Friday 6/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:20 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 6/18/21

June 18, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Click Here to View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Single: 3-Lookout Point

Forecast: The known element in this maiden juvenile turf miler is thoroughly unimpressive so let’s make an educated guess on a fresh face. Lookout Point, bred to run long on the lawn, makes his debut for a high percentage jockey-trainer combo and shows a healthy series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs to have him fit and ready. A $32,000 OBS March sale purchase, the son of Point of Entry breezed a furlong during the preview in 10 2/5 seconds – that’s just an average clocking over the extremely fast Ocala all-weather surface - but in doing so showed himself to be a good mover with a nice, athletic stride, indicating that he’ll thrive over a distance of ground. He’s drawn comfortably inside (post three) that should lead to a ground-saving trip for leading rider F. Prat, so in a wide open affair in which nothing would surprise, let ‘s take a stand and make the P. Miller-trained colt a win play and rolling exotic single at or near his morning line of 7/2.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Summer Rose; 8-Queen of Love

Forecast: Summer Rose has little to beat in this bottom-rung maiden claiming middle distance main track affair, so she gets top billing despite the fact that she’s hardly one to trust. A maiden after five career outings despite having been well-backed on the tote in each outing, the daughter of Jimmy Creed had every chance when establishing the pace in a similar affair last month but was worn down late, though to her credit she did finish 10 lengths clear of the rest. On pure numbers she’s clearly the top pick but for protection we’ll also include Queen of Love, unexposed after just one start sprinting against maiden $50,000 foes in late March but probably better than then race show after a slow start compromised her chances. She’s worked pretty well since, though her bullet five furlong gate drill of 59 4/5 seconds was actually much slower than given (1:01hg), though it was visually decent. At 12-1 on the morning line, she’s worth tossing in on a ticket or two in a race that is otherwise best left alone.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Harbor Sky; 3-Really Big News; 5-Wilder Than Most; 10-Donner Lake

Forecast: Here’s a fairly intriguing grass grab bag for maiden state-bred older horses that offers several price possibilities. Donner Lake ships in from San Luis Rey Downs following a series of steady workouts that includes a bullet :59 flat drill last month. Bred for grass, the son of Hard Spun was impressive in the 2020 OBS 2-year-old in training sale, where he brought $80,000 through the ring after previewing in a quick :21 1/5, so we suspect this R. Baltas-trained colt is well-meant for a barn that has enjoyed considerable success employing jockey M. Gutierrez (32% with a significant flat-bet profit this year). Wilder Than Most finished second in his debut vs. maiden special weight foes at Del Mar during the summer of his 2-year-old season but then disappeared. The good news is that as a 4-year-old gelding off as 20 month layoff the son of Vronsky returns protected in maiden special weight company in what we’ll take as a sign of confidence by his connections. The comeback workouts aren’t flashy but can be considered okay for trainer C. Gaines, whose record with layoff runners is reasonably decent. Really Big News appeared to find his best stride late when a distant second in his debut over this course and distance last month and has every right to build on that favorable initial impression today, though we suspect he’s best work will come eventually over a distance of ground. The switch to top grass rider U. Rispoli is a plus, so we’ll regard the T. Yakteen-trained son of Mr. Big as a “must use” in rolling exotic play. Harbor Sky was given a race in his debut when taken back and then not really being knocked about in the stretch. He’s worked well since, has the route-to-sprint angle that we like, and could produce a dangerous late kick at 30-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:31 PT Grade: X
Use: 1-Dr. Schivel; 4-Canadian Pride; 5-Speed Pass

