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Doc's sports Aug. 29-Sept. 5, 2017
THIS WEEK'S TOP GAMES FROM OUR TEAM OF EXPERTS:
WEDNESDAY
Allen Eastman - 7-Unit MLB Play
THURSDAY
Robert Ferringo - 6-Unit College Football Play
Jason Sharpe - 5-Unit College Football Play
Robert Ferringo - 7-Unit College Football Futures Play
FRIDAY
Raphael Esparza - 7-Unit MLB Play
Robert Ferringo - 7-Unit MLB Play
SATURDAY
Doc's Sports - 7-Unit College Football Play
Robert Ferringo - 7-Unit College Football Play
Allen Eastman - 7-Unit College Football Play
Strike Point Sports - 7-Unit College Football Play
Raphael Esparza - 7-Unit College Football Total
Alan Harris - 7-Unit College Football Play
Indian Cowboy - 7-Unit College Football Play
SUNDAY
Alan Harris - 6-Unit College Football Play
MONDAY
Strike Point Sports - 8-Unit CFL Game of the Year
Alan Harris - 7-Unit CFL Play
Raphael Esparza - 7-Unit CFL Play -
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 58
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 IRON VICTORY 9/2
# 8 PLAY MISTY 8/1
# 2 LUNA DANCER 7/5
I think IRON VICTORY is a very good choice. Has run strongly when racing a dirt route race. Had one of the most respectable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last race. With a nice class fig average of 72, has one of the best class advantages in this field. PLAY MISTY - Trainer boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. LUNA DANCER - Parker ought to be able to get this filly to break out early in here. Should be given a shot - I like the figs from the last race.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 3
Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta .50 Super Pick 5 (Races 3-4-5-6-7) / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:06P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WAR SPIRIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEVOS WINCH: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TATTLE TAIL SUE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equ ibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
WAR SPIRIT
2/1
4/1
2
BEVOS WINCH
8/1
9/2
6
TATTLE TAIL SUE
4/1
9/1Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6200 Class Rating: 64
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 RICKLES 7/5
# 1 TEQUILA'S CHANCE 5/1
# 6 EMBERS 6/1
RICKLES is the top wager in this race. With a reliable 57 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. With a very strong 63 speed figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. He has very good class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be carefully examined in this contest. TEQUILA'S CHANCE - With Barbaran aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in this event. He has put up decent figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. EMBERS - Should be given a shot based on the respectable speed figure posted in the last race. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Gomez running at this distance are the top in this group.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
Presque Isle Downs - Race 7
$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:55P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TALK TO THE MEDIA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a s print and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
MARTY
3/1
7/2
7
TALK TO THE MEDIA
7/2
5/1Comment
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga
RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST
The With Anticipation Stakes
8½ FURLONGS TURF GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE
#10 TRUMPI
#11 SEABHAC
#3 CATHOLIC BOY
#9 EVALUATOR
For 2-year-olds on the turf, the With Anticipation was inaugurated in 2005 and named in honor of the gelding who won five Grade 1 races and more than $2.6 million for Hall of Fame trainer Jonathan Sheppard. A gray son of Relaunch owned by George Strawbridge, With Anticipation made his first start as a 2-year-old in 1997, but didn't hit his best stride until 2001, when he began campaigning primarily on the grass. The following year, at age 7, he won three straight Grade 1 events, the United Nations Handicap, his second straight Sword Dancer Invitational, and his second straight Man o' War. He was retired in 2004. Here in the 13th renewal of this graded stakes test, #10 TRUMPI, the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, comes off a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN" in his "first asking," racing at today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf. Jockey Junior Alvarado was in his irons for that win, 24 days ago here at "The Spa," which produced a 1000% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #11 SEABHAC, a 4-1 shot, is still a maiden, comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his respective "first asking," losing by 1½ length to TRUMPI in that race.Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Saratoga - Race #6 - Post: 3:48pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $83,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating: 3
#5 BOULE (ML=5/1)
#1 TIZ THE LIGHT (ML=12/1)
#2 PRESUMPTUOUS (ML=9/2)
BOULE - After the event aboard this animal on Jul 14th, the jock is going to be acquainted with the filly much better. Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This horse could be a potential overlay in this race at M/L odds of 5/1. Finished fifth in last race at Belmont Park but was close at the finish. Trying to break maiden moving from a turf race to the main track. I think Mott will have her in good shape for today's contest. TIZ THE LIGHT - When this jockey and conditioner partner up you have to take a look. Franco and Nevin have been wonderful together. PRESUMPTUOUS - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished runner up easily ahead of the 3rd place horse in her last effort. Trainer Bond moves this one down the class ladder to face much lower class horses. Look for a strong race with this class drop. This filly is in good form. Ran second on Aug 23rd. Trainer, Bond, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 WISE STRIKE (ML=3/1), #3 SEAM (ML=7/2), #7 YAALAIL (ML=6/1),
WISE STRIKE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs recently. Unlikely to see her doing it this time out either. SEAM - In any race of 7 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. YAALAIL - No value on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 6/1.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PRESUMPTUOUS - Bond must think this fine animal is in fine fettle to bring her back so quickly.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 BOULE to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 9:10pm - Stakes - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 83 OLG/OR Simcoe S. Presented by Samuel, Son and Co. Limited
Rating: 4
#6 ELLAS MY LOVE (ML=5/1)
#3 COOLER MIKE (ML=10/1)
ELLAS MY LOVE - At a 25 pct win rate for 2 year olds, this one's sire is one of the most solid in the group of horses. COOLER MIKE - Contreras was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a solid race is a good signal.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AHEADBYACENTURY (ML=2/1), #1 ESKIMINZIN (ML=3/1), #7 STORMFUHR (ML=4/1),
AHEADBYACENTURY - This stretch-runner will probably be coming much too late to make a mark in this event. ESKIMINZIN - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to be along with the lack of pace in this race. STORMFUHR - When checking today's class rating, he will have to register a much better fig than last out to vie in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 ELLAS MY LOVE on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
PassComment
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Wednesday, August 30 is:
Arizona Diamondbacks (Ray) PK over Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu).Comment
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Brad Wilton
Comp play for Wednesday is on the Tigers and Rockies to make it 3 games played Under the total in as many days.
