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timbob
06-23-2011, 06:26 AM
New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:43 AM
Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Pirates Wednesday.

Thursday it's the Nationals. The deficit is 2,514 sirignanos.

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:44 AM
Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Chicago Sky (wnba) -2

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:44 AM
Hondo

The Twins failed to answer the call for Hondo at AT&T Park last night, getting jolted by the Giants to raise the accounts payable to 1,410 wynegars.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will stick with Minnesota against The Freak and also take a shot with Roy Har vey Oswalt and the Phillies in St. Louis. Ten units apiece.

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:44 AM
THURSDAY BETTORS' TIPS AND NOTES
Thursday's Betting Tips: Books Cut Twins' Futures Odds
By Covers Staff



Who's Hot

MLB: Philadelphia has won 10 of its last 12.

MLB: Washington has won nine of its last 10.

WNBA: Connecticut has covered in six of its last eight games overall dating back to last year.

Who’s Not

MLB: The New York Mets are 3-7 in Chris Capuano’s last 10 starts.

MLB: The under is 2-8-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Royals and Diamondbacks.

WNBA: New York Liberty is riding a 3-10 slump against the spread dating back to last season.

Key Stat

5 – Chicago White Sox slugger Paul Konerko had home runs in five straight games heading into Wednesday night’s action, pushing his season total to 21, tying him for second in the bigs behind Jose Bautista’s 22. Konerko is also hitting .331 (fourth in MLB) while driving in 59 runs (fourth).

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Milos Raonic – Raonic was forced to retire from Wednesday’s match at Wimbledon against Gilles Muller after a leg injury. Raonic, who was pegged at -275 in the match and owns one of the fastest serves on tour, was expected to give Rafael Nadal a good test if he advanced. Nadal is currently set as the tournament’s co-favorite with Roger Federer at +200.

Game Of The Day

Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants (-180, 6.5)

Notable Quotable

“It’s something that definitely needs to improve. A lot of players have faults, and that’s something I am trying to get better at. A lot of time, people think that if I shout something in the direction of the box, that I am shouting at them. But if you actually listen to what I am saying a lot of the time, I am just upset at myself.” - Andy Murray on his on-court behavior. Murray is set at -1200 in his third-round match against Ivan Ljubicic at Wimbledon and at +500 to win the tournament.

Tips And Notes

The Minnesota Twins were originally set around +25000 at some shops to win the World Series, but oddsmakers have been forced to drastically cut their odds with the club’s recent hot streak. With Minnesota winning 15 of 17 games heading into Wednesday’s action, some books moved the Twins to around +4000.

Tiger Woods pulled out of the AT&T National on Wednesday but gave at least a little hope that he might be able to take part in the British Open. "Doctor's orders," Woods said in a Twitter post. "Feeling stronger every day, but not 100 percent." Woods is currently set at around +1400 to win the Claret Jug, while Rory McIlroy is the overwhelming favorite at +550.

The top two scorers in the WNBA face off for the third time of the season on Thursday when Connecticut’s Tina Charles visits Sylvia Fowles and the Chicago Sky. Fowles tops the league at 21.2 poitns per game while Charles sits right on her heels at 20.4. The Sun hammered the Sky 83-68 in their last meeting but Chicago is pegged as a 2-point favorite at home on Thursday.

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:45 AM
HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals (-110, 8)

Two perennial All-Stars share the hill Thursday evening in St. Louis, but neither are having the seasons we’ve come to expect from them.

Roy Oswalt has just one win in his last eight starts, while Chris Carpenter has only a single victory all season. Both probably deserve better numbers at this point of the season.

"It’s a loss. That’s what matters,” Carpenter told reporters after a ground ball got past Albert Pujols at third base to give the Royals a 5-4 win over the Cards in Carpenter’s last outing. “We’re here to win ballgames. I can speak for myself. I could have pitched a little better.”

Neither Carpenter nor Oswalt are getting much run support and both look like they’re coming around a bit. We’ll jump on the under.

