Saturday 5/22/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351013

    Saturday 5/22/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351013

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis


    May 22, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
    Tonight, four-year-old trotters are the headliners at the Meadowlands as they are featured in Leg 1 action of the Graduate Series. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

    On Friday, Doug McNair and Yannick Gingras led the drivers were three wins. Jeff Cullipher was the top conditioners with two trips to the winner's circle. On the lead or close to it was the place to be last night as no winner closed from far back.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6

    6-Pikachu Hanover (3-1)-Team McNair entry races best near the top of the stack and there is no reason to think that won't be the case here. Big players start outside so will use looking for a favorable trip and could be overlooked at the windows.
    9-JL Cruz (7/2)-This is a soft spot and Dunn should have this veteran in striking range. The question is at what cost? But best to respect despite the post draw and should be hard to beat with a smooth trip.
    10-Ready For Moni (9/2)-Takter trainee was very good in the 5-14 qualifier despite losing the race to a tough foe by almost 6 lengths. Not sure what the game plan will be tonight, but it's risky to leave off the ticket at this level.

    Race 7

    1-Allywag Hanover (7/2)-Came off the bench on 5-1 with an even effort in the Graduate. The next start was on 5-15 in that same series, plus it was the 1st time for Lasix. The effort was good, raced near the lead and the fractions were swift so will look for even more tonight.
    4-Warrawee Vital (3-1)-Makes the 3rd start off the bench and has come 2nd in previous races. Did come very close in both and those winners aren't in this field. Should be on the engine soon after the word "go" and might not look back.

    Race 8

    1-Machnhope (3-1)-Winner of 3 straight has been that good and should be on top or in the pocket when the dust settles. The Daley barn is batting 32% over the past 30 days and this is probably not the time to overthink and try to beat.
    3-Alexa Skye (7/2)-This mare came out swinging in her 4-year-old season winning 8 of 12 on smaller and larger ovals. TMac should be sitting on top or right behind his brother (#1). Winner in 5 of 11 starts at M1 looks like a major threat.

    Race 9

    6-Ideal Feeling (15-1)-Going to stretch out in this leg and there a number of ways this one could play out. Clarke trainee shipped up from the Pomp to PcD to face better than this without any luck. But did post a 148.0 mark here last year and has big gate speed. Could be put in play early and should be a juicy price.
    7-Franco Totem N (8-1)-Dunn's choice over #10 has had a string of dull efforts but fits better with this kind. Winner of 10 in 38 starts at M1 might be in a spot to wake-up at a solid price.
    8-Shake That House (15-1)-Raced from the back in a needed start, went a very fast 2nd-half and that was the first time using Lasix. TMac is between the pipes again and he might be more aggressive this time. Quick fractions would help the cause and that could happen.
    9-Nandolo N (3-1)-Was far back early last week in season debut, and smoked the 2nd half with a 25.3 final panel. Should be a player but this post may pose a big challenge. Plus, this Betterthancheddar 7-year-old is making only the 2nd U.S. start. Tough to leave off the ticket but probably won't offer any value and it's too early to get a very good good read.

    0.50 Early Pick 4

    6,9,10/1,4/1,3/6,7,8,9
    Total Bet=$24
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351013

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 5/22/21

      May 22, 2021

      Every Friday and Saturday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

      *

      Churchill Downs Race 1 - Post time: 6:00 ET
      7-Roger McQueen (3-1)

      This promising first-timer breezed the fastest time for the distance at the OBS March Sale when he sizzled a quarter mile in 20 2/5 seconds and then brought $530,000 through the ring. From the first crop of the multiple graded stakes winning Unified out of a stakes winning mare, the L. Rivelli trained colt is bred for speed top and bottom and has done everything asked of him while preparing for this race in a series of recent sharp drills over the all-weather track at Arlington Park. We’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 3-1.

