1-22-14

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Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Wichita State Shockers (19-0 SU, 12-3-1 ATS)

It's tough to make an argument that the Shockers aren’t underrated. After all, they have the best record in the country at 19-0 and yet they’re ranked behind both Villanova and Michigan State, despite the fact that both those teams have suffered at least one loss this season. There is also the fact that the Shockers are covering the spread in 80 percent of their games so far, a truly amazing statistic considering we are more than halfway through the season.

Critics will say that the Shockers’ schedule doesn't see them play a single ranked opponent all season. That doesn't mean they haven't played any quality teams. They have registered impressive double-digit victories over BYU and DePaul, and they beat Saint Louis and Alabama on the road. We saw what this team was capable in last year's tournament and there is every reason to expect them to be a contender once again this March.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Villanova Wildcats (16-2 SU, 12-4 ATS)

The Wildcats climbed all the way to fourth in the national polls this week. But on the very same day the new rankings came out, they were blown out on their own court by the Creighton Bluejays. They didn't just lose that game - they lost by a staggering 18-point margin at home.

The Wildcats play three straight road games over the next 10 days, then return home to host a dangerous Xavier team. It seems inevitable that Villanova will slide downward in the rankings as the season progresses.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Creighton Bluejays (15-3 SU, 12-5 ATS)

The AP dropped the Bluejays from the rankings this week, after their 10-game winning streak came to an end on the road against Providence. Creighton, though, is almost guaranteed to shoot back up into the rankings after its upset win at Villanova.

Doug McDermott and the boys shot 60 percent from 3-point range in the win over the Wildcats, hitting 21 3-pointers. Any team that is capable of doing that on the road versus one of the nation's Top 5 teams is going to strike fear into any opponent.

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Streak peak: Handicapping hottest/coldest streaks in sports betting
By ART ARONSON

Each week, Covers Expert Art Aronson will dissect the hottest and coldest ATS streak in sports betting, as well as an Over/Under run, giving you the inside scoop on what's driving these stretches, where to bet them next, and if they'll continue to cash in.

Streaking ATS team: Brooklyn Nets

The panic appears to be over in Flatbush, where the Nets have at long last started to pick up some steam and the Hades-like first month of the season is in the rearview mirror. Rookie coach Jason Kidd is starting to get his feet under him, and loyal bettors are starting to be rewarded.

Brooklyn has covered seven of its last eight games and, while the old guys are still under water ATS (19-20), that’s a far cry from the 5-11 turd they dropped in the first five weeks of the season. A good sign that the Nets may have turned the corner was their signature overtime win over Miami on January 10. The Heat are hardly a motivated group right now, but that victory still holds water.

Slumping ATS team: New York Knicks

Madison Square Garden is a depressing place these days, and only the depressed state of the Eastern Conference is keeping anyone interested in the Knicks. A decent home win over Phoenix was followed by four ugly losses (Bobcats, Pacers, Clippers, Knicks) by an average score of 107-87.

New York has dropped five in a row ATS after Monday’s loss to the Nets and making things even more problematic for coach Mike Woodson is that his reserves are playing better than his starters. Ouch.

Over/under streak: Indiana Pacers

There’s no more streaky O/U team in the league than the Pacers, who right now are on an over trend – three straight overs in which Indiana has averaged 113 points a game and a push versus the Warriors Monday.

Like the weather, though, it can change on a dime. The Over streak followed a stretch in which Pacers games went Under seven straight times and 10 times in 11 games. For what it’s worth, Pacers games tend to go Over when Indiana takes on good teams, and Under against mediocre competition. Go figure.

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Australian Open betting tidbits: Day 10 action

After Day 10 at the Australian Open all of the semi finals for the men's and women's draws will be set, so we dug up some more essential betting tidbits for all the day's important action.

Rafael Nadal (1) v Grigor Dimitrov (22)

- Nadal just played the longest three-set match of the tournament, winning in three hours 17 minutes.
- By comparison, Dimitrov won his last match in four sets, at just two hours and 24 minutes.

Andy Murray (4) v Roger Federer (6)

- Murray leads the career head-to-head with Federer 11-9, including last year's Aussie Open semi final.
- Federer faced just one break point in his Fourth Round match with Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.

