6-16-11

[Mr. IWS]

New Guys!

Don’t be afraid to post services if you come across any. Anything you contribute will be appreciated, and your user reputation will grow (the green dots under your name.)

Note:

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[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan:

300 blue jays - 120 (1230 start)

[Mr. IWS]

RAS
WNBA

651 Connecticut Sun +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

benton 75 dime white sox

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
4* Thursday MLB *BEST BET* (8-0 Angle) Braves
3* Cardinals
3* D'Backs

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* #968 NY YANKEES Over

We did not have to sweat long to get our Over ticket in the Bronx firmly in place last night, and through two games these offenses have produced 32 Runs on 44 Hits, 16 W’s and nine HR’s. And that included starts from aces Alexi Ogando and C. C. Sabathia. We do not see the flow changing at all this afternoon, with a favorable hitters wind once again, and plenty of vulnerability on the mound.

C. J. Wilson helps to command a fair price point off of his 7-3/3.09, but take some of that with a grain of salt – there are 108 pitchers that have worked at least 70 IP so far, and his difficulty of batters faced checks in dead last at #108. For example, the Mariners, A’s, Twins and Angels are the bottom four in the A.L. in Runs, and those four teams represent half of all of his starts, and more than half of his IP. Now he is going to have to step up in class for one of the few times so far this season, against a lineup that is not only potent, but will also force high early pitch counts, and with the starters only churning 14 IP over the last four games there are not a lot of fresh arms in the bullpen.

Meanwhile we do not believe this will be a fairy tale ending for Brian Gordon. Gordon turns 33 in a couple of months and is a converted OF that has not thrown a pitch in a Major League game since 2008. He put up some nice control numbers at AAA this season but shows nothing special in terms of stuff, and pitching to contact against the bats in the Texas lineup in this park is a tough indoctrination back into The Show. Meanwhile the absence of Rafael Soriano and Joba Chamberlain also means a lot of bridge-building to get to Mariano Rivera, which opens the door for some explosive potential in the middle innings of this one.

[golden contender]

Thursday MLB Total of the Week with 100% System that averages nearly 12 runs per game in day action. Night Play from a 93% Dominator System. Wednesday MLB Splits out and now 16-5 last 21. MLB Free Play cashes now 25-12. Free MLB System Below.

On Thursday the MLB Free system Play is on the Houston Astros. Game 954 at 2:05 eastern. Houston my be hideous. However they do apply to a nice system which has cashed 26 of 35 times. We want to play on home favorites off a home favored loss if they scored 4 or less runs on 10+ hits with a total that was 8 or less vs an opponent off a road win with 5 or more runs scored and 10+ men left on base. Houston is 3-1 at home when trying to avoid a home sweep and the Pirates have lost both times going for a road sweep. The Pirates are just 5-15 here. Today the Have Mcdonald on the mound and he has been mediocre on the road with a 6.49 era. Today he opposes Lyles. Lyles has been decent in his limited starts and should not find the Pirates lineup to be too intimidating. Look for the Astros to avoid the home sweep once again. On Thursday the Lead play is the MLB Total of the week backed with a 100% Totals system that averages nearly 12 runs per game. I also have a 93% system Side in night action. MLB on a 16-5 run. Contact at goldencontender@aol.com or at 646-269-5269 to Jump on and cash out on Thursday. For the free Play take the Houston Astros. GC

[Mr. IWS]

spartan | MLB Money Line

dime bet 958 WAS (-110) Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8) vs 957 STL

[Mr. IWS]

RICKENBACH

8* Blue Jays Over

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

25 UNIT* MLB* Boston Red Sox +105 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers -125 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Baltimore Orioles +105 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Atlanta Braves -130 ML

[Mr. IWS]

MATT FARGO

9* MLB* Houston Astros -108 ML
8* MLB* Milwaukee Brewers -122 ML
7* MLB* Detroit Tigers -160 ML
7* MLB* Oakland Athletics -145 ML

[timbob]

SCOTT RICKENBACH

10* MLB* TOTAL DOMINATOR* St Louis Cardinals-Washington Nationals OVER
6* MLB* MLB MONEYLINE ROUT* Oakland A's

[timbob]

Keith Glantz

50 Rangers
50 Braves
50 Giants

[timbob]

