Wednesday 11/25/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 06:40 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #1

#1 Saafen	Shadwell homebred has a slew or works for this, debuts for Pino, who is a wicked 32% with firsters, and doesn't met much, in terms of proven runners; thinking he's live.
#2 Garban	Speedster woke up when Lasix was added last time, but it was also in the slop, and the dry land debut was ugly, so at underlaid odds he's a bit tough to trust; second-best.
#5 Stimulus Maker	Homebred starts for a solid Duarte barn that is 14% on debut, though the works are extremely slow, suggesting he may need this one before firing his best; tabbing today.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 1, as you'd like to see him live and taking money if he's ready, and if that's the case you can play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since he won't have to be a monster to beat a group like this at first-asking.

Parx Racing - Race #5

#7 Brett's World	Reid runner was a relatively DOB at 14-1 on debut and was a decent 4th, and now Lasix goes on, and this is a sterling 35% second-out barn; look out.
#6 Capo Kane	Heavy hitter chased, cleared, then tired late on debut to be a solid 2nd here, and he's bred to love the added turn and ground he gets; looms very large.
#1 Doctor Doom	Underlaid ML favorite drew well and tried two turns last time, so that's an edge on the top-2, though that slow 3rd was no great shakes; trying to beat on top.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the pick, especially when you view the big angles in light of the rest of the field, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him to kick off the middle Pk4 as well, since he looks primed for a breakthrough run, which means he'd be laying down a race the rest of these simply wouldn't be able to handle.

Parx Racing - Race #10

#3 Goldenlineof	Class dropper was 6th in a very fast race for the level last time off the break, should only improve here, and will be a square price too; sends them all home happy.
#8 No Fly Zone	The horse to beat wins this with that close 2nd last time, though you wonder if regression is coming off such a strong run, based on the rest of his form; tread lightly.
#9 Admiral Eastwood	Logical sort is another dropper, and he really improved off the Taylor claim last time, so if he builds off that run he's got every right to make a big dent; do not ignore.
Race Summary	The price will be big on the 3 but there are reasons to think he fires here, and with just the 8 to fear the risk-reward will be there so give him a look in all the slots, as well as ending the late Pk4, since a win would really blow up the sequence. As an aside, this will be my last day making picks, so thanks to everyone for following me here and in the blogs over the last several years, and best of luck to all of you, and I hope you pick a bunch of winners in the future!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 06:41 AM

Al Cimaglia: Dover Downs Stakes Analysis

November 25, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia

Grand Circuit racing for 2020 concludes today at Dover Downs with the $325,000 Progress Pace for 3-year-olds. This will be the final race for the Ron Burke trainee Cattlewash who is the 2-1 morning line favorite, and trainer John Ackley's Catch the Fire. The 15-race card also features fillies and colts in Delaware Breeders Fund action.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8-Delaware Breeders Final-2-year-old filles pace-Purse $100,000

6-Littlebagoftricks (5/2)-Has won its last 2 starts on a fast and sloppy track. Versatile filly can race off cover or set the pace and she rates a slight edge.
2-Stealing Bases (7/2)-Talented 2-year-old has won 5 of 7 starts and has never missed hitting the board. Was caught down the lane in last by #6 who rallied off a pocket trip. Had won 5 of 6 previously and not sure if Tetrick wanted to use her down the stretch in a race that didn't matter much.
4-Hey Hey Dbay (9/2)-It wouldn't shock me if this filly takes a picture tonight but will probably need to go a couple of seconds faster than she has. Has won 2 straight, paced the 2nd half in 57.2 last week and should offer a square price.
5-Cinder's Baby (6-1)-Here's the 2nd leading money winner in the field who placed in a $100,000 stake at Harrington. Could be overlooked at the windows and might add some pop to the gimmicks.

Race 10-Delaware Breeders Final-2-year-old colts pace-Purse $100,000

8-Henrico (5/2)-This is one of two entries from the Clyde Francis barn and the arrow is pointing up on this colt. Winner of 3 straight drew off to beat stable mate #7, who was the slight favorite last week. Starting outside doesn't help chances but does help the price and Morgan can leave to get a good seat.
6-Z's Dream (7/2)-This 2-year-old gelding might be the fastest off the gate and has a post edge on main foes. Best to not overlook because if Stafford gets the top and steals a quarter chances for a picture go up.
7-Subban (9/2)-Did win a $100,000 Final in Harrington on 10/7, but since coming off the bench in November hasn't been as sharp. Looked a little rough coming down the lane last week but is a major threat with a top effort.
4-Mr Overbite (8-1)-Has had a breaking issue but put in a clean line here on 11/16 to break maiden. Could hit the bottom of the Super at a big price if Callahan can provide a smooth journey.

