10-16-11

[timbob]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK Edit Post Reply Reply With Quote .

[timbob]

DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #108 Take Green Bay Packers -15 over St. Louis Rams (Sunday 1 p.m. Fox)
The Packers are the clear-cut favorite to repeat as Super Bowl Champions this year and we will not be afraid to lay this big number on Sunday against one of the worst teams in the league. Green Bay has played just two home games this season, and against a similar Denver team they won, 49-23. That is about how I expect this game to go as well since the Packers are just unstoppable on the offensive side of the football. The Rams are 0-4 on the season and they have lost by double digits in three of those four games. St. Louis is also banged up with injuries and that will not help with facing the champs. The Rams are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog of more than 10 points. The Packers are 7-1 in their last 8 games at Lambeau Field.
Green Bay Packers 45, St. Louis Rams 17

5 Unit Play. #110 Take New York Giants -3 over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 p.m. CBS)
The Giants were in great shape to take command of the NFC East and solidify their standing in the NFC for the playoffs, but then they laid an egg last week at home against the Seattle Seahawks. I expect them to bounce back this week and make a statement against an up-and-coming Buffalo Bills team. Buffalo is getting it done on defense by creating turnovers, as they are just the just 28th-ranked unit in the NFL. That means that if the Giants do not turn over the football, they should win this game by double digits. Buffalo is just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. New York is 22-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 31 games played during the month of October. An angry Giants team makes a major statement on Sunday and we collect in the process as well.
New York Football Giants 31, Buffalo Bills 20

4 Unit Play. #117 Take Cleveland Browns +7 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 p.m. CBS)
The Raiders have played well this season, but they are never a good play as a favorite and, thus, we will side with the points this Sunday in Oakland. Cleveland has won the last five matchups with Oakland, including a 14-point victory in their last meeting. Oakland is off a huge emotional victory last Sunday against the Houston Texans, as Owner Al Davis passed away on the day before the game. They rose to the occasion, but I do not believe that this team will be able to stay at that level. Oakland has improved the offense, but has seen their defense fall to No. 29 and, thus, the Browns should be able to move the football up and down the field. Cleveland is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. This game goes down to the wire and getting this many points is too good to pass up. The Raiders fail yet again to handle prosperity.
Cleveland Browns 23, Oakland Raiders 21

2 Unit Play. #126 Take New York Jets -7 over Miami Dolphins (Monday 8:45 p.m. ESPN)
Both teams come into this matchup on a down note, as the Jets have lost three straight games and the Dolphins have yet to win a game this season. As bad is the Jets are playing, they still have talent and that will be enough to win this game by double digits as they face a lame duck coach in Tony Sparano. What is worse is that the Dolphins will be without QB Chad Henne and now must turn to QB Matt Moore to salvage the season. Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against AFC East teams. New York is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing records. The Jets are a frustrated group and they will take it out in a big way Monday Night against the Dolphins.
New York Nets 31, Miami Dolphins 13

[timbob]

Colin Cowherd

Cleveland
Dallas
NY Giants
Baltimore
Carolina

Value pick: San Francisco

[timbob]

Greg Roberets OKC Radio Show
Cleve
Det
Phil
Dallas---to win
Car---to win
NO

[timbob]

strike point sports
7* goy ravens

[timbob]

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Dallas, Baltimore, Miami, Giants, over in NE/DALL

2* Indy, over in Clev/Oak, over Atl/Carolina

[timbob]

DCI INDEX

Sunday, October 16, 2011

ATLANTA 30, Carolina 16
CINCINNATI 27, Indianapolis 18
DETROIT 26, San Francisco 19
GREEN BAY 37, St. Louis 6
WASHINGTON 24, Philadelphia 19
Buffalo vs. N.Y. GIANTS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 32, Jacksonville 9
BALTIMORE 29, Houston 16
OAKLAND 30, Cleveland 14
NEW ENGLAND 38, Dallas 23
New Orleans 25, TAMPA BAY 23
CHICAGO 24, Minnesota 17

[timbob]

Today's NFL Picks

Minnesota at Chicago

The Bears look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Chicago is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/12)

Game 201-202: St. Louis at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 120.363; Green Bay 143.741
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 23 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 14 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-14 1/2); Under

Game 203-204: Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.672; Pittsburgh 133.399
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+13); Over

Game 205-206: Philadelphia at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 133.402; Washington 130.205
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Pick; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia; Under

Game 207-208: San Francisco at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 134.612; Detroit 141.248
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4; 46
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4); Over

Game 209-210: Carolina at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.082; Atlanta 128.129
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+4); Over

Game 211-212: Indianapolis at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 124.907; Cincinnati 133.348
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 41
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7); Under

Game 213-214: Buffalo at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 133.805; NY Giants 131.575
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 54
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Over

Game 215-216: Houston at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.513; Baltimore 144.192
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 9 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-7 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Cleveland at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 128.056; Oakland 132.704
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Oakland by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6); Over

Game 219-220: Dallas at New England (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.730; New England 143.258
Dunkel Line: New England by 10 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7); Under

Game 221-222: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 137.125; Tampa Bay 131.865
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 4; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over

Game 223-224: Minnesota at Chicago (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 127.744; Chicago 134.781
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 17
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/12)

Game 225-226: Miami at NY Jets (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.319; NY Jets 135.780
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 9 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 7; 43
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-7); Over

[timbob]

THE DAILY BOBBER

Three-game teaser (6 points): Ravens -1.5, Raiders +.5, Jets -1.5

Two-game teaser (6 points): Steelers -6.5, Jets -1.5

Analysis: Let’s start with our two-game teaser, the Steelers and Jets. I love this play as I get a Pittsburgh team that is starting to hit on all cylinders, and a pissed-off New York team that is out to prove they still belong in the conversation for one of the league’s top team. Pittsburgh looked great last weekend against Tennessee, and seem to have remembered how to play defense. They face a rookie quarterback in Blaine Gabbert this weekend, and should be good for at least a couple of turnovers. Jacksonville’s defense has struggled mightily this season, and Roethlisberger should have no problem moving the offense down the field. This has the makings of a blowout, and winning by a touchdown should be a non-issue. New York, on the other hand, has been beat up by some good teams this season, and the doubters are beginning to lurk. They are a very resilient squad, with a hard-nosed coach, and will rebound nicely this week when they face the winless Dolphins, and inexperienced quarterback Matt Moore. I like the Jets so much in this one, that I have put them in both of my teasers, as I did last week with the Saints. We also get the Ravens -1.5, playing against a banged-up Houston team that is now overvalued, in terms of public perception. Andre Johnson has already been ruled out for this game, and Mario Williams has been declared out for the season. It’s tough to rebound from losing your biggest offensive and defensive weapons the week before playing a top-five team. Throw in the fact Baltimore is coming off a bye week and playing at home, and it could be tough sledding for Houston in Week Six. Our final play is Oakland at home against the Browns. The Raiders have continued to control the ground game, and prove that they are not a fluke. The Browns come in with a struggling offense and lackluster run defense, where they rank 25th in the league. I’m not sure how I feel about Oakland at -6.5, but look for them to control the ball and win this game straight-up. Let’s continue the streak and make it 10-1 on the year!

[timbob]

ROBERT FERRRINGO

3-Unit Play. Take #221 New Orleans (-4) over Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #206 Washington (+1.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

2-Unit Play. Take #211 Indianapolis (+7) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

2-Unit Play. Take #214 N.Y. Giants (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #216 Baltimore (-7.5) over Houston (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #223 Minnesota (+3) over Chicago (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take #208 Detroit (-4) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #216 Baltimore (-0.5) over Houston (4 p.m.) AND Take #220 New England (Pk) over Dallas (4 p.m.)

This Week's Totals;

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.5 Cleveland at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.0 San Francisco at Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.0 Buffalo at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 50.5 Carolina at Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

5-Unit Play. Take #225 Miami (+7) over N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 17)
I was going to make this a Game of the Year play but the number has just dropped too much.

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.0 Miami at N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 17)

[timbob]

NFL Betting Picks
Kevin

1 STAR PICK - San Francisco 49ers @ Detroit Lions - 49ERS +5 (-110)
[Note: I'm risking 1.10 units to win 1 unit]

The 49ers come into this game 4-1 and 4-0-1 ATS. They are coming off of a huge confident boosting 48-3 victory as just 2.5 point favorites, which follow victories in Philadelphia as 9.5 point dogs in Week 4 and Cincinnati in Week 3. The Lions are looking like an NFC playoff team off to an amazing 5-0 start, but are in a let down spot here on a short week. Coming off a big 24-13 Monday Night football win at home the Lions face a tough 49ers team. The Lions made a lot of mistakes on Monday, and won't have an easy time against this 49ers defense who averages just 15.6 points against per game. 5 points is too many for the Lions in this one, I'm on the 49ers.

1 STAR PICK - Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants - OVER 50.5 POINTS (-108)
[Note: I'm risking 1.08 units to win 1 unit]

These two teams are in the top half of the league in a lot of offensive categories, including points per game. The Bills sit 3rd in the league at 32.8 points per game while the Giants are 9th in the league with 25.4 points per game. Both teams are averaging ove 350 yards of offense per game on the season. With that said, both defenses have had their troubles. The Giants are allowing 24.6 points against per game, and the Bills are allowing 24 points against. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Eli Manning have both looked solid thus far - with Manning sporting a 102.3 QB rating, and Fitzpatrick with a 96.4 QB rating. Take note that the OVER is 6-0 in the Bills last 6 games overall, and 4-1 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The OVER is also 5-1-1 in the Giants last 5 home games, and 7-1 in their last 8 as a small favorite of 0.5-3.0. The offenses keep rolling in a shootout in New York - take the OVER.

1 STAR PICK - Buffalo Bills @ New York Giants - GIANTS -3 (-120)
[Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1 unit]

A lot of action is coming in on the Bills +3 after they beat the Eagles last week (I game where I had the BILLS +3), but I am going on the opposite here. These two teams match up fairly evenly, and this will no doubt be a good match up. The Bills haven't been tested on the road, beating a bad Chiefs team and then losing to the Bengals by a field goal. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home, as head coach Tom Coughlin is 7-3 ATS in his last 10 as a favorite after losing straight up as a favorite. I'm not a fan of this Giants team after they knocked me out of my fantasy pool last week, but I fully expect a big bounce back game from New York. That and home field advantage should have the Giants favored by a few more, and I will take the Giants only laying a field goal.

Note:
He has 3 more plays rated 5 Star.

[timbob]

Bookie Beating

Ron Cleary:
5 unit - Philadelphia Eagles -1
5 unit - Chicago Bears -3
5 unit - New England Pats -6.5

Clayton Rodgers:
5 unit - Atlanta Falcons -200 (Moneyline)

David Harper:
5 unit - New Orleans Saints -4.5

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG
NFL 26-20 Last 46 picks +$990
1 OF 9
Game: Carolina at Atlanta (Sunday 10/16 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Carolina +4 (-110)

What a difference a year makes. Last year the Falcons had the best record in the NFC, while Carolina finished with the worst record in the entire NFL with just two wins. That led to the Falcons laying 14 points when these clubs met in Atlanta last year. Things have certainly changed. Through five weeks, the Falcons have already lost as many games as they did all last season. The pair of teams they have beaten this year have a combined three wins, and they only beat them by a combined 6 points in the two games. Carolina may only be 1-4, but no team has beaten them by more than 7 points, including last year's Super Bowl Champions Green Bay. I predicted in my preseason podcast on ESPN that the Panthers would end the season with a winning ATS record. After five weeks, they haven't lost a game vs. the number. Cam Newton has revitalized an offense that produced just 258 yards per game last year but is now ranked No. 5 in the league at 428 yards per game. The Panthers are now 10-4 ATS on
the road vs. a team with a losing home record in their last 14 and this is a team that now believes. The Falcons are giving up 26 points per game and they are in disarray. I like the Panthers to at least keep this one close.

