Friday 8/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 06:09 AM

Friday’s games

National League
Atlanta (66-46) @ Miami (49-61)
— Odorizzi allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in his first start for Atlanta.
— Atlanta is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6
— He is 3-1, 3.41 in six starts vs Miami.

— Braves are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Atlanta is 29-24 on road.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-112
— record in first 5 innings: 61-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

— Lopez is 1-3, 7.32 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 12-10 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-4
— He is 3-6, 5.70 in 12 starts vs Atlanta.

— Miami is 10-22 in its last 32 games.
— Marlins are 23-28 at home.
— under 10-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-111
— record in first 5 innings: 40-50-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1.1-3.1

San Diego (62-52) @ Washington (37-76)
— Clevinger is 1-2, 3.28 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-4
— He is 0-1, 9.53 in one start vs Washington.

— Padres are 2-5 in last seven games.
— San Diego is 30-27 on road.
— over 11-4-1 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-36-25
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x

— Abbott is 0-1, 7.27 in two starts.
— Nationals are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up 3 runs (1 earned) in 1.1 IP in relief vs San Diego.

— Washington lost 11 of last 14 games.
— Nationals are 17-40 at home.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-113
— record in first 5 innings: 30-71-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.2-x

Philadelphia (62-49) @ NY Mets (73-39)
— Suarez is 2-0, 2.53 in his last four starts.
— Philly is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 12-4 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in 10 games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Phillies are 12-2 in last 14 games.
— Philly is 30-23 on road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— record in first 5 innings: 45-47-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3

— Scherzer is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 11-4 in his starts
— under 6-3-1 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-4
— He is 2-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Philly TY

— Mets are 15-2 in their last 17 games.
— Mets are 38-18 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-112
— record in first 5 innings: 62-28-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-x

Milwaukee (60-50) @ St Louis (61-50)
— Lauer is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-7 in his starts.
— over 9-6-2 last 17
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-6
— He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs St Louis TY.

— Brewers lost six of last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 31-28 on road.
— over 11-6-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 49-39-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Montgomery threw 5 shutout IP in his first start for St Louis.
— St Louis is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 11-4 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-5
— He is 0-0, 4.15 in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals are 8-2 in their last ten games.
— St Louis is 35-20 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 38-111
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-3

Arizona (51-60) @ Colorado (50-64)
— Davies is 0-2, 5.50 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 6-11 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 0-0, 0.00 in two starts (11.1 IP) vs Colorado TY.

— Diamondbacks are 5-2 in last seven games.
— Arizona is 19-31 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 43-40-28
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4

— Senzatela is 0-3, 5.12 in his last six starts.
— Colorado is 3-9 in his last 12 starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-1
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Colorado is 7-15 in its last 22 games.
— Rockies are 32-28 at home.
— over 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-111
— record in first 5 innings: 31-59-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4.2-3

Pittsburgh (45-67) @ San Francisco (54-57)
— Wilson is 1-1, 4.05 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Pirates are 5-5 in their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-38 on road.
— over 9-4-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-53-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-3

— Rodon is 2-0, 0.73 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 10-12 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-2
— He is 2-1, 4.32 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won three of last five games.
— San Francisco is 29-27 at home.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-111
— record in first 5 innings: 44-47-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5.2

American League
Cleveland (58-52) @ Toronto (60-50)
— Quantrill is 4-0, 4.19 in his last six starts.
— Guardians are 7-13 in his starts.
— over 11-1-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-4
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in one start vs Toronto.

— Guardians are 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— Cleveland is 30-30 on road.
— under 4-0-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-44-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-3.2

— Berrios is 3-0, 3.86 in his last seven starts.
— Blue Jays are 10-3 in his last 13 starts
— over 12-5 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-6
— He is 5-4, 4.13 in 16 starts vs Cleveland.

— Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Toronto is 34-21 at home.
— under 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x

Baltimore (58-53) @ Tampa Bay (58-52)
— Voth is 2-0, 3.00 in his last four starts (18 IP).
— Orioles are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles are 23-9 in their last 32 games.
— Baltimore is 25-32 on road.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-111
— record in first 5 innings: 43-52-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-2.1

— Kluber is 4-1, 4.63 in his last six starts.
— Tampa Bay is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1
— He is 1-2, 4.81 in five starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Tampa Bay are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Rays are 33-21 at home.
— under 7-3-2 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-110
— record in first 5 innings: 48-40-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-x

Detroit (43-70) @ White Sox (56-56)
— bullpen game

— Tigers are 7-23 in their last 30 games.
— Detroit is 17-37 on road.
— under 12-1-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-113
— record in first 5 innings: 36-62-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5

— Kopech is 0-2, 5.06 in his last two starts.
— White Sox are 8-12 in his starts.
— under 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
— He is 0-0, 2.89 in two starts vs Detroit TY.

