4-15-15

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::handshake::

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NHL
Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Chicago at Nashville - Wednesday April 15, 2015

The Blackhawks open their conference quarterfinal series in Nashville and face a Predators team that is 0-8 in its last 8 games versus Western Conference opponents. Chicago is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+100).

Thursday April 16, 2015 Click Date To See Games
Wednesday April 15, 2015 Click Date To See Games
Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens

Game 1-2
April 15, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa Senators
11.361
Montreal Canadien
12.733
Dunkel Team: Montreal Canadien
Dunkel Line: by 1 1/2
Dunkel Total: 4

Vegas Team: Montreal Canadien
Vegas Line: -150
Vegas Total: 5

Dunkel Pick:
Montreal Canadien
(-150); Under

New York Islanders @ Washington Capitals

Game 3-4
April 15, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York Islander
12.983
Washington Capita
13.710
Dunkel Team: Washington Capita
Dunkel Line: by 1
Dunkel Total: 4

Vegas Team: Washington Capita
Vegas Line: -150
Vegas Total: 5

Dunkel Pick:
Washington Capita
(-150); Under

Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators

Game 5-6
April 15, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Blackhawk
12.688
Nashville Predato
10.185
Dunkel Team: Chicago Blackhawk
Dunkel Line: by 2 1/2
Dunkel Total: 6

Vegas Team: Nashville Predato
Vegas Line: -120
Vegas Total: 5

Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Blackhawk
(+100); Over

Calgary Flames @ Vancouver Canucks

Game 7-8
April 15, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary Flames
12.116
Vancouver Canucks
11.287
Dunkel Team: Calgary Flames
Dunkel Line: by 1
Dunkel Total: 5 1/2

Vegas Team: Vancouver Canucks
Vegas Line: -145
Vegas Total: 5

Dunkel Pick:
Calgary Flames
(+125); Over

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NBA

Please be advised that lot of teams are resting guys, whether it be for the playoffs or just because their seasons are over.

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won three of their last four games.
-- Chicago won its last three games by 11-7-27 points.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.
-- Jazz won four of last five games (4-0-1 vs spread). Houston won five of its last seven games.
-- Spurs won their last 11 games (9-2 vs spread). Pelicans are 7-3 in last ten games, make playoffs with win here.
-- Wizards won five of their last seven games. Cavaliers are 7-3 in last ten games, covered one of last five.
-- Celtics won/covered their last five games. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games.
-- Knicks won last two games by total of five points.
-- Pacers won last six games; they need win to make playoffs.
-- Warriors won eight of last ten games, covered one of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Hornets lost last five games (1-3 vs spread last four).
-- Thunder lost five of their last seven games. Minnesota lost 10 of last 11 games, is 3-2 vs spread in last five.
-- Hawks lost last two games, by 4-9 points.
-- Portland lost four of its last five games.
-- Orlando lost last three games by total of ten points. Nets lost three of last four games to jeopardize playoff slot.
-- Pistons lost five of last seven games.
-- Memphis lost last two games, is 4-6 in its last ten.
-- Heat lost six of last eight games, has been eliminated. 76ers lost last nine games (3-6 vs spread).
-- Denver lost six of its last eight games (3-1 last four vs spread).
-- Kings lost eight of their last ten games. Lakers lost seven of last eight games.

Series Records
-- Hornets won six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Thunder won last six games (4-2 vs spread) with Minnesota.
-- Hawks beat Chicago this season by 7-8 points, after losing six in row to Bulls before that.
-- Mavericks are 5-3 in last eight games with Portland.
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games with Utah.
-- Spurs won six of last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Cavaliers won seven of last ten games with Washington.
-- Nets won eight of last ten games with Orlando.
-- Bucks won six of last eight games with Boston.
-- Knicks lost three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Pacers lost seven of last ten games with Memphis.
-- Heat won seven of last ten games with Philly (4-5-1 vs spread).
-- Warriors covered seven of last ten games with Denver.
-- Home side won last five Sacramento-Laker games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Charlotte-Toronto games went over.
-- Six of last nine Thunder games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Dallas games went over; four of Portland's last five stayed under.
-- Last five Utah games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Washington-Cleveland tilts stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Orlando games stayed under.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under; three of Bucks' last four games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit-NY games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Indiana-Memphis stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over total.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over total.
-- Three of last four Laker games went over the total.

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | WASHINGTON at CLEVELAND
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) good defensive team (41.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

NBA | ORLANDO at BROOKLYN
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (ORLANDO) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a loss against a division rival
212-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% | 80.1 units )
31-9 this year. ( 77.5% | 8.0 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at DALLAS
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%) after 42+ games, after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Celtics (-4) on Tuesday and likes the Capitals on Wednesday.

The deficit is 753 sirignanos.