Forecast: We’ll pass this five-runner affair while going three-deep in our rolling exotics. Del Mar Futurity winner Dr. Schivel makes his first start as a 3-year-old and has picked no easy spot for his first outing in 10 months, as the 3-year-old colt faces tough older foes from the rail in this second-level allowance sprint for new trainer M. Glatt. He was a good colt as a 2-year-old but didn’t break his maiden until his third career start and may be the type that needs to be raced into shape. The son of Violence has done everything asked of him in the morning and should come back as well as he left, but because he’ll need to shake off some rust we’ll also include on our ticket Canadian Pride, a genuine and consistent sprinting gelding with two career wins over the local main track and speed figures that are solid for this level, and the usually disappointing but capable-on-his-best-day Speed Pass, drawn comfortably outside and probably the quickest of the speed types.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:01 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Little Bird; 2-A New Peace; 5-Lavender; 6-Invincibella

Forecast: Here’s another challenging affair, an extended grass sprint for $25,000 claiming fillies and mares that offers several possibilities. Best advice is to spread as deeply as your budget allows. Invincibella switches to F. Prat, and on that angle along is a logical contender. Though she’s just 2-for-24 during her career, the English-bred mare has recent form at this level that makes her a major player, and in a race that doesn’t have all that much early speed signed on she should be comfortably placed throughout and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. A nice series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs since her most recent outing in early May is another positive factor. Lavender is a first-off-the-claim play for a low profile outfit so there’s no guarantee she’ll perform as well for the J. Glenn stable as she did for J. Sadler. However, the Irish-bred mare is a three-time winner over the Santa Anita turf track and shows a healthy series of recent workouts at Los Alamitos that should have the daughter of Born to Sea ready to fire a good shot. With good racing luck, this prototype late-running grass sprinter will be heard from late. A New Peace returns on short rest (two weeks) and turns back to a sprint. Her form suggests she’s better sprinting than routing and on pure numbers is a solid fit while returning to her claim level. Little Bird has been tried around two turns in each of her nine U.S. outings while always displaying a tendency to flatten out in the final stages. Today, she’s finally given a chance to sprint and on the chance that the turn back in trip will bring out her best, the Irish-bred mare is worth including on a ticket or two as a price chance.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:32 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Over Attracted; 2-She’s a Dime

Forecast: Over Attracted will be making her 15th career start in this allowance optional claiming miler but this will be her first race over conventional dirt, and she certainly trains like a filly who’ll appreciate the switch in surface. This will also be her first start in blinkers, and a recent five furlong main track drill in :59 4/5 with the hood on was her best drill since arriving from France last year. From the rail we’re expecting the daughter of Atreides to secure a favorable ground-saving, stalking position behind the committed front-runners and then have her chance to pounce and go by when called upon. She’s a Dime, fresh from a career top victory vs. starter’s $20,000 allowance foes, projects as the controlling speed, though she’ll likely be stalked and pressured from the get-go by recent gate-to-wire winner Ole Silver, who most likely will be sent from the bell by J. Pyfer, who isn’t inclined to wait around for anybody. It’s possible that the two speed types hook up, or at least set quick early fractions that could play to the strength to Over Attracted, who prefers to settle and make a run. But regardless of the race flow, in a five-runner affair, everybody should have their chance.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:03 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Brittle and Yoo; 6-Buy Wave Buy

Forecast: Brittle and Yoo returns from Oaklawn Park after earning a career top speed figure when second (while three lengths clear of the rest) in an optional claiming middle distance affair in late March and sports a steady, healthy series of recent workouts to have her primed for a similar performance today. The switch to turf shouldn’t be an issue, so against this considerably soft restricted (nw-2) $25,000 group of fillies and mares the J. Sadler-trained daughter of Include should have no excuses. Buy Wave Buy is a sparingly-raced 5-year-old mare dropping into a proper spot, and with a sharp recent training track drill earlier this month the daughter of Unusual Heatwave appears primed for a major effort. Reunited with “win rider” T. Baze, the A. Barba-trained mare earned a good number when breaking her maiden three runs back last November at Del Mar, and after being overmatched in a hot sprint vs. tougher last time out she could rebound in a big way against this group at 6-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:34 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Mulligan; 6-Agreetodisagree; 8-Taming the Tigress