— White Sox are 15-11 in their last 26 games.
— Chicago is 25-29 at home.
— under 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2-2

New York (71-41) @ Boston (55-58)
— German is 1-1, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— New York is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-2, 4.04 in eight starts vs Boston

— New York is 1-7 in its last eight games.
— New York is 30-26 on road.
— over 21-9-1 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-112
— record in first 5 innings: 56-32-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-2

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 8.17 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
— He is 0-0, 5.59 in two starts vs New York TY.

— Red Sox are 2-6 in last eight games.
— Boston is 27-29 at home.
— over 20-13 last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-113
— record in first 5 innings: 43-44-26
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-3.1

Seattle (61-52) @ Texas (49-62)
— Kirby is 1-0, 2.05 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 9-6 in his starts
— under 4-1 last five starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Mariners are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Seattle is 30-26 on road.
— over 4-1-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-49-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-2.2

— Texas hasn’t named a starter.

— Rangers are 13-25 in last 38 games.
— Texas is 23-31 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-111
— record in first 5 innings: 38-49-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.2

A’s (41-71) @ Houston (72-41)
— Oller is 1-5, 9.08 in eight starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his starts
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7
— He is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts vs Houston TY.

— A’s are 2-8 in their last ten games.
— Oakland is 24-33 on road.
— under 32-17-2 last 51 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 36-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-4.2

— Garcia is 0-3, 5.30 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 12-8 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
— He is 1-1, 3.05 in four starts vs Oakland.

— Astros are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Houston is 36-18 at home.
— under 16-10 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-113
— record in first 5 innings: 66-32-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

Minnesota (57-53) @ LA Angels (49-63)
— Mahle gave up four runs in six IP in his first Minnesota start.
— Twins are 1-0 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in one start vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
— Twins are 26-28 on road.
— over 20-8 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-110
— record in first 5 innings: 56-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

— Sandoval is 0-1, 1.59 in his last two starts.
— Angels are 2-9 in his last 11 starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-0, 1.04 in one start vs Minnesota.

— Angels are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Angels are 24-32 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-112
— record in first 5 innings: 52-44-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5

Interleague games
Los Angeles (77-33) @ Kansas City (47-66)
— Gonsolin is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 16-4 in his starts
— under 8-3-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 14-2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Dodgers are 38-9 in their last 47 games.
— Los Angeles is 37-18 on road.
— over 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 41-110
— record in first 5 innings: 68-25-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-4.2

— Lynch is 1-1, 4.24 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 4-2 in his last six starts.
— under 7-3 last 10 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Kansas City won six of last eight games.
— Royals are 28-32 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-113
— record in first 5 innings: 44-51-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-2.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 11:14 AM

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Friday, August 12, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-6-1
Race 2: 6-7-4-2
Race 3: 3-4-6-2
Race 4: 10-3-8-6
Race 5: 4-9-3-5
Race 6: 2-9-3-1
Race 7: 3-6-5-10
Race 8: 11-9-2-6
Most Likely Winner: Briefcase Girl #4 (Race 5)
Best Value: Forest Acclamation #5 (Race 1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 11:14 AM

Saratoga Picks: Friday, August 12, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-4-6
Race 2: 4-2-6-1
Race 3: 1-6-4-2
Race 4: 6-3-10-1
Race 5: 5-1-4-6
Race 6: 6-2-1-7
Race 7: 5-2-3-10
Race 8: 6-7-1-3
Race 9: 3-5-8-1
Race 10: 2-9-11-6
Most Likely Winner: Coolcatsnkittens #3 (Race 9)
Best Value: Eloquent Speaker #6 (Race 6)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 11:14 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Friday, August 12th 2022
By Reggie Garrett

We are covering 5 tracks on Friday, August 12th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Del Mar, Gulfstream Park and more. Good luck and enjoy!

