Wednesday 11-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 06:57 AM

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS OUTER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT $60,000.00 PURSE

#9 CHARNLEY RIVER
#2 SWITZERLAND
#3 MINI MILES
#7 FACTORIAL

#9 CHARNLEY RIVER, a rare Austrian-bred entry racing in North America, has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each if his last five outings, hitting the board in four of those races. Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer Chris Clement send him to the post ... they've hit the board with 51% of their more than 50 entries saddled as a team to date. #2 SWITZERLAND, the "unplayable" 2-5 morning line favorite, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has turned in quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, hitting the board in three of those efforts.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 06:58 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)

Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 2:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * NORTH OF EDEN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BRILLIANT KITTEN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BIRD STREET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster P ower Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
NORTH OF EDEN
5/2

7/2
4
BRILLIANT KITTEN
7/5

9/2
5
BIRD STREET
5/2

5/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
BIRD STREET
5

5/2
Front-runner
70

80

58.6

71.0

66.0
1
ADMIRAL'S BRIDE
1

15/1
Front-runner
65

53

56.9

29.4

19.4
6
NORTH OF EDEN
6

5/2
Stalker
76

74

54.8

74.4

71.4
4
BRILLIANT KITTEN
4

7/5
Alternator/Stalker
76

73

38.9

64.4

60.9
3
GOLDEN FIRE FLY
3

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61

56

75.3

39.6

28.6
2
INDY'S FINESSE
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61

56

56.2

49.8

39.3
7
FREEDOM WORKS
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
64

71

13.3

37.0

25.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 06:58 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 3:35pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: 4

#5 FALLEN LEAF (ML=6/1)
#3 LADY LYDIE (ML=12/1)
#7 DIXIE GRITS (ML=20/1)

FALLEN LEAF - Was in a $12,500 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park West last time out. That race had a class figure of 85 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain contender. The jockey and handler combination have a positive return on investment when they partner up. The fact that this filly is entered right back into a race so quickly means she's fit and ready. This filly is certainly on the improve with speed figures of 62, 70, 75 last three out. Filly is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big performance today. LADY LYDIE - 'Horse-for-the-course' is a classic handicapping angle. Since this filly has won over this course it may give her an advantage. Garcia and Manning partnered with one another are a horse gambler's friend. This thoroughbred has a lot of class. A good sign in a turf race like we have today. DIXIE GRITS - This jockey and handler have a favorable ROI when they team up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BETTABE FAST (ML=2/1), #2 FLYING QUEEN (ML=3/1), #8 SASSY SLEW (ML=4/1),

BETTABE FAST - This horse just hasn't been winning as the favorite. FLYING QUEEN - If you keep playing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned often. Finished first in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. SASSY SLEW - Just can't wager on this mount. Didn't show me anything last out or on September 23rd.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 FALLEN LEAF on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 06:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21900 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 15 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 WILLIWAW 5/2

# 1 CORT'N ASONG 9/2

# 7 BLOW THE WHISTLE 8/1

WILLIWAW looks very good to best this field. This horse has been consistently racing well as of late. A solid 102 avg class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Has to be given a chance against this group displaying very good figs as of late and an average speed rating of 94 under similar conditions. CORT'N ASONG - Should finish in the money without any problem. Trainer boasts solid win figures at this distance and surface. BLOW THE WHISTLE - Can't overlook the connections here, a 25 winning percentage, one of the strongest at getting into the winner's circle. Overall the Speed Figures of this equine look very good in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 07:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - SO - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2016-2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 15, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 ITSALLABOUTYOU 8/5

# 1 MY VALIDATION 12/1

# 2 CHESTNUT JOHNNY 2/1

ITSALLABOUTYOU looks solid to best this field. Recent numbers for the jockey - 27 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. Garnered a formidable speed rating last time out. His 88 average has this gelding with among the strongest Speed Figures in this event. MY VALIDATION - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Young have shown strong results lately. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. CHESTNUT JOHNNY - Could beat this group of horses given the 96 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. He must be given consideration given the decent speed figures.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 07:00 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta

Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 4:14P
(PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CREATIVE DOUX is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CREATIVE DOUX: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PERFECTLY SEASONED: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ITSONLYME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designati on. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
CREATIVE DOUX
2/1

2/1
2
PERFECTLY SEASONED
9/5

5/1
6
ITSONLYME
20/1

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
CREATIVE DOUX
1

2/1
Alternator/Front-runner
60

50

62.5

50.9

47.9
6
ITSONLYME
6

20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
59

38

59.4

34.8

28.3
4
GLIMPSEDINTHEMIST
4

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

51.4

27.9

17.4
2
PERFECTLY SEASONED
2

9/5
Alternator/Stalker
54

57

45.6

50.9

47.9
7
MARCH BADNESS
7

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

30

38.5

20.5

9.5
5
COSMIC OCEAN
5

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

34.1

25.0

17.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 07:01 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 8:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,600 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 3

