12-30-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

Jim Feist's NBA Inner Circle Shocker - Wednesday!

NBA (713) UTAH Jazz VS (714) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Take: (714) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Utah is strong at home, but just 5-9 on the road, yet they are a big road favorite here. This is their 6th road game over the last 8 games. Two weeks ago they were a 13-point home favorite over this young Minnesota team, and lost 110-108. The Wolves have won consecutive games last week for the first time since last April, and four of seven games after starting the season 3-21. The Timberwolves have been better since 7-footer Kevin Love came back, joining Al Jefferson up front and Damien Wilkins. Minnesota is 2-0 SU/ATS against the Jazz this season, dominating the glass (48-36) when they met the last time. The Jazz seemed content with trying to outscore the Timberwolves rather than slow them down and Utah got burned in the end. That is common with teams that rely more on offense than defense. Excellent value here with the improving home dog. Play the Timberwolves.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

St. Bernadine Sports
Andrew Bucciarelli
Mr. Hockey

2** Colorado Avalanche (+115) over Ottawa Senators –

The Colorado Avalanche have taken the lead in the Northwest Division due to mostly play of their rookies.The Avalanche will look for their fourth consecutive road win, while the Senators look for their third straight win overall.The Senators, Jason Spezza and Daniel Alfredsson, are still out.The Avalanche play six of seven away from home starting with this game and they are 11-7-4 on the road.Look for a strong outing on the road for the Avalanche against the Sens.



2** Tampa Bay Lightning (-120) over Montreal Canadiens

Montreal has been slacking as of late and really have not shown what they could be.Tampa Bay is playing well entering the teams’ latest matchup, winning four of five after a stretch of one win in 11 games. Cammalleri of the Canadiens will be has not been playing to what he needs to be for his team to be successful and I do not see him exploding for offense against this Tampa Bay Lightning team.Tanguay has scored in two straight games and St. Louis has had two goals and six assists during his five game point streak. Look for a big night from TampA.



1* Boston Bruins (-165) over Atlanta Thrashers
Boston’s offense will look to continue their awakening against the Thrashers last week.The Bruins have had their offensive struggles with a low 2.47 goals per game.They have been held to two or fewer goals 4 times in their last five; however, the exception being a 6-4 home win over the Thrashers last Wednesday.Atlanta has allowed 22 goals during this season worst five game losing streak as Pavelec and Johan Hedberg have been slacking lately.Tim Thomas looks to get the start in net as he is 4-0 in his last four games overall and 4-0 in the last 4 meeting against the Thrashers. Look for another big night from Thomas of the Bruins.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

Capper: John Ryan
Bowling Green vs. Idaho (NCAAF) - 4:30 PM EST
Idaho -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

Ras 12/30



746 Wyoming +2
732 Towson -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

charlie
nba. boston @ phoenix over 206, ncaaf. bolwing green vs idaho over 68 & nebraska vs arizona under 41 . (500* triple play 2 of 3 must win or next day is free).
ncaaf. nebraska-3 (30*)
ncaaf. idaho-1 (20*)
nba. minnesota+7' (20*)
ncaab. illinois-7 (10*)
nba. cleveland-6 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

Fantasy Sports GameTime

Wednesday NHL Plays



NHL Hockey



50* Play Calgary (-160) over Los Angeles



50* Play Boston (-160) over Atlanta

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

ROBERT FERRINGO
Early Release
Towson -3 for 1.5 u

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

TIM TRUSHEL

arizona/regular
under illinois/regular
over nets/regular

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

ROBERT FERRINGO
2009 Sun Bowl Odds and Predictions

Last year at this time Oklahoma was prepping for a National Championship Game and ready to go pimping in Miami. Now they are tuning up for the Sun Bowl in sweet El Paso.

What a difference a year makes, eh?

Oklahoma will match up with No. 21 Stanford at 2 p.m. on Thursday, Dec. 31 in the Sun Bowl. The Sooners are presently 10-point favorites in this game despite the fact that they are the unranked team. The total is 55.5.

This has clearly been a disappointing season for the Sooners, who started the year in the Top 5. But five losses later they find themselves slumming it in El Paso.

Stanford, on the other hand, has been one of college football’s pleasant surprises. They finished No. 2 in the Pac-10 and managed an impressive 8-4 record just three years after posting a pathetic 1-11 mark. Their record this year includes big wins over USC and Oregon.

Stanford’s top gun is Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart. The senior running back led the nation in rushing yards (1,736) and rushing touchdowns (26). However, the big news for the Cardinal is the status of starting quarterback Andrew Luck. The freshman has a broken finger and is considered doubtful to start the game. However, he has been practicing and there is an increasing chance that he might play.

