Friday 6/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:22 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 6/4/21

June 4, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

Click Here to View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report

RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Lemonade Stand; 3-Henchman

Forecast: The Friday opener, a maiden $50,000 claimer on turf, drew just five entrants, topped by the 9/5 morning line favorite Lemonade Stand. The T. Yakteen-trained gelding had no excuse when a non-threatening fourth in a similar affair last month, but the race earned a pretty decent number and today’s nine furlong distance should produce a much more comfortable early pace. The lightly-raced son of Lemon Drop Kid may have a bit more improvement in him than the others and based on the projected pace flow he could inherit the role as the controlling speed if such a strategy is employed. Henchman was a well-beaten fifth at 71-1 in his debut, but he exits a live, productive and highly-rated maiden special weight event and with that bit of experience behind him seems certain to improve in this much softer affair. The barn is solid with second-time starters, so at 8-1 on the morning line this Grazen gelding is worth including in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B+
Single: 4-Flatterwithjewels

Forecast: Let’s go with the sprinter-stretching-out angle in this restricted $16,000 claiming miler for fillies and mares. Flatterwithjewels is bred to run long and seems likely to produce a forward move after chasing a much tougher group in a starter optional claiming sprint two months ago in what was just her second career start and her first since a debut maiden win at Los Alamitos last summer. The daughter of Flatter switches to the barn’s “go-two” rider J. J. Hernandez and should find herself in an ideal pace stalking/pressing early position and then have every chance to seal the deal when her best is needed. The D. Hofmans-trained filly is 2-1 on the morning line but if she leaves lower than that we can still use her as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:10 PT Grade:
Use: 3-Sunshine Babe; 4-So Very Smart

Forecast: We’ve got this race down to two main players. Sunshine Babe, the 6/5 morning line favorite, is gradually improving with racing and most recently earned a career top number when a non-threatening second while well clear of the rest in a similar maiden special weight turf miler for California-bred fillies and mares. She’s likely to draft into a comfortable second flight stalking position and then have dead aim on the leaders from the top of the lane to the wire. So Very Smart, a $50,000 claim by D. O’Neill last month, closed well but too late when fifth in a dirt sprint lats month in what was just her second career outing. She is being raised into straight maiden company today in a sign of confidence and is bred to improve a ton going long on the lawn and, so we’re expecting her to step forward under today’s conditions. Additionally, the barn has strong stats with the first-off-the-claim angle (21%) so at 6-1 on the morning line she offers legitimate wagering value.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-We All Agree; 5-Ruby Ray; 6-Harddiane

Forecast: We All Agree is a homebred first-timer by the promising freshman stallion Unified from a barn that excels with two-year-old runners this time of the year. A bullet three furlong gate workout (34 3/5 seconds, fastest of 34)) last month catches the eye as does a subsequent half mile drill on the flat of 47 4/5 seconds, 11th fastest of 65), so let’s assume this L. Mendez-trained filly is a fit and ready. Harddiane has the benefit of a prior run – a non-threatening but willing runner-up in a fast race last month – and seems likely to improve with that race behind her and today’s extra furlong to work with. We’re expecting this daughter of Hard Spun to be running on late. Ruby Ray has done some good work in the a.m. for D. O’Neill and must be considered as well. From the first crop of Del Mar Futurity-G1 winner Klimt, she was purchased at the OBS March Sale for $55,000 after previewing nicely in 10 1/5 seconds and has been given a good foundation since arriving in California.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:18 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Lucky Peridot

Forecast: Lucky Peridot is listed as the even money morning line favorite in this five-runner $25,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares, and while her overall record (three wins, 12 seconds/thirds in 23 starts) doesn’t quite justify heavy backing in the win pool the P. Miller-trained mare certainly should have this field over a barrel. Strong in the speed figure department and stretching out again to her preferred trip, the daughter of Itsmyluckyday was a sharp winner over this course and distance in January and didn’t run badly in three subsequently starts against considerably tougher foes than she’s facing today. She projects to settle into a cozy stalking position and then be able to exert her superiority when given her cue. You can take the short price if you’d like or simply pass the race.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:50 PT Grade: X
Single: 1-Illumination

Forecast: Here’s another heavy favorite that looks hard to ignore. Illumination, a maiden in four starts during her juvenile season but stakes-placed twice, has been burning up the track for her first outing since October and appears bigger, stronger, and quicker this time around based on her recent workouts. The B. Baffert-trained daughter of Medaglia d’Oro adds Lasix while returning for what should be easy pickings in this five-runner maiden sprint and thus is listed at 3/5 on the morning line. She’s an obvious no-value rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:22 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-A New Peace; 6-Nice Ice