      *

      Churchill Downs Race 8 – Post time: 9:39 ET
      10-Big Dreaming (7/2)

      Been routing on grass most of his career but today’s one-turn dirt mile should suit him perfectly, so we’re expecting a career-top performance from this speedy colt in a contentious third level allowance event. A recent bullet recent five furlong drill over the local main track should have him on edge, and based on the projected race flow, it won’t be surprising to see him on or near the lead throughout from his comfortable outside draw,. At 7/2 on the morning line the W. Catalano-trained colt is a good gamble in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

      *

      Churchill Downs Race 9 – Post time: 10:11 ET
      4-Temple City Terror (5-1)

      This daughter of Temple City is bred to run all day and gets her first crack at a marathon distance in the Keertana Overnight Stakes at a mile and one-half for older fillies and mares. A one-paced grinder with an affection for the Churchill Downs grass course (two wins, one second, in three career starts), the B. Walsh-trained mare should have enough tactical speed to settle somewhere in mid-pack and then have every chance to out stay her rivals with her steady but relentless late kick. She’s listed at 5-1 on the morning line and given today’s elongated trip she’s worth a play at or near that price.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351013

        #4
        Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 5/22/21


        May 22, 2021
        Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
        *
        The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
        *
        *
        Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.



        RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
        Use: 2-Thumps Dream; 6-Styledome

        Forecast: Irish invader Thumps Dream was a clever winner of a 14-runner all-weather maiden event at Dundalk in February in just her second career start and has worked like she’s ready to continue her winning ways in her U.S. debut despite facing a stronger-than-par first-level allowance group of sophomore fillies in this one mile turf event. The R. Baltas-trained daughter of Dark Angel should settle into a ground-saving, second-flight early position and then have every chance to accelerate from the quarter pole home. Based on pedigree, there’s no reason she shouldn’t be just as effective on grass. Interestingly, the “other” Baltas in the race, the 9/5 morning line favorite Tetragonal, picks up F. Prat, which could indicate that she’s the barn’s preferred entrant of the two, but that’s an assumption that may not be accurate. Styledome chased the good stakes winning colt Du Jour in her local bow when given a race in late March and then produced a significant forward move when a good closing third, beaten just a length, in the California Oaks at Golden Gate Fields in late April. We’re expecting the P. Gallagher-trained filly to step forward again, and if the race flow is close to standard she should be heard from late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Thumps Dream.
        *
        *
        RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: X
        Use: 4-Ce Ce; 5-As Time Goes By

        Forecast: This four-runner graded stakes for fillies and mares boils down to two main players. You may opt to include both on your rolling exotic ticket, or you could take a stand one way or the other if you have the confidence that you can correctly separate them. As Time Goes By has a bit more tactical speed than chief rival Ce Ce and is faster on speed figures, but she picks up considerable weight off her facile score in the Santa Margarita S.-G2 and will be asked to carry 126 lbs. Meanwhile, Ce Ce gets in with 120 lbs. and if this race were a handicap, they’d be pretty close to even. Both continue to train well and are coming up to the race in peak form. There’s no real money to be made in either case, so we’ll wave the white flag and simply watch and enjoy.
        *
        *
        RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B
        Use: 5-Honey Jar; 6-Feathers

        Forecast: We find it interesting that F. Prat, who guided Honey Jar to a highly-rated and impressive maiden win over the local lawn last month, jumps off the 2-1 morning line favorite to ride the P. Miller-trained San Luis Rey Downs shipper Feathers in this first-level allowance grass dash restricted to 3-year-olds. To make that choice, you’d have to think that Prat’s agent must have gotten a pretty good story. Miller’s filly – an Irish-bred daughter of Zoffany who had an outing off the plane when eighth of nine in the Speakeasy Stakes last September – returns with Lasix, blinkers, and an eye-catching work tab that should have her fit and ready. Additionally, we know she can fire fresh - she won her debut in June of her juvenile season over a testing seven furlongs at Goodwood – so we’ll take the bait and put her on top at 4-1 on the morning line. As for Honey Jar, she produced a significant forward move when graduating in her second start by pressing the pace and then coming away with authority while earning an impressive speed figure. She has to be used somewhere on your ticket.
        *
        *
        RACE 4: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B
        Use: 4-Octopus; 5-Black Storm

        Forecast: We’ll use the first two favorites in this $16,000 claiming sprint for older horses and be surprised if the winner isn’t one or the other. Octopus returns to his claim level for D. O’Neill after chasing home the razor sharp Notre Dame in a much tougher starter’s allowance dash earlier this month and should find this group well within his capabilities. First or second in four of six starts over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Shackleford projects to draft into a comfortable pace-pressing position and then have his chance to exert his superiority when the pressure is turned on. Black Storm is a tough old pro (eight career wins, six over the local main track) and should be included as well, at least as a backup. He’s moving up a notch following a good score vs. $12,500 foes last month and will be running on late.
        *
        *
        RACE 5: Post: 3:15 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 3-Cider Apple; 5-Cinnte Winnte; 6-Lookintogeteven; 9-Miss Bella Ciao

