Service Plays Wednesday 6/24/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 06:01 AM

Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 6/24/20

June 24, 2020
JEFF SIEGEL’S NATIONAL DAY MAKERS
Jeff Siegel’s Day Makers – his prime plays from around the country - are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. The day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and should be given strong consideration both as straight wagers and as keys in vertical and horizontal exotics.
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GULFSTREAM PARK – SECOND RACE. POST TIME: 12:30 ET
1 – Tiger (7/2)

Looks very much like a win early type based on his recent solo gate drill - (view video) - over the Gulfstream Park main track, a bullet drill accomplished in blinkers under a tight hold while displaying good athleticism and enough fitness to win at first asking. Juvenile son of Dialed In goes for a powerful jockey/trainer combo (29% with a massive flat-bet profit), so we’re expecting this Arindel homebred to a very live item at 7/2 on the morning. If he breaks running from the rail, he could be long gone.

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GULFSTREAM PARK – FIFTH RACE. POST TIME: 2:05 ET
5 – Baseline Drive (5/2)

Makes her debut for C. Brown (22% with first-timers) following a series of breezing workouts that should have her fit and ready in a race in which the known element doesn’t particularly impress. Been training locally for several months but was left behind while the bulk of the stable shipped north in order to take advantage of this Florida-bred maiden condition. The daughter of Point of Entry out of the good race mare Corner Three (herself a debut winner for these connections) should outclass this field, so we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single at anywhere near her morning line of 5/2.

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PARX – EIGHTH RACE. POST TIME 4:04 ET
8 – Arkaan (7/2)

Into Mischief colt was a buyback at $320,000 as a weanling and then brought $450,000 the following September when purchased at Keeneland by Shadwell, a significant amount considering the pedigree is empty under the first dam, so he must be one terrific-looking athlete. The work tab provides strong indication that he’s a runner as well and should be plenty fit for a top effort first crack out of the box for a trainer that has superior stats with first-timers (29% with a flat-bet profit). In a field that doesn’t appear to have any champions in it, the M. Pino-trained colt should be hard to beat if he doesn’t make any mistakes. Let’s hope we can get close to his morning line of 7/2 both in the win pool and in our rolling exotics.

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DELAWARE PARK – SEVENTH RACE. POST TIME: 4:15 ET
10 – Simplicity-FR (5-1)

Makes her U.S debut for C. Clement in a modest first-level allowance affair and brings with her European form that should be good enough to handle this assignment. Purchased overseas last fall at the Arc Sale for the U.S. equivalent of $164,000, the listed stakes-placed French-bred filly has put together a series of solid workouts at Payson Park and most recently at Saratoga to have plenty fit, and as a first-time Lasix user she has a right to be improve on this side of the pond. At 5-1 on the morning line, she’s worth a bit of a gamble in the win pool as a rolling exotic single.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 06:48 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Canterbury Park - Race #4

#1 Malibu Jack	Berndt firster goes for a potent 25% debut barn, drew perfectly, cost 275k as a 2yo in training, shows a slew of encouraging works, and lures main man Eikleberry; looks very live.
#7 Semi Charmed Day	Big threat has a solid turf race showing at FG in Feb. and, with just three lifetime starts there's a world of upside here too, so if the pick isn't ready, this one will be there; big chance.
#5 Always Cool	ML favorite is the pick's stablemate, so it's interesting to note that Eikleberry is on the rail, and note this one hasn't been out since 6/19 either, so he could need this; tabbing today.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 1, as he's supposed to be live and taking money if he's ready, and if that's the case you can make an aggressive win and place bet, and also be bold and single him to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5, since you don't see too many 275k sons of Malibu Moons in these parts, and the rest of these aren't any great shakes, so, point being, if this dude can run some, the rest are in about 10,000 lakes.

