings: 49-76-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-4.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:26 AM

Race of the Week: PA Derby at Parx | Saturday, September 24, 2022

by Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Pennsylvania Derby Day at Parx boasts some of the best 3-year-olds in America, as well as Kentucky Oaks heroine Secret Oath in the Grade 1 Cotillion as the supporting feature.

Field Depth:
Undeniably Grade 1 caliber given we have the winners of the Haskell (CYBERKNIFE), Florida Derby (WHITE ABARRIO), Santa Anita Derby (Taiba) and Blue Grass (ZANDON). Add in a Grade 2 Fountain of Youth winner (SIMPLIFICATION) as well as a Belmont Stakes-placed performer (SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING). There's a logjam at the of this hierarchy, and a race not likely won on the class rise.

Pace:
B DAWK has raced around 1 turn in 7 of 8 starts and has some sprinter's speed. WE THE PEOPLE has made the lead in 3 straight routes. They are the principal speed in a race without a ton of pace. Except horses near the front to be advantaged.

Our Eyes:
CYBERKNIFE has been one of the nation's leading post-Triple Crown sophomores. Stakes wins at Churchill and Monmouth set him up for a sharp second in the Travers Stakes to divisional leader Epicenter. He probably sits a dream trip here in third or fourth early and a continuance of his current form makes him clearly the horse to beat. TAIBA took him to the wire in the Haskell in a narrow defeat and looms the obvious co-favorite. The lightly raced colt by Gun Runner didn't always impress in the morning in his spring sessions, but appears to have turned a corner this summer at Del Mar.

ZANDON and TAWNY PORT won Keeneland's big sophomore stakes this spring and have held form throughout summer. ZANDON tends to flatten late in his races and given this pace scenario, it's plausible he makes a threatening run but doesn't punch past. But respect him. TAWNY PORT could have been an odds-on favorite in Sunday's Oklahoma Derby, a race Brad Cox has won 3 times. I like that he sends this one to the richer PA Derby in support of stablemate CYBERKNIFE, a showing of confidence in TAWNY PORT.

Floridians SIMPLIFICATION, WHITE ABARRIO and SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING have been at it literally since the first of the year. Among those, 'SKIPPY seems to be the one with the most left in the tank heading into the PA Derby. He's slightly more tactical with his early speed, too, which should tilt in his favor Saturday.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
CYBERKNIFE should get a great trip and has held impeccable company lines.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING has continued to progress and should be overlooked in this rise in class.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$100 win CYBERKNIFE.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:27 AM

Saturday’s Horse Racing Tips: Haydock, Newmarket, September 24th
Stephen Harris Horse Racing Expert

Today’s Racing Tips – September 24h

There are six races covered live on ITV on Saturday, with the best of the action from Newmarket and Haydock providing an excellent balance of Group races and top class handicaps. The big betting race of the afternoon is sure to be the bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap from HQ at 3.40pm, with a maximum field size assured for the hefty prize money on offer. Group race fans and have top quality sprints to study, with the fillies to the fore in the Chieveley Park Stakes at 2.25pm and the colts on show in the Middle Park at 3.00pm.

Today’s Daily Nap

Persian Force

Newmarket 3:00 (UK time)

Richard Hannon’s 2-y-o has run with credit on all six career starts this summer, losing no caste at all in defeat when touched off by Blackbeard in Group 1 company at Deauville in August. He impressed on the July course on quick ground in the summer over this trip, and a positive ride from the stalls by Rossa Ryan could make him very hard to pass.

Odds: NA
Today’s Value Angle

Savvy Victory

Newmarket 3:40 (UK time)

The booking of Ryan Moore catches the eye on Sean Woods tough and reliable handicapper, and he impressed in coming from last to first at Goodwood last time out under a confident ride. A slightly higher mark now makes life tougher, but the strong gallop in this big field contest should set things up nicely for a late charge and he could still be progressing after just 9 career runs on the turf so far.

Odds: NA

Odds are best odds available as at 9am September 24th 2022. Odds may now differ.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:27 AM

Rosehill full racing tips & best bets | Saturday, September 24
September 22, 2022 3:24 pm.
James Herbert

What Golden Rose Stakes Day 2022
Where Rosehill Gardens Racecourse – James Ruse Dr, Rosehill NSW 2142
When Saturday, September 24, 2022
First Race 11:55am AEST
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

Rosehill Gardens is the destination for metropolitan racing in Sydney this weekend with a massive 10-race program headlined by the Group 1 Golden Rose Stakes (1400m). With plenty of other black-type events on the card, the meeting is sure to provide plenty of value throughout the day. The track has come up a Soft 5 for racing with the rail in the true position, but considering the rain forecast for Sydney, we expect to be racing on a Soft 6 or 7 come race one. The first of 10 races is set to jump at 11:55am AEST.

Keep reading for our free race-by-race preview and quaddie selections
Race 1: Highway Class 2 Handicap (1500m)

A massive field of 20 is set to line up in the Highway Class 2 to kick off proceedings at Rosehill and despite finishing out of the placings at Warwick Farm last time out, we are siding with Antonio Giovanni from the Brett Thompson yard. The four-year-old made up a fair bit of ground from the rear of the field last time out and did enough to suggest he would be hard to beat when he drops back in grade. Two starts back, he managed to get the better of Syrian Star at Dubbo who he meets again on Saturday, with that runner set to go around as favourite. We are getting almost three times the price for Antonio and from barrier one, Jason Collett will be able to stalk the speed throughout and when the run comes in the home straight, we expect he will be too tough to hold out.

Selections:

silks2
ANTONIO GIOVANNI

Unibet
silks19
SYRIAN STAR

Palmerbet
silks10
REBEL’S EDGE

Betfair
silks8
MR EIGHTY EIGHT

Neds

Race 2: Midway BM72 Handicap (1300m)

Having strung together four consecutive wins, the Kristen Buchanan-trained Oakfield Duke get his chance in town and Saturday and looks a great bet. Considering all four of his wins have come on soft ground, with the expected rain around, we have no doubt this son of Into Mischief will handle the conditions in front of him in this. Aaron Bullock has been aboard at his four previous runs and sticks on board on Saturday which is a massive bonus. From barrier 11, he will need an ounce of luck early so he does not get trapped wide, but if Oakfield Duke can find cover midfield, he has the turn of foot and winning confidence on his side that makes him hard to beat in the Midway.