Forecast: Mulligan launches a comeback for a stable that boasts superior stats with layoff runners (30% with a massive ROI) so we’re expecting the daughter of Trappe Shot to return at least as well if not better than she left in this starter optional claiming main track sprint for fillies and mares. A debut winner at Del Mar last summer (so we know she can fire fresh), the R. Baltas-trained filly will be making her first start on dirt but is bred for it and trained well on it so we’re hoping the surface switch won’t be an issue. The main concern is her lack of tactical speed, she’ll need good racing luck from the rail, and some help up front. Taming the Tiger is another dangerous comebacker shipping in from San Luis Rey Downs and perhaps in the one to fear most. The daughter of Smiling Tiger, a maiden claiming winner when last seen in September at Del Mar, returns protected while attracting top rider F. Prat, so we expect the P. Miller-trained filly to fire a huge shot from her cozy outside post. She’s had six workouts in her current pattern so she should be fit enough. Agreetodisagree, second in her last pair, gets a break in the weights with the switch to J. Pyfer and projects to be forwardly placed throughout. Beaten at 40 cents on the dollar last time out, she’s apparently not one to trust, but the P. Eurton-trained filly has numbers that fit and is worth including in rolling exotic play, at least as a back-up.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:05 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Hudson Ridge; 7-Flashiest

Forecast: Hudson Ridge is improving with racing and just won the listed Cinema S. over this course and distance last month despite being badly bothered soon after the start that cost him valuable early position. That the son of American Pharoah was able to overcome the early trouble made his victory that much more impressive, and with a sharp, easy half mile breeze on the training track since that race we’re expecting the B. Baffert-trained colt to produce another forward move in this first-level allowance race that he conveniently remains eligible for. From the rail, he’s guaranteed a ground-saving, pace-prompting trip. Flashiest is unbeaten in two starts and was visually quite impressive when winning an optional claiming grass miler last month with an impressive turn of foot from the quarter pole home. Privately purchased by sharp connections after that outing (but remaining in the L. Powell barn), the son of Mizzen Mast switches to F. Prat, gets an extra furlong to work with, and looks clearly to be the most dangerous of the late-runners. We’ll prefer Hudson Ridge on top but include both in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:36 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Ax Man; 5-Midcourt

Forecast: Ax Man has never been the most consistent of performers – it seems that he either wins or you can’t find him – but the one thing that is for certain is that he’s much more consistent routing than sprinting. Unbeaten in three starts over this track and distance, the veteran gelding projects as the controlling speed in this stakes-quality allowance main track miler while being reunited with M. Smith, who has won on him in the past. A bullet :58 1/5 five furlong workout just six days ago should have the son of Misremembered on his goes. Midcourt returns off a nearly six month freshening and probably is using this race as a springboard to Del Mar, but the son of Midnight Lute has trained well if not particularly fast in recent weeks and should at least give a good account of himself. You can use him as a back-up or a saver, but the main punch should go to Ax Man.
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RACE 11: Post: 6:07 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-La Gioiosa; 5-Cider Apple; 9-Rhythm and Grace

Forecast: La Gioiosa has a nightmarish trip when a self-caused much-troubled fifth in her U.S. debut in a similar maiden special weight turf event for fillies and mares (the “trouble line” in the DRF makes no mention of it), and if she minds her manners today the French-bred filly absolutely can beat this field. A four length winner in France last summer but subsequently disqualified, she was Group-3 placed at Deauville before being imported to California. In her local bow, the P. Gallagher-trained filly broke poorly to lose her early position, pulled very hard and became rank entering the backstretch, waited for room entering the lane and then finished willingly to wind up third, beaten less than four lengths, before galloping out strongly past the wire. U. Rispoli stays aboard and will be aware of her antics, so if he can secure a good position and get her to switch off with cover, the daughter of Myboycharlie should be along in time. Rhythm and Grace and Cider Apple are worth including in rolling exotic play as savers. The former is a bit too one paced for our liking but finished a willing third in the same race our top pick exits and will appreciate today’s longer trip, while the latter, beaten a nose vs. similar over this course and distance in late April, shows rising speed figure with each outing but has had just one workout in the seven weeks since she last raced.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:21 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 6/18/21