Canterbury Park - Race #6

#7 I'm an Eight	Versatile sort rises slightly in class off the Silva claim after winning for 6.25k at TuP, catches a field loaded with speed, and now starts for a 24% barn; can double up.
#1 Broken Key	Well-drawn runner did some good things for Broberg but now goes off the re-claim for Scherer, who had this 5-or-14 local runner rolling back in the day; price chance.
#4 Outrun the Posse	Tricky read was just a good 4th sprinting against better and now must try two turns, which is an unknown, though his current form says to take notice; do not ignore.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the 7, especially the pace of the race, which should suit his style, so play him aggressively to win and place, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5 and late Pk4 as well, since there are a few different ways to go here, but it's the pick who seems the most trustworthy of them all, especially sine he's now in the hands of a potent barn.

Canterbury Park - Race #7

#1 Lila's Lucky Lady	Stretch out sprinter had some modest form in a pair of WRD starts against better (that was a very salty meet this year), has two wins here, including a two-turn score, and might be shake loose early; come catch the pick.
#5 Hush Y'all	Class dropper hasn't done a lot of running in four starts for Cline but will be bet hard off the OP races two and three-back, but her lack of speed is a real worry, in a race without a lot of early lick; may run out of room late.
#2 Summer Lovin	Improving miss woke up a bit when 7th here last time, in what was a very fast race for the level, and now she makes the ever important third start of her form cycle off the long layoff, so it could be go time; hardly impossible.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 1 but with the 5 taking plenty of play maybe that 3-1 ML holds, and that would be a fair price on a gal with seemingly a few big edges on these, so play her to win and place, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5 and late Pk4 as well, since she won't have to improve much off her last to handle a group like this.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 06:48 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Louisiana Downs - Race #2

#3 Bella Cajun	Brings pretty dull recent form with her to this, but she ran well enough in some local turf tries here last year and might be able to wake up at a square price.
#4 Front Money Morgan	Just missed with softer last time out, but she'll step up off the Broberg claim and might be able to handle the hike with a good local turf record to her credit.
#6 Yes Gorgeous	Has been in with a couple of good groups in those two most recent turf tries at Fair Grounds, but I wouldn't want her at anything shorter than her 2/1 ML offering.
Race Summary	Bella Cajun has some decent back turf efforts that make her interesting with this group, and the price figures to be right with the other two listed likely to take cash, too.

Louisiana Downs - Race #4

#2 Make Me Smile	Gets some class relief today after trying Fair Grounds stakes company back in February, and he's got a tactical edge on a couple of his main rivals today.
#5 Skycraft	Looks like the one of the ones to beat, but he'll once again have to come rolling from downtown in the lane. Thinking the race shape may not flatter him enough to get him home.
#1 Lucky Andy	Reliable turf tries outside of stakes company can make him pretty tough here, and there is at least a little upside on the move to the Broberg operation, but maybe not as much as in other situations as this guy came out of a really sharp barn.
Race Summary	Make Me Smile should get a really good trip near the top, and he might be able to get the jump on the other main foes turning for home.

Louisiana Downs - Race #6

#3 Cypress Point	Has crossed the wire first in four straight races, and she showed a bit of a new dimension when finishing from off the splits to score last time out. Dangerous with a new versatile style.
#7 Dr Liz	Pace player can get in the mix early on, but this trip might be a bit too long for her to repeat that good effort last time out when winning going short.
#6 Cubs Win	Will need to fire fresh for the new connections, but she has some pretty salty company lines over that 2019 campaign, and this is the softest spot she has seen in some time. Not impossible.
Race Summary	Cypress Point is in really good form and showed the ability to rate last time out, and that adaptability makes gives him the edge in a spot with some forward players who don't have as much ability to sit and finish if necessary.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 06:49 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1

#5 BABY YOUR THE BEST –	#5 BABY YOU’RE THE BEST – Returns in soft spot, qualifiers indicate readiness.
#4 TUAPEKA JESSIE N – Sh	#4 TUAPEKA JESSIE N – Showed little in New Zealand, useful tune-up for U.S. debut.
#2 STOWAWAY HANOVER – Ca	#2 STOWAWAY HANOVER – Carried speed to 2 wins in her last 3 starts in Delaware.
Race Summary	Baby Your the Best hooked tigress in fall stakes but should get confidence-building win in this spot after a $258k season as a 3-year-old. Play 5-2 and 5-4 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1

