12-16-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 97495

    12-16-09

    NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

    Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

    Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)


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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 97495

    #2
    Re: 12-16-09

    ROBERT FERRINGO

    3.5-Unit Play. Take #539 Oregon State (-2) over Illinois-Chicago (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)

    1.5-Unit Play. Take #544 Rice (-6.5) over Santa Clara (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)

    1.5-Unit Play. Take #538 Ohio (-2) over Illinois State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 97495

      #3
      Re: 12-16-09

      CTO

      RICHMOND over *South Carolina...With USC noticeably thin in the paint with integral 6-7 frontliners Holmes & Archie sidelined with injuries (check status), recommend chemistry-rich, seasoned UR quintet proving it’s an A-10 contender after capturing South Padre Island tourney late Nov.—upsetting both Miss. State & Missouri! Spiders’ terrific G duo of Anderson & Gonzalvez can go toe-to-toe with Cocks’ star G Downey & side-kick Raley-Ross, and USC is a poor 7-13 as home chalk last 2+Ys. Upset possible.
      RICHMOND 72 - *South Carolina 69 RATING - 10
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 97495

        #4
        Re: 12-16-09

        ROBERT FERRINGO

        3.5-Unit Play. Take #539 Oregon State (-2) over Illinois-Chicago (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #544 Rice (-6.5) over Santa Clara (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #538 Ohio (-2) over Illinois State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 16)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #533 Richmond (+5) over South Carolina (7 p.m.)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #551 Oklahoma State (+2.5) over Stanford (11 p.m.)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #555 Samford (+14.5) over Alabama (8 p.m.)

        1-Unit Play. Take #535 Cincinnati (-1) over UAB (7 p.m.)

        1-Unit Play. Take #532 UNC-Wilmington (+7.5) over Wake Forest (7 p.m.)

        1.5-Unit Play. Take #559 Louisiana-Monroe (+11.5) over Northern Colorado (9 p.m.)

        These are 5-point teasers:
        3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #533 Richmond (+10) over South Carolina (7 p.m.) AND Take #551 Oklahoma State (+7.5) over Stanford (11 p.m.)

        1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #532 UNC-Wilmington (+12.5) over Wake Forest (7 p.m.) AND Take #555 Samford (+19.5) over Alabama (8 p.m.)

        1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #542 Mississippi (-1.5) over UTEP (8 p.m.) AND Take Mississippi State (-5.5) over Wright State (7 p.m.)

        1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #551 Oklahoma State (+7.5) over Stanford (11 p.m.) AND Take #559 Louisiana-Monroe (+16.5) over Northern Colorado (9 p.m.)
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 97495

          #5
          Re: 12-16-09

          DocSports NHL

          2 Unit Play Take New Jersey (-1.5 +160) vs. Montreal (7 pm) - New Jersey is playing very well - they have won eight of ten, and five of those wins have been by two or more goals. Montreal, on the other hand, is struggling. They have dropped three straight. New Jersey has a very solid edge here.

          2 Unit Play Take Vancouver (-1.5 +170) vs. Anaheim (10 pm) - Vancouver has won three in a row, and seven of their last eight wins have been by two or more goals. Anaheim is trying to regain some stability after a five game losing streak, and they still aren't convincing. The numbers favor Vancouver significantly.
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 97495

            #6
            Re: 12-16-09

            DOC SPORTS NBA

            3-Unit Play #512 Take Minnesota -1 Over LA Clippers (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

            5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #517 Take Dallas -2 Over Oklahoma City (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

            3-Unit Play #519 Take Houston/Denver UNDER 209 ½ (9 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 97495

              #7
              Re: 12-16-09

              SPORTS WAGERS

              Dallas -½ +1.31 over CAROLINA

              It’s not like the Stars are going good and can take a breather here. They need points and this is the best place in the league to get them. Dallas has lost three of four although all four games have gone to OT. Still, they’re sinking in the standings and now sit in ninth place in the West and ninth does not qualify for the playoffs. The Stars are coming off games against the Kings and Sharks and after playing those two, this one should appear in slow motion. As for the Canes, well, they’re still a dumpster-fire and look no better now than they did when they were losing about 20 games straight. In fact, over its last four games they’ve been outshot, 39-25, 40-19, 31-23 and 32-21. So, not only do they lose but they’re managing just a handful of shots on net per game. When you’re allowing about four goals against a game and are only mustering up about 20 shots on net, are badly outplayed every period, it’s not rocket science as to why they’re losing. If this ticket gets ripped up, so be it. Betting against the Canes is usually the right thing to do and only bad luck can prevent this ticket from cashing because the play of the Canes sure can’t. Play: Dallas -½ +1.31 (Risking 2 units).


