7-9-14

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::handshake::

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World Cup Game of the Day: Netherlands vs. Argentina

Netherlands vs. Argentina (+240, +140, Draw +220)

The Netherlands and Argentina have played for significant World Cup stakes before - and the Dutch can only hope things are different this time around as the two sides square off Wednesday afternoon for a spot in the 2014 final. Holland has reached the final three times but has never won - and one of those losses came to Argentina back in 1978. The winner will face xxx, which defeated xxx x-x in the other semifinal.

The focus of the match on either side will be Argentina striker Lionel Messi, whose heroics are a big part of his country's return to the World Cup final four. He has four goals in five games, and set up Angel di Maria's game-winner against Switzerland. Di Maria is expected to miss the game with a thigh injury, which should take a great deal of pressure off the Dutch as they look to make it back-to-back World Cup final appearances.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN

WORLD RANKINGS: Netherlands: No. 15; Argentina: No. 5.

INJURY REPORT: Netherlands: MF Nigel de Jong was expected to miss the match with a thigh injury but has participated in training and could be in the lineup. Argentina: MF Angel di Maria will miss the game with a thigh injury; F Sergio Aguero has been declared fit to play despite a groin injury.

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "The Dutch will represent the most potent attack the Argies have had to face so far in the tournament. La Albiceleste narrowly got through against the Swiss and Belgians in two very mediocre performances. Both sides look evenly matched on paper and it may take the world's best player, Lionel Messi, to make the difference in São Paulo on Wednesday night." Covers Expert Footy Tipster

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "The 2010 runners up, the Netherlands look to get back to the final in back-to-back World Cups, which has only happened four times in World Cup History. If the Netherlands make it back to the finals it will be the second time as a Nation to make it to two-straight Finals. Meanwhile, Argentina has quietly made it to the semis and are looking to recapture the World Cup title, their first finals appearance since 1990. As for the game, the Netherlands are seeing 40 percent of the action to win in regulation while a tie in regulation is seeing 30 percent of the action. The 2.5 goal total has 65 percent of the action on the under." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag

ABOUT THE NETHERLANDS: The Dutch are expected to take no chances against a dangerous Argentine side, with Manager Louis Van Gaal expected to employ a 5-3-2 system that has been wildly successful so far. Yet, as well as the Netherlands have played, there are still those who are nervous about Robin Van Persie's uneven effort so far in Brazil. The veteran striker struggled mightily in group play and was suspended for the final group stage game versus Chile.

ABOUT ARGENTINA: It has been 24 years since the Argentines have appeared in the World Cup title game, though history is on their side; they're a perfect 3-0 in semifinal matches. The absence of di Maria will no doubt be felt, but it should be mitigated by the resurgence of struggling Gonzalo Higuain, who finally scored in the quarterfinal triumph over Belgium. Enzo Perez replaced di Maria in the midfield following the injury, and is the likely starter against the Dutch.

TRENDS:

* The teams have met eight times in history, with the Dutch winning four of those while losing just once.
* Messi is even with legend Diego Maradona in caps for Argentina with 91.
* The teams last met at the 2006 World Cup, where they played to a 0-0 draw.
* The Dutch scored 10 goals in three group matches but have just two in two knockout games.

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World Cup semifinal betting: Argentina vs Netherlands
By ANDREW AVERY

The 2014 World Cup is now at the knockout stage, read this semifinals betting preview before placing your bets.


http://www.pinnaclesports.com/Resources/uploadedimages/Pinnacle_Sports/Sportsbook/Betting_Articles/2014/06-2014/World_Cup_KO/world-cup-knockout-stage-arg-ned.jpg

Before this World Cup, the Dutch fans were saying this was their weakest World Cup squad in years, right up until demolishing Spain in their opening game. Then, brimming with confidence, they almost lost against Australia en route to winning the Group of Death from which so many had previously predicted elimination.

After narrowly defeating Mexico in the round of 16, the attack focused Oranje went to extra time against Costa Rica, before winning on penalties, thanks to the Tim Krul gamble by manager Louis Van Gaal – Van Gaal brought on goalkeeper Krul with 30 seconds to go just for penalties.

While Argentina’s ascent was more predictable, bettors couldn’t be faulted for not seeing this path. A nation that was supposed to have a problematic defense and an easy time within their group looked shaky in their opener against Bosnia & Herzegovina and then Iran. In the knockout stages they beat Switzerland and Belgium. While this was all going on, the pre-tournament assessments of Lionel Messi as a one-man team looked dead on, at least from an offensive standpoint.

A critical question bettors must answer revolves around how these nations will deal with opposition superstars. At present, 4 players (Messi, Robin van Persie, Gonzalo Higuain and Arjen Robben) are priced at 3.62 or better to score, in part because of the questions remaining about each nation’s defense.

Netherlands have only managed two clean sheets, one of which saw them fail to score themselves; Argentina’s clean sheets have come against an Iranian team with one goal in the entire tournament, Switzerland and a Belgian nation that failed to score before the 70th minute of any of their previous five matches.

Van Gaal’s defense looked good against Costa Rica, but that team relied heavily on counter attack opportunities Van Gaal didn’t give them. Can Netherlands contain Messi in the same way? Can Argentina contain Robben and van Persie? At present, our line on Over 2 goals is at 1.95 and Under at 1.97. Bettors clearly feel that the importance of the match and the formatting of the knockout stage will keep the score low, and therefore the superstars at bay.

The Argentines are favored by our 1X2 markets, their price at 2.42 (41.3% winners equity), but have just one win and one push vs. closing spreads in 5 matches. Netherlands, 3-2 vs. the spread in this World Cup, are at 3.35 (29.9%), while the draw prices similarly at 3.24.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

van Persie status up in the air against Argentina
Andrew Caley

Netherlands striker Robin van Persie is doubtful for the World Cup semi final against Argentina Wednesday due to a stomach problem.

The Netherlands is currently a +231 underdog in three-way betting versus Argentina (+146), according to Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS


FIFA World Cup


Netherlands +134 over Argentina




BEST LINE: Pinnacle +134 (Asian Handicap)


(Risking 1 units - To Win: 1.34)


This is an (Asian) Handicap wager. In other words, if the game is tied after regulation time, it’s a push.


Lionel Messi is the best footballer in the world and there is no disputing that. However, the Dutch are on a mission and seemingly cannot be stopped. Despite all the adversities and peril that has befallen the Dutch, they seemingly have the Luck of the Irish. The Netherlands escaped Mexico, scoring two goals in the final ten minutes of their fixture, capped off by a penalty kick that was certainly controversial. Nevertheless, Wesley Sneijder has been a catalyst for the Lions, as he has struck more wood than a carpenter. The Dutch overcame the mighty Ticos of Costa Rica in a penalty shootout, despite harsh luck and an apparent kismet from the Soccer Gods for Costa Rica. The Dutch have been contemplating and pontificating over their 2010 defeat against Spain and seemingly it has been the motivating force behind this Robin Van Persie led squad. The Dutch have another great playmaker in Arjen Robben, who has also been an offensive creator for this club throughout the tournament.


There is no clear cut favorite for this fixture. Argentina is a significant favorite in this because of the geographical orientation of the FIFA tournament and the play of one, Lionel Messi. However, Argentina has lived dangerously throughout the tournament and seems like a human team subtracting number 10 from the equation. Argentina has not had any convincing results throughout the tournament and it’s for that reason we give the Dutch a great chance to win this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Three streaking MLB bets to watch before the All-Star Break
By JASON LOGAN

The baseball season doesn’t offer players many breathers during the 162-game gauntlet from April to October. That’s why the MLB All-Star Break is always a big deal – even if guys aren’t featured in the annual showcase of baseball’s top talents.

Some teams are closing in on their division leaders and look at the final stretch before the break as a perfect time to put their heads down and go all out before some time off. Others clubs, the ones sliding back in the standings, are counting the days until time away from the diamond, clubhouse and probing media and may not be 100 percent focused on the schedule ahead.

Here are three teams to watch in the final week of MLB betting action before the All-Star Break.

Seattle Mariners (49-40, +956 units)

The Mariners are playing great ball with seven wins in their last 10 outings, heading into Tuesday’s home game against Minnesota. The pitching has been superb with Seattle giving up two or fewer runs in six of its last eight games, including two shutouts. The bullpen is the best in the majors - 2.45 ERA - with 28 saves and nine blown saves.

The M’s are third in the American League West – 7.5 games behind Oakland – and have a great opportunity to close that gap during an upcoming three-game showdown with the A’s at Safeco Field before the break.

Washington Nationals (48-40, -80 units)

The Nationals were a little slow going in the spring, especially in May, but have been picking up steam in the National League East. Washington is just half a game behind Atlanta heading into Tuesday’s interleague contest with Baltimore, having won seven of their previous 10 games.

The Nats stumbled Monday, giving up eight runs to the Orioles, but have been very stingy with the runs in recent outings. Before that loss, Washington allowed more than three runs just once in the eight games previous. The Nationals can push themselves ahead of the Braves during a road set in Philadelphia before the break – already winning four of six games versus the Phillies this season.

San Diego Padres (40-49, -1062 units)

Could one of the worst bets in baseball suddenly be on the rise? The Padres have been plagued by poor hitting all season – ranked 30th in the bigs – but their bats have come to life in recent outings. San Diego scored eight runs on July 1 and put six on the board in Colorado Monday, giving backers their sixth win in the past 10 games – a haul of +348 units.