#1 SOMTIMSTHINGSHAPEN	Burned money in local debut, deserves another chance.
#7 STANWOOD	Got up for third, gets pace to run at, price attached.
#2 BOX CARS	Won at this level three starts back, moves outside in.
Race Summary	Somtimsthingshapn pulled the pocket in the third quarter and held safe a long lead off a nine-month layoff at Georgian Downs in Canada, then broke stride in a well-backed Northfield Park debut. Play 1 with 2,7 with ALL trifecta.

Hoosier Park - Race #3

#1 SKYWAY VENUS	Visually impressive move to command, likely repeater from rail.
#2 RIGGINSWIND	Far back in fast heat in first start since 18/7-3-4 freshman season.
#8 McKELLA	Competitive speed figures but no threat at Scioto, draws outside.
Race Summary	Skyway Venus followed through on a backstretch blitz to the lead and won easily as the favorite. No reason to think she won’t repeat with a similar effort. Play 1-2 and 1-8 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 06:49 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #1

#2 Portal Creek	Was claimed for this price by the Matthews barn and ran 3rd in an allowance; hasn't done well in her last two, has been in over her head and fits well in this spot.
#1 Hoptown Honey	Was an easy winner at Belterra and steps up in class here; Contreras barn usually tough here.
#4 Sterling Miss	Won at level two races back at Oaklawn and was an even 4th last out; capable of running on well late vs. these.
Race Summary	Portal Creek was outrun in much tougher races and is back to the claiming price at which she was claimed; can get back to good form.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#5 Naughty Alfred	Drops in class after being outrun in very tough races at Oaklawn; comes down in class and can wake up vs. these.
#2 Bump Bailey	Was a winner vs. better two back at Oaklawn; takes a class drop off a 4th-place finish.
#4 Asongforyou	Has a pair of 2nds and a 3rd in his last three, all vs. Louisiana-breds; takes a class drop after running well at higher levels.
Race Summary	Naughty Alfred could not keep up in his last but has performances on his form that would make him a big player at this level.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#1 Amazima	Won two back at Fair Grounds and gas steadily moved up on grass; didn't like yielding turf in her latest but other races on her form would make her a factor here.
#5 Zuzanna	Won the G3 Red Carpet at Del Mar in her last of 2019 and makes her 1st of the year; was an $8,000 claimer a year ago and has improved as she's gone along.
#2 War Cabinet	Has taken on stakes company in Canada, New York and Florida and should be able to have a form reversal.
Race Summary	Amazima has enough speed to be in the mix from the outset of this one and usually performed well when close to the early pace.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:09 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs

Emerald Downs - Race 6	$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) $.50 Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10)
Claiming $8,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 4:55P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. DAZZLING DEBBI is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DAZZLING DEBBI: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster " +" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SO FIGURE IT OUT: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today 's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
8	DAZZLING DEBBI	5/2	2/1
2	SO FIGURE IT OUT	7/2	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	DAZZLING DEBBI	8	5/2	Front-runner	65	61	85.5	58.1	55.1
2	SO FIGURE IT OUT	2	7/2	Front-runner	70	66	77.8	45.2	39.2
7	FINE ELEMENT	7	6/1	Stalker	61	44	62.2	37.0	29.0
1	LOOKFORTHEDIMPLE	1	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	70	68	59.8	53.0	49.5
4	STAR GAUGE	4	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	52	52	53.0	44.6	39.1
6	SASSY EDIE	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	42	38	48.4	24.2	13.2
5	VERAAJ	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	45	47	40.9	24.6	13.1
3	MILA DELIGHTS	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	52	50	40.2	43.1	34.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:09 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 2	Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 1:22P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (FOR MAIDENS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $10,000 OR LESS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. COAST TO COAST is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COAST TO COAST: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AFLEET MELODY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	COAST TO COAST	9/5	3/2
4	AFLEET MELODY	4/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	COAST TO COAST	6	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	71	67	63.8	65.8	62.3
4	AFLEET MELODY	4	4/1	Trailer	72	70	36.0	59.5	55.0
1	VENCIL	1	7/2	Trailer	70	66	32.7	47.1	43.6
5	HURACAN	5	8/1	Trailer	63	52	13.8	40.0	29.5
2	GAME CHANGER	2	12/1	Trailer	60	56	7.2	47.7	37.2
7	INSPIRED OPTIONS	7	5/1	Trailer	0	0	0.0	36.0	25.0
3	ASBURY AVE	3	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	30.3	19.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:14 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:02pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#1 OUR THOMAS (ML=12/1)
#10 TIME IS MONEY (ML=9/2)
#3 DRAMA STAR (ML=4/1)

