6-17-14

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::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Cup Game of the Day: Brazil vs. Mexico

Brazil vs. Mexico (-333, +1000, Draw +500)

Brazil thrilled its legions of fans by handily winning its World Cup opener - and it should scare the rest of the tournament to know that the host team didn't even play that well. The Brazilian side will look to put together a stronger performance Tuesday as it faces Mexico in the continuation of Group A action at Fortaleza's Estadio Castelao. Brazil showed vulnerability in its 3-1 win over Croatia but prevailed thanks to a pair of goals from superstar Neymar.

Mexico also won its tournament opener - escaping with a 1-0 victory over Cameroon - and can advance with a win and a Croatia-Cameroon draw in their match Wednesday in Manaus. The Mexicans dropped a 2-0 decision to Brazil in a Confederations Cup match at the very same stadium where the teams will face off Tuesday. Brazil will also be looking to avenge a loss to a strong Mexican side in the gold-medal match at the 2012 Olympics in London.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, ESPN

WORLD RANKINGS: Brazil: No. 3; Mexico: No. 20.

INJURY REPORT: Brazil: F Hulk left practice Sunday with a left leg injury but says he will be fit to face Mexico; F Neymar earned a yellow card in the tournament opener and faces a one-game ban if he picks up a second. Mexico: None.

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "Brazil were fortunate to get past Croatia in the opening game after some controversial referring decisions. Both teams know that a win in Natal on Tuesday night will mean qualification to the 2nd Round. Expect an open and free flowing game in Natal tomorrow." Covers Expert Footy Tipster

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "Both of these teams are coming off opening game wins, Brazil is a big favorite in this game at (-384) to win, but so far the action is favoring the underdog Mexican squad with 55% of the action. What is seeing the most action is the over 3.5 goal total. Brazil is still the heavy favorite to win the World cup at +275 seeing 20% of the action on that future." - Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.com

ABOUT BRAZIL: Much was made about Brazil's ordinary opening match, which included a stunning early deficit, a questionable foul leading to the go-ahead penalty and a Croatian goal negated due to goalkeeper interference. "There will always be controversial calls in football," Brazil star Oscar told reporters afterward. "Sometimes it's good for one team, sometimes it's good for another." Hulk described his practice departure as a "precaution," and hopes to be 100 percent for Tuesday's game, played near his hometown and in front of a large collection of family and friends.

ABOUT MEXICO: Oscar's comments apply directly to the Mexicans' tournament opener, in which they saw a pair of goals disallowed before Peralta left no doubt with the game's lone strike in the second half. "I'm happy with how the team has been playing collectively," Mexico star Giovani Dos Santos said after the victory. "I think we are all understanding very well what (coach) Miguel Herrera wants us to do on the field." Mexico will be in tough, having defeated their rivals just once on Brazilian soil - a 2-1 triumph on Oct. 31, 1968.

TRENDS:

* Mexico has won seven of the previous 15 meetings between the teams.
* Brazil defeated Mexico in all three previous World Cup encounters by a combined score of 11-0.
* The Brazilians haven't lost a game on home soil since August 2002, winning 38 straight matches as the host in that span.
* Peralta has nine goals in his last seven caps for Mexico.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (World Cup Soccer)

3-Unit play. Take Belgium -1 (-125) over Algeria (12 p.m., Tuesday, June 17)

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Tuesday's WCup Action

Group H: Belgium vs. Algeria (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. EST)

Line
Belgium -263, Algeria +550, Tie +350
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +110, Under -140)

The final group opens play on Tuesday when Belgium and Algeria square off Tuesday in their Group H opener.

After years of steadily intensifying hype, the moment is approaching for Belgium to be hurled in at the deep end of a World Cup and either float or drown. The fifth favorites for the trophy haven’t competed in the tournament for 12 years, but starting against Group H’s outsiders Algeria should assist their efforts to immediately acclimatize in Brazil.The Desert Foxes have won none of their past six World Cup encounters and failed to score a single goal in the 2010 edition despite finding themselves paired with USA, England and Slovenia – hardly the most daunting set of opponents.

Belgium’s roster is crammed with attacking talent like Eden Hazard, Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, yet they weren’t too prolific in qualifying, striking 18 times in 10 games. Just once in the whole process did they net more than two goals in a single match.Algeria’s difficulties in front of goal at the highest level combined with Belgium’s tendency to keep the score down suggest that the contest is likely to provide two goals or fewer.

At the last World Cup, 14 of the 16 opening group stage fixtures served up Under 2.5 goals, with Germany 4-0 over Australia and Brazil 2-1 versus North Korea the only exceptions. One other factor to be aware of is that Belgium always strives to operate on the front foot, scoring the first goal in nine of their 10 qualifiers and leading at halftime in six of the eight games that they won. The best wager to make for this game is the UNDER.


Group A: Brazil vs. Mexico (ESPN, 3:00 p.m. EST)

Line
Brazil -384, Mexico +800, Tie +500
Over/Under: 3 Goals (Over -105, Under -115)


The fans of Brazil will cheer on their team Tuesday when their men go up against Mexico in the second game each of these teams will play in Group A. While Brazil is heavily favored, it will not be easy to defeat a Mexico team that has made it to the knockout rounds in five straight World Cups.

Brazil’s opening game in the 2014 World Cup got off to a rather nerve-wracking start for the team playing in front of its home crowd. Brazil had a rather effortless warm-up before the game and they came out very slow against Croatia. The away team was on the attack early and was able to score on an own goal early on to take a 1-0 lead.

But after Brazil fell behind early, the club eventually took complete control of the game thanks to the brilliant play of Neymar and some questionable calls by the referees. Neymar evened up the score just 29 minutes into the game after a strike that went in after hitting the post. He was all over the field in the game and certainly lived up to the pre-tournament hype. After the goal, Brazil was smooth sailing and would win 3-1 after yet another goal by Neymar off a controversial penalty call, and the final goal by Oscar in extra time.

Mexico was also able to open up Group A play with a victory over Cameroon. While Mexico was favored, the team barely escaped with a 1-0 victory. But getting the three points was all that mattered, and Mexico can now make a major splash by defeating or even tying Brazil in front of its home crowd.

This was yet another game that featured some controversial calls by the officials. Mexico put the ball in the back of the net twice, but was disallowed for offsides on both. Finally, Oribe Peralta was able to get himself to a loose ball off a rebound to put the game-winner home 61 minutes into the match. Mexico dominated play as it had the ball for 58% of the game. Playing against Brazil, however, will be a much bigger challenge.


Group H: Russia vs. South Korea (ESPN, 6:00 p.m. EST)

Line
Russia +105, South Korea +230, Tie +225
Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (Over +160, Under -200)

The last of the 16 opening matches of the 2014 World Cup takes place Tuesday in Group H with Russia taking on underdog South Korea.

With both countries perceived to be fighting for the right to follow Belgium through as Group H runners-up, facing one another first is undesirable, as it creates the threat that one error could ruin their entire World Cup before it has truly got going. Usually in such circumstances, both teams play safe, and a dull draw follows that ensures neither last-16 hopeful enters the final two games at a disadvantage, but South Korea may lack the defensive tools to engineer such an outcome. The 2002 semi-finalists managed just two clean sheets from eight attempts in the final phase of Asian qualifying, and though they progressed from their group at the last World Cup, they conceded six goals in the process, including four against Argentina.

Russia – who beat South Korea in a friendly last year – were hugely impressive in qualifying, topping a tricky group that featured Portugal and Israel, the key to that success being a run of four wins to nil at the beginning of the campaign. That ability to start strongly was also apparent at recent international tournaments. In Euro 2012, they opened with a 4-1 victory over eventual group winners Czech Republic, while they got underway with a 2-0 triumph over Tunisia at their last World Cup in 2002.

However, if Russia once again claims an early three points, it doesn’t necessarily spell doom for South Korea, as the Europeans made a first-round exit on each of the aforementioned occasions despite assuming such a promising position. The pick here is to play the +225 money on a TIE and also pay the steep price for the UNDER to occur.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Tuesday, 6/17/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #12
It is time to again examine this past weekend Major League Baseball results from Point Blank range, isolating some of the key edges that can put you far ahead of the game in the days ahead.

•Cubs – On Trying To Come To Terms With Jake Arrieta
It was not easy to anticipate the Arrieta train rolling down the tracks – there was no rumbling of the wheels to be heard, or steam whistles bellowing. If anything, when his time with Baltimore ended LY, the last stage a 4-11/6.38 over 2012-13 combined, it appeared that his MLB ride had gone off the rails. As such, when he was dealt to the Cubs, it was met by the sound of crickets for most serious baseball analysts.

Then something happened. Chicago sent him to AAA Des Moines for seven starts, and while the 2-0/3.56 did not necessarily ring any bells, the 11.6 K’s-per-9 might have been a turning point. Suddenly Arrieta was pitching with a lot more aggression, even if it did lead to an unflattering BB rate. When he was called up to Wrigley it was a respectable 4-2/3.66 over nine starts, for a bad team heading nowhere. But even that improvement did not hint at what we have seen this season.

Through eight starts Arrieta is at 2-1/2.09. Only getting a pair of wins despite that allowance level is a result of the uniform he wears – Chicago has scored three runs or less six times behind him, and there were scoreless outings over 5 1/3 and six IP in which he did not get a decision. Which now begs the question - is this another of these small-sample surges in which baseball’s geometry has paved the way? An xFIP of 2.89 quickly answers “No”. If we drop the IP count to Arrieta’s 43, there are 159 pitchers that make the count, and he checks in at #14. Yet it is still not easy to accept.

Both the pop and command from this arm stand out. His 9.2 K’s-per-9 are far above a career 7.1, while a 2.9 BB-per-9 is well below a 3.9 precedent. You can follow those categories to mark his growing confidence – it has been 16 K’s vs. only one BB over his L2 starts. And when contact has been made, his 52.1 ground-ball rate is also a career-best.

So with Arrieta having allowed one ER or none in 11 of his 17 Chicago starts, why is it still difficult to believe? The 2014 schedule has been favorable (his DBF is #137), and there is that issue of him not being an innings eater, but off of his sparkling win at Philadelphia on Friday the latter might begin to change – the Cubs should begin to have him work deeper into games because they simply do not have a reason not to, especially if they want to elevate him to being trade bait. Maybe then there will be enough evidence to become convinced.