[timbob]

Football Jesus FREE pick NFL : NY Giants

[timbob]

RICK NEEDHAM

Dolphins at Jets (-7½) October 17, 2011 8:30, ESPN
Here's "The Scoop" Folks: The teetering New York Jets may just catch a break in week six NFL action when they host the winless Miami Dolphins at MetLife Stadium for an AFC East rival clash on MNF. The Jets have lost three straight games after opening the season with two wins, dropping last week’s contest against their other AFC East rival New England, 30-21. The Jets offense continues to struggle moving the ball and controlling the clock with the running game, and the defense couldn’t hold Tom Brady down for long in the loss to the Patriots. But help might be on the way in the form of the Dolphins, who have struggled to an 0-4 start and now face the rest of the season without starting quarterback Chad Henne. The Dolphins, who lost Henne to a season-ending shoulder injury in their, 26-16, loss in San Diego two weeks ago, held an open tryout for anyone who could throw a football last week during their bye. For the short-term the Dolphins will turn to backup Matt Moore at quarterback, but in the back of the mind of every Miami fan is the hope/fear that the Fins will play out the rest of the regular season in a contest with Indianapolis for the rights to draft Stanford’s Andrew Luck. The oddsmakers that set the football betting lines originally opened the Monday Night Football game between these two rivals with the Jets as large 9-point favorites at home. Surprisingly though, the number has actually dropped to minus -7.5-points after most of the early money has come in on the wounded Dolphins. There are still a few online sportsbooks listing the Jets at minus -9, or even minus -8, but the number has dropped to -7.5 at all of the sportsbooks in Las Vegas and a majority of the reputable books on the Internet. The over/under total has also seen its share of line movement since the opening number was released, starting at 41 late on Sunday night and rising up to 42 or 42.5 after the first few hours of wagering at the window. The total going up is somewhat surprising as well, especially since on paper this game will feature two offenses that struggle to score points.
The Jets have gone to back-to-back AFC Championship games the past two season thanks in part to an offense that runs the football, controls the clock and keeps quarterback Mark Sanchez from having to win the game on his own, but that formula has disappeared in 2011. The Jets are only averaging 76.2 yards a game on the ground thus far, which ranks 31st in the 32-team NFL, and could be a big reason why the Jets have failed to put up wins in recent weeks. Part of the problem has been injuries along the offensive line, but there’s really no reason why the duo of Shonn Green and LaDainian Tomlinson are only averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Without a strong running game Sanchez has shown his weakness at throwing the ball downfield (56.4 comp. %, 6.6 ypatt., 8 TD-5 INT) and the Jets offense as a whole has stubbed its toe with an average of just 297.4 yards a game (28th). The good news for Sanchez and the Jets is that the Miami defense is a shell of its former self, ranked 28th in overall yardage (414.5 ypg) and 25th in points allowed at 26 per game. Sanchez will also drool over the fact that the Dolphins pass defense has been cut apart by previous quarterbacks, to the tune of allowing 307 yards a game (31st).

When Miami has the ball they will likely try and run it to take some of the pressure off of Moore, something that they’ve had limited success doing thus far in 2011 (115.2 ypg rushing – 15th). The bigger question is who will run the ball, since offseason pickup Reggie Bush has been a flop and rookie Daniel Thomas has missed two of the Dolphins four games due to injury. Running the ball is the best option against the Jets defense too, since they are allowing 134.8 yards a game (26th) including 152 yards against the Patriots last week (4.3 ypc). Moore was 17-of-26 for 167 yards in relief of Henne against the Chargers, but he threw an interception and has had issues in protecting the football in his previous attempts as a starter in the NFL. The good news for Miami is that they seem to have the Jets number, especially on the road, as they have a three game winning streak over the Jets at the old Meadowlands and new MetLife Stadium. Last year they beat the Jets 10-6 in New York, the year before in 2009 they won both games against the Jets including a 30-25 decision on the road. All told there are 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five head-to-head games with a perfect 3-0 for both on the road.

The underdog has also enjoyed a 5-0 ATS mark in those same five games. The problem for the Dolphins is that they are just 1-5 ATS against the AFC East in their last six tries. The Jets haven’t been good to bettors either, going 5-13 in October over the past few seasons and a terrible 1-4 ATS mark in their last five games on Monday Night. With all of those betting trend numbers scaring you off the side bet, the best wager for this game could be THE OVER. The over is 8-2 in Miami’s last 10 road games, 22-7 in the Jets last 29 games overall, and 4-1 for both teams in their last five games in primetime on Monday Night Football. BOTTOM LINE DEPARTMENT: In a normal world I would never back the Jets as more than a touchdown favorite, but this is not a “normal” week between these AFC East rivals. The Jets desperately NEED this game, at home, to get back in the AFC playoff chase. I’m taking THE JETS minus the 7.5-points here, as well as THE OVER (42.0).

RICK'S "HOT-SPOT" PLAYS
THE UNDER (46.0) TEXANS AT RAVENS
PACKERS (-14.0) OVER RAMS

[timbob]

Accuwager

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets
Prediction: New York Jets -7

The Miami Dolphins (0-4 SU, 0-3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U) are in big trouble NFL gamblers so much trouble, that this pick is as easy as pie. Not only has Miami not won a single game this season, but they've looked increasingly inept in not reaching the 20-point plateau in each of their last three games. The winless Fins had a bye in week 5 following their uninspiring 26-16 Week 4 loss to San Diego as a 6.5-point road underdog in Week 4. Miami will face a New York Jets (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 4-1 O/U) team that has lost two straight games and will be in all-out 'desperation mode' in this AFC East divisional showdown. The Jets fell to New England 30-12 as a 7.5-point road underdog in Week 5 and now they're going to take out all of their frustration on Miami's mostly clueless backup quarterback Matt Moore. New York is 9-3 ATS in its last dozen games against a team with a losing record while Miami has gone 0-6-1 ATS in its L/7 games overall. The Dolphins have won four of the last five games against the Jets, but there's no way it happening in this contest. Keep it simple and back the New York Jets to win and cash in!


Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots
Prediction: New England Patriots -7

The Dallas Cowboys (2-2 SU, 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U) suffered the biggest comeback loss in franchise history in their last contest. Their prize? A date against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U) in what now looks like a fascinating Week 6 showdown. Dallas collapsed in the fourth quarter against the Detroit Lions in Week 4, getting shut out in the final period while giving up 17 fourth quarter points to the explosive Lions in its heartbreaking 34-30 home loss as a 2-point favorite. New England man-handled the New York Jets in their 30-21 Week 5 win as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Patriots look like the solid pick in this contest and I believe they'll narrowly cash in as Tom Brady coolly makes the Boys defense pay with his incomparable accuracy. New England is averaging almost nine points per game more than the 'Boys (33.0 ppg to 24.8 ppg) while also allowing almost two fewer points per game defensively. Dallas has gone 6-0 ATS in their last half-dozen games as an underdog, but New England has gone 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games as a home favorite and a bankroll-boosting 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an SU win.The Patriots have won three straight over Dallas while covering the spread each time out while the favorite has gone 4-0 ATS in the last four meeting. NFL gamblers can expect this game to play out in the Pats favor!


New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Bucs
Prediction: New Orleans Saints -4.5

Is it possible that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U) could really show up this week and bounce back from their shocking 48-3 road loss to San Francisco as a 2.5-point underdog last week? Yes, they very well could. However, I just can't bring myself to advise any NFL gambler to back the Bucs, seeing as how they have the tough task of stopping Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints (4-1 SU, 4-0-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U) this week. The Saints squeaked past gifted rookie quarterback Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers 30-27 in Week 5 despite failing to cash in as a 6.5-point road favorite. Still, I like the Saints to get the road win and narrow ATS payday in this contest, mostly because the Buccaneers can barely score the ball with their pedestrian offense. While both teams are allowing n identical 25.0 points per game defensively, the Saints are averaging 14 points per game more than Tampa Bay – and that should be enough to make a difference in this NFC South divisional matchup. The Road team in this divisional series is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings while Tampa Bay has gone 5-17 ATS mark in their L/22 home games. The Saints are also 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against the Buccaneers and are the easy pick to win this game.


Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
Prediction: Baltimore Ravens -6.5

After seeing the Baltimore Ravens (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 4-0 O/U) pound the hell out of the New York Jets in their impressive 34-17 Week 4 win as a 5.5-point home favorite – and the inconsistent Houston Texans (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U) fall to the Raiders 25-20 as a 4.5-point home favorite this past Sunday, I'm thinking the Texans are going down again in this intriguing matchup. Ironically, while the Texans have been known more for their explosive offense – and pitiful defense – the last few years, it is Baltimore that is averaging more points per game this season (29.8 ppg to 25.4 ppg) while also allowing nearly five fewer points per contest defensively. Not only are the Ravens better on both sides of the ball this season, but they're also undefeated in two home games. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games and a blistering 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, 1-5 ATS mark in their last half-dozen games as a road underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog no matter where they play. I smell a huge day looming for Ray Rice and company while Baltimore's voracious defense keeps Matt Schaub and company largely in check. Back the Ravens minus the points.


Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders
Prediction: Oakland Raiders -6

The Oakland Raiders (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U) got a very nice win in Week 5, not long after beloved owner Al Davis passed away. The Raiders held Houston's explosive offense to just six second half points while putting up 10 points of their own in the final quarter to win 25-20 and cash in as a 4.5-point road underdog. Oakland will face a Cleveland Browns (2-2 SU, 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U) team that got a timely bye in Week 5 after falling to Tennessee 31-13 as a 1-point home favorite in Week 4. I'm going to advise NFL gamblers everywhere to back the Raiders to narrowly cover the spread in this contest, mostly because of their overpowering rushing attack. Yes, I know the Browns are 7-0 ATS in its L/7 road games as an underdog between 3.5 and 10 points, Oakland has put together an impressive 5-1 ATS mark in their last half-dozen games while also going 7-3 ATS in their L/10 games as a home favorite between 3.5 and 10 points. Cleveland is 1-6-1 ATS in its L/8 games and 1-5 ATS in their L/6 against a team with a winning record, but that's not what really leads me to believe Oakland is going to win and cash in. With Oakland ranking second in rushing by averaging a whopping 161.8 rushing yards per game, the Browns have struggled mightily to stop the run, ranking 25th in run defense, allowing 124.5 rushing yards per contest. The Browns have won four of the last five meetings against Oakland, but not this time NFL bettors. Play the Raiders to win anther for Al Davis.

[timbob]

Teddy Covers

10 INDY
10 HOUSTON
10 PITT UNDER

[timbob]

Platinum Plays
Premier Pick (Top Play)
Indy
Baltimore

500K Play
Atlanta

400K Play
Chicago
Chic OVER

Regular Plays
Rams
Phil
Det
Buff
Oak
Oak OVER
TB

[timbob]

Totals 4 U

Total of Year ( Whatever)
Pitt UNDER

Minn UNDER
Phil UNDER
Atl UNDER
Indy UNDER
Buff OVER
Balt OVER
Oak UNDER
Dall OVER
TB UNDER

[timbob]

Dwayne Bryant

3* Philly
3* NY Giants
2* Cleveland

[timbob]

ACE ACE

411 New Orleans
411 Buffalo

[timbob]

Vagas Vic/Philly Daily News

Ravens Best Bet (3-2)
Eagles
Panthers
Cowboys
Buccaneers
Bears
Jets
Rams
Jaguars
49ers
Colts
Giants
Browns

Overall for year 34-40 .459 pct.