Simona Halep (11) v Dominika Cibulkova (20)

- Halep has had more unforced errors than winners in all four rounds during the tournament.
- Cibulkova has never been past the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam event.

Agnieszka Radwanska (5) v Victoria Azarenka (2)

- Radwanska has qualified for the Aussie Open quarterfinals four straight years, but never to the semis.
- Azarenka has yet to lose a set this tournament, and played in only one tie break.

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Clippers won six of last seven games, are 14-8 vs spread on road.
-- Bulls won eight of their last ten games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last seven games.
-- Wizards won four of their last five games.
-- Houston won seven of its last nine games. Kings are 5-3 in their last eight games (6-2 vs spread).
-- Thunder won last four games, but lost three of last four on road. San Antonio won seven of its last eight games.
-- Indiana won/covered its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats are 0-5 (1-4 vs spread) in game following last five wins.
-- Cavaliers covered once in their last five games.
-- Orlando lost 11 of its last 12 games. Hawks won/covered once in their last five road games.
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Celtics lost 15 of their last 17 games.
-- 76ers lost seven of last eight games (2-6 vs spread). Knicks lost last four games, all by 10+ points.
-- Milwaukee lost its last nine games (2-7 vs spread). Pistons lost eight of last eleven games, covered three of last five.
-- Suns lost four of their last six games.

Series records
-- Charlotte lost its last seven games with the Clippers.
-- Bulls are 12-2 in last 14 games with Cleveland; this is Deng's first game against his old team.
-- Magic won last two games with Atlanta, after losing previous eleven games with the Hawks.
-- Raptors are 4-3 in their last seven games with Dallas.
-- Celtics won seven of last eight games with Washington.
-- Knicks won eight of last ten games with Philly.
-- Kings are 2-0 vs Houston this year, winning by 15-4 points.
-- Pistons won five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won four of last five games with San Antonio.
-- Pacers won last two games with Phoenix by 6-8 points.

Totals
-- Last eight Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Last four Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta road games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Dallas road games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Boston road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Philly road games stayed under.
-- Nine of last eleven Sacramento road games went over.
-- Ten of last fourteen Milwaukee home games stayed under.
-- Last three Thunder road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Indiana road games; last four Phoenix home games went over.

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Penguins won five of their last seven games.
-- Blackhawks won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Carolina lost three of its last four games. Flyers lost four of last six.
-- Montreal lost four of last six road games, but is 7-1 overall in game following their last eight losses.
-- Red Wings lost three of their last four games.
-- Calgary lost seven of its last eight games. Coyotes lost five of their last seven.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Carolina games stayed under the total. Over is 5-0-1 in Flyers' last six.
-- Four of last five Montreal road games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 15-9 in Calgary's home games this season.

Series records
-- Carolina is 2-0 vs Philly this season, both games ending 2-1, after they had lost 15 of last 17 games with the Flyers.
-- Penguins won three of last four games with Montreal.
-- Chicago rallied from 3-1 down to beat Detroit in seven games in LY's playoffs.
-- Coyotes lost their last three visits to the Saddledome.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free winner WED Iowa +3

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Hawks -4

Blackhawks -150

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Today's NBA Picks

LA Clippers at Charlotte

The Clippers head to Charlotte tonight with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Bobcats. LA is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 22 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 111.014; Washington 124.193 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 13; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 7; 195 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-7); Over

Game 703-704: Chicago at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.941; Cleveland 119.556 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-2 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Atlanta at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.491; Orlando 110.943 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

Game 707-708: Dallas at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.860; Toronto 117.888 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: LA Clippers at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.913; Charlotte 114.341 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 205 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 200 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6); Over

Game 711-712: Philadelphia at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 109.677; New York 114.966 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 8; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8); Over

Game 713-714: Detroit at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 112.871; Milwaukee 111.463 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5); Under

Game 715-716: Sacramento at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.010; Houston 126.286 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12 1/2; 222 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 216 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Indiana at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 129.119; Phoenix 122.738 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5); Under

Game 719-720: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.896; San Antonio 127.131 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 212 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 207 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Over

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Thunder at Spurs: What bettors need to know

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 207)

The Western Conference leadership is on the line when the host San Antonio Spurs attempt to cool off Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Durant scored 46 points in Tuesday’s victory over the Portland Trail Blazers to move Oklahoma City within a half-game of the Spurs, who have won have won seven of their last eight games. The Thunder have beaten the Spurs twice this season, including a 113-100 win in San Antonio on Dec. 21.