•Braves – Ervin Santana’s “Black Magic” Disappears
One of the keys to being a successful bettor over the long haul is that patience to not force a power rating when you are not comfortable with a team or performer. Hence, not feeling forced to rush something definitive on a guy like Arrieta above. And it can mean avoiding the kind of mistakes that easily could have been made, and indeed were made by many, with Santana a couple of weeks ago.

Atlanta went 5-1 in Santana’s first six starts after he came over to the NL, and his 1.99 allowance, with more K’s (43) than Hits + BB (41), was a hint of something special. There were headlines across the sports mediaverse, and many of the major Fantasy sites had writers going into minute detail to showcase where those improvements came from (run a search and you can enjoy the usual hindsight advantage reading through them). Santana did not make this page, however, because a guy that had never had a single-season ERA of lower than 3.38, and sported a career xFIP of 4.20, was not a prime candidate to “find it” in his 10th MLB season.

A degree of skepticism is a useful tool in this endeavor. This time it paid off. Over Santana’s last six starts the Braves have gone 1-5, getting out-scored by 14 runs, and he has been knocked around to a 6.44 ERA, with 56 Hits + BB vs. only 24 K’s. The irony? Look at how his overall tally through 12 starts appears - a guy that entered the season at 105-90/4.19 over his career, is now 5-3/4.09 for 2014. Or, right about where one would have projected him.

There were a couple of keys to that hot early start. Naturally changing leagues mattered, with hitters lacking both experience and quality scouting reports. But here is what is visible now that wasn’t then – of those first six games, five of the outings were against teams that currently rate #23 or lower in Runs and OPS. Some of that strong showing can be attributed to being in the right place, at the right time. That is why patience is such a bankroll virtue – had you jumped the gun on Santana’s supposed improvements, it would have been an expensive lesson learned (especially with those last six starts also playing Over at a 4-1-1 clip as well).

•A’s – Josh Donaldson’s Bad Week
A slightly different take on the same general theme as the first two items this week – how one incorporates subsets into establishing good power ratings. It is also more emphasis about being patient, because sometimes Baseball is just Baseball. So time to talk about the week that Donaldson just went through.

Donaldson got a single in the fourth inning off of Jose Ramirez on Sunday, driving in a run. It was not a significant moment in the grand scheme of a 10-5 Oakland rout (10-0 into the 6th), but it at least closed one dark chapter of the book that is to be his career – it ended an 0-33 slide by someone that had been one of the best players in the sport since the 2012 All Star break. There were no BB in that span, with 10 K’s, and it was not just a tough week at the plate – he also committed three errors in one game, a loss to the Angels on Monday night.

This came from a player that was #3 in WAR in 2013, having a great year both offensively (.301/.384/.499) and in the field, as he blossomed at 3B after originally coming up as a catcher. He opened 2014 with a .271/.333/.534 April, then a .281/.417/.573 May, to move into the early discussion for MVP (in a league with Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera, it will continue to be an uphill battle). Then starting last weekend in Baltimore, his arc changed course.

Note that the errors in the field were not the only link to possible frustrations driven by the batting slump - he was ejected from Saturday’s game by home-plate umpire Hal Gibson, for questioning the strike zone. That led Bob Melvin to try to take some pressure off by dropping him to 6th in Sunday’s lineup. And while a single off of an unsung middle reliever does not set off fireworks, it ended a run of 25 consecutive balls in play that were turned into outs, dating back to June 4th against the Yankees in the Bronx. That can wear on a player. Because of that there will be a prime focus in following Donaldson closely this week – as good as 2013 was, it was his first full-season in The Show for a late bloomer, and his history of rebounding from bad times is being written now in front of us, instead of being something on the reference shelves that we can review.

•Marlins – Casey (McGehee) At The Bat
McGehee does not bring the career sample-size issues of Donaldson above – he has been around long enough to be recognized for what he is, a journeyman that is playing in his 5th different MLB uniform since coming up in 2008. He returned for an opportunity to resuscitate faded MLB dreams with the Marlins this season, after spending 2013 in Japan (he did help lead the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles to a championship). For Miami, McGehee was cheap veteran fodder to fill out a roster, in what was expected to be a transition year before the team was good enough to compete.

Then we all wake up to begin our processes on June 16th, and find the Marlins just a game out in the NL East, and McGehee #8 in the NL in batting average and #7 in rbi’s. Cue visions of a major movie concept and start lining up the actors to play the lead – a non-descript veteran finds his soul in Japan, and returns to become a star. But this may turn out to be a different Hollywood – not the one near Los Angeles that creates dreams for movie screens, but the one between Miami and Fort Lauderdale that has seen better days. This may only be the short-term magic of Baseball.

When you see a clean-up hitter playing 3B with a lot of rbi’s, there is the natural assumption of power. Except McGehee has hardly produced any – just one HR over 289 PA’s. That is not a misprint – a cleanup hitter has gone to the plate 289 times, and has managed one HR. There are 244 players that have at least 150 PA’s so far, and the only ones with a lower rate than McGehee’s 1.4 percent of HR/FB are J. J. Hardy, Erig Sogard, Conor Gillaspie, James Jones, Adeiny Hechavarria and Norichika Aoki. None of them will be batting clean-up any time soon.

So just what in the hell has happened? The sort of thing that Baseball allows, over a short cycle – McGehee has hit an astonishing .411 with runners in scoring position (RISP), going 30-73 to drive in 37 runs. That is an amazing efficiency. But here is the problem – only four of those hits were doubles, with no triples or HR’s. Batted balls have simply found more geometric room than is available over larger samples, and note the outlier that McGehee’s .362 BABIP is over his career norm of .294. Yes, there will be those that will attempt to call his performances “clutch”, but ignore them in setting your ratings - it has been well-established through the years that batting in high-leverage situations is not a separate skill. Over time, hitters produce in those settings in a manner that closely correlates to their overall skill level.

It has been a fabulous ride for McGehee to this point, but without any real pop coming from his bat, those numbers have only one way to go. As they decline so will the Miami production, given how little margin for error the Marlins bring to the diamond each day, with that team .321 BABIP continuing to flash at us as a warning sign.

•Royals – Revisiting A Coaching Change
Time to shift from individual players to a team here, although it still means staying on the track of sorting through sample sizes to sharpen your ratings. A couple of weeks ago Kansas City became a prime topic here, as yet another change was made at hitting coach. That spot had been a revolving door in recent seasons for the Royals, and because the shuffle coincided at a time in which they brought up several promising young prospects, it may have directly impeded the growth of several of those players.

Fast forward and the story has been profound. Since Dale Sveum took over they have gone on a 12-4 surge, scoring 5.1 runs per game, and because of the Detroit vulnerabilities have climbed to within 1.5 games of first place in the AL Central, heading into this week’s key series. While there is once again the issue of a small sample size, when a handicapper can put some meat behind the performances it is something that can be taken to the betting windows.

One of the issues discussed with Sveum’s promotion was that as a former manager he had plenty of experience in dealing with the psyche of players. When you watch the Kansas City offense now it does not come across as a case of baseball correcting itself, after too many bad early bounces, but instead a looser and more confident lineup at the plate. Winning then reinforces that, and with nine of those 12 victories coming by multiple runs, six by four or more, it makes the momentum even more genuine.

The Royals have played solid defense. The starting rotation is sound, and gets deeper when Bruce Chen returns. Closer Greg Holland is sitting on back-to-back seasons of 1.21 and 1.35 in ERA and 1.68 and 1.75 in xFIP. With those factors added to the mix, you might want to designate everything from May 29 forward as a key subset when rating the Royals – that change at hitting coach may indeed have been a catalyst to turn an under-achieving team around.
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Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto is 2-1, 1.96 in his last three starts. Cumpton won his last two starts, but has a 6.75 RA in six starts overall.
-- Kendrick is 2-1, 3.51 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 1-0, 2.55 in his last five starts.
-- Chacin is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.

-- Shoemaker is 3-0, 4.44 in five starts this season.
-- Tanaka is 4-0, 1.52 in his last four starts. Rookie Stroman (from Long Island) is 2-1, 2.50 in his first three MLB starts.
-- Scherzer is 2-0, 2.30 in his last couple starts. Ventura is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two outings.
-- Twins won nine of last ten Hughes starts (7-1, 2.41). Lester is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Gonzalez is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts.
-- Milone is 4-0, 2.00 in his last seven starts. Darvish is 3-0, 1.74 in his last four outings.

-- Keuchel is 6-1, 1.39 in his last seven starts. Roark is 2-0, 1.29 in his last two.
-- Danks is 2-1, 1.52 in his last four starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Santana is 1-3, 6.69 in his last six starts.
-- Samardzija is 2-2, 7.04 in his last four starts. DeSclafani was 1-1, 5.56 in two starts earlier this season; he is up from AAA again.
-- Wacha is 0-2, 5.73 in his last two starts.
-- Miley is 0-3, 4.78 in his last six starts. Lohse is 0-1, 6.23 in his last two.
-- Greinke is 0-2, 4.74 in his last three starts.

-- Tomlin is 1-2, 5.55 in his last four starts.
-- Bedard is 1-3, 6.38 in his last five starts.

-- Cain is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts since coming off the DL.
-- Elias is 2-2, 5.13 in his last four starts. Stults is 0-5, 7.04 in his last six starts.

•Totals
-- Over is 9-1 in Pittsburgh's last ten home series openers.
-- 14 of last 19 Philly road games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over total.
-- Eight of last eleven Met road games went over total.
-- Over is 15-4-1 in last twenty Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 5-0-2 in last seven Colorado games.

-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Yankees home games.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Detroit home games.
-- Nine of last ten games at Fenway Park stayed under.
-- Last five Baltimore road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Texas road games stayed under.

-- Nine of last twelve San Diego games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Houston games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Giant games went over the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Reds won four of its last five games. Pittsburgh won five of last seven.
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Brewers won six of their last nine games.
-- Rockies won five of their last six games. Los Angeles won three of last four.

