11-28-09

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:55 AM

Re: 11-28-09

CKO

11 *CONNECTICUT over Syracuse
Late Score Forecast:
*CONNECTICUT 38 - Syracuse 13

Now that UConn is back on track following the mid-season stabbing death of popular CB Jasper Howard, Huskies have the postseason in mind. And 5-5 Connecticut can become bowl eligible with a victory in this one. RBs Jordan Todman (956 YR) & Andre Dixon (844 YR) pound defensive fronts relentlessly, and in all kinds of weather—an important consideration at this time of year in the east. Jr. QB Zach Frazier needs to control his interceptions. But the fired-up Huskies are stepping down in class after facing WV, Rutgers, Cincy & Notre Dame, all likely bowl participants (and three of the four on the road)! Rutgers took depleted Syracuse for granted last week; UConn (8-1 vs. the spread!) not likely to make the same mistake.

10 MARSHALL over *Utep
Late Score Forecast:
MARSHALL 38 - *Utep 26

With demoralized 3-8 UTEP finding different ways to lose (try 3 fumbles in 4th Q vs. Rice!), expect muddling Miners to drop their 5th straight TY vs. upbeat, chemistry-rich Marshall, which became bowl eligible for 1st time since 2004 in 31-24 victory vs. bowl-bound SMU. Miner HC Mike Price is not optimistic about the season finale when lamenting, “I thought playing superior teams early would make us a better team down road. It didn’t. We didn’t do better in November. We played teams we can compete with physically and we’ve blown it.” Conversely, the Herd has shown resourcefulness by producing season highs in both yards & points vs. the Mustangs, with backup RBs Martin-Ware & Edwards-May (combined 249 YR) admirably filling in for injured star Marshall, and blossoming 6-3 frosh TE Dobson (4 catches for 127 yds., 2 TDC) creating mismatches like sidelined Slate had done for years. Plus, Miners just 11-12 SU at home last 2+Ys, while Herd has covered 4 straight away.

10 *WASHINGTON over Washington St.
Late Score Forecast:
*WASHINGTON 45 - Washington St. 8

This is our last chance to recommend against Wazzu, and darned if we’re going to pass it up. Cougs simply non- competitive in Pac-10, with final margins solely dependent upon whims of the opposition. And sources say angry host U-Dub aching to make a statement vs. hated rival after galling defeats in last two Apple Cups and series of frustrating near-misses throughout ’09. Pac-10 sources report last week’s “bye” did a world of good for Husky QB Jake Locker, whose bruised thigh needed a week of rest. And Jake and the remainder of U-Dub’s “O” will feel like they’re on a date with Megan Fox when facing a depleted Wazzu “D” that was down to just 13 scholarship players and forced into unnatural 3-4 alignments in last week’s latest beatdown administered by Oregon State. Cougs, not closer than 26 in last 5 games, cannot count on any mercy from rival Huskies.

NINE-RATED GAMES: MISSOURI (-5) vs. Kansas (at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO)——Tiger defense not totally reliable, but Jayhawks in turmoil and have lost eight in a row vs. the spread...TCU (-43) vs. New Mexico—Rowdy Horned Frog defense will never let up with outright Mountain West title, undefeated season, and likely BCS bid at stake...TROY (-10) at Louisiana- Lafayette——Trojans a money-maker when in Sun Belt play; 20-6-2 last 28 vs. spread...

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:56 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Doc Sports

6 Unit Play. #69 Take Oklahoma State +9 ½ over Oklahoma (Saturday 12:30 pm FSN) Rivalry Game of the Year. Both teams could be playing without their quarterback for this game. However, QB Robinson will likely see action. He did dress last week but was held out since they were playing a weak opponent in Colorado. QB Bradford has been out for most of the season and the Sooners are just not explosive with him out of the line-up. 1st and Ten. The Cowboys have a lot more to play for in this game as a win here will likely mean a BCS bid. Coach Gundy and his seniors have never beaten Oklahoma but this is the first time they have better talent. The Cowboys are really playing defense this season and have not allowed a 100 yard rusher all year. They currently rank 6th in the nation in rush defense.

Being blown out last week against Texas Tech leads some to believe that the Sooners have packed it in for the 2009 season. I do not believe that is the case, but the Cowboys will give them all that they can handle. Ok State 24, Oklahoma 21.