Of course, Coors Field could have something to do with that Monday result. But so could getting out of power-sucking Petco Park, which is among the most pitcher-friendly parks in America. The Padres could enjoy life on the road before the break. They head into the All-Star hiatus off a four-game road series against the Dodgers, who have four players looking past San Diego and to the ASG in Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Road team dominating with this ump behind home plate
Stephen Campbell

The road team has been benefiting in a big way when umpire Clint Fagan has been in charge as of late, winning 17 out of the last 21 games he's umped. Fagan will be calling balls and strikes for Wednesday's meeting between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies - making the Padres an attractive play.

BetOnline.com currently has the game as a pick 'em with a total of 11.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mets, Gee trending Under vs. Braves
Stephen Campbell

New York Mets pitcher Dillon Gee has been a fantastic Under bet against the Atlanta Braves lately. In Gee's last five starts against Atlanta, the Under is a perfect 5-0. He'll be on the mound for the Mets when they host the Braves at Citi Field Wednesday.

BetOnline.com presently lists Atlanta as -126 favorites on the moneyline with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire for Royals-Rays is an Over machine
Stephen Campbell

Bettors backing the Over in games Lazaro Diaz has umped have been collecting some nice profits recently. In Diaz's last 11 games calling balls and strikes, the Over is 8-1-2. He'll be behind home plate for Wednesday's contest between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Kansas City Royals.

BetOnline.com currently has the Rays as -133 faves with an Over/Under of seven for the matchup.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Third-worst money pitcher gets fresh start in NY
Stephen Campbell

Newly acquired New York Yankees pitcher Brandon McCarthy and his backers alike are welcoming a change of scenery after his trade from Arizona to the Bronx Sunday. Through Tuesday, McCarthy ranks as the third-worst money pitcher in the majors with an atrocious $-1115, but he'll have a chance to turn things around in the American League.

McCarthy gets the ball against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field Wednesday. BetOnline.com presently lists the Tribe as slight -112 faves with a total of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

tiger early big bet - boston/chicago under 8 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 9th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 7/9/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #15
The baseball season doesn’t offer players many breathers during the 162-game gauntlet from April to October. That’s why the Major League Baseball All-Star Break is always a big deal – even if guys aren’t featured in the annual showcase of baseball’s top talents.

Some teams are closing in on their division leaders and look at the final stretch before the break as a perfect time to put their heads down and go all out before some time off. Others clubs, the ones sliding back in the standings, are counting the days until time away from the diamond, clubhouse and the probing media may not be 100 percent focused on the schedule ahead.

According to StatSystemsSports.net Systems Analyst James Vogel here are three teams to watch in the final week of Major League Baseball betting action before the All-Star Break.

•Seattle Mariners (49-40, +956 units)
The Mariners are playing great ball with seven wins in their last 10 outings, heading into Tuesday’s home game against Minnesota. The pitching has been superb with Seattle giving up two or fewer runs in six of its last eight games, including two shutouts. The bullpen is the best in the majors - 2.45 ERA - with 28 saves and nine blown saves. The Mariner are third in the American League West – 7.5 games behind Oakland – and have a great opportunity to close that gap during an upcoming three-game showdown with the A’s at Safeco Field before the break.

•Washington Nationals (48-40, -80 units)
The Nationals were a little slow going in the spring, especially in May, but have been picking up steam in the National League East. Washington is just half a game behind Atlanta heading into Tuesday’s interleague contest with Baltimore, having won seven of their previous 10 games. The Nats stumbled Monday, giving up eight runs to the Orioles, but have been very stingy with the runs in recent outings. Before that loss, Washington allowed more than three runs just once in the eight games previous. The Nationals can push themselves ahead of the Braves during a road set in Philadelphia before the break – already winning four of six games versus the Phillies this season.

•San Diego Padres (40-49, -1062 units)
Could one of the worst bets in baseball suddenly be on the rise? The Padres have been plagued by poor hitting all season – ranked 30th in the bigs – but their bats have come to life in recent outings. San Diego scored eight runs on July 1 and put six on the board in Colorado Monday, giving backers their sixth win in the past 10 games – a haul of +348 units. Of course, Coors Field could have something to do with that Monday result. But so could getting out of power-sucking Petco Park, which is among the most pitcher-friendly parks in America. The Padres could enjoy life on the road before the break. They head into the All-Star hiatus off a four-game road series against the Dodgers, who have four players looking past San Diego and to the ASG in Minnesota.

Tuesday's MLB Roundup
•Reds' Votto Back On DL With Leg Injury: The Reds placed first baseman Joey Votto back on the 15-day disabled list Tuesday with a nagging thigh injury that is expected to limit him for the rest of the season. Catcher Brayan Pena was activated off the paternity list before a doubleheader against the Chicago Cubs. Pena will be one of the primary fill-ins at first base while Votto is gone. It's unclear when he might be back. Votto earlier missed 23 games while on the DL with a strained muscle above his left knee. It's not expected to heal completely until the offseason.

Votto was limited when he returned from the disabled list, batting only .250 in 23 games. He hasn't homered since May 10. The knee began bothering him again last week. Tests on Monday found that he has aggravated the injury. The Reds will consider trading for an experienced first baseman as a backup. Nobody else on the roster has much experience at first. Outfielder Jay Bruce made his first appearance there since high school on Monday night. Third baseman Todd Frazier also has played at first base. For now, Price plans to use those three at the position.

•Indians Place Masterson On DL With Knee Injury: The Cleveland Indians have placed pitcher Justin Masterson on the 15-day disabled list with inflammation in his right knee Tuesday. Masterson, the team's opening day starter, is 4-6 with a 5.51 ERA. The right-hander allowed five runs and six hits in two-plus innings Monday against the New York Yankees, and was pulled without retiring a batter in the third. He walked three, hit a batter and rarely topped 90 mph in his 54 pitches, throwing only 24 strikes. Masterson has given up 19 runs, 27 hits and 17 walks in 18 innings over his last five starts. He has pitched more than four innings once in that stretch.

•Twins' Nolasco To DL With Elbow Strain: The Minnesota Twins feared after that right-hander Ricky Nolasco's elbow tightness during Sunday's game against the New York Yankees might be a problem and on Tuesday announced he was going on the 15-day disabled list. The move is retroactive to July 7. Nolasco was sent back to Minneapolis for tests after meeting with manager Ron Gardenhire on Monday in Seattle. To replace Nolasco on the roster, the Twins recalled catcher-outfielder Chris Herrmann from Triple-A Rochester. Herrmann was batting .291 in 22 games for Rochester.

In 18 starts this season, Nolasco is 5-7 with a 5.90 ERA, 28 walks and 72 strikeouts in 103 2/3 innings. The St. Paul Pioneer-Press reported that Nolasco had been battling elbow soreness since spring training but that he had pitched through the discomfort without saying much to the team. The 31-year-old starter signed a four-year contract worth a franchise-record $49 million in the offseason. He was coming off a 2013 season that included a 13-11 record and a 3.70 ERA with the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers.

"Velocity was down," Twins assistant general manager Rob Antony told The Minneapolis Star Tribune on Monday. "He hasn't been as effective with his pitches. He hasn't had the same command that he's had. Basically, everything he's done this year is nothing like the reports we had, or he's not pitching the same way he did last year."

•First-Place Brewers Keep On Sliding: The Milwaukee Brewers have been in sole possession of first place in the National League Central since April 9, and their four-game lead is the largest in any division. They're just not playing like a first-place team right now. Chase Utley hit a two-run homer, and Cole Hamels allowed one earned run in 6 2-3 innings for his first victory in a month as the Philadelphia Phillies edged Milwaukee 3-2 on Monday night, the sixth loss in seven games for the slumping Brewers. Hamels (3-5) allowed two runs and seven hits, struck out seven and walked two for his first victory since June 6 - a span of six starts.

Ken Giles finished the seventh and worked the eighth. Jonathan Papelbon pitched a perfect ninth inning for his 20th save in 22 chances. Philadelphia rebounded after falling a season-high 14 games below .500 on Sunday when Pittsburgh completed a series sweep. Dating to last season, the Phillies had lost 14 consecutive games and 27 of 28 when scoring three runs or fewer. Utley, the starting National League All-Star second baseman, staked the Phillies to a 2-0 lead in the first with his seventh homer, driving an 0-1 pitch from Marco Estrada (7-6) over the right-field wall. The Phillies extended the lead to 3-0 in the third when Utley singled with two outs. He then scored from first on Ryan Howard's single to right-center.
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Betting Notes - Wednesday

National League
•Padres-Rockies - 3:10 PM
--Stults is 1-1, 2.19 in his last two starts.
--Jurrjens gave up eight runs in 4.2 IP in his first '14 start.

--Padres won six of their last nine games.
--Colorado lost 18 of its last 22 games.

--Nine of last ten Stults starts stayed under the total.

•Marlins-Diamondbacks - 3:40 PM
--Eovaldi is 1-3, 5.70 in his last five starts.
--Collmenter is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four home starts.

--Miami is 13-8 in its last twenty-one road games.
--Diamondbacks lost six of their last nine games.

--Nine of last twelve Arizona games stayed under total.

•Braves-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Santana is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
--Gee was 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts before going on DL.

--Braves lost last three games, after winning nine in row.
--Mets won four of their last five games.

--Three of last four Santana starts stayed under.

•Cubs-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Beeler allowed one run in six IP in his first MLB start.
--Cincinnati won last seven Simon starts (3-0, 2.00 last five).

--Cubs are 0-5 since Samardzija trade, scoring eleven runs.
--Cincinnati won seven of its last eight home games.

--Seven of last ten Cincinnati games stayed under total.

•Phillies-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Hernandez is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts.
--Lohse is 2-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.