PICK: Under


Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants (-180, 6.5)

When you see a team as hot as the Minnesota Twins pegged at around +165 or +170 against one of the most impotent offenses in the bigs, you’d better give the club a long look.

The Twins had won 15 of their previous 17 games heading into Wednesday’s action, including seven wins in their last road contests.

Of course, if you’re going to take the plunge on Minnesota Thursday, you’re going to have to be against Tim Lincecum.

The Freak hasn’t been on top of his game lately. He hasn’t won in four starts and even though he held Oakland to two runs over six innings in his last outing, he still walked five batters – very un-Freaklike.

“I had long innings, the first inning, and I got in jams,” Lincecum told reporters. “ I can't afford to do that now."

Not with San Francisco averaging 3.7 runs in his starts, anyway.

Lincecum will come around at some point, but we’ll jump at the surging Twins at this price.

PICK: Twins

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:45 AM
MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Oswalt, Phillies Take On Carpenter And Cardinals
By: Michael Robinson



Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals (-110, 8)

The Philadelphia Phillies' parade of aces continues Thursday night when they finish a 3-game set at the St. Louis Cardinals.

First pitch from Busch Stadium will be at 5:15 p.m. (PT). Hard-luck Roy Oswalt (4-5, 3.38 ERA) will head to the mound to face the disappointing Chris Carpenter (1-7, 4.47 ERA).

The Phillies (46-28) have a 4.5-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East standings, but that’s due to a 28-12 home mark. They’re 18-16 away (-1.7 units), 2-2 on this short 6-game road trip.

Philadelphia threw out 9-3 Cole Hamels at Seattle on Sunday (2-0 loss) and then fellow 9-game winner Roy Halladay to start this series on Tuesday. Halladay didn’t get the win, but Philly did (10-2) after a 9-run barrage in the eighth inning.

The starter on Wednesday night was Cliff Lee (7-5, 3.12 ERA), who has a miniscule 0.38 ERA in three starts this month. That result is still pending with Philly a 150 favorite against St. Louis and Kyle Lohse.

Oswalt has the highest ERA of Philadelphia’s four aces. He’s also made a few less starts after a disabled list stint (lower back inflammation). Oswalt returned on May 17 at St. Louis and pitched very well in three starts that month (1.50 ERA) before struggling some in June.

The 33-year-old right-hander has a 4.81 ERA in four June starts, allowing four earned runs over 6 1/3 innings at Seattle last Friday. The Phillies lost 4-2 and are now just 3-7 in Oswalt’s last 10 games, with an average run support of just 2.7.

Oswalt has an identical 3.38 ERA both home and away. However, opponents are hitting .284 against him on the road compared to .248 at home.

Oswalt’s start at the Cardinals this year was one earned run over five innings, another tough 2-1 loss. He’s 9-8 with a 3.15 ERA lifetime against them (4-4, 2.69 ERA away). All the starts but one were while pitching for Houston.

The ‘under’ is 3-0-1 in Oswalt’s last four starts and 7-2-1 in the last 10.

The Cardinals (40-34) are a half-game behind Milwaukee in the NL Central. They took the last two games over the weekend versus Kansas City to break a 7-game slide. However, they lost slugger Albert Pujols (fractured forearm) for several weeks in the final Royals game.

The ‘over’ is 6-0-1 in St. Louis’ last seven games, but Pujols had three homers in that span. The home record is 20-14 overall, but just .3 units to the positive.

Carpenter’s 4.47 ERA this year is a steady climb from 2009 (2.24) and last year (3.22). His current strikeout rate (7.12) is actually the highest in the three years, but his slugging percentage allowed has crept up to .415.

The 36-year-old right-hander does have a much lower ERA at home (3.26) than away (5.57). However, St. Louis is just 2-5 in his home starts (2-6 away) with an average runs scored of 3.57.

Carpenter last faced the Phillies last July, allowing one earned run over eight innings in a 7-1 home win. His prior start against them was in 2006.

St. Louis is 1-7 in its last eight games against a right-handed starter. The ‘over’ is 4-0-1 in its last five against a righty.