Selections:

silks2
OAKFIELD DUKE

Ladbrokes
silks15
KOTE

Bet365
silks9
ADIOS STEVE

PlayUp
silks16
COOL LAD

Palmerbet

Race 3: BM88 Handicap (1900m)

Having won two of his previous four starts, the Chris Waller-trained Wicklow comes to the Rosehill 1900m looking to turn the tables on topweight Kiss The Bride. This four-year-old gelding was seemingly a good thing beaten on September 3 over the mile when struggling to find clear air until well inside the final furlong and considering he was only beaten under a half-length when finishing fourth suggested he was one to follow wherever he went next. This will be his first go at 1900m, but considering he won at the Rosehill 1800m two starts back, it should be no issue for this Twilight Son gelding. From barrier two, James McDonald will be able to have him settled on the rail throughout and if they are afforded even luck this time around, Wicklow looks to be one of the better bets of the day.

Selections:

silks6
WICKLOW

Unibet
silks11
HAMERON

Palmerbet
silks2
ALCYONE

Betfair
silks7
CABOCHE

Neds

Next Best

Race 3 – Silk #6 Wicklow (2)

4yo Gelding | T: Chris Waller | J: James McDonald (58kg)

$3.50 with Ladbrokes
Race 4: Colin Stephen Quality (2400m)

The Group 3 Colin Stephen Quality is the first of the black-type races on Saturday afternoon and we expect the Chris Waller-trained Mohican Heights will break a long run of outs. Having not won in close to 18-months, the five-year-old gelding put the writing on the wall at Flemington last time out when finishing second behind High Emocean over 2500m. He managed to hit the front inside the final 300m, but considering he was left in front a long way from home, he was always going to be vulnerable late. From barrier three on Saturday, look for William Pike to have him camped just off the speed set by the likes of Cadre Du Noir, Herman Hesse and Fun Fact. If Pikey can have him bottled up for as long as possible, Mohican Heights has the ability to sprint past those leaders and bring up a deserved victory.

Selections:

silks4
MOHICAN HEIGHTS

Ladbrokes
silks1
CADRE DU NOIR

Bet365
silks5
HERMAN HESSE

PlayUp
silks6
RAGING BULL

Palmerbet

Race 5: BM88 Handicap (1400m)

With two wins from three third-up runs, we anticipate the Gary Portelli-trained Arctic Thunder will build on that already impressive record this weekend. The five-year-old mare was beaten just under two-lengths in a BM100 on August 27 by Old Flame and looks set to appreciate the drop back to BM88 company on the weekend. Her early speed from the barriers is almost certain to negate the wide draw (barrier 10) and if Jason Collett can have Arctic Thunder settled outside the leader of the 1400m, we expect the Headwater mare will be too hard to gun down inside the final furlong.

Selections:

silks8
ARCTIC THUNDER

Unibet
silks14
ITA

Palmerbet
silks15
NARRATED

Betfair
silks16
FINEPOINT

Neds

Race 6: Heritage Stakes (1100m)

Kacy Fogden opted to scratch her three-year-old colt Best Of Bordeaux in the Golden Rose, instead opting to line him up in the Heritage Stakes. The Snitzel colt led the field up in the Group 2 Run To The Rose and was only bettered by Golden Rose favourite In Secret when going down by 1.75 lengths. He is already placed at Group 1 level and has a win at Group 2 and Group 3 in his short five-start career and if he is anywhere near his best on Saturday, he simply blows this lot away. From barrier five, James McDonald will look to run his rivals off their feet and with an uncontested lead expected, Best Of Bordeaux should be leading from barrier to box in the Heritage Stakes. Moral.

Selections:

silks1
BEST OF BORDEAUX

Ladbrokes
silks3
SEMILLION

Bet365
silks9
OPAL RIDGE

PlayUp
silks5
ECONOMICS

Palmerbet

Best Bet

Race 6 – Silk #1 Best Of Bordeaux (5)

3yo Colt | T: Kacy Fogden | J: James McDonald (59kg)

$2.40 with Palmerbet
Race 7: Golden Pendant (1400m)

The Group 2 Golden Pendant for fillies and mares over 1400m looks to be an open affair on paper and as long as she can handle the soft going, we anticipate Jamaea to peak third-up from a spell. The four-year-old mare was the eyecatcher late on in the Theo Marks Stakes, when leaping out of the ground late to finish fourth beaten just over a half-length. The Headwater mare has only been placed once on soft going in her career, but ideally that came when first-up over 1100m in the Toy Show Quality on August 20. She produced the race best last 600m split on that occasion and if she replicates a similar performance to that over seven furlongs, Jamaea looks to be a great value play in the Golden Pendant with $11 being offered with some online betting sites.

Selections:

silks3
JAMAEA

Unibet
silks8
ESPIONA

Palmerbet
silks2
STARTANTES

Betfair
silks1
NIMALEE

Neds

Best Value

Race 7 – Silk #3 Jamaea (5)

4yo Mare | T: Robert & Luke Price | J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg)

$11 with Ladbrokes
Race 8: Golden Rose Stakes (1400m)

The Golden Rose Stakes at Group 1 level is the featured event on Saturday at Rosehill and has attracted a strong field of 16 three-year olds. Godolphin seemingly have a strong hand heading into the race with In Secret ($2.80) and Golden Mile ($6) the key players with online Bookmakers. Outside of the favourites there looks to be plenty of value around for some genuine stars of this three-year-old crop.