--Philly lost ten of its last fourteen games, but won last two.
--Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight games.

--Six of last eight Hernandez starts went over total.

•Pirates-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Cumpton is 3-0, 3.09 in his last five starts.
--Lynn is 2-1, 0.87 in his last three home starts.

--Pirates lost their last three road games, last two on walkoffs.
--St Louis won five of its last seven home games.

--Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals' last eleven home games.

American League
•Blue Jays-Angels - 3:35 PM
--Stroman is 1-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.
--Wilson is 1-1, 7.27 in his last five starts.

--Blue Jays lost ten of their last twelve road games.
--Angels won 13 of their last 17 games; they're 11-1 in last 12 at home.

--Twelve of last thirteen Toronto games stayed under.

•Yankees-Indians - 7:05 PM
--McCarthy was 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts for Arizona.
--Tomlin is 0-3, 11.40 in his last three home starts.

--New York won five of their last seven road games.
--Indians won five of their last seven games.

--Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.

•White Sox-Red Sox - 7:10 PM
--Sale is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts.
--De La Rosa is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.

--White Sox won five of their last six games.
--Red Sox lost 13 of their last 18 games.

--15 of last 20 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

•Royals-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Ventura is 4-2, 2.52 in his last six starts.
--Cobb is 2-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

--Royals lost three of their last four games.
--Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.

--Under is 4-1-1 in last six Stroman starts.

•Astros-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Keuchel is 0-2, 7.00 in his last three starts.
--Darvish is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.

--Houston lost 15 of its last 21 games, but won last two.
--Rangers lost nine of their last ten games.

--Last five Texas games went over the total.

•Twins-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Gibson is 1-2, 11.25 in his last three starts.
--Elias is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts.

--Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
--Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

--Five of last seven Gibson starts stayed under.

Interleague
•Dodgers-Tigers - 1:05 PM
--Greinke is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
--Scherzer is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.

--Dodgers won seven of their last ten road games.
--Tigers lost three of their last four games.

--Six of last nine Scherzer starts went over total.

•Nationals-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Norris is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts.
--Fister is 7-2, 2.88 in his last ten starts.

--Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
--Washington won seven of its last nine games.

--Nine of last twelve Washington games went over.

•Athletics-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Hammel was 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts for the Cubs.
--Cain is 0-4, 5.87 in his last five starts, 0-1, 1.35 in his last two.

--Oakland won its last six games, allowing five runs.
--Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.

--Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.

•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-Cin-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Wegner games; over is 7-4 in his last eleven games.
-- Atl-NY-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Barber games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Favorites won eight of last nine Kellogg games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won nine of last 13 Foster games.
-- SD-Col-- 11 of last 15 Fagan games stayed under total.
-- Mia-Az-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tumpane games.

-- NY-Clev-- Over is 6-2-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- Chi-Bos-- Under is 12-4-1 in Eddings games this season.
-- KC-TB-- Eight of last eleven Diaz games went over total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Miller games.
-- Tor-LA-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Wolf games.
-- Min-Sea-- Four of last five Morales games went over.

-- LA-Det-- Over is 10-5 in last 15 TBarrett games; visitor won last six.
-- Wsh-Blt-- Eight of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- A's-SF-- Four of last five Ripperger games went over; dogs won last four.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Right-hander Max Scherzer of the Detroit Tigers is 21-3 his last twenty-four home team starts. Last season's American League Cy Young winner has gone 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA in three starts since giving up a career worst-tying 10 runs in an 11-4 loss to Kansas City on June 17. He's struck out 28 in 21 innings in that stretch and allowed one run and two hits through eight innings of an 8-1 win over Tampa Bay on Thursday. Scherzer retired 23 of the final 24 hitters he faced.

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
•ARIZONA is 8-26 (-19.8 Units) against the money line versus an National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.4, OPPONENT 5.2.

•LA ANGELS are 14-0 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 2.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

•SAN DIEGO is 1-13 (-15.6 Units) against the run line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

•ALFREDO SIMON is 13-0 (+14.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was SIMON 4.2, OPPONENT 1.8.

•KYLE LOHSE is 19-5 UNDER (+13.7 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOHSE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

•MAX SCHERZER is 13-3 (+11.7 Units) against the run line in home games after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SCHERZER 6.0, OPPONENT 2.6.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season - American League.
(53-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +38.9 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -128.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5.3, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +2)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +2.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-7, +20.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (150-88, +33.2 units).

•Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(43-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +37.4 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-19 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +3.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11, +27.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-30, +30 units).

•Play Over - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (American League) against a team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts.
(37-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.2%, +28.9 units. Rating = 5*)

The average total posted in these games was: 7.8, Money Line=-101.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 4.6 (Total runs scored = 9.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 29 (69% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5, +12.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (54-34, +17.1 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO (World Cup Soccer)

Netherlands to Win World Cup +360
Germany to Win World Cup +260
Argentina to Win World Cup +245

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

1* (903) Marlins +$110
1* (917) White Sox -$120
1* (923) Twins +$130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Netherlands vs. Argentina
By Sportsbook

Netherlands vs. Argentina

Kickoff: Wednesday, 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Arena Corinthians
Location: Sao Paulo, Brazil

Sportsbook.ag Line:
Argentina +140, Netherlands +207, Tie after Regulation +225
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +170, Under -192)

Argentina hopes to celebrate its nation's Independence Day on Wednesday when it meets the Netherlands in the semifinals of the 2014 World Cup.

Neither team has had an easy path to the semifinals, as the Dutch trailed Mexico by a 1-0 score 87 minutes into their Round of 16 match before scoring twice in a seven-minute span to win 2-1. The game-winner came on a disputed penalty kick. Then in the quarterfinals, the Netherlands needed a penalty-kick shootout to decide a scoreless match with heavy underdog Costa Rica. Backup goalkeeper Tim Krul, a last-minute substitution for the shorter Jasper Cillessen, saved two shots to lead the Netherlands to victory.

The Maracana has won all five of its matches in this tournament, with all five victories coming by a one-goal margin. In the Round of 16 contest, Argentina failed to score until the 118th minute in a 1-0 win over Switzerland, but got on the board in the 8th minute in the quarterfinals and barely held on for a 1-0 win over Belgium. That sent the Maracana into the semifinal round for the first time since 1990 to meet a Dutch club that will be playing in its third semifinal in the past five World Cups, a run that includes a runner-up showing in 2010 when it fell 1-0 to Spain.

While Argentina is likely to see the return of forward Sergio Aguero, who missed the quarterfinal match because of a thigh injury, the team will be without starting midfielder Angel di Maria, who suffered a thigh injury of his own in the win over Belgium. The Netherlands will once again be missing defensive-minded midfielder Nigel de Jong, who suffered a groin injury versus Mexico. His likely replacement, Leroy Fer, is also hurting with an injured hamstring is considered questionable for Wednesday.

This is a rematch of the 1978 final when Argentina beat the Netherlands 3-1 in extra time. However, the Dutch returned the favor by beating the Maracana in the 1988 World Cup quarterfinals.

The Netherlands had scored multiple goals in each of their first four World Cup matches, outscoring their opponents by a wide 12-4 margin, but were unable to score against Costa Rica despite 20 total shots, with 15 of those going on goal. The Dutch allowed only six total shots (three on goal) to the Ticos, and held sizable advantages in possession (64% to 36%) and corner kicks (11-1). But the Netherlands played sloppy in the quarterfinal win, committing 15 fouls and picking up two potential costly yellow cards (defender Bruno Martins and forward Klaas-Jan Huntelaar), while being whistled for 13 offsides. Plenty of Dutch players have tallied in the goal-scoring column in this tournament so far, a list that includes the club's top player, forward Arjen Robben (three goals), forward Robin van Persie (three goals) and forward Memphis Depay (two goals).

Superstar Lionel Messi has arguably been the best player in the World Cup, and has carried Argentina with four of his team's seven goals, and he also set up teammate Angel di Maria's one-timer with a perfect pass at the 118th minute to escape past Switzerland in the Round of 16. Messi has made 180 passes in the tournament despite constant double and triple teaming from opponents. The other three World Cup tallies for the Maracana came on a fortunate own goal by Bosnia-Herzegovina, Marcos Rojo's game-winner versus Nigeria and Gonzalo Higuain's volley in the 8th minute for the lone goal of the quarterfinal victory.

Although Argentina has not dominated in this tournament as many experts expected they would versus a perceived weak schedule, they have won possession in all five matches with 55% against Bosnia-Herzegovina, a whopping 70% versus Iran, 57% against Nigeria, 61% versus the Swiss and a slight 51% advantage against Belgium. The Maracana have also fired 39 shots in the knockout stage with 29 going on goal (74%), giving them 57 total shots with 42 on net (74%) in the past three matches combined. After generating only two corner-kick chances in their World Cup opener, they have produced 38 corner kicks over the past four contests, totaling 16 in the two knockout-stage wins.

The Maracana played a very clean tournament in group play with only 24 total fouls and one yellow card (Rojo). However, in the knockout stage, they have been whistled for 30 fouls, including four yellow cards (Rojo, di Maria, midfielder Lucas Biglia and defender Ezequiel Garay). Rojo was not allowed to play in the quarterfinals because of his two yellow cards, but he will be back to help his team on Wednesday.

