8-11-11

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2011 Preseason Picks

THURSDAY, AUGUST 11
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (8/7)

Game 251-252: Baltimore at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 125.734; Philadelphia 118.551
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 7; 31
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under

Game 253-254: Jacksonville at New England (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 120.851; New England 126.147
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: New England by 4; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-4); Over

Game 255-256: Seattle at San Diego (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 120.446; San Diego 125.535
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 5; 33
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-4 1/2); Under

Game 257-258: Denver at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.361; Dallas 121.395
Dunkel Line: Even; 38
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Over

Game 259-260: Arizona at Oakland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 120.948; Oakland 122.740
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 37
Vegas Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3 1/2); Over

Game 261-262: Cincinnati at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 116.840; Detroit 124.333
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7 1/2; 31
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4 1/2; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4 1/2); Under

Game 263-264: Miami at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.382; Atlanta 123.408
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 30
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under

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Football Sack
Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Thursday 8/11 – 7:30 pm est.

We all saw the comment newly acquired QB Vince Young said on ESPN. “Dream Team”. And although most of you Philly fans think he was a good pick up, what do you think about his mouth? Coming from an Eagles, I knew adding him was going to be a mistake. His immaturity is going to drag this team down, and what do you know, he is already putting on heat and the season hasn’t even started yet!

Mike Vick will most likely start this game, but eventually Vince Young will get his time on the field. And if he is going to make comments on ESPN, having all NFL players tweeting “What dream team”? Well bottom line is he better come out BIG against the Ravens and put that comment to truth.

I do believe he will come out and play as big as he can just to back up his words, and comparing the Eagles QB’s to the Raven’s QB’s you have to take the Eagles in this one. Many new faces on the team wanting to prove they are in fact the “Dream Team”

Philadelphia Eagles -3 (5 units)

Denver Broncos @ Dallas Cowboys – Thursday 8/11 – 8:30 pm est.

Kyle Orton or Tim Tebow that is the question. Fans want Tebow; players want Orton and want to win this season. But bottom line is MONEY. Fans make the money for the organization and if they want Tebow they will eventually get him.

So what I am trying to say is, expect a very competitive Kyle Orton this season, because one mistake and he is getting yanked, even in the preseason guaranteed. Even though the obvious QB to start is Orton, but like I said, MONEY is the bottom line in the NFL, as we saw with the lockout.

As for the Cowgirls quarterbacks, Tony Homo and Jon Kitna, you would have to be out of your mind to even think these two guys even have a chance against a competitive Broncos QB situation.

Denver Bronco +3 (1 unit)

Other plays to consider…
Atlanta Falcons -2 (5 units)
Minnesota Vikings +3 (1 unit)

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MARK LAWRENCECOVERS' WHAT BETTORS NEED TO KNOW


Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-3.5, 35.5)

Starter Report

Jaguars: Rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert will start for the Jags against the Patriots Thursday. Gabbert gets the nod because first-string QB David Garrard is out with a stiff back. Veteran backup Luke McCown will run out with the second team and Jags coach Jack Del Rio says Gabbert and McCown should split the majority of snaps.

Recently signed 39-year-old Todd Bouman will lead the Jags’ scrub offense in the latter parts of Thursday’s game.

Starting running back Maurice Jones-Drew, tight end Marcedes Lewis and defensive end Aaron Kampman all will not play Thursday.

Patriots: New England head coach Bill Belichick isn’t talking about his player rotations for Thursday, although he did hint that players who didn’t practice on Tuesday would most likely not suit up for the team’s first preseason game.

That would rule out defensive lineman Albert Haynesworth, tight end Rob Gronkowski, offensive linemen Dan Connolly and Chris Morris, and linebacker Brandon Spikes.

If we follow Belichick’s past rotation patterns for the first week of the preseason, we can expect to see Tom Brady and the rest of the first-string offense in for most, if not all, of the first quarter.

Things to remember: This is the first preseason meeting between these two teams since 2004 when the Jaguars ran roughshod over the Patriots on this field in a 31-0 victory… Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio is 20-12 SU and 20-10-1 ATS during the preseason, including 10-1-1 ATS as a dog… Bill Belichick is 36-29 SU and 33-26-6 ATS in the preseason, including 20-11-1 ATS when seeking revenge from a preseason loss.

Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 34)

Starter Report

Ravens: Starting quarterback Joe Flacco will play the entire first quarter with backups Tyrod Taylor and Hunter Cantwell playing the rest of the game. Rookie QB Taylor is expected to get the bulk of the action. The Baltimore Sun reports the rookie from Virginia Tech will play for two and a half quarters before giving way to Cantwell midway through the fourth quarter.

The Ravens will be missing a few starters from the lineup Thursday. Center Matt Birk will not play due to a sore knee while corners Jimmy Smith and Domonique Foxworth are both doubtful.

Eagles: Philadelphia coach Andy Reid says Michael Vick and the rest of the first-team offense will play the first 12 minutes, while Vince Young and the backup unit will play the second and some of the third quarters. That leaves third stringer QB Mike Kafka with the mop-up duties.

Receivers Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson both won’t play Thursday. Maclin is dealing with an undisclosed illness and Jackson just reported to camp Monday after ending a brief holdout.

Things to remember: The Ravens defeated the Eagles 29-3 and 20-10 in the two most recent preseason meetings between these teams in 2007 and 2006… Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh is 8-4 SU and 7-5 ATS in the preseason, including 3-0 SU and ATS in the first game… Andy Reid is 18-30 SU and 19-27-2 ATS in exhibition games, including 8-15 ATS at home and 3-9 SU and 2-9-1 ATS in lid lifters.

Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Padres (-3.5, 35.5)

Starter Report

Seahawks: Coach Pete Carroll refuses to reveal his playing time schedule for Thursday’s preseason opener but he has told reporters all healthy and available players will see the field.

We know Seattle will start Tavaris Jackson under center followed by Charlie Whitehurst and Josh Portis. Receiver Mike Williams will not play because of a toe sprain.

Chargers: Norv Turner is just as wishy-washy discussing preseason playing time as he making tough calls in big games. The Chargers coach told reporters earlier in the week that running back Ryan Matthews likely wouldn’t play Thursday because of a strained muscle in his leg but wouldn’t rule out the second-year pro taking the field in the preseason opener after a good Tuesday practice.

The Bolts aren't elaborating on playing time for their starters either but bettors can assume Philip Rivers and the rest of the first-string offense will play the majority of the first quarter. Billy Volek will take over the reins after Rivers, while Scott Tolzien will finish the game off under center.

Things to remember: Rivers played just one quarter in 2010 with top targets Vincent Jackson, Malcom Floyd and Antonio Gates all healthy and available.

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 34)

Starter Report

Broncos: The early talk was on whether Tim Tebow would win the starting quarterback job in Denver but things have changed pretty quickly. Quarterback Kyle Orton will lead the Broncos first-team offense onto the field Thursday and is expected to stay for 12 offensive snaps.

Tebow is listed as the second-string QB right now, but, from the way Denver writers are talking, Brady Quinn is playing well enough to push Tebow all the way to the bottom of the depth chart. Quinn and Tebow should split the last three quarters against Dallas.

Cowboys: Coach Jason Garrett says his starters will see between eight to 12 plays before turning the ball over to his backup players.

Tony Romo will lead the first-string offense followed by Jon Kitna and Stephen McGee. Tom Brandstater, last on the team’s depth chart at quarterback, will likely get some action at the end of the game as well.

