5-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Pacers at Heat

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-6.5, 183)

Miami leads series 3-2.

LeBron James is coming off the worst playoff performance of his career but the Miami Heat are still in control of the Eastern Conference finals. James and the Heat will attempt to close out the Indiana Pacers when they host Game 6 on Friday. James was plagued by foul trouble and played only 24 minutes in Game 5, managing a playoff career-low seven points on 2-of-10 shooting while Paul George dominated for the Pacers.

George scored 31 of his 37 points in the second half, including 21 in the fourth quarter, as Indiana overcame a rough first half and earned a 93-90 victory at home in Game 5. “The light needs to be on green for all of us,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “You need to go. You need to attack. You need to be aggressive. Paul took it and ran with it and took it to a crazy level.” Even with James off the floor half the game the Heat still had a chance in the final moments thanks to some strong 3-point shooting and a second straight big game from center Chris Bosh.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Miami opened as a 6.5-point favorite and jumped to as high as -7 before money took the spread back to -6.5. The total opened 183.5 and fell to 183 with action on the Under.

INJURY WATCH: Miami - Chris Anderson (Ques/thigh)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Miami was 13-3 in postseaason closeout games with the 'Big Three' until Wedneday's loss at Indiana. With LeBron James limited to just 24 minutes of playing time and scoring a playoff career-low seven points, expect an energized effort from the Heat in Game 6." - Covers Expert Marc Lawrence.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "After a playoff career first - five fouls in three quarters - and only seven points in 24 minutes due to that foul trouble, LeBron James and the Heat look to close out the Pacers and return to the Finals for the fourth straight year. We opened the Heat as 7-point favorites and all the early action came pouring in on the Heat. We have moved to -7.5 and continue to see Heat money at that number. So far 93 percent of the action is on the Heat." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE PACERS: George went 8-of-10 from the field in the fourth quarter and hit 3-pointers on back-to-back possessions late to give Indiana just enough cushion to hold off a late push from Miami. The All-Star forward got a break on the defensive end by not having to guard James most of the night. George does not expect things to come quite so easily in Game 6. “It’s going to be tough,” George told reporters. “We’re not expecting any of this to be easy, this whole trip. We’ve got to do one possession at a time down in Miami, and we can’t turn the ball over in Game 6. This Game 6 is going to be about performing like champions.”

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami does not need a lesson in playing like champions and is still on the verge of its fourth straight trip to the NBA Finals. James had more turnovers (three) than field goals in Game 5 but Rashard Lewis picked up some of the slack with six 3-pointers and the Heat still had a chance to win when James kicked a pass out to Bosh for a 3-pointer that failed to fall with 4.9 seconds left. “The game is reffed by the refs,” James told reporters. “They ref how they see it. We play it, and you live with the results.” Miami dominated Games 3 and 4 at home and is 7-0 this postseason in its own arena.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Pacers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 72 percent of action is on Miami -6.5 while 75 percent of bets are on Over 183.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/30/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Friday, 5/30/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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NBA Playoff Journal (May 29)
There have been 222 teams in NBA history to have fallen behind 3-1 in a best-of-seven series with just EIGHT of those teams (a 'whopping' 3.6%) coming back to win. The Pacers were well aware of that stat and probably also knew that in the LBJ/Wade/Bosh era (since 2011), the Heat were a PERFECT 7-0 in Game Five's when holding a 3-1 lead. Indiana got off to a good start, leading 22-16 after the first quarter but then scored only 11 points in the second quarter, while the Heat scored 26 to take a 42-33 halftime lead. It was 50-41 Miami with 6:56 left in the third quarter when the Pacers used an 11-0 run to take the lead. A 31-15 third quarter edge gave Indiana a 64-57 lead entering the 4th quarter.

The Pacers extended that lead to 77-66 but Miami responded with a 9-0 spurt to close within 77-75. It was tied at 81-all with 3:51 left but behind Paul George's 37-point effort (21 of those coming in the fourth quarter), the Pacers were able to edge the Heat 93-90, which will send this series back to Miami for a Game #6 on Friday night. George had six rebounds and six steals to go along with his 37 points plus also made just three turnovers. His frontcourt partners, David West and Roy Hibbert, also were very good. West added 19 & 9 and Hibbert, after playing 22 scoreless minutes in Game #4 (his FOURTH scoreless game of the 2014 postseason!), added 10 points and 13 rebounds. At this point, how can anyone make any sense out of Hibbert's game?

LeBron James was in big foul trouble early on and finished with just SEVEN points (on 2 of 10 shooting), the lowest scoring game of his entire playoff career. Chris Bosh had 20 & 10, while Dwyane Wade and Rashard Lewis each chipped in 18. Lewis made SIX of nine three-pointers in a head-scratching performance. This one-time star averaged 2.0 PPG versus Charlotte, 2.6 PPG against Brooklyn and in this series, didn't play at all in the first two games, then went scoreless (0 of 7 from the floor) in Games #3 and #4, BEFORE last night.

The win and cover by the home team Wednesday night makes them 8-1 straight-up and versus the number (89%) in this year's conference finals, after home teams had just barely won 50 percent of their games SU the first two rounds (38-34 or .528). Home teams were a woeful 27-43-3 ATS (that's 39.1%!) those first two rounds but have fought back to stand 46-35 (.568) for the postseason to-date, going 35-43-3 ATS (44.9% or minus-12.3 net games). Over players have had the best of it so far but Wednesday evening, under bettors caught a break, cashing by a half-point. Still, the tally since the start of the 2014 playoffs is 46 overs and 35 unders, a 56.8 percent edge favoring over bettors. "Zig-Zaggers" won with the Pacers Wednesday night and remain a "small winner" since the beginning, at 35-29-3 ATS (plus-3.1 net games).

It's Game #5 of the Western Conference finals Thursday at 9:00 PM EST on TNT, when the Oklahoma City Thunder visit San Antonio to take on the Spurs. The Spurs connected on 57.5 percent in Game #1 and 50.0 percent in Game #2, averaging 117.0 PPG. However, after shooting 39.6 percent in Game #3 (scored 97 points), the Spurs again shot poorly in Game #4 (39.8%) and scored even fewer points (92). The series is now tied at two-all. The Spurs have seen this 'nightmare' before. San Antonio won the first two games of the 2012 Western Conference finals against the Thunder, giving them an NBA record 20th consecutive victory bridging the regular season and the playoffs (16-3-1 ATS).

That wasn't all, as with that series shifting to the Chesapeake Energy Arena, the Spurs had won an amazing 37 of their previous 40 games, overall. However, the Thunder would win the next FOUR games, eliminating a San Antonio team which had looked nearly unbeatable! Is this "deja vu all over again?" The Spurs were cruising in the West finals in 2014 as well but that was before Thunder defensive wiz Serge Ibaka unexpectedly came back from a left calf strain. With renewed confidence and energy, Oklahoma City's youngsters have rolled past their veteran counterparts the last two games and the Spurs again face a VERY uncomfortable scenario.

They host Game #5 on Thursday evening in danger of falling behind 3-2. If they lose, they'll travel to Oklahoma City on Saturday where they've lost NINE straight games, facing elimination. Oklahoma City looks like a new team. The Thunder lost the first two games of this year's series by a combined 52 points, and a 112-77 loss in Game #2 left them embarrassed. Now, the Thunder appear to have things figured out. Oklahoma City played a more physical defensive style in Games #3 and #4 and used their length and athletic ability to disrupt the Spurs' normally precise offense. That sets the stage and the Spurs are favored by five points Thursday night (total is 206 1/2).
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Eastern Conference Finals

#521 INDIANA @ #522 MIAMI
(TV: 8:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Heat -7, Total: 183) - LeBron James is coming off the worst playoff performance of his career but the Miami Heat are still in control of the Eastern Conference finals. James and the Heat will attempt to close out the Indiana Pacers when they host Game #6 on Friday night. James was plagued by foul trouble and played only 24 minutes in Game #5, managing a playoff career-low seven points on 2-of-10 shooting while Paul George dominated for the Pacers.

George scored 31 of his 37 points in the second half, including 21 in the fourth quarter, as Indiana overcame a rough first half and earned a 93-90 victory at home in Game #5. “The light needs to be on green for all of us,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “You need to go. You need to attack. You need to be aggressive. Paul took it and ran with it and took it to a crazy level.” Even with James off the floor half the game the Heat still had a chance in the final moments thanks to some strong 3-point shooting and a second straight big game from center Chris Bosh.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (66-34 SU, 47-52-1 ATS): George went 8-of-10 from the field in the fourth quarter and hit 3-pointers on back-to-back possessions late to give Indiana just enough cushion to hold off a late push from Miami. The All-Star forward got a break on the defensive end by not having to guard James most of the night. George does not expect things to come quite so easily in Game #6. “It’s going to be tough,” George told reporters. “We’re not expecting any of this to be easy, this whole trip. We’ve got to do one possession at a time down in Miami, and we can’t turn the ball over in Game #6. This Game #6 is going to be about performing like champions.”

