12-6-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Wunderdog

Game: Minnesota at Arizona (Sunday 12/06 8:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +3.5 (-120)

Minnesota is overrated. More on this in a minute. The good news for the Cards is that the status of Kurt Warner, who sat out last week's game with a concussion, is listed as probable for this big game vs. Minnesota. Arizona gets a lot of ink regarding Warner, Fitzgerald and Boldin and their play-making offense, but the defense has done some catching up. The yardage numbers aren't pretty as they rank No. 24 in yards allowed, but the one that counts the most is points allowed, where they are No. 13. They have only allowed two teams to score more than 21 points in nine games this season. Arizona has been a hot team and are 6-2 in their last eight and really should be 7-1 if not for the old "prevent defense" and a lot of bad luck that allowed Tennessee to march 99 yards for the winning score as time ran out last week. This team has taken on the "big game" philosophy as they really seem to be at their best as a FG favorite or less, or as a dog at home where they have cashed eight of their last ten. They show up most in the biggest games as tehyh are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games vs. teams at .750 or better. Over the past three seasons, they are 9-1 ATS vs. teams like Minnesota that outscore their opponents by 6+ ppg. The Vikings have been living on home cooking, and believe it or not, have not played on the road in over a month. They have had three straight at home after their bye week, so this will be their first time on the road since November 1, and should find the going a lot more difficult. They have had road tilts vs. St. Louis, Detroit and Cleveland, and this one will be different without the home fans pumping them up. In their only real road test this year (vs. Pitt), the Vikes suffered their lone defeat of the season. Back to the fact that Minnesota is overrated. This is a good team, but not as good as it may appear on the surface. Minnesota has had the pleasure of feasting on the easiest schedule inthe NFL. They have played Cleveland, Detroit (twice), St. Louis, Seattle, San Francisco and Chicago. Their opponents for 2009 went just .420 last season and this season they are holding form. The Vikes have played just three winning teams all year and two of those teams (Pitt and Balt) are barely above .500. On top of all that, this team has had an inordinate amount of luck. Their best players have remained healthy, and they are +8 in turnovers (ranked in the top 5 in the NFL). When/if that luck evens out, this team won't look as powerful as they have. Finally, Arizona is 8-1 ATS at home the past three seasons when coming off a loss. I like Arizona plus the points here in a game that, with a healthy Warner, they can win outright.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Steve Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK COSTA RICA CONNECTION

25 DIME RELEASE

New England

I got this play at 2:00 Eastern on Friday afternoon. At that time the line was -4 just about everywhere in Vegas and offshore. If you have -4 - or even -4 1/2 - I want you to buy down the 1/2 point for insurance no matter the case.

Backstory regarding this game:

In the three years I've been bringing you plays from the various betting crews I've relied on, this is the earliest I've ever had a Sunday NFL selection. When I got the call - and when I found out what the game was - I was not surprised.

In case you were not aware, the New England-Miami game was taken off the board briefly very late Thursday afternoon when a report - that later proved to be false - surfaced that Tom Brady did not practice. Prior to the report, New England was -5 1/2 with a few -5's to be found if you looked hard enough. After the error was clarified, the game was put back on the board but the price settled at -4.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Teddy Covers:

NFL Pittsburgh -14.5 (340)
NFL Tennessee +6.5 (343)
NFL St. Louis +9.5 (353)

NFL 20* Big Ticket: San Francisco Pk (357)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 33-31 –3.60%

3% DENVER -4.5
3% PHILADELPHIA -5.5
3% SAN FRANCISCO PK
3% GREEN BAY -3.5
3% HOUSTON/JACKSONVILLE OVER 46.5
3% NEW ENGLAND/MIAMI OVER 45.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Maddux

#337 - NFL - 5 units on Denver & Kansas City Over 38.5
#340 - NFL - 3 units on Pittsburgh -14.5
#350 - NFL - 3 units on Washington +9.5
#360 - NFL - 3 units on Arizona +3.5
#363 - NFL - 3 units on New England & Miami Over 45.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

DOC SPORTS
5 Unit Play. #45 Take Tennessee +7 over Indianapolis (Sunday 1 pm CBS) NFL Game of the Year. The Titans just win football games when QB Young is behind center. They will enter having won five straight games and have allowed 17 points or less in four of those five games. Now they face the 11-0 Colts, who have been the comeback kids of late. I believe that their luck will run out today, since the Titans are very familiar with them and have a strong defense that can contain QB Manning. The Colts are really banged up on defense with injuries to Sanders (out), Freeney (questionable), Francisco (doubtful), and Dawson (doubtful) all injured. The Titans still need to win if they have any chance of making the playoffs and that is just not the case with Indy. They have already clinched the AFC South and have all but locked up the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Indy has come back to win five straight games, so that tells you that they have not been blowing out opponents. RB Johnson is unstoppable once he gets to the corner and this will allow the Titans to control the football and take this one down to the wire. Tennessee and QB Young win again and we collect in the process as well. Tennessee 28, Indy 27.
4 Unit Play. #54 Take Washington +10 over New Orleans (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Redskins are catching the Saints at just the right moment, as they are coming off a big win on Monday Night against New England. The Saints must play Atlanta and Dallas after Washington and I question that they will be able to cover this big of a number on the road. The Saints still have a lot of injuries on defense and I believe that this will eventually catch up with them. It did not last Monday but it will on a short week on Sunday. New Orleans 27, Washington 23.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