              ATLANTA +1.03 over Florida

              The Panthers are almost always a live dog but in the role of the chalk, they have very little appeal and at home they have even less appeal. In fact, in 15 home games this season, Florida has five wins. They also return home from a successful four game road trip in which they picked up five of a possible eight points. They’ll return home to a completely lifeless arena and the small crowds they attract has to be one of the reasons they struggle in their own joint. The Thrashers are always tough. Despite two straight wins they’re laboring a bit and were badly outplayed in its last game in New York. They won that game, which is a good sign because they did not play well and you can expect a much better effort here. The Panthers are always vulnerable at home and you can double that after returning home from a trip. Play Atlanta +1.03 (Risking 2 units).


              Phoenix +1.14 over TORONTO

              The Leafs are another team that is much more appealing in the role of the dog than they are as a favorite. The Leafs are coming off two big wins over the Caps and Sens and they were rather fortunate to win either of them. Jason Blake (one of the more useless players in the league) scored a lucky goal to open the scoring and the Leafs won 3-2 and the Leafs caught an exhausted Caps team on Saturday. The Sens and Coyotes play a very similar style in that they’re both defensive minded and that’s not a style the Leafs prefer. Again, the Leafs have shown a huge propensity for falling behind in the first period by a goal or two and against teams like this they’ll find it a lot more difficult to come back against. Phoenix is so tough to beat, as they work their asses off every shift of every game and they’ll be extra pumped up playing in Toronto while the Leafs have the Sabres on deck after playing the Sens. Play: Phoenix +1.14 (Risking 2 units).


              Memphis +9½ over ATLANTA

              Yeah, the Grizz are just 10-14 but in no way is this number warranted. Not only are the Grizzlies one of the most improved teams, they’re getting better each game and they’re playing with a ton of confidence. In fact, despite losing to the Celtics in their last game, they played perhaps its best game of the year and only the outstanding and near flawless game by the C’s prevented them from winning that one too. That game had to be inspiring for the Grizzlies and you can just see it in their body language that they’re “feeling it”. The Hawks are coming off three blowout wins over the Bulls, Raps and Nets. Combined, the Bulls and Nets have about two wins in the last 30 games and the Raps get blown out once every two games. Not to take anything away from the Hawks but its recent blowout wins along with the public’s perception of the Grizzlies being a weak squad has caused this line to be extremely inflated. Not only should the Grizzlies cover but they can win this one outright. Play: Memphis +9½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2) Play: Memphis money line +4.08 (Risking 0.5 units).


              MILWAUKEE +1.79 over L.A. Lakers

              The Lakers are just the class of the league and they’ll basically be on cruise control the entire year. Even when they don’t play well they’re still very tough to beat. If they’re juiced up they’re near impossible to beat. Having said that, the chances of them being jacked up for this one is slim. The Bucks, on the other hand will be extremely jacked up and so will the house. The Bucks are coming off two straight wins and they’re well rested, having been off since Saturday. The Lakers on the other hand played last night in Chicago and will play its third consecutive on the road. The Lakers are 19-4, they have the Nets and Detroit up next to finish off the trip and frankly, there’s just nothing to get excited about for them. The Lakers have lost two of its last three game at this venue and it’s one of the rare places they have trouble at. Bucks come out completely fired up with a damn good chance to win against what could very well be a disinterested monster. Play: Milwaukee +1.79 (Risking 2 units).