•ABOUT THE HEAT (65-31 SU, 46-48-2 ATS): Miami does not need a lesson in playing like champions and is still on the verge of its fourth straight trip to the NBA Finals. James had more turnovers (three) than field goals in Game #5 but Rashard Lewis picked up some of the slack with six 3-pointers and the Heat still had a chance to win when James kicked a pass out to Bosh for a 3-pointer that failed to fall with 4.9 seconds left. “The game is reffed by the refs,” James told reporters. “They ref how they see it. We play it, and you live with the results.” Miami dominated Games #3 and #4 at home and is 7-0 this postseason in its own arena.

•PREGAME NOTES: Pacers C Roy Hibbert and G Lance Stephenson were fined for flopping in Game #5.... Miami F Chris Andersen (thigh contusion) missed the last two games and was limited in practice on Thursday.... George and F David West combined to score Indiana’s final 36 points in Game #5.... Indiana is 5-17 against the spread (22.7%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Heat are 10-19 versus the spread (34.4%) after 2 or more consecutive overs, and 1-8 ATS (0.11%) after a game where they made 12 or more three-point shots this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections.(Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 504 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 465 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI won the game straight up 682 times, while INDIANA won 297 times. In 1000 simulated games, 506 games went under the total, while 470 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the first half line 512 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 488 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 514 games went under first half total, while 450 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 47-41 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--INDIANA is 47-43 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--49 of 89 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--INDIANA is 48-41 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--49 of 89 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Pacers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
--Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.

--Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 0-7 ATS L7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Over is 4-0 in Pacers L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
--Heat are 4-0 ATS L4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Under - Any team versus the 1rst half line (MIAMI) - good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws against a good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season.
(516-380 since 1996.) (57.6%, +98.6 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.4, Opponent 45.4 (Total first half points scored = 91.8)

The situation's record this season is: (7-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-24).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (47-44).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blackhawks at Kings: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings (-127, 5)

After traveling a long and windy road to stave off elimination, the Chicago Blackhawks need to repeat the feat in Game 6 of the Western Conference final on Friday to keep alive their quest for back-to-back Stanley Cup titles. Veteran Michal Handzus burned his former team by scoring 2:04 into double overtime as Chicago snapped a three-game losing skid with a 5-4 triumph over the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday. "You see the momentum in this series, how it can shift," Patrick Kane said following his mammoth four-assist performance. "L.A.'s had a lot of it. I think it's our turn now to hold on to it and keep that momentum."

Chicago has struggled with packing momentum into a suitcase, winning just two of eight road games in the postseason. The Blackhawks dropped both contests at Staples Center in the series, losing a 4-3 decision in Game 3 before suffering a 5-2 setback two days later. "They're still do-or-die; we're still one win away from moving on," Los Angeles rookie Tanner Pearson said. "So I think it's going to be the same attitude going in. Hopefully, we come out with a victory."

TV: 9 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: After securing just one point in the first four contests, Kane adapted well as coach Joel Quenneville shuffled up his line with his team facing elimination. The reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner was paired with Brandon Saad and Andrew Shaw in Game 5, and trio combined for nine points (one goal, eight assists). "I thought Saad and Shaw were effective (in Game 4) - Kane can add to the mix," Quenneville said. "They had a good couple of periods there, generated some zone time and chances and scored a nice goal."

ABOUT THE KINGS: Anze Kopitar recorded his league-leading 23rd point by notching an assist on Marian Gaborik's NHL-best 11th goal during the first period on Wednesday. The 26-year-old Slovenian has recorded at least one point in 16 of 19 games in the playoffs. As for Gaborik, his goal total trails only Hall-of-Famers Wayne Gretzky (15, 1993) and Luc Robitaille (12, 1991) for the most in franchise postseason history.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Blackhawks last nine road games.

OVERTIME:

1. Chicago has scored just one power-play goal on the road in 24 opportunities during the postseason.

2. Kings C Jeff Carter notched an assist on Pearson's goal midway through the second period on Wednesday. Both players are riding six-game point streaks.

3. Kane's four-assist effort was the team's first in a playoff contest since Steve Larmer in 1990.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kings-Hawks could go over for fifth-straight game
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

The Chicago Blackhawks and Los Angeles Kings are putting on an offensive clinic in the NHL Western Conference Final.

The last four games of the series have gone well over the projected total of five. The two squads put nine goals on the board in Game 5, seven in Game 4, seven in Game 3 and eight in Game 2.

The Kings have become an offensive juggernaut this post-season thanks to key additions like winger Marion Gaborik (11 goals, seven assists through 19 games). That combined with injured star Montreal goaltender Carey Price out for the series has equaled lots of scoring (and cash in the pockets of smart bettors) that doesn't appear to be slowing down anytime soon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Heat -7.5
Brewers(RL) -1.5(+141)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

No Limit Sports

#919 Baltimore -110 - - List Gonzalez/Oberholtzer

#923 Detroit -110 - - List Verlander/Iwakuma

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Teheran is 2-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 3-0, 3.98 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals won last four Wainwright starts (3-0, 0.87). Bumgarner is 4-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
-- ASU alum Leake is 0-2, 1.77 in his last five starts. Former Red Arroyo is 3-1, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett threw no-hitter Sunday; he is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

-- Vargas is 2-0, 3.65 in his last four starts. Happ is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three.
-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz is 3-1, 0.95 in four starts this season.
-- Iwakuma is 2-1, 1.74 in his last four starts.

-- Lewis is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three road starts.
-- Kluber is 3-0, 2.02 in his last five starts. Nicasio is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.43 in his last four starts. Mets are 0-3 when Montero starts (0-2, 4.96); this is his first road start.
-- Koehler is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
-- Estrada has a 5.16 RA in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 0-2, 6.93 in his last five starts.

-- Nolasco is 0-3, 5.58 in his last five starts. Nuno is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three.
-- Price is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Workman allowed three runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Oberholtzer is 1-3, 8.41 in his last four starts.
-- Richards is 0-1, 5.14 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 1-3, 5.92 in his last four starts.

-- Strasburg is 0-2, 3.43 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 4.82 in his last three starts. Danks is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three outings.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Montero 1-3; Burnett 4-11 (3 of last 3)
-- Teheran 2-11; Koehler 1-10
-- Wood 2-10; Estrada 3-10
-- Bumgarner 2-11; Wainwright 2-11
-- Leake 1-10; Arroyo 4-9
-- Liriano 4-11; Beckett 1-9

-- Nolasco 2-10; Nuno 3-7
-- Vargas 1-11; Happ 0-5
-- Price 5-11 (3 of last 3); Workman 0-1
-- Gonzalez 2-9; Oberholtzer 4-8
-- Richards 2-10; Pomeranz 0-4
-- Verlander 4-11; Iwakuma 0-5

-- Lewis 3-8; Strasburg 4-11
-- Nicasio 4-10; Kluber 3-11
-- Kennedy 3-11; Danks 3-10

Totals
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Atlanta road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over total.
-- 12 of last 15 Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Dodger home games went over; seven of last nine Pirate road games stayed under.

-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Bronx series openers.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.
-- 10 of last 13 Boston home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Baltimore road games went over.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Oakland home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games went over total.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Washington games.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox home games stayed under. Four of last five San Diego road games went over.


Hot teams
-- Mets won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee won six of its last eight home games.
-- Giants won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six home games.
-- Pittsburgh won six of its last nine games.

-- Bronx won four of its last five games.
-- Red Sox won their last four games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last eight home games.
-- Houston won its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.

-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last ten games.


Cold teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers are 7-11 in their last 18 home games.

-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost its last five away games.
-- Kansas City lost four of its last five games.
-- Orioles lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Oakland lost six of its last eight games.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last eleven games. Mariners are 5-7 in their last 12 home games.

-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games. Cleveland lost five of last six.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
-- Padres lost seven of their last ten games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pacers try to stay alive
Indiana (66-34) at Miami (65-31)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 6 - Miami leads series 3-2
Tip-off: Friday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line and Total: Miami -6.5, Total: 183

The Heat are eager to wrap up the Eastern Conference Finals against the Pacers in Game 6 in order to prevent a potential Game 7 on the road.

Miami was on the brink of advancing on Tuesday, but the club was unable to close out the series in Indiana. The Pacers gutted out a 93-90 victory despite being down big at times in the second half. The Heat are now 3-2 ATS in this series so far, and they are heading back home where they have dominated their opponent. Over the past three seasons, Miami is 12-2 SU (9-5 ATS) when hosting Indiana at American Airlines Arena. But over the past three seasons, the Pacers are 5-1 ATS when playing in a Game 6 in the playoffs. They are also 3-0 ATS this postseason when they are facing elimination in a series. They are, however, up against a Heat team that is 39-19 ATS when revenging a same-season loss against an opponent over the past three seasons.