MARK FOX

NY Mets at Atlanta Braves
Pick: Atlanta Braves

PLAY AGAINST the METS and starting pitcher R.A. DICKEY who are 4-12 in his L16 starts!!!
3-12 in his L15 starts on grass
1-5 in his L6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance
1-5 in his L6 starts during game 3 of a series
1-6 in his L7 starts with 4 days of rest

[timbob]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB BASEBALL
10* New York Yankees & Texas over 9.5
10* Atlanta Braves
10* St.louis Cardinals

[timbob]

LUKE ALBERTS

2 UNIT* MLB* Minnesota Twins (+101) ML

LT Profits

MLB Orioles +101

JACOB RICH

3 UNIT* MLB* Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 RL
2 UNIT* MLB* Toronto Blue Jays -114 ML
2 UNIT* MLB* Houston Astros -104 ML
2 UNIT* MLB* Minnesota Twins +101 ML

[timbob]

DAQsports

Yesterday: (5-6-0) -11 units, Week (monday - sunday): (10-16-0) -467 units

Today's Selections:

MLB:
Yankees (moneyline) +111,
White Sox (moneyline) -106, White Sox (runline) +150,
Royals (moneyline) +138,
Red Sox (moneyline) +108,
Brewers (moneyline) -134,
Brewers (runline) +125,
indians/tigers over 8.5 total runs (-125)

[timbob]

Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day:
Athletics -145 over Royals

Sportsbook Investing

Play of the Day:
Athletics -145 over Royals

[timbob]

SPORTS PLAYING PICKS
JASON WELTER
3* Phillies
3* Brewers
3* Boston Red Sox

VEGAS WISE GUY
3-0 Run (100%)
15 June 3-0
16 June
Chicago Cubs +110
Atlanta -120
Toronto -115
Cleveland +150

[timbob]

Sports Wagers

WASHINGTON –102 over St. Louis Pinnacle
Kyle Lohse has ace-like surface stats after his 2½ months and 91 innings: 2.67 ERA, 1.02 WHIP. The key for him has been pinpoint control. He has walked 18 batters in those 91 frames. While the Dave Duncan Effect might be playing some role in his skill resurrection, Lohse is a poor bet to maintain excellent control over the long haul. In addition, his pitch mix, velocity, and movement are very similar to his career norms and in his career Lohse has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP and a BAA of .282. His “feel-good” story may be coming to an end and a correction in his numbers is forthcoming. Over his past two starts, covering 10.2 frames, Lohse has surrendered 16 hits, eight runs and two jacks and that doesn’t bode well against a Nats club that is seeing beach balls right now. The Nats have won five in a row and have beaten up the Cardinals pitching to the tune of 28 hits and 18 runs over the past two nights. The Cards pen is running on fumes and they have a slew of regulars on the DL, although Matt Holliday is expected to return today. John Lannan is an extreme groundball pitcher and those types always have a chance to win. His GB/LD/FB profile looks like 52%/18%/30% and that has helped Lannan to post outstanding results over his last seven starts. In fact, Lannan has allowed two runs or less in six of those seven starts and has allowed one run or less in four straight. Hot vs cold both at the plate and on the hill gets the call. Play: Washington –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

N.Y. Mets +115 over ATLANTA Pinnacle
The Mets have won nine of 13, including a 6-3 record during this 10-game road trip and the opposing pitcher they’ll see here might be their easiest assignment of them all. Mike Minor has made just four starts this season. He pitched one game in early April, was whacked by the Brewers and subsequently sent down to the minors where he remained until Brandon Beachy got hurt. In three starts since the call-up, Minor has faced the Pirates, Pads and Astros, arguably the three worst offenses in the league. Minor has decent skills but his mind is fragile, as he’s not handled his situation well. He’s been up and down a few times and when he does get a chance he’s not relaxed out there and tends to nibble at the corners for fear of getting whacked. When he does that he gets whacked and now that the Braves aren’t scoring runs, that propensity to nibble is almost a certainty. He’s 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA, a 1.68 WHIP, a .299 BAA and 11 walks in 22 innings. He’s not a good bet pitching for a struggling team laying a price. Meanwhile, R.A. Dickey’s 3-7 record is unjust. Dickey had a mediocre 4.93 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in May, but he also showed solid command, an elite groundball tilt and overall his ERA is now 3.98. His GB % in May was 62% and his BPV** (for explanation of BPV see bottom of write-ups) was 98. Overall, Dickey’s GB/LD/FB profile is rock solid at 54%/15%/31%. The Mets have every advantage here other than home field. Play: N.Y. Mets +115 (Risking 2 units).