#4 SHANTY TOWN (ML=5/1)
#12 TIMEFORASTAR (ML=12/1)
#2 WONNESTRUT (ML=12/1)

SHANTY TOWN - This campaigner coming off a solid try in the last month or so is a solid contender in my opinion. I like the case that this gelding's last speed rating, 76, is tops in this field. This thoroughbred has increased his Equibase speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note. TIMEFORASTAR - This gelding should give a strong account of himself in today's race. WONNESTRUT - After the race aboard this equine on November 3rd, the rider is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. Out of the money finish in the last race at Woodbine was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the lane and never gave up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 LASER FOCUS (ML=5/2), #6 LEO THE RABBIT (ML=7/2), #3 RARE APPEAL (ML=6/1),

LASER FOCUS - Not a value play to back the chalk when he continues to lose time and time again when favored. Really had to show me lots more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. This gelding recorded a speed figure in his last affair which probably isn't good enough today. RARE APPEAL - You always figure that this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he comes up short often. This horse doesn't win here at Woodbine. He needs some different racetrack to show his best.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WONNESTRUT - Despite finishing fourth in the last race, wasn't too far from the victor. Fits with this bunch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 SHANTY TOWN to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [2,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,12] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4,12] with [2,4,12] with [2,4,5,6,12] with [2,4,5,6,12] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:03 AM

Arthur Ralph Sports

WED: Mia Ohio CFB - 3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:04 AM

CHRIS JORDAN

Another free NHL winner last night, with the Minnesota Wild getting it done over the Philadelphia Flyers. Tonight I'm sending you to Anaheim, where I like the Ducks and Boston Bruins to stay Under the posted number.

The headline appeared to be perfect: "Banged-up Bruins, dinged Ducks..."

That summarizes two normally competitive teams, suffering through a rough first couple of months of the season. But one thing these teams haven't lacked is the type of physicality coaches like to see.

Tonight, I'm banking on that physical play from the defensive side of the ice from both teams, and this one to stay low.

The Ducks come in after Sunday's tough 2-1 loss to the offensive Tampa Bay Lightning. That is an accomplishment in its own, considering the Lightning lead the league with nearly 4 goals per game. Anaheim goaltender John Gibson, who had 35 saves Sunday, has played solid over the first quarter of the season

Anaheim - which has stayed under in five of seven against Atlantic Division foes - allows 2.8 goals per game, while the Bruins - who are on a 4-1 under run against the Pacific Division - let in 3.1 goals, so they're both aware of how tough it will be to score tonight.

Play this one low.

1* UNDER Ducks/Bruins

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:04 AM

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Wednesday, Nov 15 is:

Oklahoma -14.5 over Ball State. 4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:05 AM

SCOTT SPREITZER
NBA | Nov 15, 2017
Wizards vs. Heat
Wizards+1

I'm backing the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night. Washington has caught fire on the offensive end, making 47.4% of their shots on the season. They will push the tempo and that should be a problem for a Miami team off a long road trip (10 days) and one without the weapons to "keep up." Miami has covered just 10 of their last 35 off a road trip of a week or longer. Home court has been a serious bankroll burner for those backing the Heat. They'll head into tonight's contest on a 0-9-2 ATS slide at home. Washington is using a lot of its bench and the reserves have been responding. They'll bring a steady rotation of fresh bodies into this one and we believe it'll prove to be too much for the Heat. The Wizards are top-5 in offensive efficiency, while the Heat struggle in this key category. At the same time, the teams are quite close on the defensive end. We'll back the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:05 AM

CAPPERS CLUB

76ers -3

This Play just missed out on our premium card. The Philadelphia 76ers will look for the sweep over the Los Angeles teams on Wednesday night, and I think they will get that done, and cover the spread.
The 76ers have been a bit inconsistent this year, but they come into this game off a huge win over the Clippers in this game.
A lot of that had to do with Joel Embiid. He played for 36 minutes against the Clippers and put up 32 points, and 16 rebounds.
They finally seem to be taking the minutes restrictions off Embiid, and he has not disappointed. When he is on the court there is no one that can stop him, and I think that will be the case again in this one.
I don't think the Lakers will have any answer for Embiid and he will lead this team to big victory.
Some trends to note. 76ers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Pacific. 76ers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
Back the 76ers

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:05 AM

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Nov 15, 2017
Peterborough United vs. Tranmere
Peterborough United-115

This match takes place in England's FA Cup on Wednesday. I like Peterborough to win 2-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-15-2017, 09:05 AM

JOE DELPOPOLO
NCAA-F | Nov 15, 2017
Toledo vs. Bowling Green
Toledo-17

Based on my Stat-Key Power Raking system and predictive math-model Toledo will squeak out the cover in this one. Bowling Green has a horrible defense and Toledo will be motivated after last weeks loss on the road.
Toledo 41 Bowling Green 22

Wednesday 11-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 11-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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