[timbob]

trushel
20* houston
10* giants

[timbob]

Chase Diamond (ksp)

50 Dimes St. Louis Rams +14.5

30 Dimes Philadelphia Eagles -2.5

[timbob]

Al DeMarco

15 DIME RELEASE

Detroit Lions

[timbob]

A Bettor World
San Francisco +4
New England -6

4-Team Teaser:
Baltimore -1
Cincinnati -0.5
Oakland -0.5
New Orleans Even

[timbob]

ROBERT FERRRINGO


3-Unit Play. Take #221 New Orleans (-4) over Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

Tampa Bay's loss last week at San Francisco was an eye-opener. I was very uncertain about this Bucs team coming into the year. I felt that their performance last year was basically a fluke against a feeble schedule. But their young talent is unmistakable and they are a team playing in a sound system. However, this looks like it is going to be a regression year and that my first instincts were correct. This team tries to coast too much, but they don't have the talent to be one of those teams. LaGarrette Blount looks out of shape and now he won't be on the field this weekend because of his knee. That is going to put even more pressure on Josh Freeman, who is enduring a sophomore slump as a starter this year. This team is 20th in offense and 23rd in defense and they really haven't shown up to play much this year. They were manhandled by Detroit and San Francisco, really the only two ?good? teams that they have played. They were fortunate to beat a struggling Atlanta team in a game that the Bucs were way up for and they were to beat Minnesota after falling behind 17-0 at halftime. Oh, yeah, and then there's the fact that New Orleans is excellent. The road team is 13-3 ATS in this series and the Saints have won the last two meetings in Tampa by the scores of 31-6 and 38-7. Tampa has beaten New Orleans in back-to-back years, but both of those wins came in Week 17 when the Saints were just going through the motions. New Orleans is just one yard away from possibly being 5-0 right now and they are legit. I don't know what the Bucs are, but I haven't been impressed.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #206 Washington (+1.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

I don't know how Philadelphia is favored here. That isn't to say that they won't win this game. But there are just too many things pointing to the Redskins here that this play is worth a ticket just for the value. The Eagles are awful. They are just a bad football team. They have four or five streaky, athletic players, but there just isn't a lot of talent on this roster. They can't stop anyone and I like a home dog that brings a much, much better defense to the game. Then there is the fact that the Redskins have had two weeks to prepare for this game. Mike Shanahan has always been awesome coming off a bye, and he is 12-5 ATS in his career when his teams have an extra week of rest. This team is confident - especially after taking over sole possession of first place in the division last week while being idle - and they should be very focused. Philadelphia absolutely humiliated the Redskins last year in primetime, beating them down 59-28. I don't think that Shanahan - who is as spiteful as they come - has forgotten about that one. I absolutely loathe the fact that Rex Grossman is quarterbacking and that Kyle Shanahan is calling this game. Those two guys are pathetic. But that duo is really the only thing keeping me from pulling the trigger on a 6-Unit Play in this game. It is that good of a setup when you consider the defense, rushing, overall matchups, extra prep time, revenge, and a solid public fade here.

2-Unit Play. Take #211 Indianapolis (+7) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

There is absolutely no way that I trust the Bengals to lay these points. I know that Indianapolis has been a bit of a train wreck and that they are 0-5 right now. But they have played better than their record indicates. If it weren't for a superhuman effort from Dwayne Bowe they would have earned their first win last week against Kansas City. They also played Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay tough, and I felt like this team should have beaten Cleveland in Week 2. So they aren't as bad as their record indicates. The Bengals, on the other hand, I do not believe are as good as their record would make you believe. Buffalo and Jacksonville both outplayed them in the last two weeks but Cincy managed to find ways to fluke out wins there. The Bengals have played a cupcake schedule and they lost outright the last time that they lined up as a favorite. In fact, the Bengals are a money-burning 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and they are 2-12 ATS the last 14 times that they have laid points at home. I think that the Cover-2 will fluster Andy Dalton a bit and I think that Curtis Painter might actually be the better quarterback in this one. Indy might not get its first win of the season but I think that they will hang around in this one before finding a way to lose by a field goal.

2-Unit Play. Take #214 N.Y. Giants (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

I went against Buffalo last week with the wretched Eagles and the Bills did everything they could in the second half to blow that game. Look, I just don't think Buffalo is that good. They have been opportunistic to this point and are +11 in turnovers. But once those dry up this team is going to be exposed. They have been on a good rush but they are bound to blow it. After all, they are the Bills and we have seen it before. The public is all over Buffalo in this game, betting them at a 70 percent clip. These are usually the times that the Giants come to play: when expectations are low. The Giants will be motivated in this game because they don't want to fall further off the pace in the NFC East. And on top of that they don't want to lose ground in prestige to a fellow in-state team. Buffalo didn't look good in their last road game, at Cincinnati, and I think that this will be a tougher matchup for them here. Eli and the Giants should be able to do just enough to hold off the hungry Bills here and I think that the number tells the tale.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #216 Baltimore (-7.5) over Houston (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

By now everyone should know how overrated I think that Houston is. This team was anointed as the AFC South favorites without ever actually accomplishing anything. And as we have seen time and time again over the last few years their hot starts - usually against inferior competition - is just a mirage. Baltimore is rested and ready to go and this team has looked dominating on the defensive side of the ball. They should be able to swallow up a Houston offense that will again be without Andre Johnson. The Texans are just 4-7 SU the last few years without Johnson and he is critical to what they do. I think that Matt Schaub is going to be a turnover machine in this one and that the Ravens are going to put pressure on right from the jump. The Ravens had extra time to prepare and they are used to attacking the Pittsburgh 3-4 defense so they will know where the holes are in the Texans' version. Houston is without its best defensive player as well, as Mario Williams is done for the year. Houston is coming off a disappointing home loss where they got pushed around by the Raiders and next week they have a key divisional game against Tennessee. This week they are walking into a buzz saw.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #223 Minnesota (+3) over Chicago (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take #208 Detroit (-4) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)



2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #216 Baltimore (-0.5) over Houston (4 p.m.) AND Take #220 New England (Pk) over Dallas (4 p.m.)

This Week's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.5 Cleveland at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.0 San Francisco at Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.0 Buffalo at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 50.5 Carolina at Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)



MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
5-Unit Play. Take #225 Miami (+7) over N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 17)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.0 Miami at N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 17)

I was going to make this a Game of the Year play but the number has just dropped too much over the last 48 hours for the play to hold its value. I do like the Dolphins in this game though and I think that this could be their first win of the season. Just like with the Eagles, people just aren't willing to accept that the Jets aren't that good. They have completely gotten away from their identity as a run-the-ball-and-play-great-defense team. Their defense has actually fallen apart and since they can't run the ball they are putting the offense in the hands of Mark Sanchez, who is pathetic. Miami lost its starting quarterback, Chad Henne, but I don't think that is a bad thing. Henne was missing way too many open throws and I think that Matt Moore will be alright for this team. He is a guy with some experience and prior to last year he was 6-2 in his first eight career starts with the Panthers. The Dolphins have had two weeks to prepare for this game and they are desperate to go out and get that first win of the year. This has been their best role under Tony Sparano - they are 12-4 ATS on the road and they are 10-3 as a road dog - and they have really had the upper hand in this series lately, winning four of five meetings both SU and ATS. The Jets are in a bit of a letdown spot after losing to the Patriots and there are growing issues in this locker room. This team is not as good as they think they are and I expect Miami to be in this one to the end.

That's it for this week. Good luck.

[timbob]

Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take #213 Buffalo (+3) over N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)
This play is from my 411 System.

The Bills shouldn't be getting points here! I think that Buffalo is the better team in this game and I am looking for an outright winner. The Giants have been outplayed over the last two weeks by two bad teams, Arizona and Seattle. They were fortunate that a bad call helped them beat the Cardinals and then they lost by 11 points as a double-digit favorite last week to the Seahawks and their backup quarterback. The Bills have been the best team in the league at forcing turnovers and this week they are playing against a Giants team that has a tendency to turn the ball over a lot. The Bills have won and covered all three of their games as an underdog this year. The Giants are just 4-10 ATS as a home favorite and right now I don't think that they are playing very good football. I think that the Bills will keep the momentum going.

4-Unit Play. Take #209 Carolina (+4) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)

I think that the Panthers have a good chance of winning this game outright. They have played Chicago, New Orleans and Green Bay very tough this year. They have lost those three games by just an average of five points per game and those are some of the best teams in the conference. We bet against Atlanta last week and they didn't come to play against the Packers. I think that there will be a letdown from that game and I think that they are going to take the Panthers lightly. But Cam Newton has this offense playing well and Carolina has covered four straight spreads. I think the Panthers are playing with more confidence right now and just like the Buffalo game I think that the better team is getting the points.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #212 Cincinnati (-7) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)

The Bengals are starting to build up a strong resume this year. They are 3-2 and this is a game that they need to win if they are going to compete with the Steelers and the Ravens. Cincinnati has one of the best defenses in the league and with Cedric Benson and A.J. Green they have two big-time playmakers that can take the pressure off their rookie quarterback. The Colts are 0-5 and they are already talking about whether or not they would draft Andrew Luck with the top pick. This team already knows that it is not getting to the playoffs and right now Indy is one of the worst teams in the league. Curtis Painter has not played well and is completing less than 49 percent of his passes. Now he is on the road and I don't think that the results will be any better. Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and should be good for a blowout winner for me here.

3-Unit Play. Take #206 Washington (+1) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)

Once again the wrong team is favored. The public loves this Eagles team and they refuse to believe that the Dream Team can be as bad as their record. But this Eagles team is bad and they have not played well at all this year. The Redskins are coming off a bye and they have had two weeks to prepare for this division rival. The Eagles are on the road for the third time in four weeks and there has already been finger-pointing going on in the locker room and in the media. Their season is falling apart and I don't think that they have done anything to deserve to be a favorite in this situation against a 3-1 Washington team. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS as a favorite and they are 4-10-1 ATS as a road favorite of less than a field goal. The underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and I think Washington gets the cash.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 40.5 Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)

The Steelers defense should dominate this game. Pittsburgh will stack the line and focus on Maurice Jones-Drew and they will try to make the Jaguars passing offense beat them. That is not going to work out well for Jacksonville in this game. The Jags are only averaging 12 points per game and they are one of the worst offenses in the NFL. Pittsburgh should dominate them with one of the best defenses in the game. This matchup reminds me of the Jaguars-Jets game in Week 2. Jacksonville lost that game 32-3 and was never a threat. I expect the same thing here. Before last week's 38 points the Steelers hadn't topped 24 points yet this year. I don't think that they will beat this number by themselves and I don't see the Jaguars managing more than 6-9 points. Take 'under' here.

5-Unit Play. Take #221 New Orleans (-4) over Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)
This play is from my 411 System and it is my Game of the Week.

New Orleans is the best team in the AFC South and I think that they are going to prove it again this week. Tampa Bay lost 48-3 last week in San Francisco and I think that is the type of loss that really shakes a team's confidence. They do not look like a team that has the same edge that they did last year when they were an up-and-coming team that was a heavy underdog each week. I don't think that they are playing well with expectations. The Saints won 31-6 in this matchup last year and they are 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings. The road team is 13-3 ATS in this series. Drew Brees is completing almost 70 percent of his passes this year and he is playing at a very high level. I think that he will pick apart a Tampa defense that couldn't stop Alex Smith and Tampa Bay last week. Take the Saints here and look for a double-digit winner for our side!

2.5-Unit Play. Take #219 Dallas (+7) over New England (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 17)
The Cowboys were able to get healthy over their bye week and I think that they will come out sharp in this game. The New England defense is still one of the worst in the league and I think that they will have their hands full with Dallas now that Miles Austin is back. The Cowboys have played nine straight games that have been decided by three points or less and I think that they will stay within the points here in another close game. The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS as an underdog and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. They will do enough here to make this number stick.