Miami has not yet played in a series that has gone to the sixth game in these playoffs, but the club will certainly match the intensity of the Pacers as the extra rest heading into the NBA Finals would be crucial for their banged-up bunch. The Heat are hopeful that PF Chris Andersen (thigh) will make a return in order to provide them with some much-needed rim protection.

With the Pacers’ season on the line Tuesday, SF Paul George (23.0 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 4.4 APG, 1.8 SPG this series) came through with the biggest performance of his career. George had 37 points (15-of-28 FG, 5-of-14 threes), six rebounds and six steals in 45 minutes for Indiana with, 21 of his points coming in the fourth quarter alone. Indiana will definitely try to ride his hot hand in Game 6 by feeding him early and often. PF David West (16.2 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 3.4 APG this series) was also tremendous in Game 5, finishing with 19 points and nine rebounds in 41 minutes. West was excellent around the hoop and used his big body to muscle his way to the rim. West has been the steadiest presence in the starting lineup for the Pacers all series, and if he's not playing well in Game 6, his team has very little chance of advancing.

After a scoreless Game 5, C Roy Hibbert (11.4 PPG, 8.4 RPG this series) really stepped his game up, finishing with 10 points, 13 rebounds and one block in 38 minutes of play. Hibbert was at his best when the Pacers weren’t forcing the issue and feeding him the ball. He plays his best in the flow of the game, and his play on the pick-and-roll was one of the reasons Indiana climbed its way back into the contest. SG Lance Stephenson (14.6 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 5.8 APG, 1.2 SPG this series) had a solid effort, finishing with 12 points, five rebounds and five assists. He set the tone defensively for Indiana with two steals, and continues to make life tough on Miami.

The Heat were very close to ending the series on Wednesday, and they pretty much were without SF LeBron James (22.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 5.4 APG, 2.2 SPG this series), who was in foul trouble early in the game and finished with just seven points (2-of-10 FG) in 24 minutes. Miami can’t afford to have James in foul trouble in Game 6, or it could be packing its bags for Indiana again. The good news for the Heat is that James has been money in home playoff games this year with 27.1 PPG (57% FG, 39% threes), 6.9 RPG and 4.6 SPG. SG Dwyane Wade (21.2 PPG, 4.4 APG, 4.0 RPG, 1.6 SPG this series) really stepped up his total game up with James out. Wade finished with 18 points (7-of-14 FG, 2-of-3 threes), eight rebounds and seven assists in 40 minutes of play. Wade’s shooting from the outside was quite the surprise for Miami, and he will look to carry his momentum into Game 6.

PF Chris Bosh (14.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG this series) picked up where he left off in Game 4, shooting extremely confidently from the outside. Bosh finished with 20 points (9-of-21 FG), 10 rebounds, one block and two steals in 41 minutes. Miami will need to continue to get Bosh the ball to keep him in rhythm in Game 6. The club needs its big man to score, and over the past two games, he has done just that, averaging 22.5 PPG in 38.5 MPG. Miami also got an incredible performance on Wednesday out of SF Rashard Lewis (6.0 PPG, 2.3 RPG this series), who was scoreless in the series until Wednesday. Lewis played 31 minutes and had 18 points (6-of-9 threes) and four rebounds, shooting extremely well from the outside when Miami needed it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Blackhawks (46-21) at Kings (46-28)

Date: May 30, 2014 9:00 PM EDT

EL SEGUNDO, Calif. (AP) - Drew Doughty had just played more than 39 minutes in a double-overtime playoff game, and he still couldn't sleep on the Kings' flight back to Los Angeles.

The Western Conference finals have ascended to a new level of tension after the Blackhawks dodged Los Angeles' first attempt to eliminate them. Chicago trimmed its series deficit to 3-2 in an extra-time thriller in Game 5, while the Kings got a sleepless trip home.

Los Angeles gets another chance to advance in Game 6 on Friday night. While the Kings have been incredible in elimination games this spring, Doughty realizes they can't sleep on the opportunity before them at Staples Center.

'We know we can't let it go to a Game 7,' Doughty said Thursday at the Kings' training complex. 'No matter what, this game has to be ours. It's so important for us to advance to the Stanley Cup Final that we win this game. If we give them this game, they're going to have so much more life, and they're going to be a different team. We need to take that and deal with it.'

Doughty's fellow Kings largely agreed with the star defenseman's pointed declarations as they recovered from their worst defensive performance in 16 games. Jonathan Quick and the NHL's best defensive team gave up five goals to the Blackhawks, who survived despite Corey Crawford's fourth straight unimpressive effort in Chicago's net.

Los Angeles, which blew a lead heading to the third period for the first time this spring, has mostly downplayed the notion of payback for last season's conference finals loss to Chicago. But Doughty thinks it should be on the Kings' minds before what might be the defining game of their season.

'They know how to win,' Doughty said. 'We also know that they took our Cup back from us last year, so now it's our turn. We want to eliminate this team. They eliminated us last year, and it's our turn to return the favor. We need to go into Staples believing that we can eliminate this team, and do just that.'

While Doughty attempts to keep the Kings focused on Game 6, the Blackhawks intend to remember what got them off the canvas in Game 5 after the previous seven periods of the series were largely dominated by Los Angeles.

Before Game 5, the Blackhawks curiously insisted all the pressure in the series rested on the Kings, not the team facing three straight elimination games. Whether the facile psychological ploy helped or not, the champions still seem to think Los Angeles is the team in trouble.

'We want to stay with the mentality that we're putting all the pressure on them,' Chicago captain Jonathan Toews said before the club's flight to the West Coast. 'It's going to be tough for them to close it out and win that fourth game against us.'

But the road has been tough on the Blackhawks, who are just 2-6 away from home in the postseason. Chicago was outscored 9-5 and beaten convincingly twice at Staples Center in this series, showing little of the offensive potency that got them to this point.

Coach Joel Quenneville made another round of lineup adjustments to spark his team, and the Blackhawks had immediate success teaming Brandon Saad, Patrick Kane and Andrew Shaw on a new line for Game 5. Kane, a ghost for much of the series, contributed four assists.

'We have our backs against the wall here and face elimination, but we're staying relaxed,' said Saad, who had three points. 'We've been through it before, and it definitely helps. We've had success on the road before, and L.A. is definitely tough, but we're not going to let that end the season. We can't make any excuses whether we're playing at home or away.'

The Kings spent much of the past month avoiding playoff elimination, already winning six games with their season in the balance, so they can appreciate the Blackhawks' resilience. Chicago produced a three-goal first period and a third-period tying goal before Michal Handzus' overtime winner capped one of the most entertaining NHL postseason games in recent history.

Back home for Game 6, the Kings want their own defining victory.

'I think for the fans, it was unbelievable to watch,' said Marian Gaborik, who scored his 11th goal of a spectacular postseason. 'But for us, it wasn't the type of game we want to play. You know, trade chances, trade odd-man rushes.

'I think we're going to have a lot of energy (in Game 6). If we win, we can be in the Stanley Cup Final. That itself should give you plenty of energy.'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL playoffs

Kings didn't score for last 48:46 of Game 5, after scoring 18 goals in previous nine periods, with five power play goals; they're 5-3 at home in playoffs, winning last three, can end series here; LA won five of last seven games overall. Chicago is just 2-6 on road in playoffs; four of the eight games went to OT- they're 11-5 in last 16 games vs Kings but lost three of last four games. Kings are 30-19 overall at home this year; over is 11-5-4 in Los Angeles playoff games this spring. Chicago is 26-23 on road overall this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA playoffs

James scored seven points in 24:21 in Game 5, his worst-ever playoff game; he will come out very strong in this game, as Miami tries to avoid trip to Indy for decisive Game 7. Pacers outscored Heat 42-17 on foul line in their two series wins, were outscored 56-40 in three losses, by 4-12-12 points. Home side won 12 of last 13 Miami-Indiana games; Pacers lost first two series games here by 12 points each- eight of last 12 series games went over the total. Miami is 11-4 in playoffs, 7-1 at home; they're 9-5 as favorite in playoffs. Indiana is 10-8 in playoffs, 5-3 vs spread when they are getting points (0-3 in last three).