St. Louis is 2-1 against Philly this year, sweeping (3-1, 2-1) a short 2-game home series in mid-May.

Tim Welke will call balls and strikes. The Cardinals are 0-5 in his last five games behind home plate. The ‘over’ is 4-1 in his last five games behind the dish.

In addition to Pujol’s injury, Philadelphia’s Placido Polanco (finger) was questionable for Wednesday.

Weather should be clear and in the 70s. Both teams go back to Interleague Play for Friday with St. Louis hosting Toronto and Philadelphia welcoming Oakland.

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:46 AM
MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff



STREAKING

Daniel Hudson (8-5, 3.56 ERA), Arizona Diamondbacks

They may not be Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson, but the Diamondbacks have a pretty solid 1-2 punch with Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson.

Hudson is coming off the first complete game of his career complete game and it couldn’t have come against a better team – his former club, the Chicago White Sox.

"It's obviously big (to get a complete game), Hudson told reporters. “I like to say that I'm a pretty good innings eater. I was really happy they let me go out and finish it."

Hudson has lasted at least six innings in every start since April 21.

Chris Capuano (5-7, 4.29 ERA), New York Mets

Capuano has really pulled himself together over his last three starts. He’s working on a 1.42 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over that span.

He’s proving he can eat up some innings too, going at least six in each of his last five outings and in seven of his last 10. Even though he’s working late in games, he has cracked the 100-pitch plateau just four times this season.



SLUMPING

Tim Lincecum (5-6, 3.39 ERA), San Francisco Giants

Lincecum may have looked a little better in his last outing, but he still took a loss and he knows that’s all that counts.

"It was better," Lincecum said of his night, "but at the same time, you can't guide yourself by what you did last time. I've got to battle and give our team a chance to win. I didn't do so.”

Lincecum doesn’t have a win in his last four trips to the hill and owns a 7.80 ERA over his last three.

Roy Oswalt (4-5, 3.58 ERA) Philadelphia Phillies

Even though it looks like Oswalt’s fastball is lacking some jump, the Philadelphia Phillies insist that he isn’t injured. So, what exactly is the problem?

His numbers aren’t terrible, but the Phillies expected a lot more than one win from his last eight starts. His 5.12 ERA over his last three outings just isn’t what we’re used to from him.

"I thought I've thrown the ball pretty well," he told reporters recently. "I haven't thrown the ball great. But I've been throwing the ball pretty well."

timbob
06-23-2011, 07:46 AM
Today's MLB Picks
Seattle at Washington

The Nationals look to build on their 7-0 record in Jason Marquis' last 7 home starts. Washington is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 23
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 16.127; St. Louis (Carpenter) 13.644
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Under

Game 903-904: Seattle at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Pineda) 14.904; Washington (Marquis) 15.376
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Over

Game 905-906: Oakland at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Godfrey) 15.655; NY Mets (Capuano) 15.023
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over

Game 907-908: Minnesota at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Duensing) 15.235; San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.025
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-180); Under

Game 909-910: Arizona at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 14.821; Kansas City (Paulino) 13.567
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over

timbob
06-23-2011, 08:53 AM
Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:

Mets -145 over Athletics

Soccer Crusher

Play of the Day:

SeattleSounders + NewYorkRedBulls UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in United States

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Mets -145 over Athletics

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:00 AM
WNBA Basketball Picks
New York at Tulsa

The Liberty look to take advantage of a Tulsa team that is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 Thursday games. New York is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: New York at Tulsa (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.371; Tulsa 102.555
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 158
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 162
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Connecticut at Chicago (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 114.059; Chicago 112.987
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 152
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4); Over

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:01 AM
Cappers Access

Mariners
Mets(RL)
Royals

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:01 AM
JOE WIZ

DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. Arizona and Kansas City

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:01 AM
ROCKDEMAN SPORTS

Cardinals -115 over Phillies

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:02 AM
VEGAS WISE GUY

Washington +111 over Seattle
Arizona @ Kansas City UNDER 8.5 (-120)

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:06 AM
Goodfella

1.5 total/week - phil/st louis under

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:38 AM
Fantasy Sports Gametime

Play New York Mets (-135) over Oakland (Top Play of the Day)

Oakland has lost 33 of the last 51 games as a road underdog of +125 to +150 and Oakland pitcher, Graham Godfrey has an ERA of 10.39 in road games this season.