MINNESOTA +101 over Chicago Pinnacle
1:05 PM EST. The Twins are another hot team with 10 wins in its last 12 games and they own the White Sox. Incredibly enough, Minnesota has beaten the White Sox in 13 of the last 15 games and there’s a great chance that continues here against the logic defying Mark Buehrle. How this guy keeps winning games is a mystery. Buehrle’s numbers are getting worse but his ERA is getting better. In two June starts his BAA against is .327 but he’s 2-0 with a 4.15 ERA and that just doesn’t align properly. A close look reveals that Buehrle’s BAA on the road is .306 and his BAA in day games is .314. Buehrle has an xERA of 5.22, he’s not striking out as many batters these days and aside from pinpoint control his skills are awful. Nick Blackburn is 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA in his last seven starts versus Chicago, with six ending in Twins victories. Blackburn got tattooed in 1H a season ago but reinvented himself as an extreme GB guy in 2H and that has carried over to this year where he sports a 52%/20%/28% GB/LD/FB profile. In any event, this one is more about playing the surging Twins against Buehrle. Wrong side favored. Play: Minnesota +101 (Risking 2 units).

ARIZONA –1½ +160 over San Francisco Pinnacle
What we know for sure is that the Giants offense is weak, very weak, as they’ve succumbed to a bunch of injuries. The Giants’ leading hitter that’s not on the DL is Cody Ross with a .267 BA. San Fran has a league-low .592 OPS over the past week and while they won the first two games of this series, this one is going to be a lot tougher. First, they’ll face Ian Kennedy, a guy with 26 walks and 75 k’s in 95 frames. Kennedy has a HR/FB rate of 0.9%. He’s also allowed just 77 hits in those 95 innings for a BAA of .223. Kennedy has pitched seven innings or more in five of his last six starts and the D-Backs have won nine of his 14 starts. Ryan Vogelsong has come out of nowhere to post some eye-opening numbers. Mostly a career minor leaguer, Vogelsong at the age of 33 is now 4-1 with an ERA of 1.81 and a BAA of .223. His career numbers prior to this season? 14-23 with an ERA of 5.50 in 42 games started. This season, everything has gone right. He’s made just nine starts with five of those being at pitcher-friendly AT& T Park. His four road starts were at Pittsburgh, Citi Field against the Mets, Wrigley against the Cubs with the wind blowing in (the total was 8 under –120 with Doug Davis going ) and most recently in St. Louis against the injury riddled Cardinals. His skills with runners on have been mediocre at best: average SO rate, 41% GB%, 24 BPV. Collectively, his fantastic surface stats have been helped by a friendly 86% strand rate and low 28% hit rate. Those unsustainable numbers are about to change and it likely begins here in the first real hitter's park he's seen all season. Play: Arizona –1½ +160 (Risking 2 units)

[timbob]

Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers


STREAKING

C.J. Wilson, Texas Rangers (7-3, 3.09 ERA)

Wilson is 3-0 in his last four starts with a 2.27 ERA and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in his last six trips to the hill.

He can’t be dogged for neglecting his homework. Wilson has been a big supporter of watching game film and is now using an iPad app from the Bloomberg Sports system to gain the upper hand against hitters.

"Three hours, 10 hours, it depends," Wilson told reporters of his pregame video preparation. "I've always spent a lot of time on the video systems at the stadium. If you can get one extra out a game, it's worth it."

Zack Greinke, Milwaukee Brewers (6-1, 4.69 ERA)

Greinke’s been a cash cow lately with Milwaukee winning seven of his last eight starts, but he’s still giving up his fair share of hits.

He has allowed 20 hits over the last three starts though his strikeout numbers are making up for a lot of those knocks. The 6-foot-2, 190-pounder has 60 punch-outs to go along with only seven walks so far this season and is coming off a 5-3 win over St. Louis in which he struck out nine Cardinals.