4 Unit Play. #80 Take Houston -29 ½ over Rice (Saturday 8 pm CSS) I realize that this is a lot of points to be laying in a cross-town rivalry game. However, this year’s Cougars completely out talent the Owls. Granted, Rice has played well the last two weeks. They did beat UTEP but were outgained by 150 yards.

Houston will be looking for revenge after losing, 56-42, in 2008. That loss kept Houston from winning the CUSA West. QB Keenum threw five touchdowns last week and looks for more of the same in this affair. Houston gets close to sixty and we collect in the process as well. Houston 56, Rice 20.

4 Unit Play. #95 Take Arizona -3 over Arizona State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Normally would not go with a team coming off a heartbreaking game that kept them from going to the Rose Bowl. But this is a state rival and the U of A will have no problem getting up for this game in Tempe. ASU lost to UCLA last week and that made sure that they will be home for the holidays. Speaking of staying home, the injury report for the Sun Devils cold fill up a roster. Parlay that with the fact that Arizona is still not solid at quarterback and it is hard not to like the Wildcats. Arizona still has a chance to go to the Holiday Bowl and look for them to easily put away their rivals. U of A 28, ASU 20.

Strong Opinion Plays:
#50 Take Kentucky +3 over Tennessee

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:56 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Dave M@linsky
4 Clemson/Scarolina over 44
6 Missouri -3
5 Ok State 9.5
4 Rice/Houston Under 73
4 NMexst/SJ state over 42
4 SD State 6.5

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:57 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Saturday NCAAB System Club Play GC

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On Saturday the System Club play is on Pacific in college hoops. Game 533 at 4:00 eastern. Pacific owns all the stats in this one. They shoot and defend better than San Jose St. Pacific is 26-9 vs teams with a losing record and has won 8 of the last 9 in this series. When taking on non conference teams they have won 24 of 34 times including their last five. San Jose St is a terrible 4-12 ats as a favorite,including 0-3 at home recently. When taking on teams that have a winning record they are 8-20 and a paltry 14-42 vs teams who play good defense and allow 64 point per game or less. Pacific is the way to go in this one.
In late phone action I have the Double System NCAAF Blowout game of the year today,as well as a 19-1 non conference system, the Triple system outright dog winner,plus 2 more 90+% college football Winners and a BIG 24-1 College Hoops game of the month play. On Friday we Cashed both Big College football games and the Big NBA Blowout winner. The Big November run continues with this solid Guaranteed card you wont want to miss. Jump on at goldencontender@aol.com Most games are late afternoon and the big one goes at night. For the Saturday system Club play take Pacific in college hoops action. BOL GC

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:58 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Karl Garrett 50 DIMER - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES 50 DIMER - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES

I'm sorry, but with all due respect to the Gators and their #1 ranking, this is just too many points to give the Seminoles.

Florida is on a 5-game series win streak, and they have covered the last pair, and 3 of the last 4 when hosting the Sems, BUT you saw Alabama struggle to get by Auburn on Friday, and I can definitely see the Gators getting by in this game, but struggling with this big impost. Prior to blasting Florida International, the Gators were just 1-4 against the spread their last 5, all as double-digit favorites.

State is 3-1 against the spread as the dog this year, 14-7 their last 21 as a pup, and on a 7-4-1 spread run on the road their last 12 games. This is the largest impost a Bobby Bowden coached Seminoles team is catching since his 1st season in Tallahassee!

Can you imagine if the Seminoles were to win this game outright?

No, I can't either, but I can certainly see them scoring enough to stay inside of this ridiculous impost.

Take the points.