-- Blue Jays won eight of its last ten road games.
-- Royals won their last eight games, are half-game out of first place.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Indians won their last ten home games.
-- Rays won four of its last five games.
-- Athletics won five of their last seven home games. Texas won four of their last five games overall.

-- Astros won eight of their last ten road games.

•Cold Teams
-- Philly lost seven of its last nine road games. Atlanta lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost seven of its last ten home games.
-- Mets lost ten of last 13 games, including last seven on road.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of its last six games.

-- Yankees lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Tigers lost five of its last eight games.
-- Twins are 8-15 in its last 23 games.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.

-- Mariners lost five of its last seven games, but won last two. San Diego lost 11 of their last 14.
-- Nationals lost their last four games.
-- White Sox lost their last four games. San Francisco lost six of their last seven games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Phil-Atl-- Three of last four Gonzalez games stayed under.
-- Chi-Mia-- Seven of last nine Nelson games stayed under.
-- NY-StL-- Favorites won last eight Hoye games.
-- Mil-Az-- Seven of last ten TBarrett games went over.
-- Col-LA-- Five of last seven Wolcott games went over.

-- LA-Clev-- Six of last eight Foster games stayed under.
-- KC-Det-- Four of last five Hallion games stayed under.
-- Min-Bos-- Ten of thirteen Fagan games stayed under total.
-- Blt-TB-- Six of last eight Kulpa games stayed under.
-- Tex-A's-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Fletcher games.

-- SD-Sea-- Four of last five Bucknor games stayed under.

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•BOSTON is 14-30 (-20.5 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was BOSTON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

•LA DODGERS are 20-6 OVER (+13.9 Units) in home games against right-handed starters this season.
The average score was LA DODGERS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.4.

•KANSAS CITY is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the run line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.3, OPPONENT 2.4.

•KYLE LOHSE is 19-2 (+17.1 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOHSE 5.2, OPPONENT 2.4.

•TOM MILONE is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILONE 2.7, OPPONENT 2.9.

•JOHN DANKS is 0-12 (-14.8 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DANKS 2.4, OPPONENT 5.0.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(59-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.8%, +42.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -187.8
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.7)

The situation's record this season is: (5-2, +0.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-6, +16.6 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (126-50, +33.9 units).

•Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (HOUSTON) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(43-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +37.4 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-19 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 27 (45.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +3.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11, +27.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-30, +30 units).

•Play Under - Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CINCINNATI) - below average National League hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL).
(65-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.1%, +32.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 7.4, Money Line=-113.8
The average score in these games was: Team 3, Opponent 3.6 (Total runs scored = 6.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 53 (57.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (14-9, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-23, +18.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (100-67, +23.1 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marlins bring up prospects to boost playoff hopes
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

MIAMI -- The Miami Marlins started Monday just one game out of first place in the National League East, and they decided to go for it, making eight roster moves -- and that does not count signing a player who could be their ace of the future.

The Marlins called up left-hander Andrew Heaney and right-hander Anthony DeSclafani from Triple-A New Orleans on Monday and have plugged both pitchers into this week's rotation.

Heaney, the team's top prospect, will make his big-league debut on Thursday against the New York Mets. The 23-year-old was the ninth overall pick in the 2012 draft and had a combined record of 7-2 in the minors this season with ERAs of 2.35 in Double-A and 2.74 in Triple-A.

He will try to shore up a rotation that was rocked last month by the loss of ace right-hander Jose Fernandez to season-ending elbow surgery.

"It's surreal," Heaney said of getting the call. "You think of how it might happen, and then it does, and it doesn't hit you until now when I'm in the park and looking out."

DeSclafani, 24, who made his big-league debut earlier this season and went 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts, will start again on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs.

To make roster room for their two new starters, the Marlins designated for assignment left-hander Randy Wolf, 37, and right-hander Kevin Slowey, 30. Wolf, trying to make a comeback from a second Tommy John surgery, went 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA. Slowey, with 17 appearances, including 15 in relief, was 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA.

Right-hander Jacob Turner, who had been set to start on Tuesday, will now pitch out of the bullpen, and he took the loss in that role Monday night. The Cubs scored on him in the 13th inning to come away with a 5-4 win.

Left fielder Christian Yelich, who had missed the past two games due to a strained lower back, was replaced by outfielder Jake Marisnick, who was also called up from New Orleans. Marisnick started Monday night in center field for the Marlins, who moved Marcell Ozuna, at least temporarily, to left field.

Marisnick got off to a great start on Monday, batting leadoff and singling, stealing a base and later scoring in the first inning.

"Jake's natural position is center," Marlins manager Mike Redmond said. "I feel confident he can play anywhere. But I just felt it was easier for Jake as a young guy to come up and play your natural position. He covers a ton of ground.

"I talked to (Ozuna) about it, and he's fine. Wherever he plays, he plays."

Redmond said he did not think Yelich would require longer than the 15 days on the disabled list, retroactive to Saturday.

In the final set of moves, the Marlins optioned utility infielder Donovan Solano to New Orleans and called up first baseman Justin Bour from the same team.

The Marlins have a glut of utility infielders with Ed Lucas and Jeff Baker already on the roster, and that made Solano expendable.

Bour, who struck out as a pinch-hitter on Monday, gives the team a left-handed hitter off the bench, which is something Miami did not have before the move.

Also on Monday, the Marlins announced the signing of the second overall pick in the 2014 draft, right-hander Tyler Kolek, who has routinely thrown over 100 mph.

"We're trying to win," Redmond said. "We felt like bringing the young pitchers in ... this was the time. Hopefully, they will help us win games."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over scorching hot with Santana on bump
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL


In Atlanta Braves pitcher Ervin Santana's 12 starts this season, the over is 8-2-2. If you've been backing the over with Santana on the mound this season, you've surely made some nice profits in the process. If not, it's time to pay attention.

Atlanta hosts the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday. The Phils will counter with Kyle Kendrick on the hill.

Atlanta is currently -155 faves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

History points to under when Cueto faces Bucs
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

When Cincinnati Reds ace Johnny Cueto takes the mound, low totals tend to follow. That trend could continue Tuesday when the Reds face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.

In Cueto's last six outings versus the Pirates, the under is 5-1. The Dominican Republic product has been lights out this season, owning the second-best ERA in baseball of 1.85.

The Reds are currently -118 faves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TORONTO at NY YANKEES
Play Against - Home teams (NY YANKEES) terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after allowing 10 runs or more
65-29 since 1997. ( 69.1% | 32.3 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | NY METS at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 20-3 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in Home games against NL East opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.5) , OPPONENT (2.3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at LOS ANGELES
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days
41-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.5% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning record on the season
160-92 since 1997. ( 63.5% | 58.8 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Tuesday

Cubs/Marlins over 7

Brewers/Dbacks over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play TUES

Indians -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Spurs (series) on Sunday and Germany on Monday and likes the Cubs on Tuesday.

The deficit is 220 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

FIFA World Cup

Algeria +779 over Belgium

(Risking 1 units - To Win: 7.79)

June 17. 12:00 PM EST. Algeria is a good football team and with this notion, it is a wonder as to how they are regarded as this much of a significant underdog. The Algerians are a 7-1 dog against their European counterparts Belgium. However, the question is why? This is a more balanced contest on paper than many think and Algeria has the full capability to upset the apple cart in Group H. The Algerians have said it themselves, the want to make history. This is an ambitious bunch fielded in a group of combatants consisting of Korea Republic, Russia and Belgium. Undoubtedly, Korea Republic is the least likely to survive this motley group, but Algeria can threaten both Russia and Belgium. Both of these teams did not qualify for the 2010 World Cup, Algeria did. In fact, Algeria had an opportunity to ruin the American uprising, before conceding a goal to Landon Donovan in the final moments of their group match. However, Algeria fared better than many perceive. The Fennecs lost their opener to Slovenia which was rather costly. However, they drew with England and suffered a late defeat to America. The Desert Warriors have not forgotten this and cognitive of the fact they can hang with world-class competition. In their qualification, the ambitious Fennecs dominated their group en route to the 2014 World Cup.

The Belgians certainly will be a challenge for Algeria, as they are ranked #11 in the world. The Red Devils are headlined by captains Thomas Vermaelen of the FA Cup Champions Arsenal and Vincent Kompany of the defending English Premier League champions, Manchester City. Both these footballers have enjoyed many distinguishing accolades in 2014 and hope to build on this with a Belgian rise to supremacy. Be that as it may, this is the first contest for both clubs so a surprise may be in the making. Much will depend on which Algerian team shows up to play, nevertheless this wager is favorable to the Desert Warriors, as an upset is certainly attainable.


FIFA World Cup

Mexico +1146 over Brazil

(Risking 1 units - To Win: 11.46)

June 17. 3:00 PM EST. While Croatia may be an enticing bet in the opening game against Brazil, Mexico as an underdog in this price range is a virtual must-bet for any football enthusiast. Mexico is a talented football team that will threaten Brazil in this fixture. In 2012, the Mexicans defeated the Brazilians in the Gold Medal game of the Olympics. This historic result will serve as the foundation of motivation for La Verde moving in to their contest with a traditional juggernaut in Brazil.