Forecast: A New Peace earned a career top speed figure when missing by a neck in a fast, highly-rated and productive starter’s allowance event over this course and distance in late April and has trained well since, so with any kind of forward move the daughter of Declaration of War should be hard to beat. The S. Knapp-trained mare, with just six starts on her resume after missing her entire four year-old campaign, has a good stalking style and should be forwardly placed and free of trouble throughout. Nice Ice can be tough on the front end or from a stalker’s position so regular rider T. Baze, who knows her well, can assess the pace flow and then pick his early position. A repeat of her clever score when facing $40,000 claiming rivals two runs back probably would be good enough to win. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics with a slight preference on top to A New Peace.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:49 PT Grade:
Use: 2-Call Nine One One; 3-Stir the Pot; 4-Moon Mischief; 9-Mad Catter

Forecast: The finale is an inscrutable bottom-rung maiden claiming sprint for older horses. Nothing would surprise us, so the best advice is to include as many as you can afford in rolling exotic play. We’ll go four deep but with no real degree of confidence. Moon Mischief is a first-time gelding with a bullet recent workout at Los Alamitos following a distant runner-up effort vs. similar last month. The son of Into Mischief was claimed by a low percentage outfit last time out but may not have to improve much at all to outlast this bunch. Call Nine One One has a gradual improving pattern and may be a late threat after finishing a willing but non-threatening third in a decent race for the level last month. If he can produce another forward move, the son of Graydar should be heard from late. Stir the Post looks the like the quickest in the field but he’s a 12-race maiden and always has been suspect in the final furlong. Perhaps against this group he’ll be able to hang on. > Mad Catter is the least exposed in the field, having finished a fair third in a Turf Paradise sprint in early April. He’s drawn comfortably outside and shows a healthy series of local workouts since raced but is ridden by a jockey (E. Flores) who is just 2-for-101 at the meeting.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:23 AM

Friday, June 4: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks

June 3, 2021 | By Frank Carulli
LEG A // PIMLICO, RACE 8 (4:15PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 1/8 MILES (TURF)

With four of 11 entrants in the main body of the race trying turf for the first time and the others a combined 9-0-1-2 on grass, hit the ALL button.

LEG B // GULFSTREAM, RACE 6 (4:34PM ET) // CLAIMING // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

MISSING LINK has thrived in this dual condition, wiring the field in 4 of her last 5 starts. She got away easy on the lead last time and will be undervalued, but our hopes of hitting the Stronach 5 will rest on her nonetheless. RASMALAI will get alot of support off a well-bet debut victory, but note that she benefitted greatly when the race favorite was bumped into the rail by the second favorite, essentially eliminating both runners from contention.

LEG C // SANTA ANITA, RACE 3 (5:09PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 1 MILE (TURF)

SUNSHINE BABE, a bit fractious in the gate, made a run to the lead late on the final turn but was no match for the rallying 6-to-5 favorite at 1-1/8 miles. SO VERY SMART switches to turf off the O'Neill claim. She was well-backed last out, launched a 3-wide bid from far back at the half-mile pole and was fanned 7-wide in the stretch.

LEG D // GOLDEN GATE, RACE 3 (5:23PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 MILE (TURF)

SUMMER FUN steadily faded while under urgingin his 7F seasonal debut on the Santa Anita dirt, but he could take some catching from the rail if he fires his best shot. DRASARIO exited MSW company, battled up front in a pair of longer turf routes and settled for third both times. He was pestered by a 45-1 longshot last out and just missed after a stretch-long duel with the odds-on favorite.

LEG E // GULFSTREAM, RACE 8 (5:36PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

LEG E:(Race 8, Gulfstream Park, 5:36 EST) -- BREAKTHROUGH willingly chased the favorite through rapid splits until he gave way at the sixteenth pole. He appears the speed of the speed in here and offers good value. AWESOME BEACH back-pedaled in a fast-paced dirt sprint, but he worked a pair of bullets since them and makes his grass debut after he was entered in a pair of turf-to-dirt sprints last fall. HALCYON DIGEST steadied briefly into the far turn and rallied inside to finish third -- ahead of Breakthrough -- on the cutback from one mile.