Del Mar – 4:00 PT
Race 1: 1 Cherry Chaos
Race 2: 6 Perfect Cut
Race 3: 3 Rvalentina
Race 4: 6 Silver Lightening
Race 5: 4 Briefcase Girl
Race 6: 5 Man Oh Man
Race 7: 10 Moody Jim
Race 8: 6 The Little H Man

MB HORSES 728x90 Jpg
Gulfstream Park – 2:55 ET
Race 1: 5 Perfect Picture
Race 2: 5 Vigil Anna
Race 3: 1 Vai Via
Race 4: 2 Grainger County
Race 5: 10 No Name Dude
Race 6: 3 Wind Ninety Nine
Race 7: 2 King Silvio
Race 8: 5 Bion Magic
Race 9: 8 Journeytothemoon

Monmouth Park – 2:00 ET
Race 1: 6 Blame D Rule Maker
Race 2: 2 Lord Mio
Race 3: 6 Fixed Odds
Race 4: 1 Hard Knocking
Race 5: 7 Forever Chocolate
Race 6: 9 Noble Conquest
Race 7: 1 Baby Man
Race 8: 5 Time Goes Fast

MB HORSES 728x90 Jpg
Saratoga – 1:05 ET
Race 1: 4 Nice ‘n Spicy
Race 2: 6 Regina
Race 3: 2 Wudda U Think Now
Race 4: 6 Queen of Lies
Race 5: 4 Khafre
Race 6: 1 Snicket
Race 7: 5 Al Qahira
Race 8: 7 Sea Foam
Race 9: 5 Eli Dancer
Race 10: 11 She’s a Mia

Woodbine – 1:05 ET
Race 1: 7 Twelfth Moon
Race 2: 2 Secret Storm
Race 3: 3 Chairman Bob
Race 4: 9 Cruden Bay
Race 5: 8 Dissectologist
Race 6: 3 Enchant Me
Race 7: 1 Breathing Fire
Race 8: 3 The Great Oz
Race 9: 1 Have a Souper Day
Race 10: 3 Belentime

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 11:14 AM

Del Mar Picks: Graduation S. entries walk on August 12
By J.N. Campbell

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Picks: Friday, August 12, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-6-1
Race 2: 6-7-4-2
Race 3: 3-4-6-2
Race 4: 10-3-8-6
Race 5: 4-9-3-5
Race 6: 2-9-3-1
Race 7: 3-6-5-10
Race 8: 11-9-2-6
Most Likely Winner: Briefcase Girl #4 (Race 5)
Best Value: Forest Acclamation #5 (Race 1)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 5: Briefcase Girl #4, 5/2):

The Spendthrift Farm racing program continues to expand, and they have this daughter of Hit It a Bomb looking to make her 2nd career start. This sire is one of their own, and his offspring have shown they can handle the turf. Even though Tyler Baze does not have the numbers he once did, that doesn’t mean he cannot toss a ringer in there, now and again. I am still a fan of Carla Gaines, and even though she doesn’t have an expansive stable, I think this runner of hers can get to the winner’s circle. The 3-yr-old has a nice turn-of-foot … If she ends up being even close to 5/2 on the tote, she is going to get a big bet from me.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 1: Forest Acclamation #5, 4/1):

When it comes to 2-yr-olds, you have to be cautious. Betting confidently can evaporate quickly, but one rule of thumb that I particularly like is to look for a runner that has the old debut out of the way. This filly by Acclamation is going to make a strong return to the track, and her only start at Los Alamitos was not without signs of talent. With works under her, I am hoping that her excellent conditioner has her ready to fire. Diego Herrera is looking to get some wins at this Meet, and it is certainly not a cinch, especially considering the caliber of the competition.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #5 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 6: Dirt, 5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:37 PM

Saratoga Picks: Non-G Stakes trio dot card on August 12
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Friday, August 12, 2022

Race 1: 1-5-4-6
Race 2: 4-2-6-1
Race 3: 1-6-4-2
Race 4: 6-3-10-1
Race 5: 5-1-4-6
Race 6: 6-2-1-7
Race 7: 5-2-3-10
Race 8: 6-7-1-3
Race 9: 3-5-8-1
Race 10: 2-9-11-6
Most Likely Winner: Coolcatsnkittens #3 (Race 9)
Best Value: Eloquent Speaker #6 (Race 6)