Race 12-Progress Pace Final-Purse $325,000

7-No Lou Zing (5/2)-Three great horses who raced for the last time at the Big M over the weekend in stakes all won before heading to retirement. My take is that won't happen tonight. This Takter pupil has been sharp, likes the track and is ranked 5th in money earned among 3-year-old pacers for 2020. Dunn should be able to get the top or the 2 hole behind Cattlewash. Either trip could work for a season ending victory.
4-Fortify (9/2)-This is another from the Takter stable and this pupil hasn't been able to beat the top colts this year. But has been racing well and comes off a tough trip from post 10 last week. Tetrick should put in striking range and has a post edge over the top talent. Might be overlooked at the windows and will use in gimmicks.
8-Cattlewash (2-1)-This will be the last start before heading to stud. Burke trainee is as game as they come and is often used hard to get the top. Could win his finale but from this post I'm saying no.
5-Catch The Fire (7/2)-This is a very nice 3-year-old who is also making his last start. Draws inside the morning line chalks and should be in the mix but has lacked a big finish recently.

$10 Exacta 7/4
$10 Trifecta 7-4-8 and 7-8-4
Total Bet=$30

Happy Thanksgiving!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 06:42 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#5 Prince Amadeus	Went evenly while in midpack in the debut run, but he has some room to improve off that effort with a nice work since.
#10 Insofar	Was a decent fit with this kind when second with the locals at 3/5 back in July, and while he's probably the one to beat, the price figures to be short again in a spot where he really isn't a standout.
#1 Skinnersburg	He has been heading in the right direction through all three starts, and the addition of blinkers tonight might be enough to get him over the top. Not out of it.
Race Summary	Prince Amadeus has upside off an even debut run, and the price figures right in a spot where a couple other logical horses should dominate the wagering action.

Mountaineer - Race #4

#10 Wild Wine	Will need to hold the form for the new barn, but that was a pretty big step in the right direction last out when trying two turns for the first time. Take it at face value?
#4 O Driscoll	Can't imagine the price will be fair on this guy after finishing second, beaten nearly ten, as the 1/2 chalk in that last one, but the drop makes him very tough here.
#9 Crealock	No real threat at 3/5 last time out, and he has had a dozen chances, so he can win this one without me on principle.
Race Summary	Wild Wine flashed some tactical pace and stayed on nicely when trying a route for the first time last out. The 45/1 price from last out is gone, but he's probably still going to offer a fair price with plenty of folks likely to make him prove that last one was for real.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#6 Leading Indicator	Gets protected off the claim tonight, and her best stuff is right on the cusp of what it would take to be competitive here, and the price should be fair to find out.
#4 Musabaqa	Reliable type rolled a similar group by ten a couple starts back, and she should get another fair race shape with a couple of sharp pace players signed on.
#2 Sharpin	Was beaten a couple of times recently by Musabaqa, and the price may not accurately reflect her chances here.
Race Summary	Leading Indicator can get the right kind of tactical trip at a square price, and there's a chance she'll float a bit from her 8/1 ML price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 06:43 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2

#1 COUGAR HALL	Classy 10yo steadily advanced after ‘lame’ excuse in return.
#5 REDHOT ROMEO	Rallied for second behind a pair of odds-on winners.
#7 DAMION DIESEL HAHN	Lightly raced this year, drops off encouraging tune-up.
Race Summary	Cougar Hall sustained a 3- and 4-wide rally into a fast pace from post 8 to finish third against better at Pocono Downs. He showed speed in a qualifier and figures tough in his bid for a 22nd win.

