Friday 12-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 20

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BUFFALO (7 - 5) vs. CHARLOTTE (7 - 5) - 12/20/2019, 2:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (6 - 6) vs. UTAH ST (7 - 5) - 12/20/2019, 7:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

201BUFFALO -202 CHARLOTTE
BUFFALO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

203KENT ST -204 UTAH ST
UTAH ST is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Trend Report

Friday, December 20

Buffalo @ Charlotte
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Utah State @ Kent State
Utah State
Utah State is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah State's last 10 games
Kent State
Kent State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Dec 20- Bahamas Bowl
C-USA went 3-2 vs MAC in this game last five years, with average total of 66.2. Buffalo is 0-3 in bowls, giving up average of 43 ppg- this is first time Bulls went to consecutive bowls. Buffalo won five of its last six games overall after a 2-4 start; they’re 16-6-1 ATS in last 23 games as a favorite, 5-3 TY. Seven of their last nine games went over. Leipold is 30-32 in five years at Buffalo; he was 109-6 as a D-III coach. Charlotte gets to its first bowl in its fifth year of I-A ball; 49ers won their last five games after a 2-5 start, scoring 32.6 ppg- they’re 4-4 ATS as an underdog TV, covering lat three tries. Charlotte ran ball for 497 yards in last two games; they’ve got a soph QB. Three of their last four games went under.

Frisco Bowl, Frisco, TX
Kent State is in its 3rd bowl, first since 2012; they’re 6-6 TY after being 12-47 previous five years. Golden Flashes scored 35 ppg in winning their last three games; they’ve covered six of eight games as an underdog TY. Three of their last four games went over. Utah State is in 3rd straight bowl, 6th in last seven years; they went 3-2 in last five bowls. Aggies won three of last four games after a 4-4 start; junior QB Love is bolting school early for NFL- this is his 32nd/last college start. USU is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite, 4-2 TY; they’re 6-4 ATS in last 10 games with single digit spread. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Favorites won/covered this bowl four of last five years, with average total of 67.2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season


Friday, December 20

Buffalo @ Charlotte

Game 201-202
December 20, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
84.358
Charlotte
75.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 9
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-6 1/2); Over

Utah State @ Kent State

Game 203-204
December 20, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
83.128
Kent State
74.394
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 9
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 6
66
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-6); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buffalo vs Charlotte college football picks and Bahamas Bowl predictions

The Buffalo Bulls are betting favorites in their Bahamas Bowl clash with the Charlotte 49ers.

Don't let those defensive metrics fool you: The Buffalo Bulls are much more than a one-dimensional team as they head to Nassau for a Bahamas Bowl showdown with the Charlotte 49ers on December 20.

The Bulls earned a bowl berth largely on the strength of their top-10 defense, but showed their offensive chops down the stretch by scoring 43+ points in four of their final five games.

We break down the odds for this bowl game with our best bets and predictions.
Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl: Thomas Robinson Stadium, Nassau, Bahamas

Buffalo Bulls vs. Charlotte 49ers (+6.5, 57)

SPREAD BET

You could make a legitimate case that the Bulls are being short-changed by oddsmakers after looking like the best team in the MAC over the final two months of the season. Buffalo overcame an ice-cold start by finishing 5-1 SU in their final six games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests – and the covers were emphatic, with the Bulls winning each of those five games by at least 19 points.

Charlotte comes in having won five consecutive games (with a 4-1 ATS mark in that span) but is lacking where it matters most, ranking 99th in the country in run defense (192.8 yards per game). We like the Bulls to cover.

PICK: Buffalo -6.5

TOTAL BET

These teams finished their respective regular seasons with eerily similar SU, ATS and O/U records, along with identical home and away marks. But it's the totals similarity that we're keying in on here, with both teams cashing the Over in eight of their 12 games this season.

However, that's where the similarities end, with the 49ers having converted the Under in four of their past six games and Buffalo on a red-hot 5-0 O/U run. Both teams have proven capable of putting up points this season, and with Bahamas Bowl participants having produced 65+ points three times in its five-year history, we're keen on this one being a high-scoring affair.

PICK: Over 57

ALTERNATE BET

Given the first two picks in this preview, we're fairly confident that the Bulls will be able to surpass their team point total. But while you're welcome to bet that one, we have another pick in mind for this section – and it's based on the Bulls' red zone defense.

Buffalo was simply sensational when opposing teams reached their 20-yard line, limiting foes to just 20 touchdowns and seven field goals in 39 red-zone opportunities; that 69.2-percent opponent success rate is sixth-lowest in the country. Charlotte scored on more than 90 percent of its red-zone trips, but could struggle against a stout Buffalo defense.

PICK: Charlotte Under team total

TRENDS TO WATCH

• Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.

• Over is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 neutral site games.

• 49ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games.

• Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 non-conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Utah State vs Kent State college football picks and Frisco Bowl predictions

The Kent State Golden Flashes are underdogs in their Frisco Bowl clash with the Utah State Aggies.

Kent State is back in a bowl game for the first time in seven years – and it'll face stiff competition as it tangles with Utah State in Frisco, Texas on December 20.

The Golden Flashes rode a late-season scoring surge to just their fourth bowl appearance in program history, and will look to knock off an Aggies team that underachieved for most of the season.

We break down the odds for this bowl game with our best bets and predictions.
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

Utah State Aggies vs. Kent State Golden Flashes (+7, 65)

SPREAD BET

Utah State might have the more talented team – and play in the more competitive conference – but Kent State does have one major advantage it could very well leverage to an upset victory. The Golden Flashes were one of the most responsible teams in the country with the football, ranking seventh in Division I with just 11 turnovers; its two interceptions were third-fewest in the nation.