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day
Milwaukee Brewers + St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7

Rest of the Plays
Oakland Athletics + Houston Astros UNDER 7.5
Arizona Diamondbacks +118 over San Diego Padres
Baltimore Orioles -113 over NY Yanks

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Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
New York Islanders + Washington Capitals OVER 5

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks +100 over Nashville Preds
Ottawa Senators + Montreal UNDER 5

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Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day
New Orleans Pelicans +5 over San Antonio Spurs

Rest of the Plays
none

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Soccer Crusher

Atlas + Atletico MG UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Conmebol

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DAVE SCANDALIATO

3* NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +5 at home versus san antonio spurs.

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BASEBALL TED - 4/15/15

Cincinnati Reds +115

Arizona Diamondbacks +115

Chicago White Sox +118

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Paul Leiner

100* Thunder -13.5

100* Cardinals/Brewers Over 7

50* Astros -120

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ROSS KING

Montreal Canadiens ML

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Bryan Powers

MLB - (free pick St. Lou Cards -136)
Detroit +123
Cincinatti +118

NBA
Lakers -3.5

NHL 4/15
Ottowa +135
NY Islanders / Wash Over 5
Chicago +105

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Steel City Cappers

1* White Sox +115
1* White Sox Under 7.5

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SB Professor Original MLB Picks 4/15- EARLY GAMES

No plays early

[golden contender]

Hump day card has a 6* 100% Final NBA Game System undefeated the last 25 years and a 95% Late night Final game system. In Bases its Triple Perfect 5* Game of the week with a system winning by 3 runs per game the last 10 years. Finally a Solid Round 1 NHL Playoff total. with 6 angles. Free MLB Play below.


The Free MLB System play is on the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 958 at 8:15 eastern. The Cards will look to rebound off a 5-4 loss to the Brewers and we have have a system that supports their here tonight. Home favorites in this range are 45-19 the last 10 years if they are off a 1 run home favored loss at -140 or more and they scored 4 or less runs on 5 or more hits and the total tonight is 8 or less and their opponent is off a 1 run +140 or higher road dog win scoring 5 or more runs. Some what technical but effective. These teams have won 12 of the last 13 times. St. Louis is 6-1 at home off a home loss and the Brewers are 1-4 on the road off a 1 run road win. The Cards are 98-54 long term off a loss. They have L. Lynn going and he has won 4 of his 5 home April starts and 4 of 5 vs the Brewers with a 2.32 era. Look for the Cards to get the win. On Hump day the card has 2 Last Game Power systems,one is a Huge 6* with a 100% System that dates to 1991 the otehr a 95% Beauty. In Bases its the 5* MLB Game of the Week with a Tremendous league wide system that wins by an average 3 runs per game and their are 2 Perfect indicators. We also have a Powerful Round 1 NHL Totals Play. Message to Jump on now and Bang your book good on Hump day with the Most powerful data in the industry. For the free play. Take St. Louis. GC

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Ben Burns MLB

10* San Diego
9* Cleveland

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PowerPlay Wins

POD

MLB: Kansas City Royals -117 (Volquez)

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Sports Insights

White Sox +120

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GOODFELLA

Triple-Dime bet - Los Angeles Dodgers-125

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Justin Michael Sports

Wednesday, April 15th 2015 at 11:10am CST – Miami (Haren) vs Atlanta (Stults)

2 UNITS ON MIAMI -120


Wednesday, April 15th 2015 at 12:35pm CST – Boston (Miley) vs Washington (Gonzalez)

2 UNITS ON BOSTON -118


Wednesday, April 15th 2015 at 9:15pm CST – Colorado (Matzek) vs San Francisco (Lincecum)

2 UNITS ON COLORADO FIRST 5 INNINGS +103

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SPARTAN

Triple-Dime bet – Kansas City Royals-135

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Stephen Nover

GOY pistons -7.5

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime selection is Nationals and Red Sox under the posted total.

The current line on this game is 8 1/2 in Vegas and offshore

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (MLB)

3* ST. Louis Cardinals ML-160

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit NBA Move


Brooklyn Nets -8 over Orlando

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WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRE – Pelicans

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Sports Handicapper King

Ross Raposo: NY ISLANDERS nhl (7:05 edt)

freeloader:
SF GIANTS mlb (10:15 edt)

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Handicapper Zone

2* Red Sox Over 9

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Indian Cowboy MLB

3-Unit Play. #969. Take Under 8.0 Runs NY Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

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WiseguyNetwork
2 Ottawa/Canadiens u5
2 TB Lightning/Canadiens ML Parlay
3 NY Islanders +127
5 Chicago Blackhawks +105
7 Canucks/Flames o5
8 Vancouver -140
951 Marlins -104
954 Phillies/Mets u7
956 Cubs -123
961 Rockies +120
964 Chicago/Cleveland u7.5
965 Angels -124
971 Athletics +132
972 Astros -110
974 Twins +111
975 Nationals +116

