Friday 7/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 05:07 AM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, JULY 22, 2022
7/22 07:10 PM PT / 10:10 PM ET

MLB (925) HOUSTON ASTROS VS (926) SEATTLE MARINERS

Take: over

Reason: The Houston Astros opened the 2nd half of the baseball season in fine fashion by taking both ends of a home doubleheader away from the Yankees on Thursday. Now they travel to NorthWest to take on Seattle, arguably the hottest team in baseball. The Astros will send Jose Urquidy to the hill tonight. Urquidy is 8-4 in his 17 starts with a 4.09 ERA and slightly higher 5.20 road ERA. The Mariners hated to see the break come as they are on a 14-game win streak and have leapt into 2nd place in the AL West, 9-games back of the Astros. Marco Gonzales makes the start today for the M's with a 5-9 record in his 18 starts and a 3.50 ERA. The Astros had to play two games yesterday and that will have taken a toll on the players and the bullpen. I look for plenty of runs here tonight. Your free play is on the OVER.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 05:07 AM

Friday’s games

National League
St Louis (50-44) @ Cincinnati (34-57)
— Wainwright is 1-2, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 10-8 in his starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He is 7-7, 5.43 in 19 starts at Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— St Louis is 21-24 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Ashcraft is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP in a June 12 start vs St Louis.

— Reds won six of last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 18-28 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cubs (35-57) @ Philadelphia (49-43)
— Steele is 1-1, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Cubs lost nine of last ten games.
— Cubs are 17-25 on road.
— under 10-3-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gibson is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Philly is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 0-2, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies won their last three games.
— Philly is 24-21 at home.
— under 12-5 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Miami (43-49) @ Pittsburgh (39-54)
— Garrett is 0-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He blanked Pittsburgh for 6 IP July 14.

— Miami is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— They haven’t scored a run in 34 innings.
— Marlins are 21-26 on road.
— under 12-6-2 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.

— Pirates lost four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 20-23 at home.
— under 10-5 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-93
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Diego (52-42) @ NY Mets (58-35)
— Darvish is 1-1, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-2-3
— He is 4-0, 2.76 in seven starts vs New York.

— Padres are 8-15 in last 23 games.
— San Diego is 27-21 on road.
— under 11-7 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-29-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Scherzer is 1-0, 1.40 in three starts this month.
— Mets are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-4
— He is 6-2, 2.87 in 16 starts vs San Diego.

— Mets are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Mets are 28-15 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-93
— record in first 5 innings: 49-25-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Colorado (43-50) @ Milwaukee (50-43)
— Senzatela is 1-2, 4.32 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 1-0, 3.12 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won eight of last 11 games.
— Rockies are 15-27 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Burnes is 4-0, 1.79 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-7 in his starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-1, 5.71 in six games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 21-19 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Washington (31-63) @ Arizona (40-52)
— Washington hasn’t named a starter.

— Washington lost 15 of last 17 games.
— Nationals are 16-27 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 26-57-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gallen is 0-0, 4.79 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 2-6 in his last eight starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-5
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two starts vs Washington.

— Diamondbacks are 5-10 in last fifteen games.
— Arizona is 22-26 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Francisco (48-44) @ Dodgers (61-30)
— Webb is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 12-7 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He is 1-2, 3.64 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 22-22 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Anderson is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 12-3 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 1-3, 4.40 in eight starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 22-6 in their last 28 games.
— Los Angeles is 31-13 at home.
— under 13-8-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-91
— record in first 5 innings: 53-24-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

American League
New York (64-30) @ Baltimore (46-46)
— Taillon is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 1-0, 3.91 in five starts vs Baltimore.

— New York lost seven of last ten games.
— New York is 27-18 on road.
— over 11-2 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 49-24-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6.2

— Wells is 5-1, 2.92 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 0-2, 3.32 in nine games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won 11 of their last 13 games.
— Baltimore is 25-17 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-92
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Toronto (50-43) @ Boston (48-45)
— Gausman is 1-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-6 in his last seven starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 3-4, 4.01 in eight starts at Boston.

— Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
— Toronto is 20-24 on road.
— over 36-16 last 52 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Eovaldi is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 7-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-6
— He is 1-2, 4.13 in ten starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox lost 10 of last 13 games.
— Boston is 23-20 at home.
— over 10-3 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-32-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cleveland (46-44) @ White Sox (46-46)
— Quantrill is 2-1, 4.66 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-0-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five starts vs Chicago

— Guardians are 10-16 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 21-25 on road.
— under 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Giolito is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 5-3, 1.77 in 12 starts vs Cleveland.

— White Sox are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 19-25 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Tampa Bay (51-41) @ Kansas City (36-56)
— Rasmussen is 0-0, 3.14 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in two relief stints vs Kansas City

— Tampa Bay won six of last seven games.
— Rays are 20-23 on road.
— over 15-8-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Royals haven’t named a starter.

— Kansas City lost its last three games.
— Royals are 19-27 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-44-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Houston (61-32) @ Seattle (51-42)
— Urquidy is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5
— He is 1-3, 6.25 in six starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 25-9 in their last 34 games.
— Houston is 31-18 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 56-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-8

— Gonzales is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 7-11 in his starts.
— under 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-4
— He is 2-8, 4.63 in 12 starts vs Houston.

— Mariners won their last 14 games.
— Seattle is 24-20 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Texas (42-49) @ A’s (33-62)
— Howard is 1-0, 3.60 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in two games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Rangers are 6-12 in last 18 games.
— Texas is 21-23 on road.
— over 14-7 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Irvin is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-3
— He is 3-2, 3.35 in seven starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 7-7 in their last 14 games.
— Oakland is 12-32 at home.
— under 24-8-2 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-95
— record in first 5 innings: 29-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-9

Interleague game
Angels (39-53) @ Atlanta (56-38)
— Ohtani is 6-0, 0.68 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 9-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Angels are 12-36 in their last 48 games.
— Angels are 17-26 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 44-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Morton is 1-1, 2.56 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— over 15-3
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 4-1, 4.34 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Braves are 33-11 in their last 44 games.
— Atlanta is 31-20 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 12:48 PM

Charles Town Picks - Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-1-7
Race 2: 1-3-2-5
Race 3: 5-2-1-3
Race 4: 6-3-1-2
Race 5: 2-6-7-1
Race 6: 1-7-3-4
Race 7: 4-1-3-5
Race 8: 8-2-1-6
**Most Likely Winner: Sooey’s Princess #1 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Bella Gianna #4 (Race 7)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:17 PM

Del Mar Opening Day Picks: Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 7-10-2-4
Race 2: 2-4-10-8
Race 3: 2-7-4-1
Race 4: 6-1-8-7
Race 5: 4-6-9-5
Race 6: 4-2-7-9
Race 7: 9-10-2-11
Race 8: 13-1-14-6
Race 9: 6-12-10-9
Race 10: 9-2-11-8
Most Likely Winner: Recall And Reload #6 (Race 9)
Best Value: Heaven Street #13 (Race 8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:17 PM

Ellis Park Picks - Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 7-1-8-3
Race 2: 3-6-2-1
Race 3: 4-5-2-1
Race 4: 6-1-3-5
Race 5: 6-4-10-3
Race 6: 8-6-3-1
Race 7: 10-11-9-4
Race 8: 4-9-1-5
**Most Likely Winner: Nogratz #7 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Catcha Later Mo #6 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:17 PM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-5-1-2
Race 2: 7-2-4-1
Race 3: 4-5-2-1
Race 4: 2-4-9-3
Race 5: 1-7-5-6
Race 6: 4-1-2-5
Race 7: 7-1-4-6
Race 8: 8-5-4-1
Race 9: 6-9-4-3
**Most Likely Winner: Baker Block #2 (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Cajun #4 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:18 PM

Lone Star Park Picks: Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-10-1
Race 2: 2-3-1-4
Race 3: 6-2-4-7
Race 4: 1-7-6-3
Race 5: 7-4-2-8
Race 6: 5-9-10-1
Race 7: 9-3-6-5
Race 8: 6-7-3-1
Race 9: 3-2-8-10
Most Likely Winner: Just Claire #1 (Race 4)
Best Value: Chief Brady #7 (Race 5)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:18 PM