        Forecast: We’re going to spread four deep in our rolling exotics and eliminate the 9/5 morning line favorite La Gioiosa, who by all rights should be the odds-on favorite based strictly on resume. She’s actually not a maiden – she “won” her second career start in France in a dead heat but got disqualified – and then finished second in the Prix Francois Boutin-G3 at Deauville in an effort that produced a strong 84 Timeform rating. But here’s the thing – she’s an extremely difficult filly to ride with a habit of tossing her head, drifting under pressure, and racing erratically – and we’re not convinced the addition of blinkers will make much of a difference. Against this group of maidens, she could make plenty of mistakes and still win, but there may be gambling value in trying to beat her and that’s what we’ll try to do. Miss Bella Ciao was well-meant in her recent comeback – she had one prior run in November at Del Mar and closed well in a promising effort – but lacked a clear path entering the lane and flattened out a bit late when fourth beaten just over a length in a similar maiden affair at nine furlongs. The daughter of Tapit shortens to a mile and has trained well in the interim, so if she can drop over from her outside draw and secure cover while being held up she could very well produce a winning late kick. At 4-1 on the morning line, we’ll put her on top. Lookintogeteven is a 14-race maiden and certainly not one to trust, but she did finish a good second over this course and distance last time out under F. Prat, who stays aboard, and is likely to make her presence felt from off the pace, Cider Apple strikes us as a one-paced grinder, but she will be dangerous if the pace flow favors her closing style. Look for her to be running on late. Cinnte Winnte is the “other” P. Gallagher entrant in the field. This will be her second U.S. outing and the Irish-bred 4-year-old filly should produce enough of a forward move to at least hit the board at a nice price.
        *

        RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: C
        Use: 1-Queen’s Code; 6-Head for Business; 7-Gone Somewhere; 8-Vaporized

        Forecast: This maiden special weight state-bred sprint came up fairly weak, at least among those that have raced. A live first-timer would be nice, but we’re not seeing any world beaters among the newcomers, so you probably should spread as deeply as your budget allows. Queen’s Code shows moderate form in three starts but is the morning line favorite at 2-1 by default. If he breaks cleanly from the rail, the C. Gaines-trained gelding should be forwardly placed throughout. Head for Business flashed speed on turf in his debut before weakening under pressure, but the barn has good stats with second-timers so this son of Boat Trip certainly could stick better today, especially with the addition of blinkers. Gone Somewhere and Vaporized both have shown a bit of ability in a.m. preps and represent stranger danger. In an open fray, you have to use them somewhere.
        *
        *
        RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: X
        Single: 6-Going Global

        Forecast: Going Global is unbeaten in three starts over the Santa Anita turf course since arriving from Ireland and there’s every indication that she’s set to fire another big shot in this year’s renewal of the Honeymoon S.-G3. The P. D’Amato-trained filly has enough tactical speed to adjust to any type of pace flow and proved in her most recent start that her superior turn of foot can be just as effective over nine furlong as it is at a flat mile. With regular pilot F. Prat staying aboard, she’s listed at 6/5 on the morning line with the possibility of going lower, so we’ll pass the race other than to make her a short price rolling exotic single.
        *
        *
        RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: C+
        Use: 1-Cousin Eddie; 3-Catbernay; 9-Shotgun Rider

        Forecast: We’ll use three in this maiden $50,000 claiming state-bred sprint but not with a high degree of confidence. Catbernay flashed speed before weakening in his debut at Los Alamitos in December and returns for new trainer K. Mulhall as a first-time Lasix user with a decent series of recent workout to indicate that he could be a better type now. Shotgun Rider has a progressive pattern, as does Cousin Eddie, and both exit the same race in which ‘Rider finished second, a neck in front of ‘Eddie. Preference on top goes to Catbernay – he may have the most potential for improvement – but this is a race we’re not planning on getting too involved in.
        *
        *
        RACE 9: Post: 5:26 PT Grade: B+
        Single: 7-Rain Diva

        Forecast: Although she hasn’t been out since last October, Rain Diva appears ready to extend her winning streak to three in this state-bred first-level allowance sprint following a string of good works that should have her primed and ready. She’s unproven on turf but the daughter of Temple City certainly is bred for the lawn and based on the career top speed figure she earned in her most recent victory she’s fast enough to outrun this group from gate to wire. At 4-1 on the morning line, she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
        *
        *
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351013

          #5
          Eddie Olczyk’s Saturday, May 22 Spot Plays


          May 21, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk
          NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk focuses on a trio of best bets from Belmont and Santa Anita this Saturday.