[timbob]

Vegas Sports Informer

NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

3 Unit Play. #202 Take Green Bay -14 ½ over St. Louis (1:00p.m., Sunday, Oct 16)

Green Bay is the best team in the league hands down and Sunday afternoon the Rams will have no chance on winning this game in Green Bay. The Rams offense has been awful and in the last 4 games the Rams haven't been able to score more than 16 points. The Rams will struggle on offense against the Packers 'D' and the Packers offense will have no problem scoring against the Rams defense. Packers win big and Green Bay wins 42-10. St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games and the Packers are 7-1 ATS as a home favorite.

2 Unit Play. #203 Take Over 40 Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (1:00p.m., Sunday, Oct 16)

Pittsburgh broke out last week on offense and this week look for the same results. Jacksonville defense is allowing 23ppg and the Steelers offense can easily score over this number at home Sunday afternoon. Pittsburgh is 7-1 O/U in their last 8 games against AFC teams and the last 5 meetings between these two teams 4 of them have gone over the total.

3 Unit Play. #214 Take New York Giants -3 over Buffalo (1:00p.m., Sunday, Oct 16)

NY Giants lost last week to the Seattle Seahawks but the Giants didn't lose on their defense play they lost on costly turnovers late in the game. Giants win this game on defense and if Eli Manning doesn't throw picks we could see a double-digit victory for the G-Men. Buffalo is 5-11 ATS following a SU win and the Giants are 22-8-1 ATS in the month October.

5 Unit Play. #221 Take New Orleans -4 ½ over Tampa Bay (4:15p.m., Sunday, Oct 16)

(Game of the Week) The 49ers easily marched down the field against the Bucs defense last week so what is going to happen when Drew Brees has the ball. If the Bucs secondary can stop Alex Smith (49ers QB) what will happen if Drew Brees and the Saints offense start clicking on the road. What will happen! The Saints blow out the Bucs at home and the Saints gained a road victory. The last 2 meetings in Tampa the Saints easily won and outscored the Bucs 69-13 so a 3-peat will happen in Tampa and the Saints will have no trouble marching down the field. Tampa Bay is 3-13 ATS as a home underdog and the road team in this series is 13-3 ATS. Saints win big and Saints win by double-digits.

[timbob]

Jason Sharpe

Sunday October 16th 2011:

5 Unit Play Take #214 New York Giants -3 over Buffalo (1:00pm est):

Up/down theory in full effect here in this one. It's been a very profitable angle to take a team coming off an upset win the week before when they are going up against a team who lost last week as a favorite in the NFL. We have that exact same situation playing out here in this game.

The Buffalo Bills have been a nice story so far but I am not convinced this team is anything more than an average football team right now. The Bills had every break go their way last week in beating the Philadelphia Eagles. In fact the Bills were manhandled at the line of scrimmage, outgained by over 150 yards in the contest. On the year Buffalo allows 42 yards more per game than their opponents on the season. Clearly this is not a 4-1 team even though their record shows that.

New York Giants head coach Tom Coughlin was not happy after last weeks huge upset loss to the lowly Seattle Seahawks in a game the Giants had no business losing. Coughlin's teams have gone 6-2-1 ATS the last nine times following a double digit home loss. A lot of people down on this team after the defeat last week but keep in mind this was a team that would have been 4-1 with a win last week, having won back to back road games the two weeks before.

It's always smart to look for teams coming in off opposite type results the previous week. If things played out as expected last weekend this line would be a few points higher than it is here. This is good value here. Take the Giants in a big bounce back spot in this one.

3 Unit Play Take #208 Detroit -4 over San Francisco (1:00pm est):

Coming back again with the hottest team in pro football. If you can find a streak before others and ride it out you can make a lot of money and we have been doing that with these Lions now for quite some time. The oddsmakers continue to undervalue this team week in and week out and do so again here.

Many see this game as a big letdown spot for the Lions here but I see the opposite and more a letdown for the 49ers. San Francisco comes in off a huge blowout victory last weekend and along the way I feel lost a few points of value in this one with their 45 point victory. The 49ers offense averages only 300 yards per game and 100 yards less passing per contest than the Lions. Lots of credit has gone to the SF defense this year but the Lions have had a better year defensively than the Niners, allowing less yards per game and per play this season.

The Detroit Lions are among the elite teams in the NFL right now but they are not being priced like one again here. You can on and on about the positive trends with the Lions these days but the one that seems to stick out the most is the 10-1 ATS record the Lions have had the last eleven times they have faced a team with a winning record.

We seen this past Monday night how big home field can be in this stadium as that crowd is hungry to keep the good times going in Detroit. The defensive pass rush is feeding off the energy in the building and now with a healthy Nick Fairly joining this group, this team's strongest unit has got even stronger. Detroit is for real and laying just four points at home here is a joke. Basically the betting market is saying only one point separates these two teams on a neutral field, really? What in the world am I missing here? Nothing, as the Lions should win going away in this one. Play Detroit here.

3 Unit Take #219 Dallas +7 over New England +7 (4:15pm est):

The Dallas Cowboys have had two weeks to stew over their big loss to the Detroit Lions, a game they let slip through their fingers. This is a good football team who is starting to get healthy following their bye week here. In fact the Cowboys are just a few plays from being a 4-0 team right now and the talk of the NFL. Instead they fly under the radar coming into this one here versus New England. Dallas is 4-0 their last four games ATS as a road underdog and 6-0 ATS their last six games as a underdog overall.

The New England Patriots are good but not great this year. Their defense is as bad as it gets in the NFL. This isn't a new problem either for the Pats. In fact an already bad defense looks even worse this year than last season. The Patriots comes into this one a week after playing their top rivals, the New York Jets so a letdown is very possible here.

Having two weeks to prepare for an opponent can be huge in the NFL, especially for a team coming off a bad loss like the Cowboys are. I expect this thing to go down to the wire. Play Dallas here.

3 Unit Play Take #223 Minnesota +3 over Chicago (8:25pm est):

My numbers show a Minnesota team being the better of these two football teams and with that we have what I call "the wrong team favored" here in this game.

The Minnesota Vikings finally got it going last week and grabbed their first win of the season. This is a veteran group who knows the seriousness of being 1-4 right now coming into this game. Now they catch a team coming off a short week after playing a road game on Monday night. Big time revenge spot here also for the Vikings who lost both times last year to the Bears, the last one in embarrassing fashion by a 40-14 score.

The Chicago Bears have been awful this season, outgained in every game thus far. They have failed to cover the spread in any of their last four contests and come in with one of the worst defenses in football right now, allowing well over 400 yards per game.

This is a much healthier Minnesota Vikings football team than the Bears and one that I feel is better overall. Take the points here and the Vikings in this one. I have another big weekend of baseball on tap, as I look to continue on with my awesome MLB season. I have now closed in on the $8,000 win mark overall for the year, a season high for me and my clients, as the biggest players playing $1,000 a unit are now up close to $80,000 this year. The MLB playoffs have been nothing but pure profit in just two short weeks as I am ahead almost 25 units in this short time, going 7-2 overall in my nine playoff selections and 7-1 with my side plays for the post-season. Still lots of time left to join in on all the winning. I am locked and loaded and really feel confident on how well I am seeing things unfold right now on the diamond.

[timbob]

Strike Point Sports

7-Unit Play. Take #216 Baltimore (-7.5) over Houston (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16) - AFC Game of the Year

The Houston Texans are in shambles on now they head into one of the toughest places in the NFL to win against a Ravens team coming off a bye. This Texans offense is nowhere near as potent with Andre Johnson on the sideline and playing against a hungry Baltimore defense just compounds the problem. Baltimore will be coming off this bye week with a more focused and precise offense. We will see a lot of Ray rice and on point passing out of Joe Flacco. This game has 34-10 written all over it as Houston will crumble under the Ravens pressure on both sides of the ball and the noise of the rowdy Baltimore crowd. Houston is 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road dog and 0-4 ATS in their last four as an underdog. Baltimore meanwhile is 47-22-1 ATS in their last 70 games as a home favorite and 8-2 ATS following their bye week. This line is just not high enough. It should be double figures.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Minnesota at Chicago (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

We have a great read on the bears right now following their Monday night loss, and an even better read on the Vikings winning our last two games involving Minnesota. Chicago is begging to get back home and right the ship in front of their home fans. The Vikings on the other hand got their first win over Arizona last week and looked good putting up 28 first quarter points. Chicago has given up at least 24 points in four of their five games and 27 or more in two of their three home contests. The 'Over' is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between the two.

3-Unit Play. Take #207 San Francisco (+4) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 16)

This game is let down city for the Detroit Lions. They just had their first Monday night game in 10 years and beat division rival Chicago. However they did not look good doing it and San Fran is ready to pounce. Coach Harbaugh has these 9ers looking outstanding as they have yet to lose a game ATS. San Francisco is coming off an absolute destruction of Tampa Bay and they are hungry to make a statement in Detroit. The 49ers are 11-4-3 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. This is definitely one of the more underrated teams in the NFL with a strong running game and a good defensive line.

[timbob]

SB Professor NFL Reloaded Picks

Sunday's NFL Picks:

4:05 PM EST
Oakland Raiders -6.5*

Rest of Games:
Baltimore Ravens -7.5

[timbob]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

Sunday's NFL picks :

1 PM EST

Jacksonville Jaguars +13*

Rest of Games :

Buffalo Bills +3
Detroit Lions -4
Cincinnati Bengals -7

[timbob]

Arthur Ralph Sports

734- 540 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sun: Det Lions -4

[timbob]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Navy Saturday.

Sunday it's the Eagles. The deficit is 2911 sirignanos.

[timbob]

Hondo

Hondo's five-team parlay card crashed and burned right out of the gate yesterday when Penn State failed to cover the allotment. Then came his ALCS loss with the Tigers and suddenly the darn DURN (disgustingly ugly red number) ballooned to a beefy 3,025 hams.

Today, Mr. Aitch will try the parlay game again: 20 units on a collective win by the Steelers, Ravens and Bears.

[timbob]

rainman

10 bengals
5 ravens
3packers
1 jags
1 eagles

[timbob]

cappersaccess

eagles
bengals
raiders
bears

[timbob]

DOUBLE DRAGON NFL 10-16

RAMS +14.5 at packers
BILLS +3.5 at giants
PANTHERS +3.5 at falcons
RAVENS -7 vs texans
COWBOYS +7 at patriots
SAINTS -6.5 at buccaneers
BEARS -1.5 vs vikings (SNF)
JETS -7 vs dolphins (MNF)

[timbob]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 45 bet. Cleveland and Oakland

[timbob]

Today's NHL Picks
St. Louis at Anaheim

The Ducks are coming off an 1-0 win over San Jose and look to build on their 11-2 record in their last 13 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: St. Louis at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.926; Anaheim 12.592
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-140); Over

[timbob]

Today's MLB Picks
St. Louis at Milwaukee

The Brewers look to build on their 10-3 record in their last 13 games following an off day. Milwaukee is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 923-924: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Jackson) 14.926; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.828
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130); Over

[timbob]

Today's CFL Picks
BC at Saskatchewan

The Lions look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 October games. BC is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (-8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (10/12)

Game 295-296: Hamilton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 107.335; Montreal 118.728
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 11 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Over

Game 297-298: BC at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 120.075; Saskatchewan 107.646
Dunkel Line: BC by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BC by 8; 48
Dunkel Pick: BC (-8); Under

[timbob]

Chip Chirimbes

Buffalo Bills vs. NY Giants
Play: NY Giants -3

How about those Giants? Two weeks ago the win a game in Arizona that they had no business winning and last week at home they lose to Seattle a team they had no business losing too. Buffalo at 4-1 might be the biggest surprise in the NFL to date but as of now they won't sneak up on anybody. The Bills pulled out another win last win over the Eagles when Philadelphia just kept making mistakes in clutch critical situations.