              OKLAHOMA CITY +1.11 over Dallas

              The Mav’s are a good team to be sure. However, unlike some of the other top teams, Dallas will pull a bunch of no shows throughout the year and this sure looks like it could be one of those times. The Mav’s have won four in a row but you can see the downward spiral unfolding. They had a nice win over Phoenix followed by a win over the Heat in Miami and then back-to-back wins at home over Charlotte and New Orleans by a combined five lousy points. They had a chance to put the Hornets away a few times but failed to do so and that’s a sign of a team on the verge of a low. The Thunder’s last three losses have been to Cleveland, Denver and Boston and they also have a recent loss to the Lakers. That’s perhaps the toughest quartet in the league and it makes them so much more battle tested. The Thunder has played one of the more difficult schedules in the league, yet they’re still a game above .500 and they’re absolutely not an easy out. Play: Oklahoma City +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 97495

                #8
                Re: 12-16-09

                Tom Freese

                Grizzlies at Hawks
                Pick: Hawks -9

                Atlanta is 20-7-1 ATS their last 28 games as home favorites and they are 8-3 ATS off a double digit win. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than 40% and they are 12-4 off an ATS win. Memphis is 19-40-1 ATS their last 60 games as road underdogs of 5.0 to 10.5 points and they are 3-8 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS their last 6 meetings with Atlanta and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games in Atlanta. 10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON ATLANTA -
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 97495

                  #9
                  Re: 12-16-09

                  Fargo 9* Dark horse dandy


                  Memphis Grizzlies
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 97495

                    #10
                    Re: 12-16-09

                    RAS:

                    All for 1 Unit

                    #538 Ohio -1'

                    #539 OR St. -2

                    #544 Rice -6
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 97495

                      #11
                      Re: 12-16-09

                      Scott Delaney
                      Wednesday ...
                      40-Dime OREGON STATE ... Gotta roll with the Beavers in this non-conference showdown. After all, when you research a game, make contact with members of the media and calls to different areas where you can reach out to people, and the consensus thought is: "We don't know when that team will win another ball game ..."

                      That's not a good sign, espeically when there's a hungry Oregon State team coming to town off a road loss in Nebraska, and looking to we avenge a defeat that displayed an uncharacteristic offensive side of the Beavers.

                      After putting up a minimum of 60 points in six straight, OSU lost to Big Red, 50-44 on Saturday. I don't think that'll happen here. Though I do believe the Flames will be stingy and pressing, I think the Beavers have the better offense to break into the 50s.

                      After Sunday's loss to DePaul the Flames are mired in a six-game losing streak after a season opening win over Illinois-Springfield.

                      Oregon State is holding opponents to 57.3 points per game, best in the Pacific-10 Conference and 15th best in the NCAA, while its field-goal percentage defense (38.2) is ranked No. 37. Look for that defense to contribute to Illinois-Chicago's ongoing woes this season and lead us to the easy win and cover.
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 97495

                        #12
                        Re: 12-16-09

                        Wunderdog

                        Game: Montreal at New Jersey (7:05 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)

                        The Montreal Canadiens have been turning it up on the offensive end. They have now scored 20 goals in their last six games or 3.33 per contest. That is a marked improvement from their 26 goals in the previous 13 games, where they were posting just two per night. The Devils have been offensive themselves, tallying 55 in their last 17, or 3.2 per game. That is up from their 36 goals over their first 14 games by a considerable margin as well. This is a low total where we have two teams peaking in offensive efficiency right now, so I'll play this one to go OVER.

                        Game: Atlanta at Florida (7:35 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: 3 units on Florida -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                        The Atlanta Thrashers have played well at home this season and they beat Florida on the road in a shootout by the score of 2-1, so I look for the Panthers to be looking to settle that score in this one. The Panthers will be looking to carry the momentum from their best game of the year when they obliterated the Islanders 7-1. While the Thrashers have done well at home, they have now dropped three of their last four on the road, and Florida is in a role that they have thrived in as they are 13-5 in their last 18 as a favorite. I like Florida who is playing better in this role and with revenge, they win this one.

                        Game: Buffalo at Ottawa (7:35 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: 3 units on Ottawa +100 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3)

                        The Ottawa Senators will be glad to get back home. They have not fared well on the road this season and have played seven of their last nine on the road, and it sure makes them look like they are not playing well. The difference is they have won six of their last seven on home ice. The Sabres have been a competent road team, taking the first two on their current road trip, but will have a tough task vs. an Ottawa team that loves stepping up against big-time teams as the Senators are a blistering 25-10-2 in their last 37 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of .600 or higher. It won't help the Sabres knowing that they are 7-20 in their last 27 trips to Ottawa as well as having dropped the last four here. I'll go with Ottawa.

