Service Plays Thursday 5/28/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-27-2020, 11:39 PM

FujitaPunter

SOUTH KOREA: KBO
Doosan Bears - SK Wyverns
Doosan Bears -1.5

SOUTH KOREA: KBO
NC Dinos - Kiwoom Heroes
NC Dinos -1.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 06:46 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 Queen Letizia	Lightly raced miss got to the dirt last time and really woke up off a no-show turf two-turn debut, has plenty of upside, and should only move forward off that tightener; look out.
#3 Perfectcombination	Class dropper did't do a lot of running in two starts for Motion, albeit against much better, and while Kopaj is an unknown at 1-for-3 on the year, she does fit on paper; worth a look.
#12 Victory Crusade	Dicey ML favorite broke from the parking lot on debut and didn't fire, and while she's off the Maker claim (15%) and lures Irad, she drew poorly again an will be overbet; not seeing it.
Race Summary	That 4-1 ML seems like another GP miss, as the 2 will probably be favored, but even 5-2 or so, off such a sharp dirt debut, makes her playable, so a win and place bet would be warranted if the tote allows, though keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well would guarantee a bit of value, while also allowing for more coverage in the deeper surrounding races, as she looks primed to lay down a race there rest of these simply won't be able to handle.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#3 Joe Di Baggio	In-form class dropper has been running big figures for this group, doesn't have a bounce like the chalk to worry about, and should be rolling late; mows them all down.
#8 Karen's Cove	The chalk wins this for fun if he runs back to his last win, as that was a hug figure he laid down, but it also came from nowhere, so regression is possible; trying to beat.
#4 He Iz Gone	Fl-bred didn't run an inch last time in a state-bred AOC, and now he's being given away for 8k, which is a very bad sign of such a dud, at underlaid odds too; tread lightly.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 3 but there's a chance they really send it in on the 3, which means that 7-2 ML might stick, and in a race where no one else inspires, taking $9 or so doesn't seem that bad when you just have one to beat, so play him to win and place, and especially in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling 'Cove, even though he could be set to come back to the pack off such a fast win last time.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#6 Crumb Bum	Stretch runner got back on the beam last time when a good 4th behind a few here, will like the extra half-furlong, and catches a group with plenty of speed too; upset special.
#5 Flashing Diamond	Dangerous miss was a fine 3rd over 'Bum off the break last time, and has a stalking gear to sit just off the speed, which will get her first run off the far turn; looms plenty scary.
#2 Midtown Rose	The chalk will get bet hard for Irad and Joseph, and she was 2nd ahead of the top-2 last time, but this post and the other speed won't help, at a short price too; underlaid favorite.
Race Summary	The price and the pace will be right on the 6, who could get completely ignored but has every reason to fire a big shot here into a race with plenty of pace, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she's got a lot going for her here, yet a win would go a long way in blowing both sequences up.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 06:46 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #3

#6 Venetian Drive	Potential price player might have some chance to wake up on the drop, as one of her best career tries came with this type of company. Drops in with the boys.
#1 Baby Boy	Dropper chased a 19-length runaway last time out, and this softer local group might be enough to get him over the top. Underlay?
#7 Village Prince	Might improve off the slight break as the form was going the wrong way before the shutdown anyway. He's not far removed from some races that would keep him in the picture with these.
Race Summary	Venetian Drive isn't the most likely winner in here, but the serious class relief should work in her favor as she faces the boys, and she can probably sit a bit closer than she did last out.

Charles Town - Race #7

#1 Sudden Breeze	Will need to elevate his game a bit in order to land this one, but he fired a good shot in his local debut, and the price will certainly be better than the 3/5 offering last out.
#4 Grumpelstiltskin	Pace drops for this one, and he looks like the clear one to beat. That said, he's going to be a short number and he was beaten at even money with a somewhat similar group two starts back.
#7 Bacoli	Tactical type isn't out of the question with these, but he does tend to give away ground late in nearly all his starts, so I prefer to limit him to the underneath spots in the gimmicks.
Race Summary	Sudden Breeze should offer a fair price, and he proved he could handle the local footing last time out. He'll need better tonight, but at something like 6/1 or better, he'd be a reasonable play.