Dallas will be missing a few starters because of injuries: G Montrae Holland, CB Mike ******* and NT Jay Ratliff all won’t suit up Thursday.

Things to remember: Dallas is 9-16 SU and 8-17 ATS in the first game of the preseason… Fox is 19-17 SU and 16-19-1 ATS during the preseason, including 3-0 SU and ATS as a pick or underdog of less than three points.

Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders (-3.5, 32.5)

Starter Report

Cardinals: Arizona coach Ken Whisenhunt wouldn’t go into specifics about how long his starters would play but he did say newly acquired quarterback Kevin Kolb would play more than starting QBs typically play in the first preseason game of the year.

Max Hall and John Skelton will get the majority of action under center once Kolb leaves the game.

Arizona Republic reporter and Cardinals beat writer Kent Somers had a beautiful line talking about the high-turnover this past offseason in Arizona and how it might affect the Cards game plan: “Coach Ken Whisenhunt cares little about winning in the preseason, but that has to be especially true this year.”

Raiders: New coach Hue Jackson said he’ll use Thursday night's exhibition opener against Arizona to evaluate his players.

“I want our guys to get used to when we step out on the field we’re playing to win," Jackson told the media. "Some people use it for evaluation and I do, too. That’s part of it. But it’s also about winning.”

Oakland’s top three quarterbacks, Jason Campbell, Kyle Boller and Trent Edwards, are all former starters in the NFL. Raiders running back Darren McFadden is still recovering from a broken orbital bone and won't play Thursday.

Things to remember: The Cardinals have not made winning a priority during the preseason since the arrival of Whisenhunt four years ago, going 5-11 SU and 6-10 ATS, including 1-3 SU and ATS in the first preseason games of the season.

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ROCKDEMANSPORTS

Cubs -114 list Dempster

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Reds -130

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Hondo

Hondo kept moving in the right direction last night when he positively split the bit, hitting with the Pa dres and missing with Rockies to lower the accounts payable to 1,925 younts.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will give the rock to Gallardo -- 10 units on the Brewers to hammer out a victory against Carpenter.

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Arthur Ralph Sports

693- 520 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Over 35 1/2 Pats/Jacksonville over the total

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Khaliagent Sports Free Picks: 30-18 +15.68 units

Thursday August 11th

Cubs ml -113 (medium bet to win 2 units)
Mets ml -123 (medium bet to win 2 units)

Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (-117) (medium bet to win 2 units)

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Today's MLB Picks
San Diego at NY Mets

The Mets look to take advantage of a San Diego team that is 2-9 in its last 11 road games against a left-handed starter. New York is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 11
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Diego at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 14.787; NY Mets (Niese) 15.804
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Over

Game 903-904: Colorado at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 15.174; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.820
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.928; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.223
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under

Game 907-908: Houston at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 14.185; Arizona (Saunders) 15.840
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Over

Game 909-910: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 15.870; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.955
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Over

Game 911-912: Oakland at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Moscoso) 15.259; Toronto (Mills) 15.676
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Chatwood) 15.179; NY Yankees (Colon) 16.471
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Over

Game 915-916: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.687; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.118
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-180); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.064; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.441
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130);

Game 919-920: Washington at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.753; Cubs (Dempster) 14.276
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); N/A

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WNBA Basketball Picks
Atlanta at Phoenix

The Dream look to build on their 7-2-2 ATS record in their last 11 Thursday games. Atlanta is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 11
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: San Antonio at Connecticut (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 109.490; Connecticut 113.708
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 6; 151
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6); Over

Game 603-604: Tulsa at Seattle (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 97.460; Seattle 114.595
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 17; 136
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 13; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-13); Under

Game 605-606: Atlanta at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 111.859; Phoenix 116.182
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 186
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6); Under

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VIKING SPORTS PICKS

4* Baltimore Ravens +3
2* Jacksonville/New England OVER 35'

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Thursday’s Betting Tips: Cardinals-Raiders Odds Moving

Who’s Hot

MLB: The over is 9-1-1 in San Diego’s last 11 games overall.

NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio is 20-10-1 against the spread in the preseason.

WNBA: The under is 11-2-1 in San Antonio’s last 14 games.

CFL: Montreal has covered in four of its last five games against Edmonton.

Who’s Not

MLB: The under is 4-20-3 in the last 27 meetings between the Royals and Rays.

NFL: Philadelphia Eagles coach Andy Reid is just 19-27-2 against the spread in preseason games.

NFL: Dallas is 8-17 against the spread in its first game of the preseason.

CFL: The under is 1-5 in Montreal’s last six games.

WNBA: Tulsa is 1-20 straight up this season and is 4-9-1 against the spread in its last 14.

Key Stat

4.96 - The Toronto Blue Jays continue to face allegations that they are stealing signs when playing at home at the Rogers Centre. For the record, they’re averaging 4.96 runs per game at home this year, which is up from their overall average of 4.65 runs per game. Their team home batting average is .258, up from .215 overall. The Jays host the Athletics Thursday as a -135 favorite with a 9-run total.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Matt Holliday, St. Louis Cardinals – Holliday tweaked a muscle in his back while lifting weights Wednesday and is expected to be out of action for a few days. The veteran slugger doesn’t think the injury is serious, but doesn’t want to aggravate it now. Holliday is hitting .319 with 18 homers and 62 RBIs.

Game Of The Day

Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 34)

Notable Quotable

"Over time, you kind of lose sight of certain things and you forget what you were doing and you sometimes can't put your finger on what you're doing with regard to the mental side of the game and you just need jogging a bit, so that made sense to go see Bob." - Lee Westwood on meeting with noted sports psychologist Bob Rotella ahead of the PGA Championship. Westwood, set at +1400 to win the tournament, is still searching for his first career major title.

Tips And Notes

Preseason football is upon us, which means you’d better get ready for a ton of 3 point lines on the board. All five of Thursday’s matchups are currently hovering between 3-4 points. The Oakland Raiders have been listed as high as 4.5-point favorites in recent days for their game against Arizona, but they’re now sitting around -3, while the total has dropped from 34.5 points to 32.5.

With Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, the Milwaukee Brewers opened up a five-game lead over the red birds in the NL Central heading into Thursday's series finale. The Cardinals are currently set as -130 favorites to avoid a series sweep with the total at 7.5. Yovani Gallardo takes the hill for Milwaukee against St. Louis' Chris Carpenter.

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CANADIAN BACON

Thursday's Best CFL Bet

Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-6.5, 54.5)

The Eskimos have performed way above expectations in the first third of the CFL schedule, mainly because of the extraordinary play of their young linebackers, who have excelled at man-to-man coverage.

This defensive squad often rolls the dice and goes for those high risk/high reward plays by constantly blitzing the opposing quarterback. However, that could prove costly against Montreal's powerful offense.

Edmonton's offense just isn't the same without WR Fred Stamps who was the best receiver in the CFL as of last week. Stamps is out until September with an abdominal injury and the Eskimos will struggle to fill the void no matter how good QB Ricky Ray is even if WR Andrew Nowacki returns from injury.

The Eskimos will need to overuse versatile RB Jerome Messam and that may not be a very good idea against Montreal. Another poor idea was to have the Eskimos spend the week in Winnipeg before flying to Montreal instead of going back home to enjoy their fabulous facilities in Edmonton.