Play San Francisco (-180) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)

Minnesota pitcher, Brian Duensing has lost 10 of the last 12 games as an underdog of +125 to +200 and he has an ERA of 4.82 in all games this season.


Play Arizona (-115) over Kansas City (Bonus)

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:39 AM
MLB Write Up

Hot pitchers
-- Washington won last four Marquis starts (2-0, 2.74). Pineda is 3-2, 2.64 in his last seven starts.
-- Capuano is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- DHudson is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Godfrey has a 5.56 RA in his two starts, but A's won both games, scoring 12 runs.
-- Paulino is 0-0, 5.60 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-2, 8.02 in his last four starts. Duensing has a 7.36 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Oswalt is 1-3, 4.81 in his last four starts. Carpenter is 0-5, 5.29 in his last seven starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven Washington home games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Mets' last twelve home games.
-- Nine of last twelve San Francisco home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Oswalt starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won 10 of its last 11 games.
-- Phillies won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Oakland won six of its last seven games.
-- Minnesota won 15 of its last 18 games.
-- Arizona won six of its last seven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Mets lost four of their last six games.
-- Giants lost five of their last six games.
-- Kansas City lost six of its last seven games.
-- Cardinals lost nine of last eleven games (starting Ps 0-7).

Umpires
-- Sea-Wsh-- Four of five Cousins day games went over total.
-- A's-NY-- Underdogs won five of last six Culbreth games.
-- Minn-SF-- Six of last eight TWelke games went over total.
-- Az-KC-- Five of last six Blaser games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-StL-- Visiting team won last five BWelke games.

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:39 AM
SIMUPICK GUARANTEED

Thursday's - June 22nd, 2011:
10* MLB* Minnesota Twins +170 ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:40 AM
HANDICAPPER SPORTS

3 UNIT* MLB* Washington Nationals +115 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks -110 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies +100 ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 10:40 AM
COMPS:

JEFF BENTON COMP

Now for Thursday’s baseball freebie, following comp winners the last two days on the Nationals and DBacks, we’ll back Arizona for a second straight day as it goes for the three-game sweep in Kansas City.

The Snakes have taken the first two games of this interleague matchup by scores of 7-2 and 3-2, giving them five straight road wins (part of a 7-4 overall run). Since May 14, Arizona is 26-12, including 14-4 on the highway. Conversely, Kansas City has lost four in a row and six of seven. And going back to May 13, the Royals are 11-26, including 5-14 at home (losing eight of 10 at Kaufmann Stadium)

In other words, these teams are heading in totally opposite directions!

If that’s not enough to love Arizona, consider that the DBacks are sending red-hot right-hander Daniel Hudson to the mound. Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts, giving up just three earned runs, 14 hits and five walks with 19 strikeouts in 22 innings. Arizona is 9-2 in Hudson’s last 11 starts, including 6-1 in the last seven.

Finally, while the DBacks have won seven of nine interleague games and 18 of 26 as a favorite (7-1 last eight as a road favorite), Kansas City has dropped five of six as an underdog and nine of 12 as a home pup. Arizona is also now 6-1 in its last seven games in K.C.
3♦ ARIZONA (LISTING PITCHERS)


CHUCK O'BRIEN COMP

Moving on to today’s complimentary baseball selection – and FYI, I’m on a 10-6 roll with my free picks – go ahead and play the UNDER in this afternoon’s Mariners-Nationals series finale.

I scored a 60 Dime winner on the UNDER in last night’s Nationals-Mariners game (2-1 final score), and I see another low-scoring affair today as Seattle rookie Michael Pineda (7-4, 2.64 ERA) opposes the Nats’ Jason Marquis (7-2, 3.86).

