Tuesday 10/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 06:10 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Finger Lakes - Race #1

#1 Poker Game	Stalker drew perfectly for this trip, has been in the best form of late, and meets a crew without a lot to offer; imposing.
#2 Internet of Things	Romping winner steps up and will be close throughout, though the pick holds a decisive figure edge; the main danger.
#5 Inalienable Rights	Price player was a distant 3rd at the level last time, though it came off a long break, so he could improve; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 1 but that 5-2 ML seems like an overlay on a runner who is simply better than these, and classier too, so make an aggressive win and place bet at 9-5 or better, though you can get some added value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as that's not a move the betting pubic likes to endorse to kick off a sequence, yet it's a great leverage move that allows for more coverage in following legs.

Finger Lakes - Race #3

#3 Ouch That Heart	Stalker blew the start last time at odds-on and was well behind a few here, but her prior two wins were huge, and she'll be settling off what looks like dueling leaders; can make amends.
#2 Tax Me Naught	Speedster dueled and pulled clear while walloping the pick last time, but the rail will be flying too, and pulling off what she did last time twice in a row won't be easy; may come unglued late.
#6 Risky Analysis	Stretch runner passed a few when 3rd behind 'Tax last time but she didn't make up any ground, so while the race flow will help her here, she still seems a cut below; using underneath only.
Race Summary	You're not getting that 5-1 ML on the pick, as she was odds-on last time, but if you sniff 5-2 that's still value, since you can toss her last and focus on the two romps prior, which win this, and the speed up front will flatter her too, so play her to win and place, and especially in the early Pk4 as well, as she has every right to get back on the beam with an alert beginning.

Finger Lakes - Race #6

#4 Judiciary	Rice miss didn't fire going two turns in her last but the sptint debut 6th came in a fast race for the level, and this is a field that certainly looks there for the taking; look out.
#11 Japazina	Chris Englehart firster (14%) drew well to be outside and lures main man Davila, which says there's intent here, and the works whisper ready too; thinking she's very live.
#1 Skylight	Stretch runner was flying late on debut for Jeff Englehart, but that was in the mud, the rail is no bargain, and the 15-1 that day is going to be a lot shorter here; tread lightly.
Race Summary	That 6-1 ML on the pick isn't holding, but 7-2 or so would be fair, especially since the sprint run was as fast as anything anyone else has done here so play her in all the slots, and especially the Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as there's a very good chance she can build off her unveiling, which would probably be enough against a group like this.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 06:11 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #6

#4 Torazo	Seems like a good fit, but it's worth noting he was no serious threat when facing similar going short in his only local try back in May, so make sure a fair price holds up before diving in.
#3 Solitaire Game	He proved a good fit with the local company last time out when scoring at this level going short, and he is capable of producing solid races around two turns.
#2 Levanto	No doubt he's the one to beat off the romp with similar last time out, but he has been running big races in short fields in recent starts and won't offer much of a price.
Race Summary	Torazo can get the right kind of spying trip with these, and the hope is that Levanto takes most of the cash and leaves this guy at a playable number on the board.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#8 Ry's Revenge	Worth a small look at a nice number, as he's perfect from two starts sprinting, and he draws well to track the pace from the outside.
#1 Fevola	Most likely winner should be very tough off the claim. The barn has been doing good work locally, and this guy is capable of some big things.
#4 Without Malice	Sharp speed probably won't have a completely hassle-free trip on the front end, but he's fast and has been competitive with similar in the past.
Race Summary	Ry's Revenge might be able to finish into the pace in this one, and his one-turn tries have both produced wins against cheap groups. His form isn't far off what it would take to win here.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#5 Appealing Yankee	The 2020 form so far doesn't suggest that he's getting back to any of those good 2019 tries, but I'll give him one more chance at another big price to see if he can pop with a big run.
#4 Seanshine	He has shown 43-and-change pace on the turf in the past, so he's definitely fast enough to keep up at this abbreviated quarter-mile trip. Interesting player at a square price.
#2 Keller's Gold	He and #8 Shadow Surprise both figure to take a bit of cash in here, and while they're both capable of winning this, the prices won't likely reflect their realistic chances of winning this.
Race Summary	Appealing Yankee is likely all or nothing in this spot, but a big price will make the gamble worth it to see if he still has any big ones left in him while dashing this short trip.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 06:45 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #1

#3 MIKES MAJESTIC	Stayed flat in qualifier, gets class relief, fits well on best.
#2 GONNA FLY	Backed up as fave from second tier, switches to provisional driver.
#9 SUGAR TOP	Trotted evenly two back after 10 weeks away, broke stride in latest.
Race Summary	Mikes Majestic is 3-49 the last two years and went off stride in his last two starts, but he drops in class and can factor at an inflated price. Play 3-2 and 3-9 exactas.

