Thursday Night Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Packers at home

61 degrees & warmer 42% ATS
60 degrees & cooler 61% ATS

TNF forecast is low 60s drop to mid 50s

[New York Knight]

Teams after a win, favored by 7 or more vs. division rival ...


119-140 (45.9%) ATS

[New York Knight]

Favorites on Thursday Night Football when the temperature is below 70 degrees during the game have covered the spread 59.3% of the time.

Those are positive results but all favorites in games played on Thursday night have gone 88-62 (58.7%) ATS regardless of temperature.

[New York Knight]

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)

Bears hanging around lately vs. Pack, split last four spread decisions with Fox. After 5-2-1 road dog mark in 2015, Fox 2-6 in role since. Pack also “over” 14-7 last 21.

[New York Knight]

Public bettors have done well on TNF since 2003

Teams getting +60% of spread bets: 49-37 (57%) ATS

Over 60% of bets on Packers

[New York Knight]

Fade the Bears if they are losing at halftime


It is fair to assume Chicago will be down after the first two quarters. Aaron Rodgers has only trailed at home as a favorite in the first half 18 times in his career. How do underdogs, like the Bears, perform when trailing heading into the locker room on Thursday Night Football?


The bigger the halftime deficit the more money these teams have cost bettors.


Losing at the Half ...


ATS Record ... ROI


All games ... 39-49 ... -13.4%

By 3 or more points ... 37-49 ... -15.8%

By 7 or more points ... 29-39 ... -17.4%

By 14 or more points ... 10-15 ... -23.1%

[New York Knight]

Favorites of 7 or more points on TNF:


34-19 (64.2%) ATS

[New York Knight]

Bears are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

[New York Knight]

Rodgers is 7-3 on Thursdays with 20 touchdowns to 4 interceptions and 14-4 against the Bears with 38 touchdowns and 9 interceptions.

[New York Knight]

Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.

[New York Knight]

The Packers have put up the 2nd most passing yards in the NFL this season and the Bears pass-defense is ranked 22nd in the NFL. Both the Bears and Packers are banged up defensively, and the O/U is 5-2 in the last 7 games played between these two teams.

The Packers have given up 29 PPG over their last two games and the O/U is 27-11 for the Bears in their last 38 games after a win. The O/U is 13-3 for the Packers in their last 16 games overall and the O/U is 4-1 for the Packers in their last 5 games against a divisional opponent.

[New York Knight]

SportsLine simulated the game 10,000 times.


SportsLine Projection Model’s score:

Packers 30

Bears 18


It has Rodgers passing for 275 yards and 2.25 TDs ... Glennon throws for 212 yards, 1.03 TDs and 1.23 INTs.

[New York Knight]

Aaron Kessler, Sportsbook supervisor at the Golden Nugget in downtown Vegas ...


“It’s been all Packers money so far, Green Bay’s price adjusted from -110 to -120. I expect Bears money to turn up, (but) the Packers are so public that we’re gonna end up needing the Bears, most likely.”

[New York Knight]

Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu ...


“We’ve taken sharp money on both sides of this game, but not an inordinate amount. The smart money favors the Bears by just a bit. Unsurprisingly, the public is all over Green Bay. Currently, the ticket count favors the Packers, 75% to 25%, but the money is with Chicago at 53%.”

"There’s been sharp play on the under, taking the total from 45.5 to 44.5 over the past 24 hours"

[New York Knight]

South Point ...

"Money starting to show on Green Bay"