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:59 AM

Re: 11-28-09

ALLEN EASTMAN /ACE-ACE
800* Marshall
800* UAB
300* Stanford

DOVER PICKS
2* Navy
1* USC Under
1* Clemson Under

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 07:59 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Jack Bloom
Sports Plays for Saturday

NCAAB
Bowling Green +1 over Wisc Milwaukee
Miami Ohio -9 over Evansville
George Mason +2 over Tulane
La Salle +14 over Villanova

NCAAF
SMU -18.5 over Tulane

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:00 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Mac Monster

25 * Idaho-3
25 * Georgia Tech - 8
15 * Usm +5.5
10 * Tcu -44.5
10 * Ucla + 13
10 * Miss St + 7.5
7 * Kansas + 3

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:00 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Double Dragon Ncaa

Mississippi -7
Florida -25
Arkansas +3.5
Stanford -10
Ucla +12.5
Navy -9.5

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:00 AM

Re: 11-28-09

DUNKEL NCAAF

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 28

Game 137-138: Virginia Tech at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 100.742; Virginia 82.268
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 18 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16; 42
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-16); Under

Game 139-140: Syracuse at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 79.940; Connecticut 96.006
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 16; 44
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 13 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-13 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Wake Forest at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 91.275; Duke 86.292
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-4 1/2); Over

Game 143-144: Clemson at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 99.898; South Carolina 93.341
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-3); Over

Game 145-146: North Carolina at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 92.630; NC State 87.342
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6; 50
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+6); Under

Game 147-148: Missouri at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 89.195; Kansas 92.142
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 3; 64
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3); Over

Game 149-150: Tennessee at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 96.109; Kentucky 95.786
Dunkel Line: Even; 54
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+3); Over

Game 151-152: Mississippi at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 101.097; Mississippi State 93.051
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8; 46
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-7 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: New Mexico at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.811; TCU 111.681
Dunkel Line: TCU by 43; 59
Vegas Line: TCU by 45; 55
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+45); Over

Game 155-156: Southern Mississippi at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 84.599; East Carolina 94.264
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6; 55
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-6); Over

Game 157-158: Central Florida at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.934; UAB 82.163
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 9; 49
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-3); Under

Game 159-160: Marshall at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 82.023; UTEP 77.725
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 4 1/2;
Vegas Line: UTEP by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+1 1/2);

Game 161-162: Tulane at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 68.660; SMU 81.445
Dunkel Line: SMU by 13; 53
Vegas Line: SMU by 17 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+17 1/2); Under

Game 163-164: Baylor at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 82.057; Texas Tech 109.769
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 27 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 20 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-20 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 104.296; Oklahoma 107.533
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+9 1/2); Over

Game 167-168: Florida State at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.044; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 60
Vegas Line: Florida by 24 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+24 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Georgia at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 92.910; Georgia Tech 104.383
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 11 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-7 1/2); Over

Game 171-172: Utah at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.737; BYU 95.862
Dunkel Line: BYU by 2; 48
Vegas Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: Rice at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 63.422; Houston 95.043
Dunkel Line: Houston by 31 1/2; 82
Vegas Line: Houston by 29 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-29 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: Utah State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 76.023; Idaho 82.008
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 6; 68
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-2 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: Washington State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 65.057; Washington 91.822
Dunkel Line: Washington by 27; 63
Vegas Line: Washington by 24 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-24 1/2); Over

Game 179-180: Arizona at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 97.925; Arizona State 92.002
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6; 42
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3); Under

Game 181-182: Boston College at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 91.362; Maryland 84.089
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 7 1/2; 32
Vegas Line: Boston College by 6; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-6); Under

Game 183-184: Miami (FL) at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 98.831; South Florida 92.685
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+6 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: Arkansas at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.342; LSU 105.200
Dunkel Line: LSU by 5; 60
Vegas Line: LSU by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-3 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: New Mexico State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.186; San Jose State 72.402
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 13; 39
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 189-190: Notre Dame at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 92.605; Stanford 102.940
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 10 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Stanford by 10; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10); Over

Game 191-192: San Diego State at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 70.178; UNLV 78.926
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9; 64
Vegas Line: UNLV by 6 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-6 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: UCLA at USC
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.524; USC 98.038
Dunkel Line: USC by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: USC by 13; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+13); Under

Game 195-196: Navy at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.058; Hawaii 79.068
Dunkel Line: Navy by 8; 58
Vegas Line: Navy by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 61.494; Florida Atlantic 74.747
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 13 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 14; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+14); Over

Game 199-200: Middle Tennessee State at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 84.727; UL Monroe 76.273
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: North Texas at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 64.624; Arkansas State 71.374
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 8; 54
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+8); Over

Game 203-204: Troy at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 85.476; UL Lafayette 72.743
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Troy by 9 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-9 1/2); Over