                        Game: St. Louis at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)

                        The Blackhawks have put up an impressive 13-3-1 mark at home through 17 games this season. One reason is that over their last 11 home games, they have allowed just 19 goals or 1.7 per game. That makes it very likely they will have to score four or more here to push this one over the total - something they have done just four times in their last 13 home games. Their offense has been poor recently, having scored 2 or fewer goals in seven of their last ten games. St. Louis is 20-8-4 to the UNDER in their last 32 played vs. an opponent that allowed two or fewer in their last game, while Chicago has played UNDER in 10 of their last 12 home games. These teams have also played to the UNDER in their last four meetings. I expect more of the same here and will go with the UNDER in this one.

                        Game: Anaheim at Vancouver (10:00 PM Eastern)
                        Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)

                        The Ducks have done a stellar job at home, but have found it very difficult to score on the road as they have managed just 21 goals in their last 10 road games. They will not find a cure here vs. a Vancouver team that has allowed just 29 goals in their last 16 at home or 1.8 per game. The Ducks’ scoring liabilities on the road has translated to eight of their last 11 on the road going UNDER, as well as five of their last six as a dog. The Canucks are carrying the UNDER to a 5-1-1 record in their last seven as a home favorite of -151 to -200. It is likely that one team will do the scoring here, so I'll play this one UNDER.
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 97495

                          #13
                          Re: 12-16-09

                          Wunderdog

                          Game: Wright State at Mississippi State (7:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Wright State +10.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          Wright State is definitely an under-the-radar type of team and may give Butler a run in the Horizon Conference. They lost the Horizon Finals to a big-time Butler team by just five last year, and have a lot of pieces back. They have already been tested on the road vs. a good Washington team, losing to the Huskies by just five, so they definitely can hang in this one. The Bulldogs get a lot of ink with Varnado blocking shots inside, and the fact that this is an SEC team vs. a mid-level conference team means we get a juiced line. Wright State has soared in non-conference games going 10-3 ATS in their last 13 as well as 17-7 ATS as a dog, so we definitely have a live dog here, so I'll go with Wright State.

                          Game: Cincinnati at U A B (7:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on U A B +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          Cincinnati has gotten a lot of mileage out of Vaughn, Yates and freshman Stephenson, but the rest of the cast has not been so good and their best player, Vaughn, is not shooting well as he gets a lot of attention. The Blazers have quietly gone 8-1, including 6-0 at home and are a force to be dealt with here. This is a deep team that likes to play pressure defense, and with a frosh, Stephenson, handling the ball with just 20 assists to 17 turnovers, it could become a chaotic spot for the Bearcats who are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Conference USA opponents. UAB is a sparkling 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a home dog, and I like them in that role here.

                          Game: Wake Forest at N C Wilmington (7:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 150 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          This total is much higher than I expected and I think it is mostly predicated upon the game these teams played a year ago that saw Wake Forest win a 120-88 game. It was when NC-Wilmington started the season trying to play up-tempo, and realized the style didn't fit the team. They averaged over 100 points per game through the first three then did an about-face. They spent 17 of the last 26 in the 60s or lower. The theme hasn't changed as three games against BCS Conference teams have not reached this total. Wake Forest has now played 14 of their last 17 non-conference games on the road UNDER the total, while eight of the last 11 Seadog games at home have also gone UNDER the total. I think that the oddsmakers have a horrible read on this one, so I'll go with the UNDER here.

                          Game: Clemson at Eastern Carolina (7:05 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 152 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          The Tigers have been up over 70 points in all but one of their 10 games on the season, mostly playing at home or neutral sites. The two times they have been playing to a total of 150 or higher, they have failed to top it. These teams also matched up last year and failed to reach this number. The Pirates have also played against Wake Forest this season and failed to produce this many points, and this one looks to high to me. When you factor in the fact that Clemson, as a big favorite of 13 or more, has played six straight to the UNDER while the Pirates have played eight straight UNDER this season, it is hard to overlook, so I'll play this one UNDER.

                          Game: Canisius at Duquesne (7:30 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Canisius +11 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          The Dukes have an impressive win/loss mark, but when you look at the offense it isn't designed to get covers against big numbers. The Dukes are 7-3 straight-up, but are just a poor 1-5 ATS. The biggest reason is an offense that has produced just 53.5 points per game in the last four and that includes overtime. That certainly makes it difficult to tackle the big number posted here. The Golden Griffins are more than content to play slow as their last five have produced an average total score of 126 ppg. The Dukes’ lack of scoring has led them to a 1-7 ATS mark in their last eight at home. This one is posted too high for the type of game expected, so I'll go with Canisius here.