Durant is averaging 20.5 points against the Spurs this season but the previous two contests were played prior to Russell Westbrook being sidelined due to another knee surgery. The 46-point outing in which he was 6-of-7 from 3-point range is only Durant’s fourth-highest output of the month and he is averaging 39.3 points over the past eight games entering the latest showdown with San Antonio. “We know how tough it is to win there,” Durant said after the victory over Portland. “We know how tough that team is. You’ve just got to come prepared and with a lot of energy. I think our group is ready to come out there and play our game and we’ll see what happens.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Oklahoma, KENS (San Antonio)

LINE: Books opened San Antonio as a 5.5-point favorite and that was bet up to -6. The total opened at 207 points and has come down to 205.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-12.5) - Spurs (-14.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Spurs -4.5

ABOUT THE THUNDER (32-10, 24-18-0 ATS): Durant has scored 30 or more points in eight straight games and he finished with a flourish against the Trail Blazers after drawing an ill-advised technical foul with 3:45 remaining to help Portland increase its lead to five. He stepped up his play by scoring 11 points – including three 3-pointers — during a decisive 15-0 run as Oklahoma City recorded a 105-97 victory. “It was really a stupid, stupid reaction by me,” Durant said. “I could’ve hurt my team really badly. I was just more frustrated with myself, turning the ball over. I can’t hurt my team like that.”

ABOUT THE SPURS (32-9, 21-20-9 ATS): San Antonio has had a couple of days to rest up since Sunday’s victory over Milwaukee, and the timing was good with point guard Tony Parker (shin), center Tiago Splitter (shoulder) and forward Matt Bonner (broken nose) all ailing. Parker is expected to attempt to play against Oklahoma City and Bonner has been fitted with a protective mask. Forward Kawhi Leonard will again draw the assignment of attempting to slow down Durant, and he did a solid job in this season’s first two meetings.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Thunder had lost six straight visits to San Antonio prior to last month’s victory.

2. The Spurs have scored 100 or more points in 12 consecutive games.

3. Oklahoma City is 13-7 on the road but has lost three of its last four away games.

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River City Sports Syndicate

CBB
Massachusetts at Richmond
One of the Sharps favorite angles comes into play tonight, so we are going to gladly take our shot. If you look at the statistics and numbers for UMass vs. Richmond, it would be tough to make a case to go with the Spiders. UMass comes into the game ranked 13th in the country at 16-1. The one loss was a controversial loss at Florida State, so they are rolling. After a shaky start to the season, Richmond is playing much better basketball as evidenced by their gutty win over Dayton this weekend. All of that said, we hold true to a system that hits at over 75% and we have the situation tonight...

Always play the unranked home favorite over the ranked road dog ATS. This system has a historical success rate of over 75%, which is gold in this game. We need Richmond to just make a few more shots to get some confidence. Richmond -2 vs. the 13th ranked team in the country means they are "begging" you to take UMass here. No trap for us! We like the way Richmond is playing right now and we think that UMass is due for a stumble on the road, where it is always tough to win in the A10 on the road. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - RICHMOND-2

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POINTWISE

KEY RELEASES
NEVADA over Fresno State (Wed) RATING: 3
TEXAS TECH over West Virginia (Wed) RATING: 5

(7:00) VIRGINIA TECH 68 - Wake Forest 67 _____ _____

(7:00) Massachusetts 79 - RICHMOND 72 _____ _____

(7:00) TOWSON 74 - Northeastern 66 _____ _____

(7:00) ST JOSEPHS 76 - Rhode Island 59 _____ _____

(7:00) MICHIGAN 70 - Iowa 67 (BIG10) _____ _____

(7:00) HOFSTRA 68 - William & Mary 65 _____ _____

(7:00) Louisville 85 - SOUTH FLORIDA 62 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(7:00) Saint Louis 81 - DUQUESNE 71 _____ _____