All-Stakes Rundown …

Race 3: Dirt, 6F, John Morrissey H., $125k, 3+

This year’s edition of the Morrissey includes an eclectic group of runners. Leading the way is Saffie Joseph’s NY Traffic #6. A son of Cross Traffic, the now-5-yr-old colt continues to represent that Triple Crown Trail class of 2020. Irad Ortiz will be aboard once again, and there is no question that his mount is the class of this field. I have never particularly cared for this router, but he deserves respect when it comes to the ability to soundly beat a group like this one. Joseph continues to have a strong ’22 campaign. I will use his horse, but I much prefer a class riser like Rob Atras’ Saint Selby #1. This trainer had some nice wins on the Thursday card, and that luck could continue with this gelding by Kantharos. Michael Dubb is an owner who employs this conditioner quite often, and with Kendrick Carmouche aboard again, his talent could transcend the company. It is going to take a monumental effort, but winning an open company ALLW92k race at Belmont served as a superb test.

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 1 w 6

Race 6: Dirt, 6F, Union Avenue S., $125k, F&M 3+

Named for that celebrated thoroughfare in Saratoga Springs, we are headed to the post for another challenging dirt sprint. This race came up particularly tough, and without a prohibitive favorite, it will make for an excellent betting opportunity. John Kimmel’s Secret Love #2 will take some money, and rightly so with John Velazquez in the irons. This filly by popular sire Not This Time (Epicenter Dad), is still looking to get on-track after a number of missing against stakes co. Kimmel is proficient when it comes to these types of opportunities, but I want to look to Tallie Lynch’s Eloquent Speaker #6 as my top choice. This Flatter mare has had numerous trainers over this last year, but she has a versatility to her that is pretty inviting. Lynch is a former jockey-turned-conditioner, and she has a knack for getting the best out of talent when you least expect it. The best news is that rider Tyler Gaffalione gets aboard, and this past week at Saratoga, he is starting to get hot. When that happens, you better back his mounts because he can ride a live one. This entry has a strong level of fitness, and the price will be right. What a pick!

Wagering Recommendation: $25/$50 WP #6

Race 8: Dirt, 1 Mile (Wilson Chute), Evan Shipman H., $125k, 3+

The Wilson Chute is the place to be for this year’s Shipman. Out of these NY state breds, I am all for trying to figure out a way to check the class power of Steve Asmussen’s Bankit #1. The 6-yr-old son of Central Banker is returning to the U.S. after running 6th in the Godolphin Mile (G2) on the Dubai WC undercard. That was quite a leap from the competition he was used to facing … here is the main question … Can he return to form off the break, and be sharp with Joel Rosario at odds of 9/5? I am skeptical … Sometimes these international shippers have difficulty making it back to the racetrack, and let’s face it, there is little here in the way of value. Instead, let’s not negate the ability of Jim Ryerson’s Market Alert #6. He won nicely in the Saginaw $100k last time out at Belmont, and Jose Ortiz got his 1st win in a month yesterday. I like this gelding by D’ Funnybone because he likes some pace to run into. He has run almost every month this year, and the homebred for Wellspring Stables will be pushing double-digits on the tote board. One other option that I quite like is Michelle Giangiulio’s Sea Foam #7. A venerable runner, he always puts forth a strong effort. When it comes to a horse-for-the-course, this son of Medaglia d’Oro is the one to watch with a record at The Spa that comes to 6/4-1-0. Kendrick Carmouche has the mount again, and there is a good chance this one gets at least a piece, if not all, of the money. Here is the bet …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 1/6/7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:38 PM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 12
Joseph Aiello

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks August 12
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 3 – John Morrissey Handicap

1. #6 Ny Traffic (6-5) – Should win here based on the class drop alone, but will need to be a bit more aggressive than usual and still has some worthy competitors here

2. #1 Saint Selby (4-1) – Has won both races at this distance and will vie for the early lead, plus has finished no worse than second on the dirt

3. #4 My Boy Tate (3-1) – Has hit the board in all six tries at Saratoga, and fares well amongst this company outside of his last try where he stretched to eight furlongs

4. #2 Wudda U Think Now (7-2) – Adds blinkers and may try and chase Saint Selby for the early lead here, plus seems to run his best at six furlongs

Race 6 – Union Avenue Handicap

1. #4 Bank On Anna (3-1) – She typically runs well when she breaks sharply, and has fared better at this distance compared to others here

2. #2 Secret Love (5-2) – Her last three tries haven’t been her best, but rediscovering her better races puts her in the mix with this group

3. #3 Mashnee Girl (3-1) – One that will certainly be gunning for the lead, and with the cutback in distance might be able to hold on for a gate to wire win if she gets clear

