11-9-09

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Doc's Sports



4 Unit Play. #129 Take Pittsburgh -3 over Denver (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The most competitive game on paper takes place Monday night in Denver. The Broncos suffered their first loss of the season last week against Baltimore and I expect them to struggle again playing another hard-hitting defense. QB Kyle Orton cannot be productive for an entire 16-week season and expect the Steelers to blitz him early and often. The Steelers have won four straight games and had last week off to get some players healthy. This includes Troy Polamalu, who is listed as probable. He is the foundation of their defense and if he plays, expect the Steelers to win this game by double digits. Denver hasn’t played that well at Mile High Stadium and went just 4-4 there in 2008. The Steelers go to the top of the AFC North and we collect big in the process as well. Pittsburgh 27, Denver 13.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

VSI

4 Unit Play. #429 Take Over 39.5 Pittsburgh at Denver (Monday 11/9 8:35 PM ESPN)
This total seems pretty low considering all of the firepower that is on the field for these two teams. Denver just gave up 30 points to a Baltimore team that is not as strong offensively as the Steelers. And with two weeks to prepare I think Pittsburgh will be sharp and ready to go. Denver was held to just six points last week. But they have a lot of weapons that I don't think will be held down. MNF games have gone 8-1 against the total this year and I look for that trend to continue.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Norm Hitzges

Denver/Pittsburgh Under 39.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

CKO

NINE-RATED GAMES: DENVER (+3) vs. Pittsburgh (NFL)——Denver’s bye week sapped its momentum; same thing might happen to Steelers, and Big Ben might fall victim to Denver’s improved defense.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Jim's Feist's 20* NBA High Roller *** 3-0 (100%) on Season
NBA (709) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS (710) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS 11/09 07:35 PM PT / 10:35 PM ET

Take: (710) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (20* HI Roller Play)

Reason: What a difference an off season makes. The Hornets had the fifth best scoring defense in the league last year, allowing just over 94 ppg. This season, the reeling Hornets (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) are allowing well over 100 ppg. In fact, the Hornets have allowed over 107 points in four of their first seven games. The only reason the Lakers didn't eclipse that total last night was because the Hornets never were in the game and the Lakers put it into cruise control early in that contest. Still, the Lakers got over 100 points in an easy 104-88 win. The Hornets are in the midst of a grueling three game west coast swing, having lost last night at the Lakers, playing back-to-back games with tonight's contest against the Clippers, and then traveling to Phoenix to face the Suns (three games in just four nights). Meanwhile, the Clippers are riding a three game winning streak after their win over Memphis on Saturday, 113-110. Despite a lackluster start to the game and trailing by as much as 11-points, the Clippers rallied for the win. The Clippers are one game from .500 after a terrible start to the season that saw them lose their first four games. The Clippers hope to keep near that .500 mark until they get the services of injured first round draft choice Blake Griffin (out indefinitely with a broken knee cap). This version of the Hornets is a far cry from the team that made the playoffs the last two years. All of my numbers point to a easy Clippers win here on Monday, so lay the short number and enjoy the win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
40 Dime --- STEELERS (Buy the 1/2 point)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

FantasySportsGametime.com

Monday Football


NFL Football

100* Play Pittsburgh (-3) over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)

Pittsburgh has won 4 consecutive games when playing on a Monday Night and they have also won 3 of the last 4 games vs. AFC West Division Opponents. Pittsburgh has won 7 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of November and they have also won 17 of the last 24 games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Black Widow

6* Steelers/Broncos ESPN Monday Night MASSACRE on Pittsburgh -3(+105 at 5dimes)

The Steelers have won 4 straight games since losing back-to-back heartbreakers by 3 points to the Bears and Bengals on the road. They are hitting on all cylinders right now, and they have had 2 weeks to prepare for Denver as they come off a bye after beating Minnesota 27-17 last time out. Denver's undefeated run ended abruptly last week with a 7-30 road loss to Baltimore. Pittsburgh plays a similar game to the Ravens, and they'll dominate every phase of this one just like Baltimore did. Denver has yet to face the adversity of coming off a loss, and we don't see them handling it well Monday, especially against the defending Super Bowl champions. Denver is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. The Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons. Baltimore held Denver to 200 yards of total offense last week. Pittsburgh has the same kind of ferocious defense the Ravens offer, and they'll give Kyle Orton and this Broncos' offense fits all game long while Big Ben and the Steelers' offense keeps pouring on the points. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

4 Unit Play. Take Under 194 between the New Orleans Hornets @ the Los Angeles Clippers (Monday @ 10:30pm est). Note that Eric Gordon is doubtful for this game. I've been high on the Clippers this year and have put my 6 Unit Future on them for the Over 34.5 wins earlier this year. And, they have not let me down. After all, they are 3-4 and well on pace to go vear 34.5 wins. I hope they can stay healthy as Gordon and Griffin can hopefully be back soon to aid this team. The Clippers are a new beast this year because they are healthier and have their bigs back in Kaman and Thornton. This has helped their defense immensely and last year's injuries has improved their depth as role players took more of an active role in the team's offense. This team played Minnesota recently and won 93-90 as the game totaled 183 and I think that will be very similar to the Hornets game today. The Hornets do have Paul of course, but outside of that, this team has limited offensive options. They are a half court type of offense to be certain with players such as Okafor, Julian Wright and Devin Brown. With Gordon likely out for this game, I look for Baron Davis to get the ball to their respective bigs with Kaman, Camby and Al Thornton. The Under is 4-0 for the Hornets after a straight up loss of more than ten points and the Under is 7-1 in the Clippers last eight games as Underdogs.
Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

ATS

3 pitt

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

Lenny Stevens

10* Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* N B A R oa d W arr ior of the W ee k on Phoenix Suns -2(-101 at 5dimes)

The Suns are 6-1 this season, which is impressive considering they have played 5 road games already where they are 4-1 away from home. This is a very generous line here Monday as the Suns travel to take on the 76ers as just a small road favorite. Phoenix is the superior team here, and they are having fun again playing their fast break style of basketball. Phoenix is averaging 109.7 points/game this season. The 76ers are 3-14 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996. Philly doesn't have the scorers to keep up with the Suns tonight. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 3 seasons. Steve Nash is running the show to perfection this year, averaging 17.9 points/game and 11.9 assists/contest. Take Phoenix and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Jazz/Knicks OVER 209.5(-110 at bookm)

This is a reasonably low total for a Knicks' home game, so we'll side with the OVER Monday when they host the Utah Jazz. Utah is a solid offensive team, averaging 101.5 points/game. But defensively, they have been sub-par this season in allowing 104.0 points/game. The Knicks have played in some shootouts at home this year where they average 106.0 points/game and allowing a ridiculous 113.2 points/contest. Utah is 17-3 OVER after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 209.5 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-9-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on T'Wolves/Warriors OVER 214.5(-110 at betus)

These are two of the worst defensive teams in the league squaring off Monday, and we'll take the OVER because of it. Minnesota is allowing 109.7 points/game on the road this season, and as bad as that number is, it's nothing compared to the Warriors. Golden State gives up 114.8 points/game this season, once again showing that they are the worst defensive team in the NBA. They are fun to watch because they always play in shootouts, and this will be another entertaining shootout Monday. The Warriors are 29-15 OVER (+12.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is 46-23 OVER (+20.7 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 23-9 in Warriors last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER 214.5 points.