Brazil is the #3 ranked team in the world and basically host a home-field advantage throughout the World Cup. Their Latin adversaries have long forgotten and disregarded this notion. Undoubtedly, on a neutral site the Mexicans are capable of the upset. As highlighted in previous articles, Mexico should take care of business with Cameroon and Brazil may struggle against Croatia. This can be largely attested to opening game errors and mistakes that frequently diminish over the course of the tournament. Many opening games result in draws, but the outcome of these two teams opening fixtures will directly affect the outcome of this affair. Brazil has the tougher task and the Mexicans can find their stride quicker against Cameroon than Brazil will against Croatia. While Brazil can merely pummel every team in their group, this game has a feel that some magic may be in the works. What it boils down to for Mexico is if they can survive the onslaught from EPL forward Oscar and his cohorts Fernandinho, Paulinho and Ramires. Mexico has an excellent defense with Marquez and Reyes, both capable of upsetting Brazil’s rhythm. Furthermore, the Mexicans have a striker in Javier Hernandez who can help Mexico acquire that fleeting score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win

Today’s FREE pick

J Mo

GAME - SD @ SEA: Mariners ML -137

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at Chicago White Sox

The White Sox open an interleague series against a Giants team that is 4-13 in Matt Cain's last 17 starts as a favorite. Chicago is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, JUNE 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.778; Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 16.634
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Over


Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.003; Atlanta (Santana) 13.154
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140); Under


Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 14.761; Miami (DeScalfini) 16.138
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under


Game 907-908: NY Mets at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 13.852; St. Louis (Wacha) 17.352
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+150); Over


Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 16.678; Arizona (Miley) 18.107
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Over


Game 911-912: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.704; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 14.867
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-190); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+165); Under


Game 913-914: LA Angels at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.718; Cleveland (Tomlin) 13.726
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over


Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 16.144; NY Yankees (Tanaka) 17.650
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-175); Under


Game 917-918: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 15.845; Detroit (Scherzer) 13.368
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Under


Game 919-920: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 16.469; Boston (Lester) 15.395
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+135); Over


Game 921-922: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.557; Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.716
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over


Game 923-924: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.495; Oakland (Milone) 14.422
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under


Game 925-926: San Diego at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 16.688; Seattle (Elias) 18.023
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-135); Under


Game 927-928: Houston at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 15.761; Washington (Roark) 15.177
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Over


Game 929-930: San Francisco at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.382; White Sox (Danks) 15.342
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Los Angeles

The Lynx (8-3) head to LA tonight to face a Sparks team that is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games versus a team with a winning SU record. Minnesota is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


TUESDAY, JUNE 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Indiana at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.577; Connecticut 108.755
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2); Over


Game 653-654: Minnesota at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.641; Los Angeles 112.919
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 160
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Darvish strong as a narrow fave

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Tuesday's major league games:

Pushy New Yorkers

The New York Mets continue to be the masters of the pushing, earning their 11th of the year in Monday's 6-2 loss to the host St. Louis Cardinals (-162). The Mets lead the league in pushes by four, and had just six pushes all of last season.

KC Eights

The Kansas City Royals (+136) broke out the bats yet again, extending their winning streak to a season-best eight games with an 11-8 triumph over the host Detroit Tigers. The Royals are 6-2 O/U during the streak, averaging seven runs per game over that span.

Yu The Man

Texas Rangers ace Yu Darvish has been one of the league's strongest narrow favorites so far in 2014. Darvish is listed at -109 for the Rangers' game against host Oakland; Texas is a perfect 6-0 so far this season when Darvish is installed as a favorite of less than -120.

Pitching Notes

* Minnesota starter Phil Hughes looks to build on his league-leading value total as he leads the Twins (+137, 8.5) into Boston for a date with the Red Sox. Hughes has earned a whopping $1,050 so far, with the Twins having won his last eight starts as an underdog.

* Houston left-hander Dallas Keuchel looks to continue a pair of trends Tuesday as the Astros (+115, 7) face the host Washington Nationals. Keuchel is 6-1 against the moneyline over the last seven games while going 1-5-1 O/U over that span.

Hitting Notes

* Royals shortstop Omar Infante has been one of the catalysts for Kansas City during its eight-game run, batting .400 with a homer and seven RBIs in his previous seven contests. The Royals are 13-4 SU in games in which Infante drives in at least one run going into Tuesday's tilt with Detroit (-148, 8).

* Dodgers outfielder Dee Gordon went 4-for-4 in Monday's 6-1 win over Colorado, marking his first multi-hit effort since June 6. Los Angeles is 10-8 against the moneyline and 9-7-2 O-U in games in which Gordon records more than one hit entering Tuesday's game against the Rockies (+170, 7).

Totals Streak

Atlanta Braves (5-1-1 O/U): The Braves have been one of the safest Under bets at home all season but are reversing that trend on their latest homestand, improving to 3-1 O/U in a 6-1 loss to Philadelphia. Atlanta is 27-38-4 O/U on the year.

Prop of the Day

After a brief period where the bats went silent, the Toronto Blue Jays are slowly but surely starting to hit again. One thing they've been doing consistently is getting on the board first. The Jays have scored first in three-straight ball games and are -125 (Bet365) to do so against the New York Yankees Tuesday.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles catcher Matt Wieters will undergo Tommy John surgery on his throwing elbow and will miss the remainder of the season. The Orioles are 17-21 SUU, 18-20 O/U and -451 units for the season with Wieters on the sidelines.

* Oakland Athletics outfielder Josh Reddick is aiming for a June 24 return from a hyperextended knee. Reddick has been out of the lineup since late May; the Athletics are 8-6 SU and 6-7-1 O/U in his absence.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Fenway Park will blow out to center field at 6 mph for Tuesday's game between host Boston (-152, 8.5) and Minnesota. The Red Sox were 4-2 SU and 1-5 O/U in six games under similar conditions in 2013; teams combined to score 8.5 runs, well below the stadium average of 9.04.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 6-1 in umpire Tom Hallion's previous seven games calling balls and strikes. Hallion will be behind home plate for Tuesday's game between the Royals and host Tigers.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:06 a.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

The Angels were of no help whatsoever to slumping Hondo Monday night, getting beaten in Cleveland to push his skid to 1-for-11 and his accounts payable to a whopping 1,555 crosettis.

Tuesday night: Mr. Aitch will play his aces — 10 units on Tanaka to smoke the Jays and 10 on sure as shootin’ Scherzer to be a Royal pain.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Atlanta Braves -154 over Philadelphia Phillies
(System Record: 43-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 43-33

Soccer Crusher
Mexico +1.5 over Brazil
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 589-21, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 589-494-85

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Baseball
Chicago White Sox +109 over SF Giants
Milwaukee Brewers -110 over Arizona Dbacks
Oakland Athletics +101 over Texas Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

Connecticut Sun -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

The Marlins have cooled off a bit at home and dropped another one in 13 innings to these Cubbies on Monday night. The Cubs will send out their ace Jeff Samardzija (2-6, 2.77) to face off with the Marlins Anthony DeSclafini (1-1, 5.56) who has been back and forth from Triple-A this season. Samardzija has been one of the real hard luck pitchers of this season as he just hasn’t received much run support from his offense. He did face off with these Marlins two starts back, where he allowed just two runs in seven innings, picking up the 5-2 Cubs win. DeSclafini has had mixed results in his ML starts this season, but hasn’t blown anyone away and has actually been hit pretty hard. The Cubbies are 6-1 in their last seven games as a favorite and the Marlins are a staggering 16-38 in their last 54 games vs. the NL Central! Even though Miami is the home dog here tonight, for these Sharps, the real value lies with Samardzija and the Cubs at this bargain price against an unproven farmhand. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – CHICAGO CUBS (-111)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
TUESDAY, JUNE 17TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 CINCINNATI @ #902 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (6-5, 1.85 ERA, WHIP: 0.775) - Cueto bounced back from one of his worst outings of the season on June 6 with six dominant frames in a 5-0 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday. The NL leader in innings pitched (102) and major league leader in WHIP (0.77) allowed three hits and did not walk a batter while matching a career high with 12 strikeouts. Cueto also ranks second in NL in ERA and recorded back-to-back three-hitters against the Pirates in April, fanning a total of 16 batters en route to a pair of convincing wins.

--KEY STAT: CUETO is 22-9 UNDER (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.9, OPPONENT 2.7.

--CUETO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.8 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

•Pirates RH Brandon Cumpton (2-2, 6.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.530) - Since getting lit up for a career-high 11 runs (10 earned) versus the Dodgers on May 31, Cumpton has bounced back with consecutive victories. The 25-year-old needed 91 pitches to get through five innings, but limited the Chicago Cubs to two runs on five hits and a pair of walks in a 4-2 win on Wednesday. Cumpton lost to the Reds in his season debut on Apr. 24 to fall to 1-1 with a 1.35 ERA against them in four career appearances (three starts).

#903 PHILADELPHIA @ #904 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (2-6, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.365) - Kendrick followed two sub-par performances by allowing two runs on seven hits in six innings to pick up the win versus San Diego on Thursday. The 29-year-old did not walk a batter after issuing a season-high five free passes in his previous outing and 26 on the campaign. Kendrick owns an impressive 7-2 career mark versus the Braves but settled for a no-decision in his last encounter despite yielding three runs on four hits in six frames.

--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 44-18 against the run line (+20.0 Units) in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.4, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Braves RH Ervin Santana (5-3, 4.09 ERA, WHIP: 1.286) - Santana permitted six runs for the third time in his last five starts to take the loss versus Colorado on Thursday. The 31-year-old Dominican has fared well in two career starts against the Phillies, posting a 1-0 mark with a 0.69 ERA while limiting them to a .140 batting average. Santana allowed one run on four hits and struck out 11 in six innings but settled for a no-decision in his last meeting with Philadelphia.

--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 0-11 against the run line (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.7.

#905 CHICAGO CUBS @ #906 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (2-6, 2.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.176) - Samardzija wasn't at his best last time out, allowing four runs and a season-high nine hits over six innings in a loss at Pittsburgh. It was only the fourth time in 14 outings this season that he failed to record a quality start, but it marked the second time in his last three times out. Samardzija is 3-1 with a 4.93 ERA in 14 appearances (five starts) against Miami, including a win at home on June 7 in which he allowed two runs over seven frames.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 4-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 5.3.

•Marlins RH Anthony DeSclafani (1-1, 5.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.320) - DeSclafani is back in the majors after making four starts at Triple-A New Orleans, and he has taken over Jacob Turner's spot in the rotation. The 24-year-old was solid in winning his major-league debut against the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 14 but was tagged for five runs in 5 1/3 innings of a loss to Philadelphia his second time out. In his first two big-league starts, he struggled the second time through the order - allowing opponents to hit .304 from the fourth inning on after holding them to .250 over the first three frames.

#907 NY METS @ #908 ST LOUIS - 8:15 PM
•Mets LH Jonathon Niese (3-3, 2.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.118) - Niese has not factored in the decision in any of his last four starts despite allowing two runs or fewer in each. He turned in his third straight quality start last time out, striking out eight and holding Milwaukee to one run over 7 2/3 innings. The 27-year-old is 4-1 with a 1.87 ERA in six starts against St. Louis and was the winner in his only career outing at Busch Stadium.

--KEY STAT: NIESE is 9-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.7, OPPONENT 2.1.