Pineda has given up three earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, and if you eliminate his one bad outing in this stretch (six runs allowed in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-1 loss at Detroit), Pineda has a 2.00 ERA in his other seven starts over this span. Marquis, meanwhile, is in the midst of a resurgent season, and he’s been great at home (4-0 with a 2.62 ERA in five starts. Also, Marquis has a 2.46 ERA in three career starts against Seattle.

Both these pitchers have been better in day games (Pineda is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA; Marquis is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA) than night games (Pineda is 5-4 with a 2.84 ERA; Marquis is 4-1 with a 4.20 ERA). Finally, the under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these teams going back to 2003, while Seattle is on UNDER runs of 6-1 overall, 14-4-1 in interleague play and 4-1-1 with Pineda on the mound, and the UNDER is 9-3 in Washington’s last 12 interleague home games.
3♦ UNDER (LISTING PITCHERS)


DOM CHAMBERS COMP

Taking the Nationals in this matinee clash, as they have a chance to do something they haven't done this late in the campaign for nearly six years - move above the .500 mark.

But at 37-37,and riding a 10-1 win streak into this series finale that finds a West coast team having to prepare at roughly 7 a.m. in their minds, for a 10 a.m. start West coast time, I like the Nationals to handle this.

Though Washington starter Jason Marquis has struggled in Interleague play - he is 4-6 with a 7.76 ERA in his last 15 starts against American League opponents and 0-1 with an 11.37 ERA in his last three - I think he'll be up for the challenge today, knowing what's at stake.

He'll also be out to avenge last Friday's outing versus Baltimore, in which he allowed a season-high 12 hits and four runs to Baltimoreover 5-1/3 innings. Prior to that he was 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA in three previous starts.

He's in for a battle against rookie Michael Pineda, who is facing an uphill climb for the Mariners, who have lost eight in a row in this series and are 0-5 all-time in Washington.

List both and play the Nationals.
3♦ WASHINGTON (LISTING MARQUIS AND PINEDA)


DEREK MANCINI COMP

My clients also know to pay strict attention to my Free Plays, as my 12-2 roll with comp picks is no aberration! Got you another winner with the Tribe last night, and for tonight's selection I'm siding with the Mariners to avoid the 3-game sweep at the hands of the Nationals.

The first thing that stands out about this game is the line. Oddsmakers are begging for Nationals money here, which makes little sense given the way they've played of late. Why would they give you a little plus money to go along with a team that's won 10 of 11 and starting a pitcher who's posted a 2.70 ERA over his L3 starts?

Moreover, I'm expecting a big start from rookie hurler Michael Pineda, who got back on track nicely following an awful start against the Tigers. He held the Phillies to 1 run on 2 hits over 6 innings (took a no-hitter into the 6th) for the win last Friday, and anything like that effort tonight will be more than enough. He's also been superb in day games, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA this season.

Neither offense is particularly potent here, but the Mariners are going to have their chances against Marquis, who has struggled in interleague play going 4-6 with a 7.76 ERA in his L15 starts agaisnt A.L. clubs. Throw in a little of the avoid the sweep angle, and I believe we're going to see a razor sharp effort from the M's this afternoon (and the line is telling us as much). Seattle with Pineda over Washington and Marquis.
3♦ SEATTLE


CHRIS JORDAN COMP

Right-hander Roy Oswalt is on the hill to face Chris Carpenter. And normally both these names are in Cy Young talks, but Oswalt is 4-5 and Carpenter is 1-7.

And I'm not sure whether or not I'm taking Oswalt because of his familiarity with the Cardinals from his days with Houston, or because Carpenter hasn’t earned a win since May 10, and opponents are hitting .288 against him.

Whatever the case, the Phillies are stroking the ball right now, and getting timely hitting, and I think they're going to be gung-ho about sweeping the Cards and moving on to the next seris.

Oswalt is due a decent outing, and I'll take his drop-and-drive delivery from over the top to manhandle this Cardinals' lineup that appears lost with Albert Pujols.

Oswalt builds his counts around two-and four-seam fastballs in the 90-to 95-mile per hour range, and though that's been tailed down to the lower 90s consistently right now, he moves his tailing two-seamer in and out and challenges hitters up with the four seamer with confidence. And right now is the right time to bully St. Louis hitters.