Click here for our full preview and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Golden Rose Stakes
Race 9: Shannon Stakes (1500m)

Having returned in impressive fashion in BM100 company, the Peter & Paul Snowden-trained Old Flame looks the one to side with in the Shannon Stakes. The four-year-old was forced to sustain a long run from the 600m over the Rosehill 1400m but did so impressively when holding off the likes of Purple Sector and Aleas. With a bit of luck that hasn’t taken too much out of the son of Invincible Spirit, because despite this being a Group 2 event, it doesn’t look to be too much harder than what he accounted for last time out. From barrier seven, if Tommy Berry can have him settled with cover in the moving line, Old Flame is armed with a decent enough turn of foot to finish over the top of some potentially vulnerable leaders. He is yet to miss the top three from three runs on soft going, which includes two wins and with a win and minor placing from two second-up runs, all things point towards another win for Old Flame.

Selections:

silks11
OLD FLAME

Unibet
silks2
ELLSBERG

Palmerbet
silks10
SURF DANCER

Betfair
silks7
RUSTIC STEEL

Neds

Race 10: BM78 Handicap (1100m)

Fire from the Team Hawkes barn looked to have the race shot to pieces when he lined up at this track and trip last time out when looming up inside the final furlong, before ultimately peaking on his run. The four-year-old gelding had put together consecutive wins at Sandown before finishing a half-length off Chain Of Lightning at Flemington to begin his campaign, so we expect it was just a case of him needing the run in Sydney last time out. With plenty of early speed drawn to his outside, Tommy Berry should gain a nice cart across the field from barrier 10 and as long as he does not get trapped wide, Fire has plenty of ability and looks the best way home in the last.

Selections:

silks4
FIRE

Ladbrokes
silks5
STARMAN

Bet365
silks8
KIPSBAY

PlayUp
silks13
FOX FIGHTER

Palmerbet

Rosehill quaddie tips for Golden Rose Stakes Day 2022
Rosehill quadrella selections

Saturday, September 24, 2022

1-2-3-8
3-7-14-15-16
2-11
4-5-8

Investment: $120 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:27 AM

Mornington racing preview, best bets & quaddie | September 24
September 22, 2022 5:18 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Mornington Races
Where Mornington Racecourse – 320 Racecourse Rd, Mornington VIC 3931
When Saturday, September 24, 2022
First Race 12:10pm AEST
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

The traditional Victorian metropolitan raceday on AFL Grand Final weekend at Mornington Racecourse will feature a competitive eight-race program this Saturday. The feature event on the card will be the $175,000 Ansett Classic over 2400m, which sets up as a great lead-up for many Cups contenders in the spring. The track is currently rated as a Soft 7, and with rain around in Victoria we doubt there will be any upgrade, while the rail returns to the true position. The first race is set to jump at 12:10pm AEST.
Ansett Classic Top Tip – Impulsar

In the feature event on the card we will be siding with the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained Impulsar, who will be looking to bounce back after showing nothing in the straight last start at Rosehill over 2400m. This five-year-old gelding will take up the lead or sit just behind it, which is normally the place to be at Mornington with a short home straight. This son of Frankel has won four of his first seven starts at the races, with three of those four wins coming from races over 2000m. If Ethan Brown can have this guy on pace and in a rhythm, he will once again prove that he is very hard to get past in the concluding stages.
Best Bet

Race 7 – Silk #8 Impulsar (9)

5yo Gelding | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Ethan Brown (54kg)

$4.20 with Unibet
Best Bet at Mornington – Tobaysure

Our best bet on the program will be in race five where the Phillip Stokes-trained Tobaysure is the early market favourite with online Bookmakers. This four-year-old gelding has only missed the placings once in six career starts for two wins, with both of those coming at Pakenham in March this year. After running in a very good form race first-up and finishing third behind Sandy Prince on September 7, this son of Cable Bay will be much improved second-up in what looks to be an easier race on paper. The only worry for Zac Spain is that he has drawn barrier 12 of 12, but if he can overcome the barrier and get a cosy run in transit, this guy will be winning.
Best Bet

Race 5 – Silk #6 Tobaysure (12)

4yo Gelding | T: Phillip Stokes | J: Zac Spain (59kg)

$3 with Unibet
Next Best at Mornington – King’s Charisma

In the other staying race on the program, King’s Charisma is another we will be siding with in a competitive race over 2000m. The Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained gelding was freshened for a month before returning at Warracknabeal on August 27 to run second over 2000m. After getting a tough run under his belt last start and now dropping back from a Benchmark 78 to a Benchmark 70, this son of Teofilo will be aided by Matthew Cartwright’s 1.5kg claim. With a good getaway from barrier five, we should see this guy sitting just off the pace and hitting the front at the top of the straight before running away with the prize.
Next Best

Race 3- Silk #1 King’s Charisma (5)

6yo Gelding | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Matthew Cartwright (a1.5) (60kg)

$4 with Palmerbet
Best Value at Mornington – London Point

The Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained London Point will be having her first start in Australia for the Victorian premier trainers. After winning both of her career starts to date in New Zealand over 1200m, this first-up run at the exact same distance should mean this four-year-old mare will be primed to continue on her winning ways. This daughter of Pins has shown a great turn of foot and will to win at her first two starts, so hopefully with the intelligence of Maher and Eustace, she should only be improved since arriving to Victoria. Matthew Cartwright will take the steer from barrier 12 and will look to find a spot midfield in the running line, where she will hopefully show that turn of foot and be too strong late.
Best Value

Race 6 – Silk #5 London Point (12)

4yo Mare | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Matthew Cartwright (a1.5) (57kg)

$10 with Neds
Saturday quaddie tips for Mornington
Mornington quadrella selections

Saturday, September 24, 2022

2-4-6
3-5-7-8
4-6-7-8-9
2-4-10-13-18

Investment: $360 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:28 AM

Toowoomba racing tips, best odds & quaddie | Saturday 24/9/2022
September 22, 2022 5:30 pm.
Ciaran Jackman

What Weetwood Day
Where Toowoomba Racecourse – Hursley Rd, Toowoomba City QLD 4350
When Saturday, September 24, 2022
First Race 1:13pm AEST
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