--NIESE is 10-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

--NIESE is 15-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.0.

--NIESE is 12-3 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games against National League Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.5, OPPONENT 3.5.

--NIESE is 31-9 against the run line (+18.5 Units) in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.6.

--NIESE is 26-10 OVER (+15.7 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

•Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-5, 2.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.115) - Wacha has taken the loss in his last two starts after going more than a month between defeats. The 22-year-old did not allow more than three runs in any of his first 13 starts this season but saw that streak end last time out, as he gave up four runs over five innings in a loss at Tampa Bay. Wacha is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Mets.

--KEY STAT: WACHA is 1-7 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was WACHA 2.3, OPPONENT 3.6.

#909 MILWAUKEE @ #910 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (7-2, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.010) - Lohse has been terrific most of the season and is nearly halfway to his career-best win total of 16 set in 2012 with St. Louis. He received a no-decision in his last turn when he gave up one unearned run and four hits in eight innings against the New York Mets. Lohse is 3-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 career starts against Arizona.

--KEY STAT: LOHSE is 19-2 (+17.1 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.2, OPPONENT 2.4.

--LOHSE is 12-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.5.

--LOHSE is 21-6 against the run line (+19.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.6, OPPONENT 3.0.

--LOHSE is 23-8 against the run line (+17.7 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

--LOHSE is 16-5 against the run line (+14.0 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 5.2, OPPONENT 2.4.

--LOHSE is 27-10 against the run line (+21.1 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOHSE 4.8, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.292) - Miley is 0-3 in a six-start stretch since defeating the Chicago White Sox on May 10. He wasn’t involved in the decision in his last outing when he gave up four runs and seven hits in five innings against the Houston Astros. Miley is 3-1 with a 5.70 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers.

#911 COLORADO @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (1-4, 4.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.358) - Chacin turned in his best outing of the season last Thursday while holding Atlanta to two hits over seven scoreless innings. The 26-year-old missed the first month of the season with a right shoulder sprain and posted a 5.35 ERA in his first seven starts, but he threw an efficient 85 pitches against the Braves. Andre Ethier is 12-for-29 with a home run against Chacin, who is 8-6 with a 3.71 ERA in 17 career games (16 starts) against the Dodgers.

--KEY STAT: CHACIN is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.0, OPPONENT 3.5.

•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 2.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.141) - Greinke settled in after a rocky first inning last Thursday against Cincinnati, but he suffered his first loss in five starts at Great American Ball Park after allowing two runs over six frames. The 2009 Cy Young award winner faced Colorado at Coors Field on June 7 and received a no-decision after yielding four runs (three earned) on a season-high 11 hits over seven innings. Drew Stubbs has eight hits in 18 career at-bats against Greinke, who is 3-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 11 career starts (10 games) against Colorado.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 43-16 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

--GREINKE is 18-6 UNDER (+11.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.6.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING REPORT
TUESDAY, JUNE 17TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
________________________________________________

#925 SAN DIEGO @ #926 SEATTLE - 3:40 PM
•Padres LH Eric Stults (2-8, 5.79 ERA, WHIP: 1.571) - Stults’ awful June continued in his last outing, when he gave up four earned runs on eight hits during five innings of work in Thursday’s 7-3 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. The 34-year-old Indiana native dropped to 0-3 with a 9.45 ERA this month and fell to 0-6 in eight turns away from home. Stults was dominant in his only career start against the Mariners in May 2013, allowing three hits while striking out a career-high 12 over eight frames in a no-decision.

--KEY STAT: STULTS is 19-8 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

--STULTS is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 2.6, OPPONENT 4.0.

--STULTS is 17-5 UNDER (+11.3 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was STULTS 3.0, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Mariners LH Roenis Elias (5-5, 4.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.259) - After beginning the month with consecutive victories, Elias suffered his worst outing in his 14 major-league starts in Thursday’s 6-3 setback to the New York Yankees. The Cuban rookie was tagged for a career-high six runs on six hits and three walks, throwing only 39 of 70 pitches for strikes over a career-low 3 1/3 innings. Elias, who is 4-2 on the road but 1-3 at home, will face the Padres for the first time.

#927 HOUSTON @ #928 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (8-3, 2.38 ERA, WHIP: 0.993) - Keuchel has won six of his last seven starts, allowing fewer than three runs in each victory while tossing a pair of complete games - including his first career shutout on May 13 versus Texas. The 26-year-old is coming off a strong performance on Wednesday in which he limited Arizona to a run and four hits over eight innings. Keuchel received a no-decision in his only career outing against Washington after yielding four runs - three earned - and 12 hits in six frames.

--KEY STAT: KEUCHEL is 5-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 6.4, OPPONENT 2.8.

--KEUCHEL is 6-0 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was KEUCHEL 5.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (5-4, 2.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.056) - Roark followed a dominant performance at San Diego with a strong outing at San Francisco on Wednesday, when he allowed two runs over six innings for his second straight win. The 27-year-old halted a personal three-game skid on June 6 as he held the Padres to three hits while striking out a career-high 11 in eight scoreless frames. Roark, who never has faced Houston, is only 2-3 in six starts at home despite posting a 1.55 ERA.

#929 SAN FRANCISCO @ #930 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Giants RH Matt Cain (1-4, 3.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.176) - Cain’s lone victory came on May 15 despite allowing two or fewer earned runs in six of his 10 outings. He lost to Washington in his last turn when he walked a season-worst five in five innings while giving up four runs and three hits. Cain received a no-decision in 2008 against Chicago -- ironically, he was matched up against Danks – when he was touched up for six runs in seven innings of a 13-8 loss.

--KEY STAT: CAIN is 4-12 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAIN 2.4, OPPONENT 4.7.

•White Sox LH John Danks (5-5, 4.17 ERA, WHIP: 1.317) - Danks has won back-to-back outings and has allowed only five runs in 29 1/3 innings over his last four outings. He has given up just 19 hits and six walks during the stretch. Danks also received a no-decision the 2008 outing against San Francisco when he gave up three runs and six hits in six innings.

--KEY STAT: DANKS is 0-12 (-13.1 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 2.4, OPPONENT 5.0.

--DANKS is 4-18 (-14.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.2, OPPONENT 5.5.

--DANKS is 27-40 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.2.

--DANKS is 0-12 against the run line (-14.8 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 2.4, OPPONENT 5.0.

--DANKS is 6-14 against the run line (-12.6 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.0, OPPONENT 5.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PowerPlayWins

Power Plays of The Day

Washington Nationals(-125)
Pitcher: Roark

Cleveland Indians(-110)
Pitcher: Tomlin

Cincinnati Reds(-125)
Pitcher: Cueto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Cubs -120
W. Sox +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Rangers -115

50* Cubs -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry’s selections
fifa world cup
1x- beligum -290 algeria (12pm)
1x- brazil -330 mexico (3pm)
1x- south korea/russia – under 2.5 -130 (6pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

7 Units Twins / Red Sox Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo World Cup Soccer 2014
Jun 17 Tue

4* bet BEL -1 (-140)
2* bet BEL/ALG u2.5 (+125)

7* bet MEX/BRA o2.5 (-140)

3* bet RUS (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for June 17th, 2014

Game: San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners
Time: Tuesday 06/17 3:40 PM Eastern
Pick: San Diego +123 (moneyline) at Bookmaker


The San Diego Padres will likely make a stand and dedicate this game to their best player in history, Tony Gwynn who passed yesterday. We have seen many cases in history where a team rises to the occasion under similar circumstances. Seattle will go with Roenis Elias, who has made just 14 career starts, and the worst of them was his last time out. Elias has fared well on the road, but has not done so at home where he is just 1-4. San Diego has been 13-6 behind Stults when he takes the ball following a game where San Diego scored 2 or fewer runs. The Mariners have stumbled at home as a small favorite from -110 to -150 where they are a lowly 1-6 in their last seven. The Padres get it done today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Plays
bernardtips
League : WORLD World Cup
Russia - South Korea
Tips : Russia Win


getmybet
League : WORLD World Cup
Russia - South Korea
Tips : OVER 2.0


totalwintips
League : WORLD World Cup
Belgium - Algeria
Tips : OVER 2.5


mysecretbets
League : WORLD World Cup
Belgium - Algeria
Tips : OVER 2.5


myperfectbets
League : FINLAND
Jyvaskyla - Haka
Tips : Both teams to Score


goforwinners
League : WORLD World Cup
Russia - South Korea
Tips : Russia Win

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

1 STAR SELECTION: (903) Philadelphia Phillies +$147
(Risking $100 to win $147)
(Action)

1 STAR SELECTION: (915) Toronto Blue Jays +$150
(Risking $100 to win $150)
(Action)

1 STAR SELECTION: (911) Colorado Rockies +$160
(Risking $100 to win $160)
(Action)

[golden contender]

Tuesday card has 5* 100% MLB Dominator system a 29-1 Pitching angle play and a 100% 5* Totals system + another World Cup Selection. World Cup plays sweep as sides are now 3-0. Free MLB Road Warrior Play below.



On Tuesday the free MLB Road warrior system play is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 901 at 7:05 eastern. The Reds have won 5 of 7 this year vs the Pittsburgh Pirates, including a 3 game series sweep here back in April. The Reds apply to a solid system that has won 11 of 13 times when playing on road favorites off a road win where they scored 10 or more runs vs an opponent off a road loss where they had 5 or more hits. The Reds have J. Cueto on the Mound and he has 15 of 20 vs the Pirates in his career with a stellar 2.27 era. In his last 2 starts vs the Pirates Cueto has been Dominant allowing just 2 runs in 18 innings. Cueto has a solid 2.09 road era this season. He will oppose Cumpton for Pittsburgh and he has a 6.06 era this year and a 9.64 era in his last 3 starts. The Reds are 3-0 as a road favorite if the total is less than 10 and they are off a road win and scored 5 or more runs. On Tuesday we have Big MLB Power Plays. One is a tremendous 29-1 Pitching Angle play the other from a huge Never lost Dominator system. There is also a 100% Totals system. We also have another World cup play and they are 3-0 on Sides after Mondays sweep. Jump on now and cash big on Tuesday with the Most Powerful data in the Industry. For the free play take the Cincinnati Reds. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Braves are 12-0 since September 05, 2012 at home after a 5+ run loss for a net profit of $1212.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Tommy Milone starts the Athletics are 9-0 since April 24, 2012 after winning as an away dog by less than eight runs in his last start for a net profit of $992.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

Zack Greinke has produced a team record of 30-1 (+$2827) since 2011 as a home favorite of more than -140, if there were between 2 and 12 combined runs scored in his last start.

