Service Plays Monday 8/9/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK

• Game: (903) Miami Marlins at (904) San Diego Padres
  Date/Time: Aug 9 2021 10:10 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 10 units
  Play: San Diego Padres -1.5 (-110) Z Thompson (RHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start
  
  Fish get unabashedly swept in Coors over the weekend and now on no rest head to Petco to face a Padres team sans El Nino and the Marlins arrive with a month long LOW -22.45 VMI!
  Musgrove has been basically excellent and while his 3.83 FIP is worse in the second half than his first half 3.4….he is a ++ starter at home following a couple of fantastic performances over the weekend by Darvish and Snell….the 3rd stud Dads starter gets a go against a similarly poor opposing lineup…at home….and no rest for either team into this opening series game on Monday night!
  Jazz is ill and may not play….Alfaro is on the IL…then there's our boy Zach Thompson…who I hate to fade…but has doubled his FIP to 4.72 since the break!
  More to come…but oh baby…the Marlins are about as unlikely to eclipse 2 runs as any team for the past several days;

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday’s games
NL games
Milwaukee (66-46) @ Cubs (52-61)
— Peralta is 2-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 14-6 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-5
— He is 2-0, 2.14 in four starts vs Chicago this year.

— Brewers are 13-7 in last 20 games.
— Milwaukee is 9-1 in last 10 road games.
— over 6-1-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 57-34-21

— Mills is 1-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He is 1-1, 2.70 in six games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 10-28 in last 38 games.
— Chicago is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-113
— record in first 5 innings: 46-54-13

Miami (47-65) @ San Diego (64-49)
— Thompson is 0-2, 4.38 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 2-7 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP in July 23 start vs San Diego.

— Marlins lost last three games, giving up 34 runs.
— Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
— over 10-2-1 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 41-51-20

— Musgrove is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 11-10 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 2-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Miami.

— Padres are 11-9 in their last 20 games.
— San Diego is 4-6 in last ten home games.
— over 9-1-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-48-18

AL games
White Sox (66-46) @ Minnesota (48-64)
— Giolito is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 11-11 in his starts.
— over 9-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He is 2-0, 2.57 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago won its last three games.
— White Sox are 5-5 in last ten road games.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-112
— record in first 5 innings: 62-33-17

— bullpen game

— Minnesota is 9-14 in its last 23 games.
— Twins are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— over 8-3-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 34-56-22

Bronx (61-51) @ Kansas City (49-62)
— Taillon is 3-0, 2.37 in his last five starts.
— New York is 11-10 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4
— He is 1-0, 0.68 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— New York is 20-8 in last 28 games.
— New York is 5-1 in last six road games.
— over 12-2 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 25-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-26

— Hernandez is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Kansas City is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 2 IP, in a relief stint vs New York.

— Royals lost six of last nine games.
— Royals are 6-1 in last seven home games.
— under 14-3-2 last 19 games.
— scores run in first inning: 23-113
— record in first 5 innings: 41-56-16

Interleague games
Cincinnati (61-51) @ Cleveland (54-55)
— Castillo is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 14-9
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-2
— He is 0-2, 4.80 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Cincinnati is 14-8 in its last 22 games.
— Reds are 6-2 in last eight road games.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 34-112
— record in first 5 innings: 54-43-15

— Hentges is 0-3, 13.94 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 4-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Cleveland is 14-25 in last 39 games.
— Indians are 3-1 in last four home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scores run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 39-53-17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

N.Y. Yankees (Taillon) -170 over Kansas City (Hernandez)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* San Diego (Musgrove) -1.5 runs -105 over Miami (Thompson)
Range: +115 to -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* N.Y. Yankees (Taillon)/Kansas City (Hernandez) UNDER 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks

MEMBER PICKS For 08/09/21

4 Unit --> Kansas City (Hernandez) +1.5 runs -105 over N.Y. Yankees (Taillon)

3 Unit --> Miami (Thompson)/San Diego (Musgrove) UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks

Marquee Picks® For 08/09/21

4★ Miami (Thompson)/San Diego (Musgrove) OVER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pickstennis

