4-26-14

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Saturday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Saturday's MLB betting action:

Texas-sized problems

Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez is widely considered one of the top pitchers in the American League, but the Texas Rangers may disagree. Hernandez is just 12-20 with a 4.10 ERA in 40 starts versus the Rangers, who are a +166 underdog against Hernandez and the host Mariners.

DC tough on Cashner

Andrew Cashner hasn't had problems exerting his dominance this season, but past history suggests he may be in for a rough ride this weekend. Cashner and the San Diego Padres are a +108 dog at Nationals Park, where the 27 year old has a 9.53 ERA in four career appearances.

Cruz control

The Kansas City Royals know they'll need to shut down Baltimore slugger Nelson Cruz if they hope to beat the Orioles. Kansas City (+126) will rely Saturday on veteran right-hander Jeremy Guthrie, who has limited Cruz to four hits in 19 career at-bats against him.

Pitching notes

* Members of the Los Angeles Dodgers roster are hitting .322 in 90 at-bats against Colorado Rockies right-hander Juan Nicasio.

* Philadelphia Phillies lefty Cliff Lee has 31 strikeouts against only one walk in his last three starts.

Hitting notes

* Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Pedro Alvarez batted just .184 with 23 strikeouts in 76 at-bats against the St. Louis Cardinals last season.

* Miami Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton entered Friday in a 2-for-18 slump with nine strikeouts over his past five games.

Total streaks

San Diego Padres (0-8-2 O/U): The combination of solid pitching, a non-existent offense and a cavernous, unforgiving ballpark has the Padres riding high - or in this case, low - as the league's top Under team.

Injury Watch

* San Diego Padres third baseman Chase Headley (strained hamstring) is expected to miss the next 2-to-3 weeks.

* Oakland Athletics outfielder Yoenis Cespedes (hamstring) is expected to be out until at least Sunday.

* Texas Rangers third baseman Kevin Kouzmanoff (stiff back) is considered day-to-day.

MLB WAG of the Day

Weather watch

* Fans attending the San Diego-Washington game at Nationals Park should expect a 30 percent chance of showers.

* Rain is also a possibility at Citi Field, where a 40 percent chance of showers is forecast with temperatures in the low-to-mid-60s.

Hot and cold betting trends

* Angels at Yankees: Over is 4-1 in New York's last five games against a left-handed starter.

* Rockies at Dodgers: Under is 5-1 in Nicasio's previous six starts against Los Angeles.

* Red Sox at Blue Jays: Over is 11-0 in Toronto right-hander Brandon Morrow's last 11 starts.

Stat of the Day

Boston right-hander Clay Buchholz is 7-2 with a 1.49 ERA in 10 starts at the Rogers Centre. The Red Sox have won his last eight starts there.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 3:40 p.m. ET Friday.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cashner is 2-1, 2.42 in his last three starts. Roark is 0-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 1-2, 1.93 in four starts this season. Estrada is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Mejia is 3-0, 1.99 in four starts this season.
-- Leake is 2-0, 2.91 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 2-2, 1.20 in his last four starts.

-- Nuno threw five shutout innings in his first '14 start.
-- Morrow is 1-0, 3.07 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 3-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
-- Keuchel is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Danks is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-1, 2.80 in five starts this year.

-- McAllister is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.54 in his last four starts. Lyons allowed two runs in six IP in losing his first '14 start 2-0.
-- Slowey allowed two runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hale is 0-0, 6.10 in his last two starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 14.54 in his last two starts.
-- Maholm is 0-2, 6.46 in three starts this season. Nicasio has a 6.19 RA in his last three starts.

-- Santiago is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts this season.
-- Buchholz is 0-2, 9.16 in four starts this year.
-- Sanchez is 0-2, 4.79 in four starts this season. Hughes is 1-2, 6.43 in his four starts this month.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 5.84 in his last two starts.
-- Ramos is 0-1, 6.43 in two stsarts this season.
-- Straily is 1-1, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Lewis is 1-1, 4.22 in two starts this season.

-- Lincecum is 1-1, 6.43 in four starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cashner 0-5; Roark 1-3
-- Liriano 3-5; Lyons 0-1
-- Wood 0-4; Estrada 0-4
-- Slowey 0-1; Mejia 0-4
-- Leake 0-4; Hale 2-3
-- Lee 0-5; Arroyo 2-4
-- Nicasio 2-4; Maholm 1-3

-- Santiago 1-4; Nuno 0-1
-- Buchholz 2-4; Morrow 1-4
-- Sanchez 3-4; Hughes 1-4
-- Guthrie 1-4; Chen 1-4
-- Straily 3-4; Keuchel 0-4
-- Ramos 0-2; Danks 2-4
-- Lewis 0-2; Hernandez 1-5

-- McAllister 2-4; Lincecum 2-4

Totals
-- Six of lasr seven San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All thirteen games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Five of last six Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona home games.
-- Last three Dodger games went over. Three of last four Colorado road games stayed under.

-- 15 of 21 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Baltimore games went over.
-- Last six Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of eleven White Sox home games went over.
-- Last four Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 22 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Texas road games stayed under.