The solitary Queensland metropolitan meeting for this Saturday will be at Toowoomba Racecourse with the annual Weetwood Handicap raceday. The Weetwood over 1200m for the sprinters will be the highlight event on the card, along with the Toowoomba Cup over 2000m for the stayers. This very competitive nine-race card features some big fields where we hope to find some value for punters. The track is currently rated a Soft 5 with no rain expected on raceday with potential for an upgrade, while the rail will be back in the true for the entire course. Weetwood Day is set to get underway at 1:13pm AEST.
Weetwood Handicap Best Bet – Mass Destruction

The feature event on the card will be the Weetwood Handicap over 1200m, and the Tony Gollan-trained Mass Destruction looks to be the one to beat after flashing home and just missing over 1100m at Doomben last start. Ben Thompson will stick with this son of Spirit Of Boom after getting so close first-up, and will be looking to go one better with the extra 100m second-up. This guy has drawn the carpark in barrier 17, but due to his get-back-and-run-on racing pattern, this will be more of a positive than a negative. This guy has – without doubt – the best turn of foot in this field, and if he is within three lengths of the leaders at the top of the straight, he will give them wind burn as he flies by them late.
Weetwood Handicap

Race 8 – Silk #12 Mass Destruction (17)

5yo Gelding | T: Tony Gollan | J: Ben Thompson (54kg)

$7 with Palmerbet
Toowoomba Cup Best Bet – Aussie Nugget

The $125,000 Toowoomba Cup will be the only event on the card for the stayers over 2000m. Our tip is the Tony Gollan-trained Aussie Nugget, who was too strong in the concluding stages over 1630m at Doomben last start on September 3. This son of Dansili has recently changed trainers after leaving Anthony & Sam Freedman and heading up to Queensland to now be with Gollan. After only having three starts in Queensland and already chalking up a win, it looks as though Gollan and his team have got this guy back on track. Drawing barrier 11 doesn’t concern us, as this guy loves to get back in his races and run on, so hopefully Ben Thompson can have him in the running line as they round the home bend and set it up for him to prove too strong again.
Toowoomba Cup

Race 7 – Silk #3 Aussie Nugget (11)

7yo Gelding | T: Tony Gollan | J: Ben Thompson (54kg)

$6 with Palmerbet
Best Bet at Toowoomba – Goldeel

Our best bet on the card will come up in race five, where we will be backing Goldeel to record her fifth win at her 10th start. The Tony & Maddysen Sears-trained four-year-old will be looking to add to her already very impressive record after only missing the placings at three of her first nine starts to date. After winning by the barest of margins last start over 1630m at Doomben, she will now drop back slightly to 1625m and look to improve again third-up. This girl will drop from 57kg last start to carry the minimum of 53kg with the aid of Angela Jones’ claim, and if she can sit just behind the speed, she will be very hard to beat again.
Best Bet

Race 5 – Silk #9 Goldeel (7)

4yo Mare | T: Tony & Maddysen Sears | J: Angela Jones (a3) (53kg)

$3.60 with Bet365
Best Value at Toowoomba – Funny Money

The Stuart Kendrick-trained Funny Money has returned from her four-month spell in cracking form, recording a win and a second in her first and second starts back. The four-year-old mare won her first-up run at the Sunshine Coast on August 28, before running second at her most recent start behind Self Indulgent over 1200m at Doomben on September 10. Brodie Loy will take the ride on this daughter of Capitalist in a race that seems to lack speed, so hopefully this girl can fire out of the barriers and be outside the lead or lead them after the first 200m. If she gets it her own way out in front, we expect her to prove very hard to run down at the end of 1000m.
Best Value

Race 2 – Silk #10 Funny Money (7)

4yo Mare | T: Stuart Kendrick | J: Brodie Loy (57kg)

$11 with Ladbrokes
Saturday quaddie tips for Toowoomba
Toowoomba quadrella selections

Saturday, September 24, 2022

3-4-6-11-12
1-2-3-4
2-4-11-12-17
5-6-7-8

Investment: $400 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:33 AM

Morphettville racing tips & quaddie | Saturday, September 24
September 22, 2022 3:13 pm.
James Herbert

What Morphettville Parks Races
Where Morphettville Racecourse – 79 Morphett Rd, Morphettville SA 5043
When Saturday, September 24, 2022
First Race 12:27pm ACST

Visit Ladbrokes

The Parks track at Morphettville is set to play host to an extremely competitive card on Saturday afternoon, and HorseBetting’s South Australian form analyst is confident he can steer you into a couple of winners. With rain earlier in the week in Adelaide, the track has come up as a Soft 6, while the rail is out 9m from the 1000m to the winning post and then out 6m for the remainder. The first of nine races is set to jump at 12:27pm ACST.
Best Bet at Morphettville: I Am Bene

Having won at Caulfield in BM78 grade in convincing fashion two starts back, the Andrew Clarken-trained I Am Bene looks a clear best bet of the day. The four-year-old mare thrashed Attractable who has since come out and won a nice race at Ballarat at its subsequent start franking that Caulfield form. I Am Bene’s last start 10th in the Let’s Elope Stakes was clearly a throw at the stumps where she was simply outclassed, but a drop back into BM82 grade should suit her perfectly. From barrier six, look for Sophie Logan to have the I Am Invincible mare settled in the second half of the field, but when asked for an effort, we expect I Am Bene to give her rivals windburn in the home straight. The $3 on offer with some online betting sites looks an absolute steal.
Best Bet

Race 4 – Silk #5 I Am Bene (6)

4yo Mare | T: Andrew Clarken | J: Sophie Logan (a2) (58kg)

$3 with Unibet
Next Best at Morphettville: Madrean

The Peter Moody-trained Madrean was an impressive maiden winner at Cranbourne on May 13 before heading to the paddock and with natural improvement under her belt looks to be one off the nicer plays on Saturday. She was as green as grass on that night, but still showed she had plenty of upside with the way she settled on speed and kicked clear of her rivals despite doing plenty wrong. From barrier three, Jason Benbow will look to lob her on the leaders’ heels and considering a few of these have had their time, we expect Madrean will get this done on class alone.
Next Best

Race 5 – Silk #12 Madrean (3)