June 18, 2021
Every Friday and Saturday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

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Belmont Park Race 4 - Post time: 1:31 ET
5-Divine Wine (4-1)

Juvenile daughter of Into Mischief filly from an Australian group stakes-placed mare was quite impressive breezing a furlong in 10 1/5 seconds at the OBS March Sale before bringing $275,000 through the ring and makes her debut in this six furlong grass dash for the always-powerful I. Ortiz, Jr./C Brown team. A solid series of drills at Monmouth Park should have her plenty fit, and in a wide open fray she appears to have found a proper spot to graduate at first asking. At or near her morning line of 4-1 she’s a win play and a rolling exotic single.
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Gulfstream Park Race 5 - Post time: 4:03 ET
9-Forever Souper (5/2)

Quick, athletic son of American Pharoah has displayed plenty of talent in his morning preps leading up to this five furlong sprint for 2-year-olds and will be tough to beat at first asking if he leaves cleanly from the gate. The Live Oak Stud homebred hasn’t missed a beat in a series of recent drills and goes for the red-hot M. Casse barn while landing the stable’s current “go to” rider E. Gonzalez. There’s plenty of wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play at 5/2 on the morning line if you can get it. Exacta players should consider hooking up another promising newcomer, Octane, with our top pick.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:23 AM

Stradivarius Out of Tune in Gold Cup

June 17, 2021 | By Johnny D
In Thursday afternoon’s only G1 race at Ascot, 4-year-old Subjectivist won the two and one-half miles 4.15 pm Gold Cup over 28-1 shot Princess Zoe. Mark Johnston trained the winner, his fourth Gold Cup success, and jockey Joe Fanning was aboard for owner Dr. Jim Walker. Spanish Mission finished third at 7-1.

But, perhaps, the day's biggest news surrounded 5/6 favorite Stradivarius--going for his fourth Gold Cup victory and a tie with Yeats as the all-time winningest runner in the race’s history--finishing fourth. The popular 7-year-old never really got a clear run until late and even then, perhaps discouraged by earlier restraint, couldn’t muster enough to hit the trifecta for trainers John & Thady Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori.

The Gosden’s enjoyed their second longshot winner in as many days as Loving Dream pulled off an 18-1 upset in the 3.40 G2 Ribblesdale Stakes. It also marked the training team’s fourth win of the week. Ridden by Robert Havlin, the 3-year-old filly was always prominent in the mile and one-half race before making a winning move and holding off late challengers. 17/2 Eshaada closed for second and 28-1 Nicest was third. The winning $1 trifecta returned over $5,000!

Friday’s card features 2 G1 races—The Commonwealth Cup at six furlongs for 3-year-old colts and fillies, as the third race, and The Coronation at one mile for 3-year-old fillies, as the fourth. The G3 Albany, for 2-year-old fillies at six furlongs, begins the card at 9:30 a.m. ET and is followed by the G2 King Edward VII, for 3-year-olds colts and geldings at one mile and one-half.

An interesting runner in the Commonwealth Cup is #21 Suesa, George Strawbridge’s unbeaten 3-year-old Irish-bred, French-raced filly trained by Francois Rohaut and ridden by William Buick. She’s a multiple G3 winner that has acted over heavy and soft ground for three of her four wins. That’s good news for connections because rain is forecast overnight and for Friday afternoon.

Close second choice in the Commonwealth Cup at 5-1 is Stonestreet Stables’ Campanelle, also an Irish-bred filly with three wins out of four starts, her only defeat coming in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly Turf at Keeneland in November. She was a G1 Prix Morny winner in France and a G2 Queen Mary heroine at Ascot in Great Britain at 2. Before that she broke maiden at Gulfstream Park. Wesley Ward trains and Frankie Dettori rides.

In the Coronation, 7-2 morning line favorite #6 Mother Earth will attempt to enhance a four-race G1 in-the-money streak for trainer Aidan O’Brien and jockey Ryan Moore. She closed resolutely to finish second in the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf in November and returned to win the G1 One Thousand Guineas at Newmarket in May.

