6-24-13

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Blackhawks at Bruins: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins (-125, 4.5)

Blackhawks lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

The Boston Bruins have been here before - facing elimination prior to hosting Game 6 of the Stanley Cup final against the reigning Presidents' Trophy winner. After responding admirably with a pair of wins against Vancouver in 2011, the Bruins will look to take the first step in that regard on Monday when they host the Chicago Blackhawks. Adding to Boston's uphill climb is the uncertain status of two-way center Patrice Bergeron, who is listed as day-to-day with what coach Claude Julien referred to as a "body" injury.

"I don't know if he will skate (Monday)," Julien said of the King Clancy Memorial Trophy recipient. "He may. That's what day-to-day is. I'm trying to be as clear as I can be here." Chicago has its own injury issue to address as captain Jonanthan Toews sat out the entire third period of the team's 3-1 triumph in Game 5 with an upper-body injury. "Johnny is doing much better today," coach Joel Quenneville said the reigning Selke Trophy winner. "He's progressed, and we're optimistic that he'll be playing (Monday) night."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: With two goals on Saturday, Patrick Kane has scored seven times in as many games to seize a share of the NHL lead. Game 6 of the Stanley Cup brings about fond memories for the 24-year-old Kane, who beat then-Philadelphia goaltender Michael Leighton from a sharp angle to ignite a wild celebration in 2010. Kane's knack for the big goal isn't lost on his teammates. "That's the type of player he is," defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson said. "When it comes down to the wire in big games, that's when he wants the puck. That's when he wants to score the big goals."

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Should Bergeron be a spectator, Julien can take solace in knowing that rookie Carl Soderberg stepped up admirably in his absence on Saturday. Brad Marchand, however, has struggled mightily in the Stanley Cup final as the Nova Scotia native is still searching for his first point. "Pucks aren't finding their way into the net and I'm not making many plays," Marchand admitted on Sunday. That's a far cry from his five-goal effort versus the Canucks in 2011.

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 7-1 in their last eight home games.
* Under is 11-2-2 in Blackhawks’ last 15 road games.
* Under is 4-1 in Bruins’ last five home games.

OVERTIME

1. Kane is tied with Boston C David Krejci and Bergeron with an NHL-leading nine goals. He also shares top honors with Bruins RW Nathan Horton with 19 points.

2. Boston captain Zdeno Chara was on the ice for all three of Chicago's goals in Game 5 and eight of the last nine.

3. Should the Bruins win on Monday, the series shifts back to the United Center for Game 7 on Wednesday.

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Bruins favorites in Game 6; big series underdogs

The Chicago Blackhawks have moved from -130 Stanley Cup Final series favorites to -340 after their 3-1 victory in Game 5 Saturday.

The Blackhawks now have a commanding 3-2 series lead, but are +115 underdogs for Game 6 Monday night in Boston, which is now a +280 series dog.

Game 5 winners in a 2-2 Cup Final scenario have gone on to win the Cup nearly 70 percent of the time since 1939.

Chicago captain Jonathan Toews sustained an upper-body injury Saturday night after taking a hit in the third period and is questionable for Monday. Toews has two goals and 12 points for Chicago in 22 playoff games this season.

The Bruins responded with a thrilling come-from-behind victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs in their only previous elimination game this year. The B’s erased a three-goal deficit late in the third period to force overtime and set up Patrice Bergeron for the game-winner.

Bergeron suffered an undisclosed injury during Game 5 and was taken to a local hospital for evaluation. He has since been released, but his status for Game 6 is unknown. The 27-year-old has been a key cog for the Bruins, netting nine goals and adding six assists this postseason.

Boston is 8-3 in elimination games over the past five seasons (6-4-1 over/under).

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Rounding the bases: The best bets in the bigs

Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in Major League Baseball.

For the week of June 17-23.

Hot team: Toronto Blue Jays
Last week: 6-0
Season: 38-36
Upcoming schedule: at Rays, at Red Sox

Skinny: The Blue Jays have won a franchise record-tying 11 consecutive games heading into a three-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays.

Cold team: Kansas City Royals
Last week: 2-4
Season: 35-38
Upcoming schedule: vs. Braves, at Twins

Skinny: The Royals halted a four-game slide with a 7-6 win over the Chicago White Sox Sunday. They were only able to conjure up two wins behind James Shields last week. Kansas City’s other four starters went 0-4.