4. #1 Snicker (9-2) – Outside of her last two, this one has been in the mix frequently, but is another that may be dependent on her early positioning

Race 7 – OC 80000n2x

1. #5 Al Qahira (7-2) – Drops out of the Grade III Lake George, and might be best suited sitting in second this time around rather than doing the dirty work here

2. #3 Gal in a Rush (4-1) – Has never actually crossed the wire first, but has hit the board in every race on turf and is always within range of the winner

3. #10 Spicer (5-1) – This Chad Brown trainee has been passed in her last three stretch runs, but has good back-class and can be competitive with one of her better efforts

4. #9 Swift Action (20-1) – This big longshot comes from cheaper races, but her huge closing move in her debut shows an ability that may put her in third or fourth as a nice exotic play

Race 8 – Evan Shipman Handicap

1. #7 Sea Foam (7-2) – This one has been his best at the Spa, winning four of six here lifetime including this race last year, he has early speed but will need to fend off Therisastormbrewin

2. #1 Bankit (9-5) – Maybe the winner based on class, but his races against lower competition leave some to be desired although still has better top end races than most here

3. #5 Tiergan (5-2) – Has won both tries at Saratoga, with a good record hitting the board at this distance, but has struggled when stepping up to stakes company

4. #6 Market Alert (8-1) – Has been a little inconsistent in the past, but comes off a nice win and can be competitive sitting off a hot pace here

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:38 PM

Interstate Racing Tips – August 12th

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – August 12th

RSN927

Form Analyst caller Rod Fuller covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Port Macquarie on Friday the 12th of August.

Rail Position: +2m Entire
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Weather: Overcast
Rod Fuller Port Macquarie Tips

Port Macquarie, 12th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 1,3,7,2
Race 2 Selections:10,2,11,1
Race 3 Selections: 8,7,4,11
Race 4 Selections:1,9,3,12
Race 5 Selections:7,2,6,5
Race 6 Selections1,7,4,8
Race 7 Selections:4,11,8,2
Race 8 Selections:6,2,7,5

Form Analyst caller Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Tamworth on Friday the 12th of August.

Rail Position: True Entire
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 7
Weather: Overcast
Shayne Montgomery Tamworth Tips

Tamworth, 12th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 4,11,8,10
Race 2 Selections:3,4,6,2
Race 3 Selections: 7,6,5,1
Race 4 Selections:3,9,10,14
Race 5 Selections:4,1,3,7
Race 6 Selections8,6,3,12
Race 7 Selections:7,2,8,4
Best Bet

Race Seven, 7-EMISSIVE
Next Best

Race One, 4-ROCKAMO
Best Value

Race Six, 8-KANALAIDE
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 3,9,10,14
Quaddie 2:1,3,4,7
Quaddie 3:3,6,8,12
Quaddie 4:2,4,7,8
Play Of The Day

Race One, 4-ROCKAMO all up Race Seven, 7-EMISSIVE

RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Ipswich on Friday the 12th of August.

Rail Position: +4m 1100m-W/Post; +2m Remainder
Dual Track Meeting: N
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 4.8
Howard Walter Ipswich Tips

Ipswich, 12th August 2022

Race 1 Selections: 1,3,4,5
Race 2 Selections: 9,5,7,17
Race 3 Selections: 6,4,1,2
Race 4 Selections: 2,3,4,5
Race 5 Selections: 3,5,11,7
Race 6 Selections: 3,4,6,5
Race 7 Selections: 3,6,10,12
Race 8 Selections: 9,13,10,7
Race 9 Selections: 5,1,9,6
Best Bet

Race 2 No 9 Lady Rain
Best Value

Race 1 No 1 Grinzinger Hulk
Quaddie

Race 6: 3,4,6
Race 7 : 3,6,10,12
Race 8: 9,10,13
Race 9: 1,5,9
Play Of The Day

R4 Box Quinella 2,3,4,5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:38 PM

Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Friday, August 12

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Sportsmail's racing expert Robin Goodfellow delivers his tips for Friday's meetings at Newbury, Nottingham, Wolverhampton, Thirsk and Newmarket.