OUR THOMAS - This gelding runs very well off of a layoff. This gelding usually does his best running late. Look for him far back early in the race and flying down the lane on the tiring speed horses. Faced tougher last out at Hawthorne. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders. TIME IS MONEY - Jockey and handler do well when they are put together. Ouzts and Smith have been consistent together. Was in a $5,000 Claiming race at Belterra Park last out. That race had a class rating of 86 and he is moving down in this event. A certain solid contender. DRAMA STAR - Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the ability to make his presence felt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FISH TRAPPE ROAD (ML=3/1), #8 SMOLTZ (ML=5/1), #9 KEIGHTLEY (ML=6/1),

FISH TRAPPE ROAD - Difficult to play any entrant to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk. SMOLTZ - Don't believe this entrant has what it takes to cross the finish line in first this time out. KEIGHTLEY - Hard to play a racer that cannot even win one time in his last ten races.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 OUR THOMAS is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:20 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 COUNCIL RULES 9/5
# 6 DISTINCT APPROVAL 5/1
# 4 WILD DESIRE 8/1

COUNCIL RULES is the strongest bet in this race. She has garnered very strong figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group. Vaunts reliable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals. A solid 86 avg class rating may give this mare a distinct class edge against this group. DISTINCT APPROVAL - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. The Equibase speed fig of 70 from her latest affair looks respectable in here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:20 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6400 Class Rating: 54

FOR COLORADO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD NON WINNERS OF TWO RACES LIFETIME. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MAGIC MOMENT 10/1
# 1 BEHOLD DE SKY 15/1
# 3 HIDDEN FAITH 9/2

I favor MAGIC MOMENT in here and is a very good value bet given the line at 10/1. The conditioner wheels this horse right back to race again. This lot is much softer than the last one she faced. BEHOLD DE SKY - Strong returns have been scored by investors using this jockey and trainer duo recently. Handler has strong win rate (16 percent) at this distance and surface. HIDDEN FAITH - Must be considered given the class of races run recently. Handler has very solid win rate (15 percent) at this distance and surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:20 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#5 SHACKLEFORD ROAD (ML=4/1)
#8 UNTANGLED TRUTH (ML=5/1)

SHACKLEFORD ROAD - Camejo has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half. This gelding runs very well off of a layoff. Getting a break of 8 pounds from last race at Fair Grounds. He should make the most of this advantage. Just check out his most recent speed figure, 80. That one fits well in this bunch. UNTANGLED TRUTH - Looking at today's class figure, this racer is encountering an easier field than last time around the track at Parx Racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TWIST OFF (ML=3/1), #11 TWO L'S MEOW (ML=6/1), #10 LUCKY JUNIOR (ML=8/1),

TWIST OFF - 3/1 is not priced right for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest recently. I think this favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. TWO L'S MEOW - Difficult to wager on any steed in a short distance contest if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. Ran a long time ago on March 15th. We should see one first. LUCKY JUNIOR - 8/1 is not worth the risk for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest lately. Finished fourth in his most recent race with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #5 SHACKLEFORD ROAD to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 10:21 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