[timbob]

LuckyDaySports

Sunday’s Comp Play

NFL
Carolina +4

[timbob]

Prediction Machine

Pauls picks NFL

Sunday
NO-4.5 60.8%
Buff +3.5 60.2%
Oak -6.5 60.2%

Monday
NYJ-7 59.3%

Other Picks

Det-4 60.1%
Car+4 58.0%
DAL+7 57.5%

[timbob]

SPORTS WAGERS

Cleveland +6½ over OAKLAND

RIP Al Davis. That was a fine tribute the Raiders provided last week when winning in an unlikely, almost supernatural way. Without sounding insensitive, the aftermath of Davis’ passing may not be as triumphant. There will be plenty of distractions now with the Raiders returning home to deal with media and other things regarding his death and that won’t bode well for a team that has defensive liabilities. The Browns have had a couple weeks to prepare for this trip. Colt McCoy has averaged 43 pass attempts per game in 2011. He’s also thrown at least one touchdown in every game this year. With McCoy tossing against a secondary that is giving up 318 yards per game and multiple passing scores in four straight, the Browns figure to compete throughout. Play: Cleveland +6½ +101 (Risking 2 units).

ATLANTA -4 over Carolina

The public has short memories. Oddsmakers recognize that. The result is an erroneous number being posted for this contest. After a couple of crummy seasons, the Panthers have become league darlings with the addition of Cam Newton as their franchise quarterback. No doubt, they’ve become fun and exciting to watch. Conversely, the Falcons are now perceived as underachievers, understandably. But let’s not write off Atlanta just yet. They are 21-5 under Ryan in this stadium, they're well coached and they have superior players overall. The Falcons also played three of their first four on the road before returning home to play the powerful Packers last week. It’s time to bear down for these Dirty Birds and what we have here is an undervalued squad at home against a team that’s overvalued and coming off an intense and near upset at home against the Saints. Classic case of “buy low”. Smaller price also reduces Carolina’s backdoor chances. Play: Atlanta –4 (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

Jacksonville +13 over PITTSBURGH

We found a nice spot last week with these Steelers being undervalued against a mediocre Titans team. Now the opposite has taken place. How can Pittsburgh be a 3-pt favorite over Tennessee and one week later, a 12-point favorite over a slightly lesser Jacksonville squad? A severe overreaction to Pittsburgh's victory last week has inflated this number immensely. The Steelers remain a team with many issues, not the least of which is run defense. If Jacksonville has strength, it would be their ground game with star RB Maurice Jones-Drew leading the way. Conservative affair stays close. Play: Jacksonville +13 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Minnesota +122 over CHICAGO

In this league, without protection, you cannot win and the Bears cannot protect Jay Cutler. Poor Jay Cutler. Those hits keep adding up like constant jabs in a boxing match and now Cutler is running for his life while playing in fear. Chicago is also coming off a Monday night loss in Detroit and has one less day to prepare and recover. That can’t be good against a Minnesota club coming off its first win of the year. One win does wonders to a team psyche and let’s not ignore the fact that the Vikings could be 5-0 instead of 1-4. They had two touchdown leads in its first three games and lost them all. Those two TD leads came against three potential playoff teams in San Diego, Tampa Bay and Detroit. They also lost in K.C. by four before destroying the Cardinals last week. Adrian Peterson keeps racking up the yards and while Donovan McNab isn’t lighting it up, at least he’s not turning it over. The Bears have played a whole bunch of tough games and that takes a toll. The Vikes defense is much better than their getting credit far and you can expect that defense, led by the blood thirsty Jared Allen, to really turn the heat up on Cutler. Play: Minnesota +122 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. GIANTS –3 –123 over Buffalo

For now, this one is a no bet because of the –125 juice we have to lay on top of the –3. However, come Sunday morning, we might add this to our slate if the juice on the –3 comes down once the squares get a hold of the line. Beneath Buffalo’s shocking start is a 30th ranked defense that will eventually get exposed and this is a perfect situation for that to happen. The Giants are being largely discounted after clunker at home to lowly Seachikens but with New York’s passing game re-establishing itself, the Bills’ bubble finally bursts. A lot of folks had the Eagles beating the Bills last week and ripped their tickets. Many others had the G-Men to beat Seattle in their Survivor pools and they, too, ripped their tickets. Once again we have a classic case of “buy low” and “sell high” and we’re going to keep a close eye on this line. Don’t get sucked into playing the Bills. Again, for now it’s a no bet but there’s a good chance that’ll change come Sunday. Play: N.Y. Giants –3 (No bets).

The rest with no wagers

WASHINGTON +2 over Philadelphia SportsInteraction

Many believe that the Eagles can’t keep losing like this. Truth is they can. Just like Philadelphia should not have been favored in Buffalo last week, these Pigeons should not be chalk here. The Redskins play sound defense and have had an extra week to prepare for this reeling foe. Rap with us now: The O-line retreatin. Vick takes a beatin. Reid keeps a eatin. Fans disbelievin. Turnovers thievin. Hype was deceivin. Ain’t no retrievin that Dream Team Season. Play: Washington +2 (No bets).

St. Louis +15½ over GREEN BAY SportsInteraction

The Packers keep covering and the books keep paying out money to Green Bay backers. With the point-spread being the great equalizer and oddsmakers knowing the sentiment here, they have no choice but to inflate number in an attempt to draw Rams money. That offers value on the mutt and that’s sufficient enough for our endorsement. Play: St. Louis +14½ (No bets).

DETROIT –4 over San Francisco Pinnacle

Who didn’t know these two would be 9-1 combined? San Francisco likely the bigger surprise but this will be its biggest task yet. Niners’ heading out to third road trip in four weeks and with their secondary vulnerable to potent passing attacks, the soaring, roaring Lions get the call. Had Detroit not been coming off big Monday night win, this one would’ve made our top plays, as San Fran is a sell high team right now after putting a thorough beating on the Bucs last week as a small favorite. Play: Detroit –4 (No bets).

Indianapolis +7 over CINCINNATI Pinnacle

We’re as impressed with the young Bengals as any but come on now, this is a bit much. Cincinnati has been money as an underdog but spotting a full touchdown (2-12 as chalk past 14) with neophyte host over a Colts team that has been competitive in three straight hardly seems wise. Play: Indianapolis +7 (No bets).

BALTIMORE –7½ over Houston Pinnacle

Some teams can deal with injuries by working harder to overcome the adversity. The Texans are not one of those teams. Houston’s mental makeup is marginal at the best of times and now that the injury bug has infiltrated its locker room, we can’t see the Texans keeping pace with elite teams such as this one. Play: Baltimore –7½ (No bets).

Dallas +7 over NEW ENGLAND Pinnacle

Forgive and forget. That’s what Cowboys supporters will have to do in order to get past the collapse against the Lions two weeks ago. Even though Dallas facing top-talented Patriots, one has to be enthused about taking back a touchdown with a Dallas team that has played in 10 straight decided by four or less. Pats are good but they’re also largely unbalanced with a defense that can’t stop anyone. Last team to have the ball might win this one. Play: Dallas +7 (No bets)

TAMPA BAY +5 over New Orleans Pinnacle

We’re going to give the Bucs a mulligan for last week’s stinker in San Francisco. Our hopes are that this young team was looking ahead to this one and that they’ll provide a much better showing of themselves here. Saints being asked to spot points in 3rd consecutive road game in big division match and this one reeks of being the trap of the day. Be very careful about unloading on Saints. Play: Tampa Bay +5 (No bets).

This week’s Survivor Pick:

BALTIMORE:

The obvious pick this week is the Packers or Steelers and it would certainly be a shocker if either loses. The problem with playing the same team(s) as everyone else is that one of two things will happen. You’ll either go down with everyone else or you’ll split the pool 200 ways. Our strategy is to avoid that and step “outside the box”. So, this week’s pick is a healthy, talented and well-rested Ravens club against a banged up and poor traveling Texans. Maybe the Pack or the Steelers take their opponents for granted this week and show up in body only. If you must, we would play Packers instead of Steelers.

[timbob]

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

New Orleans -4.5 over TAMPA BAY: Coming into the year I expected the Bucs to be a bit better and possibly challenge for the South title, behind a solid QB in Josh Freeman, but they have really been inconsitent this year. Sure they are 3-2 on the year, but they have been been out gained by 42 ypg and outscored by 8 ppg on the year. In the last 4 weeks they barley beat Minnesota, Atlanta and a BAD Indianapolis club and then were crushed by 45 points by a San Francisco team that just doen't blow out teams. Josh Freman had a great year last year with 25 TD's and only 4 INT's, but this year he has guided his team to just 20th in passing, while throwing for just 3 TD's and 6 INT's. A far cry from last years numbers. Today they take on a New Orleans defense that is Middle of the pack in most defensive categories, but they do know how to pressure the QB and are 7th in the league ate grabbing 2.8 sacks per game. That pressure should rattle Freeman enough for him to make some costly mistakes. The Tampa defense has been bad this year as they are 23rd overall (378 ypg), including 20th vs the pass (254 ypg), plus they have allowed 25 ppg. Now they must contend with the 2nd ranked passing offense of the Saints tht comes in averaging 336 ypg through the air and 7.7 ypa, which is 7th best. The Buc just don't have the defense to stop Drew Brees, while their offense is too eratic to think they can put enough points on the board to keep this one close. I Say New Orleans by 10+ here. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play ON any team that forced 1 or less turnovers in 5 consecutive games vs an opponent that commited at least 3 turnovers in their last game. This system is 36-11 since 1983.

4 UNIT PLAY

NY GIANTS -3 over Buffalo: The Bills continue to impress after last weeks big win over Philadelphia has them at 4-1 on the year and atop the AFC East standings, but this is the week this team will come back down to earth a bit. Yes the Bills are 4-1 on the year, but after their opening destruction of KC they have been outgained by 90 ypg, so this is a team that has been playing more with luck than talent of late. The Bills offense has been strong this year, ranking 11th (379 ypg) overall and 13th in passing (241 ypg), but their defense has been really bad as they rank 30th overall (422 ypg) and 26th vs the pass (283 ypg) and they will have all sorts of problems vs Eli Manning and company, who mlook to make amends for last weeks 5 TO disater vs the Seahawks. The Giant offense comes in ranked 9th in passing at 275 ypg and even though Eli has 5 INT's 3 of them did come in last week's loss and i really expect a big bounceback game from him here. The Giant defense has not been all that great this year, due mostly to injuries, but I expect a good showing from them today vs a Buffalo offense that is due for a fall. The Giants are 19-7 ATS off a game where 60+ points were scored, while the Bills are 14-34 ATS after coviering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games, since 1992. Look for the Bills luck to run out here as the Giants bounceback with a solid win by at least a TD.

