Service Plays Wednesday 2/5/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

LAMAR -5.5
CENT. ARKANSAS @ LAMAR | 2/05 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:59 PM
My model says that the Cardinals cover the spread 65 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Lamar is coming off a victory at McNeese in which Davion Butler tied a school record with 11 3-pointers. The Cardinals have won two of three overall and own a 12-7 advantage in the all-time series. The Bears' streak of six straight covers ends here.

6-4 IN LAST 10 CBB ATS PICKS | +141
INDIANA +5.5
INDIANA @ TORONTO | 2/05 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:45 PM
My model says that the Pacers cover the spread 66 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. Three of Indiana's next seven games are against the red-hot Raptors, including each of its next two. The Pacers posted a 120-115 overtime victory at Toronto in their previous meeting this season. Indiana is 8-1 ATS in their last nine Wednesday games while the Raptors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight following a win by more than 10 points.

8-5 IN LAST 13 IND ATS PICKS | +251

N.Y. RANGERS +1.5
TORONTO @ N.Y. RANGERS | 2/05 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:31 PM
My model says that the Rangers cover the spread 74 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value playing them at this spread. New York posted a 5-4 overtime victory at Toronto in the last meeting between these teams. The Maple Leafs will be without No. 1 goaltender Frederik Andersen due to a neck injury. Take the Rangers +1.5 goals at -207.

13-5 IN LAST 18 NHL PICKS | +629
3-0 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS | +300

N. DAK. ST. -3.5
N. DAK. ST. @ NEB.-OMAHA | 2/05 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
My model says that the Bison cover the spread 67 percent of the time, so you're getting great value playing them at this point spread. North Dakota State has won three straight and five of its last six contests, with four of those victories coming by nine or more points. The Bison also posted a 10-point win over Omaha in the championship game of last season's Summit League tournament and is 49-33 in the all-time series.

6-4 IN LAST 10 CBB ATS PICKS | +141

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (NBA) - 4* Clippers/Heat Over 223 (-104) USDICE
Top 5* College Basketball Play up later...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GregNbaPlays

Utah Jazz -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

BOSTON -6
ORLANDO @ BOSTON | 2/05 | 7:30 PM EST
12:47 AM
Boston has won seven of eight, with each of those seven wins coming by at least eight points. Kemba Walker and Marcus Smart are questionable after sitting out Monday's win over Atlanta, but even if one or both can't go, the Celtics have underrated depth. Orlando (9-16 on the road) is coming off a rare road victory, but winning in Charlotte and winning in Boston and totally different things. Lay it.

71-54-2 IN LAST 127 NBA ATS PICKS | +1168
56-36-1 IN LAST 93 BOS ATS PICKS | +1670

6-1 IN LAST 7 ORL ATS PICKS | +490

MEMPHIS +4.5
MEMPHIS @ DALLAS | 2/05 | 8:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:51 PM
Dallas is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 home games and won't have Luka Doncic (ankle). J.J. Barea (ankle) also might be out. Memphis has won 12 of its last 15, and Ja Morant is averaging 8.4 assists over his last 12. The Grizzlies should at least keep this close. Take the points.

71-54-2 IN LAST 127 NBA ATS PICKS | +1168
36-21 IN LAST 57 MEM ATS PICKS | +1316

19-14-1 IN LAST 34 DAL ATS PICKS | +349

TORONTO -6
INDIANA @ TORONTO | 2/05 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:11 PM
The Raptors have covered four straight home games, come in on an 11-game win streak overall, and face a Pacers team still trying to adjust to Victor Oladipo's return. Toronto is shooting 50.4 percent from the field and 39.7 percent from deep during its win streak. Indiana won't have T.J. Warren again, and he averages 18.3 points. Lay it.

71-54-2 IN LAST 127 NBA ATS PICKS | +1168
11-5 IN LAST 16 TOR ATS PICKS | +554

27-21 IN LAST 48 IND ATS PICKS | +408

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rick Gehman

Paul Casey ($10,500)

This field is very weak and falls off a cliff, so I think you'll benefit from grabbing one of the top four golfers. As much as I love Dustin Johnson, Paul Casey offers a $1,100 savings with just as much upside.

Casey has played a ton all over the world since the end of the 2019 PGA season. He played well in that time, including a win at the Porsche European Open and a T5 at the Emirates Australian Open. His skillset as one of the world's elite ball-strikers should be a great fit for these courses this week. Casey's recent results here also are encouraging, with an 8th-place finish in 2018 and a runner-up last year.

Viktor Hovland ($9,100)

The golf world is waiting for the emergence of Viktor Hovland, who turned pro midway through the 2019 season. He came flying out of the gates last season and showed us his incredible upside with 8 Top 20s in his 10 starts following the U.S. Open.