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:01 AM

Re: 11-28-09

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 13

Saturday, 11/28/2009

(TC) VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA, 3:30 PM ET ESPN
VIRGINIA TECH: 36-19 ATS as road favorite
VIRGINIA: 7-0 Under off road loss

SYRACUSE at CONNECTICUT, 12:00 PM ET
SYRACUSE: 11-3 Under as road underdog
CONNECTICUT: 8-1 ATS this season

WAKE FOREST at DUKE, 12:00 PM ET
WAKE FOREST: 11-5 ATS off ATS loss
DUKE: 0-6 ATS at home off BB conference games

CLEMSON at S CAROLINA, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
CLEMSON: 12-3 Under off BB Overs
S CAROLINA: 5-1 Under as home dog

N CAROLINA at NC STATE, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
N CAROLINA: 4-16 ATS after scoring 31+ points
NC STATE: 8-0 ATS off an Under

(TC) MISSOURI vs. KANSAS, 3:30 PM ET (played in Kansas City) ABC
MISSOURI: 9-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
KANSAS: 0-7 ATS vs. conference

(TC) TENNESSEE at KENTUCKY, 7:00 PM ET ESPNU
TENNESSEE: 15-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
KENTUCKY: 6-0 Over off SU win as DD underdog

(TC) OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI ST, 12:20 PM ET
OLE MISS: 6-0 ATS off ATS loss
MISSISSIPPI ST: 18-33 ATS at home off ATS loss

NEW MEXICO at TCU, 1:00 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO: 0-6 ATS Away off 3 straight conf games
TCU: 10-0 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards

(TC) SOUTHERN MISS at E CAROLINA, 1:30 PM ET CBSC
SOUTHERN MISS: 6-0 ATS in November
E CAROLINA: 6-1 Over off cover as DD favorite

UCF at UAB, 1:30 PM ET
UCF: 8-0 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest
UAB: 0-8 ATS after outgaining opp by 125+ total yards

MARSHALL at UTEP, 3:00 PM ET
MARSHALL: 6-1 Under as underdog
UTEP: 2-10 ATS as favorite

TULANE at SMU, 3:00 PM ET
TULANE: 5-0 ATS at SMU
SMU: 0-7 ATS as favorite

(TC) BAYLOR vs. at TEXAS TECH, 6:00 PM ET (Played in Arlington) FSN
BAYLOR: 4-13 ATS vs. Texas Tech
TEXAS TECH: 82-54 ATS vs. conference

(TC) OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA, 12:30 PM ET FSN
OKLAHOMA ST: 11-3 Under in road games
OKLAHOMA: 8-2 ATS off SU loss as road favorite

FLORIDA ST at FLORIDA, 3:30 PM ET CBS
FLORIDA ST: 2-10 ATS off conference win
FLORIDA: 16-7 ATS as favorite

(TC) GEORGIA at GEORGIA TECH, 8:00 PM ET ABC
GEORGIA: 20-6 ATS in road non-conf games
GEORGIA TECH: 1-7 ATS at home vs. Georgia

UTAH at BYU, 5:00 PM ET CBSC
UTAH: 41-21 ATS as an underdog
BYU: 0-6 ATS off an Over

(TC) RICE at HOUSTON, 8:00 PM ET
RICE: 6-0 ATS off home conference win
HOUSTON: 35-56 ATS off BB conference games

UTAH ST at IDAHO, 5:00 PM ET
UTAH ST: 10-3 ATS off home game
IDAHO: 3-11 ATS vs. conference

WASHINGTON ST at WASHINGTON, 6:30 PM ET
WASHINGTON ST: 46-22 Over off ATS loss
WASHINGTON: 0-10 ATS off 3+ SU losses

(TC) ARIZONA at ARIZONA ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
ARIZONA: 7-0 ATS off home game where both teams scored 31+
ARIZONA ST: 28-46 ATS off an Under

(TC) BOSTON COLLEGE at MARYLAND, 3:30 PM ET ESPNU
BOSTON COLLEGE: 0-6 ATS vs. team with losing record
MARYLAND: 24-10 ATS off 2 straight conf losses