Watch tonight as he complements his fastball with that tightly-spun curveball he changes speeds on, or his quick, late-biting slider with tilt.

He also sports an effective change he's not afraid to throw on full counts, and again, with as vulnerable as the Cardinals' hitters are right now, I can't imagine them getting to Oswalt tonight.

Play the Phils.
2♦ PHILLIES (OSWALT OVER CARPENTER)


SCOTT DELANEY COMP

At first glance, the Philadelphia-St. Louis game seems like a trap. Only problem is, there's really no telling which side is the trap.

Is it the red-hot Phillies who could be due for a loss, or is it the Cardinals with struggling ace Chris Carpenter toeing the slab?

Well, I personally believe Carpenter is a trap as the slight favorite, and that Roy Oswalt is going to perform up to standards, following in the footsteps of Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee the last two nights, to limit the listless Redbirds in this series finale.

Remember, Oswalt spent enough time with the Astros - in the National League Central - and has seen this Cardinals lineup aplenty. He's also seen it in a lot better shape.

St. Louis is dinged up, and minus Albert Pujols in the lineup, the Cardinals have appeared lost on offense the last two nights. That's a bonus for Oswalt, as Pujols' 26 hits against him are the most against any active hurler.

As a starter, the fiery right-hander is 9-7 with a 3.12 ERA against St. Louis. Nothing to write home about, but the trio of Halladay-Lee-Oswalt generally inspires one another, and the first two have already pitched gems in this series.

As for St. Louis' ace, well, Carpenter has been downright awful of late, going 0-5 since May 10. I know he's won three straight starts against the Phillies, but he's not been himself this season, as he rolls in with a 1-7 mark and 4.47 ERA. Last Friday he allowed five runs and 10 hits in a 5-4 loss to the lowly Royals. I can only imagine what the now-healthy Phillies' lineup is going to do to him.

List both and play the Phillies, as Oswalt completes the trifecta on the heels of Halladay and Lee's efforts.

5♦ PHILADELPHIA (LISTING OSWALT OVER CARPENTER)


Jack Clayton
Free play

Sport: MLB
Game: Diamondbacks at Royals
Pick: Diamondbacks
Reason: The Diamondbacks are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a favorite and take on the slumping KC Royals, who are 3-7 in their last 10 Interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play Arizona.

timbob
06-23-2011, 11:26 AM
Paul Leiner

100* Mariners -120

50* Mets -140

timbob
06-23-2011, 11:27 AM
Sport System Specialists

2* PHidalephia ML +105

timbob
06-23-2011, 11:27 AM
EasyBaseballBetting

Our systems say to go for:

Phillies (+104),
Royals (+103).

timbob
06-23-2011, 11:27 AM
LT Profits

MLB

Mariners/Nationals UNDER 7.5 -121
Twins +165

timbob
06-23-2011, 11:28 AM
Baseball Prophet 6/23

NY Mets-135

timbob
06-23-2011, 12:01 PM
THE OWAD

MARINERS
w/ Pineda

3* MLB BEST BET
UNDER MARINERS


4* MLB BEST BET
Mets
w/ Capuano

timbob
06-23-2011, 12:01 PM
RAS

WNBA
603 Connecticut/Chicago Over 153

timbob
06-23-2011, 12:26 PM
11TH HOUR PLAYS

6u 904 WAS+110 1st 5
6u WAS+112gm
2u 905 OAK+122 1st 5
2u OAK+125gm
7 U OAK/NYM over 7.5

golden contender
06-23-2011, 01:21 PM
Thursday MLB Game of the Week from Blowout System that Wins by 4 Runs Per game + a 17-2 Day Time Inter League totals system. Wednesday card Sweeps the board going 3-0 bringing overall run to 28-8., MLB Free Plays 27-15. Free MLB System Play below.