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SPORTS LOCKSMITH

MLB
Chicago White Sox +126 2* (12:10 Eastern)
Houston -116 3* (8:10 Eastern)
Seattle +109 3* (10:10 Eastern)
Colorado +110 3* (10:15 Eastern)

Chairman’s Play
New York Yankees +103 5* (7:05 Eastern)

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ATSWins LOCKCLUB

NBA
3* Orlando +8
3* Hou/Under 195

NHL
3* Ottawa/Under 5

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Major 1 Sports
Jerry Major

5* Bulls -6
3* Pistons -7

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SB Professor Original MLB Picks
LATE GAMES

Follow:
Minnesota +112

Fade:
Kansas City -122

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SB Professor Original NBA

System Play:
Utah +12

Addtl Plays:
Dallas -7
Denver +12

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James Jones

3* NBA-New Orleans Pelicans(+5.5)-103

2* MLB-Colorado Rockies ML+103
2* MLB-Baltimore Orioles ML-115

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ultra sports mlb

washington
kansas city

yankees
colorado over

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Carson K

MLB 2* Twins

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VegasButcher - MLB

Houston Astros -108

Some people might not know his but the Astros ranked 3rd offensively against lefties last year. This team is built to hit for power and not much else, so of course they’ll be ‘hit or miss’ a lot. Well, facing a pitcher like Pomeranz who can’t reach 90 MPH with his fastball, could provide a few more ‘hits’ than ‘misses’ tonight. McHugh was a top-30 pitcher in my database last year and is coming off a solid outing on the road @ Texas. I’ll back him at home in this one as I believe the ‘Stros are undervalued tonight.

Colorado Rockies +100

Here is Tim Lincecum’s fastball velocity YoY since he’s been in the majors:

2007: 94 MPH

2008: 94 MPH

2009: 92 MPH

2010: 91 MPH

2011: 92 MPH

2012: 90 MPH

2013: 90 MPH

2014: 89.6 MPH

2015: 87.3 MPH

Holy cow, his average FB velocity was 87.3 MPH in his first start this year!! And now he gets to take on a Rockies lineup that is one of the better ones in the league. Unless a miracle happens tonight, I expect Colorado to hit Lincecum hard. As far as Matzek is concerned, he is filthy against lefties. Look as his career splits:

Vs L: 28% K%; 21% K-BB%; 4.1 K/BB rate; 0.3 HR/9; 2.4/2.6 FIP/xFIP

Vs R: 15% K%; 6% K-BB%; 1.6 K/BB rate; 0.8 HR/9; 4.3/4.5 FIP/xFIP

Matzek goes from an ‘elite’ pitcher against lefties, to a ‘replacement level’ one against righties. Good thing for him is that San Fran is a lefty-heavy lineup. Aoki, Panik, Belt, Blanco, and Crawford are all left-handed regulars. Pagan is a switch-hitter but he’s far better against righties than lefties in his career: .300/.350/.430 versus .260/.310/.400. Duffy has fewer than 100 PA’s in his career and Maxwell can’t hit any kind of pitching (.220 vs R and .231 vs L). The only real threat is Posey, who is expected back today. Matzek had a poor outing in his first start this year but I’m hoping for a ‘bounce-back’ tonight. Even if he struggles again, I’d be surprised if the Rox fail to plate a number of runs off Lincecum’s soft stuff in this one.

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PNW Picks

Red Sox
Royals
Rays
D'backs
Giants
Indians
Cards

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Indian Cowboy NBA
7* Over Miami/Philly

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Gordon24

$400 LA Dodgers

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PITTVIPER SPORTS

Wednesday NHL
ROT# 08 – 10:05pm – Vancouver -140

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RL Sports MLB

Tigers
Rockies

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Fezzick:
dimes: piston and nuggets
double dime: San antonio/no UNDER

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Top Notch Sports Pics

10-2 last 12

San Fran Giants Moneyline Mlb

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Arthur Ralph Super Pick - Cardinals MLB.

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Chris James Sports

Phillies

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J.R. STEVENS/SMOOTH44

MLB: Philadelphia +145

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Scott Rickenbach

10* Calgary / Vancouver Over 5

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Scott Spreitzer | MLB Money Line Wed, 04/15/15 – 8:10 PM
dime bet – 973 KAN (-127) vs 974 MIN

Analysis: I’m backing the KC Royals on Wednesday night. Kansas City is 7-0 and leads the majors with a .329 batting average and .932 OPS but the Royals are only a small favorite in this game because Kyle Gibson is 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA against them in his career. That being said, Gibson was pummeled in his first outing allowing six runs on hits with five walks in just 3.2 innings against Detroit. Americasbookie. Also, he doesn’t figure to get much run support as Minnesota is batting .201 and is last in the majors with a .530 OPS. Edinson Volquez gave up just one run on four hits in eight innings in his season debut against the White Sox. The Royals lead the majors in batting average (.329) and OPS (.932). The Twins are 25-53 their last 78 games as home underdogs and Kansas City has won 43 of its last 63 road games. Look for the Royals to make it eight in a row on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer

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5 Unit Total Play · Under [955] Cincinnati Reds vs. [956] Chicago Cubs
J B's PA Connection Wed Apr 15th, 2015 8:05pm EDT

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GP From Vegas

NBA:
Hawks+6
Kings+2.5

MLB:
Phillies F5 +.5
Jays/Rays F5 Over 5
Royals-114

NHL Series Futures:
Jets+140
Senators+135

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Shadow Sports Syndicate

MLB ST. LOUIS ‑1 ‑105

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Fantasy Sports

Play St. Louis -145 over Milwaukee (TOP MLB PLAY)

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Jeffrey Brandes

MLB OAKLAND +110

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Diamond Dog Sports MLB

#970: Orioles: -120 (0.5*)
Eovaldi/Norris

#980: Dodgers: -125 (0.5*)
Walker/Anderson

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Vegas LineReader

New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles Over 7.5

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Rocky's Lock Club

10* Mets

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MLBPredictions / Brent

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs

My Pick – OVER 7 (-115)

The Reds and Cubs will conclude their three game set tonight at Wrigley as Cincy took game two with a hard-fought 3-2 victory last night but might have lost Brandon Phillips in the process. Phillips left the game after feeling lightheaded following a collision with the Cubs’ Starlin Castro, however it’s possible the veteran slugger return to the lineup for tonight’s rubber match. Jason Marquis makes his second start of the season after lasting six innings in his first start, a 5-4 Friday against the Cardinals. Marquis had a trough first couple of innings but settled down and let the Reds offense get them back in to the game. This is just his second big league appearance since July of 2013 so there are sure to be some peaks and valleys with the veteran right-hander, and I’m leaning towards a valley this evening. The Cubs send Travis Wood to the hill after he was hit hard in his first start of the season against the Colorado Rockies. In just 4 2/3 innings, Wood surrendered three runs on seven hits in a 5-1 loss to the Rockies on Friday. The left-hander will be facing his former team in the Reds who dealt him to Chicago in 2011 and his ERA sits at a nice 2.98 mark against his former club. The Reds should give him some trouble tonight as Todd Frazier is off to a great start to the season and Billy Hamilton will be in the lineup after suffering a finger injury that kept him out of Monday’s game. Hamilton is a spark plug for this offense as he steals bases at will and takes the pitcher’s attention away from the hitter at the plate. Marquis should far no better as a youthful Cubs offense that can hit and run is balanced by veterans like Miguel Montero, who is 7 for 20 off Marquis in his career with four homeruns and two doubles. These two NL Central teams should score some runs tonight off of their respective fifth starts so take the OVER 7 and watch them both plate some runs tonight.

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates

My Pick – TIGERS (+139)

The Tigers and Pirates finish off a three-game set that has seen each team come away victorious over the first two meetings, both of which were tight ball games. Pittsburgh just about blew a 5-1 lead in the 9th inning on Monday afternoon and snuck out a 5-4 victory while Detroit evened the series last night with a well-played 2-0 win. Alfredo Simon opposes Francisco Liriano tonight in a battle of pitchers who are very familiar with the opposing offense. Simon came to Detroit in an offseason trade after spending a few years in a Cincinnati Reds uniform, a team that resides in the NL Central along with the Pirates. Over 18 starts against Pittsburgh Simon is 3-4 career but with a 3.50 ERA against as the veteran righty won two of his four starts against the Pirates last season. Liriano is facing a Tigers team that he faced plenty while pitching for the Minnesota Twins as they are AL Central rivals with Detroit. In 25 appearances and 18 career starts against Detroit, Liriano is 5-9 with a 5.82 ERA including a 1-8 mark over his last 11 starts with the one victory coming all the way back in 2011. In short, the Tigers absolute mash this lefty as the 5.82 ERA is the highest mark of any MLB team he has faced at least ten times in his career. Miguel Cabrera, fresh off being named the AL’s player of the week in the seasons’ first seven days is 9 for 32 with three doubles and two homeruns while walking eight times. Over the last five years, plenty of Tigers have had success against Liriano. There is Cabrera, plus Alex Avila (.400), J.D. Martinez (.500 with a homer), Victor Martinez (.500 but likely sits as there is no DH tonight) and Nick Castellanos (.333). The Tigers pounded lefty T.J. House of the Indians on Sunday afternoon and will be an extremely tough opponent for any left hander this season. Take the Tigers tonight as huge underdogs to knock off the Pirates a take their third consecutive series victory to start the season.