Charles Town - Race #8

#3 Campy Cash	Class dropper should hit pretty hard with these, and if you toss her last when she was never involved, her forward style should make her a big threat at this abbreviated trip.
#7 Mabel	She's probably just using this race for fitness ahead of a two-turn run off the June '19 layoff, but she could be running late to pass the tiring speed players.
#5 At the Half	Has some ability to finish from a bit off the splits, but she was 55/1 last time out and is maybe 7/1 here? Think she's going to find a few of these too tough.
Race Summary	Campy Cash probably gets bet here, but she has a big class edge on these and has an excuse for her last when unable to race near the top like she prefers. I'll try to get Mabel into the gimmicks at a price to try to make this race pay.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 06:47 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Scioto Downs - Race #2

#6 PARKIN IN HEAVEN	Romped when last seen, well spotted, can eclipse $100k.
#2 TURNITDOWNFORWATT	Time away might have helped after ‘lame’ excuse, qualifier encouraging.
#8 ALWAYS WOGGY	Steady check-getter, gets class relief, but starts from post 8.
Race Summary	Parkin In Heaven widened the lead through a :56 middle half and won by a city block for her first win of the year. She has enough back-class to handle class rise and offers tempting 6-1 morning-line price. Play a 6-2-ALL trifecta.

Scioto Downs - Race #5

#1 SPORTS SINNER	Returned to winning ways from second tier, rail a big plus.
#2 IN TROUBLE AGAIN	Useful return last week, recency edge could be the difference.
#5 THE GREAT BUZZ N	Won 11 times last year, barn is hot since racing returned.
Race Summary	Sports Sinner held deceptively good form from bad starting spots and he broke through with victory from the second tier. The 43-race winner remains a good value play on the class rise from the rail. Play a 1-2-5 exacta box.

Scioto Downs - Race #9

#5 JOHNNY ROCKETTE	Closed through :56.1 final half against stakes repeater, makes 3yo debut.
#3 FIFTY FLAT	Carried his speed to two stakes victories as a 2-year-old.
#4 EPIC ACE	Rallied for second from post 8 in qualifier, gets Lasix.
Race Summary	Johnny Rockette was slowed by the pace and couldn’t foil the favorite’s repeat stakes victory when last seen in the fall. He gets Lasix for his seasonal debut and offers fair betting value.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 06:47 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1

#8 Capisci	Lost by a length in her only start this year and Charette-Hill barn has done well lately; expect improvement here.
#5 Five Bar Silver	Was an easy winner last time against N2L company; takes a step up in class and could surprise.
#4 Tellem Im Rockin	Was in the mix in his last two and won two races back when Flores was aboard; hasn't won since early last year and fits with these.
Race Summary	Capisci lacked late punch in her 1st since September and lost by a length; expect improvement in her 2nd back, and her connections have heated up in the past few weeks.

Remington Park - Race #4

#4 Dreamin of Country	Was a solid 3rd last time when top jock Flores took the mount, and he's returning for another run; can improve in her 3rd off the layoff.
#6 Te Ata Tales	Dealt with a lot of traffic at the beginning and couldn't recover; has several races on her form that would make her a big player.
#3 Flashing Tosa	Lost her best chance when she exchange bumps at the start of her latest; lost a photo two back and shouldn't be overlooked.
Race Summary	Dreamin of Country has been on the board in 5 of 6 starts and has the can improve off her last, which was her 2nd of the year; Flores a big plus.