-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten San Francisco games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games. Cincinnati won four of its last six games overall.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona won last three games; they're 1-8 in last nine home games. Phillies won four of their last six games.
-- Colorado won six of its last eight games.

-- Bronx won eight of last 12 games. Angels are 8-5 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last three road games.
-- White Sox are 7-4 at home.
-- Oakland won six of its last seven road games.
-- Royals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Twins won five of last seven home games. Detroit won five of last seven.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.

-- San Francisco won four of its last five home games. Indians won four of their last six games overall.

Cold teams
-- San Diego is 4-7 on road. Washington is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight games. St Louis lost four of last six, but are 5-2 at home.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last ten home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- SD-Wsh-- All four Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Road underdogs won three of four Schrieber games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won three of four Danley games.
-- Mia-NY-- Rookie ump Buckminster has done three games- no trends.
-- Cin-Atl-- Favorites won three of four Carapazza games.
-- Phil-Az-- Home side won all five Tumpane games.
-- Col-LA-- Both Nauert games this season went over total.

-- LA-NY-- Four of five HGibson games went over total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Favorites won all three Kellogg games.
-- Det-Min-- All three Bellino games went over total.
-- KC-Balt-- Favorites won three of last four Wolcott games.
-- A's-Hst-- Underdogs won last three Meals games.
-- TB-Chi-- Favorites won all five Timmons games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Home side won three of four Estabrook games.

-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won all four Diaz games.

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2Halves2Win NBA -


1* GAME: Hawks +2(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Mavericks +3.5(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

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Cappers Access

Pacers -2
Grizzlies +3
Cardinals -115

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Phillies -129

Indians + 105

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play NHL San Jose -155

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the NHL Rangers on Friday and likes the Spurs on Saturday.

The deficit is 190 sirignanos.

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Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Atlanta

The Reds look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-4 loss in the series opener and come into today's contest with a 5-1 record in Mike Leake's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Diego at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 16.197; Washington (Roark) 15.117 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.486; St. Louis (Lyons) 16.112 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.092; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.531 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); Over

Game 907-908: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Slowey) 14.500; NY Mets (Mejia) 16.172 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.291; Atlanta (Hale) 15.336 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.196; Arizona (Arroyo) 15.700 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 16.003; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 14.962 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Over

Game 915-916: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santiago) 15.230; NY Yankees (Nuno) 16.627 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.681; Toronto (Morrow) 14.551 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.418; Minnesota (Hughes) 14.898 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 16.087; Baltimore (Chen) 15.037 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 923-924: Oakland at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 16.191; Houston (Keuchel) 14.515 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Under

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 15.292; White Sox (Danks) 14.107 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 13.560; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.591 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-170); Under

Game 929-930: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.493; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.972 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

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Chase Diamond

10* Columbus +162

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Charlotte

The Heat (22-19 on the road) head to Charlotte up 2-0 in the series and face a Bobcats team that is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Charlotte is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 745-746: Indiana at Atlanta (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 124.064; Atlanta 117.662 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2); Over

Game 747-748: San Antonio at Dallas (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.557; Dallas 127.397 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 198 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under

Game 749-750: Miami at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.518; Charlotte 120.720 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 188 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: Oklahoma City at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.876; Memphis 119.982 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 188 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3); Over

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Today's NHL Picks

Minnesota at Colorado

The Wild head back to Colorado for Game 5 after tying up the series with a 2-1 win in Game 4 and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Minnesota is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Detroit at Boston (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.707; Boston 11.467 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-230); 5 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+190); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.280; Pittsburgh 12.951 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.667; Colorado 10.895 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 57-58: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.087; San Jose 12.557 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-165); Under

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XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

• Play Detroit -145 over Minnesota----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  2:10 PM EST

Phil Hughes has lost 8 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has lost 21 of the last 34 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Phil Hughes has lost 5 of the last 7 home games when pitching as a home underdog of +100 or higher and he is 4-7 vs. Detroit over his career with an ERA of 4.87.

• Play Baltimore -125 over Kansas City----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  7:10 PM EST

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XpertPicks

SATURDAY

• Play OVER 202.5 Dallas/San Antonio (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  4:30 PM EST

Dallas has gone OVER the total in 8 consecutive games when playing as a home underdog and they have gone OVER the total in 11 of the last 13 games when playing with two days of rest.Dallas has gone OVER the total in 13 of the last 18 games vs. division opponents and they have gone OVER the total in 17 of the last 25 games coming off a win in their last game.

• Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Dallas +3.5 over San Antonio (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Miami -5.5 over Charlotte (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Oklahoma City -2.5 over Memphis (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  
  

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NHL HOCKEY

• Play Pittsburgh -170 over Columbus (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Boston -230 over Detroit (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

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FantasySportsGametime

SATURDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
2:00 PM EST

Atlanta has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when playing as a home underdog of three points or less.Atlanta has covered the spread in 21 of the last 29 home games when playing in the 1^st round of the playoffs and they are averaging 100 points a game this season.

50* Play Dallas +3.5 over San Antonio (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami -5.5 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oklahoma City -2.5 over Memphis (NBA BONUS PLAY)


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NHL HOCKEY


50* Play San Jose -165 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Colorado -140 over Minnesota (NHL BONUS PLAY)