Netherlands vs. Argentina Propositions

First Goal Scorer

Lionel Messi 15/4
Robin van Persie 19/4
Sergio Aguero 5/1
Gonzalo Higuain 5/1
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 11/2
Arjen Robben 6/1
Rodrigo Palacio 13/2
Ezequiel Lavezzi 15/2
Memphis Depay 8/1
Jeremain Lens 8/1
Wesley Sneijder 8/1
Georginio Wijnaldum 17/2
Maxi Rodriguez 17/2
Dirk Kuyt 19/2
Ricardo Alvarez 12/1
Augusto Fernandez 14/1
Leroy Fer 16/1
Enzo Perez 18/1
Jonathan de Guzman 18/1
Jordy Clasie 20/1
Lucas Biglia 22/1
Fernando Gago 25/1
Paul Verhaegh 28/1
Federico Fernandez 28/1
Pablo Zabaleta 33/1
Martin Demichelis 33/1
Marcos Rojo 33/1
Jose Basanta 33/1
Joel Veltman 33/1
Javier Mascherano 33/1
Stefan de Vrij 33/1
Ezequiel Garay 33/1
Daryl Janmaat 33/1
Daley Blind 33/1
Ron Vlaar 33/1
Bruno Martins Indi 33/1
Terence Kongolo 40/1
Hugo Campagnaro 40/1

To Score Anytime

Lionel Messi 1/1
Robin van Persie 6/5
Gonzalo Higuain 17/10
Sergio Aguero 17/10
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 7/4
Arjen Robben 7/4
Rodrigo Palacio 2/1
Ezequiel Lavezzi 12/5
Wesley Sneijder 13/5
Memphis Depay 11/4
Dirk Kuyt 3/1
Jeremain Lens 3/1
Maxi Rodriguez 7/2
Ricardo Alvarez 19/5
Georginio Wijnaldum 9/2
Augusto Fernandez 5/1
Jonathan de Guzman 6/1
Enzo Perez 6/1
Leroy Fer 6/1
Fernando Gago 7/1
Lucas Biglia 7/1
Jordy Clasie 15/2
Marcos Rojo 9/1
Javier Mascherano 9/1
Pablo Zabaleta 9/1
Federico Fernandez 9/1
Ezequiel Garay 9/1
Daley Blind 19/2
Ron Vlaar 19/2
Bruno Martins Indi 19/2
Stefan de Vrij 19/2
Daryl Janmaat 11/1
Jose Basanta 11/1
Hugo Campagnaro 11/1
Martin Demichelis 11/1
Joel Veltman 11/1
Paul Verhaegh 11/1
Terence Kongolo 16/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Semifinal
By Toby Maxtone-Smith
VegasInsider

Argentina vs. Netherlands

Well I was right about one thing yesterday: it was certainly a memorable match. But everything else I got spectacularly wrong. There was always a chance Brazil might get thrashed, but nobody could have predicted what happened in Belo Horizonte. Germany’s 7-1 win will be one of those ‘Where were you when’ games. They will now play either Argentina or Netherlands in the World Cup final in Rio de Janeiro.

Well I was right about one thing yesterday: it was certainly a memorable match. But everything else I got spectacularly wrong. There was always a chance Brazil might get thrashed, but nobody could have predicted what happened in Belo Horizonte. Germany’s 7-1 win will be one of those ‘Where were you when’ games. They will now play either Argentina or Netherlands in the World Cup final in Rio de Janeiro.

This match is a repeat of the 1978 World Cup final (Argentina 3-1 Holland). The reward for Argentina is a repeat of the 1990 final (Germany 1-0 Argentina), and the reward for the Dutch is a repeat of the 1974 final (West Germany 2-1 Holland). After Germany’s unbelievable show of strength, the winner will go into the final as outsiders.

Argentina have managed to win every game at the World Cup so far (although they needed extra time to see off Switzerland), but they have been far from convincing. Rather like Brazil with Neymar, there is a suspicion that everything would fall apart were it not for Lionel Messi. The defence and goalkeeper are uncertain, there is not a huge amount of creativity in midfield, and Gonzalo Higuain and Sergio Aguero have both disappointed.

Alejandro Sabella has a big selection dilemma: Angel Di Maria is injured. There are few players in world football like Di Maria, let alone in the Argentine squad, so Sabella cannot make a like-for-like change. He will either bring in Rodrigo Palacio, and play four very attacking players, or Lucas Biglia will slot in alongside Fernando Gago, or he will return to the 5 at the back he tried (unsuccessfully) in the first half against Bosnia.

The Netherlands have not really impressed since their win over Spain on the first match day, but Argentina are the most similar side to Spain they have yet faced. Like Spain, they will play a possession game no matter what and, like Spain, they can leave their defence exposed. Nigel De Jong looks set to come back into the team. Despite concerns over his injury, they will need him to combat Messi. The midfield duo they played in the quarters against Costa Rica of Georginho Wijnaldum and Wesley Sneijder simply would not be able to do this.

Both teams have one outstanding player. Both sides look to this player for most of their attacking inspiration, and the priority of both sides’ defences will be to combat this key player. For Argentina it is Lionel Messi; for Holland it is Arjen Robben. Nigel De Jong will likely man-mark Messi, while none of the Argentine defenders are good enough to take on Robben one-on-one. They will look to crowd him out, but given his recent performances, this will be a tough ask.

I’m siding with the outsiders Holland here to qualify for the final at 11/10 with Sportsbook.ag. Argentina are nowhere near as naive as Brazil, nor are Holland as ruthless as Germany, but there is a coolness under pressure to the European teams that the South Americans don’t have. It is hard to see how Argentina will cope with Robben, who simply never has a quiet game, and there has been little in Argentina’s performances so far to suggest that the Dutch defence, that has exceeded expectations so far, will be greatly troubled, other than by Messi.

I’d be happier punting on the ‘To Qualify’ market rather than the match winner market where the Dutch are 19/10. I don’t see this being a high-scoring game, and there is a strong likelihood of extra time. This is reflected in a draw being quite short at 9/4. Argentina are the 3/2 favourites.

In the goalscorer markets, Bayern Munich man Robben looks the pick of the bunch. He plays as a more orthodox striker for his country than at club level, and at 9/2 to break the deadlock he looks the value wager. However if you can have an in-play bet on him to score next from about an hour onwards, this would look the best way to go. Robben’s influence grows during matches as defences tire. He was the inspiration behind their late comeback against Mexico in the fiery heat of Fortaleza, and he tore Spain apart in the second half of their 5-1 win on the second day of the World Cup. He will most likely be 9/2 in-play as well.

Top Bet: Netherlands to qualify at 11/10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Netherlands vs. Argentina Betting Preview and Pick
By: Hugh Wilson

Netherlands and Argentina face off in the second World Cup semifinal in Brazil on Wednesday (4 p.m. ET, ESPN), with Oranje looking to go one better than four years ago, when they lost in the final to Spain, and the Albiceleste looking to lift the trophy for the first time since 1986.

Alejandro Sabella’s men have reached the final four for the first time since 1990, where they went onto beat Italy before losing in the final to West Germany.

Despite their status as favorites on Wednesday, Argentina will not be counting their chickens as they face a tough match against Netherlands, and there appears to be little to choose between the sides.

Sabella’s men beat Belgium in a tight contest in the quarterfinals, with Gonzalo Higuain’s goal the difference with the South Americans winning 1-0. The LVH SuperBook prices Argentina at +140 odds to be victorious against Oranje in normal time (90 minutes plus injury time).

Netherlands kicked off their World Cup in Brazil in style with a 5-1 win over defending champions Spain. Since that result, however, Louis van Gaal’s men have not played to their true potential, struggling past Australia in the group stage then beating Mexico with two late goals in the last 16 before needing penalties to get past Costa Rica in the quarterfinals.

The Dutch have not lost to Argentina in their last four encounters, winning two and drawing two. The LVH prices them at +220 on the three-way result to make their second successive World Cup final. The Vegas bet shop offers the draw at the same +220 odds.

The SuperBook has Argentina priced at -140 to advance to the final, and the Netherlands listed at odds of +120.

Apart from netting three goals against Nigeria, Argentina have not looked deadly in front of goal, with only Lionel Messi making an impact on the scoresheet regularly.

Netherlands, however, are the highest scorers in the competition, scoring 12 goals so far. Despite this, they missed numerous chances against Costa Rica in 120 minutes and failed to score. Expect a tight match in Sao Paulo, but the posted total of 2 goals at the LVH (OVER -115, UNDER -105) is too low to go UNDER.

Instead it is worth looking at the highest-scoring-half market, available outside of Las Vegas. Netherlands have come alive in the second half of their World Cup matches so far in Brazil, with 80 per cent of their goals being scored in the second period. Just under half of the goals that they have netted have come between the 75-90 minute mark.

With Argentina scoring over 60 percent of their goals in the second half of their World Cup matches, the price of the second 45 minutes to have the most goals at +120 is the play.

Bet of the day: Second half to be the highest scoring half at +120 (6/5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Netherlands vs. Brazil: 2014 FIFA World Cup Semifinals Preview
ATSConsultants

Lionel Messi may have to dribble through the entire Dutch team to get to the World Cup final. Messi nearly accomplished that feat in the quarterfinal match against Belgium. The Netherlands provides a huge hurdle to the Argentines led by Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie. We'll preview the Netherlands vs. Argentina on Wednesday at 4pmET from Rio De Janeiro.

Argentina and the Netherlands have a long history in the World Cup, which including the 1978 finals when Rob Rensenbrink's shot hit the post right before full time with the scores tied at 1-1. Argentina went on to win 3-1 in extra time.

In 1998, the Dutch were led by Dennis Bergkamp's goal that knocked Argentina out of the quarterfinals in France.

The Netherlands have two of the top players in the world in Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie. Neither scored a goal in their shootout win over Coast Rica to reach the semifinals.

Both have three goals though van Persie has reportedly been hampered a stomach ailment and may not start. Memphis Depay has two of the team's 12 goals.