SUGGESTED $1 STRONACH 5 TICKET

Leg A: ALL
Leg B: 8
Leg C: 3, 4
Leg D: 1, 6
Leg E: 2, 4, 5

Cost: $132

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:25 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 6/4/21

June 4, 2021
Every Friday and Saturday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

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Belmont Park Race 9 - Post time: 5:15 ET
9-Thundering Nights (6-1)

Arrives from Europe following a career top effort when an outstanding runner-up in the Alleged S.-G3 at The Curragh in April behind top class Broome, a performance that if repeated will be good enough to win today’s New York S.-G2 for older fillies and mares. Assigned an outstanding 118 Timeform in that outing that makes her a Breeders’ Cup level performer, the Irish-bred filly has good tactical speed, handles any going, and lands J. Velasquez for her stateside debut. Listed at 6-1 on the morning and offering wagering value at that price, the daughter of Night of Thunder warrants a play in the win pool, in exactas and trifectas (along with another likeable long shot Virginia Joy) and as a key in the various rolling exotics.

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Belmont Park Race 10 - Post time: 5:48 ET
8-Baron Samedi (8/5)

Trainer J. O’Brien and jockey J. Velasquez, who team up with Thundering Heights in the previous race, will try to make it two straight when they combine talents with this outstanding staying gelding in the Belmont Gold Cup-G2 over two miles on grass. The English-bred 4-year-old seeks his seventh straight score while arriving with Timeform ratings that make him a standout over this level of competition. With a good stalking style that should keep him free of trouble and the ability to handle softer surfaces if needed, this classy gelding can justify his 8/5 morning line favorite’s role as a rolling exotic single.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:33 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#9 Sister Joann	She has a little bit of appeal after getting claimed out of that really dull second start. She was racing two turns that night and now gets back to the trip that produced a useful debut effort. Think she has a price chance here.
#3 Singing Harmony	She drops back to the level of the claim for this one and figures tough, but she has had 11 chances and does not have to win this at a likely underlaid price.
#4 Daffydill	She's another who has had some chances, but she's a pretty reliable type and figures for an underneath piece. Still, she has not been a serious threat in four starts at this level, so something like the 9/5 ML price would be unappealing here.
Race Summary	Sister Joann is lightly raced compared to some of the obvious players, and she has room to improve while getting back around one turn. Maybe not getting all of the 10/1 ML offering, but she's interesting enough to accept a bit shorter price.

Charles Town - Race #7

#5 My Time in Court	He gets in easier after that starter/optional claiming spot, and he has never been in this easy. He's tactical enough to avoid finishing from too far off it, and there might be enough speed in here to set things up for a spying winner.
#1 Ruling	Dangerous pace looks for a third win in a row, but he's going to have to go from the fence with some speed drawn outside of him. He can wire these, but he might have to work for it.
#8 Soul Machen	He'll be a big price after finishing last when facing Ruling last out, but he might be able to pass enough of these late to land a share.
Race Summary	My Time in Court was outrun behind a quick pace last out, and he should be able to sit a bit closer behind another fairly honest pace tonight. His best stuff keeps him in the mix.

Charles Town - Race #8

#10 Charitable Visit	Guessing he can drop back and save some ground before launching a late rally, and he has been much more competitive with this kind in the past.
#3 Golden Appeal	Dropper looks tough on form, but he drops hard after the dull allowance try. Not sure if we should interpret this as a panicky drop as he gets back down to the level of the October claim, but I wouldn't want any short kind of price to find out.
#6 Goofy Boy	Finisher can be good for a thrill from time to time, and he'd be sort of interesting at something like the 6/1 ML price. Prefer the top choice over this one from off the pace.
Race Summary	Charitable Visit has a baseline effort that fits very well here, and he is much more likely to produce it tonight as he gets back to a more competitive level.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:34 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Scioto Downs - Race #6

#4 LIGHT IT UP MOORE	Win streak ended, but good try regardless in split race that timed 1-1/5 faster.
#3 CELEBRATE WITH ME	Strong recovery to just miss after breaking stride at the start, one to beat.
#1 KATIE'S LUCKY DAY	Sustained first-over bid for a win and a second from post 9 in same spot.
Race Summary	Light It Up Moore found a seat in fourth from post 8, stayed inside while the outer flow developed, then finished willingly on the rail in the faster division of a split race. He looms a forward factor at a tempting price today. Play a 1-3-4 exacta box.

Hawthorne - Race #1

#1 TAKEN CONTROL	Can be in control throughout in his second start back.
#4 NICE BIG JER	Discount latest from post 9, earned top recent speed fig in field prior.
#6 LIFE IN COLOR	Got past the fave, finished a game second on drop to this level.
Race Summary	Taken Control set a :56.1 half-mile pace before tiring at Hoosier Park. He can control a more sensible pace in his second start off an eight-month layoff for a hot driver and high-percentage trainer. Let's make him today's Best Bet.