9-2 second choice #10 Pretty Gorgeous for John Oxley, Joseph O’Brien and Frankie Dettori failed as favorite last out when beaten by Coolmore’s #2 Empress Josephine in the G1 Irish One Thousand Guineas. It was the first time the former has been off the board in six starts and it was her first out since October. Perhaps, she has a right to improve with an outing or, maybe, she won’t be able to transfer that fine 2-year-old form into her 3-year-old season.

Race On!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:25 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#4 Vintage Gin	Would love to see them have a go for the front with only one other honest pace horse signed on, and she has done her best work at this trip in the past.
#7 Bird Traffic	She's a pretty reliable finisher and will run off the claim, but she feels a bit more likely in the underneath spots than on top in a race that doesn't offer the best race flow.
#6 Mae Sai Princess	She's got a real chance on the big plunge, but I wouldn't be lining up to take something like the 9/5 ML price against this group given the very dull recent form.
Race Summary	Vintage Gin is quick enough to have the front here, and he might have something left in the tank at a price if #9 Like Me Or Not doesn't hassle him too much early.

Charles Town - Race #7

#9 Cool Mo	I thought that was an encouraging first run off the claim, and she might be better if she catches a fast track after a couple of runs in the off going.
#4 Mary's Jewel	She'll have to hold her form on the move to this 7% barn, but something like her last would keep her right in the mix with these.
#6 Secret Account	Think she has some chance to share underneath at a price, as she's likely to sit in just behind what pace there is tonight.
Race Summary	Cool Mo would be playable at something like her 12/1 ML, and she isn't far removed from some good races with better. Think maybe she goes a bit overlooked with these.

Charles Town - Race #8

#9 Power Sonde	Think we might get a fair price on this one after a chase and fade debut run, but she can probably move forward off of that effort and might appreciate dry footing.
#1 Just Ask Me	That was a really nice first try for the new barn, and she's a major threat here if she's able to work out a tactical trip from the fence.
#5 Walk a Fine Line	She seems as likely as any of them in here, but I worry that she's overbet against a group that doesn't have a whole lot else to offer on paper.
Race Summary	Power Sonde can probably build on the debut run in which she was no threat while chasing to no avail. The price should be right to see if she can work out a forward trip with these on what might be friendlier footing tonight.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:26 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#7 N EXPENSE	All revved up with no place to go until closing yards.
#1 ER HOTSHOT	Consistent, versatile, draws rail for new barn.
#2 ALWAYSASWEETVICTORY	Can make good use of his speed at good price.
Race Summary	N Expense sat an anxious third after starting from the second tier, was trapped on the turn and blocked with run in the stretch as the pace setter prevailed. Play a 7 with 1,2 with ALL trifecta.

Meadowlands - Race #2

#8 GYPSY LEATHER	Went down fighting in bid for 47th victory, meets similar foes.
#6 BUGGER BRUISER	Out and moving at half, wore down top one to prevail.
#7 PREPPY ART	Rallied for third at this level when last seen 5 weeks ago.
Race Summary	Gypsy Leather made a backside brush to the lead, drifted out some at the top of the stretch, then battled gamely inside of winning fave Bugger Bruiser to finish second. The classy 12-year-old can turn the tables despite starting outside.