As for the Alouettes, they will be playing at home with the support of their fans and are recharged after a convincing win against the Argonauts in Toronto. Anthony Calvillo has more options in front of him than Ray and he’ll take full advantage of them in Week 7.

PICK: Montreal

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CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL Previews - August 11-13, Week Seven
By Sports Network


Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-6.5, 54.5)

EDMONTON ESKIMOS (5-1) AT MONTREAL ALOUETTES (4-2)
DATE & TIME: Thursday, August 11, 7:30 p.m. (et).

GAME NOTES: A showdown between two of the top teams in the CFL this season has lost a bit of its luster, but the game will go on as the Montreal Alouettes entertain the Edmonton Eskimos at McGill Stadium.

Edmonton has the best record in the West Division at 5-1 and is one of only two teams in the league still with just a single loss, but the bigger loss for the club came on the field over the weekend when the Eskimos watched receiver Fred Stamps go out with an injury in their 28-16 loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Stamps, who leads the league in receiving yards (619) and has produced five touchdowns on 33 catches, experienced significant discomfort after the game according to general manager Eric Tillman. Tests at the hospital uncovered internal bleeding which required immediate surgery and at this point it appears as though the receiver will be out of action anywhere from four to six weeks.

With Stamps out of the picture, Edmonton signed wide receiver and kick returner Jason Armstead to fill the roster spot, but it won't be that easy to make up for what Stamps brought to the offense. Slotback Jason Barnes now assumes the leader position as far as receiving is concerned with his 23 grabs for 396 yards and three touchdowns for the Esks. However, the bulk of those numbers came last week in defeat when Barnes caught eight balls for 125 yards and a TD.

Edmonton quarterback Ricky Ray came back to earth in the loss to Winnipeg as he converted 17-of-28 passing for 226 yards and the one score. Along the way he also tossed three picks and was sacked four times by an up-and-coming Blue Bomber defense.

As for the Als, they scored touchdowns in all four quarters against Toronto last week en route to the 36-23 win, a victory that madeMontreal 4-2 overall and moved it into second place in the East Division all by itself. Quarterback Anthony Calvillo continued his assault on the record books in the CFL as he converted all but six of his 36 pass attempts, leading to 349 yards and a score in the double-digit decision.

Along the way, Calvillo became the league's all-time leader in pass completions, now with 5,180 over the course of his 18-year career. Calvillo took over the lead in all-time passing touchdowns earlier this season and now has 398 on his resume, which leaves him just a few more milestones to accomplish this season as he heads towards CFL immortality.

Calvillo now needs just 2,386 yards passing to surpass Damon Allen (72,381 yards) for the all-time mark in that category as well.

While all eyes were on Calvillo, it was the rushing attack for the Als that did most of the damage in the win last week, as Brandon Whitaker turned his 19 carries into a game-high 150 yards. While Whitaker was grinding out the tough yards, Dahrran Diedrick was getting all the glory as he crossed the goal line three times on a mere five attempts. Whitaker leads the league in rushing with 493 yards on 73 attempts, but it is Diedrick who is tied for the league lead in rushing scores with four on just 21 carries.

Now that Montreal has demonstrated that it can get the job done without having to lean on Calvillo as much, teams like Edmonton will have to respect that aspect of the Als' offense and plan accordingly. However, don't think for one minute that the passing attack is going to take a back seat to anyone, especially with Calvillo leading the CFL in passing yardage (1,834), completion percentage (66.4) and touchdowns (12), while only tossing three picks thus far.

With Edmonton now having to deal with replacing Stamps, Ray will have a tougher time getting comfortable with his receivers. Jerome Messam might be the new face of the running back group for the Esks, placing fourth in the league with 324 yards on 63 carries, but since the second game of the season when he tallied 104 yards, he has managed no more than 54 yards rushing in a single game.

Ray still has a better efficiency rating (108.1) than Calvillo after six games, but that's based mostly on the fact that he has a slightly higher percentage of TDs to passes and is averaging 9.5 yards per attempt.

From a stats standpoint, Edmonton is performing better than the Als in the turnover department as well with a plus-seven in that area, but with defenses now able to lock up against receivers other than Stamps, that number might be coming down.

Montreal won both meetings in 2010, posting a 33-23 victory in the second week of the season on the road and then capturing a 31-14 final at home in the middle of September. As a result, Edmonton owns a 37-23-2 advantage in the all-time, regular-season series against the Als, but it has been Montreal that has won three of the last four matchups.

The teams are set to face each other one more time during the regular season with Edmonton playing host in September.

There are a number of factors working in favor of the Als in this meeting, not the least of which is the fact that the team is at home and Edmonton's lone loss of the campaign came on the road. Add to that the loss of Stamps and the cards seemed to be stacked against the Eskimos this time out.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Montreal 31, Edmonton 23

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LADY LUCK

Thursday's Best WNBA Bets

San Antonio Silver Stars at Connecticut Sun (-6, 151)

All of a sudden, the San Antonio Silver Stars are in desperation mode.

After tearing up the league early this season, the Silver Stars have dropped four of their last five straight up, covering only twice during the slide.

On Tuesday, it got downright ugly. San Antonio was outscored 20-5 in the second quarter against Indiana en route to an 81-68 loss as a 6.5-point underdog.

"We didn't come out aggressive," Sophia Young, who had 13 points but hit just three of 10 on free throws, told reporters. "You can't expect to win when you don't come out hard. We have to get ready for Connecticut ... We have to get one of the (next) two on the road."

That’s going to be difficult unless the team’s offense comes around. The Silver Stars are averaging fewer than 72 points per game since starting the season 7-1, when they put up more than 90 points per contest.

The Sun have covered in five straight and should keep that run going against San Antonio.

PICK: Connecticut


Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury (-6, 186)

The Dream have been on a nice run after opening the season with a bunch of injuries. They have won seven of their last nine games to pull within a game of .500 but Thursday’s date with the Mercury will be a major test.

Phoenix was mired in a rotten stretch that saw the club go 1-5 both straight up and against the spread before dropping the surging Minnesota Ly*x 85-80. Diana Taurasi stepped up with 26 points and had a key steal in the final minute to secure the victory.

"We usually like to fight (defensively)," Taurasi told reporters. "We have to get that fighting spirit back and I think tonight we gained that back."

That’s bad news for Atlanta visiting a rejuvenated Mercury club.

PICK: Phoenix

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WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
WNBA: Silver Stars - Sun Preview
By Associated Press


San Antonio Silver Stars at Connecticut Sun (-6, 151)

The Connecticut Sun weren't sharp at the offensive end their last time out, but they feel they're coming off a positive performance after putting together their best defensive game of the year.

Looking to follow up that dominant effort on defense, the Sun try to improve the WNBA's best home record in a matchup with the slumping San Antonio Silver Stars on Thursday night.

Connecticut (14-7) followed up an impressive three-game western road trip - its only loss came by two against Seattle on Friday - with a 69-58 victory over Chicago on Tuesday. The Sun limited the Sky to 27.5 percent from the field, allowing them to win despite making 36.2 percent of their shots.

"Can we call it a defensive clinic, not an offensive meltdown?" said coach Mike Thibault, whose team outscored Chicago 22-7 in the second quarter. "This was a game we had to grind out somehow. We didn't have our legs to shoot the ball. We had to win with defense."