06/24/20, GP, Race 6, 2.37 ET
06/24/20,GP,6,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $19,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 24 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races Where Entered For $5,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	8	Baseline	4-1	Arroyo A S	Taylor Joseph	SEW	33.76	1.18/$1
097.7097	5	Pango	7/2	Burgos A	Spatz Ronald B.	T	36.29	1.16/$1
096.6850	6	Desert General	5/2	Fuentes M	Quiroz Gerardo	FL	36.29	1.16/$1
095.8235	7	Millionaire Runner	6-1	Rodriguez A A	Velazquez Alfredo	C	44.44	1.51/$1
095.3359	3	Solar Warming	5-1	Lopez P	Dobles Elizabeth L.	J	36.29	1.16/$1
093.7207	9	Nacho Papa	10-1	Trejos J	Alvarado Juan		44.44	1.51/$1
092.6811	1	Two Step Slew	12-1	Reyes L	Crichton Rohan		36.29	1.16/$1
092.2588	2	Manhattan Project	30-1	Lebron V	Rose Barry R.		36.29	1.16/$1
092.1404	4	Kahramani	20-1	Torres C A	Quiroz Gerardo		36.29	1.16/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.36, ROI 1.08/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 12:45 PM

Mike McClure

GOLF

predicted Gary Woodland's first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn't the favorite entering the weekend. The result: Woodland held off a late charge from Brooks Koepka and won by three strokes. The model also called Koepka's historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he'd hold his lead in the home stretch. In all, the advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend.

And already this season, the model called Justin Thomas (15-2) winning the CJ Cup, Rory McIlroy (11-2) taking down the WGC-HSBC Champions and Viktor Hovland (11-1) earning his first career PGA Tour victory at the Puerto Rico Open. Using the model for his best bets, McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1.

The model was also extremely high on 30-1 long shot winner Webb Simpson at the RBC Heritage. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure's best bets included Simpson winning outright. Those who followed that advice saw a whopping +3000 return! Anyone who has followed it has seen some MASSIVE returns.

The 2020 Travelers Championship projected leaderboard, according to SportsLine's model (posted 6/22/20). Odds courtesy William Hill:

Make sure you're following Mike on Twitter @Mike5754 for last minute updates and questions. Click here for more golf picks and analysis.

Bets I've placed as of 10:05 AM EST 6/22:

Justin Thomas +1400
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Xander Schauffele +2800
Sungjae Im +3500
Collin Morikawa +3500

Top 5 Finish - 10:30 AM EST 6/23

Patrick Cantlay +550
Sungjae Im +750

Top 10 Finish

Corey Conners +700

Top 20 Finish

Corey Conners +333
Vaughn Taylor +600
Aaron Wise +1100

H2H Matchups

Gary Woodland +100 vs. Jordan Spieth
Paul Casey -110 vs. Joaquin Niemann
Sungjae Im -110 vs. Abraham Ancer
Scottie Scheffler -110 vs. Ian Poulter
Collin Morikawa -110 vs. Patrick Reed
Xander Schauffele -125 vs. Bubba Watson