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal
Marino - Keys
Under 19.5

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada),
Sakkari - Bouzkova
Under 19.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

both-to-score

Chile : Primera B
S. Morning - D. Puerto Montt
Both to score : YES @ 1.85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

4% - UCLA -17 (CFB) on Sat 8/28/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

CHI. WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA | 08/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -1.5
ANALYSIS: The White Sox are 12-4 against Minnesota and in those 16 games, they've averaged 6.9 runs while hitting .289. Now Chicago gets to face youngsters Beau Burrows (11.00 ERA) and Charlie Barnes (6.23 ERA) as the first two pitchers in a Twins' bullpen game. Back Lucas Giolito and the Sox on the run line at -107.

+827 66-47 IN LAST 113 MLB PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MIN ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 11:22 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

MIAMI @ SAN DIEGO | 08/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
MIAMI +1.5
ANALYSIS: My model says the Marlins cover in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Miami hosted San Diego for a four-game series last month, and two of the contests were one-run decisions. The Marlins won the final two games of that set after losing the first two. In addition, two of the last four games Padres RHP Joe Musgrove started were decided by a single run, including his turn against Oakland on Wednesday. Take the Marlins +1.5 runs at -110.

+183 4-2 IN LAST 6 MLB PICKS
+500 10-5 IN LAST 15 MIA ATS PICKS
+414 6-2 IN LAST 8 SD ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:45 PM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Justin Perri

N.Y. YANKEES @ KANSAS CITY | 08/09 | 8:10 PM EDT
OVER 10
ANALYSIS: This is a bit of a contrarian play given how these two teams have done on totals the last few weeks, but there's expected to be a strong wind blowing out to left field and it is going to be hot in Kansas City. To put it in other terms, it's a great day for the Over. Getting this at 10 is solid as I make the number closer to 10.5, and there's a good chance to see the score get run up at Kauffman Stadium, which already is a great hitter's park.

+355 6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB PICKS
+45 5-4 IN LAST 9 KC O/U PICKS
9:23 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Justin Perri

CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 08/09 | 6:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -172
ANALYSIS: Laying the juice here instead of the run line, where the Reds burned me on Sunday. Although Cincinnati is on fire, winning five straight and 10 of its last 12, it has only covered 40 percent of the time on the run line as a favorite this season. Reds RHP Luis Castillo has been solid over the last few months, and that is highlighted by his 4.9 percent barrel rate and .356 xSLG percentage on the year. By comparison, Indians LHP Sam Hentges has a 12.3 percent barrel rate and a .497 xSLG to accompany his 7.86 ERA, all of which are in the bottom 10 percent of the league. Back the Reds to keep their winning streak alive.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS
9:52 AM

MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 08/09 | 8:05 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -1.5
ANALYSIS: Milwaukee RHP Freddy Peralta has been one of the best pitchers in the league this season, and it's highly likely he dominates the lowly Cubs. Peralta has allowed more than two runs in only three of his 20 starts this year and more than three just once. He also is dominant in night games, posting a 1.88 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in 11 outings. The Cubs have lost 14 of their last 15 games against teams with winning records, while the Brewers have covered in 62 percent of their road games. Take Milwaukee -1.5 runs at -130.

+355 6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB PICKS
9:45 AM

MIAMI @ SAN DIEGO | 08/09 | 10:10 PM EDT
SAN DIEGO -1.5
ANALYSIS: Padres RHP Joe Musgrove has been on fire recently, as he's allowed just five hits over his last two starts. On July 23, he limited Miami to two runs en route to victory. The Marlins will be dealing with a massive elevation change, having played in Colorado on Sunday, and that should make it all the more difficult to hit Musgrove's slider/curveball combo. San Diego's offense is elite, even without Fernando Tatis Jr., and should be able to score on Miami RHP Zach Thompson, who allowed three runs over five innings the last time he faced the Padres. Take San Diego -1.5 runs at -115.

+355 6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB PICKS
+190 4-2 IN LAST 6 SD ATS PICKS
9:36 AM