Over is 46-36 in playoffs this season, 4-6 in this round..
Favorites are 33-49 in playoffs this season, 9-1 in this round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Seattle Mariners +105

Braves -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play FRI:

Brewers -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Miami

The Heat look to bounce back from their 93-90 loss in Game 5 as they host a Pacers team that is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS victory. Miami is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 521-522: Indiana at Miami (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.432; Miami 129.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Washington

The Mystics host a New York team that is coming off a 70-64 win over Seattle and is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU victory. Washington is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.858; Washington 114.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5; 139
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2); Under


Game 653-654: Seattle at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 103.362; Atlanta 116.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 144
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Over


Game 655-656: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 113.145; Minnesota 116.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 159
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+9 1/2); Over


Game 657-658: Connecticut at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 107.914; Chicago 122.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 142 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8); Under


Game 659-660: Tulsa at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 104.598; Phoenix 118.604
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Los Angeles

The Blackhawks look to follow up their 5-4 win in Game 5 as they face a Kings team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+115). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 23-24: Chicago at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.559; Los Angeles 12.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at St. Louis

The Cardinals look to bounce back from yesterday's 6-5 loss to the Giants and come into tonight's contest with a 4-0 record in Adam Wainwright's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. St. Louis is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 30
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Montero) 14.273; Philadelphia (Burnett) 15.713
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under


Game 903-904: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.591; Miami (Koehler) 15.808
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over


Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.228; Milwaukee (Estrada) 16.868
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-160); Over


Game 907-908: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.640; St. Louis 16.198
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Under


Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.025; Arizona (Arroyo) 14.829
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+120); Under


Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.373; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.946
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Over


Game 913-914: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Nolasco) 16.660; NY Yankees (Nuno) 15.673
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125); Over


Game 915-916: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.344; Toronto (Happ) 16.802
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under


Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.768; Boston (Workman) 14.467
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Over


Game 919-920: Baltimore at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.576; Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.425
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Under


Game 921-922: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 14.924; Oakland (Pomeranz) 17.421
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-125); Under


Game 923-924: Detroit at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 17.283; Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.294
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over


Game 925-926: Texas at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 13.818; Washington (Strasburg) 14.778
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Over


Game 927-928: Colorado at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.368; Cleveland (Kluber) 15.973
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Under


Game 929-930: San Diego at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 15.089; White Sox (Danks) 15.151
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

10* Play Miami -7 over Indiana (Top NBA Play)

==================================


NHL HOCKEY



10* Play Chicago +125 over Los Angeles (Top NHL Play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Los Angeles Angels +120 over Oakland (MLB TOP PLAY)

Los Angeles is 49-34 when playing in the month of May the last three seasons
Los Angeles is 36-23 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons
Los Angeles is 85-66 when the line posted is between +125 to -125


10* Play Cincinnati +110 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati is 47-34 vs. NL West Division Opponents the last three seasons
Cincinnati is 47-32 when playing in the month of May the last three seasons
Cincinnati is 63-43 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs

=============================================

5* Play Kansas City +130 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +110 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

FRIDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Miami -7 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

Miami has won 39 of the last 48 home games and they have won 24 of the last 30 games when playing four or less games in ten days.Miami has won 37 of the last 53 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have won 20 of the last 27 games after covering the spread in two of the last three games.

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Chicago +125 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Milwaukee -150 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 67 of the last 103 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 17 of the last 22 games after getting shut-out in their last game.Chicago has lost 28 of the last 41 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 63 of the last 96 games when playing as a road underdog of +100 to +150.

================================================== ===



50* Play St. Louis -140 over San Francisco (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Washington -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY



Play Miami -7 over Indiana (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST


Miami has won 34 of the last 47 games coming off a road game and they have won 73 of the last 89 games when playing as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.Miami has won 35 of the last 41 home games when the total posted is between 180 and 189.5 points and they have won 57 of the last 76 games coming off two or more OVER the totals.

================================================== =======


NHL HOCKEY



Play Chicago +125 over Los Angeles (NHL)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL




Play Kansas City +130 over Toronto---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:10 PM EST


JA Happ has lost 21 of the last 35 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing and he has lost 10 of the last 17 games when pitching on a Friday. JA Happ has lost 31 of the last 53 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season and he has an ERA of 5.40 vs. Kansas City over his career.





Play Los Angeles Angels +120 over Oakland----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST


Garrett Richards has won three consecutive games when pitching on a Friday and he has won 13 of the last 19 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Garrett Richards has won 12 of the last 16 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he is 3-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 1.38.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Dodgers -140

100* Indians -145

50* Yankees -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | ATLANTA at MIAMI
Play On – Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
220-150 since 1997. ( 59.5% | 75.6 units )
3-6 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | COLORADO at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 62-32 (+34.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

The White Sox are playing some of their baseball of the season, winners of seven of their last 10 games and fresh off a sweep of the Indians. The White Sox will send John Danks (3-4, 4.90 ERA) to the mound to face off against the Padres Ian Kennedy (3-6, 3.59 ERA) Danks and Kennedy have both been up and down this season, but Danks is coming off a nice performance against the Yankees. The Padres haven’t been very good in interleague play. Some interesting trend lines show us that they are actually 1-4 in their last five IL games as a favorite. Conversely, the White Sox are 4-1 in their last five IL games as an underdog. We like the way that the White Sox are playing right now and Danks mechanics changes seemed to produce some positive results last time out. We are going to support the live home dog here. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB HOME COOKING
Seattle Mariners-110

This game features the 30-20 Tigers at the 26-27 Mariners. Public will be jumping over the chance to get Verlander at plus money but I think the better pitcher here today has been Hisashi Iwakuma who is 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA. This guy has been dominant and his team and him will be super up to face Verlander who has been a pedestrian 5-4 with a 4.04 ERA so take the great line and back the Mariners here for a big 15*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A routine grounder to short stop should have gave us a winner last night, but instead with two outs Reyes threw it in the dirt and the Royals tied the game and went on to win. Tough break there, but we are due for some good fortunes. I've got two small favorites today that I think hold some value...
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks - DIAMONDBACKS TO WIN (-113)
Listed Pitchers: Leake vs Arroyo
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.77 units)
The Dbacks are coming off a 4-0 win last night vs the Reds in which Josh Collmenter held Cincy to the minimum number of batters over 9 shutout innings. Tonight they send Bronson Arroyo to the mound hoping for similar results. Arroyo is 4-3 with a 4.15 ERA on the season, but has been much better this month going 3-1 with a 1.73 ERA, .231 OBA and 0.96 WHIP over 5 May Starts. The Reds counter with Mike Leake who has been great all year with a 2-4 record, 2.79 ERA, .235 OBA and 1.06 WHIP. Although he's been solid all season the Reds are just 3-7 when he makes the start. He has also had a rough career vs the Dbacks with a 2-0 record but 6.10 ERA. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last 6 games, 3-8 in Leake's last 11 road starts, and 1-6 in his last 7 starts overall. The Dbacks have won 5 of 7, are 5-1 in their last 6 home games, and 4-1 in Arroyo's last 5 starts. I'll take Arizona tonight at a nice price.
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners - MARINERS TO WIN (-113)
Listed Pitchers: Verlander vs Iwakuma
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.77 units)
These two teams will be meeting for the first time this season. The Tigers enter 30-20 on the season while the Mariners are 26-27 on the year. Detroit will go with their ace Justin Verlander tonight, but he hasn't been pitching like an ace lately as he struggled with his delivery. Verlander is 5-4 on the season witha 4.04 ERA, but over 5 May starts he is 2-3 with a 6.03 ERA, .300 OBA and 1.72 WHIP. Over his last three starts he has allowed 5, 5 and 6 earned runs against with 11 hits against in his last two. On the rubber for Seattle is Hisashi Iwakuma who had made 5 starts going 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA, .218 OBA and 0.82 WHIP. In three home starts he is 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA, .210 OBA and 0.74 WHIP. Note that the Tigers are just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall, 2-8 in Verlander's last 10 starts as an underdog, and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs an AL West opponent. The Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 following a loss, 9-3 in their last 12 vs a team with a winning record, and 5-2 in Iwakuma's last 7 starts dating back to last season. Seattle is 7-3 in their last 10 games vs Detroit with Verlander starting. With Iwakuma pitching very well to start off his season and Verlander struggling we're getting a generous price on Seattle tonight.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros - ORIOLES TO WIN (-113)
Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez vs. Oberholtzer
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.77 units)
The Houston Astros have several pieces to the puzzle that I believe will make them a legitimate team in a few years. For now, though, they are just trying to show progress. We have seen progress with them for sure. However, there will be hard times as well. In any case the 'Stros are rolling right along winning six straight games dating back to the Seattle Mariners. The Orioles on the other hand are riding out a three-game skid. Starter for the Astros' Brett Oberholtzer got off to a pretty fine start to the season, but has since taken a nose dive. He still only has one win on the year, 1-6, and his ERA his fell to 5.32. He has been particularly bad recently, where his last three starts has yielded a 6.48 ERA. His WHIP was out of wack at 1.80 with a .385. More concerning is what Oberholtzer has done at home. His ERA is ultra-high with a 9.64. Moreover, he is putting on average more than 2 base runners per inning, a 2.07 WHIP in Houston. In addition, his OBP is .429. Unlike Oberholtzer, Miguel Gonzalez has been in the process of lowering his ERA significantly. Gonzalez hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in five starts, on May 4th. He also hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in 10 starts where he got killed against the Tigers in his first start of the season. Consequently, Gonzalez has had nine straight solid starts. His last three starts has produced a 2.84 ERA. Lastly, note that Astros' hitters are only .224 against right-handed pitching compared to .264 against left-handed. The Astros are on an impressive streak, but I think it ends tonight at six games against Baltimore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Plays Of The Day

* MLB Atlanta Braves -125
* MLB St. Louis Cardinals -142
* MLB Baltimore Orioles -110
* MLB Oakland Athletics -115
* NBA Indiana Pacers/Miami Heat Over 182.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph's
Super Pick Blue Jays w/ Happ -145
Trophy Play Cards w/ Wainwright -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE FACTSMAN

MLB Friday Video Pick

Boston Redsox ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFFREY JAMES (Play of the Day)

#522 Miami Heat -7.5 (8:30 edt) ESPN
The Heat will be very ready to end this series at home here to get some extra rest since they know the West Finals will be going at least 6 games and to make sure they don’t have to go back to Indiana for a game 7. LeBron and Company know the importance of closing it out tonight and after their near miss in game 5 look for a very focused effort here in game 6 to get a big time win and cover.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For WNBA 5/30

3-Unit Play. #653. Take Under 147 Seattle vs. Atlanta (Friday @ 7:35pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 5/30

The following selection is our 5-unit Game of the Week. We originally tabbed a game on Sunday as our Game of the Week, but we couldn't pass up this opportunity today.