While the Aggies finished 12th in the nation in turnovers forced with 23, they gave it up 23 times themselves, ranking among the worst offenders in college football in that category. Kent State might not win, but it should cover.

PICK: Kent State +7

TOTAL BET

It's reasonable to expect both sides to threaten a big score here; Kent State scored 30+ points in five of its final six games overall, while Utah State finished in the Top-50 nationally in total offense despite facing a handful of difficult opponents.

There are other factors working in both teams' favor, as well: both teams rank inside the top 40 in third-down conversion rate but are in the bottom-20 in third-down conversion defense. Both teams also rank below the national average in red-zone success rate against. Just about any way you look at it, this one could be decided by which team gets to 40 points first.

PICK: Over 65

ALTERNATE BET

Don't be surprised to see the Golden Flashes get off to a lightning-fast start (pardon the pun.) Kent State has scored 17 or more first-half points in three of its previous four games, highlighted by a 24-point first-half eruption in a 34-26 road victory over Central Michigan to close out its MAC campaign.

That aligns well with Utah State's recent first-half defensive struggles; the Aggies have surrendered a whopping 87 first-half points over their previous three games, with 73 coming in their final two games of the season. Utah State might be able to adjust at the half, but Kent State is a good bet to make some waves before the break.

PICK: Kent State Over 1H team total

TRENDS TO WATCH

• Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.

• Under is 7-0 in Aggies last 7 bowl games.

• Golden Flashes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

• Under is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 non-conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bowl Tech Trends - Week 1
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Dec. 20

Matchup Skinny
Edge

BUFFALO vs. CHARLOTTE (Bahamas Bowl)...MAC teams struggled again vs. line in bowls LY (2-4), though Buffalo did cover 6 of last 7 this season. Charlottte won last five SU (4-1 vs. line n those). Both teams “over” 8-4 this season, and Bulls “over” 18-8 since 2018.
“Over” based on “totals” trends.


KENT STATE vs. UTAH STATE (Frisco Bowl)...First Golden Flashes bowl since 2012. Utags a bit disappointing this season but were 5-2 as chalk. Kent State covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 TY, and was 6-2 as dog.
Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.

[rocky57]

Big Ray Sports (Spooky Express) - NBA Comp Play Dallas Mavericks +9

[rocky57]

Earl's Platinum Plays (Spooky Express) - CBB Comp Play Marquette -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Dec 20 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Charlotte
Play on: OVER 51 -110

Take Over the Total in the Bahamas Bowl in the game between the Buffalo Bulls and the Charlotte 49ers. Buffalo (7-5) kicks off the opening game of the 2019-20 bowls season coming off a 49-7 win over Bowling Green on November 29th. The Bulls have played 8 straight games Over the Total after a win by at least 40 points. The Over is also 9-1-1 in Buffalo’s last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Charlotte (7-5) comes off a 38-22 win at Old Dominion on November 30th. That result finished well above the 51 point Total — and the 49ers have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing their last game Over the Total. Charlotte has also played 4 straight Overs against teams outside Conference USA. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Dec 20 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Charlotte
Play on: Buffalo -6½ -107 at pinnacle

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Buffalo -6.5)
You won't find me backing many MAC teams in bowl games, but I just can't pass up a play here on the Bulls laying less than a touchdown against Charlotte in the Bahamas Bowl. The game is being played at Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau and is primarily used for soccer matches. It's your typical college football stadium with built up sides. That's worth noting as winds are expected to be blowing at 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph.
Throwing in these kind of conditions is extremely difficult, especially for teams like Buffalo and Charlotte who don't have big time talent at the QB position. That means it's going to come down to who can run the ball more effectively.
I believe the edge in that department has to go Buffalo. The Bulls averaged 254 ypg and 5.0 yards/carry on the ground and that's against opponents that on average only gave up 193 rushing yards/game. Buffalo's strong rushing attack will be up against a Charlotte defense that ranked gave up 193 ypg and 5.0 yards/carry (213 ypg and 5.2 ypc on the road).
49ers have a decent rushing attack of their own at 210 yards/game and 5.1 yards/carry, but will be facing a talented Bulls front 7 that ranked 4th in the country giving up just just 95 ypg and only allowed 2.9 yards/carry (74 ypg and 2.4 ypc on the road).
I just feel like Buffalo has the edge in the trenches on both sides of the ball and that will be enough for them to win here by at least a touchdown. Give me the Bulls -6.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Dec 20 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Charlotte
Play on: UNDER 51½ -110

Friday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and Charlotte at 2 pm et on Friday.
I'll back the 'under' in Nassau on Friday afternoon as Bowl season kicks off with a rather uninspiring matchup between Buffalo and Charlotte. Both teams should be largely focused on moving the football on the ground, especially if windy conditions persist in the Bahamas (as they have the last couple of days). Neither starting quarterback in this matchup has shown any signs of being comfortable airing it out this season and that's unlikely to change here. While the Buffalo offense does boast an electric ground attack, we've seen this team get bogged down against lesser opponents at times this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte was involved in a couple of high-scoring shootouts this season but those came against much different opponents than the Buffalo squad it will face on Friday. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

Dec 20 '19, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Buffalo vs Charlotte
Play on: OVER 51½ -105

BOWL SEASON has arrived. Starts here on Friday in the Bahamas Bowl. Buffalo vs Charlotte. I know the line has come down several points. Everyone pointing to the wind. I look at 2 run heavy teams. I say - bring the wind. Maybe we get sloppy punts to set up easy scores? Maybe there isn't much wind. I'm bucking the under trend and saying this game might get to 40 by half-time!