View Full Version : Boxing 2013 tracker
edman5555
03-30-2013, 12:14 PM
Woah Luke with the boxing bet. I'm tempted to tail you.
Woah Luke with the boxing bet. I'm tempted to tail you.
Its 3 months into the year and I havent bet shit. Its time to wake the hell up
edman5555
03-30-2013, 01:33 PM
I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I'm tempted to tail you.
Me too.
Its 3 months into the year and I havent bet shit. Its time to wake the hell up
'Bout time, goddamn it!
Should've bet that Pope shit. . .
I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I think a proper approach involves both dogs and faves. I can't remember what the exact stats were but I'm pretty sure I remember Svino posting something that said on average there's usually about a 70/30 split between dogs and faves. If dogs are winning 30% of fights on average, then that's definitely something to exploit. But you can't forget that faves still win the majority of the time.
And I know this is obvious, but most important factor in making money is, quite simply, accuracy. The more bets you win the more money you make. It doesn't matter how much "value" there was in a line if the guy you bet doesn't win and vice versa.
I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I dont think the Reem bet was stupid. He got cocky in the 3rd and got caught . My problem is I just dont have the time to look at things anymore. I'm usually gone from 6:30 in the morning till 8 at night , then I have HW to do.
edman5555
03-30-2013, 03:25 PM
Yeah i hear you. Reem gassed though. I shouldnt have bet it so big considering the layoff and the lack of roids.
Yeah i hear you. Reem gassed though. I shouldnt have bet it so big considering the layoff and the lack of roids.
If they fight again....and I'm sure they probably will....I'd bet Reem
At any odds?
At the same odds he was the first time, whatever that was.
edman5555
03-30-2013, 03:46 PM
If they fight again....and I'm sure they probably will....I'd bet Reem
How about jds? If no, who would you take in a kickboxing match?
At the same odds he was the first time, whatever that was.
-400
How about jds? If no, who would you take in a kickboxing match?
Probably JDS in both instances
Can anyone make out what Bob Arum says right after the 4:00 mark of this video?
http://www.toprank.tv/shared/flash/mediaplayer/v4.4/R3/MP4.jsp?calendar_event_id=195-123929&content_id=25868293&media_id=&view_key=&media_type=&source=TOPRANK&sponsor=TOPRANK&clickOrigin=&affiliateId=&fight_key=2013_03_30_rios_alvarado
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 10:24 PM
If I lose I am deleting Luke from my life.
8.1u to win 2u on Brandon Rios
Well fuck it. . .
Brandon Rios: 3u to win 1u
(Y'all got some shitty fucking odds.)
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 10:46 PM
Where is he -300 at?!
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 10:57 PM
Right after you posted that I looked at it...it was -400
I'm looking at it right now and Sportsbook has it at -300.
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 11:15 PM
My favorite book is 5 dimes.
ok, I sense the sarcasm now.
BOL
But yeah, SB has him at -300.
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 11:34 PM
This fight is awesome....Rios is gonna get the KO
poopoo333
03-30-2013, 11:35 PM
I posted that and Rios got badly wobbled...WOW FUCK
edman5555
03-31-2013, 12:01 AM
Who won?
poopoo333
03-31-2013, 12:10 AM
Who won?
Chael Sonnen
Gay. Guess I'll go back to not betting.
It was a good decision.
poopoo333
03-31-2013, 07:57 AM
Agreed...Rios clearly lost.
poopoo333
03-31-2013, 07:58 AM
I would have loved to see the line on Alvarado in live betting after round 2
I would have loved to see the line on Alvarado in live betting after round 2
Shit , it was probably -1000.
A lot of people on the net think Rios took his foot off the gas in the second half of the fight to ensure a third fight and another big payday. I dont buy it. I think using his head to stop punches is what cost him the fight.
I'd guess the line for the third fight will be around -225 for Rios and I'm going to get back what I lost tonight on that fight
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