10-30-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

North Coast Marquee Play tonite is South Fla +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Karl Garrett 20 DIMER - SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS....10 DIMER - ORLANDO MAGIC 20 DIMER - SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS

My feeling with these 2 teams is to take the underdog, as you simply can't trust the favorite to cover the spread.

This is especially true with West Virginia, as the are just 2-4 against the spread this season, failing 3 of 5 as the favorite. The Mountaineers have also lost 2 of the last 3 to the Bulls, failing ALL 3 against the spread.

I know South Florida has been a bust, especially coming off back-to-back conference losses in which they were blasted, but that makes them quite a dangerous home dog here, as I would think that the Bulls would want to show both themselves and the Mountaineers they are better than their recent results have shown.

South Florida is 7-4 against the spread their last 11 as an underdog, and I like them to make it 8-4 after tonight's cover.

Take the Bulls plus the points.

10 DIMER - ORLANDO MAGIC

Orlando sure looked sharp in dumping the 76ers the other night, now it is Vince Carter's return to New Jersey that will be front-and-center for this game, and expect the Magic and Carter to get the better of the young, and rebuilding Nets.

Orlando is 6-2 straight up the last 8 series meetings, and the favorite is 8-3 against the spread the last 11 tilts between the teams.

Magic feel that have some "unfinished business" after falling the NBA Finals last season, and I expect them to be some tough customers early in this season.

Lay the points here

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Trace Adams 1000* - South Florida Bulls, 500* - Washington Wizards Tonight's football game is a question of who do you trust more?

South Florida is coming off back-to-back Big East double-digit blowout losses to Cincinnati and at Pittsburgh. The Cincy game was a home Thursday nighter on ESPN!

Obviously Jim Leavitt's team could pack it in tonight, and were they on the road, I would believe they would pack it in, but with this game in their backyard, I have a feeling we are going to see a prideful effort from the Bulls. The Bulls do possess the speed on defense to contain the Mountaineers speedburners, and SoFla has been a money-maker in the dog role of late, covering 7 of their last 11 when catching points.

As for West Virginia, I have NEVER been a fan of Bill Stewart in the head coaching spot!

The Mountaineers did prevail in an emotional game versus UConn last week, but they didn't cover. In fact, the Mounties are only 2-4 against the spread in lined games this year, and just 6-12 their last 18 on line.

South Florida had a 2 game series winning streak snapped last season in Morgantown in a 13-7 loss, but the Bulls have covered in the last 3 series gatherings, and will cover here.

Take the home dog Bulls.

1000? - South Florida Bulls

In the NBA, grab the points with the Wizards.

Flip Saunders is the perfect fit for this team, and Washington did stun Dallas on Tuesday outright, and with the team in relative good health - especially Gilbert Arenas - I will take a shot with the Wizz plus the points tonight.

Atlanta is no slouch to be sure, but the numbers here support the road team, and underdog, as the visitor is on an 8-1 spread run the last 9, while the dog has covered 10 of the last 13 series meetings.

The Hawks swept ALL 4 of the Wizards last season, and have won 5 in a row overall against Washington.

Look for the 'Zards to come out and show some passion.

Take the points.

500? - Washington Wizards

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Michael Cannon
Friday's Play...
40 Dime –

WEST VIRGINIA (Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 or -3½)

Take West Virginia as the small road chalk over South Florida.

The Bulls have given the Mountaineers trouble over the past few years, but this year’s edition won’t be able to keep that trend going.

That’s because South Florida lost its soul offensively when Matt Grothe went down with a season-ending injury. His replacement, redshirt freshman B. J. Daniels, is an incredible athlete with great speed but he is seriously lacking in the passing game.

Daniels loves to scramble around and extend the play, then just chuck it downfield looking for the big play. The problem with that strategy is it has produced nothing except incompletions and interceptions and the Bulls have struggled to score points as a result.

West Virginia should be plenty motivated for this game since South Florida has given them so much trouble over the past three years. Add to that the presence of Cincinnati and Pitt atop the Big East and the Mountaineers know they cannot afford a slipup here if they want to win the conference.