The Netherlands will be without powerful midfielder Nigel de Jong, who has a torn groin muscle. Leroy Fer, a possible replacement, is recovering from a hamstring injury.

The key move in that match against Costa Rica was made by coach Louis van Gaal, who substituted goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen for the taller Tim Krul and that hampered Costa Rica from scoring in the shootout.

Argentina relies on Messi and he'll have to be even more on his own against the Netherlands. Argentina will be without Real Madrid winger Angel Di Maria, who suffered a right thigh injury in the first half of their 1-0 victory over Belgium. Striker Sergio Aguero has a similar issue but was declared fit.

Di Maria scored the extra-time winner against Switzerland in the knockout round and set up Gonzalo Higuain's winning goal in the first half against Belgium on Saturday.

The underrated factor of Argentina is their defense. Martin Demichelis, who plays for Manchester City alongside the great Belgium defender Vincent Kompany, did a great job on the Belgium attack in the penalty area. He eliminated everything in the air.

World Cup Semifinals Odds: Argentina: +140; Netherlands: +220; Draw: +210. Total: 2.0.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Argentina, Netherlands clash on Wednesday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox


2014 WORLD CUP SOCCER

NETHERLANDS vs. ARGENTINA

Kickoff: Wednesday, 4:00 p.m. EDT
Arena Corinthians – Sao Paulo, Brazil

Line:
Argentina +140, Netherlands +207, Tie after Regulation +225
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +170, Under -192)

Argentina hopes to celebrate its nation's Independence Day on Wednesday when it meets the Netherlands in the semifinals of the 2014 World Cup.

Neither team has had an easy path to the semifinals, as the Dutch trailed Mexico by a 1-0 score 87 minutes into their Round of 16 match before scoring twice in a seven-minute span to win 2-1. The game-winner came on a disputed penalty kick. Then in the quarterfinals, the Netherlands needed a penalty-kick shootout to decide a scoreless match with heavy underdog Costa Rica. Backup goalkeeper Tim Krul, a last-minute substitution for the shorter Jasper Cillessen, saved two shots to lead the Netherlands to victory. The Maracana has won all five of its matches in this tournament, with all five victories coming by a one-goal margin. In the Round of 16 contest, Argentina failed to score until the 118th minute in a 1-0 win over Switzerland, but got on the board in the 8th minute in the quarterfinals and barely held on for a 1-0 win over Belgium. That sent the Maracana into the semifinal round for the first time since 1990 to meet a Dutch club that will be playing in its third semifinal in the past five World Cups, a run that includes a runner-up showing in 2010 when it fell 1-0 to Spain. While Argentina is likely to see the return of forward Sergio Aguero, who missed the quarterfinal match because of a thigh injury, the team will be without starting midfielder Angel di Maria, who suffered a thigh injury of his own in the win over Belgium. The Netherlands will once again be missing defensive-minded midfielder Nigel de Jong, who suffered a groin injury versus Mexico. His likely replacement, Leroy Fer, is also hurting with an injured hamstring is considered questionable for Wednesday. This is a rematch of the 1978 final when Argentina beat the Netherlands 3-1 in extra time. However, the Dutch returned the favor by beating the Maracana in the 1988 World Cup quarterfinals.

The Netherlands had scored multiple goals in each of their first four World Cup matches, outscoring their opponents by a wide 12-4 margin, but were unable to score against Costa Rica despite 20 total shots, with 15 of those going on goal. The Dutch allowed only six total shots (three on goal) to the Ticos, and held sizable advantages in possession (64% to 36%) and corner kicks (11-1). But the Netherlands played sloppy in the quarterfinal win, committing 15 fouls and picking up two potential costly yellow cards (defender Bruno Martins and forward Klaas-Jan Huntelaar), while being whistled for 13 offsides. Plenty of Dutch players have tallied in the goal-scoring column in this tournament so far, a list that includes the club's top player, forward Arjen Robben (three goals), forward Robin van Persie (three goals) and forward Memphis Depay (two goals).

Superstar Lionel Messi has arguably been the best player in the World Cup, and has carried Argentina with four of his team's seven goals, and he also set up teammate Angel di Maria's one-timer with a perfect pass at the 118th minute to escape past Switzerland in the Round of 16. Messi has made 180 passes in the tournament despite constant double and triple teaming from opponents. The other three World Cup tallies for the Maracana came on a fortunate own goal by Bosnia-Herzegovina, Marcos Rojo's game-winner versus Nigeria and Gonzalo Higuain's volley in the 8th minute for the lone goal of the quarterfinal victory. Although Argentina has not dominated in this tournament as many experts expected they would versus a perceived weak schedule, they have won possession in all five matches with 55% against Bosnia-Herzegovina, a whopping 70% versus Iran, 57% against Nigeria, 61% versus the Swiss and a slight 51% advantage against Belgium. The Maracana have also fired 39 shots in the knockout stage with 29 going on goal (74%), giving them 57 total shots with 42 on net (74%) in the past three matches combined. After generating only two corner-kick chances in their World Cup opener, they have produced 38 corner kicks over the past four contests, totaling 16 in the two knockout-stage wins. The Maracana played a very clean tournament in group play with only 24 total fouls and one yellow card (Rojo). However, in the knockout stage, they have been whistled for 30 fouls, including four yellow cards (Rojo, di Maria, midfielder Lucas Biglia and defender Ezequiel Garay). Rojo was not allowed to play in the quarterfinals because of his two yellow cards, but he will be back to help his team on Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Yankees at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: McCarthy (3-10, 5.01 ERA w/ARZ)
CLE: Tomlin (5-6, 4.11 ERA)

Series recap: These two teams have split the first two games as the Indians knocked off the Yankees as +135 home underdogs on Tuesday, 5-3. New York won by that exact score on Monday as a ‘dog, as the Yankees are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with Cleveland since 2012.

What to watch for: McCarthy makes his Yankees’ debut after getting traded from the Diamondbacks, as the righty is coming off consecutive road victories at Pittsburgh and San Diego. In spite of last night’s loss, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven road contests, while posting the ‘over’ in seven of the past 10 away games. The Indians own a 5-1 record in their last six Game 3’s of a home series, while winning five of their past six home contests against AL East opponents.

Nationals at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
WSH: Fister (7-2, 2.93 ERA)
BAL: Norris (7-5, 3.62 ERA)

Series recap: Following Monday’s 8-2 victory in extra-innings by the Orioles at Nationals Park, bad weather postponed Tuesday’s contest until August. The Orioles have won six of the last seven meetings with their Beltway rival, as Baltimore cashed tickets of +175 with six runs in the 11th inning on Monday.

What to watch for: Norris makes his first start since June 21, as Baltimore has won each of the last four starts made by the righty prior to a stint on the disabled list. The Nationals have stumbled to a 4-7 record the last 11 road games since winning three straight at San Francisco in early June. Washington has compiled an 8-2 record in Fister’s past 10 starts, but both defeats came on the highway.

Royals at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
KC: Ventura (6-7, 3.07 ERA)
TB: Cobb (4-6, 4.28 ERA)

Series recap: Kansas City cruised past Tampa Bay on Monday, 6-0, but the Rays rebounded with a 4-3 home triumph on Tuesday. Tampa Bay is riding an 11-3 stretch the past 14 games, as the Rays look to improve on a 3-8 record in the last 11 matchups with the Royals.

What to watch for: The Royals have won three of Ventura’s four starts as an underdog this season, but the lone defeat came at home to Tampa Bay back in April in a 1-0 setback. Cobb has struggled at Tropicana Field, as the Rays have posted a 1-5 record in his six home starts, while the righty is facing the Royals for the first time since suffering a head injury on a line-drive last June that sidelined him for two months.

Pirates at Cardinals – 8:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Cumpton (3-2, 4.61 ERA)
STL: Lynn (9-6, 3.17 ERA)

Series recap: The Cardinals finished off a pair of victories over their division rivals with walk-off homers on consecutive nights. St. Louis topped Pittsburgh on Monday, 2-0 with a two-run homer, while receiving a solo shot from Kolten Wong in last night’s 5-4 triumph as -110 favorites. Pittsburgh suffered back-to-back road losses for the first time since late May against the Mets, while falling to 12-5 in the last 17 games overall.

What to watch for: St. Louis has cashed the ‘under’ in seven of Lynn’s previous nine starts, including five of the last six outings at Busch Stadium. The Pirates have dropped four of five visits to St. Louis this season, but Pittsburgh owns a 4-1 record in Cumpton’s five starts since the beginning of June.

Athletics at Giants – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Hammel (8-5, 2.98 ERA w/CHC)
SF: Cain (1-7, 4.27 ERA)

Series recap: The A’s have cruised past the Giants in each of the first two contests of this four-game set. Oakland limited San Francisco to just one run in the two victories, while winning last night, 5-1 as -155 home favorites. The Bay Bridge Series has been owned by the A’s of late, as Oakland is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with San Francisco.