5-unit Play Take #928 Cleveland Indians (-145) over Colorado Rockies (7:05pm EST)


4-unit Play Take #924 Seattle Mariners (-110) over Detroit Tigers (10:10pm EST)


4-unit Play Take #929 San Diego Padres (-115) over Chicago White Sox (8:10pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Springer has underdog 'Stros on a roll

The Houston Astros have now reeled off six straight victories, obviously all as underdogs, thanks in large part to superstar in the making George Springer, who has seven HRs in the last seven games. They are just slight +104 dogs for their second game of their series against Baltimore.

Rays, Red Sox rematch

The Tampa Bay Rays (-126) and the Boston Red Sox meet for the second time in a week, this time at Fenway. The Rays swept away the Sox, culminating in a bench clearing brawl. But the roles have reversed a series later with the Sox sweeping away the Atlanta Braves in four games, while the Rays got swept by the Blue Jays.

Verlander an underdog for first time this season

Detroit Tigers starter Justin Verlander has struggled in his last three starts giving up 16 earned runs in 17.1 innings, resulting in him being listed as a slight +100 dog against the Seattle Mariners Friday night. It is the first time in 12 starts this season he has been listed as an underdog.

Pitching notes

* Two of the NL's top pitchers meet when Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants visit the Adam Wainwright and the St. Louis Cardinals (-144). The under is 9-1-1 in Bumgarner's last 11 starts as a road underdog, while Wainwright is 4-0 in his last four starts vs. the Giants.

* Josh Beckett makes his first start for the Dodgers (-128) since pitching a no-hitter against he Philadelphia Phillies last Sunday. Beckett has now won three straight decisions and given up just five runs in his last 27 innings pitched, with the over going 10-3 in his last 13 starts as a favorite.

Hitting notes

* Despite the Toronto Blue Jays nine game winning Thursday against Kansas City, Edwin Encarnacion is still on fire, hitting a pair of 2-run homers, tying the AL record for homers in May with 16. The Jays who averaged 5.9 run per game in the last 10 are just 6-4 over/under in that stretch.

* Speaking of the Royals, they made a coaching change before their 8-6 extra innings win over Toronto, naming Dal Sveum their new hitting coach. The Royals who went 3-7 SU and 6-3-1 over/under in their last 10 games, are last in the majors with 21 homers and last in the AL in runs and slugging percentage.

Totals streak

New York Mets (1-6 over/under): The Mets have found that nice balance of good pitching and not hitting, usually reserved for the likes of the Padres, scoring just 3.28 runs per game over the past seven, but only giving up 2.14 runs per game to opponents over that same stretch. The total for Friday's game vs. the Phillies is at 7.5.

Injury notes

* Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto is eligible to come off the disabled list Saturday, but the team said there is no timetable for the former MVP's return from a strained left quad. The Reds are 5-8 SU (-$109) and 8-5 over/under in Votto's absence.

* San Francisco Giants starter Matt Cain is expected to start Saturday against the Cardinals after missing his last start with a hamstring injury. The Giants are just 3-5 in Cain's eight starts this season, totaling -$212 on the money list.

Weather Watch

There is a chance of thunderstorms at Busch Stadium in St. Louis for the Cardinals matchup with the San Francisco Giants. There is also a 45 percent chance of rain with a 5-6 mph wind blowing in towards home plate from right field.

Umpire Stat of the Day

The under is 5-0 in umpire Paul Nauert's last five games behind the plate for games the Pittsburgh Pirates are involved in. The Pirates visit the Dodgers Friday, with a game total currently at 7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Play

Bonus:
vip-picks


Orebro - Djurgarden
Tip: Djurgarden -0
Odds: 1,82

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe
Pacers/Heat Free Pick
Last night we cashed the ticket with the Thunder/Spurs Under the total. This game had no chance to win going into the 4th quarter. These games are almost a comedy on how the totals come down to a bucket made or missed on the final shot. It kind of makes you wonder. I respect the Pacers Defense enough tonight to take them getting the 8 points and remember this is the NBA so taking the team that needs to win to get to a game 7 is always a plus. What would be better to have the best player on the planet playing this Sunday in a closeout game 7? Take the Pacers.

AWAY:
HOME:
ODDS:
TIME:
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies -105, 8
5/29/2014 7:05 PM
SELECTION:
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -105


Buchanan/Wheeler
The Phillies broke out of their shell last night with a late inning comeback for the first time this year. This is a team that has people scratching their heads on why they can’t put up runs on a regular basis. Last night was a good win for them and we will see if that gets a little momentum going. The Mets are not a good hitting team themselves and Wheeler although he has great strikeout ability tends to walk a lot of guys. Walks kill in the big leagues. Take the Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Black

Heat -7

[golden contender]

Friday card has 5* MLB Blowout system winning by over 3 runs per game 2 Dogs from a high end dog system, the NHL Historical systems side, In the NBA we cashed again tonight its the Game 6 System side. Free MLB totals Play below.


On Friday the Free MLB Totals Play is on the Over in the San Diego at Chicago White sox game. Rotation numbers 829/830 at 8:10 eastern This game fits a solid totals system that is a perfect 9-0 and averages over 11 runs per game for any home team, like the Whitesox that are off as home win and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 2 or more runs that scored 5 or more in the loss and no more than 1 error. The Padres have flown over the total in 11 of 14 games on the road in this range while the Whitesox are a perfect 8-0 to the over on Friday nights. Both Starting pitchers Danks for Chicago and Kennedy for San Diego have pedestrian like 4.82 Era numbers over the last 3 games. Look for this one to sail over the totals tonight. Jump on tonight and start the week big with a Powerful multi sport card that has Baskets, Bases and NHL Hockey. For the free pay take the over in the San Diego at Chicago Whitesox game. GC

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JASON SHARPE

3 Unit Play Take #928 Cleveland -150 over Colorado (7:05pm est)

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DAVE AQUINO

Today's Selections



MLB: orioles/astros under 9, royals/jays under 9, twins/yankees under 9


NHL: black hawks/kings over 5


NBA: Miami -7.5


WNBA: sun/sky under 146.5

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ALLEN EASTMAN (MLB)

6-Unit – GOW – Play. Take #912 Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) over Pittsburgh (10 p.m., Friday, May 30)

3-Unit Play. Take #924 Seattle (-115) over Detroit (10 p.m., Friday, May 30)

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (WNBA)

5 Unit Play. #653 Take Over 146 ½ – Seattle at Atlanta (7:35p.m., Friday May 30)

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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won in the NHL Playoffs on Thursday with the Rangers -$170/Canadians.

Ben lee won his lean in the NBA Playoffs on Thursday with the Spurs -4.5/Thunder.

"Mr Chalk" had Np in MLB for Thursday.

For Friday in NBA Playoffs E&B like the Heat -7/Pacers.

For Friday in the NHL Playoffs E&B like the KIngs -$130/Blackhawks.

For Friday in MLB in Interleague action "Mr Chalk" likes the Nationals -$165/Rangers.

Ben lee is 52 +$92 for week thirty one 133-155-5 -$2745.