Yonkers - Race #1

#1 WOODMERE HARRIET	Late foot between rivals, draws rail, big chance in here.
#4 PEPPERMINT MOCHA	Improved speed figure with first-time Lasix at the Meadowlands.
#5 UPTOWN CALLIE	Can make maximum use of her speed but won’t offer much value.
Race Summary	Woodmere Harriet saved ground and found her best stride too late between rivals. She must stay in closer contact from the rail in a pace-less race. Play a 1 with 4, 5 with ALL trifecta.

Yonkers - Race #8

#1 DIRTY SECRET	Solid first-over rally in faster division of split race, can handle class hike.
#4 JNR EXPRESS	Chased odds-on winner from post 8 through solid fractions before tiring.
#3 NEW HEAVEN	Stands 49/9-12-12 since 2019, had ‘strong finish’ for third last week.
Race Summary	Dirty Secret broke the single-file alignment in the third quarter and sustained his rally, though no match for the runaway favorite. He steps up in class but benefits from an inside draw. Play 1-3 and 1-4 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 11:27 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 3	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5)
Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $21,650 • Post: 2:04P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. QUALITY STONES is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * QUALITY STONES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUCH THAT HURT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TAX ME NAUGH T: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RISKY ANALYSIS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the la st 30 days.
1	QUALITY STONES	4/1	3/1
3	OUCH THAT HURT	5/1	8/1
2	TAX ME NAUGHT	5/2	8/1
6	RISKY ANALYSIS	3/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	QUALITY STONES	1	4/1	Front-runner	79	76	89.1	70.4	68.4
2	TAX ME NAUGHT	2	5/2	Stalker	74	72	59.4	72.4	65.9
3	OUCH THAT HURT	3	5/1	Stalker	77	79	55.4	67.4	59.4
6	RISKY ANALYSIS	6	3/1	Stalker	80	69	48.6	69.4	62.9
5	FRENCH CRULLER	5	15/1	Trailer	56	55	9.2	55.2	43.7
7	CITIZEN MATZO	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	83	55.8	65.2	56.7
4	CHILLINWITHFRIENDS	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	50	55.3	50.0	37.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 11:28 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 1	$2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Claiming $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 7:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. KEEP GOING is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * QUETTA'S IN CHARGE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VICTORIOUS BEAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROCKY ROSES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. KEEP GOING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	QUETTA'S IN CHARGE	4/1	9/2
8	VICTORIOUS BEAR	5/2	9/2
9	ROCKY ROSES	8/1	7/1
7	KEEP GOING	9/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	ROCKY ROSES	9	8/1	Front-runner	70	75	93.0	51.0	43.0
8	VICTORIOUS BEAR	8	5/2	Front-runner	76	70	92.0	55.6	50.6
2	BOSS ONTHE HORIZON	2	10/1	Front-runner	59	53	62.6	36.0	26.0
7	KEEP GOING	7	9/2	Stalker	73	72	51.0	60.2	50.7
5	QUETTA'S IN CHARGE	5	4/1	Trailer	71	65	50.4	64.6	60.6
4	AUSTIN RAY	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	57	63.6	45.2	36.7
1	LIL DEUCE COOP	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	53	48.0	16.9	2.9
3	EXPLOSIVE STORM	3	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	56	41.4	46.0	32.5
6	PURE MOMENT	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	54	33.6	42.0	25.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 11:29 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Zia Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:03pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 42

Rating:

#3 SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER (ML=5/1)

SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER - This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. The Oct 20th affair at Zia Park was at a class level of (68). Dropping to a lower class rank a significant amount, so he should be in a good position to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 WHISPERING WIND (ML=7/2), #4 ELUSIVE ACCOUNTING (ML=4/1), #7 ROCKY PROSPECT (ML=9/2),