4yo Mare | T: Peter Moody | J: Jason Benbow (55kg)

$3.50 with Neds
Best Value at Morphettville: Sea Witness

The Byron Cozamanis-trained Sea Witness looked to have his last start race shot to pieces on September 10 when kicking clear in the home straight, before being grabbed late over 1000m. Despite his narrow defeat, $16 is on offer with online Bookmakers about this five-year-old gelding and with Lizzie Annells on board claiming 3kg, he should be giving a sight out in front once more. Barrier 16 is a slight concern, but with speed drawn directly underneath him, Sea Witness should lob outside the leader. A repeat effort of his last start second, should see him fight out the finish at any old price.
Best Value

Race 7 – Silk #2 Sea Witness (16)

5yo Gelding | T: Byron Cozamanis | J: Lizzie Annells (a3) (59.5kg)

$16 with Palmerbet
Saturday quaddie tips for Morphettville
Morphettville quadrella selections

Saturday, September 24, 2022

1-4-8-10
2-8-11
1-2-5-8-11
1-2-6-7-10

Investment: $300 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:34 AM

Belmont racing tips, best odds & quaddie | Saturday 24/9/2022
September 22, 2022 3:16 pm.
James Herbert

What Black Heart Bart Stakes Day
Where Belmont Park Racecourse – Saintly Entrance, Burswood WA 6100
When Saturday, September 24, 2022
First Race 12:19pm AWST
Ladbrokes Logo

Visit Ladbrokes

It is Black Heart Bart Stakes Day at Belmont on Saturday afternoon where a nine-race program is scheduled for the metropolitan meeting in Perth. With persistent rain forecast for the area on Saturday, we expect to be racing on at least a Soft 7, with rail coming out 9m for the entire circuit. The first race is set to go at 12:19pm AWST, with the quaddie getting underway at 3:30pm.
Black Heart Bart Stakes Best Bet – It’sarayday

Having had a brief three-month spell, the Simon Miller-trained It’sarayday comes to the Listed Black Heart Bart Stakes looking to make it four wins from as many fresh runs. The four-year-old gelding relishes the Belmont 1200m, having won twice and finish second from four starts at the track and trip. The Winning Rupert gelding has not finished worse than second in four runs on rain-affected going and is set to handle what is in front of him with great aplomb. From barrier four, look for Brad Parnham to have his mount lobbed in the one-one and when asked for an effort, It’sarayday will quicken nicely and should ultimately prove too hard to hold out in Saturday’s feature.
Black Heart Bart Stakes

Race 7 – Silk #5 It’sarayday (4)

4yo Gelding | T: Simon Miller | J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg)

$4 with Palmerbet
Best Bet at Belmont – Western Knight

Formidable pairing Adam Durrant and Clint Johnston-Porter look the ones to side with in the penultimate race of the day when they team up with Western Knight. The four-year-old gelding was desperately unlucky at the Belmont 1400m when held up for a run until it was too late. He managed to find clear air inside the final furlong and did well to beaten just under a long neck. He draws out in barrier seven on Saturday and with the ‘Hyphenator’ sticking on board, the duo will be out for redemption. As long as there is no traffic issues in running, Western Knight looks a class above his rivals and despite being an even-money quote with online Bookmakers, he looks a clear best bet of the day.
Best Bet

Race 8 – Silk #9 Western Knight (7)

4yo Gelding | T: Adam Durrant | J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg)

$2 with Bet365
Best Value at Belmont – Mega Reward

The Ashley Maley-trained Mega Reward is yet to finish outside of the top three in each of his last six starts and in the process has recorded three victories in that time. He looked to have plenty of excuses last time out when travelling wide throughout and to add to that, laid in throughout the concluding stages, thus throwing away any chance of winning. He was beaten under a half-length that day and with better racing manners, this son of Reward for Effort looks to present great value. From barrier five, look for Paul Harvey to have his mount settled outside the leader and with a few of the main market fancies being backmarkers, we are hoping he can pinch a winning break at the top of the straight. The $14 with online betting sites looks to be the wrong price and one we are willing to advantage of.
Best Value

Race 4 – Silk #4 Mega Reward (5)

4yo Gelding | T: Ashley Maley | J: Paul Harvey (57.5kg)

$14 with Ladbrokes
Saturday quaddie tips for Belmont
Belmont quadrella selections

Saturday, September 24, 2022

6-8-9-10
2-3-4-5
9
1-4-7-9-10

Investment: $80 for 100%

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:34 AM

2022 Golden Rose Stakes preview & betting strategy | September 24
September 21, 2022 1:14 pm.
James Herbert

What 2022 Golden Rose Stakes
Where Rosehill Gardens – James Ruse Dr, Rosehill NSW 2142
When Saturday, September 24, 2022 | 4:05pm AEST | Race 8
Prizemoney $1,000,000
Distance 1400m
Status Group 1
Conditions Set Weights | Three-Year-Olds
2021 Winner In The Congo (10) | T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott | J: Tim Clark (56.5kg)

Visit Ladbrokes

The Group 1 Golden Rose Stakes (1400m) is the feature event on Saturday afternoon at Rosehill, where a field of 17 three-year-olds will battle it out for the $1 million on offer.

Having smashed her rivals in the traditional lead-up to the Golden Rose, the Run To The Rose, Godolphin’s In Secret is a dominant $3 favourite with online Bookmakers to claim Group 1 honours. Godolphin head into the race with a strong hand, as last-start Ming Dynasty Quality winner Golden Mile ($5.50) sits on the second line of betting, with last-start McNeil Stakes winner Jacquinot ($7) the only other runner in a single-figure quote.

Their look to be two obvious leaders with Best Of Bordeaux and Zou Tiger to set the speed, while market fancy Jacquinot and Golden Slipper winner Fireburn are expected to be at the rear of the field upon settling.

Continue reading for HorseBetting’s top selections and $100 betting strategy for the 2022 Golden Rose Stakes.