What to watch for: Hammel makes his Oakland debut after getting acquired from the Cubs this past weekend, as the righty was 5-2 in seven home starts with Chicago. It’s been a tough season for Cain, as San Francisco is 0-5 in his past five outings in spite of allowing just two earned runs in his last two trips to the mound. The home-cooking has dried up for the Giants, who have put together a dreadful 3-14 record in the past 17 games at AT&T Park, while scoring two runs or less in seven of the last 10 home contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'Rubber Match'

The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as Colorado takes on San Diego at Coors Field. Colorado on a 4-18 skid thanks in large part to a pitching staff that has given up a whopping 6.31 runs/game have Jair Jurrjens taking the ball. That hardly bodes well for Rockies, in his first start for Colorado Jurrjens was hit for eight runs in 4 2/3 innings. On the other mound, San Diego will count on Eric Stults carrying a 3-11 record, 4.96 ERA to the mound. Despite having the most losses in the Majors and a dreadful 0-7 record with a 5.44 ERA in road stadiums (2-7 TSR) they're is hope for Friars. The left-hander has shown positive signs the past three outings recording a 1.86 ERA which includes tossing seven shutout innings in a victory last outing. Stults owning a career 8-1 TSR vs Colorado including 4-1 with Padres, Rockies on a 2-7 skid vs the NL West, 1-7 slide vs a left-handed starter the nod is towards Padres.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 16-2 run WED Seattle w/ Elias -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Blue Jays +140

Kansas City +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Houston at Texas The Astros look to follow up last night's 8-3 in over the Rangers as they face a Texas team that is 2-12 in its last 14 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: San Diego at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 12.138; Colorado (Jurrjens) 14.589
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over


Game 903-904: Miami at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 14.677; Arizona (Collmenter) 13.182
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Under


Game 905-906: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.715; NY Mets (Gee) 15.882
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under


Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Beeler) 15.527; Cincinnati (Simon) 17.190
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-180); Over


Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.167; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.077
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+170); Under


Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 13.677; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.140
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over


Game 913-914: Toronto at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 16.303; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.484
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under


Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.855; Cleveland (Tomlin) 17.485
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over


Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.942; Boston (De La Rosa) 15.473
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Over


Game 919-920: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.855; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.885
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under


Game 921-922: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 16.388; Texas (Darvish) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Under


Game 923-924: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 15.778; Seattle (Elias) 17.178
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-150); Over


Game 925-926: LA Dodgers at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.549; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.448
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Under


Game 927-928: Washington at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 13.286; Baltimore (Chen) 14.650
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over


Game 929-930: Oakland at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hammel) 15.138; San Francisco (Cain) 13.772
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Seattle at Phoenix The Storm head to Phoenix tonight to face a Mercury team that is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Washington at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.260; Chicago 114.231
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 153
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2); Over


Game 603-604: Seattle at Phoenix (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 103.974; Phoenix 119.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 16; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 151
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10); Under


Game 605-606: New York at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.220; San Antonio 113.245
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 155
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, July 9, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

It’s getaway day for a few MLB teams on Wednesday, meaning bettors get four matinee games to wager on, always a nice thing. Perhaps a baseball/Argentina-Netherlands parlay? Two of the four afternoon games are potential playoff matchups: Dodgers at Tigers ( +900 on Sportsbook.ag to be the World Series matchup) and Blue Jays at Angels, although both of those clubs may have to go the wild-card route and face off in that one-game playoff. Here’s a look at those two games and three others Wednesday.

Dodgers-Tigers (-130, 7.5)

It’s a matchup of former Cy Young winners as Los Angeles’ Zack Greinke (Royals, 2009) faces Detroit’s Max Scherzer (Tigers, 2013). It’s not out of the question that both win another Cy Young this year. Greinke (11-4, 2.66) leads the Dodgers in wins, starts, innings and strikeouts, although I don’t think you will find anyone who thinks he’s better than teammate Clayton Kershaw. Greinke has allowed just one earned run in his past two starts, both Dodgers wins. He is 5-3 with a 2.59 ERA on the road. Victor Martinez is a career .304 hitter off him with a homer and eight RBIs. Miguel Cabrera is 10-for-35 with a homer but 11 strikeouts. Torii Hunter is 9-for-33 with three home runs. Scherzer (10-3, 3.47) has allowed a total of four earned runs over his past three starts, all wins for Detroit. He pitched at Dodger Stadium on April 8 and allowed two runs over seven innings in a no-decision. Here’s guessing Matt Kemp gets the day off. He’s 0-for-18 career off Scherzer.

Key trends: L.A. is 1-4 in Greinke’s past five road starts. The Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzer’s past five against teams with a winning record.

Early lean: Why is this total not at 6.5? Two great pitchers plus an early start after a night game. Go big on “under” at -105.



Blue Jays at Angels (-162, 8)

Found this interesting stat that really has nothing to do with Wednesday’s game but that I still wanted to share: The Angels on Monday became the only expansion team in the modern era to have an all-time record currently of at least .500. The Halos started play in 1961 and they are 4,272-4,272 entering Tuesday. They weren’t the first expansion club to get to .500 as Arizona got to 652-644, but the Snakes have since slipped well back under. The Angels have the second-best record in baseball this year since May 7, and I’m still not sold the A’s will hold them off in the AL West because L.A. will make a move too. Struggling lefty C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.23) gets the call for the Angels. He has been roughed up for 16 runs over 13 innings in his past three starts, although L.A. has won two of them. He lost in Toronto on May 12, allowing five runs in six innings. Rookie Marcus Stroman starts for Toronto. Stroman (4-2, 3.44) had the best outing of his young career July 4, shutting out Oakland for seven innings. He pitched 1.2 innings of relief May 11 against the Angels and allowed six hits and four runs.

Key trends: The Jays are 0-7 in their past seven against lefty starters. The Angels are 1-6 in Wilson’s past seven against teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Toronto’s past four against lefties. The over is 5-0 in Wilson’s past five against Toronto.

Early lean: The Jays are just bad right now. However, Stroman is pretty good. I’d go Jays at -155 on the runline.



Yankees at Indians (-112, 8.5)

I can’t imagine the Yankees are done dealing because acquiring Brandon McCarthy from Arizona hardly solves New York’s rotation problems, although he should be an upgrade over Vidal Nuno, who was shipped to the Snakes. McCarthy (3-10, 5.01) makes his Yankee debut in this one, and it’s generally accepted pitching in the AL is tougher than the NL so I wouldn’t expect much from him looking at those numbers. He did pitch well his final two Arizona starts, however, winning both. Nick Swisher is 4-for-11 with two homers and five RBIs career off McCarthy. The Tribe lost outfielder Michael Bourn to the DL on Monday. Josh Tomlin (5-6, 4.11) starts for Cleveland. He has sandwiched a complete-game one-hitter with three starts allowing five earned runs in each. Derek Jeter is just a .182 career hitter off Tomlin.

Key trends: The Indians are 1-5 in Tomlin’s past six home starts against teams with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in Tomlin’s past five at home.

Early lean: I don’t trust either pitcher, so go over at -105.



A’s at Giants (-103, 7)

It’s the Oakland debut of Jason Hammel, the “other” piece in that Jeff Samardzija trade, but Hammel had been just as good as Shark this season. Hammel (8-5, 2.98) has been consistent of late, allowing exactly two earned runs over his past three starts. At least he gets to break in against a National League team. He hasn’t faced the Giants this year. Michael Morse is 3-for-8 with a homer off him. Matt Cain (1-7 4.27) starts for the Giants. He might have turned a corner, allowing just a combined two runs over his past two starts, although the Giants have still lost the past five times he has taken the mound. No Oakland player has faced him too much. Brandon Moss is 2-for-12 with a homer and four strikeouts.

Key trends: The Giants are 1-6 in Cain’s past seven at home against teams with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in his past four against Oakland. The Giants are 2-7 in Cain’s past nine against the A’s.

Early lean: I’m guessing the Giants won’t be a home dog by first pitch. Take them now while they are.



White Sox at Red Sox (+110, 8)

In my mind, the biggest all-star snub by far in either league is that White Sox lefty Chris Sale didn’t get a spot. He’s 8-1 with a 2.16 ERA that would be second in the AL if he had enough innings to qualify (Sale missed around a month on the DL). He will be qualified after pitching Wednesday. Sale is one the five AL guys on the Final Vote chosen by fans. That closes Thursday afternoon. Sale threw a complete game last time out, allowing a run to Seattle while striking out 12. Sale faced the Red Sox April 17 and held them to one hit, a solo homer by Xander Bogaerts, over seven innings while striking out 10. The Red Sox will call up Rubby De La Rosa for this start as Saturday’s doubleheader messed up their rotation a bit. De La Rosa had a 2.51 ERA in five starts for the Red Sox earlier this year. He has never faced a White Sox hitter.

Key trends: The White Sox are 2-5 in Sale’s past seven against teams with a losing record. Boston is 1-8 in its past nine against lefties. The under is 4-0 in Sale’s past four against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: Love the under here at -115.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Who’s Hot – AL Edition
By Mike Rose

The All-Star Game is just around the corner, and there are some teams which are clearly All-Star teams for MLB betting fans in our eyes.

Check out the clubs who have been increasing your bankrolls all year long in the American League.

Oakland Athletics (55-33, +$1,353) – The A’s probably had one of the best teams in baseball before they made the blockbuster move of the trading season, but now that they have RHP Jason Hammel and RHP Jeff Samardzija, they certainly have an elite team which can win the AL West and make a serious play at the World Series. Samardzija was a winner in his first start with his new team to get the club up to 28-15 at home and 22-games above .500 for the season, and he is going to really look for a big time turnaround with his won/loss record after pitching so well and getting so little help with the Chicago Cubs.

Remember too, that this is the only team in baseball averaging five runs per game to boot. For a team which plays in a ballpark that is considered one of the most pitching-friendly in the game, posting 92 home runs, seventh best in the league, is no mistake. These A’s are for real.

Baltimore Orioles (48-40, +$1,033) – We still have a hard time imagining that the Orioles have the best team in the AL East right now. They just took four straight from the Texas Rangers and two out of three at Fenway Park from the Boston Red Sox, and that has propelled them to one of the best money marks in the game.