SLUMPING

Jeremy Guthrie, Baltimore Orioles (2-8, 3.77 ERA)

Guthrie opened the season with a 4-1 win over Tampa Bay, going eight shutout innings while striking out six and allowing just three hits. Since then, he has won just one of 12 starts, though he can’t shoulder all of the blame - Baltimore is averaging just 3. 2 runs of support in his starts this season.

The Orioles are hoping a new pitching coach can help the staff out after Mark Connor resigned on Tuesday. Bullpen coach Rick Adair takes over.

“For me, some guys you work well with, other guys you don’t work as well with. That’s the most important thing,” Guthrie told reporters. “The transition itself isn’t too difficult. It’s, ‘How does the working relationship go?’ And that’s something we’ll go through now with Rick as the pitching coach.”

Javier Vazquez, Florida Marlins (3-6, 7.09 ERA)

If you’re looking to Vazquez to explain his terrible season after signing a $7 million contract with the Fish in the offseason, don’t bother.

“Nothing’s going right,” Vazquez said. “I wish I could explain it. It’s just frustrating. It’s not fun. I’m feeling much better. My velocity is there. I feel like I’m aggressive. But things are not working.”

No kidding. He has a 11.20 ERA in his last three starts and gave up seven runs over 3 2/3 innings in his latest loss to Arizona.

[timbob]

HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-120, 8)

Funny how Chipper Jones pipes up about Jason Heyward sitting out too long with his shoulder injury and lo and behold the 21-year-old is back in the lineup about a week later after cutting a minor league rehab stint short.

The 39-year-old vet apparently called Heyward last week to smooth everything over after the issue was headline news all over the place last week.

"[Chipper] and I have a great relationship," Heyward told reporters before suiting up for Wednesday’s game. "He wasn't saying, 'We need Jason back at 100 percent.' He was saying he doesn't need to be 100 percent healthy to be on the field and help us win."

Heyward was hitting just .214 with seven homers through 140 at bats before hitting the DL, but he can definitely make a difference to the offense once he gets back into the swing of things. Atlanta’s putting up just 3.88 runs per game so far this season.

PICK: Braves


Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies (-235, 8)

Following Wednesday’s doubleheader, lefty Cliff Lee goes against Javier Vazquez in a major pitching mismatch and the Phillies’ bats are finally coming around.

Jimmy Rollins and Wilson Valdez did most of the damage in Philadelphia’s 8-1 win in the opening game of the doubleheader. Rollins hit a three-run homer and Valdez delivered a three-run triple, helping the Phillies outscore the Fish 17-2 through the first two games against the Fish.

"Everybody thinks we're supposed to be scoring 20 runs a game," Ryan Howard told reporters following the afternoon win. "Sorry to inform you, it doesn't work like that."

Well, maybe not 20, but the Phillies shouldn’t have much trouble putting a bunch of crooked numbers on the board against the struggling Javier Vazquez.

There’s no way we’d go near the Phillies at this price, but betting the runline or jumping on the over seem like solid wagers.

PICK: Over

[timbob]

Thursday's Betting Tips: MLB Favorites On A Roll

Who's Hot

MLB: The over is 9-3-2 in Boston’s last 14 games.

MLB: Arizona has won 10 of its last 14 home games.

WNBA: Connecticut is 6-1-1 against the spread in its last eight meetings with Washington.

Who’s Not

MLB: Kansas City has won just four of Jeff Francis’ last 14 starts.

MLB: Cleveland was just 2-12 heading into Wednesday’s action.

MLB: Pittsburgh is 3-9 in James McDonald’s last 12 road starts.

Key Stat

58.73 – Underdogs got off to a great start to the MLB season, but the favorites have answered back in a big way, winning 58.73 percent of the games in the last month (232-163). Road favorites are really boosting that number, checking in with a 71-42 mark (62.83 percent)

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Alfonso Soriano, Chicago Cubs: Soriano was activated from the DL on Wednesday but didn’t find his way into the starting lineup due to some wet conditions at Wrigley Field. The outfielder has been out of commission since straining his left quad on May 31 and start Thursday afternoon.

Game Of The Day

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-115, 8)

Notable Quotable

"The greens are certainly firming up from a week ago when I played. They are significantly firmer. They were even watering them, so they’re even concerned right now that they’re getting too firm." – Luke Donald told reporters about the U.S. Open’s course conditions. There was a lot of concern that the course wouldn’t be in top form after last week’s heat wave, but for what it’s worth, all of the tournament’s officials were raving about the course’s condition on Wednesday. Thursday’s weather forecast calls for light to moderate rain throughout the morning.