"Mr Chalk" is 23-24 -$667 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball 5/30

3-Unit Play. #522. Take Miami -7.5 over Indiana (Friday @ 8:30pm est)

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BIGFELLA Spittin-Winners

TGIF MLB FREE PICKS

MLB 7:05
DEAD PRESIDENTS
902 Philadelphia -125

MLB 7:05

BIGFELLA

Spittin-Winners

C.R.E.A.M.
916 Toronto -130

MLB 7:05
SHOEBOX
914 NY Yankees -135

MLB 7:10
FAT POCKETS
903 Atlanta -125

MLB 8:10
STACK PAPER
919 Baltimore -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIGFELLA Spittin-Winners

TGIF FREE WNBA CARD First 3 plays of the year

WNBA 7:05
UNDER 148 NY/WAS


WNBA 7:35
UNDER 147½ SEA/ATL

WNBA 8:35
UNDER 146½ CON/CHI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3G Sports

5* pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Falcon Sports

LA Kings -135 (Game 6; Kings lead series 3-2)

Chicago White Sox +105 listing Danks/Kennedy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Friday
May 30, 2014
By Vince Akins

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cubs are 0-11 since May 16, 2011 as a road 140+ dog after being shutout for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Travis Wood starts the Cubs are 0-10 since August 17, 2012 as a road dog after a quality start for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Phillies are 0-10 (+$1,105) since 2005 after a game where they struck out at least 15 times but did not lose by five or more.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Blue Jays are 11-0 since May 04, 2004 as a home favorite of less than 200 after an extra inning loss for a net profit of $1100.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Colby Lewis starts the Rangers are 0-9 since April 20, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1125 when playing against.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT LOCK

San Diego -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Falcon Sports

LA Kings -135 (Game 6; Kings lead series 3-2)

Chicago White Sox +105 listing Danks/Kennedy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SHARP
4 Units
521 Indiana Pacers/Miami Heat OVER 182.5

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 911 PIT (+127) vs 912 LOS Angeles Dodgers

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LINECATCHERS

Playersbet

St. Louis -138
LA Dodgers -128
Cleveland -163

Free Play: 9-1-1 L11
Heat -7

Jonathan Young

St Louis Cardinals – 134

Cincinnati Reds + 100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo mlb 5/30
3* over 9-kc-tor
1* -nyy-145
1* under-6.5-sf-cards
1* under 7-pitt-la

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Philly Ross
4* Blue Jays 1st 5

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WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

MLB Game: San Diego Padres @ Chicago White Sox
Time: Friday 05/30 8:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Chicago +113 (moneyline)

The odds makers seem to be left in a time warp, and reflecting on the White Sox miserable 99 loss season from a year ago. This is a much better team, that has impreoved significantly at the plate, and the rotation has been a lot more steady as well. Chicago is off a sweep and playing well, and after struggling most of the season, John Danks is off his best game of the year allowing 0 runs over 8 innings his last time out. Ian Kennedy is just 3-6 as San Diego far too often just doesn’t score enough runs to win. San Diego has struggled in interleague play vs lefthanded pitching where they are a woeful 6-23 in their last 29. Sox are on an 8-1 run in their last 9 games after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. Play on Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

MLB

Seattle
San Diego

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David Banks
#916 7:05 toronto blue jays-143 happ


mlb
#928 7:05 cleveland indians-145 kluber
#904 7:10 miami marlins+118 koehler
#919-920 8:10 orioles-astros over 9

nba
#521 8:30 indiana pacers+8

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DENVER MONEY

MLB totals
Pirates @ Dodgers – Over 7 -115
Royals @ Blue Jays – Over 9 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

Orioles money line
Risk:$117 to win $100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Investment Group (YouWinNow)

10 STAR SPORTS INVESTMENT TRUE STEAM MLB WINNER
908 St Louis w/Wainwright -140 8:15 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bottom Line Sports (YouWinNow)

BIG STEAM SPECIAL EDITION BASEBALL WINNER
928 Cleveland w/Kluber -165 7:05 EST

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EZWINNERS

Added

3* Braves -124

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTi Sports

Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

NBA - 521 Indiana Pacers @ 522 Miami Heat


Play #1

I expect Miami to close the deal tonight and win the series 4-2 without much trouble…

I’ve made a mini-recap about G5 that is the blueprint for tonight’s game:

“I’ve just watched yesterday’s NBA game between MIA & IND and some weird stuff happened: Lebron James w/ foul trouble with just 24 minutes of action; the occasional Paul George’s random offensive explosive game w/ 37 points scored, he had one +30 pts game vs. WAS and another one vs. WAS, so I guess this type of game was due to happen in this series”

IND was able to score 93 points for a nice Off. Rtg = 114.4! However, they didn’t show anything new or surprised the Heat… They had only 13 assists and Roy Hibbert isn’t an offensive threat for them. They scored 93 points primarily because Paul George went off and scored 37 points while hitting 11-19 FG (58%) in CONTESTED SHOTS according to NBA.com! Finally, the Pacers dominated the boards (as usual) w/ 55% reb/rate.

Why I don’t think IND will be competitive tonight:

1) Obviously, LeBron James! James played only 24 minutes and scored just 7 points – career low’s for him! I don’t need to say that he will bounce back tonight b/c this is just common sense… However, note that Paul George is coming from a monumental effort in the last game in which he logged a game high 45 minutes!! He is due for a natural shooting regression and the fact that he will face a “fresh” LeBron James won’t help him either.

Also, without Chris Andersen & James in foul trouble, MIA was really undersized in the last game. After all, James was averaging 8 rebounds per game in the first 4 games of the series and so, IND had a nice spot to dominate down low! The fact that they scored a series high 42 points in the paint in G5 wasn’t a “coincidence”!

2) Effort Levels! I’ve mentioned last night that SAS would want to play w/ nice tempo in order to explore their superior depth over OKC, and once the second quarter started, they put an extra gear w/ their second unit. I expect a similar scenario for tonight’s game… In the last game, 3 IND’s starters logged at least 41 minutes of action in G5 with Hibbert and George Hill playing 38 minutes each! (IND’s bench scored only 6 points)! With them relying so heavily in their starters, I expect a natural physical letdown from IND in here, especially w/ a “fresh” LeBron James on the court, and w/ MIA having more depth right now (Lewis, Allen, Cole and Birdman if he plays are all playing quite well in this series).

3) Referees! I expect MIA to get some natural “home calls” after what happened in the last game @IND w/ LeBron James. I really don’t think that MIA will get only 8 FT’s tonight as I expect them to be super aggressive in here, particularly James.

My fair line for this contest is Miami having a classic blowout line of 10/12 points and so, I’m taking the Heat as my Single Dime Play!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 522 Miami Heat (-8) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

3* Brewers (RL)
3* Under Reds
3* Under Padres
2* Rays (RL)
2* Blue Jays (RL)
1* Marlins
1* Giants
1* Under Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SSF Sports

Baltimore/Houston Under 9 - 125 Like Baltimore in the game but don't see either team putting up too many runs. Gonzalez has been finding a good bit of form with the O's winning in his last 3 outings as he has only given up 2 runs in each. I see him to quiet the bats the Astros tonight and squeak out a much needed win in another low scoring affair.

Cardinals/Giants No Score 1st Inning This one is a little scary to take the game with the line movement today. Wainwright is absolutely dealing at home and I lean the Cards but something is telling me that there is more too this game so with Bumgarner on the hill for the Giants, expect both pitchers to come out of the gates hot and move through the first inning easily with no blood given.

Los Angeles Angels +110 At this price, I love the road team in Oakland. Garrett Richards has been having a great few outings as of late winning 4 of the last 5 and the one loss came in a game where his opponent thru a near complete game. He has been having a great year and with the strength of Pujols and Trout in this line up, expect them to come out aggressive against Drew Pomeranz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

WNBA Game: San Antonio Silver Stars @ Minnesota Lynx Time: Friday 05/30 8:05 PM Eastern

Free Pick: First Half OVER 80 (-110)

The Lynx have come out strong at 5-0 to start the season thanks to an offense that has averaged 87 points per game. The problme for them is that they are allowing over 82 per game. Their five games have seen 87 points per game scored on average in the first half. San Antonio has allowed nearly 40 per game in the first half. The past three seasons, Minnesota is 48-32 OVER in the first-half when they are instilled as the favorite. And they are 17-5 OVER int he first-half at home during that span after an ATS win. Finally, under head coach Cheryl REeve, the Lynx are 12-4 OVER in the first-half in May games. Take this game OVER the first-half total

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Seattle Mariners -115 over the Detroit Tigers (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 10:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Henderson

Today's Selections

MLB: orioles/astros under 9, royals/jays under 9, twins/yankees under 9

NHL: black hawks/kings over 5

NBA: Miami -7.5

WNBA: sun/sky under 146.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

NHL

LOS ANGELES -½ +124 over Chicago

Regulation only. Figuring they could not beat the Kings in a tight-checking manner, Chicago completely opened things up in Game 5 and went on to win in OT, 5-4. Now what? Will the Blackhawks employ that same strategy here or will they tighten up defensively and try and win that way? Frankly, we’re not sure it’s going to matter. That Minnesota series knocked the heck out of the Blackhawks. Chicago looked extremely beatable when they played in Minnesota and they looked beatable when they played at home. In this series, not much has changed, as the Blackhawks have been outscored in Los Angeles, 9-5. In fact, Chicago has allowed 19 goals against in the past four games with four or more scored against them in each contest. Corey Crawford stole the series victory over Minnesota but it’s a different story in this series, as L.A. keeps burying pucks on him.