WHISPERING WIND - Don't believe this vulnerable equine has what it takes to be victorious this time. ELUSIVE ACCOUNTING - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. ROCKY PROSPECT - No success for this questionable contender in a short distance race over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny circumstance

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 11:30 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - SA - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 89

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS SINCE OCTOBER 27, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 APPEALING WAY 15/1
# 4 NATIVE LION 12/1
# 12 LUNA FORTIS 6/5

APPEALING WAY looks to be a very strong contender and is a formidable value bet given the line. NATIVE LION - Vaunts sound speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of animals. Granitz has a strong win percentage with horses running in turf route races. LUNA FORTIS - Must be given a shot based on the very strong speed figure put up in the last outing. Win percentage with this jock and conditioner combo - 19 percent - solid.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 11:31 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9800 Class Rating: 72

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 MR. MIKE 9/5
# 6 TOGIE 5/2
# 1 FIRST ANGEL 5/1

MR. MIKE is my choice. This gelding is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Has decent Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Is a strong contender based on figs put up lately under today's conditions. TOGIE - Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be up on the lead early on. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. FIRST ANGEL - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hamm running at this distance are the strongest in this group. Will probably compete quite well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 12:15 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 2:43pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#3 EXCITABLE LADY (ML=7/2)

EXCITABLE LADY - This is a fairly classic handicapping angle. Play a thoroughbred that finished in the place spot in a maiden race last time out but finished well clear of the show horse. Sneaky speed on this one. She'll probably be stalking horses on the back side, then bury them down the stretch. Another way to judge class is (EPS) earnings per start. This horse has the highest in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish. This filly's last speed rating earned on October 6th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 B B'S ROCKET (ML=4/1), #6 INFATUATING (ML=9/2), #2 SYSTEMATIC (ML=5/1),

B B'S ROCKET - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient spot this time out. INFATUATING - I don't like the case that front wraps were added on Oct 6th. SYSTEMATIC - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint races in order to bet on her. That was just not a very good exhibition in the last affair.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - EXCITABLE LADY - My historical data shows that fillies often show signs of improvement 2nd time on Lasix. That's the case for this one, so I think she should run well today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 EXCITABLE LADY on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 12:47 PM

Cappers Access

(Tue) MLB Rays

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 05:36 PM

Paul Leiner

Horses 10/27

Here's a couple from Finger Lakes

Race 4
#2 Choose Happiness $10 wps
$2 exacta box 2-4-8

Race 8
#2 Bustin Timberlake $10 wps
$2 exacta box 2-1-5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 05:39 PM

MLB public betting, line movement October 27
Patrick Everson

Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.

MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Tuesday night’s Game 6 of the World Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Los Angeles Dodgers can claim their first championship since 1988 with a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s Game 6 and the updated World Series odds.

MLB line movement

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Game 6 at Dodgers -155/Rays +130 and moved a few cents in just the past few minutes, to -148/+125. The total is stable at 8.

Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid 5 2/3 innings Sunday night, and Los Angeles earned a 4-2 victory to take a 3-2 lead over Tampa Bay in the best-of-seven World Series. The SuperBook quickly posted the Game 6 line at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and there was no movement through late Sunday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 8.5, and the only move Sunday night was a modest price adjustment to Under -115. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET Tuesday.

MLB public betting

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: Early Game 6 action at DraftKings is tilted toward the underdog Rays, who are attracting 63 percent of moneyline bets and 74 percent of moneyline handle. There's more consensus on the total, with 69 percent of bets/80 percent of money on the Over.

Odds to win the World Series

Prior to Game 5, The SuperBook had the series price at Dodgers -200/Rays +175. Now, with Los Angeles one step away from the title, it’s up to Dodgers -650/Rays +475.

Behind the counter, SuperBook oddsmakers would much prefer this matchup get to Game 7 and, from there, Tampa Bay to win.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 05:40 PM

961TAMPA BAY -962 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 23-13 SU (11.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-27-2020, 05:40 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 27

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
October 27, 2020 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.501
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 16.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+125); Over

Tuesday 10/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 10/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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