Tips And Notes

Brian Gordon has caught on with the New York Yankees after opting out of his contract with the Phillies and the Philadelphia Inquirer reports that he will get the call for the Bronx Bombers on Thursday against Texas. Gordon is a converted outfielder who has just three MLB relief appearances under his belt. The 32-year-old hasn’t pitched in the bigs since 2008.

It may be Washington Mystics coach Trudi Lacey’s first year coaching in the WNBA, but it doesn’t take a seasoned veteran to see that her club needs to get out of the gate a lot better. The Mystics have been outscored by an average of 10.3 in the first half so far this year and was trailing by 17 to the Sky in a 84-77 loss to Chicago as a 4.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Mystics are pegged as a 2.5-point favorite at home against Connecticut on Thursday.

[timbob]

DUNKEL INDEX

Cleveland at Detroit
The Tigers look to build on their 10-1 record in Max Scherzer's last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series. Detroit is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160)

Game 951-952: Florida at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vazquez) 14.300; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.147
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-235); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-235); Under

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.481; Houston (Lyles) 13.633
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.479; Cubs (Garza) 13.934
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130); N/A

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.093; Washington (Lannan) 15.837
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Under

Game 959-960: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 15.308; Atlanta (Minor) 15.547
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Volgelsong) 15.534; Arizona (Kennedy) 14.886
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+140); Over

Game 963-964: Baltimore at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.171; Toronto (Stewart) 13.868
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Under

Game 965-966: Cleveland at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Talbot) 15.079; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.911
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

Game 967-968: Texas at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 14.877; NY Yankees (Gordon) 16.691
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.300; Minnesota (Blackburn) 17.078
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 971-972: Kansas City at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.755; Oakland (Gonzalez) 14.354
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over

Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.516; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.002
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

WNBA

Connecticut at Washington
The Sun look to build on their 6-1-1 ATS record in the last 8 meetings between the two teams. Connecticut is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3)

Game 651-652: Connecticut at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 114.059; Washington 113.185
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3; 154
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3); Under

[timbob]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

MLB Baseball Thursday
Play Philadelphia (-230) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:00 PM EST

Florida has lost 10 of the last 11 games after allowing five or more runs in their last game and they have also lost 13 of the last 16 games coming off a loss. Florida has lost 6 of the last 7 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and pitcher, Javier Vazquez is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 11.19.

Play Milwaukee (-130) over Chicago Cubs (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 2:10 PM EST

Chicago has lost 12 of the last 16 games and they have also lost 9 of the last 10 games after allowing five or more runs in their last game. Chicago has lost 9 of the last 11 games coming off a loss and pitcher, Matt Garza has lost 5 of the last 6 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Play Washington (+100) over St. Louis (Bonus)

[timbob]

LADY LUCK

Thursday's Best WNBA Bets

Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics (-3, 153.5)

These teams kicked off the WNBA schedule against each other on June 4, with Connecticut taking an 89-73 victory over Washington at the Mohegan Sun Arena.

Less than two weeks later, the Sun and Mystics mix it up again in the lone game on Thursday’s WNBA slate.

The teams topped the 147.5-point total in the season opener, posting 14.5 points more than the oddsmakers’ number. Since then, both Connecticut and Washington have played over in their two games heading into Thursday’s rematch.

The Sun have topped the total with their scoring, averaging almost 85 points per game. The Mystics, on the other hand, have watched scores climb due to their poor efforts on the defensive end. They’re giving up nearly 88 points per game and allowing opponents to shoot 52.4 percent from the floor.

“It speaks to our lack of defensive focus,” Washington head coach Trudi Lacey told The Washington Times after Saturday’s home loss to the Chicago Sky. “We have to execute our defensive schemes, understand personnel, who the 3-point shooters are, and who likes to penetrate.”

Part of the Mystics’ problem on defense is a lack of experienced bodies. Washington has been bitten by the injury bug early into the season and is without Alana Beard, Monique Currie, and Ta’Shia Phillips. Beard and Phillips are game-time decisions for Thursday’s action.