(7:00) CHARLESTON 77 - NC-Wilmington 64 _____ _____

(7:00) DAYTON 72 - Virginia Commonwealth 69 (CBSC) _____ _____

(7:00) FORDHAM 66 - George Mason 60 _____ _____

(7:00) OHIO U 67 - Bowling Green 61 _____ _____

(7:00) MIAMI-OHIO 74 - Central Michigan 72 _____ _____

(7:00) EASTERN MICHIGAN 68 - Akron 67 _____ _____

(7:00) TOLEDO 75 - Northern Illinois 58 _____ _____

(7:30) MIAMI-FLORIDA 64 - Duke 63 (ESPN2) _____ _____

(8:00) WEST VIRGINIA 72 - Texas Tech 69 _____ _____

(8:00) TENNESSEE 80 - Arkansas 72 _____ _____

(8:00) Drake 63 - SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 62 _____ _____

(8:00) Wichita State 69 - ILLINOIS STATE 54 _____ _____

(8:00) Indiana State 67 - LOYOLA-CHICAGO 65 _____ _____

(8:00) Northern Iowa 74 - BRADLEY 67 _____ _____

(8:00) MISSISSIPPI STATE 68 - Auburn 64 _____ _____

(8:00) WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY 81 - Oakland 60 _____ _____

(8:00) Cleveland State 76 - ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 63 _____ _____

(8:00) GEORGIA 73 - South Carolina 65 _____ _____

(9:00) VANDERBILT 70 - Mississippi 67 _____ _____

(9:00) Wyoming 66 - AIR FORCE 61 _____ _____

(9:00) OKLAHOMA 72 - Tcu 50 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(9:00) Wisconsin 65 - MINNESOTA 56 (BIG10) _____ _____

(8:00) ST BONAVENTURE 76 - LaSalle 67 (CBSC) _____ _____

(10:00) San Diego State 78 - SAN JOSE STATE 69 _____ _____

(10:00) Oregon State 64 - WASHINGTON STATE 71 _____ _____

(10:00) Nevada 69 - FRESNO STATE 59 _____ _____

(11:00) UNLV 75 - Utah State 68 (CBSC) _____ _____

(11:00) California 78 - SO CALIFORNIA 67 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(7:00) CANISIUS 71 - Niagara 65 _____ _____

BEST BETS
UMASS
ST JOSEPHS
LOUISVILLE
CHARLESTON
TEXAS TECH (5)
WISCONSIN
ST BONAVENTURE
NEVADA (3)

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POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(7:05) WASHINGTON 106 - Boston Celtics 97 _____ _____

(7:05) CLEVELAND CAVS 97 - Chicago 91 (ESPN) _____ _____

(7:05) Atlanta Hawks 98 - ORLANDO MAGIC 90 (ESPN) _____ _____

(7:05) Dallas Mavericks 113 - TORONTO RAPTORS 106 _____ _____

(7:05) LA Clippers 95 - CHARLOTTE BOBCATS 90 _____ _____

(7:35) NEW YORK KNICKS 107 - Philadelphia 76ers 106 _____ _____

(8:05) Detroit Pistons 97 - MILWAUKEE BUCKS 91 _____ _____

(8:05) HOUSTON ROCKETS 98 - Sacramento Kings 91 _____ _____

(9:05) Indiana Pacers 100 - PHOENIX SUNS 97 _____ _____

(9:35) SAN ANTONIO 113 - Oklahoma City 104 (ESPN) _____ _____

BEST BETS
WASHINGTON (1)
DALLAS (4)
PHILADELPHIA
DETROIT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

**PREFERRED
*Washington over Boston by 14
The Wizards have been rebounding well and doing a good protecting the basket in
the paint with underrated big men Marcin Gortat and Nene ranking in the top eight
in post up defense. The Celtics surprised a few teams early, but that's not the case anymore. Rajon Rondo isn't expected back until after the All-Star break so the Wizards
also have a huge backcourt edge.
WASHINGTON 107-93.

Chicago over *Cleveland by 1
The Bulls are a perfect 7-0 ATS versus foes with a losing record through Jan. 12.
CHICAGO 92-91.

Atlanta over *Orlando by 3
Atlanta is much worse on the road, but the Magic had failed to cover in 10 of their
last 12 through Jan. 12.
ATLANTA 95-92.