CHOICE TREND:

The Indians are 10-0 since September 23, 2004 as a favorite when they are off two one-run wins and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Jon Niese starts the Mets are 2-12 since April 20, 2012 after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $1239 when playing against.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- If the Kansas City Royals are to march to the top of the AL Central standings, they're going to have to have to break a few big streaks Detroit has going for them tonight. The Royals eight-game winning streak is their longest since reeling off nine straight in August, and their 11-8 victory last night against Justin Verlander was their first win against the division bully in six games this season.

At the beginning of the month, the Royals trailed Detroit by 6.5 games, but the combination of winning 11 of their last 13 games and the Tigers going 5-9 has Kansas City one-half game behind Detroit in the division. With a Royals win tonight, the Tigers will be bumped from the top of the standings for the first time all season.

The Royals have their work cut out for them, though. Detroit has won their past 13 home games behind Max Scherzer (8-2, 3.05 ERA), with Scherzer going 10-0 with a 2.38 ERA over that stretch. They've also won his last nine starts against the Royals with Scherzer getting credit for the win in five of those while posting a 2.53 ERA.

Scherzer continued his mastery over the Royals in the season opening series when he went eight shutout innings, striking out seven, in a 2-1 extra innings Tigers win. In his last start Thursday at the White Sox, Scherzer had the first complete-game shutout of his career in a 4-0 win which saved the Tigers from being swept.

While Verlander continues to have issues and has been part of the reason for the Tigers' June swoon (19 runs allowed in 18.2 innings, three losses), Scherzer has been brilliant. The Tigers have gone 10-4 behind the reigning Cy Young award winner, giving bettors a +4.6 unit profit margin. He's been favored in 12 of his 14 starts and the only time he was a short underdog, the Tigers won both of those games. Tonight he's a -147 favorite over Yordano Ventura (4-5, 3.20).

Ventura has had a high pitcher rating all season, despite the Royals only posting a 5-7 record behind him this season. Tonight's game will only be the third time he has been an underdog, and in those two games, it was only EVEN money. Against Scherzer, he's getting a season-high +137.

While Scherzer's 13-game home streak is an impressive and daunting one to go against, Ventura comes in having strung together two consecutive wins for the first time. Kansas City had lost all five of his May starts. In those two games, he only had four strikeouts combined over 13 innings, but his command of the fastball was the best the team has seen all season while beating Michael Wacha and the Cardinals, 3-2, last week and Trevor Bauer and the then-hot Indians, 4-1, on Wednesday.

After struggling the first two months in the power department with only 24 homers, the Royals have gone deep 12 times in the first 14 games of June. In April, they hit .264 and average four runs a game. In May, they hit .246 and averaged 3.7 runs a game, but in June they have hit .288 and averaged 5.5 runs a game.

Scherzer is not a pitcher bettors typically want to mess around with, especially coming off a shutout and having a long line of success at home and also over the Royals, but Kansas City's current form along with Ventura realizing he doesn't have to strikeout everyone makes taking +137 attractive.

Tuesday selections:

Royals (Ventura) +137 at Tigers

Giants (Cain) -119 at White Sox

Astros (Keuchel) +124 at Nationals

Twins (Hughes) +140 at Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Royals at Tigers

Probable Pitchers:
KC: Ventura (4-5, 3.20 ERA)
DET: Scherzer (8-2, 3.05 ERA)

Series recap: The Royals finally beat the Tigers for the first time in six meetings this season, outlasting Detroit, 11-8 on Monday night. Kansas City built an 11-2 lead before Detroit scored six runs in the ninth inning to make things interesting. The Royals cashed as +130 underdogs, while winning their season-high eighth straight game.

What to watch for: Kansas City has won seven consecutive contests against AL Central opponents, while hitting the ‘over’ in each of the past four games overall. The Tigers own an impressive 10-1 record in home Game 2’s of a series this season, while Detroit has compiled a perfect 6-0 record at Comerica Park when Scherzer takes the mound.

Giants at White Sox

Probable Pitchers:
SF: Cain (1-4, 3.84 ERA)
CHW: Danks (5-5, 4.17 ERA)

Previous series recap: Both these clubs were swept at home this past weekend, as each squad lost in different fashions. The Giants blew several late leads against the Rockies, including two defeats in the ninth inning. The White Sox allowed 22 runs to the Royals in the three losses, while riding a four-game losing streak.

What to watch for: San Francisco was rolling along prior to this current 1-6 stretch, while cashing the ‘over’ in five consecutive contests. The Giants have won seven of their last 10 games on the highway, as San Francisco looks to improve on a 3-1 mark in Cain’s past four starts. The Sox are 9-3 in home series openers this season, while Danks is 2-0 in his last two starts, both in the underdog role.

Rangers at Athletics

Probable Pitchers:
TEX: Darvish (7-2, 2.11 ERA)
OAK: Milone (4-3, 3.47 ERA)

Series recap: The road team continues to dominate between these AL West rivals, improving to 7-0 in seven matchups this season as the Rangers blasted the Athletics, 14-8 to cash as +160 underdogs last night. Texas is a perfect 4-0 at O.Co Coliseum this season, while the Rangers scored double-digit runs on the road for the fifth time in 2014.

What to watch for: The Rangers send out their ace tonight as Darvish has won each of his last four starts, while Texas owns a 5-0 record in his five road outings. The A’s have won seven of their past eight games off a loss, while Oakland is riding a five-game winning streak in Milone’s previous five trips to the mound.

Rockies at Dodgers

Probable Pitchers:
COL: Chacin (1-4, 4.53 ERA)
LAD: Greinke (8-3, 2.65 ERA)

Series recap: Colorado’s five-game winning streak came to a halt last night, falling at Los Angeles, 6-1 in its series opener. The Rockies had captured four of their past five meetings at Chavez Ravine prior to Monday’s defeat, while seeing their modest three-game hot streak on the road coming to an end. The Dodgers improved to 5-1 in their last six home series openers.

What to watch for: Los Angeles has seen ups and downs at home, posting a 3-9 record in its last 12 games at Dodger Stadium off a win. Greinke looks to get on track tonight as the Dodgers have lost each of his last three trips to the mound, including a 5-4 setback at Coors Field in extra innings earlier this month. Since going 0-6 in his first six starts this season, the Rockies have on each of Chacin’s last two outings, including an impressive seven-inning scoreless effort against the Braves in his last start.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

10* MLB Personal Favorite!

Detroit Tigers ML -142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had the splits on Monday winning with $25 on USA +$200/Ghana and losing with $25 on the draw +$240.

"Mr Chalk" had Np on Monday.

E&b lost all his future golf wagers this weekend and was -$80.

(1) Phil Rory (L)

(2) Lee Westwood (L)

(3) Keegan Bradley (L)

(4) Jordan Speith (L)

(5) Jason Daily (L)

(6) Ricky Fowler (L)

(7) Jimmy Walker (L)

For Tuesday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$145/Royals.

E&B have Np for Tuesday.

Ben lee is 1-8 -$55 for week thirty four 147-175-5 -$3348

"Mr Chalk" is 31-30 -$750 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOM BARTON

3* Cincinnati Reds -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (World Cup Soccer)

7* MEX vs BRA – OVER 2.5 (-140)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Triple Dime bet – Detroit Tigers ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Tuesday, June 17, 2014 Opening Line Report

Rest in peace Hall of Famer Tony Gwynn. The greatest contact hitter I ever saw and Mr. Padre passed away at the way-too-young age of 54 on Monday from a battle with salivary gland cancer. He caught the disease because he often used chewing tobacco, so hopefully that’s a lesson to others. Gwynn won eight NL batting titles, and I really thought he would hit .400 in 1994. He may have had the players not cut the season short due to a strike. It’s still the highest single-season average since Ted Williams batted .406 in 1941. I’m sure parks all around baseball will be having a moment of silence for Gwynn this week. The Padres return home Wednesday. Here’s a look at five interesting matchups on the schedule Tuesday.

Giants-White Sox (+108, 8.5)

San Francisco thinks it will have both catcher Buster Posey and outfielder Angel Pagan for this game. Posey was lifted from Sunday’s game after a hard foul tip of his mask. He passed a concussion test. Because the Giants have the DH for this series it wouldn’t surprise me to see him there. Pagan was a late scratch Sunday with a back issue. Matt Cain gets the call for the Giants. Cain (1-4, 3.84) lasted only five innings last time out, allowing four runs in a loss to Washington. Not many White Sox have faced him. Adam Dunn is 6-for-20 with two home runs. Lefty John Danks goes for the Pale Hose. Danks (5-5, 4.17) has been tremendous over his past four starts with a 1.55 ERA.

Key trends: The Giants have won seven straight interleague games. Chicago is 1-7 in its past eight interleague games against righty starters. The “under” is 6-0 in San Francisco’s past six interleague road games.

Early lean: Danks finally looks like he did before Tommy John surgery, so he’s the pick.



Astros-Nationals (-125, 7)

Every time I think Washington is going to run away with the NL East, the Nats go on a slide. They enter this one having lost four straight, but those were all away from home. Tanner Roark looks to get things turned around in Tuesday’s series opener. Roark (5-4, 2.92) has won two straight starts, allowing just two runs and 10 hits over 14 innings. He has never faced Houston. The Astros counter with their ace Dallas Keuchel (8-3, 2.38). The lefty also has won two straight, allowing just a run and nine hits over 14 innings. Only a few Nationals have faced him. Ryan Zimmermann is 2-for-3 with two RBIs off him.

Key trends: The Astros have won their past six on the road when Keuchel starts. Washington is 9-2 in its past 11 after an off day. The Nats are 10-1 in the past 11 meetings.

Early lean: “Under” at -110.