Unfortunately, it's been more uphill for Hovland since, turning in three MCs in his last four starts worldwide.

I'm willing to buy low on Hovland, whose recent run has driven his price down to a very manageable tag. Hovland has all the stats to boast about, including his +1.11 strokes on approach (2nd in the field) and leads this field in strokes gained total.

Hovland should find some good vibes around Pebble, where he competed as an amateur in the U.S. Open last year. He finished T12 and earned the "top amateaur" title for the week.

Max Homa ($8,300)

Despite winning the Wells Fargo Championship last season, Max Homa goes mostly overlooked in the golf community. That will be difficult to continue if he keeps playing the way he is right now.

Homa enters the week with back-to-back Top-10 finishes at the Farmers Insurance Open and Waste Management Open. It's always good to see him charge up the leaderboard on the weekend, which he did last week, tying Tony Finau for the most strokes gained in the last two rounds.

Additionally, Homa notched a 10th-place finish at Pebble Beach last season and has the best Sunday Strokes Gained numbers at Pebble Beach (+3.74) of anyone in the tournament's history (minimum two starts). If Homa is in contention on the weekend, I expect him to continue to move up the leaderboard.

Adam Hadwin ($8,100)

In a field this weak, I'm trying to roster some known entities. Adam Hadwin is exactly that. We haven't seen much of Hadwin recently, who just had a new baby. He returned last week with a respectable 40th place finish at the Waste Management Open.

As he knocks off the rust, I expect him to get right back to business. He's been excellent in all facets of his game this season, ranking 12th in Strokes Gained Total. His putter is capable of getting scorching hot in a moment's notice and his lack of driving distance (108th) won't hurt him this week.

Sung Kang ($7,300)

Now we start getting into some fliers. There are flaws with nearly every golfer in this field, especially when you start getting down below $8,000. Sung Kang is no exception. He ranks 157th around the green this season, which is a major concern with these tiny Pebble Beach greens. He's capable of carding a big number at any point in the tournament.

However, there are some positives to glean from Kang. He's made six of his last seven cuts, including a T16 just two weeks ago at Torrey Pines. He's also had great success in this event with a 14th in 2019 and a 17th in 2016.

In fact, in his second round in 2016, he gained 12.19 strokes, which is the single best round on the PGA TOUR dating back nearly 20 years (123,000 rounds). Here's to hoping those good vibes come back again this week.

Tyler McCumber ($6,600)

Tyler McCumber offers one very good skill-set for this week and that is his driver. He's 4th in the field in driving distance and is a positive gainer in both Strokes Gained Off-The-Tee and birdie or better percentage.

The last time we saw McCumber was at Torrey Pines, where he finished 21st. That type of finish would do us just fine this week.

Summary

With great risk comes great reward. This is not a safe lineup. This is not the lineup you want to use to double your money. This is the type of lineup you use to finish dead last or win all the money!

The overall composition of this field and the unique nature of the event prompted me to take on more risk with fliers at the bottom (Kang & McCumber). We balance those two with more solid options (Hawin & Casey). Then round it all out with elite skill-sets and recent form (Hovland & Homa).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports

NBA
Pacers/Raptors UNDER 216.5

NCAAB
Loyola Chicago -1.5
LSU/Vanderbilt OVER 146.5
CS Fullerton +1

NHL
Maple Leafs/Rangers OVER 7

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB

Wednesday card has an Executive Level NBA Tier 1 Total, a Triple Perfect Side play and the Summit League Conference Game of the year headlining College hoops. Conference USA Comp play below.


The NCAAB Comp Play is on Florida Atlantic plus the 3-4 points at 7:00 eastern. FAU has conference tournament knock out revenge on Florida International and has covered the last 3 here. The Owls have covered in 7 of 8 vs a team that is .600 or better and 6 of 8 off a win. Florida International has failed to cover 5 of 7 off a spread win and the favorite has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 and the home team is a dismal 1-5 to the spread. We will back the dog in this Conference USA Rivalry game. On Hump day we have the NCAAB Summit league Game of the Year headlining a powerful College card. In the NBA we have a Rare Executive Level TIER 1 Total and a Triple perfect Side. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NCAAB Free play. Take the 3-4 points with Florida Atlantic. Rob V- GC Sports

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI -NBA

6 Unit Play. Take #587 Over 223 Miami at LA Clippers (10:05p.m., Wednesday February 5)
It's no secret that I have cashed some big tickets on the offense of the Miami Heat and tonight at the Staples Center I see offense from both teams. The Heat travel to LA to face off the LA Clippers and Monday night the Heat beat Philly 137-106 and that game flew 'Over'. The Clippers have won 4 out 5 and 8 out 10 and the Clippers offense is averaging 112.6 in their last 5 games. Miami is 8-3 O/U last 11-road games and the Heat are 19-8 O/U last 27 games. Throw in that the Los Angeles Clippers are also 7-3 O/U as a home favorite.