Chicago has one road victory over their last five playoff games and that occurred in Game 6 against Minnesota in which Chicago was clearly the second best team on the ice. Los Angeles has endured everything this playoff season and unlike the Blackhawks, they appear to be getting stronger with each passing series. Los Angeles seems to be at their very best when it matters most while Chicago has not played well away from home in the past two series. They’ve gotten by with some very good fortune but it’s going to catch up to them at some point. Don’t get us wrong, Chicago is a great team that can win at any time over any team. However, we can’t ignore Chicago’s struggles away from home. Puck possession, chances, shots on goal and goaltending have all favored the Kings in this series and that’s a bit much for the Blackhawks to overcome on the road in this crucial game in Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

MLB

N.Y Mets +115 over PHILADELPHIA

The Mets have won three in a row and four of their past five games. During its current three-game modest win streak, New York has outscored the opposition 13-3. Current Mets have 35 hits in 126 career AB’s versus A.J. Burnett for a BA of .278 and a nifty OPS of .816. Burnett has allowed three runs or more in four straight starts. He has a 3.51 ERA after his first 11 starts, a fact that might prevent some from realizing how terrible many of his skills have been. His four-seam fastball velocity has dipped to 91 mph and his swinging strike rate has declined from 11% to 7%. A 78% strand rate has kept his ERA below 4.00. Burnett’s BB/K ratio of 31/53 in 67 innings is more reason to stay clear. In five May starts, Burnett has walked 14 in 29 innings and has posted a 5.29 ERA. His line drive rate is now up to 26% but over his last three starts it’s an alarming 32%. Burnett is being hit hard. He’s allowed 30 hits and 19 earned runs over his last four starts covering 23 innings and now he’s a favorite worth betting against.

Raphael Montero was signed just three years ago as an international free agent. He sped through the Mets system despite being an undersized pitcher (6’0) without a dominant fastball. His career numbers (2.63 ERA, 8½K’s/9) become that much more impressive considering he’s pitched one-third of his 250 innings in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Montero’s plus-plus control and movement on his pitches make him very tough for hitters to contend with. He throws a fastball with excellent movement from a ¾ arm slot that can reach 95 mph, and complements that with a plus slider and solid-average change-up. There’s a lot to like about Montero’s make-up: good work ethic, repeatable mechanics, easy arm action, solid mound presence, and excellent pitch sequencing. Montero has displayed both the risks of an inexperienced pitcher and the upside that makes him a top prospect in his three starts. His first two starts yielded 8 ER in 10.3 IP, but just when it seemed that he might not be ready for the majors, he threw a gem, holding Arizona to one run over six innings while striking out 10. The Phillies are hitting only .232 at home and only .236 against RHP and they’ve never faced Montero before.


N.Y. YANKEES -1½ +151 over Minnesota

The Twins have scored 15 runs over their past nine games and have only scored two or more twice over that span. Minnesota has one win over their past seven games, so the timing for this three-game set at New York comes at the worst possible time. Yankee Stadium has been a house of horrors for the Twinkies, as they have just 14 wins in the past 54 games here. The Twins are not only going bad, but they are hitting just .232 against southpaws and will face one here in Vidal Nuno. Nuno is an interesting case. He turned some heads with a solid 2012 season at Double-A (though he was a bit old for the level), followed up by an impressive spring training and start to 2013 at Triple-A where he posted a 1.54 ERA, 10K’s/9 and .157 oppBA. Those were very impressive numbers for a 48th round draft pick in ’09 who has never been on any top prospect lists. He was actually released from the Indians farm system in ’10 before spending some time playing independent ball. That is where the Yankees found him and he moved quickly through their system to earn his first call-up. Nuno does not have a typical starter’s frame at 5-11 195, nor does he have a plus pitch in his repertoire. He has to rely on a deceptive delivery along with a nearly side-arm slot to keeps hitters off-balance. Arm angle makes him much tougher on left-handed batters. Nuno throws four pitches and can locate all of them well: fastball, slider, curveball, and change-up. Fastball tops out at 91 mph with pretty good location. Nuno’s 5.49 ERA is skewed because of some early disasters but he’s been coming on recently with three very good outings in his last four starts. On Saturday against the South Side at US Cellular, Nuno threw a respectable 67 of 101 pitches for strikes and was outstanding following a three-run first inning. He’s also had solid outings recently against both the Angels and Pirates. The Twins have never seen Nuno before and that, too, works to his advantage.

Ricky Nolasco has four quality starts in 10 tries this season. He has just two wins and one of those occurred back in April when he got whacked by the Indians but Minnesota scored 10 times and the Twins won 10-7. Nolasco’s WHIP is 1.57 and his BAA is .322. On the road, Nolasco’s ERA is 8.63 and his BAA is .384. In 32.1 road innings, Nolasco has allowed 53 hits. Dude has been batting practice out there and the Yankees come into this one swinging well with 20 runs scored over their past four games and that includes six or more in St. Louis in two of the three games there. Nolasco’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 32%/23%/45% is more proof that the move from the NL to the AL is one that he’s not adjusting to well. With his confidence low and his skills worse, the Pinstripes figure to score early and often off Nolasco.


Pittsburgh +120 over LOS ANGELES

Once among the AL's most promising young starters, injuries derailed the career of Francisco Liriano but last year he saw a career revival in Pittsburgh that quickly restored his relevance. The question swirling around his name this spring was: How much of last year's comeback was real and how much was luck-driven? He shaved a walk and a half off his walk rate while still whiffing a batter an inning. Liriano fully regained his groundball mojo, boosting GB% back to half of balls put in play. Liriano is still only 30 and he's using the same formula that he rose to prominence years ago in Minnesota—a combination of strikeouts and grounders—to evolve into a formidable starter in the NL. Through two months of the new season, those skills remain intact and Liriano has the chance to put up solid numbers the rest of the way, despite his 5.06 ERA through his first 11 starts. Fact is, Liriano is pitching as well as he ever has with a groundball rate of 53%, a swinging strike rate of 15% (the highest in the NL among starters with seven starts or more) and 58 K’s in 59 innings. A very unlucky 68% strand rate has led to his inflated ERA but his skills say big regression is forthcoming. That said, this one is more about playing a high percentage angle than it is about backing Liriano.

Josh Beckett is coming off a no-hitter and that’s the angle here. Going against a pitcher coming off a no-no has returned big profits over the years. Throwing a no-hitter is one of the rarest feats in a sports career. It will only occur a handful of times in a season and Beckett did it against the Phillies in his last start. After the fifth inning of said start, intensity increases, focus increases and every pitch matters. For pitchers, a no hitter is the pinnacle of accomplishments. After that rare accomplishment there are interviews galore, plus a million phone calls, text messages and emails all offering congratulations. The no-hitter does not end when the game is final. It ends after four days of answering calls and everything else that goes with it. Now Beckett will be sent back out there and there is very little chance of him pitching a strong game. Besides history saying so, Beckett’s skills are not nearly as good as his ERA suggests they are and that’s something we’ll elaborate more on at a later date. For this one, the "game after pitching a no-hitter" angle is in play.


Pass NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pred. Machine

No normal

Half bet on Mia over 182.5. 56.5%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside Sports Report


4* Cincinnati (Leake)/Arizona (Arroyo) UNDER 8.5
Range: 9 to 8


3* Baltimore (Gonzalez) -115 over Houston (Oberholtzer)
Range: +100 to -140


3* Miami -7 over Indiana (NBA)
Range: -5 to -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

(Steam Moves)

1921 OVER 4 (-120) LAA/OAK...1st 5 Innings

1917 TB RAYS -150 (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Shuttlesworth

MLB

San Francisco Giants +137 Triple Star

Pittsburgh Pirates +133 2 Units

Miami Marlins +117 2 Units

Toronto Blue Jays -134 2 Units

Tigers/Mariners Under 7 -120 2 Units

Cleveland Indians -140 1 Unit

Indians RL (-1.5) +155 1 Unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

MLB Friday

Free pick – 927 COL (+140) vs 928 CLE
Analysis: Gonzalez is still listed a questionable, but with a day off I suspect he plays. Even if he doesn’t, the Rockies with a DH (regardless of WHO) can’t be this price against a team that just lost three straight to the White Sox. I do know how badly the Rockies have been hitting, but when Jason Giambi, who is hitting .105, is your DH and accounts for the only run you scored, it doesn’t matter to me if Kluber or Bob Feller is pitching, you’re not worth -150, period. I thought about the RL here and probably should split it, especially seeing as how right now they’re projecting a lower scoring game. And with a DH, as long as the Rockies are in this, we can avoid the Colorado bullpen a bit longer, I would think.

The other games:
The money and the line moves are on the Mets, but there’s some seriously sharp money on the under. Perhaps buying that to 8 and playing the under is an option. I can’t ever get a read on AJ, honestly, and I don’t think AJ can either. This is one that I can definitely see the Mets F5 because of the foreign pitcher.

We all saw what the Braves did last night. And they’ve got to be travel weary because they played two in Atlanta against Boston before that. A little surprised Teheran is still so cheap, and Koehler has been one of our go-to guys and of course thee Fish are rested. The Miami RL is really not that expensive.

