5-15-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

TUESDAY

100* Play San Antonio (-11.5) over LA Clippers (TOP NBA PLAY)
9:30 PM EST

San Antonio has covered the spread in 15 of the last 17 games after having won 20 or more of the last 25 games and they have also covered the spread in 35 of the last 51 games coming off a game as a favorite. San Antonio has covered the spread in 36 of the last 52 games as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 25 of the last 33 home games.

50* Play Miami (-7) over Indiana (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play NY Yankees (-155) over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

CC Sabathia has won 13 of the last 15 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 30 of the last 42 games as a favorite of -125 to -175. CC Sabathia is 16-2 vs. Baltimore over his career with an ERA of 2.86 and he is 3-0 over his last three starts with an ERA of 1.50.

50* Play Texas (-240) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Washington (-230) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs

Similar to the Lakers vs. Thunder series, this series between the Los
Angeles Clippers (44-29. 36-35 ATS) and the San Antonio Spurs (54-16, 45-21-4
ATS) also features a team playing with just one day off after playing Game 7 of
its opening round series taking on a high seed that had had a prolonged
rest following a sweep. To their credit, the Clippers won Game 7 on the road
Sunday vs. a Memphis Grizzlies team that had been great at home all year.
Unfortunately, the fifth seeds now get to take on the top-seeded Spurs, who have
not played since last Monday night after making quick work of the Utah
Jazz. Game 1 of this Western Conference semifinal is on Tuesday night from the
AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX at 9:30 ET on TNT.

The Clippers were 7-point underdogs to the Grizzlies on Sunday after it
had appeared that they had blown their chance to win that series in Game 6 at
home, but instead they held Memphis to an atrocious 32.5 percent shooting in
the ugly 82-72 win. That victory was keyed by the Clippers bench, as it
scored 25 off the team's 27 fourth quarter points and outscored the Memphis
bench 41-11 overall. And thus the Clippers have advanced to the second round
for just the third time in 41 years, and they did it with Chris Paul and Blake
Griffin both playing hurt. Paul scored the only bucket by a starter in the
fourth quarter while Griffin sat for much of the stanza, but it did not
matter as Griffin's backup Kenyon Martin finished with 11 points and another
backup, Nick Young, added 13. The Clips only shot 38.5 percent themselves, but
that turned out to be good enough as the Grizzlies could not put the ball in
the ocean while going an unbelievable 0-for-13 from three-point land. Now
this short turnaround hurts with the two Los Angeles stars still nursing
injuries, but it is reassuring that the bench can be relied upon when necessary.


The Spurs are one of the oldest teams in the NBA, so they probably did not
mind the week off one bit. This team finished second in the league in
scoring at 103.7 points per game led by its veteran trio of Tim Duncan, Manu
Ginobili and Tony Parker, so that Clipper defense certainly has its work cut out
for it. Speaking of defense, San Antonio finished just 16th in that
department at 96.5 points per game during the regular season, but as you might
expect from the veteran, well-coached group, it was able to turn up the heat when
it had to, limiting the Jazz to just 86.2 points per game on 38.2 percent
shooting during the first round. The Spurs can beat you in so many ways and
that is why they own the best record in the NBA against the spread by a
fairly wide margin, at 45-21-4, 68.2 percent. San Antonio has now won 14
consecutive games going back to the regular season and it is an incredible 25-2
straight up in the last 27 games, although it did have a 12-0-1 ATS run snapped
when it failed to cover the fourth and final game of the Utah series on the
road.

The Spurs have dominated this head-to-head series going 11-3 against the
spread in the last 14 meetings including 2-1 both straight up and ATS this
season, but the Clippers did win the last meeting 120-108 right here in San
Antonio on March 9th. It should be noted though that the Spurs sat Parker in
that game and that Duncan and Ginobili played limited minutes. The high score
was nothing new however as the 'over' is now 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings
here in the Lone Star State.

Pick: OVER 190.5

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-103)

Listed Pitchers: Price vs Alvarez
(Note: I'm risking 2.06 units to win 2.00 units)

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox - WHITE SOX TO WIN (-124)

Listed Pitchers: Scherzer vs Peavy
(Note: I'm risking 2.48 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 190.5 Spurs/Clippers

50* Chicago White Sox -125

[Mr. IWS]

Reno Sports Advisors

4* OVER 8 - Chicago Cubs / St. Louis Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Tampa Bay -106 over TORONTO

The Blue Jays have dropped six of nine. Over that span, they lost two out of three to the two clubs with the worst records in the AL being the Angels and Twins. The Jays don’t have a player hitting .300. Brett Lawrie leads the team with a .288 average. The guys that they’re relying on most, Jose Bautista, Adam Lind, Colby Rasmus and Yunel Escobar are hitting .194, .184, .222 and .248 respectively. The Jays are making poor pitchers look good and now they’ll face one of the best in the game in David Price. Price posted outstanding numbers in 2010. In 2011, he blossomed into a true ace and he continues to excel this season with a 5-2 record, 15BB/39K’s in 45 IP, a 50% groundball rate and a 2.98 ERA. Henderson Alvarez is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA but there are some concerns. He’s walked just 13 in 48 frames but his strikeout total of just 14 says he’s not missing many bats and is at the mercy of his defense. Alvarez’s last three starts have come against Minnesota, L.A. Angels and Seattle and that trio will skew anyone’s numbers to the good. Alvarez has plenty of upside but he’s still just 22 years-old, he’s had no AAA experience and that low strikeout rate suggests some struggles are likely. Play: Tampa Bay -106 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