[citybeat]

the Champ NBA System bet for February 5th:
Phoenix Suns {C} bet - Official series. Buy 3 points at no worse than -170 odds.


Miami Heat {C} bet - Official series. Buy 3 points at no worse than -170 odds to bring the spread from +6.5 to +9.5. If the {A} bet loses, then the {B} bet on the Heat will take place on the 7th. If both the A & B bets lose then the {C} bet on the Heat will be on the 9th.

However, in checking the schedule I believe MIAMI is an (A) bet and NOT a (C) bet. Above is what they posted.

[citybeat]

RALPH MICHAELS
Basketball Plays

• Game: (809) Mercer at (810) Furman
  Date/Time: Feb 5 2020 7:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Mercer 11.5 (-108)
  
  View Analysis
  
  #809 5% Mercer +11.5 Furman 7 PM
  I understand the line as Furman comes into this game at 18-5 while Mercer is 12-11. This Mercer team however has a first year head coach and started the season going 6-11 with TWELVE different players getting starts this season as they tried to find a groove. We’ll the Bears have found that grove with 6 straight wins including beating the So-Cons best team E Tenn St on the road 71-55. In conference play Mercer has played the tougher schedule and is shooting 49.6% while allowing 42,6% and Furman is shooting 47.3% and allowing 46%! Despite being hot I don’t think Mercer gets the full attention of the Furman squad as the Paladins have won 9 straight in the series. I WOULD PLAY AT LEAST HALF A UNIT ON THE ML!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHARP TOTALS Club

2*Nebraska Omaha Over 143
2*Clippers Over 223

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 Unit Totenham -.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #577. Take Orlando Magic +6.5 over Boston Celtics (Wednesday @ 7:35pm est0

I want you to wait on this line as long as you can if possible because you will get a much better line than us at +6.5 since we have to release it at 1pm. We like the Magic here because they finally played well in their last game and they beat the Hornets and Fultz and Fournier did great and I think they continue to play well here. Yes, Boston has been winning of late without Walker but I think they will find it more difficult today against a Magic team who seeks the upset and who only lost by 11 points a few games back and I think they are gaining confidence, sitting in the 8th spot and I think Boston who recently ran with Hayward at the Point had 20 turnovers in their last game and beat Atlanta. Orlando is much better defensively and I think Orlando will give Boston everything they can handle today and a great effort on their end and on top of all this, this is a great public fade today. Again, wait on this line because you are likely to get 7 or even 7.5 this evening

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports CBB Wednesday


All 4 Units plays


#786 Take Notre Dame (-6) over Pittsburgh (6:30 p.m., Wednesday, February 5)
The Irish come in off back-to-back home wins, and here is another ACC game they'll get in South Bend. Pittsburgh has kept itself in the middle of the pack in league play, but they are still not a proven team on the road, and I see them struggling here just the same. Notre Dame is the much better of the two scoring the ball, and they'll pull away in the second half.


#805 Take ETSU (-6) over Chattanooga (7 p.m., Wednesday, February 5)
The Bucs have been dominant enough in SoCon play to feel good about them getting this win and cover here. ETSU already has five conference victories by double digits, as well as another two that would have also cashed this number. I'm content to lay the points with them on the road. They defeated UTC by double figures in the first meeting, and that's the result again tonight.


#813 Take Georgia (+9.5) over Florida (7 p.m., Wednesday, February 5)
Florida has been so inconsistent all season, it makes you have to question whether or not they can validate this spread. Georgia hasn't been all that special either, but I see these two teams relatively closer than this number. UF has lost three of four since they upset previously unbeaten Auburn. The Gators offense isn't dominant, and I think this one stays in the high 60s and a cover for the Bulldogs.


#837 Take Bradley (+2) over Drake (9 p.m., Wednesday, February 5)Both these two have been up and down in Missouri Valley play. But Bradley has been the more consistent of the two. The Braves haven't lost back-to-back games all season. They come off a loss at Loyola, and so I'm going to bet into them continuing their strong bounce back efforts. Small underdog wins outright in this one.


#844 Cal Poly SLO (-1.5) over Long Beach State (10 p.m., Wednesday, February 5)
Long Beach is 1-11 away from home this season. Cal Poly has a losing record as well in Big West play, but at least the Mustangs have managed to win two of of three at home vs. league opponents. I just think Long Beach is incapable of winning on the road. I'll back the home team minus a very low number.