South Florida is known for its athletic defense, especially on the line. But teams have gashed them on the ground this year and that plays right into what West Virginia wants to do.

The Bulls gave up 189 yards to Cincinnati in a 34-17 home loss Oct. 15 and 214 yards to Pitt in last Saturday’s 41-14 road loss.

West Virginia just needs to take care of the football and they’ll get the job done here. Quarterback Jarrett Brown didn’t look particularly good last week, but he was coming off a concussion and should be better tonight. But if he struggles again, the Mountaineers can lean on Noel Devine, who rushed for 171 of his 178 yards in the second half against UConn last Saturday.

Take West Virginia as the small road chalk and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 or -3½.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

A Redd

40 dime Washington Wizards

10 dime South Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Randall the Handle

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games include OT unless stated otherwise

Florida +1.83 over DALLAS (REG) Pinnacle

The Panthers have just five points through its first 10 games of the season. However, they’re close to breaking out and this could be the day. They held a 2-0 lead on the defending Cup champions in Pittsburgh last Friday before losing in a shootout. Wednesday, the Panthers had two leads on the visiting Senators, outplayed them but gave up three goals in the second period and couldn't find the equalizer. The perception is that the Panthers stink but they don’t. This is a very talented team that is going to cash in with some nice tags on them and this is certainly one game they can win. The Stars were lucky to beat the Leafs on Wednesday and although they’re a decent team they’re a huge risk as a big favorite because they’re very beatable. The Stars have struggled at home and the best remedy for what ails the Panthers could very well be a little road trip. Florida already has wins over Chicago, Philadelphia and again, they took the Pens to OT. This is a very sweet price on a undervalued team and most definitely worth a bet. Play: Florida +1.83 (Risking 2 units).



Montreal +1.68 over CHICAGO (REG) Pinnacle

This one is much more about playing against the Blackhawks than it is about playing the Canadiens because the more I watch Chicago the more convinced I am that they’re about the most overvalued team in the NHL. Chicago is a very respectable 7-4-1 but a close look reveals the easiest schedule in the league thus far. They opened the year in Europe by splitting games with Florida. Its last four wins came against the Preds twice, the Oilers and the Wild. Chicago has already lost to Detroit, Vancouver, Dallas and Nashville and its last six games have come against a slew of offensively challenged squads. They also played last night in Nashville, lost 2-0 and mustered up a measly 22 shots. Hopefully the Habs will respond from that 6-1 loss in Pittsburgh on Wednesday. Prior to losing that one they had won four straight including a win over the Rangers and Atlanta in which they carried the play both games and deserved to win. Carey Price will be back in net tonight and that can only help our chances because not only is he better than Halak, it gives the rest of the team a boost as well. Anyway, the Blackhawks are not nearly as good as advertised and will get exposed as such many times. Overlay. Play: Montreal +1.68 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play South Florida (+3) over West Virginia

South Florida has won 5 of the last 6 games as a home underdog and they have also won 17 of the last 23 games coming off a loss by 17 points or more. South Florida has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games after scoring 17 points or less in two consecutive games and they are averaging over 38 points a game at home this season.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Wunderdog

Game: Florida at Dallas (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Dallas -195 (moneyline)

The Florida Panthers, after winning their opener in a shootout, have tasted victory just once since and are really struggling to find the net. They have tallied just 18 gals in the nine games played since the opener, and an even less seven in their four road games for less than two tallies per contest. The Stars have been playing well of late, and have been exactly what a coach likes to see on the offensive end - highly consistent, as they have scored four goals in each of their last four games. The Panthers have only reached that mark twice all season, and have never made it to five, so their chances here are not that great. The Stars have capitalized at home against weak opponents cashing in a 55-23-3 mark against opponents with a road mark of under .400. The Panthers’ 7-19 mark in their last 26 puts the exclamation point on this one. The Stars get the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Jeff Benton
Friday's winner ... 15 Dime: SOUTH FLORIDA (plus the points vs. West Virginia)