The Mystics are 8-2 over/under in their last 10 contests, dating back to last season. The Sun are 6-4 over/under in their last 10 outings. The teams have gone over the number in three of their last four head-to-head games.

PICK: Over

[timbob]

Hot pitchers
-- Lannan is 2-0, 1.03 in his last four starts. Lohse is 3-1, 3.31 in his last five starts.
-- Lee is 2-0, 0.60 in his last couple starts.
-- McDonald is 2-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.
-- Milwaukee won last seven Greinke starts (6-0, 4.30), scoring 45 runs.
-- Dickey has a 2.23 RA in his last five starts. Minor has a 3.06 RA in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 1.19 in his last seven starts. Kennedy is 4-1, 2.72 in his last seven starts.

-- Talbot has a 2.45 RA in his last three starts.
-- Wilson is 3-0, 2.31 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 5-1, 3.00 in his last seven starts.
-- Buchholz is 4-0, 2.84 in his last eight starts. Price is 2-1, 2.57 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Vazquez is 0-2, 11.19 in his last three starts.
-- Lyles is 0-1, 4.15 in three starts this season.
-- Garza is 1-3, 5.33 in his last five starts.

-- Guthrie is 0-2, 5.88 in his last four starts. Prospect Stewart was 4-3, 4.39 in 12 AA starts in the Eastern League.
-- Scherzer has a 7.86 RA in his last five starts.
-- 32-year old rookie Gordon was an OF until 2008; he is 18-12, 3.35 in 122 minor league games (22 starts), 5-0, 1.14 in nine starts this year.
-- Blackburn has a 5.40 RA in his last three starts.
-- GGonzalez is 0-3, 5.30 in his last three starts. Francis is 1-3, 7.24 in his last five road starts.

Totals
-- Four of last five Lohse starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Vazquez starts.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in Atlanta's last twelve home games.
-- Five of last seven Houston home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in Greinke starts.
-- Under is 8-3 in Kennedy's last eleven starts.

-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen games in the Bronx.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in Cleveland's last seven games.
-- Eight of last ten Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-3 in Boston's last fourteen games.
-- Five of White Sox' last six road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in Kansas City's last eleven road games.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won its last five games, allowing eight runs.
-- Phillies won seven of their last eight games.
-- Atlanta won six of its last nine games. Mets won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Milwaukee is 9-4 in its last thirteen games.
-- Pirates won eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Giants are 10-4 in their last fourteen games.

-- Bronx is 11-5 in its last sixteen games.
-- Detroit won 12 of its last 17 games.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 11 games. Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Minnesota won ten of its last twelve games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Marlins lost 15 of their last 17 games.
-- Cubs lost 14 of their last 18 games.
-- Astros lost ten of their last thirteen home games.

-- Indians lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last seven home games, allowing 59 runs. Orioles lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- Oakland lost 13 of its last 15 games. Royals are 4-9 in their last 13 road games.

Umpires
-- Fla-Phil-- Home side won five of last six Muchlinski games.
-- StL-Wsh-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bucknor games.
-- NY-Atl-- 10 of 12 Hoye games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Hst-- Home side won seven of last eight Johnson games; favorite won his last seven, with five of last six going over.
-- Mil-Chi-- Three of last four Rapuano games went over the total.
-- SF-Az-- Four of last five Danley games went over the total.

-- Tex-NY-- Underdogs won six of last eight Everitt games.
-- Clev-Det-- Five of last six Reyburn games stayed under total.
-- Balt-Tor-- Underdogs won nine of last thirteen Davidson games.
-- Bos-TB-- Eight of last ten Darling games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Minn-- Four of last five Diaz games stayed under total.
-- KC-A's-- Underdogs won six of last eight Nelson games.