Dallas over *Toronto by 1
Despite outscoring Toronto, 60-40, in the paint the Mavericks still lost 109-108 in
overtime to the Raptors at home on Dec. 20. Toronto was 14-3 ATS in its last 17
games through Jan. 12.
DALLAS 104-103.

Los Angeles Clippers over *Charlotte by 1
Charlotte is great as an underdog while the Chris Paul-less Clippers are playing in their
fourth road game in six days.
LA CLIPPERS 92-91.

*New York over Philadelphia by 6
The 76ers close out a three-game road swing here while playing for the fourth time in
six days.
NEW YORK 109-103.

Detroit over *Milwaukee by 2
No team is weaker at home than Milwaukee, which had failed to cover in 13 of its
first 17 games at Bradley Center.
DETROIT 105-103.

*Houston over Sacramento by 14
The Kings may be out of energy as this marks the end of a six-game, nine-day road
swing.
HOUSTON 116-102.

Indiana over *Phoenix by 7
The under has cashed 15 of the last 17 times when the Pacers have played on one day's rest. Phoenix is going to struggle to score against the league's No. 1 defense without Eric Bledsoe.
INDIANA 91-84.

**PREFERRED
*San Antonio over Oklahoma City by 13
San Antonio has been idle since Sunday and in a rare double revenge spot. The
Thunder beat the Spurs 94-88 at home and 113-100 on the road, which ended a
string of six consecutive regular-season losses at San Antonio. Both of Oklahoma
City's victories occurred with Russell Westbrook in the lineup, a luxury the Thunder
no longer have.
SAN ANTONIO 109-96.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Virginia Tech* over Wake Forest by 1

Richmond* over UMass by 2

**PREFERRED
Towson* over Northeastern by 16
Northeastern go-to inside scorer Scott Etherton may or may not be able to make some
moves around his Towson counterpart, the ex-Georgetown transfer and last season’s
CAA Player of the Year, Jerelle Benimon. But when Towson has the ball, Benimon figures to roll through Etherton like he isn’t there.
TOWSON, 78-62.

St. Joseph’s* over Rhode Island by 8

Michigan* over Iowa by 4

William & Mary over Hofstra* by 3

Louisville over South Florida* by 10

Saint Louis over Duquesne* by 9

College of Charleston* over NC Wilmington by 12

Dayton* over VCU by 1

George Mason over Fordham* by 3

Ohio* over Bowling Green by 17

Miami OH* over Central Michigan by 3

Eastern Michigan* over Akron by 4

Toledo* over Northern Illinois by 19

Miami-FL* over Duke by 1
Ha-ha, Duke. Keep losing on the ACC road to better defensive teams, then go cry in
the locker room.
MIAMI-FL, 65-54.

West Virginia* over Texas Tech by 14
The first game only went to OT in Lubbock because West Virginia couldn’t hit their
free throws.
WEST VIRGINIA, 75-61.

Tennessee* over Arkansas by 9
Not the best match-up for Arkansas: heady home guards who don’t turn it over, two
steady bigs to crash the boards and contain run-outs.
TENNESSEE, 73-64.

Southern Illinois* over Drake by 1

Wichita State over Illinois State* by 8

Indiana State over Loyola-Chicago* by 5

Northern Iowa over Bradley* by 9

Mississippi State* over Auburn by 1

Wisconsin-GB* over Oakland by 14

Cleveland State over Illinois-Chicago* by 5

Georgia* over South Carolina by 5

Vanderbilt* over Mississippi by 3

Wyoming over Air Force* by 1

Oklahoma* over TCU by 15
The Sooners score a lot, better than 86 per game. TCU doesn’t score much, 68 per
game. But the Sooners’ suspect defense raises yellow caution flag about covering large
numbers.
OKLAHOMA, 75-60.

Wisconsin over Minnesota* by 6

St. Bonaventure* over Lasalle by 2

San Diego State over San Jose State* by 20

Washington State* over Oregon State by 3

Fresno State* over Nevada by 3
With every passing week, it gets harder and harder to like Fresno, easier to like
Nevada.
FRESNO STATE, 71-68.

UNLV* over Utah State by 3

California over USC* by 8