San Diego +202 over WASHINGTON

Price and total dictates play on the Padres. What we have here is a total of six meaning that this one could very well be decided by the pens. With that distinct possibility, we’ll gladly take our chances with Anthony Bass, a starter that is far under the radar. Bass went unnoticed when he was called up in 2011 and spent most his time in the bullpen. He posted a 1.68 ERA in 27 appearances but still didn’t get much recognition for that small sample playing in a small market. Now in the rotation, Bass looks even better. His good strikeout rate from the minors has returned. Bass's heavy ground-ball mix has also contributed to his success and projects well going into the future. His strand rate is normal has stabilized and his xERA say that his early-season success is the real thing. The Padres could conceivably win by scoring two runs and again, the price makes them very playable. Play: San Diego +202 (Risking 2 units).

Pass NBA/NHL

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

St Louis/ Chicago Over 8: Cardinal home games have averaged 10.8 rpg this year, with the Over going 13-3 in those games. Last night they were only able to score 4 runs off of Dempster, but they also didn't have Beltran in the lineup for that one. He should be in the lineup today and that will help this Cardinals offense get back on track here. The Cardinals have hit .290 and they score 6.3 rpg at home and that should continue today vs Paul Maholm who has a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Cardinals and a 4.63 ERA in 4 career starts here. Paul has also struggled on the road in his career, with a 5.05 ERA, plus he has a 4.71 career ERA in day starts. Kyle Lohse has had a good start to the year with a 2.08 ERA, but he has struggled with the Cubs in his career, posting a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts vs them, including a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Both offenses are more than capable of 4+ runs in this one.

OTHER PLAY

2 UNIT PLAY

WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120) over San Diego: The Nats offense seems to be coming around a bit and should be able to score off Bass. Stephen Strasburg has been excellent this year with a 3-0 mark and a 1.64 ERA, but in day games he has been nearly unhittable so far, posting an 0.47 ERA in 3 starts, with the Nats winning all 3 starts. Look for another easy win by the Nats today.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

918 Twins +123 @ 1:10p
905 Cubs +162 @ 1:45p
920 White Sox -118 @ 2:10p
921 Mariners +165 @ 4:05p
923 A's +150 @ 7:05p
925 Rays -117 @ 7:05p
928 Orioles +138 @ 7:05p
907 Brewers -140 @ 7:10p
912 Braves -112 @ 7:10p
914 Dodgers -122 @ 10:10p
915 Rockies +145 @ 10:15p

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 123-138 Season-to-Date +$380
Game: Cleveland at Minnesota (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +120 (moneyline)

The Cleveland Indians started last season turning some heads, and they did the same thing this year. Then all of a sudden, like last year, they have crashed and burned. The Tribe used a 16-7 run to once again look like a contender, but they have migrated back to the pretender that they truly are as they did a year ago. The Tribe has won just twice in their last seven as their pitching is beginning to be exposed, allowing over 6 runs per game in the process. This has been a rough spot for Cleveland, playing on the road to a high total of 9 to 10.5 where they are 6-15 in their last 21. Minnesota has been as advertised - a team that is going to lose a lot of games, but find themselves in a good spot here. Play on Minnesota.

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSPortsGroup MLB

San Diego v. Philadelphia 1:05pm
PICK: Phillies RL (-1.5) +115 Game

Detroit v. Chicago 2:10pm
PICK: Tigers ML +105 Game

Seattle v. Boston 4:05pm
PICK: Boston RL (-1.5) +115 Game

Milwaukee v. NY 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game -105

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker

over sea/BOS
over az/LAD

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Tuesday's Action
40 Dime winner going out on the Miami Heat agaanst the Indiana Pacers. The visitcing Pacers. At the time I release this selection, the Heat are priced as the 7 point favrrite both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

Best Pitcher System -749 .............Yankees -145

Shutout System -395 ............... Oakland +155

Total System + 500 ................. Marlins - UNDER -110

Diamond Dog System -625 ............... D`backs +115

Hot Trend System -685 ................. Red Sox RUN LINE +115

Moneyball = Phillies RUN LINE and LEE must pitch

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

CHC @ STL (-170) [10:45am PDT]
CHC @ STL u8.5 (-110) [10:45am PDT]
DET @ CWS u8 (-105) [11:10am PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
NBA:
4* Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies sports
500* over clippers
500* under miami heat
500* indiana pacers

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
300,000* Reds (With Cueto and Hudson)
100,000* Spurs

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

Complete Card

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

San Francisco/ Colorado Over 6.5: (Added) With the way that Tim Lincecum has pitched this year, I didn't expect to see an OU line this low in many of his games. What's even crazier is to see an OU line the low in a game that Jeremy Guthrie is pitching. Jeremy has a 5.92 ERA overall and a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts, while in 1 start vs the Giants this year he allowed 6 ER in just 3.1 innings worth of work. San Fran is not a great offense, but they have scored 3.7 rpg on the year and 15 runs in their last 3 games. They should be able to tag Jeremy for a few here. The Rockie offense does struggle to score away from home and they may be without Troy in this one, but Tim has really struggled this year and the Rockies still have plenty of players that can hit. We also get the added advantage of having the wind blowing out to center in this one as well. I expect both teams to easily hit 3 runs in this one.