          //

          Belmont Park

          Race 4 // 2:33 pm ET // allowance// 1 mile (turf)

          #3 Fetching (10-1 ML)


          Mare didn’t seem to take to good turf course in her last start, but still finished a credible third to a nice Chad Brown filly – no disgrace there while wide most of way. Hoping for fast pace to set up fast finish from this one. Win-place bet.

          //

          Santa Anita

          Race 1 // 4:00 pm ET // allowance // 1 mile (turf)

          #5 Tetragonal (9-5 ML)


          She gets away from Madone (finally, after 3 tries), while first-time Lasix, second start off the layoff, adds jockey Flavien Prat, and gets speed to run at with Plum Sexy and Risen Lady in this race. All equals ‘Go Time.’ I will settle for 8/5 as a fair price on win play. Key in doubles as well and to start the early pick five.

          //

          Santa Anita

          Race 3 // 5:09 pm ET // allowance // 6 furlongs (turf)

          #2 Nimbostratus (3-1 ML)


          She’s back on Lasix today, and note the last two times this filly was on it resulted in a win and a second. She looks to be a one-turn filly on grass, so throw out last race around two turns, and her race prior puts her right there. Win bet.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351013

            #6
            Race of the Week: Saturday's Honeymoon at Santa Anita


            May 20, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
            $100,000 GRADE 3 HONEYMOON STAKES AT SANTA ANITA
            Saturday, May 22, 2021
            By Jeremy Plonk

            The Lead:
            A stakes double Saturday at Santa Anita shares the marquee, the Grade 2 Santa Maria up first in Race 2 and the Grade 3 Honeymoon in Race 7. Standouts Ce Ce and As Time Goes By should dominate the play in the Santa Maria, while the Honeymoon opens itself up to more options. This former Hollywood Park fixture was moved to Santa Anita in 2014 and features 3-year-old fillies over 1-1/8 miles on grass.

            ​Field Depth:
            GOING GLOBAL and MADONE are Grade 3 winners. QUATTROELLE and GOLDEN are Grade 3-placed. These are rather familiar foes without a massive class edge between them.

            Pace:
            No committed front-runners are among this 7-filly lineup. PIZZAZZ and MIDNIGHT DIVA appear most likely to set the tempo in what should be a modest pace that favors those near the front.

            Our Eyes:
            GOING GLOBAL has won 4 straight, the first of which in her native Ireland and 3 in a row since coming to Phil D'Amato's barn in California. Victories in Santa Anita's Sweet Life, China Doll and Providencia have spanned from 6 to 9 furlongs on grass. Her combined margin of victory stateside has been 1-1/2 lengths in those 3 races under leading jockey Flavien Prat. She's had a tendency to drift in the stretch and that keeps her from being a total standout given the small margin for error she's left herself in recent outings.

            Senorita Stakes 1-2 finishers MADONE and GOLDEN re-match over a full furlong farther in distance. A modest :24-1/5 final quarter in the Senorita at a mile gives real concern about both of these finishing with flair at 1-1/8 miles. Pedigree is not a concern in that department, but there are enough past performances showing to think both of these are best around a mile. MADONE has a bit more tactical speed than GOLDEN, which should help the way this pace appears to be slow. Trainer Richard Mandella also will send out PIZZAZZ, who could be part of the pace, and perhaps that could help set the table some for GOLDEN. Still, the preference here is MADONE in the re-match. PIZZAZZ exits a victory on Tapeta in Golden Gate's California Oaks and has done her best running when able to get near the front early. She could be dangerous in this spot given the pace scenario.

            QUATTROELLE also closed better going a mile than she did when extended farther in the Providencia. She was no match in either for GOING GLOBAL, but will add blinkers for the first time and could improve.

            Most Certain Exotics Contender:
            GOING GLOBAL hasn't missed a beat in 3 US starts and has a stakes win over the course and distance.
            ​​
            Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
            Trainer Michael McCarthy's barn has been hot in California and he comes off a national splash in the Preakness a week ago with Rombauer. MIDNIGHT DIVA gets an easy pace situation here to carry some natural speed as far as she can. In a race with a bunch of closing miler-types, she's run 3 straight at 9-10 furlongs and jockey Abel Cedillo won this race a year ago with a first-over run aboard Laura's Light.

            Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
            $60 exacta GOING GLOBAL over MIDNIGHT DIVA. $20 exacta GOING GLOBAL over PIZZAZZ. $20 exacta MIDNIGHT DIVA over GOING GLOBAL.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351013

              #7
              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


              Santa Anita - Race #5
              #7 Undisturbed Her barn doesn't do very good work off the layoff, so she has some upside here, and she really doesn't feel far off what it might take to score here at a fair price.
              #1 La Gioiosa Big dropper was last seen in Group I company, and she owns a Group III placing from last year. She looks like she's going to be a handful.
              #6 Lookintogeteven Can't argue much with that first run out of the new barn, but she's making her 13th career start, so I couldn't land here with any confidence in a race with some more appealing alternatives.
              Race Summary Undisturbed may offer a decent number on the board, and I'll hope she steps forward enough off that last one to get in the picture with La Gioiosa, who I think is going to be tough here, too.
              Santa Anita - Race #7
              #6 Going Global Gets the slight edge in what looks like a very top-heavy race between this one and the second choice. She has a slightly better finishing ability, and that gets her the call.
              #7 Madone Her only career loss came at the Breeders' Cup, so she's got a right to be tough, but the top choice is no slouch and has shown a bit more in this 3yo season than this one has.
              #2 Quattroelle Blinkers go one, presumably giving her some upside here, but she was no match for the top choice in a couple of recent meetings. Underneath today.
              Race Summary Going Global and Madone look tough to get past, but I'll side with the former off a couple of really sharp efforts in those last two.
              Santa Anita - Race #9
              #2 New Heat The barn does not do good work with layoff runners, so demand a price, but she brings some route pace cutting back into a spot where there is plenty of forward ability. Fall apart race?
              #7 Rain Diva She has only gone evenly in previous turf starts, but she went to the bench in good form on the dirt and might be able to bring something a bit better on the lawn today.
              #3 Squared Shady Her overall form stacks up nicely here, but she doesn't tend to pass horses very often, and the front end may not be the kindest place to be today.
              Race Summary New Heat would be a much higher confidence play if the barn wasn't so dull with this kind of layoff horse, but the race shape is too appealing to pass up at what should be a playable price.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351013

                #8
                Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                Meadowlands - Race #4
                #10 GODS SPIRIT Useful try with Lasix against hard hitters, gets Dunn, can get back on winning track.
                #2 HEZA REAL DIAMOND Good fit at this level, projects ideal trip, seeks 24th win.
                #7 STONEDUST In good form ascending ranks, can rally for minor awards.
                Race Summary Gods Spirit saved ground in mid-pack and lacked running room through a torrid 1:20.4 third-quarter split. He stayed on okay through the stretch and looms a major player on the class drop despite starting from post 10. Let's make him today's Best Bet.
                Northfield Park - Race #2
                #4 HALLE SHARK Back with own kind, should sit ideal trip at tempting price.
                #1 DELIGHT KATE Carried speed to three seconds in her last six starts.
                #8 MYSTICAL VIRGIN Steady check-getter just missed the last time at this level.
                Race Summary With plenty of speed to her inside, Halle Shark, a 25-time winner and open company class dropper, can stalk and pounce for an upset victory. Play a 4-ALL exacta.
                Pocono Downs - Race #3
                #1 CRAZYCAT Good finish on rail when free on sloppy track, early position key.
                #5 SHESWILDNFREE Five front-end victories in seven starts this year.
                #3 HOT SUMMER KNIGHT Steps up after win and a second, plenty of back class to summon.
                Race Summary Crazycat backed off an early, three-way battle for the lead, stayed on the rail throughout and surged late to just miss second. He could sit the pocket trip today and offers fair value if he does. Play a 1 with 3,5 with ALL trifecta.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351013