POWER SYSTEM PLAY

Cleveland/ Oakland Over 44.5: The OU is 4-1 when the Browns are off a BYE and the OU is 7-1 when the Raiders are home off a non-divisional win. The Browns will not be mistaken for an offensive juggernaut, but they have had the extra week to prepare for this one and they will be taking on a pathetic Oakland defense. The Raiders are 32nd in total defense (414 ypg), 29th in passing defense (300 ypg) and 28th in points allowed (26.6 ppg). Even the Cleveland offense should be good for about 21 vs this bad defense. The Cleveland defense does check in at 9th in the league, allowing 320 ypg, but they have yet to meet an offense this potent yet. So far this year the best offense the browns faced was Miami and they are ranked 16th in total offense. Today they will face the #9 offense of the Raiders and the 2nd ranked rushing offense in the league and that's not good news for a Cleveland defense that allows 124.5 ypg on the ground (25th). The Cleveland offense has had some time to prepare here so expect them to have a very good showing vs this defense, while the Raiders offense will have another great game. I look for around 50 points in this one. POWER SYSTEM FOR THIS PLAY--- Play the Over when a non-division is playing off a SU home fav loss vs an opponent theat won SU & ATS the previous week. This system has gone 18-1 OU the last 4 years.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Dallas/ New England Over 55: Let's start off by saying that the system in the Browns/ Raiders game can be used for this game as well. This game will be fun to watch. Dallas brings the 3rd ranked passing offense into this one as they have put up 331 ypg through the air so far and they are 6th overall at 418 ypg. Dallas has had extra time to prepare and they will be taking on the worst ranked defense in the league. The Pats allow 433 ypg and 326 ypg through the air. The Dallas offense should have a field day vs them. On the other side we have a Pats offense that is first overall (495 ypg), 1st in passing (367 ypg) and 2nd in scoring (33 ppg). All those number are great, but what is most impreessive is that they are 6th in rushing offense,. When playing this Pats offense you don't kjnow what phase of it to try and stop as they are very balanced. The Dallas defense has been very good this year as they are 4th overall and 1st vs the run, but it doesn't matter what defense is out there, the Ptriots will score against them. Both of these offenses are very good and will have no problems in putting up enough points for an easy over here. I see around 60 points in this one. KEY TRENDS--- The OU is 14-2 in Dallas' last 16 on fieldturf, while the OU is 17-4 in the Pats last 21 as a favorite.

San Francisco +4 over DETROIT: Let's talk about emotion for a momemnt. Last week the Lions played and won their first MNF home ga,me in a long time and there was plenty of emotion that they used for that game. This team has been playing with a ton of empotion this year and they are off to a 5-0 start, but I see them coming back down to earth a bit in this one. The Niners are a very improved team and Jim Harbaugh has them playing well, as evidenced by last weeks blowout loss of Tampa Bay. The Niners defense has been very, ranking 13th overall and 2nd in points allowed and they should be able to contain this Detroit offense, that was slowed down a bit last week by a good Chicago defense. detroit is a good team this year, therre is no doubting that, but they are still a very young team and after playing such an emotional game last week, one can only expect them to have a letdown. I'll call for an outright upset by the Niners here.

2 UNIT PLAY

Indianapolis +7 over CINCINNATI: The Bengals are a very improved team this year and they do have the top rated defense in the league, but they are note ready to be a 7 point favorite over anyone. The Colts are getting closer and closer to getting that first win and the more work and practice Painter gets the better he will be. Let's also note that the Bungals are 0-9 ATS as home favroites the last 3 years and 24-45 ATS in October since 1992. Colts should keep this one close.

1 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia -1 over WASHINGTON: The Eagles have Burned me the last few weeks, but I will give them one more chance. The Eagles have one of the best offenses in the league as they check in 3rd n total offense, 1st in rushing and 11th in scoring. Despite the 1-4 start this team has still outgained their foes by a whopping 107 ypg, but it has been TO's that have and stupid penalties that have done them in this year. I feel that they will get it corrected today vs a Washington team that has overachieved this year due to playing a weak schedule. This play should be higher, but the sloppy play of the Eagles of late will not allow me to make this a top play.

[timbob]

Gold Medal Club NFL Sunday

1)Jacksonville 50*
2)St.Louis 25*
3)Philadelphia 25*
4)Atlanta 25*
5)Chicago 10*

[timbob]

Sixth Sense

Phila -2.5
Dall +6.5
Minn +2.5
Miami +7

[timbob]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Sunday

Play St. Louis (+120) over Milwaukee (Top MLB Play)
Starts at 4:00 PM EST

Shaun Marcum has lost 10 of the last 14 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and he has also lost 11 of the last 17 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Shaun Marcum has lost 2 consecutive playoff games and he is 0-2 in his last three starts with an ERA of 12.82.


--------------------------------------------------------------


NHL Hockey Sunday

Play Anaheim (-145) over St. Louis (Top NHL Play)

[timbob]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = DALLAS

3* = "UNDER" on Bengals/Colts

2* = New Orleans

2* = "under" on Packers/Rams

[timbob]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Milwaukee -126 over St. Louis

[timbob]

Joey Cassano

NYG -3
Cleveland +6.5
Dallas +7

[timbob]

PhD Picks 10/16

Green Bay -14
Pittsburgh -13
Philadelphia -3
Buffalo +3
San Francisco +4
Carolina +3.5
New England -6
New Orleans -7
Minnesota +1
Green Bay O47
Baltimore O45
Oakland U44.5

[timbob]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

NFL
GOM: 5* (205) Philadelphia Eagles 1:00est
4* (208) Detroit Lions 1:00est
3* (210) Atlanta Falcons 1:00est

Major League Baseball
4* (924) Milwaukee Brewers (with Marcum) 8:05est

[timbob]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Oakland -6 over Cleveland

[timbob]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

St Louis Blues + Anaheim Ducks

[timbob]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Oakland -6 over Cleveland

[timbob]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 100 Dime play is on the underdag Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals. As I look at the sports books in Las Vegas at 1 a.m., the Bengals are a 7-point favoarite. My 40 Dime play is on the Baltimore Ravens over the Houston Texans. The sports bocks show the Ravens a 7-point favorite.

[timbob]

Jeff Benton
Sunday's Action
60 Dime Rivalry Lock this Sunday will be on the visitang Carolina Panthers to combaine with the home team Atlanta Falcons to go OVER the total. As I releace this winner to you, the posted total for the game is 50 1/2-points both here in Vegas and offshore.

[timbob]

Sixth Sense

A real nice bounce back week last week, going 6-3 and so close to a 8-1 or 9-0 day. The 6-3 was good for a +8.10% day. The record now stands at 22-14 61.1% +19.80% for the year.

Also, I will come back on Saturday at 5 pm central with a totals update.

All plays are delivered via email and will be sent by 10 p.m. central on Friday evenings.

BEST BETS

YTD 22-14 +19.80%

3% PHILADELPHIA -2.5
3% DALLAS +6.5
3% MINNESOTA +2.5

League averages for comparison to the stats that will be listed below.

Average Points Scored 23.0
Yards Per Rush (YPR) 4.1
Yards Per Pass (YPS) 6.5
Yard Per Play (YPPL) 5.6

GREEN BAY -14 St Louis 48

St. Louis qualifies in a 26-4-1 situation that plays on winless teams coming off their bye week. Numbers favor GB by 16 and predict about 48 points. Packers lost at home to the Rams back in 2006 by three but were home dogs in that game. Against the recent version of the Rams, they have played twice in St Louis as of late (2007 and 2009) and won 33-14 and 36-17. GB is now 11-3 ATS at home as a favorite of more than seven points in non-division games. In each of those games they covered the spread, they scored at least 30 points. In the games they did not cover the spread, they failed to score more than 24 points. They actually lost all three of those games SU. Rams are now 3-8 ATS the last 11 games as road dogs of more than seven points against teams above .500. They allowed at least 31 points in seven of those eight losses. The Rams also failed to score more than 13 points in seven of those eight losses. Given these two teams history, unless they can keep GB under 30 points, they don't stand much of a chance to cover this game. And, knowing you can almost just write down GB for a bare minimum of 27-30 points at home each game, that makes it difficult to cover this number. Also, the Rams haven't scored more than 16 points in a game this year. GREEN BAY 30 ST LOUIS 13

PITTSBURGH -12 Jacksonville 40.5

Jacksonville qualifies in a contrary situation that is 149-87-5. That situation played on Seattle last week. Numbers favor Pittsburgh by eight and predict about 36 points. These two teams don't play against each other every year and this isn't the same version of Jacksonville from years past but Pittsburgh has always struggled against Jacksonville. You have to go back 10 years to find the last time they defeated Jacksonville by more than five points, when they won by 13 as a 6.5 point favorite back in 2001. That includes four home games and four road games. Jacksonville has lost four straight games and was blown out in their only road game against good competition, when they lost 32-3 at the Jets. The situations favor Jacksonville in this game as does the value. Pittsburgh is still banged up but they have been pretty good the last 1+ years laying seven or more points at home as they are now 5-0 ATS. PITTSBURGH 24 JACKSONVILLE 14


Philadelphia -2.5 WASHINGTON 47

Philadelphia qualifies in my turnover table situation, which is 429-279-18. They also qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 538-394-23. Numbers favor Washington by five and predict about 46 points. Philly has won four of the last five, and eight of the last ten games played here between these two, including winning 59-28 last year. Philadelphia has now allowed 24 or more points in 11 of their last 13 road games, including 31 or more in eight of those thirteen road games. Ironically, they are 8-5 SU in those same 13 road games because they have scored a ton of points. In all but one of those 13 road games (week one this year at the Rams), they have totaled at least 48 points. Washington has been very competitive at home over their last ten games. In nine of those ten games, they have won or lost by four or less points. Their one loss by more than four points was to these Eagles last year 59-28 on Monday night. Eagles simply need to stop turning the ball over. If they can do that, they have more than enough offense to win and cover this game. The Redskins offense is not that explosive so Philly has an excellent chance to cover this game if they can avoid the mistakes. PHILADELPHIA 34 WASHINGTON 24


DETROIT -4 San Francisco 46.5

SF qualifies in a negative situation, which is 81-42-7 and plays against them here. SF qualifies in a couple of fundamental rushing situations, which are 538-394-23 and 296-204-23. Numbers favor Detroit by four and predict about 46 points. Detroit lost by 14 and 18 in 2009 and 2008 but those games were in SF. Detroit has now scored 20 or more points in eight straight home games and haven't allowed more than 13 points in their last four home games. With the situations going both ways in this game and the no value on either side I will call for a four point Detroit win. DETROIT 24 SAN FRANCISCO 20


ATLANTA -4 Carolina 50.5

Atlanta qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 538-394-23. Numbers actually favor Carolina by one point and predict about 48 points. After losing at home to Carolina three years in a row, they have defeated Carolina at home, under Mike Smith, by 17, 8 and 21 points the last three years. Carolina has now allowed the following in their last seven road games: 28, 34, 31, 27, 31, 24 and 31 points. However, Atlanta has allowed 31 and 25 points at home this year to above average offenses. Value favors Carolina and until Atlanta proves otherwise, I will lean against them. Although the numbers suggest a slightly lower scoring game than the total, based on what both these teams are allowing on defense, I will shade to the over slightly. Atlanta will be without Julio Jones in this game. ATLANTA 28 CAROLINA 27


CINCINNATI -7 Indianapolis 41

Indianapolis qualifies in a winless situation, which is 104-50-7. Cincinnati qualifies in a letdown situation, which is 116-40-3 and plays against them here. That same situation played against TB a few weeks ago when they played Indy as well. Cincinnati qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 538-394-23. Numbers favor Cincinnati by 11.5 points and predict about 42 points. Indy has been somewhat competitive this year, especially after their initial road game at Houston to begin the season. They have lost by eight, three, seven and four points. The Bengal's have never been good favorites as they are now just 6-16 ATS as home favorites of four or more points the last ten years. Once again the situations favor Indy but they are still banged up, especially in the secondary making it impossible for me to take them, not to mention the value lies squarely with Cincinnati. CINCINNATI 26 INDIANAPOLIS 16


NY GIANTS -3.5 Buffalo 50

Buffalo qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 296-204-23 as long as they are getting at least three points. Numbers make this game a pick 'em and predict about 53 points. The value and situation favor Buffalo. Buffalo took advantage of five Philadelphia turnovers last week, despite being out gained. Meanwhile, the Giants turned the ball over five times themselves. That usually means good things for teams like the Giants, especially when a team like Buffalo with a below average defense goes on the road. I'll call for a three point game and let the line determine which way I lean. NY GIANTS 30 BUFFALO 27