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Justin Thomas (14-1)
2. Rory McIlroy (12-1)
3. Patrick Cantlay (25-1)
4. Bryson Dechambeau (14-1)
5. Xander Schauffele (28-1)
6. Jon Rahm (20-1)
7. Webb Simpson (20-1)
8. Sungjae Im (35-1)
9. Collin Morikawa (35-1)
10. Paul Casey (33-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11 Abraham Ancer
12 Brooks Koepka
13 Dustin Johnson
14 Matthew Fitzpatrick
15 Viktor Hovland
16 Patrick Reed
17 Justin Rose
18 Marc Leishman
19 Corey Conners
20 Gary Woodland
21 Tony Finau
22 Sergio Garcia
23 Bubba Watson
24 Billy Horschel
25 Scottie Scheffler
26 Ryan Moore
27 Joaquin Niemann
28 Brian Harman
29 Joel Dahmen
30 Louis Oosthuizen
31 Jason Kokrak
32 Shane Lowry
33 Kevin Kisner
34 J.T. Poston
35 Jason Day
36 Jim Furyk
37 Chez Reavie
38 Kevin Na
39 Vaughn Taylor
40 Ian Poulter
41 Brandt Snedeker
42 Byeong Hun An
43 Lucas Glover
44 Harold Varner III
45 Bud Cauley
46 Sebastian Munoz
47 Jordan Spieth
48 Max Homa
49 Rafa Cabrera Bello
50 Keegan Bradley
51 Kevin Streelman
52 Jhonattan Vegas
53 Brendon Todd
54 Emiliano Grillo
55 Ryan Palmer
56 Russell Knox
57 Matt Jones
58 Kyle Stanley
59 Aaron Wise
60 Tom Hoge
61 Harry Higgs
62 Danny Lee
63 Matthew NeSmith
64 Cameron Champ
65 Steve Stricker
66 Cameron Smith
67 Brice Garnett
68 Danny Willett
69 Russell Henley
70 Adam Long
71 Patrick Rodgers
72 Doc Redman
73 Mark Hubbard
74 Cameron Tringale
75 Zach Johnson
76 Matthew Wolff
77 Dylan Frittelli
78 Carlos Ortiz
79 Brendan Steele
80 Adam Schenk
81 Bronson Burgoon
82 Brian Stuard
83 Charley Hoffman
84 Talor Gooch
85 Aaron Baddeley
86 Branden Grace
87 Keith Mitchell
88 Michael Thompson
89 Lanto Griffin
90 Tyler Duncan
91 Luke List
92 Cameron Davis
93 Joseph Bramlett
94 Denny McCarthy
95 Sung Kang
96 C.T. Pan
97 Graeme McDowell
98 Sepp Straka
99 Nate Lashley
100 Matt Wallace
101 Kyoung-Hoon Lee
102 Sam Ryder
103 Henrik Norlander
104 Sam Burns
105 Phil Mickelson
106 Ryan Armour
107 Wyndham Clark
108 Kevin Chappell
109 James Hahn
110 Troy Merritt
111 Xinjun Zhang
112 Zac Blair
113 Stewart Cink
114 Cameron Percy
115 Scott Stallings
116 Kevin Tway
117 Grayson Murray
118 Scott Brown
119 Bo Hoag
120 Si Woo Kim
121 Beau Hossler
122 Hudson Swafford
123 Austin Cook
124 Richy Werenski
125 Charl Schwartzel
126 Mackenzie Hughes
127 Sahith Theegala
128 Brian Gay
129 J.J. Spaun
130 Peter Malnati
131 Robby Shelton
132 Chris Stroud
133 Seung-Yul Noh
134 Jamie Lovemark
135 Luke Donald
136 Scott Harrington
137 Roger Sloan
138 Will Gordon
139 Hank Lebioda
140 Ted Potter Jr.
141 Patton Kizzire
142 Vijay Singh
143 Lucas Bjerregaard
144 Matt Every
145 Hunter Mahan
146 J.J. Henry
147 Greg Chalmers
148 Wesley Bryan
149 Davis Love III
150 Bo Van Pelt
151 Peter Kuest
152 Michael Kim
153 Martin Trainer

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2020, 12:46 PM

Rick Gehman

GOLF

Gehman told SportsLine readers to bet Webb Simpson at 30-1 to win the RBC Heritage, saying he "certainly appreciates the books dropping Simpson all the way down to 30-1" following a bad performance the week before and noting Harbour Town was a perfect course for Simpson's game.

The result? Simpson fired a 22-under to win the RBC Heritage! Gehman also cashed his Top 5 wager on Simpson, a 6-1 payout, and his Top 10 wager on Tyrell Hatton, a 5-1 payout. For the season, Gehman's bets in this article are up nearly 46 units for SportsLine members! That's a return of nearly $4,600 on the standard $100 unit.

This is the same handicapper who called Chez Reavie winning last year's Travelers at 50-1!

Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood) is a co-host of The First Cut podcast (CBS Sports) and a regular contributor to The Pat Mayo Experience (DraftKings).

