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The best and worst bets against divisional foes in MLB
By JASON LOGAN
Winning divisional matchups are imperative to climbing the MLB standings at this point in the season. Teams looking to make a postseason push, or just hoping to get on the right track, need to handle their business against familiar foes with the schedule back loaded with divisional games.
Here are some of the best and worst divisional wagers in the major leagues, heading into Tuesday:
Pittsburgh Pirates (67-44 overall, 30-18 vs. NL Central)
A big part of Pittsburgh’s success has been its dominance over divisional rivals. The Bucs recently rolled the St. Louis Cardinals, winning four of five in the series. The Pirates have an upcoming three-game set with St. Louis and round out the schedule with 26 of their final 33 games coming against divisional opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays (52-60 overall, 18-30 vs. AL East)
The AL East is a beast of a division. Toronto was pegged to top the standings this offseason but things haven’t gone according to plan north of the border. The Blue Jays are the tackling dummies of the division and haven’t won a divisional series since sweeping Baltimore in three games at home back in June. Toronto has 12 more divisional games by the end of the month and close 2013 with 15 of its final 16 contests against the AL East.
Detroit Tigers (65-45 overall, 28-16 vs. AL Central)
The Tigers have leaned on their control over the AL Central to keep them at the top of the league standings. Detroit has owned divisional foes this season, recently sweeping the White Sox and defeating the Indians Monday night. The Tigers have a massive five-game home stand versus surging Kansas City in the middle of August and play 18 of their final 28 games inside the AL Central.
Chicago Cubs (49-62 overall, 16-31 vs. NL Central)
Take away the Cubbies’ terrible record versus divisional foes and they’re actually two games above .500. Chicago’s struggles against the NL Central hit rock bottom when it dropped three of four games to the Brewers last week. No one in the National League is missing the Houston Astros more than the Cubs right now. They have an upcoming nine-game stretch versus the Cardinals and Reds and wrap the season with 20 of the final 23 games versus the division.
Texas Rangers (63-50 overall, 31-14 vs. AL West)
Oakland may lead the AL West but even the A’s know which clubs runs the division. Texas is 8-5 against each Oakland and Seattle, 7-2 versus Houston and 8-2 against Los Angeles. The Rangers took two of three over the A’s this past weekend and opened a three-game set with a win over the Halos Monday. Texas plays a four-game series with the Astros later this week and finishes the year with 16 of 26 against the AL West. -
Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with the Nationals on Tuesday and likes the A’s on Wednesday.
The deficit is 1437 sirignanos.Comment
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The Factsman
MLB Wednesday Video Pick
Chicago White Sox
(C. Sabathia vs H. Santiago)Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Hamels is 2-2, 2.30 in his last six starts, but Phillies lost his last three, scoring a total of six runs. Koehler is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 7-2, 2.24 in his last ten starts. Harvey is 1-1, 1.74 in his last three.
-- Miller is 3-1, 3.58 in his last five starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-1, 1.47 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 11-1, 1.61 in his last 14 starts. Bailey is 1-1, 1.76 in his last two.
-- Archer is 4-1, 1.42 in his last five starts. Delgado is 3-0, 2.61 in his last three.
-- Fister is 4-0, 1.61 in his last four starts. Salazar won his only '13 start, allowing Texas one run in six IP.
-- Cosart is 1-0, 1.29 in four starts this season.
-- Deduno is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.
-- Santiago has a 2.63 RA in his last two starts, but White Sox lost his last six outings, scoring 10 runs in those six games.
Cold pitchers
-- Medlen is 2-3, 7.09 in his last five starts. Zimmerman is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three home starts.
-- Wood is 1-2, 5.66 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 2-2, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 4.29 in his last four starts (less than six IP in all four).
-- Estrada is 0-2, 7.36 in his last two starts, last of which was June 3.
-- MGonzalez lost his last two starts, allowing 15 runs in 8.1 IP. Stults is 0-3, 7.13 in his last three starts.
-- Dempster has an 8.55 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 0-4, 9.76 in his last five starts.
-- Hanson is 0-0, 9.35 in his last four starts; Angels are 2-4 in his no-decisions. Ogando is 0-1, 3.72 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 1-3, 6.55 in his last four starts. Happ is 1-2, 6.53 in his last five starts; this is his first start since being hit by a line drive May 7 in Tampa.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Medlen 9-22; Zimmerman 3-22
-- Wood 3-22; Hamels 4-23
-- Koehler 5-13; Morton 2-9
-- Chacin 2-21 (0 of last 16); Harvey 4-22 (1 of last 11)
-- Nolasco 7-22; Miller 5-21 (0 of last 8)
-- Estrada 3-12; Bumgarner 3-22
-- Colon 5-22; Bailey 3-22 (1 of last 14)
-- Gonzalez 6-19; Stults 7-23
-- Archer 2-12; Delgado 3-9
-- Happ 1-7; Harang 7-18
-- Fister 5-22 (0 of last 4); Salazar 0-1
-- Dempster 8-21; Cosart 1-4
-- Deduno 4-13; Duffy 0-0
-- Sabathia 6-23; Santiago 3-15
-- Ogando 2-13; Hanson 4-12
Totals
-- 11 of last 14 Washington road games stayed under. .