Scioto Downs - Race #10

#7 MISSION ACCEPTED	Cruised to 25th victory, millionaire status awaits.
#6 JAILHOUSE SAM	Finished a clear second to 'Mission' from post 8 starting spot.
#1 SETIT AND FORGETIT	Adapted to front-end tactics to win as fave at Northfield.
Race Summary	Mission Accepted stepped on the gas through a :56.2 middle half for his fifth win in 10 starts this year. No reason to think he won't do it again, but don't expect 5-2 morning-line price. Play a 7-6-ALL trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 06:27 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#4 Bimini	Often has defeated better than this and has won three of her last five, with two thirds among those starts; can win in her second off the claim for Crichton.
#5 Hartling	Was fourth vs. similar in last time in her first race off a bottom claim by D'Angelo; had won two straight heading into that one and is a much-improved Mucho Macho Man filly.
#7 Tiz Possible Dear	Got loose halfway through her last and ran off to an easy victory; is an eight-time winner over the strip and will be tough again.
Race Summary	Bimini does well here and can adjust to any pace; tuned up for her second off the claim and can wear them down.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#8 Katz a Dream	Was too late in her mild bid last time and was a closing third two back; very dangerous here.
#1 Daddy's Joy	Ran an even fourth in a tough race last time and can finish well vs. these.
#5 Morning Colors	Just missed in her last one of 2020 and has trained well for her first off the seven-month layoff; in the hunt.
Race Summary	Katz a Dream can get a decent pace setup here and will be moving best at the end.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#3 Silverly Enough	Was a non-threatening third running longer last time but was flying at the end of his last sprint and finished second; will be difficult to contain him late.
#2 Kalu	Has been very tough in his last three and is a big player on the front end; looks like one to catch.
#5 Septemberten	Was an even third in a fast race last time and could get a perfect trip just off the pace; take seriously.
Race Summary	Silverly Enough has an impressive closing move in sprints and can be along in time vs. this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 02:58 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pleasanton

Pleasanton - Race 3	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $1 Pick 5 (50-cent min.)(Races 3-4-5-6-7)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 3:47P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DREAMER'S REALITY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the high est TrackMaster Power Rating. SIERRA MELODY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. PEQUENO MONTE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KLAY NATION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3	DREAMER'S REALITY	7/2	9/2
5	SIERRA MELODY	9/5	9/2
4	PEQUENO MONTE	2/1	8/1
2	KLAY NATION	6/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	SIERRA MELODY	5	9/5	Front-runner	87	83	96.0	82.8	74.8
3	DREAMER'S REALITY	3	7/2	Front-runner	80	83	82.8	79.2	76.2
4	PEQUENO MONTE	4	2/1	Stalker	88	76	74.6	77.8	71.8
2	KLAY NATION	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	77	75.4	77.4	69.4
6	GENTLEMAN'S SECRET	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	78	97.0	73.0	63.5
1	LEADVILLE	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	83	93.2	75.0	69.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 02:59 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 5	Win / Place / Show / Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Minimum) / Daily Double / Pick 3 (.50 Minimum)
Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 71 • Purse: $39,967 • Post: 7:42P
FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * KWAI CHANG: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. A BRUSH OF LUCK: Horse has a TrackM aster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. KAYLA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse is a first time starter and its mare's win percentage with first timers i s at least 50. WARRIOR'S RUN: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1	KWAI CHANG	5/1	3/1
8	A BRUSH OF LUCK	9/2	4/1
4	KAYLA	3/1	6/1
5	WARRIOR'S RUN	7/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure

Unknown Running Style: KWAI CHANG (5/1) [Jockey: Gonzalez Elvin - Trainer: Arnett Jon G], FRANKLY EPIC (15/1) [Jockey: Pusac Alberto - Trainer: McShane David D], TOUGH AINT ENOUGH (10/1) [Jockey: Melancon Jansen - Trainer: Tracy Tanner], KAYLA (3/1)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:00 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Stronach 5

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 54

PIM - R8 - FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 GOLDEN G 4/5
# 9 PEPE AND HEYWOOD 9/2
# 1 CALLED TO RISE 6/1

GOLDEN G looks to be a quite good contender. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Gonzalez running at this distance are the most favorable in this group of animals. Cruz will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early for this race. Should definitely be given a chance in this event if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig garnered in the last race. PEPE AND HEYWOOD - The speed figure of 54 from his most recent contest looks very good in here. Earning some nice money in dirt sprint contests. CALLED TO RISE - Opposing a much softer bunch than last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:00 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,400 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#3 WARFRONT PEACE RVF (ML=5/2)