BALTIMORE -8.5 Houston 44.5

Houston qualifies in my turnover table situation, which is 429-279-18. Numbers favor Baltimore by about eight points and predict about 44 points. These teams haven't met much of late. Baltimore jumped out to a huge lead last year in Houston on a Monday night, only to see Houston come back to tie the game and force OT. Baltimore won 34-28 on an interception return for a touchdown in OT. Houston's defense is improved this year but is now without Mario Williams for the season. They have allowed 13, 40, 24, 31, 34, 30, 31, 30, 24 and 27 points in their last 10 road games. Baltimore has put up points at home in non-divisional games, logging 34, 30, 17, 26, 37, 31, 31 and 48 points in their last eight home games against non-divisional teams. Houston figures to give up some points and the Ravens are scoring their share of points at home. With some of their secondary still hurting, Baltimore could give up a few points as well. I'll call for a seven point victory and let the line decide which way I lean. BALTIMORE 27 HOUSTON 20


OAKLAND -6.5 Cleveland 44.5

I don't have any situations in this game. Numbers favor Oakland by about six points and predict about 47 points. These two played three years in a row here from 2005 to 2007 with Oakland winning two of the three but no game decided by more than three points. For Cleveland this is only their second road game of the season. Joe Haden and Alex Mack are questionable for this game. Haden is a big deal and if he doesn't play I would probably lean Oakland's way. I don't have much of an opinion on this game. OAKLAND 27 CLEVELAND 20


NEW ENGLAND -6.5 Dallas 55.5

I don't have any situations in this game. Numbers favor NE by just three points and predict about 60 points. These two last met in 2007 during NE's undefeated season when NE won 48-27 as a 5.5 point away favorite in Dallas. Dallas has now played in 10 straight games that have been decided by four points or less. They are also now 3-0 ATS on the road as a dog under Jason Garrett winning two of those three with the only loss the meltdown loss at the Jets to begin this season. The other two games were SU wins at the Colts and the Giants. NE has now scored 30 or more points in 13 straight regular season games. They haven't played a ton of good offenses at home the past few years but when they have they allowed 28 points to Indy last year and 27 to GB last year (without Rodgers). This year they allowed 21 to SD but SD turned the ball over multiple times deep in NE territory and once on downs as well. NE will be tested this week. Unlike last week Dallas has an offense that can match NE and has a defense that is just as good as the Jets, for all practical purposes. They also get numerous players back healthy this week including Miles Austin at WR, Felix Jones at RB, Orlando Scandrick at CB and Gerald Sensabaugh at S. Don't be afraid to look at the Cowboys on the money line in this game. DALLAS 31 NEW ENGLAND 28



New Orleans -4.5 TAMPA BAY 49.5

I don't have any situations in this game. Numbers favor NO by six points and predict about 52 points. NO has won here easily the last two years as road favorites. They won 38-7 as 10.5 point favorites in 2009 and 31-6 last year as five point road favorites. NO has now scored 30, 23, 34, 36, 17, 24, 34, 30, 34, 31, 20 and 25 points in their last 12 road games. TB, when playing at home against good offenses, has not faired very well. They have allowed at least 27 points in seven of their last 10 home games against good offenses. The Saints are too good offensively so unless TB can score their share of points I don't see them covering this spread. They are missing DT Gerald McCoy and RB LeGarrette Blount. NEW ORLEANS 30 TAMPA BAY 20


CHICAGO -2.5 Minnesota 41.5

Minnesota qualifies in a couple of fundamental rushing situations, which are 499-319-22, 538-394-23, 294-204-23 and 161- 86-8 (if they are getting more than three points). Chicago qualifies in a negative fundamental rushing situation, which is 130-59-8 and plays against them here. Numbers make this game a pick 'em and predict about 40 points. The Vikings have struggled here as of late, losing nine of the last ten games played here. Minnesota is simply the better team in this game. With a better offensive line, defensive line and secondary along with value and strong situations in their favor, they are the right side in this game. MINNESOTA 24 CHICAGO 17

[timbob]

Paul Leiner

100* Ravens -7

50* Over 46 49ers/Lions

[timbob]

Maddux Sports

20 Units Giants
10 Units Lions
10 Units Colts
10 Units Texans
10 Units Cowboys

[timbob]

tom stryker

100% guaranteed gut-check blowout best bet atlanta falcons

[timbob]

ATS Lock early NFL:

Washington +3
Detroit -4
Over 50 in buff/giants game

[timbob]

bookiemonsters

16-7-1 run

49ers +6

[timbob]

NFL Sharps Picks: Week 6

This is a compilation of what the top handicappers in the Las Vegas Hilton Super Contest are selecting each week.
Here's how to read the chart below:

- The first team is the sharps' pick.

- The first number is how many sharps are taking that team.

- The figure in the parantheses is the difference between the number of sharps taking that team versus the number of sharps betting against them.

- The second team is the opponent.

- The number at the end is the number of sharps taking the opponent.




Here's this week's Sharps picks:

Dallas 30 (-23) New England 7
Oakland 21 (-15) Cleveland 6
New Orleans 21 (-15) Tampa Bay 6
Baltimore 18 (-12) Houston 6
Buffalo 18 (-7) NY Giants 11
NY Jets 16 (-11) Miami 5
Green Bay 16 (-9) St Louis 7
Detroit 15 (-4) San Francisco 11
Carolina 13 (-8) Atlanta 5
Philadelphia 13 (EVEN) Washington 13
Chicago 12 (-4) Minnesota 8
Pittsburgh 9 (-4) Jacksonville 5
Indianapolis 7 (-1) Cincinnati 6





The generic sharp ticket - determined by largest pick margin - is Dallas, New Orleans, Oakland, Baltimore, and the Jets.

The Vegas house ticket - determined by Vegas' willingness to not move a line despite tons of money on the other side - is Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Miami, Cleveland, and the Giants.

Almost exactly 50 percent of the sharps (30 out of 61 entries) are on Dallas, which is the highest percentage on any side that I can remember.



contes1 18- 6- 1, IND, NYG, CLE, TB, NYJ
SAMS 18- 6- 1, GB, PHI, BAL, DAL, NO
SAl 17- 6- 2, GB, PHI, NYG, BAL, NO

[timbob]

Kelso

50 Unit Play - Green Bay Packers -14

[timbob]

Sports Handicapper King

3* Indianapolis +6

3* Tampa Bay +6

3* Chicago Bears -2.5

Free: Milwaukee Brewers ML

[timbob]

NORM HITZGES

DOUBLE PLAY
Dallas Cowboys

SINGLE PLAYS
Minnesota Vikings
St Louis Rams
Miami Dolphins
Oakland Raiders Over

[timbob]

Computer Kid Totals

Oakland OVER 44.5

Green Bay UNDER 47.5

Washington OVER 47

[timbob]

LT Profits


NFL

Eagles -2.5 -125
49ers +4 -104
Panthers/Falcons UNDER 50.5 -110
Colts +7 -120
Vikings +114 ML
Vikings/Bears UNDER 41.5 -105

[timbob]

Chase Diamond

50 Dimes St. Louis Rams +14.5

30 Dimes Philadelphia Eagles -2.5

40 Dimes San Francisco 49ers +4.5

30 Dimes Jacksonville Jaguars +13

[timbob]

Ocal Sports

4* CAR @ ATL Under 50.5

8* Eagles -1.5

4* Giants -3

4* Colts +7

4* Steelers -12.5

4* Saints -4.5

4* CLE @ OAK Under 44.5

5* Cowboys +7

[timbob]

RICHIE CARRERA


Philadelphia -3 over WASHINGTON 25 Dimes
Popular pick: Yes, it is. But that is no reason to stay away from this one. I don't buy into the motivation factor, because while Philly will be fighting for their season, when is the last time the Skins were at home against a bitter rival touting a 3-1 record. Now, what I do buy into (to some degree) is statistics. The team with the better statistics USUALLY wins games. If not for a slew of Mike Vick mistakes this year and your typical serving of Andy Reid at head coach, the Eagles should have only 1 or 2 losses. They have dominated teams statistically this year and it is only a matter of time until they start compiling some wins for their efforts. I DO NOT think this Philly team is "great" or a "dream team". As I pointed out in my power rankings; Philly possesses talent at the skill positions. They are weak at both lines and bad at stopping the run and that usually doesn't bode well... Fortunately for them, they have an offense that SHOULD be able to compensate for their short-comings IF they can limit their mistakes. I guess this just goes to show that you can have all of the All Pro corners that you want, but if you can't stop the run, you have a problem.. Also, I know that I am late to this party, but employing an O-line coach as your Defensive Coordinator even though he has zero experience coaching defense is like hiring a community organizer to be the .... Never mind. At the root of this play is a very exploitable Redskins defense; one that Vick and McCoy should have no problem finding paydirt against. I actually think that this is a line that the Eagles can block and corners that Philly's receivers can beat one-on-one with ease. Washington has put together great Defensive numbers against the likes of Arizona, St. Louis, NYG and a battered Dallas team... I don't think that this trend continues as I am expecting a bit of a blowout. I think that this is a rare example of when the sharps move the same directions as the public, resulting in a 3 point line movement. Jump on the right side and let's bank a 25 dimer.

Jacksonville +13 over PITTSBURGH 10 Dimes
The Jags always play the Steelers close. More importantly, MJD gets to go up against a Pittsburgh defense that has had trouble stopping the run. Also, look for Jones-Drew to gash the Pittsburgh defense by hauling in passes out of the backfield. While I don't fully trust rookie QB Blaine Gabbert to solve the Steeler zone blitz, I do think that he is competent enough to limit his mistakes and get the ball out quickly. With a big game from MJD, I expect the Jags to (I hate saying this phrase) keep it close. This one breaks a few of my rules (Rookie QB on the road in hostile environment to name one example), but I think it is a one possession game in Pittsburgh today.


Indianapolis +7 over CINCINNATI 10 Dimes
While the Bengals are admittedly a much better team than I expected this season, they haven't faced pash-rushers like Mathis and Freeney. Indy has lost their last 4 games by 1 possession and this may be their chance to steal one on the road. I expect this to be a closer matchup than many expect with the Colts in position to win late. (Buy the hook if you must)

[timbob]

RANDY BRUCE


NFL: 5 dimes each
Packers -14
Jaguars/Steelers Over 39.5
Colts/Bengals Over 40.5
Ravens -7
Raiders -6.5
Patriots -7

[timbob]

JACK HOWARD

Detroit -4 Over San Francisco 10 Dimes
Calvin Johnson hauled in five catches for 130 yards last week. Look for big numbers again for Megatron as he goes up against the 23rd ranked passing defense.
Both teams are off to great starts but I still question the talent level for the 49ers. Matthew Stafford, Ndamukong Suh, and Calvin Johnson are proving they are a legitimate contender for the NFC North.
Prediction: 27-17 Detroit

Atlanta -3.5 Over Carolina 10 Dimes

[timbob]

Evan Altamus | NFL Side

double-dime bet 222 TAM 4.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 221 NOS

[timbob]

Northcoast

4* GAME OF THE MONTH--SAINTS -6

3* GIANTS -3 -130
3* UNDER RAVENS 45

TOP OPINIONS
PATRIOTS -6

CHALK PLAY
EAGLES -3

DOG OF THE DAY
RAMS +14

SUNDAY NIGHT MARQUEE
BEARS -2

REGULAR OPINION
PRO PLAY-TEXANS +7

[timbob]

lem bankers goy

balt - 7

[fsiler]

Anyone have all of wunderdog's picks? Thanks!