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Miami games.
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Dodger games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Kansas City's last thirteen games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx road games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Texas games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Toronto road games went over total.
Hot teams
-- Braves won their last 12 games, scoring 70 runs.
-- Pirates won seven of their last nine games.
-- Dodgers are 32-8 in their last 40 games, winning 15 of last 16 on road.
-- Padres won six of their last nine games.
-- Detroit won 14 of its last 15 games. Indians won ten of their last thirteen, but they're 1-10 in last eleven games vs Detroit.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Royals won 12 of their last 14 games. Minnesota won four of last five.
-- White Sox won last two games, allowing three runs, after losing their previous ten games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
Cold teams
-- Washington lost five of their last seven games.
-- Philly lost 13 of their last 15 games. Cubs lost their last five games.
-- Marlins lost their last three games, scoring six runs.
-- Colorado lost seven of last eight games. Mets lost four of their last six.
-- Cardinals lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last six games. San Francisco lost 11 of its last 16 games, scoring nine runs in its last four games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last six games. Reds lost seven of last ten.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last five games. Arizona lost six of last nine.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last thirteen games.
-- Houston lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost 12 of their last 18 games.
-- Angels lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.
Umpires
-- Atl-Wsh-- Four of last five Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Chi-Phil-- Five of last seven Baker games stayed under the total.
-- Mia-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Carapazza games stayed under total.
-- Col-NY-- Ten of last twelve Randazzo games stayed under total.
-- LA-StL-- Favorites won six of last seven Nelson games.
-- Mil-SF-- Six of last eight BWelke games stayed under the total.
-- A's-Cin-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Hoye games.
-- Blt-SD-- Last four Demuth games went over the total.
-- TB-Az-- Underdogs won ten of last sixteen TWelke games.
-- Det-Cle-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Guccione games.
-- Bos-Hst-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last twelve Carlson games.
-- Min-KC-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Conroy games.
-- NY-Chi-- Five of last six Gibson games stayed under total.
-- Tex-LA-- Road team won nine of last twelve Timmons games.
-- Tor-Sea-- Favorites won 11 of last 14 Scott games.Comment
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Mitch Wilson
Dog Of The Day: Cubs with WoodComment
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Baseball Crusher
New York Yankees -108 over Chicago White Sox
(System Record: 60-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 60-64-1
Soccer Crusher
Victoria + Fluminense OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 438-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 438-373-58Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to follow up their 9-8 win over the Cubs last night and take advantage of a Chicago team that is 0-6 in Travis Wood's last 6 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160). Here are all of today's picks.
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 7
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 901-902: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 16.781; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); UnderGame 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 13.308; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.812
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); OverGame 905-906: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.532; Pittsburgh (Morton) 16.984
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); UnderGame 907-908: Colorado at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.498; NY Mets (Harvey) 13.783
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+180); OverGame 909-910: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.322; St. Louis (Miller) 16.724
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); OverGame 911-912: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.286; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.135
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+195); UnderGame 913-914: Toronto at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.408; Seattle (Harang) 14.050
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); UnderGame 915-916: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 17.884; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.271
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); OverGame 917-918: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dempster) 16.023; Houston (Cosart) 14.018
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); UnderGame 919-920: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 16.258; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.238
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 921-922: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.583; White Sox (Santiago) 15.676
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); OverGame 923-924: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 16.254; LA Angels (Hanson) 14.178
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); UnderGame 925-926: Oakland at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.074; Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.721
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); UnderGame 927-928: Baltimore at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.788; San Diego (Stults) 14.486
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); OverGame 929-930: Tampa Bay at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.537; Arizona (Delgado) 14.013
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); UnderComment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 1075-806 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !
Free winner WED: Nationals -135Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Plays Wednesday
Tampa Bay -135
Cleveland/Detroit under 8.5Comment
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Cappers Access
Nationals -135
W.Sox +110Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
MLB MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season
52-26 since 1997. ( 66.7% 28.4 units )
8-7 this year. ( 53.3% 1.9 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB MIAMI at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 61-37 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: PITTSBURGH (4.0) , OPPONENT (3.4)Comment
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River City Sharps
2 UNITS Washington Nationals MLComment
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Quality Sports Picks
MLB
10 unit - Baltimore Orioles -120
(Listed Pitchers Only)Comment
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The Rami Post
CBX's MLB
Oakland @ Cincinnati (12:35pm EDT)
Oakland ML +110
Toronto @ Seattle (3:40pm EDT)
Seattle ML -120
Atlanta @ Washington (7:05pm EDT)
Washington ML -135Comment
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