                  #9
                  Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                  Santa Anita - Race #1
                  #5 Tetragonal Lags back early but is capable of a strong late run; was unplaced in the G3 Senorita last time after a narrow second in the Surfer Girl stakes here. Gets a good pace setup here and is the one to watch late.
                  #2 Thrumps Dream Was a clear winner at Dundalk (Ire) and has four local works for her first start here; can bring the heat throughout.
                  #1 Jibber Jabber Was up in time for a maiden win in her second U.S. start; has enough speed to carve out a good trip just off the leaders and can be a strong player.
                  Race Summary Tetragonal has run well over this course and has the best closing move; well spotted here.
                  Santa Anita - Race #2
                  #4 Ce Ce Was an easy winner of an optional allowance in here first of the year and was a regular in graded races. Won the G1 Beholder and G1 Apple Blossom last year and can be effective in this short field.
                  #5 As Time Goes By Only failure lately was as second to Swiss Skydiver in this year's G1 Beholder; crushed foes in the G2 Santa Margarita last out. Has been an emphatic winner in three of her last four.
                  #3 Miss Stormy Set the pace in a sprint last out and could possibly be a hindrance to As Time Goes By on the front end.
                  Race Summary Ce Ce can get a good trip from just off the pace and has the late move to be successful.
                  Santa Anita - Race #7
                  #3 Golden Found her way through traffic and went from 10th to 2nd in the finish quarter-mile of the G3 Senorita; gets Umberto and can move well late.
                  #6 Going Global Was won her three U.S starts (all at Santa Anita) and has taken four straight, including her last European appearance at Dundalk (Ire). Can't knock her form and she makes her toughest local start.
                  #7 Madone Was up in time for the win in the G3 Senorita and has taken four of five career starts; clearly a big player.
                  Race Summary Golden showed a strong late run and just missed last time out; one to hold off.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351013

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park



                    Lone Star Park - Race 5
                    WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5,6,7,8,9)
                    Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 64 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 4:35P
                    (PLUS UP TO $3,060 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Dominant Class. FREE LIKE A GIRL is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FREE LIKE A GIRL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DIAL TEN FOR G: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                    7
                    FREE LIKE A GIRL
                    3/1
                    4/5
                    3
                    DIAL TEN FOR G
                    5/1
                    6/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    7
                    FREE LIKE A GIRL
                    8
                    3/1
                    Front-runner
                    68
                    66
                    64.5
                    62.6
                    60.6
                    Unknown Running Style: SUMMER LIGHTNING (6/1) [Jockey: Diego Iram Vargas - Trainer: Dodwell Jimmy Dale], EXPECT THE BOSS (5/2) [Jockey: Elliott Stewart - Trainer: Asmussen Steven M], O CHITA (5/2) [Jockey: Elliott Stewart - Trainer: Asmussen Steven M
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351013

                      #11
                      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

                      Evangeline Downs - Race 9
                      Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
                      Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 46 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 9:26P
                      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
                      Contenders
                      Race Analysis
                      P#
                      Horse
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Accept
                      Odds

                      Race Type: Lone Trailer. HERE COMES LINDA is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AUDACIOUS GIRL: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HERE COMES LINDA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ra nks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                      9
                      AUDACIOUS GIRL
                      8/5
                      5/2
                      7
                      HERE COMES LINDA
                      2/1
                      4/1

                      P#
                      Horse (In Running Style Order)
                      Post
                      Morn
                      Line
                      Running Style
                      Good
                      Class
                      Good
                      Speed
                      Early Figure
                      Finish Figure
                      Platinum
                      Figure
                      5
                      MAGIC APRIORITY
                      4
                      4/1
                      Front-runner
                      0
                      0
                      72.8
                      20.7
                      9.7
                      9
                      AUDACIOUS GIRL
                      10
                      8/5
                      Alternator/Front-runner
                      52
                      43
                      58.4
                      44.6
                      42.1
                      8
                      UNTUTTABLE SPEED
                      9
                      12/1
                      Alternator/Front-runner
                      45
                      19
                      47.8
                      23.4
                      11.9
                      3
                      CLEVER ARCH
                      2
                      20/1
                      Alternator/Stalker
                      0
                      0
                      75.8
                      22.2
                      9.2
                      2
                      MY LITTLE GUERA
                      1
                      15/1
                      Alternator/Stalker
                      0
                      0
                      45.4
                      29.9
                      24.4
                      7
                      HERE COMES LINDA
                      6
                      2/1
                      Alternator/Trailer
                      49
                      46
                      32.0
                      37.4
                      30.4
                      6
                      SENORITA TSUNAMI
                      5
                      15/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      47
                      32
                      34.8
                      19.8
                      7.3
                      1
                      DANCING DIXIE
                      7
                      10/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      0
                      0
                      28.4
                      1.9
                      0.0
                      4
                      LIL BEAU PETE
                      3
                      20/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      0
                      0
                      14.4
                      20.2
                      10.7
                      1A
                      HERE COMES JUANITA
                      8
                      10/1
                      Alternator/Non-contender
                      0
                      0
                      8.2
                      9.6
                      0.0
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351013