3 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis/ Chicago Over 8: Cardinal home games have averaged 10.8 rpg this year, with the Over going 13-3 in those games. Last night they were only able to score 4 runs off of Dempster, but they also didn't have Beltran in the lineup for that one. He should be in the lineup today and that will help this Cardinals offense get back on track here. The Cardinals have hit .290 and they score 6.3 rpg at home and that should continue today vs Paul Maholm who has a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Cardinals and a 4.63 ERA in 4 career starts here. Paul has also struggled on the road in his career, with a 5.05 ERA, plus he has a 4.71 career ERA in day starts. Kyle Lohse has had a good start to the year with a 2.08 ERA, but he has struggled with the Cubs in his career, posting a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts vs them, including a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Both offenses are more than capable of 4+ runs in this one.

Cleveland -131 over MINNESOTA: The Tribe really plays well on the road this year and they are 9-3 away vs Righties. Their offense has really played well away from home, scoring 5.3 rpg, which is 2nd in the league. Today they get to face a struggling Jason Marquis, who is 2-2 with a 6.26 ERA overall and 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA at home this year. Derek Lowe has struggled with the Twins of late, going 0-3 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them, but he has had a good year this year so far, going 5-1 with a 2.47 overall and 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA in 3 days starts. The Twins offense will stuggle today with Lowe, while Cleveland's offense will have a very nice showing vs Marquis, who wqas hit for 7 ER in just 6 innings in his lone career start vs the Tribe. Easy cleveland win here.

Arizona +105 over LA DODGERS: (Added) I have been a solid fan of the dodgers at home this year, but this is one spot to buck them. Chad Billingsley has done a fine job for the Dodgers this year, but he does come in struggling slighly with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He has also struggled with the D-Backs in his last 2 starts here vs them (both last year), going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in the two starts. Wade Miley has never faced the dodgers and that gives him an edge here. Wade has had a nice start to his year with a 3-1 mark and a 2.76 ERA overall, while on the road he is 1-0 with a solid 2.35 ERA. The dodger offense has been very good this year, but I expect Wiley to slow them down a bit. LA Has won 5 in a row, while the D-Backs have lost 8 of their last 9, so both trends are due for a reversal. Look for the D-Backs to get the mild upset here.

NY Yanks -148 over BALTIMORE: (Added) CC Sabathia is off to a fine start at 5-0 and a 3.51 ERA on the year. CC is also 4-0 with a very nice 3.10 ERA in his last 4 trips to Baltimore. The Yankee offense is also coming around as they have averaged 5.4 rpg and have hit .299 in their last 5 games and they have given CC 6.53 rpg worth of support this year. The Orioles have also given their starter tonight some solid run support, with 5.3 rpg in his starts this year, but Im not sure it will be enough vs this hot offense tonight. W. Chen has pitched nicely for the Orioles this year, but the Yanks did hit him around a bit in his lone start vs them this year. In that game he allowed 4 runs (2 ER) on 7 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Overall the Baltimore staff that was so good in the early part of the year, has fallen on some hard times, posting a 5.33 ERA in their last 10 games, while allowing 6.7 rpg over that same stretch. The orioles offense has been good this year, but they won't score enough off of CC to win the game.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120) over San Diego: The Nats offense seems to be coming around a bit and should be able to score off Bass. Stephen Strasburg has been excellent this year with a 3-0 mark and a 1.64 ERA, but in day games he has been nearly unhittable so far, posting an 0.47 ERA in 3 starts, with the Nats winning all 3 starts. Look for another easy win by the Nats today.

BOSTON -1.5 (+110) over Seattle: Josh Becket has struggled this year, but he is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the M's, while the Sox are 3-0 and have won all 3 games by 2+ runs in his last 3 starts vs the Mariners here. Blake Beavan also had a rough start with a 1-3 mark and a 4.32 ERA and he has struggled in 2 career starts vs the Sox, posting an 0-2 mark with a 6.23 ERA vs them, with both losses by 2+ runs. Easy Red Sox win here.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Texas/ Kansas City Over 10 (Added)

Cincinnati/ Atlanta Over 7 (Added)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports and Profits

Indiana Pacers +7 vs. Miami Heat @ 7PM
Phoenix Coyotes +105 vs. Los Angeles Kings @ 9PM
Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs over 191 @ 930PM
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants over 6 1/2 @ 1015PM

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 5/15/12 Plays...

5* YANKEES/ORIOLES (OVER)
4* ROCKIES/GIANTS (UNDER)
3* HEAT

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