Connecticut, which allowed its lowest point total of the season, is giving up 73.5 points per game at home and 80.2 on the road.

The win was the Sun's eighth in 10 games and improved them to 9-1 at home in the opener of a four-game stretch at Mohegan Sun Arena. They are one game behind first-place Indiana in the Eastern Conference.

Despite the poor performance at the offensive end, Connecticut continued to get steady production from center Tina Charles, who recorded her WNBA record-tying seventh straight double-double. Charles, who had 16 points and 11 rebounds, can break the mark set by Storm star Lauren Jackson in 2003.

"I'm honored to be mentioned with her,'' said Charles, who has grabbed 13 or more boards three times during the streak.

She should have an even better chance to set the record with Silver Stars rookie forward Danielle Adams sidelined. The 6-foot-1 Adams, out four to six weeks with a mid-foot sprain, is averaging 14.3 points and 4.6 rebounds.

Her absence hasn't helped the Silver Stars (12-9), losers or four of five. San Antonio is coming off an 81-68 defeat at Indiana on Tuesday, getting outscored 20-5 in the second quarter.

"We didn't come out aggressive," said forward Sophia Young, who had 13 points but went 3 of 10 on free throws. "You can't expect to win when you don't come out hard. We have to get ready for Connecticut ... We have to get one of the (next) two on the road."

San Antonio is finishing up a stretch of four of five away from home. They've lost all three of the road contests and have fallen four games behind West-leading Minnesota.

The Silver Stars have been held to fewer than 70 points in their last four losses. They averaged 92.1 points during their 7-1 start but have scored 71.8 per game since.

San Antonio has lost in its last two visits to Connecticut, averaging 63.0 points.

[timbob]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (-135, 8)

Johnny Cueto had everything the Reds were looking for when he broke into the league – a great delivery, excellent movement on his pitches, and some swagger on the hill.

His problem was always consistency. He often spoiled solid outings with one bad inning.

This season Cueto’s shown maturity, keeping himself out of those big innings while posting a sparkling 2.06 ERA and three complete games to date. However, he had a rough outing in his last trip to the hill, getting drilled for seven hits and five earned runs over 3 2/3 innings in a blowout loss to the Cubs.

Cueto also hit a couple of batters and walked three others.

"He wasn't sharp early in the count," Reds manager Dusty Baker told reporters. "He was spinning off. We were hoping he'd get sharp. We didn't make a couple of defensive plays.”

In all, it was one of those games you just throw out the window. We’re betting Cueto will bounce back strong.

PICK: Reds


San Diego Padres at New York Mets (-120, 7.5)

With two lefties sharing the hill, many bettors begin their handicapping by taking a long look at the under. Thursday’s matchup between the Padres and Mets could be a major exception.

Despite and offense that’s producing only 3.72 runs per game (27th in MLB) and a .237 team batting average, the Padres are hammering the over.

They had the over on a 9-1-1 run heading into Wednesday’s action, moving the team’s season over/under record to 60-52-5. On Thursday they’ll start Cory Luebke, who has seen each of his last three outings play over as well.

Meanwhile, the Mets counter with Jon Niese who has been very good to over bettors as well. He has seen 14 of his last 19 home starts and 21 of his last 30 trips to the hill overall play above the posted total.

PICK: Over

[timbob]

Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers (16-5, 2.30 ERA)

Verlander pulled into a tie with CC Sabathia for the MLB win lead at 16 by picking up his fourth straight victory the last time he took the ball, downing the Royals 4-3.

"He was drained," Leyland said of Verlander after that win. "He was spent, I could see that. But I thought he pitched great.”

Verlander has thrown at least seven innings in each of those wins while striking out at least seven batters. The big righty sits just inside the top 20 in MLB’s money starters, earning just over six units for his supporters.

Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers (13-7, 3.56)

Gallardo has allowed just four runs over his last four outings and has given up just eight hits during his last 15 innings on the mound.

Gallardo cruised past Houston as a -200 favorite in his last start, yielding a single run over eight innings while striking out six and walking one.


SLUMPING

Tyler Chatwood, Los Angeles Angels (6-8, 4.10 ERA)

Chatwood has just one win on his resume since Jun 24 and his last two outings weren’t pretty. He allowed 11 runs over 11 2/3 innings combined over those two starts.

Still, he has been pretty solid most of the time. The Angeles have failed to score a run while the rookie has been in the game in eight of his starts this season.

“Once we give him a little bit more support, he'll feel more comfortable on the mound,” teammate Bobby Abreu told reporters of Chatwood. “The more times he goes out there the better he'll be and his command is going to help him stay in the game longer."

Brett Myers, Houston Astros (3-12, 4.76 ERA)

These are tough days to be a starting pitcher for the Houston Astros. Myers leads the club with 14 quality starts, but is mired in a career-high six-game losing skid.

Myers allowed five earned runs on 11 hits over six innings of work during a 7-5 loss to Milwaukee his last time out.

[timbob]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Cueto And Cincinnati Reds Tangle With Colorado Rockies
By: Willie Bee


Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (-135, 8)

Thursday's MLB betting slate is heavy with getaway games, including the finale of a 4-game set in Cincinnati between the Reds and Colorado Rockies. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is 9:35 a.m. (PT).

Colorado took the first two games of the series, each time as the MLB odds underdog. The Rockies used a 14-hit, 4-HR barrage to win Monday's opener, 10-7, then nipped Cincinnati on Tuesday by a 3-2 count.

Beating the Reds has become the norm for Colorado who was 23-5 in the series heading into Wednesday's contest which was still pending. The Rockies have brought home the bacon in 11 of the last 14 played at Great American Ball Park.

Thursday's pitching matchup has the potential to be a good one with Jhoulys Chacin (11-12, 3.45) taking on Johnny Cueto (10-7, 2.06). Early baseball betting lines made Cincinnati a favorite in the 135-140 range with Thursday's total an even eight runs.

Chacin didn't have good stuff but still picked up the win in his most recent start to snap a 7-start span without a win for him or the Rockies. His last road win was June 21 in Cleveland with Colorado 0-4 in Chacin's latest four starts away from Coors Field.

The Rockies are 5-5 overall in his 10 road starts this campaign, Chacin posting a 3.71 ERA in those outings.

Cueto is coming off his worst effort of the season, failing to get past the fourth in Chicago last Saturday as a 130 MLB betting favorite. This will be his third career start vs. the Rockies, the last two in Denver and both losses for the Reds.

Cincinnati has failed to take advantage of Cueto's pitching at Great American Ball Park this season. The Reds are just 4-3 in his seven home starts despite some eye-popping stats like a 1.51 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and holding batters to a .176 average.

Both clubs have a few new injuries that play into this matchup. The Rockies could be without two key members of their bullpen as setup man Matt Lindstrom (sore arm) is expected to be placed on the disabled list while closer Huston Street (lat muscle) is experiencing some soreness.

Cincinnati recently sent outfielder Chris Heisey (oblique) to the DL and has veteran infielder Miguel Cairo also battling an oblique strain.

Adrian Johnson has the plate for Thursday's affair and enters with a 15-11 lean to the 'over' in his previous 2011 assignments. Home favorites are 10-8 on the year.

Weather shouldn't be a factor with clear skies and a very light NNE breeze. The afternoon high is expected to reach the low-to-mid 80s.