Dover Downs - Race #2

#6 I’M DONE TALKING	Tight fit at this level for high-percentage connections.
#1 ANNEKE	Pocket trip, just missed in blanket finish, starts from rail.
#5 BFF HANOVER	Won 5 of 17 as 3yo, makes third start of cycle.
Race Summary	I’m Done Talking, no match for an odds-on, three-peat winner, takes a magnified class drop as he looks to build on a 26/5-6-3 resume. She will likely be put into play early with Tetrick getting the call. Play 6-1 and 6-5 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #14

#6 WOW ME	No breathers in local debut, due for better racing luck.
#8 ROSE RUN VINDICATE	Dayton invader ran first or second in 23 of last 29 starts.
#9 CHAMPAGNE ON ICE	Filly overcame post 9 at Hoosier for seventh win this year.
Race Summary	Wow Me was flushed out before the half, parked a long way by the favorite and finished third with provisional driver. He at least offers value in a deeper field, so play a 6-8-9 exacta box.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 06:44 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7

#2 Bright Venezuelan	Closed strongly and was up in time last out, takes a step up in class and should be the one the hold off.
#3 Heir Ball	Extremely fast and won her last two turf attempts; tired last time, but that was on a sloppy main track and she can probably resume good form here.
#5 Distinctly Blue	Has enough speed to stay close and could have the closing move to take it.
Race Summary	Bright Venezuelan has a strong closing move, can stay within range and has a good chance for a repeat victory here. Gets a good pace setup.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #8

#3 Chez Paree	Was an easy winner two back, was claimed by Kopaj and didn't fired in her return; stretches out to two turns and could be tough for them to handle here.
#5 Abilene Trail	Was up in time in a maiden race in her first local effort after two attempts in New York; she's bred to run as far as they want her to and will be in the mix throughout.
#6 Heiressindy	Hit the four in her last four races and has the advantage of having been a regular at this distance; can be tough if the top players have trouble getting the entire eight furlongs.
Race Summary	Chez Paree has probably been eager to stretch out and gets her credit; makes her second start for Kopaj, who has won two of his five starts.

Gulfstream Park West - Race #9

#1 Noble Indy	Ran an even second at Gulfstream last out and can improve off that effort in this spot; tough veteran can be a big player here.
#3 Hay Dakota	Ran off to an easy win last Kentucky Downs last out and was a factor in two-turn races early in the year; fits well.
#7 Speed Franco	Dropped to his lowest level two races back and ran off to easy wins in each; takes a big step up for his form is solid.
Race Summary	Noble Indy has the tactical speed to be where he wants and has enough finish in him to fight off late challengers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 11:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 5	2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 5 (races 5-9) $.50 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 8:28P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. WRITTEN IN RED is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HARMONIC THUNDER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within ha lf a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). WRITTEN IN RED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance ( within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MISS LOTUS FLOWER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MILLBANK MAGIC: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3	HARMONIC THUNDER	9/2	5/1
4	WRITTEN IN RED	20/1	6/1
6	MISS LOTUS FLOWER	10/1	6/1
8	MILLBANK MAGIC	20/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	GUNBOAT DIPLOMACY	10	3/1	Front-runner	65	54	45.8	47.2	39.7
5	JULIPS HOLD	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	56	51	46.7	39.0	23.5
2	STYLISH NINETYNINE	2	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	51	53	43.2	50.5	41.0
4	WRITTEN IN RED	4	20/1	Trailer	57	54	63.5	51.2	43.2
1	SPECIAL CONQUEST	1	30/1	Trailer	66	59	33.8	41.2	27.7
3	HARMONIC THUNDER	3	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	69	57	48.4	48.0	40.5
6	MISS LOTUS FLOWER	6	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	71	65	42.8	43.8	34.8
8	MILLBANK MAGIC	8	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	70	52	36.4	41.6	31.6
7	SASSY ZEEMAN	7	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	40.0	43.0	33.0
9	SHEZALLGOLD	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	47	36	36.5	34.1	17.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 11:08 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:36P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 25. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. I GOT THE TIME is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DEVILISH MAGIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANNISQ UAM: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MONBA NUMBER FIVE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. I GOT THE TIME: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface.
2	DEVILISH MAGIC	5/2	9/2
7	ANNISQUAM	3/1	5/1
8	MONBA NUMBER FIVE	9/2	7/1
1	I GOT THE TIME	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	ANNISQUAM	8	3/1	Front-runner	73	66	63.8	64.2	61.2
2	DEVILISH MAGIC	1	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	80	66	59.8	63.4	59.4
1A	REGAL GHOST	7	8/1	Stalker	71	57	51.8	49.6	36.6
3	SHE'S NOT BLUFFING	2	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	61	51	54.2	49.8	36.3
5	BLACK BUTTE	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	58	50.8	50.6	38.1
8	MONBA NUMBER FIVE	9	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	81	75	47.4	53.6	39.1
1	I GOT THE TIME	3	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	69	65	38.8	55.0	49.0
6	FLAWLESS FACE	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	64	64.6	32.0	16.5
4	JILLY FROM JERSEY	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	52	49.4	48.2	37.7
9	DOYLE THE WARRIOR	10	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	53	30.8	42.0	26.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 11:10 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:36pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,600 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#4 BRANDYWINES SECRET (ML=6/1)
#5 SUSIKIN (ML=3/1)
#2 CUCKOO FORCONONUTS (ML=5/1)