However, it’s interesting to note that all of Baltimore’s damage has come away from Camden Yards this year. The O’s have the best road mark for bettors in the American League with a 25-19 record. It’s playing on the road that has consistently gotten the Orioles in trouble in the rough and tumble AL East over the course of the last few seasons, but with more than half of this season gone, that doesn’t seem to be an issue any longer.

The question? Does Baltimore really have the goods to go after one of the big time pitchers who could be on the trading block in the next few weeks? That could make all the difference in the world to a team with a real lack of quality at the front of the rotation.

Los Angeles Angels (51-36, +$949) – The A’s had to be looking in their rearview mirrors when they pulled the trigger on the Samardzija deal, as they know that the Halos are just 3.5-games back as we near the All-Star Break.

Whereas Baltimore has been doing it on the road, the Halos have been doing it at home. They are 30-14 at the Big A this year, and what’s amazing is the fact that three of those games have been lost because of blown saves. The Angels are quietly remaking their shoddy bullpen, and the move to bring in RHP Jason Grilli might end up being one of the most unheralded, yet important trades of the season. We know that LA can hit the ball. We just don’t know if it can close out games when it is ahead. If not for this pen, the Angels would have the best team in baseball.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Chicago White Sox -121 over Boston Red Sox
(System Record: 58-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 58-41

Soccer Crusher
Netherlands PK +130 over Argentina
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 605-21, lost last game)
Overall Record: 605-498-86

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Baseball
Oakland Athletics -110 over SF Giants
New York Mets +114 over Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles -110 overWashington Nats

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet

Tanaka Tumbles to Earth

New York Yankees hurler Masahiro Tanaka suffered his third loss in the past four games Tuesday, allowing five runs over 6 2/3 frames in a 5-3 defeat in Cleveland (+143, 7.5 O). Tanaka's value has taken a hit as a result; he was once ranked in the top-10 but now finds himself 27th ($465).

Great Scott

Lefty Scott Kazmir takes the hill Thursday as the Oakland Athletics wrap up a four-game interleague series in San Francisco. Kazmir has been lights-out at home (6-1, 1.57 ERA, 1-7 O/U) but less so away from Oakland, going 4-2 with a 3.57 ERA and a 6-3 O/U mark in nine road starts.

Pitching Notes

* Washington starter Tanner Roark would like to reverse his ugly road trend Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (+108, 9) into Baltimore. Roark is 3-2 with a 4.44 ERA and a 6-1-1 O/U record away from Nationals Park, compared to a 4-4 record, a 2.02 ERA and a 2-6-1 record at home.

* Boston Red Sox lefty Jon Lester has caught fire of late, surrendering just five earned runs over his last five starts - a span of 37 2/3 innings. Lester and the Red Sox, who are 5-0 SU and 1-4 O/U in those outings, take on the visiting Chicago White Sox on Thursday afternoon.

Hitting Notes

* Miami Marlins outfielder Marcell Ozuna continued his surprising season Tuesday, belting his 15th home run in the ninth inning of a 2-1 win over Arizona. Miami improved to 8-7 SU and 9-4-2 O/U when Ozuna goes deep entering Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks (-125, 8.5).

* Lester may be streaking, but he'll need to be wary of veteran Paul Konerko on Thursday afternoon. The White Sox DH/first baseman is 10-for-28 lifetime versus the Red Sox ace, with three home runs and seven RBIs.

Totals Streak

Oakland Athletics (7-2-1 O/U): The only thing keeping this from being an 8-1-1 stretch for the best team in baseball is a pair of eighth-inning runs scored in Tuesday's 6-1 triumph that nudged the total just past 6.5. The Athletics are 43-43-4 O/U on the season.

Injury Notes

* Atlanta hopes to have injured catcher Evan Gattis (back) participating in bullpen sessions over the weekend. The Braves are 8-3 S/U, 5-6 O/U and a surprising +368 units in 11 games since Gattis went down with the injury.

Weather Watch

* Wind will be blowing out to left field at 9 mph Wednesday evening at Fenway Park, where the Red Sox host the White Sox. Teams combined to hit just seven home runs in six games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 10-1 in umpire Andy Fletcher's last 11 games involving Cincinnati. Fletcher will call the balls and strikes Wednesday when the Reds (-176, 7.5) host the Chicago Cubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at CHICAGO
Play On - Home teams (CHICAGO) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WASHINGTON at CHICAGO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) revenging a road loss versus opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team 82-36 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

SEATTLE at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) off an road win where they scored 85 or more points, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games 54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Cardinals-140
A's-125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo took a beating Tuesday night in Cleveland, where the Tribe rocked Tanaka to send the deficit soaring to 1,435 kneppers.
Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will do launch with the Astros — 10 units on Keuchel to win his duel with Darvish.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was rained out with the Nationals on Tuesday and likes Argentina and the under (2 goals) on Wednesday.

The deficit is 307 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Braves -120
50* Cardinals -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsAtari

MLB PLAY OF THE DAY

Chicago White Sox ML (-113)


Risking 3.39 units to win 3 units
7:10pm start

R. De La Rosa/Sale must start


The Red Sox are still hosting the White Sox and they’re still losing. Chicago goes for their 4th in a row and 3rd win in a row in this series. They’ve won 5 of 6 while outscoring opponents 25-9 in that stretch. They are 3 games out of .500 and pushing to cross that mark before the All-Star Break.


Chris Sale is the right guy to back here as he makes a final push to get an All-Star nod. In his last game, Sale struck out a season best 12 hitters and only gave up 6 hits in a dominant 7-1 win over the Mariners. He’s 3-0 with a 2.89ERA in his last 4 and 8-1 with a 2.16ERA overall.


Boston has only won a single game in 8 tries at home and continues to sit at the bottom of the AL East with a 39-51 record. Rubby De La Rosa is still a relative unknown in the league but his first 6 starts so far have been impressive. A 2-2 record with a 2.51 ERA is something to consider here as he continues to get called up from Triple-A to help out an inefficient team searching for answers. De La Rosa will have to experience a tough outing sooner or later and even if it doesn’t come tonight, the White Sox will have the hotter bats and a stronger arm on the mound to grab the win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Tuesday in World Cup Soccer with a $25 play on the Draw +$220 Germany/Brazil.

"Mr Chalk" lost on Tuesday in MLB in the American League with the Mariners -$120/Twins.

For Wednesday in World Cup Soccer E&B like a $25 play on Argentina +$140/Netherlands and a play on the Draw +$220.

In Interleague play on Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$125/Dodgers.

Ben lee is 0-3 -$171 for week thirty seven 169-198-5 -$3060

"Mr Chalk" is 47-36 -$392 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS
Play On – All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games
100-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.4% | 42.7 units )
15-12 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | OAKLAND at SAN FRANCISCO
OAKLAND is 51-20 (+22.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RTG SPORTS

Padres @ Rockies – Under 11.5 **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

DETROIT TIGERS -120
(Scherzer/Greinke)

The Dodgers had a powerful 5 run first inning yesterday and then mustard only 2 hits for the rest of the game giving up the next 14 runs and now had to go to bed and wake up to play an afternoon game. This Tigers team hit everything yesterday as they would bat around before a guy even got out. This team is rolling right now and should continue the massacre from last night. Take the Tigers.

[golden contender]

Hump day card has the 5* MLB Game of the Week from a Perfect system that averages wins by 3 runs per game. There is an Undefeated dog system, similar to the one we had on Houston last night a 13-1 Totals system and another World Cup Winner. Free Plays on an 8-0 run. Free WNBA Play below.


For the Free Hump day Play we turn to the ladies. In WNBA Action the free play is on the San Antonio Stars. Game 606 at 8:05 eastern. The Stars have covered 8 of the last and have played their best ball vs losing teams. In their last meeting with New York they won by 12 points and have won 7 of 9 vs losing teams and covered 6 of 7 vs Eastern Conference teams. They have extended rest for this one and have won and covered 3 of 4 when playing with 3+ days rest. The Liberty are 0-4 with 1 spread win with home loss revenge and just 2-8 straight up and ats vs teams who allow 77 or more points. The Liberty are off a dog win in their last game but are just 4-12 following an upset win and have failed to cover 6 of 8 on the road. Look for San Antonio to get the win. On Wednesday the lead play is the 5* 100% MLB Game Of the Week from a 100% Dominator system that Wins by an average 3 runs per game since 2005, there is also a never lost dog system a 13-1 totals system and another Powerful World Cup winner, Germany wins easily on Tuesday. Jump on now and Bang your book good on Hump day. Free Plays on an 8-0 run. For the free play. Take San Antonio. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Oakland -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Cleveland -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The linesheet group

Reds -150
White Sox -115
A's -115

Mets +110
Pirates +125
Twins +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas SI
WEDNESDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Rays -120 and 10* MLB UNDER 7
20* MLB Nationals +100 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5
20* MLB Angels -155 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB White Sox -120 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Twins +140 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bestbetpick

Josh Daniels

1* Blue Jays

1* Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NonStopSportsPicks

LA/Detroit UNDER 7, +100, 2*

Some places have this at 7.5, -130, but you guys know I typically play the 7 with NO juice as opposed to paying 30 cents for 1/2 run. At worst, 7 is a push and NOT a loss...so I'm locking in on 7. If you choose to play UNDER 7.5, -130, I would drop this play to 1.5* as opposed to a 2* play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

2* Plays

Miami +113

Miami needed late game heroics from Ozuna to get the victory last night. The Diamondbacks are going to be down after completely dominating the game and not getting the victory. Eovaldi is slightly underrated according to our system as he has had strong performances the last 4 outings.