Cincinnati's homestand continues this weekend with the Padres coming to town. The Rockies move on from here to St. Louis to open a 3-game series Friday against the Cardinals.

[timbob]

BANG THE BOOK

Thursday's Best NFL Bet

Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers (-3.5, 35.5)

Kickoff your NFL preseason betting action in style on Thursday night from Qualcomm Stadium, where the San Diego Chargers will duke it out with the Seattle Seahawks!

Things are going to look a lot different this year for the Seahawks than they did a season ago. Most importantly, QB Matt Hasselbeck walked via free agency, which really left Head Coach Pete Carroll a gaping hole at the quarterback position. The defending NFC West champs did pick up QB Tarvaris Jackson, which should help out quite a bit, but it has already been proven that he just doesn’t have the goods to lead the Minnesota Vikings. Perhaps playing in an easier division will help. After a short training camp for Jackson, we wouldn’t be surprised if he takes just a few reps in the first exhibition game of the year, while veteran backup, QB Charlie Whitehurst takes the majority of the snaps. Do look for QB Josh Portis to take some snaps as well late in the game. This will also be the Seattle debut for WR Sidney Rice, who is going to hope to bring the rapport that he had with Jackson over from Minnesota. Last year, Seattle was one of the three teams in the league that failed to cover a spread, going 0-3-1 ATS en route to a 1-3 SU mark.

This is just the first step for redemption for the Chargers after a season in which they missed the playoffs in very uncharacteristic fashion. The Bolts had the offense, and they had the defense to get the job done, but they were just not able to string enough things together to make it all happen. The offense will once again be headed up by QB Philip Rivers, who will probably see more reps than Jackson will this week. Backup QB Billy Volek has had a ton of reps in preseason games, especially early in the season, and he is sure to be a big part of this game, especially with rookie QB Scott Tolzien getting minimal reps in the first few days of this shortened preseason. WR Vincent Jackson should be in uniform this year, unlike last preseason when he was still holding out for a better contract. Perhaps that’s part of the reason that this team only scored 74 points in its 1-3 SU preseason.

We know that neither one of these teams are particularly interested in this game, but we also know that Seattle is going to be significantly outmatched early on with Jackson calling the shots against Rivers. Don’t be surprised if this one is 10-0 or 14-0 early, and if that’s the case, we have no choice but to take the Chargers.

PICK: Chargers -4.5

[timbob]

Today's CFL Picks
Edmonton at Montreal

The Eskimos look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games. Edmonton is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 11
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/10)

Game 491-492: Edmonton at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 112.450; Montreal 116.340
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+6 1/2); Under

[timbob]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Cardinals -135 over Brewers

[timbob]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Cardinals -135 over Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence Playbook

3* Best Bet Baltimore over Philly by 6

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Seattle +3 or 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Giants Wednesday.

Today it's the Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Seahawks +3-
Cardinals(NFL) +3-
Reds(RL) -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ FREE PICK

Under 32.5 Oakland/Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

OVER/UNDER HOTLINE

OPENING LOCK Cowboys/Broncos UNDER 34.5

[Mr. IWS]

JOHNNY YANG

10* White Sox -120

[Mr. IWS]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Thursday
Play New York Yankees (-190) over LA Angels (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST
New York has won 10 of the last 14 games vs. Los Angeles at home and they have also won 31 of the last 39 day games. Bartolo Colon has won 6 consecutive day games and he is 2-0 over his last three overall starts with an ERA of 3.24.

Play Detroit (-180) over Cleveland (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Justin Verlander has won 7 consecutive road games as a favorite of -125 or higher and he has also won 8 of the last 9 games vs. division opponents. Justin Verlander is 8-2 in all road starts this season with an ERA of 2.34 and he is 3-0 over his last three overall starts with an ERA of 2.74.

Play Tampa Bay (-175) over Kansas City (Bonus)
Starts at 12:10 PM EST

Canadian Football Thursday
50* Play Montreal (-6.5) over Edmonton
Starts at 7:30 PM EST
Montreal has won 20 of the last 23 home games and they have also won 18 of the last 20 games coming off a road game. Montreal has won 14 of the last 15 home games when the total posted is greater than 52 points and they are averaging over 32 points a game on offense this season.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB WRITE UP

THURSDAY, AUGUST 11

HOT PITCHERS
-- Gallardo is 3-1, 2.25 in his last four starts. Carpenter is 3-1, 3.38 in his last five outings.
-- Zimmerman is 3-2, 2.08 in his last seven road starts. Dempster is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four home starts.
-- Saunders is 2-1, 2.79 in his last four starts.

-- Niemann is 4-0, 1.90 in his last six starts.
-- Colon is 2-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 4-0, 2.90 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 3-0, 3.00 in his last four starts. Tillman is 2-1, 3.69 in his last six starts.

COLD PITCHERS
-- Niese has a 7.17 RA in his last four starts. Luebke is 1-3, 4.62 in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 1-2, 5.60 in his last three starts. Chacin is 0-4, 5.48 in his last four road starts.
-- Myers is 0-6, 5.72 in his last eight starts.

-- Duffy is 1-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.
-- Moscoso is 1-2, 7.84 in his last four starts. Mills is 1-1, 3.65 in his two starts for Toronto this season.
-- Chatwood is 1-3, 6.08 in his last four starts.
-- Carmona is 0-1, 5.27 in his last couple starts.

TOTALS
-- Six of last nine Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Padres' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals' last six home games.
-- Under is 6-1 in Dempster's last seven home starts.
-- Six of last seven Houston games went over the total.

-- Under is 13-3 in White Sox' last sixteen road games.
-- Seven of last ten games in Bronx went over the total.
-- Over is 13-1-2 in last sixteen Oakland games.
-- Under is 11-6 in Kansas City's last seventeen road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Carmona starts.

HOT TEAMS
-- San Diego won five of its last seven games.
-- Cubs won eight of their last ten games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven road games.
-- Brewers won 13 of their last 14 games. Cardinals won four of their last six games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.

-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Angels won four of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven home games. A's won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
-- Indians won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox won five of their last six games.

COLD TEAMS
-- Mets lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Washington is 6-9 on the road since the All-Star break.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight games, allowing 42 runs.
-- Astros lost nine of their last twelve games.

-- Detroit lost its last three games, scoring eight runs.
-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Royals lost five of their last six games.

UMPIRES
-- SD-NY-- Five of last seven Carapazza games went over the total.
-- Col-Cin-- Over is 11-5 in last sixteen Johnson games.
-- Mil-StL-- Under is 10-0-1 in last eleven Gibson games.
-- Hst-Az-- Five of last six Scott games stayed under the total.
-- Wsh-Chi-- Under is 12-5-1 in Porter games this season.

-- Chi-Balt-- Home teams won last eight Conroy games.
-- LA-NY-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Winters games.
-- A's-Tor-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Danley games.
-- Det-Clev-- Underdogs won last five Carlson games, with four of those five going over the total.
-- KC-TB-- Road team won ten of last thirteen Reyburn games.