NEWBURY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.25 Shot

2.00 Leadman

2.35 Mr Tyrrell

3.10 Maylandsea

3.40 Felix Natalis

4.10 Hot Chesnut

4.40 Tele Red

GIMCRACK

1.25 Centrefold

2.00 Lahab

2.35 Dandys Derriere

3.10 Maylandsea (nap)

3.40 Absolutelyflawless

4.10 Persian Royal

4.40 Mrembo

NOTTINGHAM

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.10 Ange De L’amour

1.45 Grandfather Tom

2.20 Silky Wilkie

2.55 Indemnify

3.25 Red Force One

3.55 Terra Mitica

4.25 Saulire Star

GIMCRACK

1.10 Hi Clare

1.45 No Guts No Glory

2.20 Leodis Dream

2.55 Idee Fixee

3.25 First Officer

3.55 Terra Mitica

4.25 Gilbert

WOLVERHAMPTON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.35 Sweet Fortune

2.10 Thank The Lord

2.45 Super Julius

3.18 Infinitive

3.48 Alwajd

4.18 Q Twenty Boy (nb)

GIMCRACK

1.35 Bem Te Vi

2.10 Thank The Lord

2.45 Super Julius

3.18 Infinitive

3.48 Alwajd

4.18 Ustath

Newmarket – 3.18 Infinitive (nb)

THIRSK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.37 Diamondonthehill (nap)

6.07 Runninwild

6.40 Jamih

7.15 Runaholic

7.50 Installation

8.25 Burning Emotion

GIMCRACK

5.37 Grigadale

6.07 Khabib

6.40 Jamih

7.15 Reidh

7.50 Orbital Chime

8.25 Cobra Kai

Northerner – 6.07 Alligator Alley (nb); 7.50 Marsh- man (nap).

NEWMARKET

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.10 Bold Act

5.45 Wajd

6.15 Castle Way

6.48 Fulfilled

7.23 Almaan

7.58 Dutch Decoy

GIMCRACK

5.10 Grenham Bay

5.45 Counsel

6.15 Midnight Lion

6.48 Fulfilled

7.23 Dion Baker

7.58 Chasing Aphrodite (nb)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:39 PM

Sydney Preview August 12: Sebonack to show Golden Rose credentials
Alastair Bull

With TwinSpires offering its Rest Of The World BetBack every Friday night on all races from Sydney, Edge will be analyzing at least one race on the card each week.

#1 Sebonack can show that he’s a genuine contender for next month’s Golden Rose (G1) with a strong performance in the Listed Smithfield RSL Rosebud on Friday night ET.

Run over 1,100 meters (about 5 1/2 furlongs), the Rosebud is the first major prep race in Sydney for the 7-furlong Golden Rose, the most important early-season target for three-year-olds in New South Wales.

At his first two starts, Sebonack showed he was one of the best juveniles in Victoria. He showed a touch of class in winning his debut, the Chairman’s Stakes (G3), and then hit the line strongly when fourth, just 1.15 lengths from the winner, in the Blue Diamond (G1).

That was enough for his connections to bring him north for the Golden Slipper (G1) at Rosehill, but he performed below his best and beat just one horse home in the 16-horse field. He didn’t look entirely comfortable at his first start running clockwise, but he equally may not have enjoyed the heavy going, which was a sharp contrast to the good footing he enjoyed at his first two starts.

The track was rated a Soft 5 two days prior to this race, and if it stays the same he could well be much better for it. He looked like he was handling clockwise racing when winning a trial on July 29.

#11 Zoukerino may prove to be Sebonack’s biggest rival. He made a great impression on his debut July 20, squeezing through a tight gap in the stretch to run away from his rivals by 3 1/4 lengths. He looks to have plenty of improvement in him.

Zoukerino also showed his fitness at a recent trial when finishing second to race rival #5 Kibou. This son of Maurice has won his last two starts nicely, one on heavy footing and another on a good surface. He should run well again.

#6 Troach was an easy winner July 30, in which he beat race rivals #2 Sweet Ride and #4 Voldemort, both of which have the ability to improve. #3 Spacewalk has also shown ability, as has #7 Miss Hellfire, who was well backed in the Magic Millions Classic in January after two solid early runs.