Remington Park - Race #5

#1 Weapon First Bug	Improved to 3rd last out and should be able to move up along the rail; has enough speed to keep position and should have something left.
#8 Change Furr Better	Could be looking at a 5th straight 2nd-place finish; can in the hunt but will have to overcome the outside post.
#2 Lota Jail Time	Hasn't draw well in three 870 starts and the ground-saving trip could get him part of the tri or super at a price.
Race Summary	Weapon First Bug gets in the nod mainly because of his improvement in his last race and his post-position draw for this one.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 9	$1 Exacta /$2 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 4:52P
(RAIL AT 96 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WILD ABOUT THIS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WILD ABOUT THIS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NO NO NINA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PRINCESS AVRIL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	WILD ABOUT THIS	10/1	4/1
8	NO NO NINA	8/5	9/2
5	PRINCESS AVRIL	5/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	WILD ABOUT THIS	7	10/1	Front-runner	69	67	113.8	60.7	48.2
5	PRINCESS AVRIL	5	5/2	Front-runner	61	62	76.8	58.8	47.8
15	SHEZ STUCK UP	15	7/5	Front-runner	66	64	71.8	54.8	39.8
8	NO NO NINA	8	8/5	Front-runner	77	62	62.9	60.1	56.6
1	PARTY DRESS	1	15/1	Front-runner	0	0	55.0	46.5	25.5
10	FURY SONG	10	30/1	Stalker	64	55	60.7	47.4	29.9
4	DANCINGWITHJIMMIEB	4	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	69	62	56.8	60.4	53.4
11	JIMMYS LASS	11	50/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	53.3	53.6	41.1
12	TRINNI FLOWER	12	50/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	65.1	31.1	12.6
13	ABOVE PAR	13	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	54.3	42.8	26.8
14	DAMA DE NOCHE	14	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	60	46.5	46.5	36.0
9	BORROWED ANGEL	9	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	34.1	41.3	29.8
2	KHOZANA	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	11.4	2.8	0.0

Unknown Running Style: TWINKIESANDTURNIPS (20/1) [Jockey: Alvarez Jose L - Trainer: Bates Larry], RUNFASTBABY (30/1) [Jockey: Meneses Marcos - Trainer: Ralph Richard].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 8	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) (.50 Cent Minimum) Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $10,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $9,900 • Post: 9:02P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LEONA CORONADO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HES A KINGMAN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. SNAKE BUDDY: Quarter Horse ha s a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. NANYEHI: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOTA ANA: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8	LEONA CORONADO	6/1	5/1
5	HES A KINGMAN	4/1	6/1
6	SNAKE BUDDY	3/1	7/1
1	NANYEHI	6/1	8/1
10	LOTA ANA	15/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	NANYEHI	1	6/1	Average	78	71	4.8	0.0	0.0
2	LOFTIN	2	12/1	Average	70	65	5.7	0.0	0.0
3	MIRANDASBABYLOTA	3	15/1	Average	79	64	4.6	0.0	0.0
4	MIZ FANCY PANTS	4	5/1	Average	63	63	5.7	0.0	0.0
5	HES A KINGMAN	5	4/1	Average	81	78	5.2	0.0	0.0
6	SNAKE BUDDY	6	3/1	Fast	81	67	2.8	0.0	0.0
7	PYC PAINTED LADY	7	10/1	Slow	72	76	7.4	0.0	0.0
8	LEONA CORONADO	8	6/1	Slow	85	76	6.3	0.0	0.0
9	HEZ GOT A CABOOSE	9	15/1	Average	74	68	3.8	0.0	0.0
10	LOTA ANA	10	15/1	Average	78	71	5.1	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:21 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $15700 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 JESS LIKE HENRY 6/1
# 8 DESIRED EFFECT 10/1
# 5 SYDONA 5/1

I've got to go with JESS LIKE HENRY. Has garnered reliable Equibase Speed Figures in short races in the past. I expect a competitive performance from this equine whose handler has one of the top ROI percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. With a decent 63 speed rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing. DESIRED EFFECT - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 63 speed figure which is one of the top in this group. Is a contender - given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. SYDONA - Has earned formidable speed figures in short races in the past. If you gander closely, this one has some longshot potential.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:21 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 43

Rating:

#1 BELLA FEMMINA (ML=6/1)

BELLA FEMMINA - Faced tougher last time around the track at Charles Town. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 MARYLEE (ML=5/2), #8 CRYPTOCROSSING (ML=7/2), #5 CELIA'S PRIDE (ML=9/2),

MARYLEE - Almost certainly won't make much of a mark this time out. CRYPTOCROSSING - Lackluster win percentage (1) with first timers for this sire, Hunt Crossing. CELIA'S PRIDE - Just can't wager on this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on Mar 13th. This filly recorded a speed figure in her last race which probably isn't good enough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 BELLA FEMMINA to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:21 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