BRANDYWINES SECRET - Trainer Fenimore moves this one down the class ladder to face a weaker class today. Look for a solid performance racing against these lower level horses. This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +204. This mare's last speed fig is high enough to win here, I'll wager on her back again this time out. SUSIKIN - A wise man taught me to invest in the lone speed horse. Take a look at this thoroughbred. I like this filly a lot here. She shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. This animal is a hot commodity. Claimed in her last two races. CUCKOO FORCONONUTS - Looking at this mare's running lines, I see she's almost always on the board.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TRIXIE'S TIME (ML=5/2), #7 MISS TSCHETTER (ML=9/2), #3 FIORE (ML=8/1),

TRIXIE'S TIME - In the last race this questionable contender finished third. Doesn't bode well for her chances this time out. MISS TSCHETTER - I can't play this repeated non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled from time to time. Don't believe this questionable contender will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure. FIORE - When scrutinizing today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a better speed rating than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 BRANDYWINES SECRET to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 11:10 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 49

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 NAUTICAL WARRIOR 6/5
# 9 YESIKNOWWHOIAM 8/1
# 4 ASK ME HOW IKNOW 3/1

I think NAUTICAL WARRIOR is a formidable choice. With Bocachica getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 54 - of his last affair. Has a sharp shot in this competition if you like back class. YESIKNOWWHOIAM - Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This one ranks at the top in this field of horses. A nice ROI of +1 with this jockey and trainer duo. ASK ME HOW IKNOW - Atkins has him trained solidly to break sharply out of the starting gate.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 11:11 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 48

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 CAJUNS GOLDEN POND 20/1
# 9 WISE ANCHOR 4/1
# 11 MR. CURLIN 10/1

I've got to go with CAJUNS GOLDEN POND and is a formidable value bet given the line. Guerrero will almost certainly be able to get this colt to break out quickly in this contest. WISE ANCHOR - Look for a much improved effort with the drop. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is formidable for this animal. MR. CURLIN - Can't overlook the connections here, a 16 winning percentage, one of the most competitive at getting into the winner's circle. His chances to prove victorious are much better this time around facing this easier bunch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 04:37 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