                          Game: Santa Clara at Rice (8:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 4 units on Rice -7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

                          Santa Clara certainly has a misleading record at this point as they enter here at 6-4, but have two wins over teams below Div-1. They beat Houston Baptist and escaped by three against Cal Bakersfield - hardly notable opponents. Rice is the deeper team here with nine players getting meaningful minutes and contributing. With Ben Dowdell out, that puts Santa Clara down to six contributing players, and will be the reason for their fade late in this one against a deep and equally talented Rice team. I'll back the Owl's here.

                          Game: Mississippi vs. U T E P (8:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 152 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          The Miners suffered their first loss of the season at home to the hands of New Mexico St. The offense has come pretty freely for this team in the early going, but they have not seen a team the caliber of the Rebels. The Rebels are holding teams to 41.1% for the season and just 32% from deep. Mississippi is off to an 8-1 start, but the quality has been lacking, and when they have played premier teams the scoring has come down, as I expect it will here also for both teams. Mississippi has played 10 of their last 13 vs. Conference USA opponents to the UNDER. The UNDER has also gone 5-1 in UTEP games after a straight-up loss. I like the UNDER in this one.

                          Game: Oregon State at Illinois Chicago (8:00 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on Oregon State -4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          Oregon State is heading in the right direction. Two years ago this program was depleted and won just five games. Last year they made it to the CBI Tournament and won the Championship. They already own wins over Colorado and George Washington this year, and played Texas Tech to a four-point game on the road. Illinois Chicago has had their moments, but this year won't be one of them. They have yet to beat a Div-1 team this season. They have committed 104 turnovers to just 63 assists and don't have anyone shooting over 30% from deep, and the top four scorers are under 40% from the field. This is an Oregon State team that is better than what we have seen and should have no problem winning on the road here. I'll go with Oregon State.

                          Game: Arkansas Little Rock at South Alabama (9:05 PM Eastern)
                          Pick: 3 units on South Alabama -4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                          The Jaguars are off to an impressive 7-3 start and have yet to lose at home, while Arkansas Little Rock has yet to find the win column on the road this season. The Jags have an impressive 13-point win at Arkansas - never an easy task. They are a very balanced team and are getting good shooting through seven deep and impressively, they have six players with double-digit assists, so good cohesion on the offensive end. Solomon Bozeman has done everything for the Trojans, which is part of the problem. The lack of talent has caused him to have the ball too much, and he is the lowest-percentage shooter of the top five, but the leading scorer and has already committed 29 turnovers. It is hard to win with one player, and the Jags’ balance and home court prove decisive here. I’m South Alabama in this one.
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 97495

                            #14
                            Re: 12-16-09

                            Wunderdog

                            Game: Charlotte at Indiana (7:00 PM Eastern)
                            Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 192 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

                            The Charlotte Bobcats scored 59 points in their opener, and I think that performance still lingers in the oddsmakers’ eyes especially since they opened the season averaging just 81.9 points per game without overtime. They have really changed from that team that was deficient offensively, to one that has averaged 98 ppg in their last 11 since. That bodes well for the OVER here against an Indiana team that likes to get up-and-down the floor. The Pacers don't see too many totals posted under 200, but when they do they usually topple them. They are 3-1 already this year and 3-1 in the last four a year ago. The Bobcats have played OVER in their last four as a dog, and I like this one to go OVER the total.

                            Game: Dallas at Oklahoma City (8:00 PM Eastern)
                            Pick: 4 units on Oklahoma City +2 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

                            The Oklahoma City Thunder is still under the radar despite the fact they are 12-11 on the season. It's hard to escape the team that went 2-25 to open the season a year ago, but have improved dramatically. This is a team that took the Lakers to overtime at home, and thrashed Orlando here by 26 points, so they are definitely capable of the win here. Oklahoma City played Dallas tough in all three games last year as they lost by just four in Dallas, won by nine at home, and lost a game in OT here. The Mavs have not been excellent in this spot as a small favorite of up to 4.5, they are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28, and the Thunder have been roaring back after a loss to go 38-16 ATS. I like Oklahoma City in this one.