$10 win/$30 place: #1 Sebonack ($40)
$1 trifecta: 1, 11 with 1, 5, 11 with 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 11 ($16)

BONUS PLAY – NEW ZEALAND

Riccarton, Race 8: Rating 75, 2,000 meters (about 1 1/4 miles)

$10 win/$20 place, #7 Husk: Went close to winning seven days ago and should be in the firing line again.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:39 PM

Saratoga Horses in Focus for Friday, August 12
Posted on August 10, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 3: MY BOY TATE (#4)

The last 3 starts against NY-breds for #6 Ny Traffic have all looked pretty similar, resulting in blowout victories with impressive speed figures. Perhaps the result will be the same once again, but he’s stepping up to face the toughest field of state-breds that he’s ever encountered. He is drawn well in the outside post, especially considering that he’s effective from a stalking position. However, he’s coming off a lackluster effort just 13 days ago in the Vanderbilt. He obviously was never beating Jackie’s Warrior, but many expecting him to be second that day. How he shows up here as the high weight and figures to be a very short price. Both speeds drawn to his inside can potentially prove dangerous. #1 Saint Selby has been in great form in recent starts for Rob Atras. #2 Wudda U Think Now posted some impressive speed figures over the winter, but he’s a little harder to trust off his lackluster return at Parx, especially with the Rudy Rodriguez barn in such a slump. I’m trying to beat these runners with #4 My Boy Tate. The venerable gelding is trying to prove that he’s still got it at the age of 8. He’s coming in off a layoff following a disappointing performance when stretched out to a mile at Aqueduct in March. That’s always been a little far for him, so the turnback should help. He’s supposed to get some pace to close into, and ran well in this race off a similar layoff last year. I am a little concerned that he’s lost a step since his peak, but he figures to be a decent price this time and should get pace up front.

RACE 7: FRIPPET (#7)

#5 Al Qahira is arguably the one to beat after just failing to hit the board in the Grade 3 Lake George a few weeks ago. She ran pretty well stepping up in class off a maiden victory last time, but she also enjoyed a front-running trip in a race that didn’t feature much pace. That’s unlikely to be the case here with multiple other speeds signed on. A few horses in this field exit the eighth race on June 16. The only runner I want from that affair is #2 Bahamian Club. I’m not sure how good this filly actually is, but she didn’t get the right trip last time. She was buried down on the inside during a week when that wasn’t the place to be while also stuck in traffic. I think she can fare better with a clean run this time, but I’m not thrilled with the rider switch to Irad Ortiz, since she’s likely to take more money than is really warranted. I’m interested in some new faces. #8 Storm Kiss is a little interesting as she tries turf for the first time for Wesley Ward. She has some pedigree for this surface and looked like more of a turf type when she broke her maiden on synthetic at Turfway. My top pick is #7 Frippet as she gets back on grass. I thought this filly actually ran pretty well in her lone turf try at Keeneland earlier this year, and that’s come back as a live race. Winner Walkathon came back to win twice in a row, including a graded stakes. She’s since run fine on dirt, but I think she’s going to appreciate the switch back to this surface and I like her versatile running style for this one-mile distance. Furthermore, Jonathan Thomas is 6 for 20 (30%, $2.24 ROI) going from dirt to turf at NYRA over 5 years.

RACE 10: SINFULLY SWEET (#4)

I can’t take a short price on likely favorite #11 She’s a Mia, who has finished second in four consecutive starts. She really had no excuse to lose last time when making a move that was seemingly timed well before getting passed from behind the eventual winner. She just seems like a difficult horse to ride and I don’t trust her to negotiate a winning journey in this large field. I’d rather take #6 Classic Lynne from that stallion stakes. She seemed like one that may have needed her last race, even though Joe Sharp has solid statistics off layoffs. This is the right kind of spot for her and she picks up Luis Saez, but she does have to take a step forward off her 2-year-old form. #7 Waterville and #8 Whatlovelookslike faced off in a maiden race here last summer. Both are still pretty lightly raced and come into this with a right to continue moving forward, so I’m not really against either one. I just want to get a little more creative with #4 Sinfully Sweet. She feels like one who could get a little overlooked in this spot despite registering an impressive maiden victory last time out, which earned her a competitive 105 TimeformUS Speed Figure. That came going 5 1/2 furlongs, but she strikes me as one that can get the added distance. She’s by versatile sire Twirling Candy out of a dam who wanted to go long on dirt. She has the tactical speed to work out the right trip and is drawn favorably towards the inside.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:39 PM

AI Picks: Saratoga, Ellis Friday P6, P5 Carryovers

Friday’s action gets a boost from 2 significant carryover pools in New York and Kentucky. Saratoga’s pick 6 went unsolved Thursday and has a $123,924 carryover into today’s final 6 races. Meanwhile, Ellis Park kicks off its racing week with a $56,530 pick 5 carryover that’s been percolating since Sunday and begins in Race 4.