11/25/20, TAM, Race 9, 4.24 ET
11/25/20,TAM,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 CLAIMING. Purse $12,850 (includes up to $850 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since October 25 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Splendor Beach	12/1	Castanon J L	Chavez Jose A.	SF	99	26.26	1.56/$1
097.0248	7	Skol Chant	4/1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Stidham Michael	T	78	23.08	1.46/$1
096.8784	5	Kelcie's Mandate	15/1	Marin A A	Raymond Robert A.		147	22.45	1.22/$1
095.5245	13	Little Ms Broadway	20/1	Camacho S	Bennett Gerald S.		147	22.45	1.22/$1
095.5087	3	Mahkato	7/2	Centeno D	Collins Johnny		147	22.45	1.22/$1
095.3632	1	Magdalena	12/1	Villa-Gomez H	Potts Ron G.	E	147	22.45	1.22/$1
095.2495	11	Real Wild Solution	10/1	Garcia W A	Einhorn Skip		147	22.45	1.22/$1
094.3873	8	Mi Karlita	15/1	Trejos J	Sano Antonio		147	22.45	1.22/$1
093.8339	9	Lake Parima	9/2	Burgos A	Sweezey J. Kent		78	23.08	1.46/$1
093.7530	6	Donnameup	10/1	Batista J A	Durr Zollie		147	22.45	1.22/$1
093.6323	12	Puffer Fish	12/1	Morales P	Rice Kevin	J	78	23.08	1.46/$1
093.2705	14	Can't Katz Her	15/1	Spieth S	Gonzalez Aldana		78	23.08	1.46/$1
090.2258	4	Mijet	3/1	Camacho S	Gutierrez Fausto	L	78	23.08	1.46/$1
088.7435	10	Wonder Blondy	12/1	Urdaneta J J	Rodriguez Juan Andres	C	78	23.08	1.46/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 20.0000, ROI 0.6050/$1
. . . .
100.0000 2 Splendor Beach
[Category]Condition
[TurfNot_MdnMClm]LastRacePurseNotHigherThanToday with
[TurfNot_MdnMClm]NotMorningLineFavorite(not entry)
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	4	Mijet	3/1	Camacho S	Gutierrez Fausto	SL	269	36.06	1.06/$1
099.3321	9	Lake Parima	9/2	Burgos A	Sweezey J. Kent		269	36.06	1.06/$1
098.8200	3	Mahkato	7/2	Centeno D	Collins Johnny	EW	269	36.06	1.06/$1
098.2910	7	Skol Chant	4/1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Stidham Michael	T	269	36.06	1.06/$1
097.8702	2	Splendor Beach	12/1	Castanon J L	Chavez Jose A.	F	421	31.12	0.96/$1
097.7111	6	Donnameup	10/1	Batista J A	Durr Zollie		269	36.06	1.06/$1
096.9834	11	Real Wild Solution	10/1	Garcia W A	Einhorn Skip		269	36.06	1.06/$1
096.7343	10	Wonder Blondy	12/1	Urdaneta J J	Rodriguez Juan Andres	C	269	36.06	1.06/$1
095.7614	1	Magdalena	12/1	Villa-Gomez H	Potts Ron G.		269	36.06	1.06/$1
095.7554	14	Can't Katz Her	15/1	Spieth S	Gonzalez Aldana		123	34.96	1.15/$1
095.4231	13	Little Ms Broadway	20/1	Camacho S	Bennett Gerald S.		269	36.06	1.06/$1
095.1381	5	Kelcie's Mandate	15/1	Marin A A	Raymond Robert A.		269	36.06	1.06/$1
094.5421	12	Puffer Fish	12/1	Morales P	Rice Kevin	J	269	36.06	1.06/$1
094.2490	8	Mi Karlita	15/1	Trejos J	Sano Antonio		269	36.06	1.06/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.6700, ROI 0.8583/$1
. . . .
100.0000 4 Mijet
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceWasNotFavorite(not entry)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 04:38 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #7 - Post: 4:06pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $39,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#6 IRISH WILLOW (ML=5/1)
#4 BLACK KAT TAPS (ML=4/1)
#2 SUPER CAT LADY (ML=5/1)

IRISH WILLOW - Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good race on November 5th. BLACK KAT TAPS - Hernandez and Sharp partnered with one another are a horse gambler's friend. Looking at today's class figure, this racer is meeting an easier bunch than last out at Oaklawn Park. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. SUPER CAT LADY - I like to play this angle, a horse coming back off a good race within the last month or so. Filly tallied a victory her last race here on October 29th as a shipper. I think she looks like a winner once again. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (56-71-77) make this horse a dominant contender. The 77 most recent race figure looks good in black and white.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 FLASHY BIZ (ML=3/1), #1 SUGAR LOVE (ML=4/1), #5 ERV'S WENCH (ML=5/1),

FLASHY BIZ - You always think this horse has a shot to win, but she falters frequently. When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a better rating than last out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. SUGAR LOVE - Hard to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Couldn't make up any ground whatsoever on Oct 22nd. Hard to play today at the expected odds. ERV'S WENCH - This filly recorded a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 IRISH WILLOW is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 04:39 PM

Dave Cokin

Event: (697) East Tenn State at (698) Abilene Christian
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: November 25, 2020 11AM EST
Play: Abilene Christian 0.0 (-110)
Note this is an early Wednesday tip off, starting at 8AM Pacific time. My thoughts early n the season are that cohesiveness is going to be a big key. So I'm looking for teams that return a true nucleus from last season, and looking to go against teams that have massive lineup transition. This looks like the biggest differential on opening day as far as that goes. Abilene Christian has four starters back from a very solid team that was no worse than the second best entry in the Southland. East Tennessee was a powerhouse last season, but all the key elements have departed from that 30-4 team that was heading to the NCAA Tournament. The Buccaneers also lost their coach as highly respected Steve Forbes climbed the ladder to take over at Wake Forest. I'm sure there's still talent on this ETSU roster but with a new coach and basically an all-new lineup, the Bucs look vulnerable early. I like the under the radar Wildcats to win this one, so Abilene Christian is my first call of the new season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-25-2020, 04:40 PM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (224249) Real Madrid at (224250) Inter Milan
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 25, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Total Over 3.0 (-115)
PLAY: OVER 3