Saratoga Picks: Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-3-6
Race 2: 6-1/1A-3-4
Race 3: 5-7-3-1/1A
Race 4: 3-8-7-4
Race 5: 7-10-1/1A-8
Race 6: 4-3-1-7
Race 7: 3-5-1-4
Race 8: 5-3-1-6
Race 9: 7-6-5-2
Race 10: 7-8-10-3
Most Likely Winner: Leeloo #7 (Race 10)
Best Value: Skylander #3 (Race 7)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:24 PM

Frank Carulli: Saratoga Late Pick 4 | Friday, July 22, 2022

by Frank Carulli

The highest Pick 4 payout of opening week at Saratoga was on races 7 through 10 last Friday. Will history repeat itself and produce another $981 payout for a 50-cent wager? Here’s a look at the action:

SAR 7th race (4:29 EST) -- KEEPMEINMIND finally gets a chance to exercise his entry-level allowance option after making his last 10 starts in graded stakes company. He finished in the money three times against champion 3-year-old and Belmont Stakes winner Essential Quality, including the Grade II Jim Dandy at Saratoga when last seen nearly a year ago. He shows a series of sub-1:01 works to prepare for his first start as a 4-year-old and first for Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher. He is today’s solo play.

SAR 8th race (5:05 EST) -- With five entrants arriving to this turf sprint off recent allowance victories and half of the field with more than $100,000 in grass earnings, hit the ‘ALL’ button in this leg of the Pick 4.

SAR 9th race (5:39 EST) -- AL QAHIRA (12-1) could escalate the Pick 4 payout. In her last three turf starts at longer distances, she finished second in a race that produced five next-out winners, second to eventual multiple graded stakes winner Spendarella, then broke her maiden in a 12-horse field. Her comment lines in the stretch include ‘briefly kicked clear’ and ‘drew clear’ and a ‘solid bid through the lane,’ all suggesting the one-mile distance will suit her well. KOALA PRINCESS was visually impressive in a pair of sprints to start her career last summer. She then finished a non-threatening seventh in the Breeders Cup Filly Turf, but only lost by 2-1/4 lengths in a blockbuster race that produced the likes of Grade I winner Cachet, G-II victors Consumer Spending and Turnerloose and multiple G-III winner Cairo Memories. She hasn’t raced since November but that’s no problem for trainer Arnaud Delacour, who sports a 10-22 record with layoff types of 180-plus days. Chad Brown, a four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer, sent out five of the last seven winners in the Grade III Lake George. EMINENT VICTOR ran third behind Breeders Cup-winning stablemate Pizza Bianca in her first start for Brown, then benefited from a good setup when she got up to win in her seasonal debut in the $100,000 Wild Applause at one mile.

SAR 10th race (6:13 EST) – LEELOO raced 5-wide on the turn, drew even in deep stretch but was out-kicked for the win by Bank On Anna, a winner of her last three non-stakes tries. Prior to that Leeloo romped to a maiden win and faded while on the outside in the Franklin Square Stakes on a day when seven of nine winners raced on or near the rail most of the way. LET HER INSPIRE YOU led at the stretch call in her last three starts, finally prevailing as the 1-to-5 favorite off a nine-month layoff. Third-place finisher Sweet Mystery rallied to a MSW upset in her next start. She is a must use as Pletcher’s runners ‘repeat’ 25 percent of the time. QUEEN ARELLA won her last five races at Finger Lakes by a combined 17 lengths, but if she doesn’t carry her speed in her toughest race to date, she could help set up entry-mate TRUE EMPRESS, who can’t seem to avoid extremely wide trips but who broke her maiden at 6F three starts back.

Suggested 50-cent Ticket

SAR 7th Race: 1
SAR 8th Race: ALL
SAR 9th Race: 3, 4, 6
SAR 10th Race: 2, 7, 8

COST: $45

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:24 PM

AI Picks: $5K Hit & Split Del Mar Pick 5 | Friday, July 22, 2022

Del Mar’s opening day Friday late pick 5 includes a $5,000 Hit & Split promotion for Xpressbet and 1/ST BET players. Take down the pick 5 and collect the partimutuel winnings as well as your share of that additional $5,000 in money with other players on the 1/ST and Xpressbet platform who also connect.