This game is on a neutral site and it pits a pair of terrible road teams against one another. Besides their win at USC, Stanford went just 1-3 ATS on the road this season. They lost at Arizona, at Oregon State and at Wake Forest, and just three of their last 10 games were away from home. Oklahoma was even worse. They went 1-4 ATS away from home and lost games at Texas Tech, at Nebraska, at Miami and in a neutral site game against BYU.

Here is a deeper view into this game:

Motivation
We’re starting to get into the more serious bowl games with the upper-level teams, so motivation is becoming less and less of a problem. But 10-cent psychology here suggests that Stanford will be more motivated here because Oklahoma has no interest in this bowl game.

I don’t agree. They are playing a Top 25 team (OU is outside the Top 25) and this is a chance for another season-salvaging victory. We’ve already seen teams like USC, Pittsburgh and Clemson shrug off late-season disappointments to win their bowl games and score covers (that trio went 2-1 against the spread). Oklahoma has actually lost five of its last six bowl games outright and you know that Bob Stoops is going to have his boys ready to play.

This is Stanford’s first bowl game since 2001 and they are looking for their first bowl win since a victory in the Sun Bowl back in 1996. That makes this game exciting for the program, but they don’t have nearly the motivation of a team like SMU, which hadn’t been to a bowl game in 25 years.

Matchups
The key to this game is clearly going to be Stanford’s rushing game (No. 11 with 224 yards per game) against Oklahoma’s rushing defense (No. 7 at 88 yards per game). Overall, the Cardinal are No. 13 in total offense while the Sooners are No. 7 in total defense. If Luck can’t go then OU should be able to stack up and try to shut down Gerhart.

Also, the Sooners are fifth in the country in sacks, averaging three per game. Stanford’s offensive line is second in the nation, allowing only a half-sack per game.

On the other side, Stanford’s passing defense has been awful (No. 105 at 252 yards allowed per game) while Oklahoma’s bread-and-butter this year has been its passing game (No. 17 at 278 ypg). Oklahoma has been mediocre with its rushing game (No. 69 at 141 ypg) and faces an equally mediocre Stanford rush defense (No. 61 at 141). That tells me that OU should be able to have its way with the Stanford defense all around. And with so much attention going to whether or not Oklahoma can stop Gerhart, maybe the question should be whether or not Stanford can stop OU.

Line Value and 2009 Sun Bowl Odds
The line on this game opened around -7 or -8 and has since shot up to -10. However, about 75 percent of all of the action on this game is coming in on Stanford, making Oklahoma a disrespected favorite.

The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games, all of which they were favored in. Oklahoma is also just 2-5 ATS as a favorite playing on a neutral site. However, they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against the Pac-10.

Stanford is a mere 2-5 ATS in its last seven nonconference games and failed to cover their last two games to close the regular season. However, prior to that they were on a sweet 7-3 ATS rush prior to that and were one of the best bets in the nation.

2009 Emerald Bowl Predictions
I am starting to get the feeling that this game is going to go similarly to the Boston College-USC game played last week. In that game we had another team (USC) that was used to playing in BCS games and playing for national championships that was forced to “slum it” against a group that really overachieved (Boston College) this season. Well, everyone completely overrated the “motivation” aspect of the game and the Trojans managed to cover the spread in their double-digit win.

I am starting to get the feeling that this could be a similar situation. The majority of the bets are coming in on Stanford, yet the line continues to climb. There is a clear reverse line movement and we have a situation where there isn’t a clear-cut “underdog” in the minds of the players and coaches.

If Oklahoma can stop Stanford early and put some points on the board they may be able to take Gerhart out of the game and put the pressure on Tavita Pritchard. We’ve seen how that ends.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

CHRIS JORDAN
Chris Jordan Wednesday's winners ...

200? NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS - Analysis on these games due back by 4 p.m. eastern

200? NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS -

200? AKRON ZIPS -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

ATS Lock Club CBB

4* Old Dom
4* William and Mary
3* Cinn

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

RAS Play for 12/30/09: #746 Wyoming +2.5 for 1.00 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

KILLER SPORTS LIVE


All Access Card
NCAAB KILLER
10 DIME -- ILLINOIS -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-30-09

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
6-2 last 8 plays

*200 Bowling Green +1 (NCAAF)
*200 Nebraska -3 (NCAAF)
*200 Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (NBA)
*300 New York Knicks -3 (NBA)