Just 7 runs combined on Monday for the Under. A few more last night, as the teams reached 10 total runs, but landed Under the total again.
The Tigers have now played all 5 on this road trip Under the total, while the Rockies enter Wednesday play having held Low in 3 straight and 9 of their last 11 games overall.
Justin Verlander has seen his last pair of starts, and 7 of his last 10 starts overall hold Under the total, while Chad Bettis has seen all 3 of his 2017 starts play Under the posted price.
Hard to argue those numbers.
Tigers-Rockies Under.
5* DETROIT-COLORADO UNDERComment
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Jeff Benton
Wednesday freebie is the Phillies over the Braves.
They cannot beat them! I am speaking of Philadelphia when they face Atlanta.
Last night the Braves got a reprieve from Mother Nature, as the rain forced the teams to play a pair today.
Philly won on Monday, 6-1. That makes 7 straight series losses this year at the hands of the Phillies for Atlanta, and it also puts the Bravos at 2-12 in the season series!
Overall, the Braves have lost 3 straight and 7 of their last 10, while the Phils are playing some free-and-easy baseball, claiming 2 of 3 off the Cubs over the weekend, and racking up 4 wins over their last 6 games played.
It will be RA Dickey opposing Jerad Eickhoff in the opener, and right now it could be Greg Maddux against Dicky Noles, and I would still back the Phillies based on the season series dominance.
Philly the call.
3* PHILADELPHIA - Game 1Comment
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Brian Bitler
Brian's 9* MLB Solid Dog
Seattle vs. Baltimore, 08/30/2017 15:05 EDT
Money Line: +123 Seattle
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Tremendous value in this play. Mariners were shut out 4-0 as Dylan Bundy pitched a great game. Mariners have lost 4 straight Orioles have won 6 straight. But we get the better pitcher in Ariel Miranda who has had issues with stamina lately but his opponent Ubaldo Jimenez is just plain bad. Even with losing 4 straight the Mariners are just 1.5 games out so today is a must win to snap this streak. This is also a revenge game for Miranda who was traded from the Orioles and this is his first start again'st them. Jimenez is also 2-4 with a 6.50 ERA versus the Orioles. Take the nice plus money here and invest a 9 unit play on the Mariners today at 3:05pm.Comment
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 mlb free pick
Miami vs. Washington, 08/30/2017 16:05 EDT
Point Spread: -1½/-120 Washington
Sportsbook:
Betonline
Fp: nats on fire right now and have played well at home all year .. no need to lay the juice as the nats win this one by at least 2 runs making Washington run line my mlb free pick .Comment
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Cappers Club
Aug 30 '17, 8:10 PM
MLB | White Sox vs Twins
Play on: Twins -1½ -115 at 5Dimes
Twins -1.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. We picked the Twins at -1.5 on Tuesday night, and it paid out, and we think it will again on Wednesday night.
On the mound for the White Sox is Derek Holland who has been terrible this year. He comes into this game with a 7-13 record and an ERA of 6.05.
In two of his last three starts he went under three innings and gave up seven earned runs. That isn't a good combination when you are facing a Minnesota Twins team that is crushing the ball.
On the mound for the Twins is Jose Berrios who has done enough this year to keep the Twins in games.
He is facing a White Sox team who don't have a lot of power in their line up and that should help keep the ball in the ballpark.
Some trends to note. White Sox are 0-6 in Hollands last 6 road starts. Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
Back the Twins -1.5.
5* Cappers Club Free Play on Twins -1.5
Good Luck, Cappers Club.Comment
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