To assist your handicapping, top selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds.

Del Mar // Race 6 // 7:30 pm ET // allowance

#7 Eddie’s New Dream (3-1) // 27%W
#2 Macadamia (7-2) // 20%W
#8 Freedom Flyer (6-1) // 12%W
#1 California Kook (12-1) // 9%

Del Mar // Race 7 // 8:00 pm ET // maiden special weight

#2 Infinite Empire (5-2) // 29%W
#3 Ascendancy (6-1) // 22%W
#9 Too Bossy (3-1) // 10%W
#4 Anacapa (15-1) // 7%W

Del Mar // Race 8 // 8:30 pm ET // $100,000 Oceanside Stakes

#1 Mackinnon (5-2) // 29%W
#8 Balnikhov (3-1) // 13%W
#13 Heaven Street (12-1) // 8%W
#4 Boise (15-1) // 7%W

Del Mar // Race 9 // 9:00 pm ET // allowance

#6 Recall and Reload (6-1) // 31%W
#9 Exaulted (4-1) // 16%W
#12 Murray (7-2) // 13%W
#3 Patron d’Oro (6-1) // 10%W

Del Mar // Race 10 // 9:30 pm ET // maiden special weight

#13 One More Bid (8-1) // 22%W
#8 Kazuhiko (15-1) // 21%W
#3 Pray For Me Ray (7-2) // 14%W
#12 Granlusso (6-1) // 8%W

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:30 PM

Del Mar Picks: Opening Day's a beach on July 22
By J.N. Campbell

Del Mar Opening Day Picks: Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 7-10-2-4
Race 2: 2-4-10-8
Race 3: 2-7-4-1
Race 4: 6-1-8-7
Race 5: 4-6-9-5
Race 6: 4-2-7-9
Race 7: 9-10-2-11
Race 8: 13-1-14-6
Race 9: 6-12-10-9
Race 10: 9-2-11-8
Most Likely Winner: Recall And Reload #6 (Race 9)
Best Value: Heaven Street #13 (Race 8)

Late Pick 4 … Races 7-10

Race 7: Dirt, 6F, MSW80k, F&M 3+

The first Late Pick 4 sequence of the DMR Meet is ready to exit the gate. A sprint on the Main Track, it is interesting that all 11 of these runners are 3-yr-old fillies despite the condition. Richard Mandella’s Infinite Empire #2 will probably end up taking significant money not only because she is well-bred by Empire Maker, but also since MyRacehorse is involved. Those folks like to do some wagering on their runners, and that always drives down the price. JJ Hernandez had a strong ’21, and should do so again … he gets the call. After rewatching her debut at Del Mar last year (only race to-date), there is promise … but the layoff is a concern. I will use her, but when it comes to a top selection, I am intrigued by Mike Puype’s Too Bossy #9. After a pair of MSW Co. races, she comes to Del Mar with some excellent early foot. Little Red Feather makes some excellent investments, and this filly by Street Boss is a true sprinter. When you have young and inexperienced runners, it helps to back ones in shorter races that are drawn towards the outside. This is a particular angle that works well in spots like this one. That’s why I also want to include Mark Glatt’s Keychain Girl #10 and Simon Callaghan’s Belle Cherie #11. Both of these fillies have 3 races under their saddle already. Let’s go 4 Deep … moving right along …

Leg 1: 2/9/10/11 (4-Deep)