Over team: Oakland Athletics
Last week: 5-1-1 over/under
Season: 43-34-1
Upcoming schedule: vs. Reds, vs. Cardinals

Skinny: The A’s averaged 5.3 runs per game and allowed 5.1 in seven games last week .

Under team: St. Louis Cardinals
Last week: 1-5 over/under (not including Sunday night game)
Season: 38-34-3 over/under
Upcoming schedule: at Astros, at A’s

Skinny: Cardinals pitchers held the opposition to an average of three runs per game last week.

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NL Central teams a great under play last week

National League Central teams were an awesome under play last week.

The Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers had a combined 7-24-2 over/under record (not including the Cardinals' Sunday night game).

Here is a breakdown of how each team fared:

Chicago Cubs: 1-6 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $441.81

Pittsburgh Pirates: 1-5-1 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $394.74

Cincinnati Reds: 1-5-1 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $359.20

St. Louis Cardinals: 1-5 over/under (not including results from Sunday nighter)
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $342.65

Milwaukee Brewers: 3-3 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: -$20.12

Every team in the division has Monday off and all five teams will be back in action Tuesday.

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Confederations Cup odds: Spain the team to beat

Spain (+110) is the new favorite at the Confederations Cup.

The Spaniards wrapped up Group B play with a convincing 3-nil win over Nigeria and will square off with Italy on Thursday in the semifinals.

Brazil, which was the pre-tournament favorite (+140), will take on Uruguay in the other semifinal matchup on Wednesday.

Here are the outright odds courtesy of UWIN:

Spain +110
Brazil +140
Italy +550
Uruguay +1200

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

06/24/13 Prediction

Season: 321-198 (.618)

Stanley Cup Finals
Game 6, best-of-7
BOSTON 3, Chicago 2

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cubs Sunday. Monday it’s the Rays.

The correct deficit is 758 sirignanos.

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Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks + Boston Bruins OVER 4.5
(System Record: 78-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 78-55-4

Baseball Crusher
Toronto Blue Jays +105 over Tampa
(System Record: 45-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 45-40-1

Soccer Crusher
Malmo FF+ Elfsborg UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Sweden
(System Record: 416-15, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 416-361-52

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Hondo

Philadelphia Phillies

"Hondo connected with the Mets and Reds yesterday and could have made it a trey, if not for the brutal, bumbling and boneheaded Bosawx, whose flop in Detroit caused a reduction in the deficit to only 420 conleys.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects Cliffy to provide some cheers in San Diego — 10 units on the Phillies."

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Ryu is 3-0, 1.78 in his last five home starts. Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 5-0, 2.31 in his last six starts. Stults is 4-1, 1.58 in his last seven.


-- Jimenez is 1-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Rogers is 2-0, 2.11 in four starts this season.


Cold pitchers
-- Britton is 1-1, 5.56 in two starts this season.
-- Hellickson has a 7.43 RA in his last four home starts.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Bumgarner 0-15; Ryu 3-14 (0 of last 7)
-- Lee 1-15; Stults 4-15 (3 of last 4)

-- Jimenez 4-14 (0 of last 4); Britton 1-2
-- Rogers 1-4; Hellickson 7-15 (0 of last 5)


Totals
-- Over is 11-5-2 in last eighteen San Diego games.
-- Last four Dodger home games went over the total.

-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cleveland won four of its last five games.
-- Blue Jays won their last eleven games, scoring 70 runs.

Cold teams
-- San Diego lost four of its last six games. Phillies lost three of last four.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine games. Dodgers lost four of their last five home games.

-- Orioles lost their last three games, allowing 24 runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last twelve games.

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LA Syndicate Monday Top Play
Saturday 4-1 & Sunday 3-1 - Last 2 Days 7-2 Run
Los Angeles Dodgers -106

Chicago Syndicate Monday NHL Top Play
Bruins/Blackhawks Over 4.5 Goals (-135)

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Today's MLB Picks

Toronto at Tampa Bay

The Rays look to build on their 5-0 record in Jeremy Hellickson's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 24 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.568; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.712 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Over

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.513; San Diego (Stults) 15.226 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 905-906: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.972; Baltimore (Britton) 16.053 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over

Game 907-908: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.864; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.226 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Boston

The Blackhawks look to follow up their 3-1 win in Game 5 and build on their 16-7 record in their last 23 games after a win by two goals or more in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 24 Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 61-62: Chicago at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.704; Boston 12.723 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-130); 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1048-787 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon Baltimore -130