[timbob]

Johnny D

PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA
DALLAS

[timbob]

PowerPLayWins

Green Bay -14
NY Giant -3
Eagles -3
Ravens -7
Saints -6

[timbob]

Will Cashmen

4:05 EST BALTIMORE -7 over Houston

4:15 EST New Orleans at TAMPA BAY Under 49.5

1:00 EST ATLANTA -3 (BH) over Carolina

Late SNF Game: Minnesota +3 over CHICAGO -- Might be +2 right now, but still like Minnesota.

(Watch during morning for line movement on Total. May gain back a point. 48 a key number here.)
1:00 EST Green Bay / St. Louis Under 48 -- I want to see if we can get some action on this Total and get it back at 49. Even 48.5 will work.


TEASERS:

6pt, Two Teamer: Pittsburgh -6.5 & Green Bay -8


10pt Sweetheart Teaser: 3 Team - Teaser - Sweetheart 10

#207 - San Francisco 49ers/Detroit Lions u56
#209 - Carolina Panthers/Atlanta Falcons o40
#213 - Buffalo Bills/New York Giants o40

Free Play:

Detroit / San Fran Under 46

[timbob]

The Consensus Pick

Pick of the Day: 49ers/Lions Under 45.5 (-110)
Free Pick: Giants -3 (-125)

[timbob]

boston blackie

5 star wash +1
sfran +4
sfran under 46

[timbob]

Ohio's SBP ( Sports Betting Prodigy)

NFL

Rams +14.5

Cowboys +7

Falcons -3

Giants -3

[timbob]

The Boss

1000% godfather green bay
500% untouchable play giants
300% bookie buster parlay gbay giants Baltimore
200% dog pound 49ers
100% silent assassins new orleans overminnesota Atlanta

[timbob]

Harry bondi:


4-balt,

3-ne, chi

[timbob]

Tom Freese

10* Redskins
10* Raiders
20* Saints

[timbob]

DommyLocks

SF 49ers +4.5> **double play** line has dropped from +6 Detroit is on a short week coming off MNF beating Chicago IMO this line will drop to -3 / -3.5 get this above 4 as I see a 24-20 type game. SF is on a roll going into their bye week and its always a good bet to play the streak (and conversely FADE the streaks on the week after the BYE IE. Fade SF 10.30 vs Cleveland)


Cleveland +7 **double play** We played Oakland last week and that play was entirely based on the Death of Al Davis this weeks play is LET DOWN week fade Oakland a -7 point favorite? I don't see it especially in this spot. Cleveland is coming off their bye I have a decent trend that plays into our play Cleveland is 23-6 ATS on the road with O/U 40 or more (44.5)

[timbob]

PSYCHIC:

2 unit: Baltimore-7

2 unit: Jacksonville+12

5 unit wiseguy GOY: Atlanta-3.5

[timbob]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks October 16, 2011 6:48 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Cleveland Browns +7 at Oakland Raiders at 1:05 p.m. PT

Suddenly the public is firmly backing Raider Nation. I think the emotional win at Houston days after the passing of Al Davis, could work against Oakland here. The Browns are coming off a bye and Colt McCoy has done fine at QB. I would take the Raiders even, but not giving a TD. We’ll let Janikowski decide it.

BROWNS +7

St. Louis Rams +15

Detroit Lions -5

Carolina Panthers +5

Houston Texans +7

Minnesota Vikings +3

[timbob]

Kramer

3* New York Jets -6.5
3* Oakland -6.5
3* New Orleans -6

[timbob]

Landers

5* Ravens -7

5* 4 team teaser 12.5 points
Gb -1.5
Pitt. +1
Nyg. +10
Dall+20

[timbob]

OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” NFL SYSTEM (Rams +14 at Packers in a 1:00 eastern kickoff): It is easy to see why Green Bay has been asked to lay this many points since the defending Super Bowl champions are undefeated and have successfully covered the spread consecutive weeks in National-TV affair with most of the nation watching. But it has been nearly FIFTY YEARS since the last time this proud Green Bay franchise has gotten off to such a great start which means they are starting to climb into what I will call rarified air where the “law of averages” are about to stack up. Possibly no team in the league needed a bye-week more than disappointing St. Louis who in 2010 was one victory shy of qualifying for the playoffs with the help of #1 draft pick Sam Bradford. The big news for the Rams is that star running back Steven Jackson has pronounced himself 100-PERCENT after suffering a strained quad muscle on his first carry of the regular season. Since the Rams were off last week they had extra time to further treat Jackson who has rushed for only 124 yards so far in 2011 with 47 of them coming on that first carry of the campaign. The injury bug has also nailed St. Louis on defense as they have already lost a pair of starting cornerbacks for the entire season. In an interesting twist getting the start for St. Louis today at one of the corner positions is newly signed veteran Al Harris (36 years old) who used to be employed by today’s opponent. The last time Harris started a game was a full two years ago while with Green Bay so one can assume he will have plenty of motivation. Turning to the database here is a 64-PERCENT SYSTEM (104-59 since 1983) that plays ON pathetic road underdogs like St. Louis who have been outscored on average by double-digits per contest, after scoring 7-or-less “first half” points in consecutive games. That system favors the “rested” Rams who finally have their single most important player (Steven Jackson) healthy

[timbob]

Jack Reynolds - Syndicate Sports Picks:


Sunday 10/16 NFL Plays:
Play #1:
Straight Bet:

205 Eagles -3




Play #2:
4 Team, 13 Point Teaser:

202 Packers -1
204 Steelers +1
216 Ravens +6
226 Jets +6.5


Play #3:
2 Team, 7 Point Teaser: (Also could be a 6pt Teaser)

221 Saints PK
216 Ravens PK


Play #4: 2 Team, Money-Line Parlay: (Pays 31%)



202 Packers -870
204 Steelers -600

[timbob]

Matt Farrgo

10 giants
10 falcons
9 rams
9 vikes
9 eagles

[timbob]

From the Real Time (with Bill Maher) Animal:

Sunday free pick is 3* NY Giants -3:

The Giants are in an ideal spot today coming off an embarrassing home loss to Seattle while Buffalo survived Philadelphia despite allowing 489 yards of Eagle offense. Imagine how many yards and points the Birds would have posted if you remove the five turnovers. This game is all about time in the pocket. The Bills are #32 and DEAD LAST in sacks with four on the season. This means Eli Manning will have time to throw. The same cannot be said for Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Giants lead the league in sacks with 18. I suspect turnovers will play a heavy impact on the outcome in this game. The Giants have forced six fumbles and five interceptions in addition to those 18 sacks. Buffalo is 0-8 ATS on the road in October when facing an opponent off a double-digit defeat. I don't mind Ahmad Bradshaw getting more carries for the injured Brandon Jacobs. Buffalo is #28 versus the run and #26 versus the pass. You rarely see defensive rankings like that with teams that consistently win and especially on the road. The Giants are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. Go figure it. The Giants are laying the same number at home to the Bills that the Eagles were favored at in Buffalo last Sunday. Buffalo 3-9 SU the last dozen on the road. In their last three games the Bills have lost the stats in each. In their last road game Buffalo had 273 total yards at Cincinnati. Meanwhile Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati passing attack had 287 passing yards alone (458 total). Put me down on "Big Blue" at this price off a home loss at a discounted price today.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
PITTSBURGH STEELERS -12.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars, 10 dimes
At first glance, I thought that this was a game to avoid. We've all experienced how inconsistent the Steelers can be against the number and SU this season. They've at times looked like the defending AFC champions, and at times looked like a Pop Warner team running around with no real purpose. I started to consider the Jacksonville offense in this situation however, and realistically I don't believe there's any real way Blaine Gabbert can put up points. He's ranked close to dead last in the league with his 49 percent completion percentage and pathetic passer rating of 71.2. He's young, inexperienced, and traveling into a very hostile Pittsburgh environment against an intimidating defense. MJD should expect to get his touches, but if the Steelers contain him the way they limited Chris Johnson last week, the Jags could be in for a very long day. Take the home chalk.

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
NEW YORK GIANTS/Buffalo Bills over 50, 10 dimes
The Bills rushing attack has been the key to their high scoring formula. They're averaging a buck 37 on the ground every game, and Ryan Fitzpatrick continues to impress when he has to. The Giants have soared over the total in four out of five games this season.

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
GREEN BAY PACKERS -14 over St. Louis Rams, 10 dimes
This game doesn't need too much explaining, as the Rams are officially the league's weakest offense. They barely average two scores a game, and now they face a seriously talented defense on the road. Add to this the fact that Aaron Rodgers and Co. have looked upstoppable, and that the Rams are without their two starting corners, and you might realize how things could get ugly. Take the chalk.

---Start Time 1:00 PM EST---
WASHINGTON REDSKINS +3 over Philadelphia Eagles, 10 dimes
I love the home team getting points in this tough rivalry matchup. The Eagles are hungry for a win, but they've been that way since the 2nd week of the season, and they still have nothing to show for it. Now they have to travel to our nation's capital and square off against a well rested team coming off their bye week. Washington has covered in 3 out of 4 games this season, while Philly is 1-4 against the number.

---Start Time 4:15 PM EST---
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -7 over Dallas Cowboys, 10 dimes
This is another one of those easy selections. The Patriots' offense is looking just as prolific this season as Green Bay's, and they're scoring handfuls of points. They're 4-1 ATS and 2-0 against the number at home. All four of their victories have been by at least nine points. The Pats' defense is very suspect, but they should manage to give their offense enough cushion to cover by at least ten.

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4* NHL Over 5.5 Goals Anaheim

[Mr. IWS]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Championship Playoffs

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs

Ben lee won on Saturday with the Rangers -$145/Tigers.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Brewers -$130/Cardnials.

"Mr Chalk" is 12-4 + $585 for the 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs.

[Mr. IWS]

Asa 4- giants, minn

ats 7- gb, 6- buff, oak, 5- det over

ben burns 10-atl, giants, clev, chi under, 9- chi

big money 2 ne

blazer 5 3-dall

carolina sports 5-dall, 3-phil

doc enterprises 5-nyg, 4-gb, clev

dr. Bob 2- dall, stl

harry bondi 4-balt, 3-ne, chi

inside info 3- wash

joe d 20-phil, 15-no

lenny stevens 20- clev, phil, 10- no , balt

neri 3- det, giants, balt, no

northcoast 4:gom no, 3- giants, balt under

pointwise 3-dall, balt, giants, ne over, 2-indy, clev over, atl over

preferred picks 3- stl

pure lock clev

underdog dall

wildcat 10- no, 7- atl over, 5- caro

million club 3- phil

[Mr. IWS]

Don Wallace Sports
All 3*
Philly
Giants
Houston
Tampa
Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan - green bay -14

[Mr. IWS]

Ats - 7 green bay 6- oakland and buffalo 5- lions over

[Mr. IWS]

Sports bank
500 sunday night game of year
minnesotaSports bank
500 sunday night game of year
minnesota

[timbob]

Football Jesus Podcast
He likes
RAMS
REDSKINS
LIONS
BENGALS
DALLAS
BUCCS
JETS
FREE PLAY NEW YORK GIANTS

[timbob]

Sports Unlimited

atlanta
st louis
cleveland

[timbob]

kelso

50 packers
50 raiders
25 vikes
10 eagles
5 bills
5 colts
5 un colts

[timbob]

john manuel

ny giants 50 dimes
stl rams 50 dimes
phi eagles 50 dimes
det lions 50 dimes
dallas cowboys 100 dimes

[timbob]

Executive

400 new england

[timbob]

VegasSnitch

WASH +3 30*
HOU +7 50*
TAMPA BAY +6.5 50*
NEW ENGLAND -6 20*

[timbob]

Rocketman
4* Indianapolis
4* Cleveland

Wildcat
10* New Orleans

Blazer
3* Dallas

Gameday
4* New Orleans

Carolina Sports
5* Dallas

Mike Neri
3* Detroit
3* New York giants
3* New Orleans
3* Baltimore