5-19-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[golden contender]

Thursday NBA 96% NBA Power System Side + MLB 12-1 Diamond Cutter system wins by over 3 runs per game. NBA Cashes Big With Miami. Both games go tonight MLB System Play below.

On Thursday the Free MLB System Play is on the Oakland A/s. Game 968 at 3:35 eastern. Oakland fits a system that has cashed 12 of 13 times as we play on home teams off a 1 run home loss at -140 or higher and scored 4 or less runs vs an opponent off a road dog win by 1 run at +140 or higher and had 10 + hits. While I wont unit rate a -180 favorite. I will make it the free play as Oakland is the right side here. Oakland has Ross on the mound and he has a solid 1.98 home era. The Twins counter with Blackburn. In his starts vs Oakland he is 0-8. He has been terrible in his career on the road vs teams with a winning record as well. The Twins are 8-21 vs Right handers and are hitting .201 the past week. The Twins have a 5.11 bullpen era this season. Look for Oakland to bounce back and get the win. On Thursday the card has a 96% NBA 3rd round Play and a MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by over 3 runs per game. . For the free play take the Oakland A/s. GC

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* KANSAS CITY / TEXAS OVER 8.5

Neither Derek Holland nor Luke Hochevar bring anything special to this mound tonight, nor do a pair of bullpens that combined to throw 193 pitches on Wednesday. So in a game in which we do not need any kind of offensive explosion at this price point, there is excellent value to work with.

There is nothing dynamic about the stuff of Holland – it has been a 14-18/5.40 in three seasons as a Ranger, and his current 4.91 allowance is where it is supposed to be based on that 1.59 WHIP. He simply issues too many free passes to have much of an upside, and what bothers his handlers the most is that there are no signs of improvement – it was 3.06 W’s per 9 in 2009, then 3.77 LY, to the current 3.78. Half of his eight starts have produced PPI counts of 17.5 or higher, so the Royals will get plenty of runners on base, and with Holland only having worked beyond the 7th once all season the bullpen will also have to carry a load, one made more difficult after Neftali Perez threw 26 pitches over 1.1 frames last night.

Meanwhile Hochevar continues to also show no signs of an upside – while his 4.87 allowance is only slightly off of LY’s 4.81, his K’s per 9 are significantly down (6.64 to 4.71), and his HR’s per 9 have risen at a startling level (.79 to 1.89). His saving grace has been the geometry of baseball – of the 105 pitchers that have worked at least 45 IP his BABIP of .233 rates at #11. But here is the rub – of the 10 pitchers that have been even more fortunate than him, none has an ERA higher than 3.81. Of the top 30 on those charts Hochevar has the highest allowance, and none one else is within a half run of him. It shows that he does not belong at this price point, and with the Royals having to use all seven available relievers lat night, there will also be some scrambling going on in the latter

[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
10* MLB* AMERICAN LEAGUE PLAY OF THE DAY* Chicago White Sox -130 ML
10* NBA* WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS GAME 2* Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

AL DEMARCO

5 DIME* NBA* Oklahoma City Thunder

[Mr. IWS]

ANTHONY REDD

80 DIME* NBA* Oklahoma City Thunder OVER

[Mr. IWS]

BOB VALENTINO

60 DIME* NBA* Oklahoma City Thunder

[Mr. IWS]

CHUCK O'BRIEN

40 DIME WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS TOTAL OF THE YEAR
Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

MATT RIVERS

200,000♦ NBA Dallas Mavericks

75,000♦ Run Line Joke 5-Run MLB winner here
NY Yankees -1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

STEVE BUDIN

GREEK SYNDICATE
Their First 50 DIME Play in Over Two Years
2011 NBA Total of the Year
Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER

PHILADELPHIA CREW
One-and-Only 50 DIME MLB Cheap Chalk of the Year
Boston Red Sox ML

[Mr. IWS]

TRACE ADAMS

3rd Ever 2000♦ NBA Game of My Career
Dallas Mavericks

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Indians

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKETMAN

3* MLB* LA Angels ML