RON RAYMOND
5* NFL BEST BET OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Tennessee Titans (6.5)

5* NFL UNDERDOG SUNDAY SHOCKER!
Pick # 1 Kansas City Chiefs (6)

5* NFL O/U BEST BET + 2 BONUS PICKS
Pick # 1 Tennessee Titans / IndianapoIis Colts Over 46 -115

Pick # 2 New Orleans Saints / Washington Redskins Under 47 -110

Pick # 3 New England Patriots / Miami Dolphins Under 45.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

BOSTON BLACKIE
5***** Top Game of the week

Atlanta +5.5
Major postseason implications.
The Philadelphia Eagles and Atlanta Falcons will each be missing major offensive weapons for their important NFC tilt Sunday at the Georgia Dome
Vick has seen little action behind Donovan McNabb, carrying 15 times all season for 65 yards and attempting nine passes, completing three for six yards. Redman played last week and led the team to a comeback victory last Sunday against Tampa Bay.
Atlanta is 5-0 at home this season and has won eight straight there dating to last year. The team will have a new kicker this week after releasing Jason Elam and replacing him with Matt Bryant.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

HEAVY HITTER HIT
Washington +9.5 vs New Orleans
Can New Orleans focus vs the lowly Redskins after their 21 point win vs New England?
Saints are 2-5 straight up and 0-7 ATS off a double digit win vs a team off back to back losses.
On the other hand the Redskins are 7-0 ATS at home vs a nondivision team off back to back wins.

Washington defense keeps this close. Their last 3 games have shown improvement.
They upset Denver by 10, lost to Dallas by 1 point and lost to the Eagles by 3.
Redskins have lost by 10 points only once this season.
Saints are a warm weather dome team.
Take the Big Points

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

REDZONE SPORTS
3 PLAYS NFL

TENNESSEE +7 GAME AT 1

SEATTLE PK GAME AT 4

XXX
HOUSTON / JAX JAGS OVER 47 GAME AT 1

We're on Over Texans as Quarterback Matt Schaub is really humming right now.
Top 3 in the NFL in yardage & touchdowns, & three 4TD games the last 13
He has owned the Jaguars in his career, COMPLETING 70 percent of his passes for 900 yards & 7 touchdowns and a 100+ passer rating.
He's completed 3 TDs in his last two starts against Jacksonville..
points galore here

PLAY THE OVER 47

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

SuperSportsGroup

Tennessee v. Indianapolis 1pm
PICK: Colts -6.5 Game (8*) Best bet

Detroit v. Cincy 1pm
PICK: Cincy -13 Game (7*)


New Orleans v. Washington 1pm
PICK: Redskins +10 Game (7*)
PICK: Redskins +6.5 1H (4*)


3 team parlay for 1* pays 6*

UNDER 47 Colts
OVER 46.5 Houston
OVER 41 San Fran

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Tony George

Pick # 1 Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Pick # 2 Dallas Cowboys (-1.0)
Pick # 3 New England Patriots (-4.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

I.C.
4 Unit Play. #343. Take the Tennessee Titans +6.5 over the Indianapolis Colts (Sunday @ 1pm est). How can you not take the Titans? I have taken this team for several weeks during this hot streak the are on and and I am almost indebted to taking them again. Yes, the Colts are seeking perfection and they very well might win this game. But, if they are to lose a game en route to a perfect season, it very well might be this game. The Titans and Jeff Fisher are the only folks ever to start the season 0-6 and then win five straight games. This team got healthy at the right time, had the bye week at the right time and made the quarterback move at the right time. The Titans have revenge from a loss to this team earlier this year and split the season series with Indy last year if you remember winning at home 31-21. Indy has not been all that perfect as it relates to beind down several times the last few games going into the fourth quarter including to Houston, Baltimore, New England, Houston (at home) and even San Fran. Indy has won the last five games by a combined total of 18 points and have been behind in each of those five games heading into the fourth quarter if I am not mistaken. Let's ride the hot Titans here who have revenge, have won 5 in a row, need this game for the playoffs and are 5-0 ATS over their last five as well.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-6-09

Tim Trushel

Arizona/20*
under Tenn/10*
Seattle/10*