Having smashed subsequent Caulfield Guineas Prelude winner Aft Cabin, Jacquinot looks the one to beat in the 2022 Golden Rose Stakes. The three-year-old colt from the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr yard unleashed a devastating turn of foot at Caulfield when appreciating a strong tempo, and considering he is set to get a similar speed in this event, we expect to see him finish right over the top of his rivals. His sole Sydney run was on a Heavy 9 in a race that was seemingly never going to suit him. Judging on his first-up win in the McNeil Stakes, he has come back better than ever – so despite a predicted Heavy track, we are happy to side with him at the price. His turn of foot is elite, and from barrier five, Damian Lane should be able to lob him just worse than midfield and have him in clear air approaching the home turn.

There is little doubt that In Secret will win a Group 1 sooner rather than later, and that may come on Saturday. The three-year-old filly produced the race best last 600m in her Run To The Rose victory when gaining a perfect run in transit and sprinting clear over 1200m. This will be her first go at 1400m, but she certainly showed no signs of slowing down at her last-start victory. James McDonald jumps back on board, which will give favourite punters plenty of confidence, but from barrier three in a big field, she is sure to need luck at a certain point. If she gets that, she might just put a space on her rivals. She has two wins and a second on rain-affected ground, including a win on a Heavy 8 at Scone during the autumn. If she is anywhere near her best, she is going to take a power of beating.

Stablemate to the favourite Golden Mile is a deserving market fancy based on his last-start win at the track and trip, but he has not seen a Heavy. Fireburn is already a two-time Group 1 winner and has three wins to her name on Heavy ground, while She’s Extreme cannot be ignored. The chances do not end there!
2022 Golden Rose Stakes selections & best bets

Selections:

3
JACQUINOT

bet365
silks16
IN SECRET

unibet
silks14
FIREBURN

Ladbrokes
silks7
GOLDEN MILE

Palmerbet

$100 betting strategy
$100 win Jacquinot (#3) @ $7 with Neds

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:34 AM

Selections for Woodbine Juvenile Stakes on Sept. 24
John Mucciolo

A pair of grassy black-type races for two-year-olds will highlight the Saturday racing at Woodbine. I will be seeking value in each of the juvenile tilts, which appear to be good betting endeavors.
Race 6 – Victoria Queen S.

Eight two-year-old fillies will go about seven furlongs on the green in a difficult handicapping assignment. I will take a shot with #7 Tito’s Calling (8-1) to post an upset at a nice price from off the pace. The Michael De Paulo pupil has flashed some ability from two career tries and will rally into a contested pace while making her second try on the sod. The April foal gets Lasix for the initial time and a rider change to Emma-Jayne Wilson. The Ontario-bred bay will be doing her best work inside the final furlong.
Wager

$15 win/place/show: #7 Tito’s Calling ($45)
Race 8 – Bull Page S.

Six boys will go postward in the seven-furlong test on the lawn. The Gail Cox-trained #1 Silent Fortune (8-1) outran his 18-1 odds on debut when coming home first in a six-furlong dash on the All-Weather, and I expect the gelding to improve with the surface change on Saturday. By Silent Name, the bay hails from an outfit that does good work with juveniles, and the Ontario-bred is cut out to love the grass, too. The $32,000 weanling purchase shows four useful morning drills in anticipation of his stakes debut and will appreciate the added ground with which to work with under Keveh Nicholls.

I will also include #3 Half to Reload (6-1) for the exotics. Second to the top pick at first asking, the gelded son of Reload graduated in style last time out and shows a pair of positive morning drills since that effort. The move to the lawn is a mystery for the youngster, but the April foal is surely worth an investment at a nice number. Sahin Civaci has the assignment.
Wagers

$10 win and place: #1 Silent Fortune ($20)

$5 exacta box: 1 with 3 ($10)

$2 trifecta: 1 with 3 with all ($8)

$2 trifecta: 1 with all with 3 ($8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:35 AM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, September 24

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Saturday's meetings at Newmarket, Chelmsford City, Ripon, Haydock, Chester and Market Rasen.

CHELMSFORD CITY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.03 Palace View

5.35 Happy

6.04 Damascus Finish

6.33 Badri

7.02 Myriad

7.31 Amasova

8.00 Star Of St Louis

8.30 The Game Is On

GIMCRACK

5.03 Almutawakel

5.35 Champagne City

6.04 Glencoe Boy

6.33 Bear Profit

7.02 Myriad

7.31 Thakrah

8.00 Star Of St Louis

8.30 Blairlogie

NEWMARKET

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.50 Flying Honours

2.25 Trillium

3.00 Marshman

3.40 Brilliant Light (nap)

4.15 Mubhijah

4.50 Rose Prick

5.25 Alrehb

GIMCRACK

1.50 Flying Honours

2.25 Meditate (nb)

3.00 Blackbeard (nap)

3.40 Savvy Victory

4.15 Edith Rigby

4.50 Mystic Pearl

5.25 The Attorney

Newmarket – 1.50 Flying Honours (nap); 3.40 Mujtaba (nb).
ADVERTISEMENT

Northerner – 3.00 Marshman (nap)

RIPON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.25 Wade’s Magic

2.00 Spirit Of Applause

2.35 Masterpainter

3.10 Harrogate

3.48 Justanotherbottle

4.23 Chuvelo

4.58 Hexameter

5.33 Gullane One

GIMCRACK

1.25 Hurstwood

2.00 Destined

2.35 Beechwood Mick

3.10 Good Luck Fox

3.48 Air Raid

4.23 Kincade

4.58 Good Show

5.33 Tilly The Filly

Northerner – 3.48 Justanotherbottle (nb)