Blue Jays at Yankees (-166, 8)

OK, finally, New York’s Masahiro Tanaka will face a good offense for the second time. It hasn’t happened yet this season because I don’t consider the Cubs a good offense. Tanaka (10-1, 2.02) has been brilliant overall. He made his big-league debut on April 4 in Toronto, allowing three runs (tied for his second-most) and six hits over seven innings. Melky Cabrera homered off him. Marcus Stroman starts for Toronto. Stroman (3-1, 5.18) has yet to face the Yankees. He has had a quality start in all three of his big-league starts.

Key trends: The Jays have won eight of their past 10 series openers. The “under” has hit in eight of Toronto’s nine against a righty starter. The “under” is 5-1 in Tanaka’s past six.

Early lean: I think the Jays beat Tanaka. The Yankees also don’t know Stroman.



Rangers at A’s (-102, 7)

This had been the lowest total on the board, opening at six, before late movement up. No surprise it opened at six considering that Yu Darvish is pitching for the Rangers. Darvish (7-2, 2.11) has won four straight starts, allowing a combined six runs while striking out 36. He has struggled against the A’s, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts. Coco Crisp (.368, one HR, seven RBIs) and Brandon Moss (.350, four HRs, six RBIs) hit him well. It’s lefty Tommy Milone (4-3, 3.47) for Oakland. The A’s have won his past five outings. He faced Texas in April and allowed three runs over six innings. Adrian Beltre is a career .412 hitter with two homers off him.

Key trends: The Rangers have lost seven straight Tuesday games. But they are 6-0 Darvish’s past six on the road. Texas is 1-7 in Darvish’s past eight against Oakland.

Early lean: It appears the A’s have Darvish’s number, but he’s too good of value at only -108 to pass up.



Rockies at Dodgers (-180, 7)

With so many injuries, I was ready to bury the Rockies before they went into San Francisco and swept three games this weekend. However, they are the biggest dogs on the board Tuesday against the Dodgers’ Zack Greinke (8-3, 2.65). He had one of his worst outings of the year on June 7 in Colorado, giving up four runs and a season-high 11 hits over seven innings. Carlos Gonzalez hits him well, but he’s one of those Rockies on the DL. It’s Jhoulys Chacin (1-4, 4.53) for the Rockies. He blanked the Braves on two hits over seven innings last Thursday for his fist win. He also pitched June 7 against L.A., allowing three runs over six innings. Andre Ethier is 12-for-29 career with a homer and 10 walks off Chacin.

Key trends: Colorado is 1-7 in Chacin’s past eight Game 2s of a series. The Dodgers are 17-4 in Greinke’s past 21 at home. The Rockies are 4-1 in Chacin’s past five in L.A.

Early lean: Take L.A. at +110 on the runline. Forget that past Greinke start against the Rockies. Coors Field will do that to even the best.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

20* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -125

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 8 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION:
MILWAUKEE BREWERS -115
(Lohse/Miley)

The Brewers are a better baseball from top to bottom. They have the better hitting team which is great against left handers, the better starting pitcher and the better bullpen. At pretty much even money I like our chances to win the game tonight. Take Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (WNBA)

3-Unit play. #653. Take Under 159.5 – Minnesota vs. Los Angeles (Tuesday @ 10:30pm est)



INDIAN COWBOY (MLB)

3* Tampa Bay Rays -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

TOP PICKS
(906) Miami +110
(919) Minnesota +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

TUESDAY BASEBALL




Play Miami +100 over Chicago Cubs----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST


Jeff Samadzija has lost 30 of the last 43 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has lost 24 of the last 39 road games. Jeff Samadzija has lost 28 of the last 46 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he has lost two of the last three games with an ERA of 7.87.





Play Minnesota +150 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:15 PM EST


Phil Hughes has won 8 of the last 10 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has won 7 of the last 9 games coming off a team loss. Phil Hughes has won 8 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 5-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.02.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Indians - INDIANS TO WIN (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker vs Tomlin
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
The Indians beat Weaver and the Angels 4-3 last night in the series opener to get their first win vs the Angels of the year. Cleveland has now won 3 straight games , while the Angels have lost 2 straight and 4 of their last 5 games. The Angels will send Matt Shoemaker to the mound and he is 3-1 with a 4.19 ERA, .254 OBA and 1.22 WHIP on the year. The Indians will have him facing a lot of lefties tonight and lefties are hitting .316 against him (comapred to righties at .164). Cleveland will go with Josh Tomlin on the mound who is 4-3 with a solid 3.33 ERA, .236 OBA and 1.07 WHIP. At home he is 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA, 1.90 OBA and 0.89 WHIP. The Indians are 12-5 in their last 17 games overall, 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win and 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs a right handed starter. They are also 19-9 in Tomlin's last 28 home starts and 16-5 in his last 21 starts as a home favorite. Los Angeles is just 2-8 in their last 10 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. I'm taking Cleveland here at home to win their 4th straight game.


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals - UNDER 7 RUNS (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Keuchel vs. Roark
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
After a quick 5-0 lead for the Mariners, the offenses got cool in a hurry, as it wasn't until the top of the 9th where the Padres made it 5-1 for the next run. It wasn't easy, but the bet gets cashed. I locked my bet in at +122 yesterday as the price continued to rise, but it will stay at -107 since I sent it out as such.
Dallas Keuchel is one of the best kept secrets in baseball. After his dominating performance against the Tigers about a month ago I began to take notice. Since that start Keuchel has rolled right along putting together excellent performances. He shut the Tigers down at home, and has actually shut every team he's faced on the road down. His ERA away from home is 1.42, matched with a perfect 6-0 record. Additionally, Keuchel has an OBP of .223 and a .083 WHIP. His last three starts have been stellar as well, posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. In his last two he's only allowed 1 run and 9 hits. There are several young standouts on the Astros that they can build their future on, Keuchel is one of them. He'll be up against another new found standout on the Nationals, Tanner Roark. Roark made only 5 starts last season, but he made well on all of them, completing 2013 with a 1.51 ERA. It has carried over to this season, where Roark owns an ERA of 2.92 over 83.1 innings pitched. He also favors pitching at home in Washington. His numbers at home include a 1.55 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, and .275 OBP. Like Keuchel, Roark has been hot as well recently. He's only allowed 10 hits in his last two starts. His ERA stands at 1.29 over his past three with a 0.90 WHIP and .235 OBP. Look for the pitchers to take command of this game. A game that should

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BeatYourBookie

TUESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami +100 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 36-69 when the total posted is 7 runs or less the last three seasons
Chicago is 18-39 when playing on a Tuesday the last three seasons
Chicago is 14-25 in road games this season


10* Play San Diego +130 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Seattle is 52-65 in home games the last two seasons
Seattle is 15-29 after allowing one run or less in their last game
Seattle is 5-13 when playing on a Tuesday this season


=============================================

5* Play Minnesota +150 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Arizona +100 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play LA Dodgers -180 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Jhoulys Chacin has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching as an underdog of +150 or higher and he has lost 14 of the last 22 games when pitching on a Tuesday.Jhoulys Chacin has lost 34 of the last 57 road games and he has lost 17 of the last 24 road games.

================================================== ===



50* Play Atlanta -150 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St Louis -150 over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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GOODFELLA

2* SEATTLE MARINERS ML

(Listed Pitchers)

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Jeff Clement

10* Detroit -150

8* LA Angels -101

MLB Underdog of the Day Minnesota +135

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Doc's Sports

3-unit Play Take #927 Houston Astros (+125) over Washington Nationals

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Robert Ferringo

3-Unit Play. Take #912 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +130) over Colorado

1-Unit Play. Take #901 Cincinnati (-120) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #905 Chicago Cubs (-120) over Miami (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 17)
1-Unit Play. Take #909 Milwaukee (-115) over Arizona (9:40 p.m., Tuesday, June 17)

Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Tuesday, June 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.0 Kansas City at Detroit (8 p.m., Tuesday, June 17) (http://www.customcappers.com/forum/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=404871)

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Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #922. Take Tampa Bay -110 over Baltimore (Tuesday @ 7:10pm est)

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

MIN/BOS UN 8.5
NYM/STL UN 7.5

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Spartan

Cincy

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Dave Essler

Milwaukee

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Tampasports

baltimore m.line best bet
seattle m.line
minny/boston under total -8.5

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 6/17

MLB Baseball

Detroit Tigers -152 over the Kansas City Royals
(Money Line Bet)
Overall Record: 272-245
(System Record: 272-13, Lost last game)

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

New York Mets / St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7½ (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:15 PM EST

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Sports Picks Portfolio

Mariners -135
Reds -125

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Doc's Sports

3-unit Play Take #927 Houston Astros (+125) over Washington Nationals

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Umpire Streakers (Gil)
• [910] ARI/MIL O9 (+100)
• [914] CLE/LAA U9 (-105)
• [920] BOS/MIN U8 (+105)
• [922] TB/BAL U7.5 (+100)

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magic mike picks

Milwaukee . Braves over. Toronto.
Over Indiana .
Russia and over 2

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Gabriel Dupont

100 dime Cleveland Indians ML

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Steve Budin

50 dime Los Angeles Dodgers RL

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SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

San Fran @ CHICAGO

San Fran/CHICAGO over 8½ -120

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 1.67)

John Danks is 3-2 at U.S Cellular Field with an ERA of 2.96. How can that be? This is an extreme hitter’s park but Danks has somehow found a way to keep his ERA under 3. It can’t last. Back in the day, you could count on Danks for double-digit wins and an ERA under 4.00. Unfortunately, he last met those benchmarks in 2010. More recently, Danks missed a year with a shoulder injury, and hasn’t pitched well when he’s been on the mound.Danks is not the same pitcher he was before the injury. After struggling in his abbreviated 2012 season, his control returned to normal but even that is trending the wrong way this season. Unfortunately, his strikeout rate did not. He used to dominate LH hitters, but that hasn’t been the case the past 2+ years. Danks has yet to recover his pre-injury velocity; while his average fastball was 91.7 mph in those days, he was at 89.3 last year and is at 88 MPH this year. In 82 frames, Danks has an awful BB/K split of 32/58. Danks 1.32 WHIP, 40% groundball rate, low K rate and increasing walk rate is not the profile of a pitcher with an ERA under 3. Regression in Danks’ ERA is inevitable.