On Thursday the free MLB System Play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Game 909 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals are in a negative system that plays against home dog off a home dog loss if they scored 2 or less runs on 10+ hits vs an opponent off a road favored win that scored 10 or less runs. This system has cashed 10 of the last 12 times. Arizona is 6-0 as a road favorite in this range and has won 6 of 8 vs the AL. KC has lost 6 of 8 vs the NL. D. Hudson makes the start for Arizona and he has been solid of late with a 1.23 era in his last 3 starts. Paulino has a 6 Era vs Arizona. The Diamondbacks also have a solid 3.11 road bullpen era. Look for them to complete the sweep vs a reeling KC Team. On Thursday I have a 17-2 Day time total system that has cashed 17 of 19 times and the MLB Game of the week from a Blowout system that wins by 4 runs per game. Wednesday card sweeps going 3-0. MLB on a 28-8 run. Jump on and cash big on Thursday. For the free Play take Arizona. GC

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:35 PM
INDIAN COWBOY

4* Minnesota/San Francisco UNDER

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:36 PM
KELSO

25 UNIT* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks -115 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies +105 ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:38 PM
SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING

10 UNIT* MLB* Seattle Mariners ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:38 PM
JIMMY BOYD

4* MLB* St. Louis Cardinals ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:39 PM
Vince Akins

Phillies at Cardinals
Pick: Under 8

Without Albert Pujols, St. Louis can’t score many runs. They couldn’t score against Halladay, couldn’t score against Lee and won’t score against Oswalt today. Chris Carpenter is solid enough on the other side to keep this one under.

Yesterday, Cliff Lee worked a complete game shutout for Philly in the 4-0 win. The Phillies are 0-8-1 OU since April 17, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

St. Louis is not a team known from breaking out right away after being shutout. The Cardinals are 2-9 OU since June 25, 2010 after being shutout for a net profit of $690 when playing the under.

This is the sixth of nine straight home games for St. Louis closing out this series tonight. The Cardinals are 0-7 OU since September 16, 2010 with a total over seven, coming off a loss, when playing at least their third straight home game and facing a right-handed starter.

St. Louis was able to defeat Oswalt once this season, 2-1, but he still pitched strong in that game. The Cardinals are 2-12-2 OU since August 17, 2010 as a favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $965 when playing the under.

Oswalt struggled a bit in his last start, allowing four runs while striking out just three batters in the loss to Seattle. The Phillies are 0-7-2 OU since August 22, 2010 when Roy Oswalt starts if he struck out no more than six batters in his last start and they scored no more than five runs last game.

While Chris Carpenter has been giving up plenty of overs lately, June is not the month where this usually happens. The Cardinals are 5-20-3 OU since June 02, 2004 when Chris Carpenter starts as a favorite in June for a net profit of $1465 when playing the under.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia 5, ST LOUIS 1

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:41 PM
WUNDERDOG (WNBA)

WNBA 17-10 Season-to-Date +$1080
1 OF 4

Game: New York at Tulsa (12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York -4.5 (+100)

The Tulsa Shock won all of six games a year ago, and is off to a 1-6 start. Bettors have been able to take advantage of their poor play, as the books are padding their lines. But after four straight covers, they have backed off. The Liberty started slowly a year ago, but roared through the second half of the season, and find themselves in a similar position here as losers of four straight. Unlike most teams that go on cruise control coming to Tulsa, the Liberty will have a different agenda here and focus off of the four losses. New York is also 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. the Shock including 9-4 ATS on the road (Detroit/Tulsa).
I like New York.

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:41 PM
KEITH GLANTZ

25* MLB* Seattle Mariners ML
25* MLB* Kansas City Royals ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:42 PM
MLBPredictions

Kevin
Winner yesterday Under Toronto / Atlanta

1*Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals – DIAMONBACKS TO WIN (-105)