Here are Gehman's best bets with analysis:

Last week's recap

Finally! After weeks of close calls, we hit an outright winner! Webb Simpson takes the honor and cashes both our +3000 outright ticket as well as our +600 Top 5 ticket. We also cash Tyrrell Hatton's Top 10 wager at +500 odds. Even with the near miss of Corey Conners finishing T21 and us "bubbling" on our Top 20 bet, it was still a massive week. We profited 20.96 units, our biggest week since we started doing this in early February. We are now +45.78 in the last seven events.

Event Preview

After two weeks of courses negating big drivers, TPC River Highlands will begin to remove the training wheels. It's a short course, only 6800 yards, located in Cromwell, CT. While it doesn't require you to be long off-the-tee, it certainly helps! The only defense around here is wind, which doesn't often make a difference. This was the site of Jim Furyk's 58 in 2016, the lowest score ever recorded on TOUR.

Winner - Bryson Dechambeau (+1400) - 0.85 units

Top 5 - Bryson DeChambeau (+300) - 0.40 units

It takes a lot for me to bet outrights on odds this short, which should demonstrate how much I value DeChambeau in this spot. His statistical profile is second to none and he's on the verge of winning each week he tees it up. He finished 3rd at Colonial and 8th at Harbour Town which, in theory, should have been bad course fits for him. TPC River Highlands is going to let him "release the Kraken" and leverage his best asset. DeChambeau is going to win a lot and it could very well start here.

Winner - Sungjae Im (+3500) - 0.55 units

Top 5 - Sungjae Im (+750) - 0.40 units

High upside player missed the cut last week and his odds drop. Sound familiar? We are seeing a carbon copy of what happened to Webb Simpson prior to his victory at Harbour Town. Im missed the cut last week by losing 4.4 strokes putting, by far his worst professional performance. His two worst putting events BOTH took place at Harbour Town, so he clearly hasn't figured those greens out. Look for a bounceback performance from one of the better planets in the world.

Winner - Joaquin Niemann (+4000) - 0.50 units

Top 10 - Joaquin Niemann (+350) - 0.33 units

Niemann is 21 years old and will be incredibly volatile for a few years, but we saw flashes of brilliance last week at Harbour Town. He was third in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and finished his week with rounds of 63 & 65. Already a winner at this year's Greenbrier, he possesses the upside to actually raise a trophy on Sunday.

Top 10 - Scottie Scheffler (+600) - 0.47 units

I was excited to bet Scheffler last week before a late WD, but he's back in action at TPC River Highlands. The last time we saw Scheffler, at Colonial, his ballstriking numbers were great but he lost over six shots to the field in the short game. Scheffler is not a world class short game player but he's TOUR average. I expect him to rebound with a much more impressive finish this week.

Top 20 - Doc Redman (+750) - 0.40 units

Redman is the #149 ranked player in the world who brought Harbour Town to its knees in the final three rounds last week. After opening with a one-over 72, Redman wrapped up his week with rounds of 66-65-67. He was 4th in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over those three days, behind only Joaquin Niemann, Abraham Ancer and Sergio Garcia.

Top 20 - Lanto Griffin (+1200) - 0.65 units

It's been a rough re-start for Griffin who has been a bottom dweller on the leaderboard. However, he might have found something with his 67 on Friday while gaining 1.35 strokes on approach in the process. Griffin was a Top 20 machine earlier this season and won at the Houston Open. If he can regain any semblance of that form, you have to love the long odds for a Top 20.

Tournament Matchup - Paul Casey (-110) over Joaquin Niemann (-110) - 1 unit

It may seem counterintuitive to fade a golfer in a matchup while also having an outright on him, but it's all about style of play. Niemann is incredibly volatile with a ceiling higher than most and a floor lower than most. That's the perfect combination for an outright, where winning is the only place that matters. It's much different in a H2H matchup, where we want stability and consistency. This will be Casey's debut post shutdown but he has scorched TPC River Highlands over the years. He has (2) seconds and (2) fifths in the last five years.

Service Plays Wednesday 6/24/20

Service Plays Wednesday 6/24/20

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