[Mr. IWS]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

2* Reds/Colorado OVER 8 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Free Silver Key Pick for Thursday NFL Pre-Season Football

OAKLAND -3.5 over Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

SSA
50 DIME* MLB* Cincinnati Reds-Colorado Rockies UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

San Diego +115 over N.Y. METS Pinnacle
12:10 PM EST. The Padres have lost two of three in this series so far but they’ve clearly been the better team and they could just as easily be up 3-0. San Diego is also swinging some hot sticks these days. They’ve scored 21 runs in this series in three games and prior to that they scored 35 runs in a three-game set vs. the Pirates. That’s 56 runs (9.3 runs per game) in its past six games with a combined BA of .335. They’ve also stolen 10 bases over that span and hit five jacks. A fraction of that gets the job done here because Cory Luebke owns some of the best skills of any starter in the league. Luebke has whiffed 91 in 88 IP while walking just 22. He has an outstanding 3.06 ERA and an even better 0.96 WHIP. With a 126 BPV** (for explanation of BPV see bottom of these write-ups) and 2.95 xERA in aggregate, his skills show no signs of weakness whatsoever and his 1.94 road ERA confirms that his great numbers have not been aided by Petco. Jonathan Niese is also a good pitcher and this one could very easily be a pitcher’s duel. With that said, the Padres own the better pen and they can manufacture runs with their speed on the paths. Throw in the tag and it seals the deal. Play: San Diego +115 (Risking 2 units).

Colorado +125 over CINCINNATI Pinnacle
If you wagered on the Rockies last night you must have been pulling your hair out, as it was about as frustrating a loss as they come. The Rox had numerous opportunities to score, they outhit the Reds by a 13-7 count, yet they scored just twice and lost 3-2. The Reds made Kevin Millwood look good when Millwood was having a hard time getting minor-league hitters out before that start. The Reds had no business winning last night but that’s the way the old baseball bounces. Cinci keeps losing games and they keep losing series. They have just three wins in its past nine games, one against Houston, one against Randy Wells and the Cubs and one fluke last night. They’ve also lost 21 of the past 26 games to Colorado and nine of the past 12 to Colorado at Great American Ballpark. Dusty (what do I do now) Baker is right up there among the worst managers in the game. This guy has burned out more arms than any manager ever and his decisions work out about 10% of the time. Both Johnny Cueto and Jhoulys Chacin are capable of throwing a gem. The tougher the park on pitchers, the better Chacin pitches, as evidenced by his elite numbers at home, both on the surface (2.90 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) and beneath it (62% GB%, 109 BPV). Cueto’s numbers are also elite so let’s forget about the pitching matchup. What we have here is a reeling Reds team that can’t wait for the season to end, laying a price against a team that has owned them and that should be going for the four-game sweep. Play: Colorado +125 (Risking 2 units).

Milwaukee +120 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
Tony LaRussa’s excuse for losing in Milwaukee was that the stadium lighting operators were dimming the home plate area when the Cards were batting and made it brighter when the Brewers were batting. That’s no joke either and you can read about it here. Have another beer Tony. Now the Brewers have now won the first two games of this series and there’s no reason they can’t sweep with Yovani Gallardo going. Gallardo has increased his average fastball velocity as the season has gone along, which has been evident in his post-April skills. After posting mediocre skills and numbers in April, Gallardo has had a complete turnaround in May and June, along with a 51% GB% in those two months. He has traded strikeouts for control in July and he's got some big ERA and WHIP upside down the stretch. The guy is the straight goods. Chris Carpenter has 10 poor outings in 24 starts. At the age of 36, he’s thrown 163 innings this season after spending 207 days on the DL over the past three years. Carpenter had a 5.12 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in May and most of his good games have come against lousy teams. Against the Brewers on August 1, Carpenter was smacked around to the tune of seven hits and five runs in five innings. Home plate was lit up when he pitched but the fact of the matter is that the Brewers are the better team, they’re absolutely on fire, they have the better pitcher going and they get extra juiced up, not to beat the Cardinals but to beat Tony LaRussa. Who wouldn’t? Play: Milwaukee +120 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. Yankees –1½ +103 over L.A. ANGELS Pinnacle
Well, it’s no secret what the Yanks have been doing in day games and we’ll gladly put that to the test here against Tyler Chatwood and his completely misleading numbers. Tyler Chatwood is NOT what he seems. Called up to the bigs barely a week into the season, Chatwood has made 21 starts, and that 4.10 ERA makes it seem like he should be due more than just his total of six wins. In reality, Chatwood is lucky to have three wins, as this is a skill set in need of a whole lot of refinement. His strikeout rate and K/BB ratio is bordering on disturbing. Chatwood has walked 59 and struck out 66 batters in 123 frames and when you can’t throw strikes against this patient line-up, they’ll ruin you. A -19 BPV gives very little hope for an immediate improvement. At this point in his professional career, Chatwood has logged more innings in the majors (123) than Double-A and Triple-A combined (74). Given his poor skills, he really does need a lot more work. "Success," that's is not coming anytime soon and our best advice: bail on Chatwood now; the ugliness is inevitable, it could begin at any time and it’s very likely to show up here. Play: N.Y. Yankees –1½ +103 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Football Sack

Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Thursday 8/11 – 7:30 pm est.

We all saw the comment newly acquired QB Vince Young said on ESPN. “Dream Team”. And although most of you Philly fans think he was a good pick up, what do you think about his mouth? Coming from an Eagles, I knew adding him was going to be a mistake. His immaturity is going to drag this team down, and what do you know, he is already putting on heat and the season hasn’t even started yet!

Mike Vick will most likely start this game, but eventually Vince Young will get his time on the field. And if he is going to make comments on ESPN, having all NFL players tweeting “What dream team”? Well bottom line is he better come out BIG against the Ravens and put that comment to truth.

I do believe he will come out and play as big as he can just to back up his words, and comparing the Eagles QB’s to the Raven’s QB’s you have to take the Eagles in this one. Many new faces on the team wanting to prove they are in fact the “Dream Team”

Philadelphia Eagles -3 (5 units)

Denver Broncos @ Dallas Cowboys – Thursday 8/11 – 8:30 pm est.

Kyle Orton or Tim Tebow that is the question. Fans want Tebow; players want Orton and want to win this season. But bottom line is MONEY. Fans make the money for the organization and if they want Tebow they will eventually get him.

So what I am trying to say is, expect a very competitive Kyle Orton this season, because one mistake and he is getting yanked, even in the preseason guaranteed. Even though the obvious QB to start is Orton, but like I said, MONEY is the bottom line in the NFL, as we saw with the lockout.

As for the Cowgirls quarterbacks, Tony Homo and Jon Kitna, you would have to be out of your mind to even think these two guys even have a chance against a competitive Broncos QB situation.