Daniel Hudson is back on the mound for the D’backs and looks to continue where he left off. Hudson pitched a complete game in his last tie out against the White Sox, giving up just 3 hits and 1 earned run. Over his last three games Hudson is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. On the season the D’backs young pitcher is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.
Felipe Paulino is on the mound for the Royals, and is looking for his first win of the season. Paulino has made 4 starts this season after joining the starting rotation, and has a 0-4 record, 4.10 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the year. His last start against St Louis wasn’t a good one, allowing 5 hits, 4 walks, and 4 earned runs in 6 innings of work (although the majority of the damage came in one inning). The Diamondbacks sit on top of the NL West, with 41 wins on the season, while the Royals are struggling going 11-26 in their last 37 games.
Note the Dbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 9-1 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series, and 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs a right handed starter. They are also 16-7 in their last 23 following a win and a stellar 24-11 in their last 35 overall. The Dbacks have had success with Hudson lately, going 6-1 in his last 7 starts, and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. The Royals are just 2-8 in their last 10 home games, and 12-30 in their last 42 games as an underdog. Kansas City has lost 4 straight games, and are 3-13 in their last 16 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game (lost 3-2 last night). Arizona has taken 4 straight games in Kansas City, and I like them to complete the sweep tonight.
Take the Dbacks on the moneyline.

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:43 PM
MATT FARGO

8* MLB* New York Mets -134 ML
7* MLB* San Francisco Giants -177 ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:43 PM
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-CHASE DIAMOND

30 DIME* MLB* Oakland Athletics ML
30 DIME* MLB* KC Royals ML
30 DIME* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:43 PM
HONEST HANDICAPPER

MLB* Kansas City Royals (-103) ML
MLB* Minnesota Twins - San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:48 PM
LT Profits
Adding:

Athletics +125

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:48 PM
DIAMOND JEWELS

10* MLB* Oakland Athletics ML

timbob
06-23-2011, 01:53 PM
Wunderdog

New York Liberty vs. Tulsa Shock
Play: New York Liberty -3

The Tulsa Shock won all of six games a year ago, and is off to a 1-6 start. Bettors have been able to take advantage of their poor play, as the books are padding their lines. But after four straight covers, they have backed off. The Liberty started slowly a year ago, but roared through the second half of the season, and find themselves in a similar position here as losers of four straight. Unlike most teams that go on cruise control coming to Tulsa, the Liberty will have a different agenda here and focus off of the four losses. New York is also 15-7 ATS in their last 22 vs. the Shock including 9-4 ATS on the road (Detroit/Tulsa).

timbob
06-23-2011, 02:53 PM
PITTVIPER SPORTS

ROT# 909 - 8:10PM - Arizona Diamondbacks -107
3 units to win 2.80 units

ROT# 901 - 8:15PM - Philadelphia Phillies +105
2 units to win 2.10 units

ROT# 901 - 8:15PM - Philadelphia/St. Louis OVER 7.5 (-125)
2.50 units to win 2.00 units

timbob
06-23-2011, 02:54 PM
Craig Davis

Game: Phillies at Cardinals
50 Units Pick: Phillies ML (+100)

timbob
06-23-2011, 02:54 PM
PRO BETTING SYSTEM

Game: Arviddsberg v Sundsval
Pick: Over 2,5 (-110)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 33 Units

Game: Kalmar vs GAIS
Pick: Under 2,5 (-110)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 33 Units

Game: Oakland @ NY Mets
Pick: NY Mets (-130)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 130 Units

Game: Arizona @ Kansas
Pick: Arizona (-102)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 75 Units


Game: Minnesota @ San Francisco
Pick: San Francisco (-175)
Recommended Unit Play (Risk) 87 Units

timbob
06-23-2011, 02:55 PM
winsportsnow

parlay report

phillies ml
d-backs ml
nationals ml

timbob
06-23-2011, 05:04 PM
matt farrgo

8* mlb* new york mets -134 ml
7* mlb* san francisco giants -177 ml

WNBA

10* Chicago Sky -4.5

timbob
06-23-2011, 05:05 PM
Steve Merril

10*-Under Wash W

10*-MLB Grand Slam! Philly

timbob
06-23-2011, 05:06 PM
chris jordan

300 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

timbob
06-23-2011, 05:30 PM
Jim Feist's

25-Star High Heat Dominator

Grab the top team in the NL against the ailing and slumping home team. Play the Phillies!