South Florida

I’m willing to give South Florida a bit of a pass for their performances in their last two games. Two weeks ago, the Bulls were unbeaten and ranked 21st nationally when they got blitzed at home by eighth-ranked Cincinnati 34-17 as a one-point home underdog. No shame in that, as the Bearcats are a legitimate Top 5 team (which is why I backed Cincinnati with a 20 Dime play against South Florida in that one). Then last week, South Florida went to Pitt and got creamed 41-14 as a 6½-point underdog, and while I don’t believe Pitt is THAT good, the fact is the Panthers were ranked 20th last week and they were playing on their home field. More than that, though, I believe the Bulls fell into a classic trap that a lot of college football teams fall into: Those teams that are undefeated well into October and lose their first game often have a “letdown” effect the next game. To me, last week was South Florida’s “letdown” game.

Now that they’re back home, back on national TV and hosting another Top 25 team, I expect the Bulls to be very much rejuvenated and eager to prove to the world that A) their 5-0 start, which including a 17-7 win at then-No. 18 Florida State, was not a fluke, and B) they’re much better than they’ve shown the last two weeks.

I do acknowledge that South Florida freshman QB B.J. Daniels is going to have to step up his game, as he’s clearly regressed the last two weeks. But the kid does have skills, and I trust that underrated USF coach Jim Leavitt will get him fixed. This much is known: He’s got the kind of speed and athleticism that can give West Virginia’s defense fits.

As for the Mountaineers, I not so sure they’re not a fraud. They got pushed around by UConn last week, with the Huskies’ pedestrian offense putting up 501 yards. If not for a big second half by talented West Virginia’s talented running back Noel Devine – whose 56-yard TD run with 2:10 to play erased a 24-21 deficit and gave the Mountaineers a 28-24 win – UConn would’ve won that game as a 7½-point underdog. West Virginia also struggled to put away the likes of East Carolina, Colorado and Marshall, and the best team they faced to this point – Auburn – beat the Mountaineers 41-30 (and Auburn has since proven to be a fraud, too).

South Florida has been a tough matchup for West Virginia since joining the Big East, with the teams splitting four meetings and the Bulls cashing in the last three (all as a ‘dog). That includes a 21-13 home win as a 7-point ‘dog in 2007 when West Virginia was ranked fifth in the nation.

Bottom line: The Bulls have the team speed, especially on defense, to give West Virginia trouble all year. And with the way they force turnovers (and with the Mountaineers give up the football), we could see some easy scores for the home team. South Florida is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home games, while West Virginia has failed to cover in seven of its last nine overall (1-4 ATS last five), going 2-6 ATS as a favorite. Look for South Florida to take the field with a chip on its shoulder and win this game outright (though we’ll take the points just to be safe).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Doc Sports

5 Units - Clippers +9

3 Units - Oklahoma +5

2 Units - Dallas +9

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

balf

NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Wizard +6.5 over Hawks

MLB Baseball
Check back on Saturday.

BobBalfe.com now of Facebook! Click here

College Football
West Virginia -3 over South Florida
USF is starting to show the effects of not having Matt Grothe in the lineup. USF has struggled to score which is not good with Noel Devine returning to his hometown area to play in a spot light game. West Virginia is not as explosive as they were the past few years but they still have fire power and this should be a classic case of WVU simply outscoring USF at the final horn. Take WVU.


Balfe is 3-0 on the NBA season after the Denver play last night. He has also won 7 of his last 8 in NCAA football. Good luck to everyone.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

Tim Trushel

Featured Play: South Florida +3

Featured Play: Detroit Over 193

Charlotte -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

ATS Financial Club

3 Units So Florida / West Virginia Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-30-09

NSA
20* CFB West Virginia -3
20* NBA Celtics under 187
10* CFB West Va over 47
10* NBA Oklahoma City +5.5
10* NBA Orlando over 9
10* NBA Phoenix over 227