Denver Bronco +3 (1 unit)

Other plays to consider…

Atlanta Falcons -2 (5 units)

Minnesota Vikings +3 (1 unit)

[golden contender]

Thursday NFLX 15-1 Double Play power Pack + the MLB Game of the Week. NFLX Cashed 66% on all Plays last season. There are 2 going tonight. ALL Games with full analysis with no phony web records or gimmicks no one out works us. Free MLB System Side below

On Thursday the MLB Free System Play is on the Tampa Bay Rays. Game 910 at 12:10 eastern. Tampa goes for the sweep here at home today. They fit my 515 system which has cashed 24 of 33 times. Here is how it goes. We want to play on certain home favorites if the Home team is off a 1 run home win vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog loss, If both teams scored 5 or more runs has 1 or less errors and 5+ men on base. Hence the 515. The Rays have taken 11 of the last 14 here at home vs the Royals. They have nice pitching edge too. J. Niemann has won both starts vs KC and has a 1.19 era. In his last 3 starts he has a solid 2.53 era. KC counters with Duffy. In his road starts he has been mediocre with a 5.71 era and has an elevated 7.24 era over his last 3 starts. Based on the system and the Pitching the Rays are the free Play as the line is too high for unit rating. On Thursday I have a 15-1 Double Play NFLX power Pack and the MLB Game of the Week backed with a solid system and multiple Power Angles. NFLX 66% on all plays last season. Jump on and start football on the right side. For the free Play. Take Tampa. GC

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (NFLX)
NFL preseason lifetime: 54% bankroll growth
1 OF 10
Game: Seattle at San Diego (Thursday 8/11 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle +3.5 (-115)

There is no doubt that San Diego was the most talented team not to make the playoffs a year ago, while Seattle was arguably the least talented team to make the postseason. The Chargers when they did win, they won big with six double-digit wins on the season. The problem was that this team made big mistakes, and lots of them - their special teams alone cost them three games! Seattle didn't play in many close games winning five by 10+ but losing nine by 10+. The Chargers' emphasis in the preseason is going to be assembling a special teams unit that gives their talent a chance to win. Seattle has a new offensive coordinator in Darrell Bevell. The Seahawks are good against the run and that will help Seattle stay close. Philip Rivers will probably only play three series here, so the opportunity for the unsettled QB situation in Seattle will be the difference maker. The Seahawks QB hopefuls will challenge each other for playing time against second and third-team Chargers defensive units.
Play on Seattle.

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2win 8/11

2-1 (+2.91) last night.

SD/Mets Over 7 -115 (small).

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Reds -145

50* Over 9 Astros/DBacks

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

Chicago White Sox ML -120

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Picks Direct

08/11/2011
Jacksonville @ New England OVER 35 (2.20 to win 2.0)

Baltimore @ Philadelphia UNDER 34 (2.20 to win 2.0)

Baltimore +3, -105 (2.10 to win 2.0)

08/12/2011
Pittsburgh @ Washington UNDER 33 (2.20 to win 2.0)

Tampa Bay -2 (2.20 to win 2.0)

08/13/2011
Green Bay @ Cleveland OVER 35 (2.20 to win 2.0)

St. Louis -7 (2.20 to win 2.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Tys Terrific Tips

Play of the Day
Cincinnati Reds ML -130

New York Yankees ML -190

Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML -175

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Padres (+115),
White Sox (-121),
Indians (+168).

[Mr. IWS]

chris jordan:

400 TAMPA BAY.......RUN LINE + 115 (12 pm start)

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* DALLAS / DENVER OVER 33.5

We are expecting to see a fair amount of game-day “Under” money in the early pre-season markets, and this one has gone true to form – an opener of 36 now shows the first 33.5 peeking their the clouds. Except that in this case we believe the money is wrong. That opens the door for excellent value in a game in which the defenses do not bring much at all to the table.

Both Denver and Dallas are making major over-hauls in their defensive playbooks, with John Fox converting Denver from a 3-4 to his preferred 4-3, and Rob Ryan revamping the Cowboy tactics significantly. But with only limited practice so far that means that they are in the early stages of their learning curve, and we saw just how far behind Dallas is when the defense was scorched in an intra-squad scrimmage last weekend, with Tony Romo going 14-20 for 150 yards and three TD’s. It will be difficult for the Cowboys to show much tonight, especially with starting CB’s Terence Newman and Mike Jenkins sidelined, along with LB Keith Brooking and DT Jay Ratliff. Meanwhile the Broncos will be without LB’s D. J. Williams and Nate Irving, CB Syd’Quan Thompson, and DT’s Mitch Unrein and Louis Leonard.

The flip side of this equation also works well. All six QB’s that will play tonight are holdovers that already have a decent chemistry with their offensive teammates, and the “bullpen” battles between Jon Kitna and Tim Tebow as the #2’s, and Stephen McGee vand Brady Quinn as the #3’s, may be the best that we will see on the entire Week #1 pre-season board. How often do we find six QB’s in one game that have all had at least one NFL start over the past two seasons? There is also decent depth at the skill positions, and we particularly like the strong camp Willis MacGahee has had in his new Denver uniforms, making him potentially one of the better #2 RB’s in the league.

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Prophet
POD - Padres/Mets over

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook 8/11

Buried Treasure: Broncos/Cowboys Over 34.5

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Points

Thursday, August 11, 2011


CINCINNATI (Cueto) -135 over COLORADO (J. Chacin)


The Reds bounced back from two losses to the Rockies with a 3-2 win last night, and they
have a good shot at salvaging a split with a victory today. Johnny Cueto has been sensational
since rejoining the rotation (2.07 ERA in his 17 starts) and Colorado has lost a fortune against
righthanders (-$2170). Jhoulys Chacin has had eight starts in the daytime, and the results have
not been impressive (4.82 ERA). Big pitching edge for the home team today at Great American.

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

UNDER - Colorado / Cincinnati 8

UNDER - Kansas City / Tampa Bay 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella
Best Bet

Ravens +3

[Mr. IWS]

winsportsnow
Thursday MLB Site Parlay

Tigers ML -180

D´backs ML -170

Yankees ML -210

[Mr. IWS]

Jhonny Detroit
12-3 twitter run

WNBA

UNDER 142 in #603/604 Tulsa/Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

SGHotline

Regular Play in NFLX on Jags +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 28-19 last 47 picks +$1820
1 OF 2
Game: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (12:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Kansas City +170 (moneyline)

Despite getting shut out two nights ago, Kansas City has a good offense. They rank No. 13 in baseball in runs scored, No. 5 in batting and No. 9 in on-base percentage. We saw that yesterday as they bounced back with 7 runs last night in a wild game. They face Jeff Nieman here, who cooled off after a hot July, allowing 4 runs and 7 hits his last start against a weak Oakland lineup. Five of Kansas City's last seven games have been decided by one run, so they are still competitive, including a win as a dog over the Tigers. The Rays are a close to a .500 home team and have a weak offense, ranking No. 26 in batting average, No. 15 in on-base percentage, plus they have never faced KC starter Danny Duffy before. The Rays are 3-8 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and the visitors have outstanding value here. Play on the KC Royals.

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NFLX

Falcons -2.5 -103

[Mr. IWS]

OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” AFTERNOON BASEBALL SPECIAL (Rockies +120 at Reds in a 12:35 eastern start-------Chacin versus Cueto): Even though the offense amassed 13 hits last night, Colorado lost by a slim one-run margin on the scoreboard. This afternoon they will attempt to take 3 out of 4 games in this series by going up against National League ERA leader Johnny Cueto (2.06). The problem with Cueto is that he is coming off his worst performance of the season giving up 5 runs this past Saturday in what turned out to be an ugly 11-4 loss by Cincinnati. Both the Reds and Rockies have entertained fans this week hitting 6 homers, but today’s starting pitcher for Colorado has NOT given up a homerun in the past 3 trips to the mound spanning 18 innings. Jhoulys Chacin checks in with confidence as he is coming off his first victory in nearly 7 weeks and his career ERA against today’s opponent (2.79) is excellent. On the injury front Cincinnati offensive catalyst Brandon Phillips (elbow) is OUT of the lineup possibly for the remainder of the week. Cincinnati as a team is a horrible 1-7 this season versus a starting pitcher who struggles with control (average more than 2.75 walks per assignment). For the entire season to date Cincinnati is a sensational 13-3 when facing an opponent with a bad bullpen that has blown at least 38% of their save chances