HAYDOCK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.30 Conservationist

2.05 Montassib

2.40 Alligator Alley

3.15 Hyperfocus

3.50 Onslow Gardens

4.25 Drafted

5.00 Animato

GIMCRACK

1.30 Kristal Klear

2.05 Akhu Najla

2.40 Isle Of Lismore

3.15 Razeyna

3.50 Salt Bay

4.25 Self Praise

5.00 Forgivable

CHESTER

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.40 Prepense

2.15 Cliffcake

2.50 Kyeema

3.25 Call My Bluff

4.00 Arctic Fox

4.35 Silent Monarch

5.10 Metabolt

5.40 Sweet Fantasy

GIMCRACK

1.40 Prepense

2.15 Paws For Thought

2.50 Coco Jack

3.25 Frankenstella

4.00 Mancini

4.35 Dolly Gray

5.10 Metabolt

5.40 Qabilah

MARKET RASEN

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.43 Mullenbeg

2.18 Just Another One

2.53 Red Maple

3.30 De Barley Basket

4.05 Castel Gandolfo (nb)

4.40 Leopolds Rock

5.15 Earth Cry

GIMCRACK

1.43 Autumn Return

2.18 The Churchill Lad

2.53 Red Maple

3.30 Dead Right

4.05 Appreciate

4.40 Chadlington Lad

5.15 St Patricks Bridge

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:35 AM

The Jury: Bets and fades for Sept. 24
TwinSpires Staff

The TwinSpires Jury — Kellie Reilly, Vance Hanson, and Ashley Anderson — this week takes a look at Saturday's Pennsylvania Derby Day card and the "Downs After Dark" program at Churchill Downs for the weekend's best plays.
What is your best bet?

Kellie Reilly: In an open-looking Gallant Bob (G2) at Parx on Saturday, #8 Witty (12-1) makes sense, especially at the price. The half-brother to multiple Grade 3 winner Caravel has never been out of the exacta sprinting, and his only poor efforts have come when trying to route. The last time he was coming off a two-turn flop, Witty outclassed them in the restricted Stanton S. at Delaware, so there's precedent for a swift rebound. If not for a slow start in the Jersey Shore S. two back, he arguably would have finished a nearer second to Gallant Bob morning-line favorite Provocateur. With a better break, and pace on tap, Witty promises to be in gear late.

Vance Hanson: I don't tend to gravitate toward likely favorites in this space, but #2 Home Brew (5-2) still figures to be a bettable price in the Bourbon Trail S. at Churchill Downs on Saturday night. Dry conditions should prevail in Louisville, and Home Brew's only missteps to date have come over sloppy tracks. The most recent case was in the West Virginia Derby (G3) last out, when a slow start compounded the problem. Home Brew will race with blinkers on, which hopefully helps resolve any gate issues, and he looms a threat to build on his very good performance in the Pegasus S. over the summer.

Ashley Anderson: #1 Green Up (6-1) will move up in class to face Kentucky Oaks (G1) hero Secret Oath and seven more talented fillies in the Cotillion (G1) at Parx on Saturday. While bettors are likely to favor #6 Secret Oath (2-1) or #2 Adare Manor (7-2), who's back in the barn of Bob Baffert, Green Up has an excellent chance from the rail post in her second career start at Parx, where the Upstart three-year-old won the Cathryn Sophia S. by 3 3/4 lengths at last asking. The Todd Pletcher pupil is 2-for-2 from today's distance and posted a career-best 104 Brisnet Speed rating last out when running a mile and 70 yards. Irad Ortiz Jr. will retain the mount in the fillly's fifth start this season. She is 4-for-4 thus far in 2022.

Who is the horse to fade?

KR: As much respect as I have for #5 Cyberknife (3-1) in Saturday's Pennsylvania Derby (G1), my instinctive reflex is to be cautious about a horse popping up in a major race that wasn't the plan. Perhaps I'm being too strict in applying a general principle to this particular circumstance, but it does fit the possible scenario of a bridge too far. In the immediate aftermath of his game second in the Travers (G1), the talk was looking ahead to the Breeders' Cup. Trainer Brad Cox's comments following the Penn Derby draw sounded like wanting to take the final opportunity of a Grade 1 in his division. I don't doubt that Cyberknife is giving Cox the right signal to proceed, but too many times, you can't know until the crucible of a race itself. He's been on the go for a long while, and turned in three consecutive new tops (according to Brisnet Speed ratings). Can he muster a fourth, or equal his best, in a very competitive race where he doesn't enter with a decisive edge?

VH: Although she temporarily escapes Nest on Saturday, #6 Secret Oath (2-1) is still facing a competitive field in the Cotillion at Parx. She figures dangerous, especially if she displays that patented turn of foot to reach contention, but the fear is she hasn't built appreciably on her victory in the Kentucky Oaks in May. It's seemingly been a grueling campaign, and at a short price she might be vulnerable facing relatively fresher rivals.

AA: #4 Ninetyprcentmaddie (9-5) in the 6 1/2-furlong Prince Lucky S. at Parx on Saturday will stretch out in distance after winning the 5 1/2-furlong Whistle Pig S. at this track on Aug. 22. While he triumphed by a commanding 3 1/2 lengths and beat a handful of today’s rivals, I like the chances of #6 Gordian Knot (2-1), who romped to a seven-length victory on debut in a $60,000 maiden special weight at Parx and will keep high-percentage jockey Mychel Sanchez in the saddle. #9 In Spades (5-1) also looks like a viable contender for Todd Pletcher after failing as the favorite in the maiden special weight won by Gordian Knot. The War Front grandson has posted a couple of fast workouts in the interim and will get Irad Ortiz Jr. in the irons while breaking from the outside post.

What else is worth noting?

KR: There's a common theme running through Saturday's Cotillion at Parx and the Dogwood (G3) at Churchill Downs later that night: can once-dominant fillies re-impose themselves on improving rivals? The Dogwood marks the return of champion #1 Echo Zulu, who was last seen being a vet scratch going to post for the Acorn (G1). Reverting to seven furlongs in her comeback is the right idea, but has last year's two-year-old filly sensation lost her advantage with the passing of time? Although her Steve Asmussen stablemate, #7 Wicked Halo, is the most accomplished alternative (if both run), I'm intrigued by #4 Tarabi (4-1). The Cherie DeVaux trainee was an understudy to Echo Zulu as a juvenile, but her full brother peaked as an older horse in Japan, and Tarabi could be poised for a breakthrough performance. It's a similar story in the Cotillion, where #6 Secret Oath aims to bounce back from recent losses to Nest and previously to males. Trainer D. Wayne Lukas has said that she's thriving with maturity, and that comports with both sides of her pedigree. Yet Secret Oath hasn't raced with the same swagger as earlier in the season. Now she meets several fillies on the rise, and a potentially revived #2 Adare Manor (7-2).