                        #12
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

                        Lone Star Park - Race 5
                        WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 5,6,7,8,9)
                        Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 64 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 4:35P
                        (PLUS UP TO $3,060 OPEN ATB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Dominant Class. FREE LIKE A GIRL is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FREE LIKE A GIRL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DIAL TEN FOR G: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
                        7
                        FREE LIKE A GIRL
                        3/1
                        4/5
                        3
                        DIAL TEN FOR G
                        5/1
                        6/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        7
                        FREE LIKE A GIRL
                        8
                        3/1
                        Front-runner
                        68
                        66
                        64.5
                        62.6
                        60.6
                        Unknown Running Style: SUMMER LIGHTNING (6/1) [Jockey: Diego Iram Vargas - Trainer: Dodwell Jimmy Dale], EXPECT THE BOSS (5/2) [Jockey: Elliott Stewart - Trainer: Asmussen Steven M], O CHITA (5/2) [Jockey: Elliott Stewart - Trainer: Asmussen Steven M
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351013

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 6 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 87

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 1 JAMMING CAMERON 6/1
                          # 7 KITCHEN FIRE 8/5
                          # 6 SHANGHAI POINT 6/1
                          JAMMING CAMERON gets the edge as the bet in here. Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been decent - 81 avg - of late. The speed figure of 84 from his last race looks very good in here. Has been racing quite well and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. KITCHEN FIRE - This handler has done admirably recently with entries running at this distance and surface. Cox has him trained soundly to break promptly out of the starting gate. SHANGHAI POINT - Must be given a shot based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351013

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                            Golden Gate Fields - Race #2 - Post: 1:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 71

                            Rating:

                            #2 THEYREMINISCEOVERU (ML=6/1)
                            #6 BIG IRISH EYES (ML=4/1)
                            #5 SOUL PRODIGY (ML=5/2)
                            #1 ARKADIAN FOREST (ML=3/1)


                            THEYREMINISCEOVERU - Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today. With 'blinkers-on' this gelding should be very competitive. BIG IRISH EYES - Orozco and Rivera perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +580 return on investment for a jock and handler. Was in a Starter Allowance race at Golden Gate Fields last race out. That event had a class rating of 80 and he is moving down in this event. A certain win candidate. SOUL PRODIGY - I like to invest in this angle, a pony coming back off a good contest within the last month or so. Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Trujillo enters him at a similar level today. I'd expect an improved performance. This animal has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 40 to 61 to 67 in succession. ARKADIAN FOREST - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +27. This jock/handler twosome has done well together over the last 12 months. All systems look good for this gelding. Last work, 2nd fastest of the day, shows he's fit and ready. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race entered. Another notice that this horse has class. Took a significant drop in class rating last out at Golden Gate Fields. Returning to a similar level in this event. Should do well in this race.

                            Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TIME IS GONE (ML=9/2), #4 RIP WHEELER (ML=6/1),

                            TIME IS GONE - This vulnerable equine showed very little last out finishing eighth. Don't see any chance of any change in today's event. RIP WHEELER - Morning line odds of 6/1 make this entrant a pass by my approach.

                            GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ARKADIAN FOREST - Having the best speed fig last race of 71 at Golden Gate Fields on May 7th. This gelding has an excellent chance to win here.





                            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 THEYREMINISCEOVERU to win at post-time odds of 6/1 or better
                            EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

                            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                            Pass
                            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                            SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                            Skip
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351013

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Energy Downs 307 Racing - Race #5 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,400 Class Rating: 83

                              Rating:

                              #2 NONNO'S POLARIS (ML=2/1)


                              NONNO'S POLARIS - Generally accepted handicapping theory - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Should run big today. That recent bullet 37.3 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top performance today.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TRUE WEST (ML=4/5), #6 MATRICULATE (ML=6/1),

                              TRUE WEST - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a much better speed rating than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint. MATRICULATE - No success for this horse in a sprint affair over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny situation



                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 NONNO'S POLARIS is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              None
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