Matt Cain is very similar in that he, too, could be counted on for consistently and double-digit wins. This season Cain has experienced a steep skills erosion. Cain has walked 23 batters and struck out 46 in 59 innings. In his last start, Cain walked five and struck out four. His swing and miss rate has never been lower and now sits at 7%. In 10 starts this season, Cain has just three pure quality starts. What’s even more troubling is that a tiny 19% hit rate with runners on base has prevented further damage. Don't expect him to be able to sustain a sub-4 ERA. In the end, we have two recognizable pitchers with misleading ERA’s. Both starters are showing no signs of turning things around and both these teams are very capable of putting up crooked numbers. The venue, the starters, the bullpen and the weather conditions all favor the over and that’s the way we’re playing it.


Minnesota @ BOSTON

Minnesota +142 over BOSTON

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.84)

Jon Lester is 7-7 with an ERA of 3.33 after 14 starts. His surface stats are rather decent but his under the hood stats are showing signs of a collapse. Lester’s WHIP is 1.27, which is worse than the league average and his WHIP over his last five starts is much worse at 1.60. Lester’s cutter is no longer a reliable pitch (batters are mashing a 1.056 OPS against it) and the result is a declining batted ball profile of 40% groundballs, 24% line-drives and 36% fly-balls. Lester has thrown a lot of innings and a lot of pitches this season. His K rate is higher but it comes at the expense of more pitches per batter. Lester’s pitch counts in his first seven games were 104, 108, 113, 112, 118, 122 and 119. In his last start against the Tribe he threw 109 pitches and two starts ago he threw 112. Lester is being left in there a little too long and the fatigue and wear and tear on his arm is beginning to show. Pitching for a struggling Red Sox offense that scored one run on Kevin Correia last night and that has scored two runs or less in six of their last eight games, Lester and the Red Sox are way overpriced in this one.

The Phil Hughes narrative this past offseason was one of cautious optimism—not just that moving out of Yankee Stadium (and the AL East) would benefit him, but that his new home, Target Field, was ideally suited to his skill set. Is his 2014 improvement really that simple, or is there more to it?It doesn't take a deep dive into the world of advanced metrics to figure out what is driving Hughes' improvement this year. First, he has solved his gopheritis problem, while spiking his already-strong command into the stratosphere. The season-long numbers are impressive, but the scope of the improvement might be best represented in his game log. His first start of the season, in homer-friendly Chicago, looked like the same old Hughes: great command but done in by the HR ball. Not to venture too deep into psycho-analysis, but you can almost read the game log from there and imagine what Hughes experienced over the next few weeks. From Chicago, he went home to spacious Target Field for the first time and didn't allow a HR in either of his first two starts there. Armed with that confidence boost, he ventured to also-spacious Kansas City, and got his first win in a blowout. (Note: the HR he allowed that night was to Alcides Escobar, in the bottom of the 7th inning when Hughes had an 8-1 lead. As HR’s go, this one was about as inconsequential as you'll find.)

At that point, it looked like Hughes finally realized that he wasn't pitching in Yankee Stadium or the AL East anymore. In his six subsequent starts after Kansas City, Hughes pitched at home four times, at Petco (SD) and Comerica (Det) Parks once apiece. All pitcher-friendly venues to be sure, but venue alone can't account for all of his transformation. He has turned into a strike-throwing, hitter-challenging machine. And he's been consistently winning those challenges.Hughes has swapped his slider for more four-seam fastballs and cutters. His four-seam fastball has generated a high 11% swing and miss rate, the highest swinging strike rate against that pitch at any time in his career. Hughes is throwing all of his pitches effectively, he’s changing speeds and most importantly, he has his confidence back. In 13 starts covering 82.1 frames, Hughes has a remarkable BB/K split of 8/72. He has not walked a single batter in eight of his last nine starts and he’s surrendered three runs or less in nine of his past 10 starts. It’s now time to ditch your previous frustrations with Hughes and get on board because the dramatic improvement in his skills is not luck driven.


Kansas City @ DETROIT

Kansas City +138 over DETROIT

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.76)

Yordano Ventura is 4-5 with a 3.20 ERA after 12 starts and 70 innings. Ventura is a little guy with a big arm (fastball touches 100 mph) with secondary offerings that are still something of a work-in-progress. No question he has top-of-rotation potential and if he really is figuring out control as quickly as his numbers suggest, he could get there quickly. Ventura has an elite groundball rate of 52% and his xERA of 3.45 is right in line with his actual ERA. That said, this one is more about riding the red-hot Royals.

After scoring 11 times last night, Kansas City has scored 56 runs over their nine-game winning streak. Six of the eight runs the Royals allowed last night came in the ninth inning when they took an 11-2 lead into the final frame and sent out mop-up man Donnie Joseph to mop it up. The Royals are hitting everyone and everything and we’ll put that to the test again against Max Scherzer. Scherzer is almost always in the price range of an elite pitcher after his breakout in 2013. He has posted outstanding skills in consecutive seasons and his command trend over the last four years has been excellent. That said, there are reasons not to back him when he’s a high price. He has never thrown 200+ IP in consecutive seasons. His fly-ball trend is heading in the wrong direction and that can be seen in his fly-ball rates in 2012, 2013 and 2014 of 39%, 41%, and now 45% this season. It gets worse too. Over his last five starts, Scherzer has one of the worst groundball/fly-ball splits of any starter in baseball (27%/54% - GB%/FB%). Over that span he has an ERA of 5.09 and an xERA of 4.42. Yes, he’s striking out a lot of batters but the Royals strike out the least often in the league. We can't expect that his previous mechanical problems won't sabotage his results again. Scherzer has struggled with maintaining a consistent arm slot in the past and while he was able to overcome that in 2013, it is risky to assume that he has put those issues behind him. He’s good, but there are some warning signs and the Royals are playing too well to ignore taking back a tag like the one offered here.

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TAPINSPORTS

MLB

2 Unit Milwaukee Brewers -118

2 Unit Minnesota Twins +145

2 Unit Baltimore Orioles +104

2 Unit San Francisco Giants -122

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Highrollersportspicks

Cincinnati Reds-115

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Andre Gomes

World Cup DOUBLE DIME Play *6PM EST

Under 2.5 Russia/korea

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: San Francisco -120 vs Chicago AL

Tuesday 6/17 Service Plays

MLB

5***** Atlanta RL -1.5 +125

Seattle RL -1.5 +165

Detroit -150

NY Yankees RL -1.5 +125

Boston RL -1.5 +140

LA Dodgers RL -1.5 +130

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Scotty Shiller

MLB

2* St. Louis Cardinals -162

2* New York Yankees -175

5* Under 8 +100 Houston Astros/Washington Nationals

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Scotty Shiller

World Cup

1* Russia ML -120

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Larry Ness

Legend

Russia

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Gordon24

$400 Play

San Francisco Giants -120

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VEGAS RUNNER

Confirmed WNBA TRUE Steam

CONNECTICUT ML -160

UNDER 159 – MIN/LA

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The Shadow Sports Syndicate

MLB:

Atlanta
Yankees
Detroit

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Primetime Insiders


3* Plays


Miami +107


DeSclafani takes the mound against Samardzija as Turner moves to the bullpen. It may be hard to back an unproven pitcher vs Samardzija who is arguably one of the best in baseball but we are making the play. Our system likes the spot and the Marlins tonight at home. DeSclafani has only started two games and owns a record of 1-1 and an ERA north of 5.5. Our system she DeSlafani as very undervalued and a good play tonight. DeSclafani is very dependent on the fastball and slider as he throws these pitches on 94% of his pitches and should lead to some success against one of the worst slider hitting teams in baseball. One of Jeff's two wins came against the Marlins back on June 7th. According to our system, Jeff is a little over valued and should have trouble holding the Marlins to two runs like on June 7th. Our system believes the Marlins should be favored in this contest and loves the value of getting them as a dog.


Texas and Oakland Over 7


It might be tough to take the over in any game that Darvish is pitching in but we believe this game sails over the total hitting close to 9 runs. Both pitchers are coming off very strong starts with Darvish's first career shutout and Milone allowing 1 run over 6 2/3 however both are due for a regression as both pitches especially Milone are due for a rough night. Our system shows both pitchers being overvalued specifically Milone. The A's have always roughed up Darvish and we think he gets charged with at least 2 or 3 runs while Milone will be lucky to get a quality start. Like mentioned before we see this total heading over 9 easily.


2* Plays


Seattle -133


Texas -112


Philadelphia and Atlanta Under 7.5


1* Plays


LAA +102


Houston +124


Detroit -153


Baltimore +106


Minnesota and Boston Under 8


Milwaukee and Arizona Under 9


Colorado and LAD over 6.5

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Mike Shuttlesworth


Triple Star Cleveland Indians -106

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John Ryan

Pittsburgh

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King Creole

Boston Under 8.5

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J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

(906) Miami +105
(907) NY Mets +150
(915) Toronto +160 (Play of the Day)
(917) Kansas City +140
(919) Minnesota +150
(924) Oakland +105
(927) Houston +130

*Listed Pitchers

It’s an unusually big card for a Tuesday but the value and perfect trends are there to support all.

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Vegas Runner
Under 7 -125 Cubs/Marlins

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SharpAngles

MLB First 5 Inning Plays

Over Reds/Pirates
Under Brewers/Diamondbacks
Over Rockies/Dodgers
Under Angels/Indians
Under Yankees/Blue Jays
Over Tigers/Royals
Over Rays/Orioles
Over Rangers/A's
Under Giants/White Sox

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SharpAngles - MLB First 5 Inning Plays 6-17-14 ML

Reds
Brewers
Rockies
Angels
Blue Jays
Royals
Rangers
Giants

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Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides

#903: Phillies: +155 2*
Listed Pitchers: Kendrick / Santana

#915: Blue Jays: +160 .5*
Listed Pitchers: Stroman / Tanaka


Totals

#913/914: Over Indians: 9.0 (-115) 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker / Tomlin

#927/928: Over Nationals: 7.0 (-110) 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Keuchel / Roark

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Sheep

927 Over 7.5 Hou/Wash open order* $1000
928 Wash -145 $1000
905 Under 7 Chc/Mia $1000
913 Over 9 Laa/Cle $1000