(TC) MIAMI at S FLORIDA, 3:30 PM ET ABC
MIAMI: 2-8 ATS in November
S FLORIDA: 5-1 ATS vs. ACC

(TC) ARKANSAS at LSU, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
ARKANSAS: 25-12 ATS after scoring 42+ points
LSU: 7-27 ATS at home in November

NEW MEXICO ST at SAN JOSE ST, 8:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO ST: 7-21 ATS off home loss
SAN JOSE ST: 17-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

NOTRE DAME at STANFORD, 8:00 PM ET ABC
NOTRE DAME: 2-8 ATS this season
STANFORD: 6-0 ATS at home off SU loss

SAN DIEGO ST at UNLV, 9:00 PM ET MTN
SAN DIEGO ST: 39-18 Under in road games
UNLV: 5-1 Under off conference loss by 21+

UCLA at USC, 10:00 PM ET FSN
UCLA: 3-12 ATS off BB covers as favorite
USC: 53-33 ATS off an Over

(TC) NAVY at HAWAII, 10:30 PM ET ESPNU
NAVY: 31-12 ATS off home win
HAWAII: 6-0 Under off conference win by 7pts or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:10 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Pointwise Phone Service

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4* Texas Tech, Southern Miss

3* Tennessee, Missouri, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Florida St

2* Smu, Boise St, Arkansas

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:13 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Arkansas (+3') at LSU

Jeff Benton

Scored a 6? free-play winner with Illinois plus the points at Cincinnati on Friday. For Saturday, I’ll stay in College Football and take Arkansas plus the points at LSU. If I’m still shocked at the way LSU blew that game at Ole Miss last week, how do you think the Tigers are feeling? Down 25-17 with less than four minutes to play, LSU battled back with a touchdown, missed the game-tying two-conversion, then recovered the onside kick and had a chance to pull off the upset. However, coach Les Miles completely mismanaged his timeouts in the final minute, so when QB Jordon Jefferson completed a Hail Mary inside the Ole Miss 15-yard line on fourth-and-long with one second to play, LSU couldn’t keep the clock stopped after the officials’ timeout to reset the chains. Then came the damndest thing I’ve ever seen: Rather than rush his field-goal unit on the field or instruct Jefferson to take a shot at the end zone– again there was one second on the clock! – Miles told his QB to spike the ball!

I’ve said many times that I’m not a Les Miles fan, and what happened last Saturday should explain why that opinion is warranted. And with the Tigers’ season having completely unraveled the last six weeks (3-3 record after a 5-0 start), I’m not expecting much effort or emotion from the home team. At the same time, Arkansas is finishing the season strong. The Razorbacks have posted four consecutive double-digit wins (victory margins of 36, 17, 36 and 21 points), going 3-0 ATS in the last three. Since the calendar flipped to October, the Razorbacks are 6-2 SU and ATS (and one of those losses was a 23-20 setback at top-ranked Florida – a game Arkansas should’ve won!)

The Hogs have taken control of this rivalry, too, posting back-to-back upsets of LSU. In 2008, they won 50-48 in double-overtime as a 13-point underdog, then last year, they rallied from a 30-14 fourth-quarter deficit for 31-30, scoring the game-winning touchdown with 21 seconds left.

LSU is carrying some woeful ATS trends (9-22-1 ATS overall; 3-10 ATS at home, 7-17-1 ATS in SEC play, 1-12 ATS in SEC home games, 3-8 ATS as a favorite, 1-9 ATS in November), while Arkansas has cashed in seven of 10 as an underdog (in addition to six of eight overall). I smell another outright Razorbacks upset in this rivalry, but we’ll take the points just to be safe.

4? ARKANSAS (based on a 1? to 10? scale)

**GoBlue** · 11-28-2009, 08:41 AM

Re: 11-28-09

Sir Duke Sports

11/28/2009 12:00:00 PM Members 144 S. Carolina Gamecocks+3 7*
11/28/2009 12:20:00 PM Members 152 Miss St+8 7*
11/28/2009 3:30:00 PM Members 167 Florida St Seminoles+24 7*
11/28/2009 5:00:00 PM Members 176 Idaho Vandals-3 7*
11/28/2009 7:00:00 PM Members 149 Tennessee Volunteers-3 7*

11-28-09

11-28-09

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