I do like to back Wood when the Cubs are playing, and honestly because theses guys know each other so well I do like the over here. Both pens suck, so it won’t take a lot to open the floodgates and I don’t care of the roof is open or not. Cubs RL and over.

Seems to be a lot of people liking the Giants, and that is pricey for even Wainright, but after fading him last time and watching him make me look silly, I’m not inclined to do it again. Bumgarner HAS been lights-out lately, so I could only take the under. But, that’s one I really want no part of.

Everyone’s lining up to fade Beckett after the no hitter. I am really pissed we didn’t follow the money on the Pirates last night. What I could do here is take the over because Beckett DID have to throw a ton of pitches in that game, so maybe even a F5 under and over for the game?

I totally don’t get the Twins love against Nuno in New York, but there’s so much of it I would have to take the Twins. Reminds me eerily of the Pirates last night. Twins RL is pretty expensive, so I could either play that small or parlay it with something. Playing it small is smarter, or just play the Twins. It’s almost an auto-follow move, really.

It looks as if they think the Blue Jays will lose again, or they have no faith in Happ. I have no faith in Happ, either, but perhaps even less faith with KC against a LHP. I do think this stays under, and so does the mid afternoon money.

I will never fade Price against Boston because they do have success against him, however he’s got revenge from a recent game against Boston, and it IS Workman. I could see taking the Boston RL, as perhaps that late comeback (or having it handed to you) last night sparks something.

A little surprised Garrett Richards has fallen that much out of favor that much, but the Angels are not as deadly against LHP and traveled late last night while the A’s did not. Pomeranz was a fade with the Rockies, but in Oakland and the big park, I can see taking them at that price. We won’t get them at -120 at home anytime soon, and they do have a better pen. Quite likely under, too.

Everyone is also fading Verlander, and I mean everyone. I guess I can see why, since Iwakuma seems to be back to “normal”, but I have to ask how often I can get JV at + money. Tigers played yesterday PM while M’s played late and long. This one might have F5 U written on it, too.

They’re giving Texas way too much credit here and it sure can’t be because of Colby Lewis. It could be because the Nats can’t hit RHP worth a sh*t? Either way, that one has Texas RL or nothing written on it, and perhaps under because the Rangers can’t hit RHP this season, either. Another F5 U maybe and comes down to pens, and neither has an edge, really. Nats a bit more rested.

As you can see everyone in the world is taking the Padres. I shall pass that one simply because although Kennedy is good, it’s the Padres on the road -120 and that’s just an over reaction to how bad the White Sox have been. However, the Padres DO hammer LHP (as a rule), so perhaps they are right here and the Padres are that easy. They clearly have the better pen and SD gets the DH.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
St. Louis Cardinals -145 over San Francisco Giants
(System Record: 34-0, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 34-25

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks +115 over LA Kings
(Playoff Record: system 22-2: overall 22-15-1, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 113-89-3

Basketball Crusher
Indiana Pacers +7.5 over Miami Heat
(Playoff Record: system 16-1: overall 16-17-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 94-102-8

Soccer Crusher
Oeste + Parana UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 582-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 582-485-84

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays -118 over Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals -165 over Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays -135 over KC


Hockey
Chicago Blackhawks + LA Kings OVER 5


Basketball
Indiana Pacers + Miami Heat OVER 183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 5/30

MLB Baseball
Cincinnati Reds / Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8½
(Total Runs Scored)

Overall Record: 263-236

(System Record: 263-13, Lost last game)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides 54-43-0 +1,584

#911: Pirates: +135 1.5*
Listed Pitchers: Liriano / Beckett

#930: White Sox: +105 2*
Listed Pitchers: Kennedy / Danks


Totals 41-52-5 -2,615

#901/902: Under Phillies 8.0 (-120) 1.5*
Listed Pitchers: Montero / Burnett

#927/928: Over Rockies: 8.0 (+100) 2*
Listed Pitchers: Nicasio / Kluber

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scotty Shiller

1*: Rangers ML +165
2*: Cardinals/Giants under 6.5 -110
3*: Dodgers ML -126

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

20* Mariners -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

NBA

#521/522: Over Heat: 183.0 (+100) 3*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian

Game: Pirates vs Dodgers

Pick: Pirates ML (+121)

Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 2 Units


Game: Detroit vs Seattle

Pick: Seattle ML (-120)

Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 2.4 Units


Game: Orioles vs Houston

Pick: Houston ML (+104)

Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 2 Units


Game: Red Sox vs Tampa Bay

Pick: Tampa Bay ML (-140)

Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 1.4 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DENVER MONEY

Added
Rangers/Nationals – Under 7 -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

First Ever 150 DIME Game of his Career

Indiana Pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting As A Business

MLB

Pittsburgh (Liriano) +118 / LA Dodgers (Beckett) 10:10 ET 1.25 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win

1* GAME: Pacers-Heat o182.5 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

1911 Over 4 (-120) Tb-Bos (1st 5) $1000
1921 Over 4 (-115) Laa-Oak (1st 5) $1000
1917 Tampa Bay -150 (1st 5) $1000
1915 Kansas City +1/2 (-135) 1st 5 $1000
915 Kansas City +120 $1000
903 Atlanta -130 $1000
1905 Over 4 (-120) Chc-Mil (1st 5) $1000
905 Over 7 (-120) Chc-Mil $1000
Sat Boxing - Carl Froch -165 $1000
652 Over 148 Ny-Wash wnba $1000
24 Under 5 Chi/Lak nhl $1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* Oddsmaker's Error G.O.M. (38-17 all 10*s s/May 1)
My 10* Oddsmaker's Error Game of the Month (IL) is on the Chi White Sox at 8:10 ET.


The White Sox open a three-game IL series with the Padres Friday night, sporting a modest 28-27 record. However, that's a VAST improvement from last year, when Chicago stumbled to a 63-99 record and finished the 2013 season with MLB's worst moneyline mark (minus-$3,218). A current check of the moneyline standings reveals that the White Sox rank third-best in all of MLB at plus-$763.


The Padres come to town 24-30, including 10-15 on the road. San Diego owns MLB's worst team BA (.226) and no team has scored fewer runs (175). That's an average of 3.24 per game and the average dips to 3.04 on the road. In comparison, the White Sox rank 7th in team batting (.261) and are MLB's third-highest scoring team at 4.69 RPG.


Ian Kennedy knows all about the Padres NOT scoring, as he has has watched as the Padres have struggled to score time after time when he's taken the mound, His ERA is 3.59 on the season (not bad) but he's just 3-6 after 11 starts (team is 4-7). A MAJOR reason stems from the fact that he's received just 2.79 runs of support per nine innings, ranking 98th out of 101 qualified pitchers! He'll face a strong Chicago lineup (4.75 RPG at home) which has been excellent at home vs right-handed starters in night games in 2014. The White Sox check in at 9-3 while averaging 5.5 RPG in that situation.


Taking the mound for Chicago will be lefty John Danks, who has had an odd season so far. He has turned in a quality start in SEVEN of his 10 outings but he's also allowed eight runs TWICE. He allowed just three hits over eight scoreless innings of Chicago's 4-3, 10-inning loss to the New York Yankees on Saturday in his last outing.


That's the pitcher the White Sox hope to see here and why not, up against the light-hitting Padres? Danks must realize he's had more good starts than bad this season, which is why the Chicago White Sox hurler doesn't get down on himself when having to battle through an occasional tough outing. "I'm feeling really good about where I was. From a personal standpoint, I needed it," Danks said. "I had a couple of rough ones, but if you take a couple of starts out of my year, I've had a pretty darn good year. I'm not looking at overall numbers. I never have in my career. Just worried about beating the Padres Friday."


I expect him to do just that tonight and I see no reason for the light-hitting Padres (who almost never seem to score when Kennedy's on the mound), to actually be a slight favorite over a Chicago team which has hit well all season, especially here at home in night games vs right-handers (see above stats).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

MLB

Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger

Kings

marlins under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
pacer +8
under 184
san diego over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

Steam Moves

1921 LA ANGELS +100 (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

25 Ind
50 Atl
25 Colo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly GodFather
•STRAIGHT BET [911] PIT +108 ( F LIRIANO -L / J BECKETT -R ):
•STRAIGHT BET [1921] 1H LAA +105 ( G RICHARDS -R / D POMERANZ -L ):
•STRAIGHT BET [915] KAN +123 ( J VARGAS -L / J HAPP -L ):
•STRAIGHT BET [905] TOTAL o7½-115 (CHI CUBS vrs MIL BREWERS) ( T WOOD -L / M ESTRADA -R ):
•STRAIGHT BET [1911] 1H PIT PIRATES +110 ( F LIRIANO -L / J BECKETT -R ):
•STRAIGHT BET [1905] TOTAL o4-105 (1H CHI CUBS vrs 1H MIL BREWERS) ( T WOOD -L / M ESTRADA -R ):