Meadowlands - Race #2

#3 WESTERN REDHOT	Good fit at this level, could return quick claim dividend.
#1 FINAL JUSTICE	Finished 3 lengths behind 'Redhot,' moves inside, gets Gingras.
#5 IDEAL SON	Gets needed class relief for third start in the last 13 days.
Race Summary	Western Redhot led clear through a :55.3 opening half mile and held second after the 5-2 winner swept past. He makes his 198th start for a new barn and ran 1-2 in his last three tries at this level. Play a 1-3-5 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 06:35 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#6 Fighting Force	Was 1 1-4 lengths behind King of Dreams in the English Channel Stakes and was getting to the leaders; one to hold off.
#1 King of Dreams	Set the pace and just missed in the English Channel Stakes last out; at his lowest level since his maiden win in January.
#7 Eamonn	Was an easy winner in his last two and takes on the toughest company he's faced; was claimed out of a maiden claiming for $35K by the Orseno stable and looks like a good purchase.
Race Summary	Fighting Force ran out of real estate in the English Channel and can be more effective at this 1 1-8-mile distance.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#2 Oh Steve	Ran an even fourth in the Roar Stakes last out and has been a factor in three of four races. Fits well here.
#5 Gatsby	Rallied nicely and was up in time for an allowance win two back; runs well over the track and has been in fast races.
#1 Real Talk	Set a fast pace and was caught going seven furlongs last out; turns back by a furlong and can be difficult to catch.
Race Summary	Oh Steve has been with good company and will get an ideal pace setup here; can be rolling late.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#2 Breakthrough	Was claimed from Ward two back and ran fourth in his first for the Avila barn; can be in a good position throughout and could be the one to catch in the final furlong.
#5 Halcyon Digest	Ran on for third last out and had been on the front end in previous races; change in running style will come in handy here.
#6 Todaystheday	Best similar last time when he finished with a rush; solid player at the distance.
Race Summary	Breakthrough has the speed to be in the mix from the start and can dig in when challenged late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 6	Quiniela / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7
Maiden Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 5:00P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. MUD STONE is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MUD STONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	MUD STONE	2/1	8/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	FASCINATING BEAUTY	10	4/1	Front-runner	56	45	36.2	36.2	28.7
6	CAPTURE THE CROWN	6	15/1	Front-runner	0	0	33.9	33.9	23.4
5	GRAY GILDING	5	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	54.8	40.9	31.4
8	WHAT A BEAST	8	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	53	40	38.9	3.8	0.0
1	MUD STONE	1	2/1	Trailer	64	53	69.2	57.8	53.3
4	QUIQUE STYLE	4	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	52	52	68.3	36.0	30.0
7	WINE CELLAR	7	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	39.8	41.7	24.7
9	D ORO	9	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	49	43	32.2	32.2	19.2
3	DOLCEBENE	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	29.9	29.9	17.9
2	BALLET SHOW	2	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	20.8	20.8	2.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for FanDuel Horse Racing

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race 3	$1.00 Daily Double (Races 3-4) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) .10 Cent Superfecta
Claiming $3,200 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 8:28P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LONG LEGGED LINDA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LONG LEGGED LINDA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays. CAROLINA BEAST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TROPHY BRIDLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprin t and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
6	LONG LEGGED LINDA	7/2	4/1
3	CAROLINA BEAST	2/1	6/1
7	TROPHY BRIDLE	4/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	LONG LEGGED LINDA	6	7/2	Front-runner	71	70	60.6	51.4	46.4
3	CAROLINA BEAST	3	2/1	Stalker	66	68	52.6	62.8	57.3
2	DEAUVILLE MIST	2	5/1	Stalker	63	61	50.0	56.0	48.0
7	TROPHY BRIDLE	7	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	54	52.4	62.2	59.2
1	GHAALEB'S SICILIAN	1	9/2	Trailer	66	62	30.0	50.2	40.7
5	WAY TOO SMARTE	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	64	35.0	53.4	45.4
4	TOUR ON	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	54	32.8	41.6	28.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Monmouth Park - Race #6 - Post: 7:30pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $59,375 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#7 MORETHANACONQUEROR (ML=3/1)
#5 METEDECONK (ML=6/1)

MORETHANACONQUEROR - This animal collects a lot of money per start. I believe he can add to the lifetime earnings right here. METEDECONK - This rider and handler's animals have been generating a beneficial ROI.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 POGI (ML=2/1), #6 HIT ME I'M LUCKY (ML=7/2), #1 LIB'S CONTENTO (ML=7/2),

POGI - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance races recently. Not likely to see him doing it in today's event either. Finished second in his most recent effort with a pedestrian rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group. HIT ME I'M LUCKY - Morning line of 7/2 make this horse a pass by my approach. LIB'S CONTENTO - In this type of situation, this horse's inability to make up any ground in the last race is a troubling signal.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 MORETHANACONQUEROR to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special E