[timbob]

SPORT DATE STARS GAME RESEARCH OUR PICK
NHL 2011-06-13 11 Vancouver Canucks +119
12 Boston Bruins -129
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Boston Bruins -129
AccuScore gives the Boston Bruins a 50.2% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 970 Chicago White Sox -102
970 Minnesota Twins -104
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Chicago White Sox -102
AccuScore gives the Chicago White Sox a 51.8% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 971 Kansas City Royals
972 Oakland Athletics
+Trends
+Analysis
UNDER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7
MLB 2011-06-16 959 New York Mets
960 Atlanta Braves
+Trends
+Analysis
OVER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 8
MLB 2011-06-16 955 Milwaukee Brewers
956 Chicago Cubs
+Trends
+Analysis
UNDER 8
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7
MLB 2011-06-16 961 San Francisco Giants
962 Arizona Diamondbacks
+Trends
+Analysis
UNDER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 6
MLB 2011-06-16 973 Boston Red Sox
974 Tampa Bay Rays
+Trends
+Analysis
UNDER 7.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7
MLB 2011-06-16 970 Chicago White Sox -102
970 Minnesota Twins -104
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Chicago White Sox -102
AccuScore gives the Chicago White Sox a 51.8% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 971 Kansas City Royals +137
972 Oakland Athletics -146
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Kansas City Royals +137
AccuScore gives the Kansas City Royals a 50.7% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 959 New York Mets +113
960 Atlanta Braves -120
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Atlanta Braves -120
AccuScore gives the Atlanta Braves a 61.9% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 951 Florida Marlins +217
952 Philadelphia Phillies -233
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Philadelphia Phillies -233
AccuScore gives the Philadelphia Phillies a 75.4% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 951 Florida Marlins
952 Philadelphia Phillies
+Trends
+Analysis
OVER 8
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 9
NHL 2011-06-15 13 Boston Bruins +150
14 Vancouver Canucks -165
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Vancouver Canucks -165
AccuScore gives the Vancouver Canucks a 54.1% chance of winning.
NHL 2011-06-13 11 Vancouver Canucks +119
12 Boston Bruins -129
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Vancouver Canucks +119
AccuScore gives the Vancouver Canucks a 49.8% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 965 Cleveland Indians +156
966 Detroit Tigers -166
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Detroit Tigers -166
AccuScore gives the Detroit Tigers a 70.5% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 965 Cleveland Indians +156
966 Detroit Tigers -166
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Detroit Tigers -166
AccuScore gives the Detroit Tigers a 70.5% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 965 Cleveland Indians
966 Detroit Tigers
+Trends
+Analysis
OVER 8.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 10
MLB 2011-06-16 969 Chicago White Sox
970 Minnesota Twins
+Trends
+Analysis
UNDER 8
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 7
MLB 2011-06-16 967 Texas Rangers
968 New York Yankees
+Trends
+Analysis
OVER 8
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 9
MLB 2011-06-16 968 Texas Rangers -119
967 New York Yankees +112
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Texas Rangers -119
AccuScore gives the Texas Rangers a 53.9% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 963 Baltimore Orioles +101
964 Toronto Blue Jays -107
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Baltimore Orioles +101
AccuScore gives the Baltimore Orioles a 55.6% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 963 Baltimore Orioles +101
964 Toronto Blue Jays -107
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Baltimore Orioles +101
AccuScore gives the Baltimore Orioles a 55.6% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 959 New York Mets +113
960 Atlanta Braves -120
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Atlanta Braves -120
AccuScore gives the Atlanta Braves a 61.9% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.
MLB 2011-06-16 956 Milwaukee Brewers -136
955 Chicago Cubs +128
+Trends
+Analysis
MONEY LINE: Milwaukee Brewers -136
AccuScore gives the Milwaukee Brewers a 60.8% chance of winning.
MLB 2011-06-16 956 Milwaukee Brewers -136
955 Chicago Cubs +128
+Trends
+Analysis
SIDE VALUE: Milwaukee Brewers -136
AccuScore gives the Milwaukee Brewers a 60.8% chance of winning which is higher than the money line odds indicate.

[timbob]

Power Play Wins

Power Play Of The Day
St Louis Cardinals -105 (Lohse)

[Mr. IWS]

PITT VIPER SPORTS

ROT# 959 - 7:10pm - New York Mets/ Atlanta over 7.5 (-120)
2.5 units to win 2.10 units
My Prediction: New York Mets 5 - Atlanta 4


ROT# 973 - 7:10pm - Boston/Tampa Bay over 7 (-125)
2.5 units to win 2.00 units
My Prediction: Tampa Bay 5 - Boston 4


ROT# 962 - 9:40pm - San Francisco/Arizona under 9 (-125)
2.5 units to win 2.00 units
My Prediction: Arizona 4 - San Francisco 2

[Mr. IWS]

goodfella 3* gom --- wash