VH: Having expressed our concerns about Secret Oath above, it's only fair to reveal that the Todd Pletcher-trained duo of #7 Shahama (8-1) and #1 Green Up (6-1), in that order, appeal to us most in the Cotillion. Shahama has shown improved tactical foot since finishing midpack in the Kentucky Oaks behind Secret Oath, and figures to be well-positioned in a race with a lot of speed. Green Up is undefeated in four starts since joining the Pletcher barn, including a tremendous effort in last month's Cathryn Sophia S., a prep over the Parx strip. If she can avoid a bounce off that career-best effort, she also figures to make some noise.

AA: The 20-cent Derby City-6 on Churchill's Saturday card will start in Race 6 with a $120,000 maiden special weight with an overflow field of 14. Among the entrants is #12 Carcano (8-1), a son of current leading first-crop sire Bolt d'Oro, whose progeny have earned $1,248,268 to date. Carcano is out of the stakes-placed Nite in Rome by Harlan's Holiday, who won the 2001 Iroquois (G3) at Churchill, and the two-year-old has recorded several sharp workouts at Keeneland ahead of his debut. Bolt d'Oro's first-time starters are winning at a 23% rate, and Carcano can earn the Medaglia d'Oro son his 17th win from 53 runners.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-24-2022, 10:35 AM

Noel’s Weekend Winners: Exacta Plays for Saturday Stakes
September 23rd, 2022 by Noel Michaels

Saturday, Sept. 24
weekend Television schedule

Friday, Sept. 23: 2-6:30 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Saturday, Sept. 24: 4:40-11:30 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on FanDuel TV

Sunday, Sept. 25: 12:30-2 p.m. on FS1; 4:40-6 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on FanDuel TV

While handicappers far and wide concentrate on this weekend’s headline Grade 1 stakes events at Parx Racing, the Pennsylvania Derby and Cotillion Stakes, I have turned my attention to a pair of money-making opportunities in lower-profile stakes events this weekend, the Grade 3 Athenia Stakes at Belmont at the Big A, and the Grade 2 Gallant Bob Stakes at Parx in the race preceding the big two races.

With any luck, these two races will build some bankroll and allow us to take big swings in the Grade 1 races later in the afternoon. Best of luck this Saturday.

Belmont at the Big A, Race 3, $175,000 Athenia Stakes, post 2:15 p.m. ET

The Athenia, a Grade 3 race for fillies and mares 3 years old and older at 1 1/8 miles on the turf goes as Race 3 on the Belmont at the Big A card on Saturday and has attracted a field of five. Despite the short field, the race offers a wagering opportunity thanks to a vulnerable 6-5 morning line favorite, #5 Kalifornia Queen, who is coming back from an 11-month layoff. Others in the field look better. #3 Love and Thunder, like the favorite trained by leading trainer Chad Brown, comes into the race in good form in all three of her recent starts, including a tough-luck third-place finish last time at Saratoga in the one-mile Fasig-Tipton De La Rose Stakes where her late rally got put on hold when she was buried in traffic through half the stretch run. She’s a value in this spot as the co-second choice on the morning line at 5-2 odds and can beat these with a clean trip under Jose Ortiz. As much value as she offers, the real value in the race lies with the 5-1 fourth choice on the morning line, #2 Evvie Jets. Evvie Jets exits a solid second-place finish in a tough race at Saratoga last time. Evvie Jets owns a win on the Aqueduct turf course and, like Love and Thunder, should benefit from the added distance of today’s race. The combine to offer a chance to get a legitimate payoff in the exacta boxes, even in this short field.

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The Play: Bet #3 Love and Thunder to win and box her in the exactas with #2 Evvie Jets.

Parx Racing, Race 10, $300,000 Gallant Bob Stakes, post time 4:35 p.m. ET

The Gallant Bob is a Grade 3, six-furlong sprint stakes that goes as Race 10 on the Pennsylvania Derby undercard Saturday at Parx. The field is bulging at the seams with 14 horses and is the type of race handicappers can really sink their teeth into to come up with a good payoff. The #3 Provocateur comes into the race off a stakes win at Monmouth in the Jersey Shore Stakes last time out for trainer Todd Pletcher and has Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard for the mount. Earlier this year, he won Gulfstream’s Hutcheson Stakes with Irad aboard and was second by a neck in the $100,000 Gold Fever Stakes at Belmont before bravely battling the lead at seven furlongs in the Grade 1 Woody Stephens Stakes Presented by Mohegan Sun on the Belmont Stakes Presented by NYRA Bets undercard in a race won off by Jack Christopher, who would be a 1-5 favorite against this field. At today’s distance of six furlongs, Provocateur will be tough to beat against this field, especially with the pace versatility of a horse that can go all the way on the lead or rate just off the pace and pounce in the stretch for top connections. Plus, 4-1 odds on the morning line is not too shabby, either. The best exacta partner also offers good value at 6-1 odds and that is #9 Runninsonofagun, who gets Luis Saez aboard for trainer John Toscano. Runninsonofagun won big in a seven-furlong race earlier this year at Parx and has been knocking on the door vs. high-quality competition ever since, including a third in the Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes on the Runhappy Travers Stakes undercard at Saratoga, where he lost only to the likes of Jack Christopher and Gunite, beaten only four lengths when looking good with blinkers on. This is a solid field, but quite simply, Provocateur and Runninsonofagun both seem to outclass the competition.

The Play: Bet #3 Provocateur to win and play an exacta box with him and #9 Runninsonofagun.

Last Week: Noel’s Weekend Winners plays went 2-for-2 with a pair of exactas at Belmont at the Big A, including Race 6 with the Padma/Royal Poppy exacta returning $32, and in Race 10 with the Nations Pride/The Grey Wizard exacta returning $33.40.

Saturday 9/24/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 9/24/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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