Wagering Recommendation: $25/$50 WP #9

Race 8: Turf, 1 Mile, Oceanside S. $100k, 3

Probably the toughest race to handicap across the country is this standard on the Del Mar Opening Day calendar. The Oceanside always sports a large field, and when it comes to prices … they are copious. With a capacity field of 14 ready, you can go in a number of directions. It is probably a distinct possibility that Doug O’Neill’s entry, Mackinnon #1 will serve as the race time favorite. That is probably deserved, especially considering the duel he had with Bob Baffert’s Blackadder in the El Camino Real Derby $100k back in February. The son of American Pharoah was nipped at the wire … losing the race by only a neck. He has not been seen since, but O’Neill planned all along to target this race. Ridden by JJ Hernandez, it is hard to leave him off of any ticket. His Del Mar turf record is impressive, famously ending up 3rd … ur … 2nd … in the BC Juvenile Turf (G1) last November. Based on my budget, I have a couple of other squares open, so it is time to daub … I am interested in just how Brendan Walsh’s Heaven Street #13 will ship out to SoCal. This is a former Christophe Clement trainee that won the salty Columbia S. $75 back at Tampa in March. The son of Street Sense has taken on some tough company, and he could be a fabulous price when it comes time to load. Drayden Van Dyke has not had the best time of it over the last few years, but now, it is time to start anew. Speaking of jockeys, I also want to see how Florent Geroux handles the switch to Del Mar. He is shifting his tack from Kentucky, and will be competing at the Meet all summer long. Sydney Street #14 is a UK import that makes his U.S. debut for John Sadler. Geroux is crafty and always a threat on the grass. Let’s use him too, just-in-case O’Neill’s ace doesn’t make the grade. Here is the plan …

Leg 2: 1/13/14 (3-Deep)

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 1/13/14

Race 9: Dirt, 6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:31 PM

Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks July 22
Joseph Aiello

In Spa Selections, Saratoga correspondent Joseph Aiello provides Saratoga picks for a handful of key races at Saratoga, including all of the exciting stakes action!

Follow along all meet with all the exciting action (and good betting opportunities)!

Tiz the Law
Spa selections 2022: Saratoga picks July 22
In Spa Selections, our correspondent provides his Saratoga picks for key races on today’s Saratoga card!

Race 7 – Alw 115000n1x

1. #1 Keepmeinmind (1-1) – Comes off a long layoff, but there should be just enough pace in here for this closer to pick up the pieces in the stretch

2. #7 Efficiency (7-2) – This gelding by Gun Runner should be in first or second early, and comes off a dominant eleven length victory with a chance to build off that race

3. #4 Naval Aviator (8-1) – Colt by Tapit might be able to take advantage of the pace scenario here and is a winner of his last two but takes a step up in this one

4. #6 Tiwanaku (6-1) – Comes off a nice workout and changed his running style after being claimed by Tom Amoss, so should be involved in the pace early here

Race 8 – OC 45000n2x

1. #1 Makin My Move (7-2) – A real threat to go gate to wire here after a very strong win last time and another solid effort in a Grade III on turf in October

2. #3 Kokopelli (9-2) – Won her first two, then struggled on a yielding surface a year ago before laying off, but has top flight connections and might get pace to close into here

3. #5 Palace Gossip (4-1) – Has a good stalking running style that will benefit her as she tries five and a half for the first time, and has hit the board in every turf start so far

4. #6 Sassy Melissa (5-2) – Will need some pace here to close, but has put forth two good efforts in a row and seems to have turned a corner here with Jeremiah Englehart as trainer

Race 9 – Grade III Lake George Stakes

1. #6 Eminent Victor (5-2) – Not many in here that make a great case to beat these connections, as a repeat of her last race wins in this group

2. #8 Skims (9-2) – McGaughey trainee comes off a sharp four furlong work after back to back thirds in graded races, plus gets Rosario in the irons and can win if she isn’t too far back

3. #5 Dolce Zel (3-1) – The other Chad Brown trainee hasn’t raced her sharpest in the last two, but has won both her races off a layoff and keeps Irad Ortiz here

4. #4 Koala Princess (9-2) – Might fly under the radar a bit here, but was bet to favorite in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Filly Turf and only lost there by two lengths, so worth a play off a layoff

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:32 PM

Saratoga Picks: Mott's boxcar the price play of the Meet on July 22
By J.N. Campbell

Saratoga Picks: Friday, July 22, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-3-6
Race 2: 6-1/1A-3-4
Race 3: 5-7-3-1/1A
Race 4: 3-8-7-4
Race 5: 7-10-1/1A-8
Race 6: 4-3-1-7
Race 7: 3-5-1-4
Race 8: 5-3-1-6
Race 9: 7-6-5-2
Race 10: 7-8-10-3
Most Likely Winner: Leeloo #7 (Race: 10)
Best Value: Skylander #3 (Race: 7)

Most Likely Winner: (Race 10: Leeloo #7, 5/1):