To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

Ellis Park // Pick 5 // Races 4-8 // starts 3:14 pm ET

Race 4 | #4 Awesome Charge (6-5) | 29% Win Projection
Race 5 | #9 Bluff City (4-1) & #13 The Bookkeeper (10-1) | Both 21 % Win Projections
Race 6 | #4 Meraj (9-5) | 24% Win Projection
Race 7 | #1 Twirling Roses (4-1) | 17% Win Projection
Race 8 | #2 Blue Devil (5-2) | 21% Win Projection

Saratoga // Pick 6 // Races 5-10 // starts 3:21 pm ET

Race 5 | #3 I Am the Law (6-1) | 25% Win Projection
Race 6 | #3 Mashnee Girl (3-1) | 30% Win Projection
Race 7 | #3 Gal in a Rush (4-1) | 20% Win Projection
Race 8 | #5 Tiergan (5-2) | 30% Win Projection
Race 9 | #15 Road to Remember (4-1) | 23% Win Projection
Race 10 | #4 Sinfully Sweet (10-1) | 17% Win Projection

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 12:39 PM

Saratoga Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, August 12, 2022
by Frank Carulli

Horses breaking from post 7 outward in route races were 7-for-117 on Saratoga’s inner turf course heading into the week. It’s worth noting because this Friday’s 50-cent Late Pick 4 encompasses two one-mile allowance tests on the grass. Here’s a look at the action:

SAR 7th race (4:29 EST) -- Not sold on morning-line favorites AL QAHIRA (7-2) and GAL IN A RUSH (4-1), so opting for some price shots to lead off the ticket. FRIPPET, plagued by bad starts throughout the year, broke cleanly in her only turf try, set the pace on ‘good’ footing and held second in a longer route race behind Walkathon, who improved to 3-3 on the lawn with a recent Grade III victory. SWIFT ACTION ran away from a suspect MSW-caliber field on a sloppy main track at Laurel but the daughter of More Than Ready looked good doing it and can be excused for a troubled debut sprint on the turf. DIAMOND HANDS, second to Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Fillies champion Pizza Bianca at this distance two back, makes her first start for Pletcher after she came up short in a 1-1/16-mile allowance last out. AL QAHIRA set the pace to stretch in the G-III Lake George at Saratoga but the three rivals that passed her had early trouble lines. GAL IN A RUSH rallied closer to the outer rail to finish second in a 6-1/2F stake at Woodbine, but she had a fast pace to run at and the winner’s only other victory this year was in a $25,000 optional claimer at Turfway Park.

SAR 8th race (5:05 EST) -- THREE JOKERS hasn’t won in more than a year, but he ran his two best races off a similar-type freshening, projects a good trip off a solid pace and offers value at 6-1 in the featured Evan Shipman Stakes. BANK IT returns after a March trip to Dubai to make his third start of the year and first against New York breds since he demolished a stakes field by 13-1/4 lengths with a lifetime-best 105 Beyer last spring. He’s hard to not include on he ticket. TIERGAN, first or second in 16 of 31 starts, re-engages with stakes company off the claim after an impressive allowance romp.

SAR 9th race (5:39 EST) -- SMOKIN HOT KITTY moved up between rivals on the turn and finished willingly in mid-track in a one-mile race that produced two next-out winners and a runner-up. Her dam won turf sprints at 5F and 5-1/2F and she will try to follow suit for her new barn. She is today’s solo play in the Pick 4.

SAR 10th race (6:13 EST) – If the ticket is alive to this point, it probably will be a good one, so go ‘ALL’ in the finale, with four entrants coming off turf victories and favored SHE’S A MIA trying to end a bout with seconditis from post 11.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket

SAR 7th Race: 4, 7, 9
SAR 8th Race: 1, 3, 5
SAR 9th Race: 1
SAR 10th Race: ALL

COST: $54

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-12-2022, 01:17 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 68

FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 27 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SHARYMARIE D 5/1
# 5 WHAT A BULLET 2/1
# 6 VENDEDORA 8/5

SHARYMARIE D has a quite good shot to take this race. Her 58 average has this mare with among the best Speed Figures for this event. Appears to have a formidable class edge based on the most recent company kept. In this field, this one is in the upper half of earnings per start in dirt route contests. WHAT A BULLET - Diaz has a reliable 28 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Diaz has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 24 percent rate. VENDEDORA - The average class fig of 58 makes this horse hard to beat. Going in a dirt route race gives this mare a very good shot.

Friday 8/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 8/12/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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