                            Game: Houston at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
                            Pick: 4 units on Houston +8.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

                            The Denver Nuggets started a roll last year at home and kept right on going into this season, where they are off to an 11-1 start. The problem this creates is the that oddsmakers are aware and begin to shade the line, realizing everyone is going to be looking to play on them. As a result, the value begins to go the other way. The other problem is that Houston is very tough on the road vs. superior teams. They beat the Lakers by 10, and went to another pretty tough place to play - Utah, and beat the Jazz by 17 points. They won at Oklahoma City, played Portland to within one, and Atlanta to within two. So as good as Denver has been at home, Houston has been more than up to the task on the road, and getting a bundle here is value on the visitor. I'll go with Houston here.
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 97495

                              #15
                              Re: 12-16-09

                              MAXIMUS REPORT

                              BEST BETS:
                              Take CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS +7.5 vs. South Florida Bulls, Location: Sun Dome – Tampa, Florida Time: 7:00pm EST
                              EVALUATION: When looking at how these two 7-2 SU teams matchup, we looked at every side of this game. The key that we see to taking the side of the Knights is that South Florida is without their top scorer Augustus Gilchrist who is averaging 18.8 pts a game. This is their second game without him, and Jones stepped up a little in their loss to Central Michigan last Saturday, but almost 19 points is a lot to make up, and we just think the Knights will cover this number. Our initial calculation of this game was for the Bulls, but the loss of Gilchrist we just don’t see how they can overcome this many points lost per game. NOTE: THIS IS OUR BEST BET OF THE DAY
                              PROJECTION: CENTRAL FLORIDA 66 SOUTH FLORIDA 63


                              Take SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS -5 vs. Arkansas Little-Rock Trojans. Location: Mitchell Center – Mobile, Alabama. Time: 9:00pm EST
                              EVALUATION: Arkansas- LR comes in with a 4-6 SU mark, and are 0-4 on the road. They are only averaging 60 points on the road also, and that is what South Alabama’s opponent average is at home also. The 6-3 SU Jaguars are playing really good basketball, and have dropped games to Rice and Tulsa on the road, and a very tough Southern Miss squad at home. We like the way the Jaguars play good defense at home, and ALR on the road allows opponents a whopping 79 pts a game. There should be a little extra motivation for the Jaguars since the Trojans beat them on their home court last year by 2 points.
                              PROJECTION: SOUTH ALABAMA 75 ARKANSAS LITTLE-ROCK 63

                              SOLIDS:-------------------------------------Projections
                              Mississippi St. -10.5 vs. Wright St. ________________Mississippi St. 82-65
                              Oregon St. -4 vs. Illinois-Chicago ________________Oregon St. 64 – 56
                              Alabama -14.5 vs. Samford _____________________Alabama 75-52
                              Northern Colorado -11 vs. UL-Monroe __________N. Colorado 78-61

                              OVER/UNDER
                              U152 Clemson/East Carolina ________________________146
                              O131.5 Cincinnati/UAB ____________________________141

                              NO MONEYLINE Today

                              OTHER PROJECTIONS- These are not recommended plays – just letting you know where we stand on these games.
                              AWAY-------------------------------------Home Spread-----------------------------HOME
                              Clemson 80 _____________________ +15 ______________________East Carolina 66
                              Wake Forest 77 __________________ + 8 ______________________ NC Wilmington 69
                              Richmond 67 ____________________ - 4 _______________________ S. Carolina 66
                              Cincinnati 67 ____________________ + 1 _______________________ UAB 74
                              Illinois St 71 _____________________ - 2 _______________________ Ohio 76
                              UTEP 65 ________________________ - 7.5 _____________________ Ole Miss 74
                              Santa Clara 67 ___________________ - 7 _______________________ Rice 68
                              Loyola-Chicago 68 ________________ -11.5 _____________________ Bradley 75
                              Cal Poly SLO 67 __________________ -23.5 ______________________ Wisconsin 80
                              Oklahoma St. 71 __________________ -1.5 ______________________ Stanford 75
                              Canisius 63 ______________________ -11.5 _____________________ Duquesne 71
                              Northern Arizona 57 _______________ -22 ______________________ New Mexico 82
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