The numbers do not necessarily support Ignacio Correas’ 1st start ability, but this could be a chance to buck that stat. A talented filly by Practical Joke, this NY bred comes to her new home after running in much tougher company back at Aqueduct. After a break, she comes to Saratoga rested and ready. Irad Ortiz has the assignment, and he knows how to hustle his mount at the proper moment. The odds probably will not be 5/1 when this race goes off, but if they are, that qualifies as an overlay. Coming from David Duggan, a trainer I deeply respect, means this one has legs moving forward.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 7: Skylander #3, 30/1):

The boxcar is loaded, and ready to leave the station … all aboard! HOF trainer Bill Mott is making a surface switch with this gelding by Quality Road, and I think the move is brilliant. After trying the grass on 7 previous occasions, it is time for something different. Some ‘cappers might shy away from the 1st time gelding status when looking at the form, but there is enough evidence to support this Godolphin homebred to the contrary. Dropping down from running against OC80kn1x types tells me that he should enjoy the class relief. At these kinds of odds, he is worth a wager. The services of Luis Saez only strengthen the claim. The distance of 9-furlongs is nothing he hasn’t tackled before … what a wager!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #3 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Turf, 1 Mile, Lake George S. (G3), $175k, 3F):

The “spotlight” swivels towards this 3-yr-old filly race on Friday, and it should be an excellent betting affair, if you can find an alternative to either of the Chad Brown entries. Both Dolce Zel #5 by Zelzal (FR) and Eminent Victor #6 by Mr. Z have form, and were ultra-competitive across several key tracks. The former won the Florida Oaks (G3), and then faced Spendarella in the Appalachian (G2) at Keeneland and New Years Eve in the Edgewood (G2) at Churchill. Even though that pair of turf routes did not result in a victory, she was still very good. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, she is going to take significant money. The “other” Brown runner has superb potential after Flavien Prat rode her to victory in the Wild Applause $100k at Belmont in late June. She is just getting warmed up, and she can build off that last score. The problem I have with her is that she did not face tough competition in that race. This will be a much tougher test. When it comes to a top selection, I would not underestimate the potential behind Saffie Joseph’s Sister Lou Ann #7. Owned by the tenured Ken Ramsey, this filly by Frosted looks the part. Her style is to break quickly in an attempt to take over a race. I do not usually gravitate towards those that like to control the pace on the grass … it can be a dangerous business. Blow the start … it’s an automatic miss. Still, Joseph just completed his best Gulfstream Championship Meet ever. With some possible “give” in the ground, Javier Castellano is the right jockey to have aboard. He had a monster opening to the Meet last weekend, and that could continue in this G3. Here is the wager … what a cool race!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Wheel, 7 w 5/6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-22-2022, 01:32 PM

DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Friday, July 22, 2022

DRF StaffJul 21, 2022

Woodbine Racetrack
Michael BurnsFirst post for Woodbine racing is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET on Friday.

Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

1:00 WO 1st TREBUCHET (#7, 7-2) improved to second against $15K maidens in his second start off the bench, and is bringing the highest last-out Beyer to this inflated $25K claimer. A hot Salles takes over and is 1 for 2 at the meet for the barn. -Ron Gierkink | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:30 WO 2nd SUMMER SHANDEE (#2, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Ron Gierkink). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:39 SAR 2nd CLUBBING (#2, 6-1) had his debut rained off the grass and was outrun early over that muddy, sealed track, before racing on gamely to finish a no-threat 4th behind a couple of these same rivals; turf-bred gelding gets his chance on the proper surface and moves inside. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:41 LRL 5th There's a chance this pace heats up, and that would suit MOKHEEF (#10, 6-1) just fine as he cuts back from 11-furlong marathon that produced two next-out winners (Bode's Maker made it three in a row when capturing a $12,500 starter at Monmouth with a 90 Beyer). Wore cheekpieces, took a light bump after the start, tracked outside, split rivals three wide turning for home, and finished evenly. Expect him to rate back and make one run for capable trainer. -Dan Illman | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:24 MTH 4th I'M BUZZY (#7, 4-1) had virtually no chance to win that last one, as a complete lack of pace left the stone closers with too much to do, and she was at the back of the field (note the inverted "S" in DRF pp's, which indicates a race flow that gave an extreme edge to the Speeds); she did well to rally some for 4th there and she ca make the last run today given at least an honest pace to chase. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:41 WO 6th LAST AMERICAN EXIT (#3, 10-1) was crowded early and had to alter course at the quarter pole last time before landing on the edges in a six-furlong OS stakes. The reformed hanger could be along in time in this seven-furlong optional claimer if Fukumoto can work out a trip, like he did in both of the gelding's wins at this stand. -Ron Gierkink | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:52 MTH 5th Perhaps today is the day that RELISHMENT (#3, 12-1) finally gets some racing luck. He has been posting steady Beyers since the start of the meet and he has been running very well in defeat despite having to contend with race flow and traffic issues in nearly all of his starts; given a clean trip and a quick, contested pace up front he may finally be able to run them all down late. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:02 GP 3rd The Stonehedge firster A KISS FOR KHOZAN (#7, 6-1) has one of those win-early pedigrees (by Khozan) and a trainer (Yates) who knows how to capitalize on it; bullet local drill on 6/25 tips her hand. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:20 MTH 6th LUCKY JAIME (#7, 5-1) was off the board in his seasonal debut last time out but that was a deceptively good effort, as he rallied with interest through the back of the field; subsequent shelving a concern, as is the fact that he's now in for a tag for the first time since his career debut in a maiden claimer. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:29 SAR 7th COMPLETE AGENDA (#5, 8-1) was trending the right way through the winter and spring while catching some less-than-ideal trips along the way; improved to break his maiden over this distance two back, then tried the Peter Pan, where he caught a wet track and never landed a blow behind a front-running winner; back to try his available condition after regrouping for Pletcher. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:00 DMR 3rd This speed-filled $20k claiming N3L sprint is a good spot to take a shot at a price. BIG FLAME (#3, 6-1) gets the call to upset as he returns to claiming after being overmatched in a series of allowance races. His closing style suits the pace scenario, he has won on this track. If the front-runners hook up like it appears they might, BIG FLAME can sit, wait and blast home for a longshot win. -Brad Free | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:13 SAR 10th TRUE EMPRESS (#2B, 8-1) a closing-type landing in a race that projects to setup for her running style as she drops out of the Bouwerie going seven; like her overall form and she might go overlooked in this race. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

6:50 GP 8th Three-month layoff surely the culprit in AMAZING TRIP (#8, 9-2) failing to hold sway in her 6/18 return to action for Saffie and Uncle Frank, but overall, that was an encouraging effort and one deserving of this nominal raise to $35k; Fla-bred miss surely will be setting sail from her outer post once again when looking to wire a pretty well-matched group of N2L sprinters. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

7:45 SAC 7th PERFECTIONISTIC (#1, 5-1), unraced since late April, appears to have an excellent chance to win for the fourth time in his career, and for the first time since August, in this optional claimer. Perfectionistic, who was scratched from the Albany Stakes on June 11 because of unsoundness, seems better suited to sprints than the one-mile distance of his last start, and should be handy enough to stay close to the front from an inside draw. -Steve Andersen | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

8:15 SAC 8th SALTO DE TIGRE (#4, 6-1) was only fourth in his last start, compromised by a poor start from an inside post. Salto de Tigre has a better draw in the middle of this field of seven, and can be a factor from off the pace if he repeats his win at Pleasanton on June 26. -Steve Andersen | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

7:25 MED (Harness) 4th DIRE STRAITS (#10, 8-1) got unlucky with the draw and the driver change to Dave Miller won’t help his price any, but he’s looked like the best in the series through the first two legs and I’m staying on the train. – Derick Giwner | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

8:20 YR (Harness) 5th NEW HEAVEN (#4, 6-1) drops to a more comfortable level tonight and finds a spot where driver Brent Holland can be aggressive off the gate. – Matt Rose | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

9:45 WBS (Harness) 9th GOODNIGHT IRENE (#8, 5-1) drops again after being part of a hot early pace when facing better last week. She has a good chance vs. these. – Garnet Barnsdale

Friday 7/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 7/22/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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