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* Take Connecticut -6 over San Antonio (Thursday @ 7:30pm est)

4* Take Atlanta Dream +6 over Phoenix Mercury (Thursday @ 10pm est)

4* Take Seattle -13 over Tulsa (Thursday @ 10pm est)

MLB
4* Take St. Louis Cardinals -125 over Milwaukee Brewers (Thursday @ 8:15pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Glantz

100* DETROIT TIGERS ML

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN CHANG

---Start Time 12:10 PM EST---
San Diego Padres (+115, list Luebke) over NY METS, 5 dimes

---Start Time 12:35 PM EST---
CINCINNATI REDS (-135, list Cueto) over Colorado Rockies, 5 dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 8/11

MLB

3* Cardinals

NFL

3* Oakland Raiders -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Sniper Picks

5* Philadelphia Eagles -3

Free Pick: 1* Denver Broncos +3

[Mr. IWS]

RANDY BRUCE

MLB: *5 dimes
Rays -1.5 RL +115

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks
Mon 1 - 0
Tue 0 -1
Wed 0 -1
Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Thursday’s MLB slate closes out in the desert at 9:40 ET from Chase Field where the Arizona Diamondbacks will look to gain a half game on the division leading San Francisco Giants when they close out their four-game series with the Houston Astros.
Manager Brad Mills’ squad cashed as huge +190 underdogs in the series opener and looked well on their way towards doing so in Game 2 on Tuesday night after bursting out to a 7-1 lead through four innings. Unfortunately, Jordan Lyles wasted his squad’s offensive barrage by surrendering 12 hits and seven ERs in his limited amount of work; he gave up four unanswered runs in the 5th and two more in the 6th before getting yanked. When it was all said and done, Houston fell 11-9 to move to an MLB worst 40 games under .500 that’s cost its betting backers a whopping $3130 overall. The Astros are the only NL team yet to register 20 road wins to date.
Tuesday’s monumental comeback saw the D’Backs keep stride with the Giants who shut the Pirates out 6-0. In doing so, they find themselves just a half-game in back of the defending World Series champions with 46 regular season games yet to be played. Though the Snakes possess a 4.06 team ERA (#20), they’ve been getting it done offensively scoring an average of 4.54 runs per game (#8) while launching 131 big flies (#4) and stealing 87 total bases (#11). The Diamondbacks have been kind to their MLB bettors as well checking in at #2 on the $$$ rankings with a $1287 overall return with only $94 of that profit coming at home (31-26).
Surprisingly, the road team has been the way to go in these team’s 2011 rivalry as Zona’s comeback win on Tuesday night was the only win registered by the home team in these NL reps five overall meetings; the ‘over’ cashed in four of those match-ups and is 16-7 the L/23 times these teams hooked up in the desert. Houston’s dropped each of Brett Myer’s L/4 road starts and stands a woeful 1-11 in his L/12 starts against +.500 opposition. On the flipside, Arizona is 7-1 its L/8 vs. sub .400 opposition and 5-2 in Joe Saunders’ L/7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
PICK: ARIZONA/HOUSTON OVER

[Mr. IWS]

OCALSPORTS

2* Chargers -3 -125

2* Raiders -3 -125

[Mr. IWS]

Gambling Geeks

Thursday, August 11th:
BIG: UNDER 7.5 St. Louis/Milwaukee 8:15pmET
MED: Chicago Cubs -115 ov Washington, 2:20pmET

[Mr. IWS]

GoodLyfe Sports

Padres
Brewers
W.Sox
Cubs
OVER NY

[Mr. IWS]

USA CAPPERS

10* Denver +3

8* Ravens OVER

8* Reds ML

[Mr. IWS]

Intelligent Betting Tips

Arizona D´backs ML -174

NFLX

Jacksonville Jaguars +4 -110

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Edmonton +6½ +102 over MONTREAL

Fred Stamps, the leagues leading receiver is out for the Eskies and while that hurts, it’s not that big a deal when you have a QB that can hit receivers between the numbers. Edmonton has revealed a crack in its armor the past two weeks by just squeaking by the dreadful Argonauts and subsequently losing to Winnipeg last week. That was its first loss of the season and with the loss of Stamps and two sub-par efforts expect the intensity for the Eskies to be dialed big time once again. The Eskies stock has taken a big drop the past two weeks and now is the time to buy low. Montreal whacked the Argos last week to run their record to 4-2. They’ve beaten Toronto twice and Saskatchewan and B.C. once each. There are three teams in the CFL under .500 and those three teams are Toronto, Saskatchewan and B.C. Combined that trio is 3-15 with all three owning an identical 1-5 record. In reality, these Alouettes are not as good as advertised and their defense is horrible. They lost to Saskatchewan and they lost to Hamilton and they don’t have a single notable or impressive game on their résumé this season. The Eskies do. Edmonton has a better record (5-1), they’ve had the tougher schedule with wins over Winnipeg, Calgary and Hamilton and they’re being offered a big 6½-points because the Alouettes are getting way too much credit from the general public. Play: Edmonton +6½ (Risking 3 units).

[Mr. IWS]

The Pointspread Experts NFL

New England -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RENO SPORTS ADVISORS

4* Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

10* cinn

[Mr. IWS]

boston bob documented plays
over cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

25* arizona
milw
toronto
cinn

new england
sd

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

TV Play of the day
SDiego -3

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

3* Pick: Broncos +3 (-110)

3* Pick: Seahawks +3 (-110)
4* Pick: OVER 35 (-110)

5* Pick: Eagles -3 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

SWAMI GROUP
BB DOCUMENTED PLAYS

4 UNIT Cleveland Indians OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2win 8/11

2-1 (+2.91) last night.

SD/Mets Over 7 -115 (small).
5* CHICAGO WHITE SOXS ML -125

[Mr. IWS]

Dwayne Bryant 8/11

best bet: Ravens+3

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

60 Dime selection on the Indians (Carmona) + 1 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino
60 Dime N.L. Central Rivalry Lock ...
Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco
15 dime play on the Philadelphia Eagles -3

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams
For Thursday, 1000♦ Winner # 4 in a Row is the St. Louis Cardinals with Carpenter

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
Thursday's Selection ...
Your winner is: 150,000♦ Run Line Romp on the New York Yankees with Bartolo Colon

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Thursday's Action

20 Dime baseball selection on the White Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini
Tonight's Winner...
20 Dime play on the Oakland Raiders minus the points

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
Thursday's Selections
Your 20 Dime MLB winner is the MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Your 10 Dime NFL winner is the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

[Mr. IWS]

BILL MARZANO
Detroit at Cleveland
Pick: Cleveland +170

I really like the Cleveland Indians in this game vs the Detroit Tigers...its never easy betting against one of the best pitchers in baseball but sometimes there are some great spots to play against them and this is one of them...first, Verlander hasn't been his dominant self as of late...here as some numbers to support my play...the Indians are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings when Carmona faces Verlander...7-1 in Carmonas last 8 home starts vs. Tigers...the Tigers are 3-8 in Verlanders last 11 road starts vs. Indians...just 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Cleveland and 2-9 in the last 11 meetings...I like Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux

New England -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

MLB:
CWS ML -130
Cleveland ML +165

NFL:
Denver
San Diego

WNBA:
UNDER San Antonio / U. Conn