05/28/20, CD, Race 10, 5.44 ET
05/28/20,CD,10,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:41:00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	1A	Higher Authority(b-)	8-1	Cohen D	Calhoun W. Bret	W	36.59	1.51/$1
099.22	4	Quarterback Dak	10-1	Corrales G	Ward Wesley A.	JTFL	36.59	1.51/$1
098.25	12	Second Line David(b-)	7/2	Beschizza A	Sharp Joe		36.59	1.51/$1
098.22	2	Deanos Cape	6-1	Lanerie C J	Hartman Chris A.		36.59	1.51/$1
097.90	14	Smirk	5-1	Velazquez J R	Mott William I.		36.27	1.38/$1
097.26	5	Ekati's Verve	6-1	Albarado R	Stewart Dallas		36.59	1.51/$1
096.69	13	First Citizen	8-1	Rocco. Jr. J	Rouck Martin L.		36.59	1.51/$1
096.55	3	Draw the Line	8-1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	DeVaux Cherie		36.59	1.51/$1
096.39	1	Smart Call	8-1	Gaffalione T	Catalano Wayne M.	C	36.59	1.51/$1
096.00	10	Port Hunter	10-1	Santana. Jr. R	Walsh Brendan P.		36.59	1.51/$1
095.62	8	Peerless Brown	10-1	Graham J	Colebrook Ben	E	36.59	1.51/$1
095.43	9	Kickin' Kirby	15-1	Mena M	Zito Nicholas P.	S	36.59	1.51/$1
095.29	6	Boss Life	10-1	Talamo J	Romans Dale L.		36.59	1.51/$1
093.93	7	Jacks Fire Balls(b+)	10-1	Baze T	Van Berg Thomas L.		36.59	1.51/$1
092.49	11	Percher	15-1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.		36.59	1.51/$1
091.82	15	El Franco	50-1	Jimenez A	Humphries Thomas		36.59	1.51/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.64, ROI 0.73/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 PERFECTCOMBINATION 10/1
# 10 FAST FRACTION 12/1
# 11 AUBURN 6/1

I've got to go with PERFECTCOMBINATION and is a solid value bet given the line at 10/1. Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. Earned a very good speed rating last time out. Is a sharp contender based on figs posted lately under today's conditions. FAST FRACTION - She should definitely be considered given the very good speed figures. AUBURN - Is a very strong contender based on figures earned lately under today's conditions. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 10:22 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:00pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#3 DIVINE DHARMA (ML=6/1)
#8 PEPPER THEM GIRL (ML=20/1)
#1 I SAW HER FIRST (ML=20/1)

DIVINE DHARMA - Entered a $16,000 Claiming race at Oaklawn Park last time out and raced on a track listed as good finishing eighth. Should do better today. Last race at Oaklawn Park, she broke from the far outside. I don't need an advanced degree like The Brain to tell me her inside post position today should help. PEPPER THEM GIRL - Trainer Thompson moves this horse down the ladder based on class to face a less competitive field. Look for a nice performance this time out. I SAW HER FIRST - McKee and Watkins perform well when they partner up. It's hard to beat a +29 return on investment for a rider and conditioner. Off the board finish last out at Turfway Park was better than it looked on paper. She improved position down the stretch and never gave up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CHINA CAT (ML=2/1), #4 QUIET DAWN (ML=5/2), #9 DOUBLE OAKED (ML=6/1),

CHINA CAT - Hasn't been on the Churchill Downs oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. Could be tough for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. QUIET DAWN - I'm predicting a lackluster go of it out of her this time. DOUBLE OAKED - I cannot play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the task finished from time to time.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - I SAW HER FIRST - This filly doesn't have to improve too much to win this event. Unquestionably worth a prime investment.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 DIVINE DHARMA is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-28-2020, 01:02 PM

Paul Leiner

Churchill Downs Picks 5/28

Thu May 28, 2020 8:53 am
Crushed it yesterday at Tampa as all three horses came in second and we hit the 3-6 exacta in the 6th and it paid $76.60. Here is three from Churchill Downs. Stay safe.

Churchill Downs Race 1
#3 Comedian $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 3-4-8

Churchill Downs Race 5
#7 Kimberley Dream $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 7-1-12

Churchill Downs Race 8
#11 Silver Ratio $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 11-10-1

Service Plays Thursday 5/28/20

Service Plays Thursday 5/28/20

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