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $1000000 Class Rating: 112

HILL 'N' DALE METROPOLITAN H. BEL - R9 - GRADE 1 A HANDICAP FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 KNICKS GO 6/5
# 2 DR POST 9/2
# 1 MISCHEVIOUS ALEX 5/2

I've got to go with KNICKS GO. Has posted reliable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. Vaunts formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. DR POST - Has to be given a chance versus this group displaying competitive figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 105 under similar conditions. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Pletcher have shown strong results recently. MISCHEVIOUS ALEX - Is a contender - given the 113 speed figure from his most recent race. Will probably go to the lead and might never look back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:52 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Equibase Special H - Race #2 - Post: 12:47pm - Stakes - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $400,000 Class Rating: 101

Rating:

#5 TULANE TRYST (ML=20/1)
#3 JACKIE'S WARRIOR (ML=7/5)
#2 DRAIN THE CLOCK (ML=7/2)

TULANE TRYST - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been producing a lucrative ROI. I sense a pace scenario where the pace will fail to hang on, setting up a perfect situation for his late kick. JACKIE'S WARRIOR - A colt like this one, almost always in the top three, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. This colt is number one in earnings per race. Take a good look at this thoroughbred in the paddock. Asmussen moves this horse here to Equibase Special H from Churchill Downs. Looking at the horse's past performance lines, he has shown the ability to win on different tracks. DRAIN THE CLOCK - Ortiz was aboard this colt last time out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. I like a pony that manages to finish in the money as often as this colt. Almost always in the money so don't leave him out of your exotic bets. This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a high win percent, right around 43.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DREAM SHAKE (ML=5/2), #6 CADDO RIVER (ML=4/1), #1 NOVA RAGS (ML=8/1),

DREAM SHAKE - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint clash to be worth the chance at low odds in a sprint. CADDO RIVER - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint affairs in order to back him. NOVA RAGS - 8/1 is not worth the risk for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance event recently. Hard to bet this one after not being at the front at 1 1/8 miles and now being spotted in a race of 7 furlongs.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 TULANE TRYST to win if we can get at least 9/2 odds

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:52 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Stronach 5

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - SO - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $39000 Class Rating: 86

GP - R8 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $35,000. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000 (IF

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 HALCYON DIGEST 5/2
# 8 THE RED MAN 4/1
# 1 MR TINGLES 12/1

HALCYON DIGEST looks very strong to best this field. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Posted a decent Equibase speed fig last time out. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 83 avg speed figure. THE RED MAN - Has to be given a shot based on the decent speed rating put up in the last race. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figs (78 average) at today's distance and surface lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 08:53 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

06/04/21, CD, Race 3, 1.43 ET
06/04/21,CD,3,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:41:00 CLAIMING. Purse $29,400. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since May 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Jane's Gold Tour	10/1	Graham J	Cook Brian	JSW	239	33.05	1.31/$1
098.6233	3	Ann in the Middle	7/5	Hernandez. Jr. B J	McPeek Kenneth G.	E	239	33.05	1.31/$1
097.6905	1	Bow Down Tewmey	4/1	Miller C	Miller Darrin		366	24.59	1.20/$1
096.9505	4	Sequaya	5/2	Hernandez C J	Cook Brian	L	366	24.59	1.20/$1
093.8546	5	Templuna	9/2	Rocco. Jr. J	Wainwright John C.		366	24.59	1.20/$1
093.8200	2	Hellcat Warrior	8/1	Morales E	Hancock John A.	FC	239	33.05	1.31/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 26.87, ROI 0.75/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3767
[Category]Condition
[All Categories] Horse Age 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-04-2021, 10:49 AM

Tony Mejia

Event: (225721) Gibraltar at (225722) Slovenia
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks)
Date/Time: June 4, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Slovenia -3.0 (-125)
Gibraltar actually closed out 2020 with a pair of draws against fellow European minnows Liechtenstein and San Marino, which is also the last team it has defeated back in September. In 2021, playing much better competition, Gibraltar has been outscored 14-1 over three matches agianst Norway, Montenegro and the Netherlands, losing by three goals each time. Going on the road to Koper isn't likely to go well since Slovenia comes off a disappointing draw against North Macedonia in which it narrowly avoided a loss at the depth and badly needs a win after close road losses to Russia and Cyprus. Goalie Jan Oblak is a wall, so Gibraltar won't score. The offense has failed Slovenia and I think it will look to build confidence by using Gibraltar as a scrimmage pawn. Lay the three goals and expect a blowout. Ride Slovenia.

Friday 6/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 6/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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