San Diego and Colorado Under 11.5

We might be cheating fate here as we have played the under the last two nights but with a higher total and the winds blowing in at Coors our system loves this spot again. Stults has really played well of late with an ERA south of 8 so he should be able to continue to calm the bats of the Rockies. Jurrjens was destroyed the last time pitching but that wasn't against the Padres. Our system doesn't see this game getting to 8 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RTG SPORTS

Padres @ Rockies – Under 11.5 **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Fisher

Oakland -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#901 UN11.5 -110 1u (Southpoint) Under sd/col
#917 UN 7.5 -105 1u (Southpoint) under bos/cws

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GiLzTips

[909] Phillies ML (+180)
[911] Pirates ML (+130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exclusive Sports

Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3* Angels

WNBA

3-Unit Play. New York/San Antonio 'Over' 151.5 (8 p.m., Wednesday, July 9)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEHIND THE BETS

(3*) Argentina +150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 913 TOR (+149) vs 914 ANA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEHIND THE BETS (MLB)

LA Dodgers +113

Colorado Rockies -109

Oakland A’s -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS (World Cup Soccer)

6 unit play. Take Argentina (-0.5, +130) – We are betting that Argentina will win the game in regulation time. If extra time or penalty kicks are required then this is a losing bet regardless of the outcome.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS (July -7.70)
FIFA WORLD CUP
4:00pm NETHERLANDS TO ADV +115 vs ARGENTINA (EXTRA TIME AND SHOOT-OUTS INCLUDED)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIY SPORTS BETTING SYSTEMS

Minnesota Twins +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

This is an interesting “regional” interleague matchup as the Washington Nationals and Doug Fister (7-2, 2.93) matchup with the Baltimore Orioles and Bud Norris (7-5, 3.62) Fister has been terrific for the Nationals and is 7-1 over his last nine starts, while Norris is making his first start since June 21st as he comes off the disabled list. The Nationals are 8-2 in Fisters last 10 starts and we think he represents a lot of value at the current price. Let’s roll with the road team here! The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – WASHINGTON NATIONALS (-105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS (World Cup Soccer)

6-Unit Play. Take Argentina (-150) to Qualify for the Final over Netherlands (4 p.m., Wednesday, July 9)
Note: Any win by Argentina via normal time, extra time or penalty kicks results in a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer | MLB Money LineWed, 07/09/14 – 10:15 PM

triple-dime bet - 929 OAK (-109) vs 930 SFG

[Can'tPickAWinner]

livewebpicks

Washington with roark

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BigBaseballBets

7/9 Early 5* play
Blue Jays over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Detroit Tigers
Time: Wednesday 07/09 1:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Detroit -117 (moneyline) at Bovada

This looks to be the best pitching matchup of the day with Max Scherzer taking the ball for the Tigers, and Zack Greinke topping the hill for the Dodgers. There is one huge difference, however, and that is where this game is being played, in Detroit. Scherzer owns a 60-27 record when pitching at home for his career, and Grienke is 71-25 as a home favorite. Greinke's stellar numbers disappear on the road where he is 56-84. That is a huge factor here for this one as Greinke goes from elite as a home favorite to poor on the road. Those numbers continue to haunt him as he Dodgers just 1-4 in his last five road starts. The Tigers are 41-11 behind Scherzer in his last 52 home starts. Back Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GiLzTips:

. [919] TB/KC O7 (+115) = [2]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

WORLD CUP
NETHERLANDS +110 no draw bet


MLB
SAN FRANCISCO


Free Play - Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nemo ShipIT

Toronto/LA Angels under 8 -115

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Stephen Nover

3* TRIPLE STAR MLB TOTAL OF WEEK

Cubs/Cincinnati over 7.5

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Rooster

Colorado-115
Miami under 8

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JEFF CLEMENT

8* LOS ANGELES DODGERS (game off the board)
8* ATLANTA BRAVES

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Ray Dunavant

Arizona Dbacks ML
Colorado Rockies ML
Colorado Rockies 1st Half (ML)

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Maddux

Tampa Rays
Oakland A's
Toronto/Angels over 8

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play:
Colorado -110 vs San Diego



5*- Milwaukee RL -1.5 Even

Detroit -120
Texas RL -1.5 +105

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capfox

Oakland Athletics @ San Francisco Giants Under 7 (-105)
New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians Over 8.5 (-105)

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Primetime Insiders (Update #2)

3* Plays

Atlanta -121 **Atlanta's bats have looked dead this series but our system likes for them to swing better tonight. Santana is an underrated pitcher and should be able to shutdown the Mets bats**

White Sox and Boston Under 7.5 **This is a matchup between two great pitchers. Our system loves De La Rosa tonight and whats not to love about Sale. The winds are blowing out in Boston tonight but Sale and De La Rosa should limit the fly balls and keep this game to below 6**

2* Plays

Kansas City +107

Boston +105

1* Plays

Oakland -115

Milwaukee -1.5 -101

NYY and Cleveland Under 8

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Goodfella

Wednesday MLB Team Total

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES OVER 3 RUNS (@BOL)

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PROP MACHINE

MLB Plays (Bovada (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Frecord.bettingpartners.com% 2F_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk%2F1%2F).lv)

4 Unit Play - (CHW @ BOS) - Total Strikeouts - Chris Sale Over 7.5 -130

In Chris Sale's past three wins, opponents are hitting just .125 (4-for-32) in at-bats ending with a changeup. Sale faces a Red Sox team that is hitting .184 in the past month against the changeup (25th in MLB). Earlier this season, the Red Sox went 0-for-10 in at-bats ending with Sale's changeup. The Red Sox are also scheduled to have five rookies in their starting lineup Wednesday against one of the top pitchers in baseball.

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day


Washington Nationals / Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8½


Overall Record: 285-253
(System Record: 285-13, Lost last 2 games)

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Louisville slugger
Mets under

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Andy Iskoe

Royals

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Bookieshunter

2* White Sox

2* Rangers -1.5

1* Mets

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TopShelfPicks

IveyWalters

Triple Dime 3% Oakland A's -120

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EAGLE EYE---RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: Tampa Bay Rays (-112)

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Simon Green

MLB Freebie

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Over Total: 8.5/110

The Phillies and Brewers have seen 5 of their last 6 games go over the posted total. Yesterday saw these teams combine for 16 runs. Today Lohse takes the mound for Milwaukee and he was hit around by Philly back in April. A game which also saw Lohse walk 5 batters. Hernandez is on the hill for the Phillies and he has been awful of late going 1-6 with an ERA of 5.45 his last 7 starts. I like this one to sail over the total as well.

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Larry Ness' 10* Run-Line Game of the Month-AL or NL? (BLOWOUT alert!)

My 10* Run-line Game of the Month (AL) is on the Tex Rangers at 8:05 ET.

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SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Chicago @ BOSTON

Chicago -113 over BOSTON

(Risking 2.26 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Red Sox have lost four in a row and seven of their past eight games. Their only win over that span came against Miguel Gonzalez of the Orioles, a below average pitcher that the Red Sox scored just three runs off of and won the game, 3-2. Boston faced Scott Carroll in the opener of this series, a starter that came into the game with a 5.05 ERA, a 1.61 WHIP and oppBA of .318, and the Red Sox made him look like Clayton Kershaw. Carroll took a one hitter into the seventh and left with two outs. Boston would get one more hit the rest of the night. Now the Red Sox will face Chris Sale. Sale may be the AL’s best pitcher. Current Red Sox have four hits in 41 career AB’s against Sale for a BA of .098. The Red Sox’ three best hitters, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz and Mike Napoli are a combined 2 for 18 against Sale. What’s even more appealing about Sale here is that the Red Sox are a left-handed heavy lineup with Ortiz, Brock Holt, Jackie Bradley Jr., Stephen Drew, Mike Carp (if he plays) and A.J. Pierzynski all batting left. Chris Sale absolutely smothers lefties, as he has limited them to a ridiculous .057/.108/.057 line. Opposing managers mostly refuse to bat lefties against him but John Ferrell doesn’t have much choice. Catcher David Ross played last night and he’s batting .176 so it really doesn’t matter who Ferrell uses because both Ross and Pierzynski must be rendered useless against Sale.

Rubby De La Rosa goes for the Red Sox and we like this kid. That’s something we can look at later on in the season if the Red Sox snap out of it and De La Rosa has some value. In this game he has none because all the value is on Chris Sale and the South Side spotting a very cheap price.

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Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Reds are 0-9 since April 23, 2013 as a home favorite when they are off a walk off win for a net profit of $1325 when playing against.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Josh Tomlin starts the Indians are 0-10 SU against since Jul 26, 2011 after giving up no walks for a net profit of $1040 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Rockies are 11-2 since 2013 as a favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher that season.

CHOICE TREND:

-- When Eric Stults starts the Padres are 0-10 SU against since May 12, 2013 when the start time is earlier than 4:00 PM local time for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Kyle Lohse starts the Brewers are 11-1 SU on since Jun 04, 2013 after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1094.

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Diamond Dog


#911: Pirates: +125 (2)
Listed Pitchers: Cumpton / Lynn


#929: Athletics: -110 (2)
Listed Pitchers: Hammel / Cain


#915/916: Under Indians: 8.5 (-115) (3)
Listed Pitchers: McCarthy / Tomlin


#927/928: Under Orioles: 9.0 (-120) (3)
Listed Pitchers: Fister / Norris

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OC Dooley

2 Units - Astros +190

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Sheep:


909 Phils +180 ($500)
909 Phils +1.5 ($500)
907 Cubs +140 ($500)
907 Cubs +1.5 ($500)