WARFRONT PEACE RVF - This mare is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. She'll most likely come from deep to circle the field and should be in fabulous shape to be a winner.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ELITE SPEED (ML=7/5), #4 GAVIE (ML=3/1), #6 KAY SYRAH SYRAH (ML=7/2),

ELITE SPEED - This probable favorite ran on May 26th and hasn't had a morning drill since. GAVIE - Tough to support any animal that runs as well as she did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. KAY SYRAH SYRAH - 51/31/24, are the decreasing speed ratings for this less than sharp equine. This entrant ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's event running that figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 WARFRONT PEACE RVF to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 4
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:01 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 86

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 ROLLING ALONG 2/1
# 1 PRESIDENTIAL EMBRACE 4/1
# 6 HIGH VALUE OF RETURN 8/1

ROLLING ALONG is my choice. Cruz should be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event. Overall the speed figures of this pony look very good in this contest. He has competitive class ratings, averaging 90, and has to be given consideration in here. PRESIDENTIAL EMBRACE - Looks quite good to be close to the front end at the first call. Could beat this group given the 81 Equibase speed fig posted in his last outing. HIGH VALUE OF RETURN - This colt obviously likes the distance, going 4 out of 9 in his races recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:02 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Santa Anita - Race #5 - Post: 3:01pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $36,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating:

#4 LOUD LOUD MUSIC (ML=7/2)
#7 MADAME BARBARIAN (ML=8/1)

LOUD LOUD MUSIC - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. This one likes to win at multiple race tracks. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. This horse is at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. She looks strong in today's race. MADAME BARBARIAN - I certainly see favorable signs for this thoroughbred right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 A NEW PEACE (ML=3/1), #6 INVINCIBELLA (GB) (ML=7/2), #3 MISS LUCY (IRE) (ML=4/1),

A NEW PEACE - No good results for this questionable contender in a sprint affair over the last 60 days tells me that this mare is in a thorny spot This mare didn't race too well last time out. INVINCIBELLA (GB) - This mount didn't do much for me last out finishing fourth. Can't expect any betterment in today's event. Not probable for this horse to make a winning move with no recent good showings in a short distance race. Will be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. MISS LUCY (IRE) - Didn't finish in the money on April 18th at Santa Anita. Followed it up with another lackluster effort.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 LOUD LOUD MUSIC to win at post-time odds of 9/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:03 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

06/18/21, CD, Race 8, 4.22 ET
06/18/21,CD,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:41:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $106,000 (includes up to $39,900 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $30,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over Since April 18 Allowed 2 lbs. $24,000 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $80,000 (Races Where Entered For $62,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	10	King Abner	6/1	Murrill M	Hartman Chris A.	TSFL	235	35.74	1.61/$1
097.1632	11	My Sixth Sense	10/1	Garcia M	Hobby Steve		235	35.74	1.61/$1
096.6477	1	Sonneman	5/2	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	JC	235	35.74	1.61/$1
095.8393	4	Mailman Money	8/1	Saez G	Calhoun W. Bret		235	35.74	1.61/$1
095.5864	2	Royal Mesa	12/1	Bejarano R	Sims Philip A.		235	35.74	1.61/$1
095.1654	8	Treasure Trove	5/1	Gaffalione T	Maker Michael J.		235	35.74	1.61/$1
093.9251	5	Core Beliefs	10/1	Van Dyke D	Lynch Brian A.	E	235	35.74	1.61/$1
093.9216	7	Finnick the Fierce	20/1	Morales E	Hernandez Rey		235	35.74	1.61/$1
093.2931	6	Final Jeopardy	30/1	Lanerie C J	Shirer Matt A.	W	235	35.74	1.61/$1
092.9107	3	Enforceable	7/2	Beschizza A	Casse Mark E.		235	35.74	1.61/$1
092.1385	9	Code Runner	30/1	Talamo J	Fernandez Jose		235	35.74	1.61/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 25.00, ROI 0.98/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.8368
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Race Type Not Claiming

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2021, 03:04 PM

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